HarrisX Battleground State Poll (Nov 3-5): Arizona

This survey was administered by HarrisX among 1,636 registered voters from November 3-5, 2024 across Arizona. Respondents were recruited through opt-in, web-panel recruitment sampling. Recruitment occurs through a broad variety of professional, validated respondent panels to expand the sampling frame as wide as possible and minimize the impact of any given panel on recruiting methods.

The sampling margin of error is +/- 2.4%. Results were weighted by age, gender, race/ethnicity, political party, education, income, early vote percentage, and previous vote choice where necessary to align with actual demographic proportions amongst the population of RVs within Arizona.

For further insights and data, visit elections.harrisx.com

HarrisX's Final Presidential Horserace (+Leaners)

H2bMEV: : If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for? (including Early voters choice)

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump+leaners

50.0%

50.4%

88.3%

7.8%

47.3%

42.2%

99.1%

0.6%

42.6%

92.4%

7.8%

25.8%

56.1%

44.5%

49.3%

45.8%

53.6%

50.9%

48.2%

50.0%

50.3%

50.9%

54.9%

31.0%

40.3%

33.4%

59.1%

43.8%

52.7%

32.8%

51.0%

15.6%

29.8%

33.9%

-

-

-

50.0%

51.9%

47.4%

10.5%

42.4%

84.2%

48.4%

51.8%

52.7%

40.6%

61.0%

57.4%

47.0%

74.2%

48.0%

34.4%

52.4%

Kamala Harris+leaners

46.4%

46.8%

10.7%

91.2%

44.7%

47.9%

0.1%

97.5%

24.3%

6.0%

90.5%

34.1%

41.4%

51.0%

46.4%

48.1%

43.6%

47.6%

47.4%

44.9%

46.0%

47.6%

42.7%

59.8%

53.3%

62.1%

39.5%

49.7%

42.0%

63.1%

45.7%

72.2%

62.9%

61.3%

-

-

-

46.4%

43.6%

50.4%

87.0%

52.3%

14.0%

47.4%

45.0%

43.9%

57.3%

32.2%

40.1%

51.8%

20.3%

47.6%

62.6%

40.0%

Cornel West+leaners

2.3%

1.8%

0.3%

0.3%

5.6%

8.4%

0.4%

1.0%

23.8%

1.0%

1.3%

28.6%

1.8%

2.8%

3.5%

3.0%

1.9%

0.9%

3.5%

2.7%

2.5%

0.9%

1.9%

4.7%

3.4%

1.9%

1.1%

3.7%

3.2%

4.1%

2.7%

6.0%

3.6%

0.0%

-

-

-

2.3%

2.6%

1.9%

1.6%

3.2%

1.5%

2.7%

2.0%

2.3%

1.3%

4.4%

1.8%

0.8%

4.1%

2.7%

1.8%

4.6%

Jill Stein+leaners

1.2%

1.0%

0.7%

0.7%

2.3%

1.6%

0.4%

1.0%

9.3%

0.6%

0.4%

11.5%

0.7%

1.7%

0.8%

3.1%

0.8%

0.6%

0.9%

2.4%

1.2%

0.6%

0.5%

4.4%

3.0%

2.6%

0.3%

2.9%

2.1%

0.0%

0.7%

6.2%

3.8%

4.8%

-

-

-

1.2%

1.9%

0.3%

0.9%

2.1%

0.2%

1.4%

1.1%

1.2%

0.8%

2.4%

0.7%

0.4%

1.5%

1.7%

1.2%

3.0%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

Full Poll Findings below:

QVOTE1: Have you already voted in Tuesday's 2024 elections, or have you not had the chance to yet?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Already voted

52%

61%

53%

55%

51%

26%

52%

58%

14%

56%

65%

51%

56%

49%

40%

37%

50%

77%

44%

36%

47%

77%

58%

7%

37%

48%

61%

7%

43%

49%

56%

7%

32%

47%

-

-

-

52%

42%

66%

63%

48%

52%

39%

64%

57%

46%

46%

60%

51%

50%

54%

42%

44%

Not yet

48%

39%

47%

45%

49%

74%

48%

42%

86%

44%

35%

49%

44%

51%

60%

63%

50%

23%

56%

64%

53%

23%

42%

93%

63%

52%

39%

93%

57%

51%

44%

93%

68%

53%

-

-

-

48%

58%

34%

37%

52%

48%

61%

36%

43%

54%

54%

40%

49%

50%

46%

58%

56%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

QTYPEOFVOTE: Did you mail in a ballot or did you vote early at a voting center?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Mailed in a ballot

77%

77%

73%

79%

82%

69%

72%

83%

66%

74%

84%

75%

78%

77%

63%

67%

79%

87%

63%

62%

80%

87%

79%

70%

69%

82%

80%

63%

65%

94%

78%

78%

74%

71%

-

-

-

77%

75%

79%

79%

78%

76%

79%

77%

79%

73%

82%

80%

75%

76%

77%

72%

85%

Voted early at a voting center

23%

23%

27%

21%

18%

31%

28%

17%

34%

26%

16%

25%

22%

23%

37%

33%

21%

13%

37%

38%

20%

13%

21%

30%

31%

18%

20%

37%

35%

6%

22%

22%

26%

29%

-

-

-

23%

25%

21%

21%

22%

24%

21%

23%

21%

27%

18%

20%

25%

24%

23%

28%

15%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,057

1,057

419

409

220

9

492

549

16

437

477

20

460

597

176

239

268

374

119

220

344

374

857

42

109

49

367

13

55

25

490

29

54

24

0

0

0

1,057

604

453

297

390

370

523

517

579

325

153

253

148

59

326

177

94

H2V: Who did you vote for in the 2024 presidential election?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump

47%

47%

88%

7%

41%

17%

98%

0%

9%

92%

6%

24%

52%

42%

40%

45%

51%

49%

40%

45%

49%

49%

50%

26%

36%

35%

53%

41%

48%

38%

46%

8%

22%

32%

-

-

-

47%

49%

44%

7%

39%

85%

46%

48%

49%

37%

55%

54%

41%

68%

44%

33%

45%

Kamala Harris

50%

50%

11%

92%

53%

39%

0%

98%

4%

6%

92%

47%

45%

55%

55%

54%

46%

48%

56%

52%

48%

48%

47%

72%

61%

65%

44%

59%

48%

62%

50%

87%

76%

68%

-

-

-

50%

48%

52%

92%

56%

12%

51%

49%

48%

58%

40%

44%

55%

26%

53%

62%

52%

Cornel West

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

18%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

10%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

-

-

-

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

Jill Stein

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

14%

1%

0%

7%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

3%

0%

0%

-

-

-

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

2%

0%

1%

3%

1%

0%

1%

Someone else

2%

2%

1%

0%

4%

26%

1%

1%

66%

1%

2%

12%

2%

3%

4%

0%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

3%

0%

2%

0%

3%

0%

3%

3%

2%

0%

-

-

-

2%

2%

2%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

1%

4%

2%

5%

2%

I did not vote in this race

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

7%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

-

-

-

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,057

1,057

419

409

220

9

492

549

16

437

477

20

460

597

176

239

268

374

119

220

344

374

857

42

109

49

367

13

55

25

490

29

54

24

0

0

0

1,057

604

453

297

390

370

523

517

579

325

153

253

148

59

326

177

94

QVOTETIME: Is this the first time you are voting in a presidential election?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Yes

12%

12%

11%

14%

8%

59%

12%

11%

11%

6%

4%

19%

12%

11%

38%

17%

4%

1%

44%

20%

5%

1%

7%

10%

30%

15%

7%

6%

31%

22%

8%

15%

30%

8%

-

-

-

12%

18%

6%

15%

13%

7%

13%

11%

7%

22%

10%

8%

21%

9%

6%

22%

10%

No

88%

88%

89%

86%

92%

41%

88%

89%

89%

94%

96%

81%

88%

89%

62%

83%

96%

99%

56%

80%

95%

99%

93%

90%

70%

85%

93%

94%

69%

78%

92%

85%

70%

92%

-

-

-

88%

82%

94%

85%

87%

93%

87%

89%

93%

78%

90%

92%

79%

91%

94%

78%

90%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,057

1,057

419

409

220

9

492

549

16

437

477

20

460

597

176

239

268

374

119

220

344

374

857

42

109

49

367

13

55

25

490

29

54

24

0

0

0

1,057

604

453

297

390

370

523

517

579

325

153

253

148

59

326

177

94

QDECISION1: When did you make up your mind on who you were voting for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Today

2%

2%

0%

4%

3%

18%

2%

2%

5%

1%

2%

14%

3%

1%

6%

5%

1%

0%

6%

6%

2%

0%

2%

1%

4%

0%

3%

2%

5%

0%

1%

0%

3%

0%

-

-

-

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

1%

5%

0%

2%

8%

0%

1%

2%

0%

In the last week

7%

7%

6%

8%

8%

11%

8%

7%

18%

6%

7%

4%

8%

7%

15%

12%

3%

5%

13%

15%

4%

5%

6%

28%

10%

27%

6%

42%

10%

36%

5%

10%

11%

20%

-

-

-

7%

9%

6%

8%

10%

5%

8%

7%

5%

14%

5%

6%

15%

1%

3%

14%

8%

In late October

6%

6%

6%

4%

6%

8%

6%

4%

32%

5%

5%

5%

4%

7%

8%

9%

4%

4%

9%

9%

4%

4%

6%

2%

7%

0%

5%

2%

4%

0%

7%

3%

10%

0%

-

-

-

6%

6%

6%

5%

6%

5%

4%

6%

5%

7%

6%

3%

7%

4%

6%

7%

8%

In early October

9%

9%

6%

9%

11%

0%

8%

9%

18%

9%

8%

7%

8%

10%

12%

10%

7%

7%

11%

10%

8%

7%

8%

7%

9%

9%

8%

6%

7%

7%

9%

8%

11%

11%

-

-

-

9%

10%

7%

7%

12%

6%

8%

8%

6%

11%

14%

5%

11%

14%

8%

11%

13%

In September

7%

7%

4%

10%

8%

10%

6%

8%

0%

6%

8%

12%

9%

6%

12%

10%

5%

5%

12%

10%

6%

5%

6%

5%

12%

8%

7%

2%

18%

0%

6%

8%

4%

16%

-

-

-

7%

7%

7%

8%

8%

6%

6%

8%

6%

8%

11%

6%

10%

16%

5%

7%

7%

Before September

66%

66%

75%

63%

59%

38%

68%

66%

12%

70%

69%

50%

66%

66%

40%

53%

77%

77%

41%

49%

73%

77%

69%

53%

54%

54%

69%

45%

56%

57%

69%

63%

52%

50%

-

-

-

66%

62%

69%

67%

58%

74%

68%

65%

75%

50%

60%

76%

48%

63%

74%

53%

58%

Unsure/ Don't Know

3%

3%

2%

3%

4%

15%

2%

4%

14%

3%

2%

8%

2%

5%

7%

2%

3%

2%

8%

2%

4%

2%

3%

4%

4%

2%

3%

0%

0%

0%

4%

9%

10%

4%

-

-

-

3%

5%

2%

3%

4%

2%

3%

3%

3%

4%

4%

2%

2%

1%

3%

7%

6%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,057

1,057

419

409

220

9

492

549

16

437

477

20

460

597

176

239

268

374

119

220

344

374

857

42

109

49

367

13

55

25

490

29

54

24

0

0

0

1,057

604

453

297

390

370

523

517

579

325

153

253

148

59

326

177

94

QDECISION2: Would you say that you voted for change or for continuity in how the country is managed?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Change

75%

75%

86%

61%

74%

100%

92%

58%

73%

92%

58%

74%

74%

75%

78%

68%

77%

74%

79%

70%

76%

74%

74%

68%

79%

71%

73%

49%

81%

61%

75%

90%

77%

80%

-

-

-

75%

81%

69%

56%

71%

92%

77%

74%

74%

70%

88%

73%

69%

92%

75%

71%

86%

Continuity

25%

25%

14%

39%

26%

0%

8%

42%

27%

8%

42%

26%

26%

25%

22%

32%

23%

26%

21%

30%

24%

26%

26%

32%

21%

29%

27%

51%

19%

39%

25%

10%

23%

20%

-

-

-

25%

19%

31%

44%

29%

8%

23%

26%

26%

30%

12%

27%

31%

8%

25%

29%

14%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,057

1,057

419

409

220

9

492

549

16

437

477

20

460

597

176

239

268

374

119

220

344

374

857

42

109

49

367

13

55

25

490

29

54

24

0

0

0

1,057

604

453

297

390

370

523

517

579

325

153

253

148

59

326

177

94

JS2: How likely or unlikely are you to vote in the upcoming 2024 elections in November?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET: Likely Voters (T3B)

89%

100%

92%

93%

83%

59%

92%

90%

59%

97%

97%

87%

91%

87%

86%

82%

89%

96%

86%

84%

87%

96%

91%

82%

83%

80%

94%

86%

86%

66%

89%

76%

81%

91%

-

-

-

89%

84%

96%

94%

85%

90%

82%

95%

90%

88%

86%

92%

90%

84%

88%

85%

86%

NET: Likely Voters (T2B)

86%

100%

92%

90%

80%

44%

89%

87%

56%

96%

96%

84%

88%

84%

81%

79%

87%

96%

79%

81%

85%

96%

89%

77%

78%

77%

92%

86%

83%

63%

87%

66%

74%

89%

-

-

-

86%

80%

95%

94%

81%

88%

78%

94%

88%

84%

82%

90%

87%

83%

86%

81%

82%

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections/I already voted

78%

91%

83%

85%

71%

29%

81%

81%

42%

89%

92%

77%

81%

76%

67%

69%

81%

94%

65%

69%

79%

94%

84%

59%

65%

68%

87%

65%

67%

55%

81%

53%

63%

80%

-

-

-

78%

70%

91%

90%

71%

81%

67%

88%

82%

76%

71%

84%

79%

72%

79%

74%

71%

Probably going to vote in the elections

8%

9%

8%

4%

9%

15%

8%

7%

14%

7%

4%

7%

8%

8%

13%

10%

6%

2%

14%

12%

5%

2%

6%

18%

13%

9%

5%

21%

15%

8%

6%

13%

11%

9%

-

-

-

8%

10%

4%

4%

10%

7%

10%

6%

7%

8%

11%

6%

8%

11%

7%

7%

11%

Possibly going to vote in the elections

3%

0%

1%

3%

4%

15%

3%

3%

3%

1%

1%

3%

3%

3%

6%

3%

2%

0%

7%

3%

3%

0%

2%

4%

6%

3%

2%

0%

4%

3%

2%

10%

7%

2%

-

-

-

3%

4%

1%

1%

4%

2%

5%

1%

2%

4%

3%

2%

3%

1%

2%

4%

5%

May or may not vote in the elections

4%

0%

3%

3%

6%

13%

3%

5%

7%

1%

1%

4%

3%

5%

4%

7%

4%

2%

3%

8%

4%

2%

3%

8%

5%

11%

2%

0%

1%

19%

4%

18%

8%

5%

-

-

-

4%

6%

2%

1%

6%

4%

7%

2%

3%

5%

7%

2%

3%

6%

4%

7%

8%

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

1%

0%

2%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

4%

0%

0%

6%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

0%

3%

0%

1%

0%

1%

3%

1%

3%

0%

6%

1%

6%

1%

0%

1%

0%

-

-

-

1%

2%

0%

0%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

2%

1%

0%

Probably not going to participate in the elections

1%

0%

1%

0%

2%

0%

1%

1%

2%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

4%

0%

3%

1%

7%

0%

4%

1%

0%

1%

1%

-

-

-

1%

2%

0%

0%

2%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

5%

0%

2%

3%

8%

28%

3%

4%

27%

2%

1%

3%

4%

5%

6%

9%

4%

1%

7%

7%

6%

1%

3%

3%

10%

4%

2%

1%

11%

6%

4%

6%

9%

3%

-

-

-

5%

7%

2%

4%

6%

5%

9%

2%

4%

5%

7%

3%

5%

10%

5%

6%

6%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

QBallot: Have you received a ballot for the 2024 presidential election or not?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Yes

50%

56%

53%

56%

43%

27%

48%

53%

45%

52%

60%

62%

49%

50%

49%

50%

50%

52%

50%

48%

51%

52%

48%

74%

54%

33%

49%

83%

50%

29%

47%

63%

58%

35%

-

-

-

50%

48%

54%

53%

49%

49%

49%

52%

47%

56%

46%

49%

48%

49%

44%

61%

43%

No

50%

44%

47%

44%

57%

73%

52%

47%

55%

48%

40%

38%

51%

50%

51%

50%

50%

48%

50%

52%

49%

48%

52%

26%

46%

67%

51%

17%

50%

71%

53%

37%

42%

65%

-

-

-

50%

52%

46%

47%

51%

51%

51%

48%

53%

44%

54%

51%

52%

51%

56%

39%

57%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

579

411

212

187

159

21

264

253

62

197

163

13

242

337

155

198

153

73

90

202

214

73

368

48

125

38

154

25

48

15

214

23

77

23

0

0

0

579

429

150

105

276

198

390

181

254

222

103

108

101

33

146

121

70

QEarly2: How do you plan to vote this year: by mail, in person before Election Day, or in person on Election Day?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

By mail

14%

12%

11%

12%

18%

7%

13%

13%

17%

11%

13%

11%

11%

15%

20%

12%

10%

8%

23%

13%

10%

8%

9%

16%

22%

14%

9%

20%

16%

10%

9%

13%

27%

18%

-

-

-

14%

16%

8%

15%

16%

9%

16%

10%

13%

14%

16%

11%

11%

15%

15%

16%

16%

In person before Election Day

14%

15%

13%

13%

14%

20%

15%

12%

15%

17%

14%

30%

13%

15%

12%

10%

15%

23%

16%

9%

14%

23%

15%

24%

11%

8%

13%

15%

13%

7%

17%

35%

10%

8%

-

-

-

14%

14%

14%

13%

15%

13%

15%

11%

17%

12%

9%

16%

9%

11%

19%

13%

8%

In person on Election Day

60%

72%

67%

67%

52%

19%

63%

63%

38%

71%

72%

58%

64%

57%

52%

64%

65%

59%

45%

63%

66%

59%

65%

53%

52%

57%

69%

53%

58%

45%

61%

52%

48%

67%

-

-

-

60%

55%

71%

62%

54%

67%

53%

71%

56%

64%

63%

61%

72%

52%

51%

57%

69%

I am not planning to vote

13%

1%

8%

8%

16%

54%

10%

11%

31%

1%

1%

1%

12%

13%

16%

13%

9%

10%

16%

15%

9%

10%

11%

7%

14%

22%

9%

12%

13%

38%

13%

0%

15%

8%

-

-

-

13%

15%

6%

10%

15%

12%

16%

8%

14%

11%

12%

13%

8%

22%

16%

13%

7%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

579

411

212

187

159

21

264

253

62

197

163

13

242

337

155

198

153

73

90

202

214

73

368

48

125

38

154

25

48

15

214

23

77

23

0

0

0

579

429

150

105

276

198

390

181

254

222

103

108

101

33

146

121

70

F1r: SUMMARY OF T2B - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Kamala Harris

47%

48%

13%

93%

44%

31%

7%

93%

14%

11%

89%

39%

43%

51%

48%

51%

43%

46%

49%

47%

47%

46%

43%

62%

55%

56%

41%

54%

45%

55%

45%

72%

64%

56%

47%

44%

51%

89%

51%

16%

46%

47%

45%

58%

33%

40%

57%

19%

49%

58%

41%

Donald Trump

47%

48%

83%

10%

42%

36%

91%

5%

15%

86%

9%

24%

52%

42%

49%

42%

51%

45%

47%

49%

46%

45%

51%

27%

38%

30%

55%

26%

50%

30%

48%

29%

28%

31%

47%

48%

45%

13%

39%

78%

46%

48%

48%

41%

56%

50%

48%

70%

45%

34%

47%

Ruben Gallego

45%

48%

20%

81%

42%

27%

15%

80%

25%

17%

82%

37%

40%

50%

40%

46%

45%

49%

42%

41%

47%

49%

42%

44%

52%

55%

39%

41%

39%

58%

45%

48%

64%

51%

45%

41%

51%

78%

50%

19%

44%

46%

44%

53%

35%

39%

48%

25%

49%

57%

41%

J.D. Vance

39%

43%

71%

12%

30%

18%

72%

9%

14%

71%

12%

40%

46%

32%

29%

33%

45%

48%

25%

35%

42%

48%

46%

27%

25%

19%

52%

34%

37%

20%

40%

18%

15%

19%

39%

38%

40%

11%

27%

72%

36%

43%

42%

32%

44%

48%

41%

54%

36%

24%

36%

Katie Hobbs

38%

41%

17%

69%

35%

21%

14%

66%

16%

14%

74%

39%

37%

39%

28%

41%

40%

44%

26%

36%

41%

44%

38%

43%

38%

42%

39%

44%

31%

41%

37%

41%

44%

43%

38%

33%

46%

69%

41%

16%

36%

40%

40%

42%

25%

37%

45%

21%

43%

39%

27%

Tim Walz

38%

42%

12%

73%

36%

21%

9%

71%

10%

11%

78%

36%

36%

40%

35%

35%

35%

45%

33%

35%

36%

45%

38%

38%

38%

40%

36%

43%

34%

39%

39%

31%

40%

41%

38%

32%

46%

77%

39%

13%

33%

42%

37%

46%

22%

34%

47%

16%

41%

45%

26%

Joe Biden

36%

38%

8%

80%

29%

14%

5%

73%

4%

6%

75%

27%

34%

38%

31%

39%

34%

41%

29%

36%

36%

41%

34%

45%

39%

45%

32%

57%

34%

49%

36%

31%

44%

43%

36%

32%

42%

76%

37%

11%

35%

36%

34%

46%

24%

31%

47%

14%

36%

46%

31%

Kari Lake

36%

38%

66%

12%

26%

20%

66%

8%

10%

68%

8%

12%

41%

30%

28%

33%

40%

42%

25%

34%

37%

42%

41%

18%

24%

20%

46%

27%

32%

21%

36%

7%

17%

19%

36%

36%

35%

12%

22%

68%

34%

38%

36%

31%

44%

41%

39%

50%

32%

22%

40%

Nikki Haley

30%

33%

44%

19%

24%

14%

40%

21%

17%

46%

25%

29%

37%

23%

16%

20%

29%

50%

11%

22%

28%

50%

35%

25%

17%

12%

42%

35%

23%

22%

29%

13%

11%

3%

30%

22%

40%

17%

24%

45%

24%

35%

34%

25%

24%

42%

31%

30%

27%

20%

20%

Jill Stein

12%

13%

8%

16%

12%

10%

10%

14%

9%

9%

15%

22%

14%

10%

14%

17%

9%

8%

11%

20%

9%

8%

12%

26%

10%

15%

13%

39%

12%

17%

10%

11%

8%

13%

12%

10%

14%

16%

12%

9%

9%

15%

9%

17%

7%

10%

22%

6%

8%

12%

8%

Cornel West

11%

11%

7%

13%

13%

7%

10%

12%

7%

10%

14%

16%

15%

7%

12%

13%

11%

7%

10%

16%

10%

7%

11%

24%

11%

7%

15%

23%

15%

8%

7%

24%

7%

7%

11%

8%

14%

16%

10%

9%

11%

11%

9%

16%

6%

10%

25%

6%

7%

7%

6%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

F1r: SUMMARY OF B2B - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Joe Biden

58%

58%

88%

15%

64%

56%

91%

21%

72%

91%

21%

62%

63%

54%

60%

53%

62%

57%

61%

53%

60%

57%

62%

44%

50%

50%

66%

38%

56%

51%

57%

50%

44%

48%

58%

60%

55%

19%

55%

86%

58%

59%

61%

49%

66%

65%

52%

76%

57%

45%

59%

Kari Lake

53%

55%

26%

79%

61%

43%

24%

83%

60%

25%

88%

77%

48%

58%

51%

53%

55%

55%

52%

49%

57%

55%

52%

70%

54%

60%

50%

57%

41%

55%

55%

85%

64%

65%

53%

48%

60%

78%

64%

25%

52%

54%

55%

58%

39%

51%

51%

30%

59%

65%

45%

Donald Trump

51%

51%

15%

88%

55%

48%

7%

93%

62%

13%

89%

69%

45%

55%

47%

52%

49%

54%

49%

45%

53%

54%

47%

68%

57%

62%

44%

70%

44%

63%

50%

65%

68%

61%

51%

48%

54%

85%

57%

21%

50%

50%

50%

57%

38%

48%

50%

24%

53%

63%

47%

Kamala Harris

48%

50%

84%

5%

49%

43%

90%

5%

58%

86%

10%

55%

53%

44%

44%

42%

54%

53%

45%

44%

50%

53%

54%

31%

37%

38%

58%

39%

45%

34%

50%

22%

30%

42%

48%

49%

47%

9%

41%

82%

47%

50%

52%

37%

61%

56%

41%

72%

47%

34%

53%

J.D. Vance

42%

45%

16%

73%

44%

20%

12%

73%

39%

16%

78%

49%

39%

44%

42%

38%

41%

46%

43%

37%

41%

46%

41%

49%

42%

49%

40%

42%

34%

47%

42%

57%

50%

50%

42%

35%

52%

79%

45%

15%

37%

47%

43%

47%

29%

41%

43%

20%

44%

50%

35%

Tim Walz

39%

42%

69%

11%

35%

10%

68%

9%

40%

72%

11%

49%

47%

32%

32%

31%

45%

48%

33%

31%

42%

48%

45%

32%

25%

27%

53%

31%

34%

27%

38%

32%

18%

28%

39%

37%

43%

10%

30%

70%

36%

43%

44%

30%

44%

52%

37%

51%

36%

23%

39%

Ruben Gallego

39%

41%

68%

10%

35%

14%

69%

9%

30%

71%

10%

42%

45%

33%

30%

34%

44%

47%

28%

34%

41%

47%

45%

38%

24%

24%

52%

34%

30%

17%

38%

42%

19%

31%

39%

37%

42%

11%

29%

68%

36%

41%

41%

33%

42%

47%

40%

49%

36%

26%

38%

Katie Hobbs

38%

39%

64%

11%

34%

23%

64%

12%

34%

69%

13%

33%

43%

33%

30%

30%

42%

48%

28%

32%

40%

48%

44%

27%

23%

25%

50%

33%

28%

22%

38%

20%

19%

29%

38%

35%

42%

10%

29%

66%

35%

41%

41%

32%

42%

47%

37%

46%

34%

27%

40%

Nikki Haley

30%

33%

23%

41%

28%

16%

23%

38%

19%

22%

46%

31%

33%

27%

25%

28%

35%

31%

26%

27%

34%

31%

34%

25%

20%

29%

37%

35%

22%

26%

30%

12%

18%

32%

30%

25%

37%

49%

25%

24%

26%

34%

29%

34%

26%

30%

42%

21%

27%

27%

29%

Jill Stein

26%

28%

28%

30%

21%

9%

27%

26%

16%

28%

32%

16%

30%

21%

24%

22%

25%

31%

22%

24%

25%

31%

29%

14%

16%

24%

35%

17%

19%

17%

24%

11%

14%

30%

26%

22%

31%

34%

19%

30%

23%

28%

25%

28%

24%

31%

33%

20%

19%

22%

26%

Cornel West

22%

24%

27%

20%

18%

8%

25%

18%

18%

27%

23%

16%

28%

16%

17%

19%

20%

29%

17%

17%

21%

29%

25%

25%

11%

23%

32%

36%

12%

24%

17%

11%

11%

21%

22%

17%

28%

22%

15%

30%

16%

28%

23%

21%

19%

28%

29%

21%

17%

14%

17%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

F1r: SUMMARY OF 'NEVER HEARD OF THEM' - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Cornel West

32%

30%

31%

34%

30%

46%

31%

34%

25%

27%

31%

27%

25%

38%

41%

33%

34%

22%

42%

35%

34%

22%

29%

17%

42%

31%

22%

14%

36%

28%

36%

19%

47%

35%

32%

38%

24%

29%

36%

29%

36%

29%

32%

31%

34%

26%

22%

29%

38%

40%

38%

Jill Stein

22%

20%

25%

22%

19%

13%

23%

21%

20%

21%

18%

2%

20%

24%

26%

19%

25%

17%

31%

17%

25%

17%

20%

5%

30%

23%

17%

3%

30%

16%

22%

7%

30%

29%

22%

27%

15%

18%

22%

24%

27%

17%

22%

22%

24%

19%

17%

28%

24%

26%

22%

Nikki Haley

17%

14%

15%

19%

18%

23%

16%

18%

25%

13%

12%

10%

13%

21%

31%

22%

11%

6%

33%

23%

13%

6%

12%

11%

32%

29%

8%

9%

26%

25%

15%

14%

37%

33%

17%

22%

10%

16%

21%

13%

23%

12%

15%

21%

17%

12%

13%

17%

19%

28%

17%

Tim Walz

7%

4%

7%

4%

8%

16%

7%

6%

11%

4%

3%

2%

5%

8%

11%

9%

7%

1%

11%

10%

7%

1%

5%

1%

13%

10%

2%

2%

13%

10%

7%

0%

12%

11%

7%

10%

2%

2%

9%

6%

10%

4%

6%

6%

10%

5%

3%

10%

7%

9%

9%

Katie Hobbs

6%

5%

5%

5%

7%

14%

6%

6%

6%

5%

4%

5%

5%

7%

16%

5%

1%

2%

18%

7%

2%

2%

4%

6%

11%

9%

3%

8%

10%

12%

5%

3%

12%

6%

6%

9%

2%

8%

7%

3%

8%

5%

6%

6%

7%

5%

4%

9%

6%

8%

6%

J.D. Vance

6%

3%

3%

4%

7%

28%

4%

7%

7%

3%

3%

2%

4%

7%

11%

9%

2%

1%

12%

7%

4%

1%

3%

2%

13%

8%

2%

0%

13%

4%

4%

4%

13%

12%

6%

9%

1%

2%

9%

3%

10%

2%

5%

6%

8%

3%

4%

8%

6%

7%

9%

Ruben Gallego

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

11%

4%

2%

4%

3%

1%

0%

3%

3%

7%

3%

0%

1%

8%

4%

1%

1%

2%

1%

4%

4%

1%

0%

6%

6%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

1%

3%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

4%

3%

3%

3%

Kari Lake

2%

1%

2%

2%

3%

6%

2%

3%

2%

1%

1%

0%

3%

2%

5%

3%

0%

2%

5%

3%

1%

2%

1%

0%

5%

4%

1%

0%

8%

0%

2%

0%

2%

7%

2%

3%

1%

3%

3%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

4%

3%

1%

4%

2%

2%

3%

Joe Biden

1%

1%

2%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

2%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

2%

0%

1%

Kamala Harris

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

Donald Trump

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

4%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

1%

2%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

F1r: SUMMARY OF 'NO OPINION' - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Jill Stein

41%

39%

38%

32%

48%

68%

40%

39%

55%

41%

35%

60%

36%

45%

36%

43%

41%

43%

36%

40%

41%

43%

40%

55%

44%

38%

35%

42%

38%

50%

44%

72%

49%

28%

41%

41%

39%

33%

47%

37%

41%

40%

44%

33%

45%

40%

27%

45%

48%

39%

44%

Cornel West

36%

35%

35%

34%

38%

39%

34%

35%

50%

36%

33%

41%

32%

39%

30%

35%

36%

41%

32%

33%

35%

41%

35%

35%

36%

39%

31%

27%

37%

40%

40%

46%

35%

38%

36%

37%

33%

33%

39%

32%

38%

32%

36%

32%

41%

35%

24%

43%

38%

39%

39%

Nikki Haley

23%

20%

17%

20%

30%

47%

21%

23%

39%

19%

17%

30%

17%

28%

28%

30%

25%

12%

29%

29%

25%

12%

19%

39%

32%

29%

13%

20%

29%

27%

25%

61%

34%

31%

23%

30%

13%

18%

29%

18%

28%

18%

22%

20%

34%

16%

15%

31%

28%

25%

35%

Katie Hobbs

18%

14%

14%

15%

23%

43%

16%

16%

43%

12%

10%

22%

14%

22%

26%

24%

18%

6%

28%

25%

17%

6%

14%

25%

28%

24%

8%

16%

31%

25%

20%

37%

25%

23%

18%

23%

10%

13%

23%

14%

21%

14%

14%

20%

26%

11%

15%

24%

17%

26%

28%

Tim Walz

16%

13%

12%

12%

21%

53%

16%

13%

39%

13%

8%

12%

12%

20%

22%

25%

14%

6%

24%

24%

15%

6%

13%

29%

25%

22%

9%

23%

19%

24%

16%

37%

30%

20%

16%

21%

9%

11%

22%

11%

20%

11%

13%

18%

24%

9%

13%

22%

16%

24%

25%

J.D. Vance

13%

10%

9%

11%

18%

34%

12%

11%

40%

11%

7%

9%

10%

17%

19%

20%

12%

4%

19%

21%

13%

4%

10%

23%

20%

24%

6%

24%

17%

30%

14%

21%

22%

18%

13%

19%

6%

7%

19%

10%

18%

8%

11%

15%

19%

8%

11%

18%

14%

19%

20%

Ruben Gallego

13%

10%

9%

7%

19%

48%

12%

10%

41%

9%

6%

20%

12%

14%

23%

17%

11%

3%

23%

20%

11%

3%

11%

17%

19%

17%

8%

25%

25%

19%

14%

7%

15%

15%

13%

18%

7%

8%

17%

11%

16%

10%

12%

12%

20%

11%

11%

22%

12%

14%

19%

Kari Lake

9%

6%

6%

7%

10%

32%

8%

6%

28%

6%

3%

12%

8%

9%

17%

12%

5%

2%

18%

13%

6%

2%

5%

12%

17%

16%

3%

16%

19%

24%

7%

7%

16%

9%

9%

12%

3%

6%

12%

6%

11%

6%

6%

10%

13%

5%

9%

16%

7%

11%

12%

Joe Biden

5%

3%

2%

4%

7%

30%

2%

5%

24%

2%

3%

11%

3%

7%

8%

8%

4%

1%

8%

10%

3%

1%

3%

11%

11%

4%

1%

4%

10%

0%

5%

19%

11%

7%

5%

7%

3%

4%

8%

1%

6%

4%

4%

5%

9%

3%

1%

8%

5%

9%

10%

Kamala Harris

4%

2%

2%

2%

6%

24%

3%

1%

29%

2%

1%

7%

3%

4%

7%

5%

3%

1%

5%

8%

3%

1%

3%

7%

7%

6%

1%

7%

9%

11%

4%

6%

6%

2%

4%

6%

1%

2%

7%

1%

6%

2%

3%

5%

7%

3%

2%

9%

2%

7%

5%

Donald Trump

2%

1%

1%

2%

3%

12%

1%

1%

22%

1%

1%

7%

2%

2%

3%

5%

1%

1%

2%

6%

1%

1%

1%

5%

4%

6%

1%

4%

5%

7%

2%

6%

3%

6%

2%

3%

1%

2%

3%

2%

3%

1%

2%

2%

5%

1%

2%

5%

2%

2%

5%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

F1r1: Joe Biden - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

36%

38%

8%

80%

29%

14%

5%

73%

4%

6%

75%

27%

34%

38%

31%

39%

34%

41%

29%

36%

36%

41%

34%

45%

39%

45%

32%

57%

34%

49%

36%

31%

44%

43%

-

-

-

36%

32%

42%

76%

37%

11%

35%

36%

34%

46%

24%

31%

47%

14%

36%

46%

31%

Very favorable

14%

15%

3%

37%

7%

4%

1%

30%

1%

2%

31%

9%

14%

15%

9%

13%

15%

20%

10%

11%

15%

20%

14%

16%

15%

14%

13%

28%

15%

16%

15%

2%

15%

13%

-

-

-

14%

12%

17%

36%

11%

5%

14%

14%

12%

19%

11%

11%

22%

5%

14%

16%

15%

Favorable

22%

23%

5%

44%

22%

10%

3%

44%

3%

4%

44%

18%

20%

23%

22%

26%

19%

21%

19%

26%

21%

21%

21%

29%

24%

31%

20%

29%

18%

33%

21%

29%

28%

30%

-

-

-

22%

20%

25%

41%

25%

6%

21%

22%

21%

27%

13%

20%

25%

10%

22%

30%

16%

Unfavorable

15%

14%

13%

11%

21%

16%

14%

15%

27%

13%

14%

25%

16%

14%

22%

16%

14%

9%

24%

15%

16%

9%

14%

27%

17%

19%

15%

20%

18%

22%

13%

35%

17%

17%

-

-

-

15%

16%

14%

12%

18%

13%

15%

16%

15%

17%

13%

14%

18%

16%

15%

15%

11%

Very unfavorable

43%

43%

75%

4%

43%

40%

78%

7%

45%

78%

7%

38%

47%

39%

38%

37%

48%

48%

37%

38%

45%

48%

48%

17%

32%

30%

51%

19%

38%

30%

44%

15%

28%

31%

-

-

-

43%

44%

41%

6%

37%

73%

43%

43%

47%

32%

53%

51%

34%

61%

42%

30%

47%

NET UNFAVORABLE

58%

58%

88%

15%

64%

56%

91%

21%

72%

91%

21%

62%

63%

54%

60%

53%

62%

57%

61%

53%

60%

57%

62%

44%

50%

50%

66%

38%

56%

51%

57%

50%

44%

48%

-

-

-

58%

60%

55%

19%

55%

86%

58%

59%

61%

49%

66%

65%

52%

76%

57%

45%

59%

Never heard of them

1%

1%

2%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

2%

-

-

-

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

2%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

2%

0%

1%

No opinion

5%

3%

2%

4%

7%

30%

2%

5%

24%

2%

3%

11%

3%

7%

8%

8%

4%

1%

8%

10%

3%

1%

3%

11%

11%

4%

1%

4%

10%

0%

5%

19%

11%

7%

-

-

-

5%

7%

3%

4%

8%

1%

6%

4%

4%

5%

9%

3%

1%

8%

5%

9%

10%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

F1r2: Kamala Harris - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

47%

48%

13%

93%

44%

31%

7%

93%

14%

11%

89%

39%

43%

51%

48%

51%

43%

46%

49%

47%

47%

46%

43%

62%

55%

56%

41%

54%

45%

55%

45%

72%

64%

56%

-

-

-

47%

44%

51%

89%

51%

16%

46%

47%

45%

58%

33%

40%

57%

19%

49%

58%

41%

Very favorable

30%

31%

6%

70%

20%

7%

1%

62%

5%

4%

61%

19%

27%

32%

24%

30%

30%

34%

25%

25%

32%

34%

28%

43%

34%

31%

26%

48%

29%

35%

30%

38%

38%

28%

-

-

-

30%

26%

34%

67%

28%

9%

29%

30%

28%

37%

20%

26%

37%

9%

30%

37%

27%

Favorable

18%

17%

7%

22%

24%

24%

6%

31%

9%

7%

28%

20%

16%

19%

24%

21%

13%

12%

24%

22%

15%

12%

16%

19%

21%

25%

16%

6%

16%

20%

16%

34%

25%

28%

-

-

-

18%

18%

18%

22%

23%

7%

17%

18%

17%

21%

13%

15%

20%

10%

19%

22%

14%

Unfavorable

10%

10%

12%

2%

15%

17%

14%

4%

26%

11%

7%

16%

11%

10%

15%

12%

10%

6%

15%

14%

9%

6%

9%

13%

13%

16%

9%

12%

16%

17%

9%

14%

11%

16%

-

-

-

10%

11%

10%

4%

14%

9%

11%

10%

9%

13%

11%

9%

14%

12%

8%

12%

10%

Very unfavorable

38%

40%

72%

2%

35%

26%

75%

1%

31%

75%

3%

39%

42%

34%

29%

30%

44%

47%

30%

30%

41%

47%

45%

18%

24%

22%

48%

27%

29%

17%

41%

8%

19%

26%

-

-

-

38%

39%

37%

4%

27%

73%

37%

40%

43%

24%

50%

47%

26%

60%

39%

22%

43%

NET UNFAVORABLE

48%

50%

84%

5%

49%

43%

90%

5%

58%

86%

10%

55%

53%

44%

44%

42%

54%

53%

45%

44%

50%

53%

54%

31%

37%

38%

58%

39%

45%

34%

50%

22%

30%

42%

-

-

-

48%

49%

47%

9%

41%

82%

47%

50%

52%

37%

61%

56%

41%

72%

47%

34%

53%

Never heard of them

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

-

-

-

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

No opinion

4%

2%

2%

2%

6%

24%

3%

1%

29%

2%

1%

7%

3%

4%

7%

5%

3%

1%

5%

8%

3%

1%

3%

7%

7%

6%

1%

7%

9%

11%

4%

6%

6%

2%

-

-

-

4%

6%

1%

2%

7%

1%

6%

2%

3%

5%

7%

3%

2%

9%

2%

7%

5%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

F1r3: Donald Trump - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

47%

48%

83%

10%

42%

36%

91%

5%

15%

86%

9%

24%

52%

42%

49%

42%

51%

45%

47%

49%

46%

45%

51%

27%

38%

30%

55%

26%

50%

30%

48%

29%

28%

31%

-

-

-

47%

48%

45%

13%

39%

78%

46%

48%

48%

41%

56%

50%

48%

70%

45%

34%

47%

Very favorable

29%

31%

61%

3%

18%

23%

60%

1%

1%

59%

2%

14%

32%

26%

27%

26%

31%

31%

27%

28%

28%

31%

33%

15%

21%

16%

36%

16%

25%

10%

30%

13%

17%

21%

-

-

-

29%

30%

27%

6%

20%

55%

30%

29%

29%

23%

42%

30%

26%

55%

28%

20%

34%

Favorable

18%

17%

22%

6%

24%

14%

32%

4%

14%

27%

7%

10%

20%

16%

22%

16%

20%

13%

20%

21%

18%

13%

18%

12%

17%

15%

19%

10%

24%

19%

17%

15%

11%

10%

-

-

-

18%

18%

18%

7%

19%

23%

16%

20%

19%

18%

14%

20%

22%

16%

18%

14%

13%

Unfavorable

10%

9%

6%

10%

14%

6%

6%

11%

30%

7%

8%

24%

11%

8%

11%

12%

7%

9%

10%

10%

10%

9%

9%

33%

10%

10%

11%

37%

9%

14%

7%

28%

11%

7%

-

-

-

10%

9%

10%

6%

13%

8%

9%

11%

9%

11%

9%

11%

13%

8%

7%

9%

10%

Very unfavorable

41%

42%

9%

78%

41%

41%

1%

83%

32%

6%

81%

45%

34%

47%

36%

40%

42%

45%

39%

35%

43%

45%

38%

35%

47%

52%

33%

33%

35%

50%

43%

37%

57%

54%

-

-

-

41%

39%

43%

79%

45%

12%

41%

40%

41%

46%

29%

37%

37%

16%

45%

55%

37%

NET UNFAVORABLE

51%

51%

15%

88%

55%

48%

7%

93%

62%

13%

89%

69%

45%

55%

47%

52%

49%

54%

49%

45%

53%

54%

47%

68%

57%

62%

44%

70%

44%

63%

50%

65%

68%

61%

-

-

-

51%

48%

54%

85%

57%

21%

50%

50%

50%

57%

38%

48%

50%

24%

53%

63%

47%

Never heard of them

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

4%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

1%

2%

-

-

-

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

No opinion

2%

1%

1%

2%

3%

12%

1%

1%

22%

1%

1%

7%

2%

2%

3%

5%

1%

1%

2%

6%

1%

1%

1%

5%

4%

6%

1%

4%

5%

7%

2%

6%

3%

6%

-

-

-

2%

3%

1%

2%

3%

2%

3%

1%

2%

2%

5%

1%

2%

5%

2%

2%

5%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

F1r4: Nikki Haley - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

30%

33%

44%

19%

24%

14%

40%

21%

17%

46%

25%

29%

37%

23%

16%

20%

29%

50%

11%

22%

28%

50%

35%

25%

17%

12%

42%

35%

23%

22%

29%

13%

11%

3%

-

-

-

30%

22%

40%

17%

24%

45%

24%

35%

34%

25%

24%

42%

31%

30%

27%

20%

20%

Very favorable

8%

9%

15%

3%

5%

0%

12%

3%

8%

14%

4%

9%

11%

5%

2%

5%

8%

15%

1%

4%

8%

15%

10%

8%

2%

2%

13%

15%

5%

4%

7%

0%

0%

0%

-

-

-

8%

5%

12%

3%

3%

16%

7%

9%

10%

4%

8%

13%

6%

10%

6%

2%

6%

Favorable

22%

24%

30%

16%

20%

14%

28%

18%

10%

31%

21%

20%

26%

18%

14%

15%

20%

36%

10%

18%

20%

36%

26%

17%

14%

10%

29%

20%

19%

18%

22%

13%

11%

3%

-

-

-

22%

18%

28%

14%

21%

29%

17%

26%

25%

21%

16%

28%

24%

20%

21%

17%

13%

Unfavorable

18%

20%

16%

22%

17%

4%

15%

22%

9%

14%

26%

13%

20%

15%

13%

17%

21%

20%

13%

17%

19%

20%

20%

14%

12%

19%

22%

19%

12%

25%

17%

9%

12%

14%

-

-

-

18%

14%

22%

24%

17%

15%

14%

21%

18%

18%

15%

19%

24%

13%

16%

13%

17%

Very unfavorable

12%

13%

7%

19%

11%

12%

8%

17%

10%

8%

20%

19%

13%

12%

12%

11%

14%

11%

14%

10%

14%

11%

14%

10%

7%

10%

14%

16%

9%

2%

14%

4%

6%

18%

-

-

-

12%

11%

14%

25%

9%

9%

11%

13%

11%

16%

10%

11%

17%

8%

11%

14%

12%

NET UNFAVORABLE

30%

33%

23%

41%

28%

16%

23%

38%

19%

22%

46%

31%

33%

27%

25%

28%

35%

31%

26%

27%

34%

31%

34%

25%

20%

29%

37%

35%

22%

26%

30%

12%

18%

32%

-

-

-

30%

25%

37%

49%

25%

24%

26%

34%

29%

34%

26%

30%

42%

21%

27%

27%

29%

Never heard of them

17%

14%

15%

19%

18%

23%

16%

18%

25%

13%

12%

10%

13%

21%

31%

22%

11%

6%

33%

23%

13%

6%

12%

11%

32%

29%

8%

9%

26%

25%

15%

14%

37%

33%

-

-

-

17%

22%

10%

16%

21%

13%

23%

12%

15%

21%

17%

12%

13%

17%

19%

28%

17%

No opinion

23%

20%

17%

20%

30%

47%

21%

23%

39%

19%

17%

30%

17%

28%

28%

30%

25%

12%

29%

29%

25%

12%

19%

39%

32%

29%

13%

20%

29%

27%

25%

61%

34%

31%

-

-

-

23%

30%

13%

18%

29%

18%

28%

18%

22%

20%

34%

16%

15%

31%

28%

25%

35%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

F1r7: Cornel West - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

11%

11%

7%

13%

13%

7%

10%

12%

7%

10%

14%

16%

15%

7%

12%

13%

11%

7%

10%

16%

10%

7%

11%

24%

11%

7%

15%

23%

15%

8%

7%

24%

7%

7%

-

-

-

11%

8%

14%

16%

10%

9%

11%

11%

9%

16%

6%

10%

25%

6%

7%

7%

6%

Very favorable

2%

3%

2%

3%

3%

0%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

0%

4%

1%

4%

2%

2%

1%

3%

3%

3%

1%

3%

2%

2%

1%

4%

4%

3%

1%

2%

0%

0%

0%

-

-

-

2%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

4%

1%

2%

7%

2%

1%

2%

1%

Favorable

8%

9%

6%

10%

10%

7%

8%

10%

5%

7%

10%

16%

11%

6%

8%

11%

8%

6%

6%

13%

8%

6%

8%

21%

9%

7%

11%

20%

12%

7%

5%

24%

7%

7%

-

-

-

8%

6%

11%

12%

7%

7%

9%

8%

7%

11%

5%

9%

18%

4%

6%

6%

5%

Unfavorable

11%

12%

12%

11%

11%

4%

12%

10%

12%

12%

13%

11%

14%

8%

13%

11%

10%

11%

12%

12%

10%

11%

13%

20%

6%

13%

16%

27%

6%

16%

9%

11%

6%

11%

-

-

-

11%

9%

15%

12%

9%

14%

7%

15%

10%

13%

11%

13%

18%

10%

8%

7%

11%

Very unfavorable

10%

11%

14%

9%

8%

4%

13%

8%

5%

15%

10%

5%

13%

7%

4%

8%

10%

18%

5%

5%

10%

18%

12%

5%

5%

9%

16%

9%

6%

8%

8%

1%

5%

10%

-

-

-

10%

8%

13%

10%

6%

16%

9%

12%

12%

8%

8%

16%

10%

12%

9%

7%

5%

NET UNFAVORABLE

22%

24%

27%

20%

18%

8%

25%

18%

18%

27%

23%

16%

28%

16%

17%

19%

20%

29%

17%

17%

21%

29%

25%

25%

11%

23%

32%

36%

12%

24%

17%

11%

11%

21%

-

-

-

22%

17%

28%

22%

15%

30%

16%

28%

23%

21%

19%

28%

29%

21%

17%

14%

17%

Never heard of them

32%

30%

31%

34%

30%

46%

31%

34%

25%

27%

31%

27%

25%

38%

41%

33%

34%

22%

42%

35%

34%

22%

29%

17%

42%

31%

22%

14%

36%

28%

36%

19%

47%

35%

-

-

-

32%

38%

24%

29%

36%

29%

36%

29%

32%

31%

34%

26%

22%

29%

38%

40%

38%

No opinion

36%

35%

35%

34%

38%

39%

34%

35%

50%

36%

33%

41%

32%

39%

30%

35%

36%

41%

32%

33%

35%

41%

35%

35%

36%

39%

31%

27%

37%

40%

40%

46%

35%

38%

-

-

-

36%

37%

33%

33%

39%

32%

38%

32%

36%

32%

41%

35%

24%

43%

38%

39%

39%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

F1r8: Jill Stein - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

12%

13%

8%

16%

12%

10%

10%

14%

9%

9%

15%

22%

14%

10%

14%

17%

9%

8%

11%

20%

9%

8%

12%

26%

10%

15%

13%

39%

12%

17%

10%

11%

8%

13%

-

-

-

12%

10%

14%

16%

12%

9%

9%

15%

9%

17%

7%

10%

22%

6%

8%

12%

8%

Very favorable

2%

2%

1%

3%

2%

5%

2%

3%

1%

2%

2%

5%

3%

2%

4%

3%

1%

0%

4%

3%

1%

0%

2%

12%

1%

3%

2%

17%

1%

4%

2%

6%

0%

2%

-

-

-

2%

1%

3%

3%

2%

2%

1%

3%

1%

5%

0%

1%

6%

0%

1%

3%

0%

Favorable

10%

11%

7%

12%

10%

5%

8%

11%

8%

8%

13%

17%

11%

8%

10%

14%

7%

8%

7%

17%

7%

8%

9%

14%

9%

12%

11%

21%

11%

12%

8%

5%

7%

12%

-

-

-

10%

8%

11%

13%

10%

7%

7%

12%

8%

13%

7%

9%

16%

6%

7%

9%

8%

Unfavorable

14%

14%

15%

16%

11%

7%

14%

13%

9%

14%

16%

15%

14%

13%

14%

13%

13%

14%

13%

14%

14%

14%

15%

12%

10%

14%

16%

14%

12%

8%

14%

10%

8%

21%

-

-

-

14%

11%

17%

18%

10%

15%

11%

16%

12%

16%

14%

13%

20%

7%

11%

13%

18%

Very unfavorable

12%

13%

13%

14%

10%

3%

12%

13%

6%

14%

15%

1%

16%

9%

9%

9%

12%

18%

9%

10%

11%

18%

15%

2%

7%

9%

19%

2%

8%

9%

10%

1%

5%

9%

-

-

-

12%

11%

14%

16%

9%

15%

12%

12%

13%

12%

10%

18%

14%

13%

9%

9%

8%

NET UNFAVORABLE

26%

28%

28%

30%

21%

9%

27%

26%

16%

28%

32%

16%

30%

21%

24%

22%

25%

31%

22%

24%

25%

31%

29%

14%

16%

24%

35%

17%

19%

17%

24%

11%

14%

30%

-

-

-

26%

22%

31%

34%

19%

30%

23%

28%

25%

28%

24%

31%

33%

20%

19%

22%

26%

Never heard of them

22%

20%

25%

22%

19%

13%

23%

21%

20%

21%

18%

2%

20%

24%

26%

19%

25%

17%

31%

17%

25%

17%

20%

5%

30%

23%

17%

3%

30%

16%

22%

7%

30%

29%

-

-

-

22%

27%

15%

18%

22%

24%

27%

17%

22%

22%

24%

19%

17%

28%

24%

26%

22%

No opinion

41%

39%

38%

32%

48%

68%

40%

39%

55%

41%

35%

60%

36%

45%

36%

43%

41%

43%

36%

40%

41%

43%

40%

55%

44%

38%

35%

42%

38%

50%

44%

72%

49%

28%

-

-

-

41%

41%

39%

33%

47%

37%

41%

40%

44%

33%

45%

40%

27%

45%

48%

39%

44%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

F1r10: J.D. Vance - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

39%

43%

71%

12%

30%

18%

72%

9%

14%

71%

12%

40%

46%

32%

29%

33%

45%

48%

25%

35%

42%

48%

46%

27%

25%

19%

52%

34%

37%

20%

40%

18%

15%

19%

-

-

-

39%

38%

40%

11%

27%

72%

36%

43%

42%

32%

44%

48%

41%

54%

36%

24%

36%

Very favorable

21%

23%

46%

4%

10%

9%

41%

2%

2%

43%

3%

13%

25%

17%

13%

13%

26%

29%

12%

15%

23%

29%

25%

6%

10%

11%

29%

8%

16%

10%

22%

4%

5%

13%

-

-

-

21%

19%

23%

4%

9%

47%

19%

23%

25%

13%

22%

30%

15%

30%

20%

12%

16%

Favorable

18%

19%

25%

9%

20%

9%

31%

6%

12%

28%

9%

27%

21%

15%

15%

20%

19%

19%

13%

20%

19%

19%

20%

20%

15%

8%

22%

26%

21%

10%

18%

14%

10%

7%

-

-

-

18%

19%

17%

8%

18%

25%

17%

20%

17%

19%

22%

18%

26%

25%

16%

12%

20%

Unfavorable

12%

12%

9%

14%

14%

2%

8%

15%

16%

9%

14%

10%

12%

11%

15%

13%

11%

8%

15%

15%

11%

8%

12%

20%

9%

19%

14%

18%

7%

12%

10%

21%

11%

24%

-

-

-

12%

9%

16%

13%

15%

7%

9%

14%

10%

15%

10%

10%

17%

9%

10%

13%

11%

Very unfavorable

30%

33%

7%

59%

31%

18%

4%

58%

23%

6%

64%

38%

27%

33%

26%

24%

30%

39%

29%

22%

30%

39%

29%

29%

33%

30%

26%

24%

27%

35%

32%

36%

39%

26%

-

-

-

30%

26%

37%

66%

30%

9%

28%

32%

33%

32%

19%

31%

26%

11%

35%

37%

24%

NET UNFAVORABLE

42%

45%

16%

73%

44%

20%

12%

73%

39%

16%

78%

49%

39%

44%

42%

38%

41%

46%

43%

37%

41%

46%

41%

49%

42%

49%

40%

42%

34%

47%

42%

57%

50%

50%

-

-

-

42%

35%

52%

79%

45%

15%

37%

47%

43%

47%

29%

41%

43%

20%

44%

50%

35%

Never heard of them

6%

3%

3%

4%

7%

28%

4%

7%

7%

3%

3%

2%

4%

7%

11%

9%

2%

1%

12%

7%

4%

1%

3%

2%

13%

8%

2%

0%

13%

4%

4%

4%

13%

12%

-

-

-

6%

9%

1%

2%

9%

3%

10%

2%

5%

6%

8%

3%

4%

8%

6%

7%

9%

No opinion

13%

10%

9%

11%

18%

34%

12%

11%

40%

11%

7%

9%

10%

17%

19%

20%

12%

4%

19%

21%

13%

4%

10%

23%

20%

24%

6%

24%

17%

30%

14%

21%

22%

18%

-

-

-

13%

19%

6%

7%

19%

10%

18%

8%

11%

15%

19%

8%

11%

18%

14%

19%

20%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

F1r19: Tim Walz - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

38%

42%

12%

73%

36%

21%

9%

71%

10%

11%

78%

36%

36%

40%

35%

35%

35%

45%

33%

35%

36%

45%

38%

38%

38%

40%

36%

43%

34%

39%

39%

31%

40%

41%

-

-

-

38%

32%

46%

77%

39%

13%

33%

42%

37%

46%

22%

34%

47%

16%

41%

45%

26%

Very favorable

18%

20%

3%

41%

14%

5%

1%

36%

2%

2%

40%

19%

16%

19%

12%

12%

18%

26%

13%

10%

18%

26%

18%

24%

16%

11%

17%

39%

16%

10%

20%

6%

16%

12%

-

-

-

18%

15%

22%

44%

15%

5%

17%

17%

18%

20%

12%

17%

20%

4%

18%

20%

17%

Favorable

20%

22%

9%

32%

22%

16%

8%

35%

7%

9%

38%

18%

20%

21%

23%

23%

17%

19%

19%

25%

18%

19%

19%

14%

22%

30%

20%

5%

19%

30%

19%

25%

24%

30%

-

-

-

20%

17%

25%

32%

24%

8%

16%

25%

20%

26%

11%

16%

28%

12%

23%

25%

9%

Unfavorable

12%

13%

16%

7%

14%

2%

17%

7%

23%

16%

7%

29%

15%

10%

16%

13%

14%

8%

18%

12%

14%

8%

14%

20%

8%

15%

16%

20%

10%

17%

11%

21%

6%

13%

-

-

-

12%

11%

14%

6%

13%

16%

11%

14%

10%

16%

13%

12%

21%

12%

9%

10%

13%

Very unfavorable

27%

29%

53%

4%

21%

8%

52%

3%

17%

56%

4%

20%

32%

22%

16%

18%

31%

40%

15%

19%

28%

40%

32%

11%

17%

12%

37%

11%

23%

10%

27%

11%

11%

15%

-

-

-

27%

25%

29%

4%

17%

54%

25%

29%

33%

14%

31%

40%

16%

39%

26%

13%

26%

NET UNFAVORABLE

39%

42%

69%

11%

35%

10%

68%

9%

40%

72%

11%

49%

47%

32%

32%

31%

45%

48%

33%

31%

42%

48%

45%

32%

25%

27%

53%

31%

34%

27%

38%

32%

18%

28%

-

-

-

39%

37%

43%

10%

30%

70%

36%

43%

44%

30%

44%

52%

37%

51%

36%

23%

39%

Never heard of them

7%

4%

7%

4%

8%

16%

7%

6%

11%

4%

3%

2%

5%

8%

11%

9%

7%

1%

11%

10%

7%

1%

5%

1%

13%

10%

2%

2%

13%

10%

7%

0%

12%

11%

-

-

-

7%

10%

2%

2%

9%

6%

10%

4%

6%

6%

10%

5%

3%

10%

7%

9%

9%

No opinion

16%

13%

12%

12%

21%

53%

16%

13%

39%

13%

8%

12%

12%

20%

22%

25%

14%

6%

24%

24%

15%

6%

13%

29%

25%

22%

9%

23%

19%

24%

16%

37%

30%

20%

-

-

-

16%

21%

9%

11%

22%

11%

20%

11%

13%

18%

24%

9%

13%

22%

16%

24%

25%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

F1r20: Kari Lake - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

36%

38%

66%

12%

26%

20%

66%

8%

10%

68%

8%

12%

41%

30%

28%

33%

40%

42%

25%

34%

37%

42%

41%

18%

24%

20%

46%

27%

32%

21%

36%

7%

17%

19%

-

-

-

36%

36%

35%

12%

22%

68%

34%

38%

36%

31%

44%

41%

39%

50%

32%

22%

40%

Very favorable

16%

18%

35%

5%

8%

8%

32%

3%

3%

34%

3%

4%

20%

13%

10%

14%

19%

23%

9%

14%

17%

23%

19%

16%

9%

10%

23%

25%

11%

5%

16%

5%

7%

15%

-

-

-

16%

15%

18%

6%

6%

36%

16%

17%

17%

12%

24%

20%

14%

34%

15%

9%

18%

Favorable

19%

20%

31%

7%

18%

12%

34%

6%

6%

33%

5%

7%

22%

17%

18%

18%

21%

20%

17%

20%

20%

20%

22%

2%

15%

10%

23%

2%

21%

17%

21%

3%

10%

4%

-

-

-

19%

21%

17%

6%

16%

32%

19%

21%

19%

19%

20%

21%

25%

16%

17%

13%

22%

Unfavorable

15%

15%

14%

12%

19%

16%

15%

14%

26%

16%

14%

33%

17%

13%

19%

21%

11%

10%

18%

20%

13%

10%

15%

30%

14%

15%

19%

25%

12%

17%

11%

37%

16%

14%

-

-

-

15%

13%

18%

9%

19%

13%

14%

17%

14%

19%

12%

16%

21%

12%

11%

17%

12%

Very unfavorable

38%

40%

12%

67%

42%

27%

9%

69%

34%

10%

74%

44%

31%

45%

32%

32%

44%

44%

33%

29%

43%

44%

37%

40%

39%

45%

31%

32%

29%

38%

43%

49%

48%

51%

-

-

-

38%

36%

42%

69%

45%

11%

38%

38%

41%

39%

27%

35%

30%

18%

48%

48%

33%

NET UNFAVORABLE

53%

55%

26%

79%

61%

43%

24%

83%

60%

25%

88%

77%

48%

58%

51%

53%

55%

55%

52%

49%

57%

55%

52%

70%

54%

60%

50%

57%

41%

55%

55%

85%

64%

65%

-

-

-

53%

48%

60%

78%

64%

25%

52%

54%

55%

58%

39%

51%

51%

30%

59%

65%

45%

Never heard of them

2%

1%

2%

2%

3%

6%

2%

3%

2%

1%

1%

0%

3%

2%

5%

3%

0%

2%

5%

3%

1%

2%

1%

0%

5%

4%

1%

0%

8%

0%

2%

0%

2%

7%

-

-

-

2%

3%

1%

3%

3%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

4%

3%

1%

4%

2%

2%

3%

No opinion

9%

6%

6%

7%

10%

32%

8%

6%

28%

6%

3%

12%

8%

9%

17%

12%

5%

2%

18%

13%

6%

2%

5%

12%

17%

16%

3%

16%

19%

24%

7%

7%

16%

9%

-

-

-

9%

12%

3%

6%

12%

6%

11%

6%

6%

10%

13%

5%

9%

16%

7%

11%

12%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

F1r21: Ruben Gallego - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

45%

48%

20%

81%

42%

27%

15%

80%

25%

17%

82%

37%

40%

50%

40%

46%

45%

49%

42%

41%

47%

49%

42%

44%

52%

55%

39%

41%

39%

58%

45%

48%

64%

51%

-

-

-

45%

41%

51%

78%

50%

19%

44%

46%

44%

53%

35%

39%

48%

25%

49%

57%

41%

Very favorable

20%

21%

5%

44%

15%

4%

3%

39%

3%

3%

42%

9%

19%

20%

11%

15%

23%

28%

12%

12%

22%

28%

19%

18%

22%

17%

19%

17%

20%

14%

19%

19%

23%

19%

-

-

-

20%

16%

25%

44%

18%

7%

20%

19%

19%

23%

13%

19%

24%

7%

20%

22%

16%

Favorable

26%

26%

15%

38%

27%

22%

12%

40%

22%

14%

41%

28%

21%

30%

29%

32%

22%

21%

30%

29%

25%

21%

23%

27%

30%

38%

20%

24%

19%

44%

26%

29%

40%

33%

-

-

-

26%

25%

26%

35%

32%

12%

25%

27%

24%

29%

22%

20%

24%

18%

28%

35%

25%

Unfavorable

14%

14%

19%

7%

17%

4%

22%

7%

11%

20%

8%

20%

16%

12%

16%

14%

17%

11%

17%

14%

17%

11%

16%

28%

11%

6%

17%

25%

15%

4%

14%

32%

7%

9%

-

-

-

14%

15%

14%

7%

16%

17%

12%

17%

13%

17%

13%

16%

20%

11%

11%

14%

14%

Very unfavorable

24%

27%

49%

3%

19%

11%

47%

2%

19%

51%

2%

22%

28%

21%

13%

20%

27%

36%

11%

20%

24%

36%

29%

10%

13%

18%

34%

9%

15%

13%

24%

10%

12%

22%

-

-

-

24%

22%

28%

4%

14%

51%

25%

25%

28%

16%

29%

32%

20%

37%

25%

12%

24%

NET UNFAVORABLE

39%

41%

68%

10%

35%

14%

69%

9%

30%

71%

10%

42%

45%

33%

30%

34%

44%

47%

28%

34%

41%

47%

45%

38%

24%

24%

52%

34%

30%

17%

38%

42%

19%

31%

-

-

-

39%

37%

42%

11%

29%

68%

36%

41%

41%

33%

42%

47%

40%

49%

36%

26%

38%

Never heard of them

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

11%

4%

2%

4%

3%

1%

0%

3%

3%

7%

3%

0%

1%

8%

4%

1%

1%

2%

1%

4%

4%

1%

0%

6%

6%

3%

3%

3%

3%

-

-

-

3%

4%

1%

3%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

4%

3%

3%

3%

No opinion

13%

10%

9%

7%

19%

48%

12%

10%

41%

9%

6%

20%

12%

14%

23%

17%

11%

3%

23%

20%

11%

3%

11%

17%

19%

17%

8%

25%

25%

19%

14%

7%

15%

15%

-

-

-

13%

18%

7%

8%

17%

11%

16%

10%

12%

12%

20%

11%

11%

22%

12%

14%

19%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

F1r22: Katie Hobbs - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

38%

41%

17%

69%

35%

21%

14%

66%

16%

14%

74%

39%

37%

39%

28%

41%

40%

44%

26%

36%

41%

44%

38%

43%

38%

42%

39%

44%

31%

41%

37%

41%

44%

43%

-

-

-

38%

33%

46%

69%

41%

16%

36%

40%

40%

42%

25%

37%

45%

21%

43%

39%

27%

Very favorable

16%

18%

5%

38%

11%

0%

3%

33%

2%

3%

37%

5%

18%

15%

9%

15%

15%

25%

11%

11%

15%

25%

17%

12%

16%

10%

19%

21%

17%

6%

15%

1%

16%

14%

-

-

-

16%

12%

22%

40%

14%

5%

15%

18%

17%

19%

9%

18%

22%

8%

16%

16%

10%

Favorable

22%

23%

12%

31%

24%

21%

11%

34%

14%

11%

37%

34%

19%

24%

18%

26%

25%

19%

15%

25%

26%

19%

21%

30%

22%

32%

20%

22%

14%

35%

22%

40%

28%

29%

-

-

-

22%

20%

24%

29%

27%

11%

21%

22%

23%

23%

16%

19%

23%

13%

27%

23%

17%

Unfavorable

15%

16%

23%

8%

14%

13%

22%

8%

21%

23%

9%

20%

18%

13%

16%

14%

16%

15%

14%

17%

15%

15%

17%

13%

12%

10%

19%

14%

14%

9%

15%

12%

10%

11%

-

-

-

15%

14%

17%

7%

15%

20%

13%

18%

14%

17%

17%

16%

21%

15%

11%

13%

18%

Very unfavorable

23%

24%

42%

4%

20%

10%

42%

3%

14%

45%

4%

13%

26%

19%

14%

16%

26%

33%

13%

15%

24%

33%

27%

13%

11%

15%

31%

19%

14%

12%

23%

7%

9%

17%

-

-

-

23%

21%

24%

3%

14%

46%

22%

23%

27%

15%

25%

31%

16%

31%

23%

13%

21%

NET UNFAVORABLE

38%

39%

64%

11%

34%

23%

64%

12%

34%

69%

13%

33%

43%

33%

30%

30%

42%

48%

28%

32%

40%

48%

44%

27%

23%

25%

50%

33%

28%

22%

38%

20%

19%

29%

-

-

-

38%

35%

42%

10%

29%

66%

35%

41%

41%

32%

42%

47%

37%

46%

34%

27%

40%

Never heard of them

6%

5%

5%

5%

7%

14%

6%

6%

6%

5%

4%

5%

5%

7%

16%

5%

1%

2%

18%

7%

2%

2%

4%

6%

11%

9%

3%

8%

10%

12%

5%

3%

12%

6%

-

-

-

6%

9%

2%

8%

7%

3%

8%

5%

6%

6%

7%

5%

4%

9%

6%

8%

6%

No opinion

18%

14%

14%

15%

23%

43%

16%

16%

43%

12%

10%

22%

14%

22%

26%

24%

18%

6%

28%

25%

17%

6%

14%

25%

28%

24%

8%

16%

31%

25%

20%

37%

25%

23%

-

-

-

18%

23%

10%

13%

23%

14%

21%

14%

14%

20%

26%

11%

15%

24%

17%

26%

28%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

H1b: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican, and Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump

47%

49%

86%

6%

43%

32%

100%

0%

0%

90%

7%

29%

54%

41%

45%

43%

51%

50%

43%

47%

48%

50%

52%

29%

37%

33%

58%

41%

49%

33%

47%

15%

26%

34%

-

-

-

47%

49%

45%

10%

38%

82%

45%

50%

49%

39%

58%

54%

47%

73%

45%

31%

48%

Kamala Harris

46%

47%

10%

92%

44%

40%

0%

100%

0%

6%

90%

29%

41%

51%

46%

48%

42%

47%

47%

44%

45%

47%

42%

60%

53%

63%

39%

49%

41%

63%

45%

73%

63%

64%

-

-

-

46%

43%

50%

88%

51%

13%

46%

45%

44%

54%

34%

40%

50%

20%

48%

59%

43%

Don’t Know / Unsure

7%

4%

4%

2%

13%

28%

0%

0%

100%

4%

3%

42%

5%

8%

9%

9%

7%

3%

9%

9%

7%

3%

6%

11%

11%

3%

4%

11%

11%

4%

8%

12%

11%

2%

-

-

-

7%

8%

5%

2%

11%

4%

8%

5%

6%

7%

8%

6%

3%

7%

7%

10%

9%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

H1bL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump

55%

55%

71%

55%

50%

52%

-

-

55%

79%

55%

41%

49%

58%

54%

50%

59%

59%

49%

50%

62%

59%

61%

30%

50%

0%

76%

57%

24%

0%

54%

1%

72%

0%

-

-

-

55%

48%

69%

40%

50%

74%

57%

49%

65%

34%

62%

50%

34%

64%

78%

34%

61%

Kamala Harris

45%

45%

29%

45%

50%

48%

-

-

45%

21%

45%

59%

51%

42%

46%

50%

41%

41%

51%

50%

38%

41%

39%

70%

50%

100%

24%

43%

76%

100%

46%

99%

28%

100%

-

-

-

45%

52%

31%

60%

50%

26%

43%

51%

35%

66%

38%

50%

66%

36%

22%

66%

39%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

78

45

14

9

46

9

0

0

78

17

15

12

26

52

19

30

20

9

13

27

29

9

49

8

19

2

13

4

8

1

36

4

11

1

0

0

0

78

56

22

6

54

18

50

25

34

29

15

13

8

5

21

21

10

H1bM: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican, and Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump+leaners

51.0%

51.4%

88.9%

7.2%

49.9%

46.9%

100.0%

0.0%

54.5%

92.9%

8.7%

46.1%

56.8%

45.7%

49.7%

47.5%

55.1%

51.5%

47.8%

51.4%

52.3%

51.5%

55.8%

32.5%

41.8%

33.4%

60.5%

46.6%

51.1%

32.8%

51.4%

15.3%

33.9%

33.9%

-

-

-

51.0%

52.6%

48.8%

10.7%

43.4%

85.6%

49.9%

52.4%

53.7%

41.2%

62.7%

57.2%

48.2%

77.1%

50.2%

34.4%

53.3%

Kamala Harris+leaners

49.0%

48.6%

11.1%

92.8%

50.1%

53.1%

0.0%

100.0%

45.5%

7.1%

91.3%

53.9%

43.2%

54.3%

50.3%

52.5%

44.9%

48.5%

52.2%

48.6%

47.7%

48.5%

44.2%

67.5%

58.2%

66.6%

39.5%

53.4%

48.9%

67.2%

48.6%

84.7%

66.1%

66.1%

-

-

-

49.0%

47.4%

51.2%

89.3%

56.6%

14.4%

50.1%

47.6%

46.3%

58.8%

37.3%

42.8%

51.8%

22.9%

49.8%

65.6%

46.7%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

QH1DJT: Would you say your choice is more of a vote…

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

For Donald Trump

80%

81%

84%

86%

72%

80%

84%

-

34%

81%

68%

50%

80%

80%

86%

82%

80%

73%

86%

83%

81%

73%

79%

94%

84%

87%

78%

94%

87%

82%

79%

98%

80%

92%

-

-

-

80%

86%

71%

89%

77%

82%

84%

77%

77%

88%

78%

74%

88%

85%

80%

88%

72%

Against Kamala Harris

20%

19%

16%

14%

28%

21%

16%

-

66%

19%

32%

50%

20%

20%

14%

18%

20%

27%

14%

17%

19%

27%

21%

6%

16%

13%

22%

6%

13%

18%

21%

2%

20%

8%

-

-

-

20%

14%

29%

11%

23%

18%

16%

23%

23%

12%

22%

26%

12%

15%

20%

12%

28%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

798

719

568

40

178

12

756

0

42

592

47

13

382

416

148

208

221

221

91

209

277

221

657

24

88

29

305

15

49

13

352

9

39

16

0

0

0

798

525

273

36

272

490

437

351

423

222

153

202

113

67

221

109

86

QH1KH: Would you say your choice is more of a vote…

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

For Kamala Harris

68%

67%

50%

79%

55%

76%

-

69%

50%

61%

69%

74%

66%

70%

69%

73%

66%

65%

66%

73%

69%

65%

65%

76%

75%

68%

60%

72%

78%

73%

68%

79%

74%

64%

-

-

-

68%

71%

65%

74%

63%

71%

72%

65%

63%

75%

69%

58%

76%

70%

67%

73%

68%

Against Donald Trump

32%

33%

50%

21%

45%

24%

-

31%

50%

39%

31%

26%

34%

30%

31%

27%

34%

35%

34%

27%

31%

35%

35%

24%

25%

32%

40%

28%

22%

27%

32%

21%

26%

36%

-

-

-

32%

29%

35%

26%

37%

29%

28%

35%

37%

25%

31%

42%

24%

30%

33%

27%

32%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

838

749

63

556

201

18

0

802

36

42

593

20

320

518

183

229

200

226

118

213

281

226

568

66

146

58

216

23

54

27

352

43

92

31

0

0

0

838

508

330

366

394

78

476

347

410

325

103

159

136

25

251

189

78

LW1: Regardless of who you support, if you had to pick, who do you think is more likely to win in the presidential election in November, Kamala Harris or Donald Trump?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Kamala Harris

49%

49%

16%

87%

51%

43%

9%

92%

42%

14%

86%

64%

44%

55%

50%

48%

47%

52%

49%

46%

50%

52%

45%

64%

58%

63%

41%

51%

45%

67%

49%

79%

69%

59%

-

-

-

49%

47%

52%

85%

56%

19%

51%

48%

48%

56%

40%

44%

47%

35%

52%

65%

44%

Donald Trump

51%

51%

84%

13%

49%

57%

91%

8%

58%

86%

14%

36%

56%

45%

50%

52%

53%

48%

51%

54%

50%

48%

55%

36%

42%

37%

59%

49%

55%

33%

51%

21%

31%

41%

-

-

-

51%

53%

48%

15%

44%

81%

49%

52%

52%

44%

60%

56%

53%

65%

48%

35%

56%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

H2b: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate

47%

49%

87%

7%

43%

30%

98%

1%

15%

90%

7%

27%

54%

41%

45%

42%

51%

50%

45%

45%

48%

50%

52%

31%

37%

33%

57%

44%

50%

33%

48%

16%

26%

34%

-

-

-

47%

49%

46%

10%

38%

83%

45%

50%

50%

38%

58%

54%

47%

73%

46%

30%

49%

Kamala Harris, running as the Democratic party candidate

44%

46%

10%

91%

41%

38%

0%

95%

11%

6%

89%

31%

40%

49%

44%

45%

41%

47%

47%

41%

43%

47%

41%

53%

50%

61%

39%

47%

39%

63%

44%

60%

59%

59%

-

-

-

44%

41%

50%

86%

49%

14%

44%

44%

42%

56%

30%

38%

51%

19%

45%

60%

37%

Cornel West, running as an independent candidate

1%

1%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

1%

8%

1%

1%

11%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

3%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

4%

1%

0%

2%

0%

3%

2%

-

-

-

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

0%

3%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

5%

Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

0%

0%

1%

10%

0%

1%

12%

1%

1%

1%

3%

1%

1%

1%

3%

1%

1%

1%

3%

3%

1%

1%

6%

3%

0%

1%

0%

3%

2%

-

-

-

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

0%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

0%

1%

2%

1%

1%

Don't Know / Unsure

5%

3%

2%

1%

11%

32%

1%

2%

56%

2%

2%

20%

4%

7%

7%

8%

5%

2%

7%

8%

6%

2%

5%

11%

8%

3%

3%

0%

8%

4%

6%

24%

9%

2%

-

-

-

5%

7%

3%

2%

9%

3%

8%

3%

5%

5%

8%

5%

2%

6%

5%

8%

9%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

H2bL: Between the four choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate

44%

40%

73%

58%

34%

53%

100%

0%

49%

81%

12%

19%

54%

38%

50%

42%

39%

38%

47%

49%

37%

38%

52%

1%

37%

0%

67%

100%

45%

0%

46%

0%

31%

0%

-

-

-

44%

43%

48%

30%

43%

56%

40%

48%

49%

39%

38%

57%

77%

26%

42%

30%

44%

Kamala Harris, running as the Democratic party candidate

31%

26%

27%

19%

33%

31%

0%

73%

23%

9%

67%

0%

18%

38%

21%

34%

43%

29%

9%

36%

41%

29%

31%

50%

33%

0%

16%

0%

23%

0%

38%

50%

40%

0%

-

-

-

31%

34%

20%

25%

35%

16%

35%

21%

31%

40%

20%

17%

23%

17%

42%

44%

22%

Cornel West, running as an independent candidate

20%

24%

0%

22%

26%

11%

0%

4%

28%

11%

21%

72%

28%

16%

19%

21%

17%

33%

30%

9%

23%

33%

17%

24%

22%

59%

18%

0%

31%

100%

17%

25%

14%

0%

-

-

-

20%

18%

28%

45%

15%

28%

18%

30%

20%

18%

23%

26%

0%

57%

15%

23%

7%

Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate

5%

9%

0%

0%

6%

5%

0%

24%

0%

0%

0%

9%

0%

8%

10%

4%

0%

0%

13%

5%

0%

0%

0%

25%

8%

41%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

25%

14%

100%

-

-

-

5%

5%

4%

0%

7%

0%

7%

0%

0%

3%

19%

0%

0%

0%

0%

3%

28%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

63

28

8

6

39

10

6

16

41

9

10

7

19

44

17

26

14

6

10

26

21

6

40

5

16

2

10

1

7

1

30

4

9

1

0

0

0

63

49

14

7

47

9

44

16

30

19

14

12

3

4

18

16

10

H2bM: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump+leaners

50%

50%

88%

8%

47%

47%

99%

1%

43%

92%

8%

31%

56%

44%

49%

46%

54%

51%

48%

50%

50%

51%

55%

31%

40%

33%

59%

44%

53%

33%

50%

16%

29%

34%

-

-

-

50%

52%

47%

10%

42%

84%

48%

52%

53%

40%

61%

57%

48%

74%

48%

33%

52%

Kamala Harris+leaners

46%

47%

11%

91%

44%

48%

0%

97%

24%

6%

90%

31%

41%

51%

46%

48%

44%

48%

47%

44%

46%

48%

43%

58%

53%

61%

39%

47%

41%

63%

46%

72%

63%

59%

-

-

-

46%

43%

50%

86%

52%

14%

47%

45%

43%

58%

31%

39%

52%

20%

48%

64%

39%

Cornel West+leaners

2%

2%

0%

0%

6%

4%

0%

1%

24%

1%

2%

25%

2%

3%

4%

3%

2%

1%

3%

3%

3%

1%

2%

5%

4%

3%

1%

4%

3%

4%

3%

6%

4%

2%

-

-

-

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

2%

1%

5%

2%

0%

5%

3%

2%

5%

Jill Stein+leaners

2%

1%

1%

1%

3%

2%

0%

2%

10%

0%

1%

13%

1%

2%

2%

3%

1%

1%

2%

3%

1%

1%

1%

6%

3%

3%

1%

6%

3%

0%

1%

6%

4%

5%

-

-

-

2%

2%

1%

1%

3%

0%

2%

1%

2%

1%

3%

2%

0%

1%

2%

1%

3%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

HORSE0501: Have you made up your mind on who you will vote for in the 2024 presidential election or are you still weighing the choices?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Have made up my mind

87%

92%

92%

95%

80%

40%

91%

91%

32%

92%

94%

75%

89%

86%

80%

81%

88%

99%

79%

80%

87%

99%

91%

79%

78%

84%

93%

81%

81%

78%

89%

76%

75%

89%

-

-

-

87%

83%

93%

93%

81%

93%

82%

92%

89%

85%

88%

89%

88%

92%

89%

82%

85%

Still weighing the choices

13%

8%

8%

5%

20%

60%

9%

9%

68%

8%

6%

25%

11%

14%

20%

19%

12%

1%

21%

20%

13%

1%

9%

21%

22%

16%

7%

19%

19%

22%

11%

24%

25%

11%

-

-

-

13%

17%

7%

7%

19%

7%

18%

8%

11%

15%

12%

11%

12%

8%

11%

18%

15%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

S1bAZ: If the 2024 election for senate in Arizona were held today and it was between Kari Lake, the Republican, and Ruben Gallego, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Kari Lake

37%

40%

75%

4%

28%

13%

72%

5%

12%

75%

5%

20%

43%

32%

28%

34%

40%

47%

26%

35%

36%

47%

44%

17%

23%

20%

49%

23%

29%

21%

39%

9%

17%

20%

-

-

-

37%

36%

39%

6%

24%

74%

35%

39%

41%

28%

44%

45%

34%

55%

36%

22%

37%

Ruben Gallego

50%

52%

17%

89%

52%

32%

15%

89%

29%

15%

90%

57%

46%

54%

50%

49%

51%

49%

52%

45%

53%

49%

46%

57%

57%

61%

44%

50%

49%

62%

49%

66%

65%

60%

-

-

-

50%

47%

54%

86%

58%

17%

48%

51%

47%

59%

41%

44%

56%

27%

50%

61%

50%

Don't know/Unsure

13%

8%

9%

6%

20%

55%

12%

7%

59%

10%

5%

23%

11%

14%

22%

17%

10%

4%

22%

19%

11%

4%

10%

26%

20%

18%

7%

26%

22%

17%

12%

25%

18%

20%

-

-

-

13%

17%

7%

8%

18%

9%

16%

10%

12%

13%

15%

11%

10%

19%

14%

16%

13%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

AZ1bL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Kari Lake

38%

42%

58%

48%

25%

42%

44%

37%

30%

50%

33%

45%

30%

44%

27%

36%

56%

61%

29%

28%

55%

61%

49%

36%

21%

41%

52%

45%

3%

34%

47%

25%

39%

46%

-

-

-

38%

37%

40%

18%

38%

47%

37%

40%

39%

37%

37%

32%

37%

14%

45%

37%

59%

Ruben Gallego

62%

58%

42%

52%

75%

58%

56%

63%

70%

50%

67%

55%

70%

56%

73%

64%

44%

39%

71%

72%

45%

39%

51%

64%

79%

59%

48%

55%

97%

66%

53%

75%

61%

54%

-

-

-

62%

63%

60%

82%

62%

53%

63%

60%

61%

63%

63%

68%

63%

86%

55%

63%

41%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

170

103

46

35

72

17

73

50

47

52

26

10

62

108

60

65

30

15

41

64

50

15

104

16

38

12

33

8

18

3

71

8

20

9

0

0

0

170

135

35

24

105

41

116

50

76

66

28

28

25

9

48

41

19

S1bAZM: If the 2024 election for senate in Arizona were held today and it was between Kari Lake, the Republican, and Ruben Gallego, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Kari Lake + Learners

42%

44%

80%

7%

33%

36%

78%

7%

30%

80%

6%

30%

46%

38%

34%

40%

45%

49%

33%

41%

42%

49%

49%

26%

27%

28%

53%

35%

30%

27%

44%

16%

24%

29%

-

-

-

42%

43%

42%

8%

31%

78%

41%

43%

46%

33%

50%

49%

38%

57%

42%

28%

45%

Ruben Gallego + Learners

58%

56%

20%

93%

67%

64%

22%

93%

70%

20%

94%

70%

54%

62%

66%

60%

55%

51%

67%

59%

58%

51%

51%

74%

73%

72%

47%

65%

70%

73%

56%

84%

76%

71%

-

-

-

58%

57%

58%

92%

69%

22%

59%

57%

54%

67%

50%

51%

62%

43%

58%

72%

55%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

QVOTEFACTOR: What factor was most important when casting your vote?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Candidate's position on issues

82%

83%

86%

80%

79%

71%

88%

77%

70%

89%

79%

89%

78%

85%

78%

77%

84%

86%

82%

76%

82%

86%

83%

82%

78%

83%

78%

76%

76%

77%

87%

91%

80%

89%

-

-

-

82%

82%

82%

83%

79%

84%

81%

82%

84%

78%

82%

81%

72%

79%

87%

83%

84%

Candidate's personal qualities

18%

17%

14%

20%

21%

29%

12%

23%

30%

11%

21%

11%

22%

15%

22%

23%

16%

14%

18%

24%

18%

14%

17%

18%

22%

17%

22%

24%

24%

23%

13%

9%

20%

11%

-

-

-

18%

18%

18%

17%

21%

16%

19%

18%

16%

22%

18%

19%

28%

21%

13%

17%

16%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

TQ6: Do you think the country is generally on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Right track

24%

26%

10%

48%

20%

9%

8%

43%

5%

9%

47%

15%

26%

23%

21%

24%

24%

28%

19%

25%

24%

28%

25%

22%

22%

24%

27%

31%

23%

28%

24%

10%

21%

21%

-

-

-

24%

18%

33%

46%

25%

10%

19%

29%

21%

34%

15%

22%

38%

12%

20%

30%

18%

Wrong track

62%

63%

83%

37%

63%

57%

85%

38%

71%

86%

37%

72%

65%

60%

60%

59%

66%

64%

62%

59%

64%

64%

65%

48%

57%

52%

67%

35%

65%

43%

64%

64%

51%

60%

-

-

-

62%

65%

59%

39%

58%

83%

62%

63%

66%

52%

70%

70%

52%

76%

63%

53%

66%

Unsure/Don't know

13%

11%

7%

15%

17%

34%

6%

19%

23%

6%

15%

13%

9%

17%

18%

17%

10%

9%

19%

16%

12%

9%

10%

30%

21%

24%

7%

33%

12%

29%

13%

26%

28%

19%

-

-

-

13%

17%

8%

15%

17%

7%

19%

8%

13%

13%

15%

8%

10%

12%

17%

17%

17%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

M2: In general, do you think the American economy is on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Right track

28%

31%

12%

55%

24%

11%

9%

51%

12%

10%

58%

18%

32%

25%

24%

28%

25%

36%

21%

28%

26%

36%

30%

29%

26%

19%

33%

43%

29%

29%

27%

11%

23%

10%

-

-

-

28%

20%

40%

54%

28%

13%

22%

34%

27%

38%

15%

30%

43%

14%

24%

33%

15%

Wrong track

63%

62%

84%

36%

64%

63%

86%

38%

69%

85%

35%

71%

62%

63%

64%

62%

67%

58%

66%

61%

65%

58%

63%

49%

61%

65%

62%

28%

65%

57%

64%

74%

58%

73%

-

-

-

63%

68%

55%

35%

61%

81%

66%

60%

65%

55%

73%

65%

52%

76%

64%

57%

71%

Don't know/Unsure

9%

7%

4%

9%

13%

25%

5%

12%

19%

5%

7%

11%

6%

12%

12%

10%

9%

6%

13%

10%

9%

6%

7%

22%

13%

15%

5%

28%

6%

14%

9%

15%

19%

17%

-

-

-

9%

12%

5%

11%

11%

5%

12%

6%

9%

8%

13%

5%

5%

10%

12%

10%

14%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

TQ1: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President of the United States?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

38%

40%

10%

80%

31%

13%

6%

74%

10%

8%

77%

18%

35%

40%

35%

41%

35%

40%

34%

39%

37%

40%

36%

46%

41%

43%

34%

53%

35%

44%

38%

37%

45%

42%

-

-

-

38%

33%

45%

79%

39%

11%

36%

39%

35%

47%

24%

34%

47%

12%

37%

48%

31%

Strongly approve

15%

16%

4%

35%

9%

3%

2%

29%

3%

4%

33%

7%

16%

14%

12%

12%

16%

18%

11%

12%

15%

18%

16%

7%

12%

12%

16%

12%

14%

15%

16%

1%

9%

9%

-

-

-

15%

10%

21%

38%

12%

4%

13%

17%

13%

21%

9%

12%

27%

6%

14%

15%

11%

Somewhat approve

23%

24%

6%

46%

22%

10%

3%

46%

7%

4%

44%

12%

19%

26%

23%

29%

19%

22%

23%

26%

21%

22%

20%

39%

29%

31%

18%

41%

21%

29%

22%

36%

36%

33%

-

-

-

23%

23%

23%

41%

27%

7%

23%

23%

23%

27%

15%

22%

20%

7%

24%

33%

20%

Somewhat disapprove

14%

13%

11%

11%

19%

13%

12%

15%

18%

11%

14%

17%

14%

14%

20%

17%

11%

9%

18%

19%

13%

9%

13%

22%

17%

16%

11%

26%

20%

19%

14%

18%

14%

13%

-

-

-

14%

14%

14%

9%

20%

9%

13%

15%

12%

17%

13%

11%

18%

14%

13%

16%

12%

Strongly disapprove

44%

45%

77%

5%

44%

40%

81%

6%

48%

80%

8%

52%

48%

41%

39%

36%

50%

51%

41%

36%

47%

51%

48%

23%

36%

34%

53%

20%

38%

27%

44%

27%

34%

40%

-

-

-

44%

47%

40%

9%

36%

77%

45%

45%

49%

31%

57%

52%

32%

70%

45%

30%

49%

NET DISAPPROVE

58%

58%

88%

17%

63%

53%

93%

21%

65%

91%

22%

69%

62%

55%

59%

53%

61%

59%

59%

55%

59%

59%

61%

46%

53%

50%

64%

46%

58%

46%

58%

45%

48%

54%

-

-

-

58%

62%

53%

18%

55%

86%

58%

59%

61%

48%

70%

64%

50%

84%

58%

47%

61%

Unsure/Don't know

4%

3%

1%

3%

6%

34%

1%

4%

25%

1%

2%

12%

3%

5%

7%

6%

4%

1%

7%

6%

4%

1%

3%

9%

7%

7%

2%

1%

6%

10%

4%

18%

7%

5%

-

-

-

4%

6%

2%

4%

6%

2%

7%

2%

4%

4%

6%

3%

4%

4%

5%

5%

8%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

TQVP: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kamala Harris is doing as Vice President of the United States?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

42%

44%

12%

87%

35%

23%

6%

84%

11%

10%

83%

27%

38%

46%

42%

45%

39%

43%

40%

43%

41%

43%

40%

51%

45%

51%

38%

55%

34%

52%

42%

46%

54%

51%

-

-

-

42%

37%

49%

84%

45%

13%

40%

44%

40%

51%

31%

36%

50%

18%

44%

51%

39%

Strongly approve

21%

23%

5%

52%

14%

6%

1%

45%

2%

4%

46%

5%

20%

23%

16%

21%

23%

26%

15%

20%

23%

26%

22%

27%

21%

17%

21%

36%

17%

16%

22%

15%

24%

18%

-

-

-

21%

18%

27%

50%

19%

7%

21%

23%

21%

28%

12%

17%

31%

6%

24%

25%

16%

Somewhat approve

20%

22%

8%

35%

21%

17%

4%

39%

9%

6%

37%

22%

18%

23%

25%

23%

16%

17%

26%

24%

18%

17%

18%

24%

24%

34%

17%

20%

17%

35%

20%

30%

29%

32%

-

-

-

20%

19%

22%

34%

25%

6%

19%

22%

19%

23%

19%

18%

19%

12%

20%

27%

24%

Somewhat disapprove

10%

9%

9%

7%

14%

5%

12%

8%

15%

10%

7%

10%

11%

9%

15%

12%

9%

6%

15%

13%

9%

6%

8%

21%

15%

12%

9%

25%

17%

19%

8%

15%

14%

7%

-

-

-

10%

12%

7%

4%

15%

8%

11%

9%

8%

14%

9%

10%

14%

10%

7%

13%

8%

Strongly disapprove

42%

43%

76%

2%

41%

33%

79%

2%

48%

78%

6%

53%

45%

38%

33%

36%

48%

49%

34%

35%

45%

49%

47%

19%

32%

25%

50%

18%

38%

20%

43%

21%

27%

29%

-

-

-

42%

43%

40%

7%

32%

76%

41%

43%

47%

27%

55%

51%

27%

68%

43%

27%

46%

NET DISAPPROVE

52%

52%

85%

9%

55%

38%

91%

10%

62%

88%

13%

63%

57%

48%

48%

47%

57%

55%

49%

48%

54%

55%

55%

40%

47%

37%

59%

43%

55%

39%

51%

36%

41%

36%

-

-

-

52%

55%

48%

10%

46%

85%

52%

53%

55%

41%

64%

61%

42%

78%

50%

40%

54%

Unsure/Don't know

6%

4%

2%

4%

10%

39%

3%

6%

26%

2%

4%

10%

5%

7%

10%

8%

4%

2%

11%

9%

5%

2%

5%

9%

8%

12%

3%

1%

11%

10%

7%

19%

6%

13%

-

-

-

6%

8%

3%

5%

9%

3%

8%

3%

5%

9%

5%

4%

8%

4%

6%

9%

7%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

TQGov: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Katie Hobbs is doing as Governor of Arizona?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

TOP 2 BOX

43%

47%

23%

73%

42%

9%

20%

71%

15%

21%

77%

37%

44%

43%

35%

46%

45%

48%

31%

46%

44%

48%

43%

61%

44%

40%

44%

67%

43%

38%

42%

54%

45%

42%

-

-

-

43%

38%

51%

74%

49%

18%

41%

45%

43%

50%

32%

43%

51%

29%

43%

48%

34%

Strongly approve

18%

20%

4%

40%

15%

3%

4%

35%

6%

5%

40%

7%

20%

17%

13%

14%

16%

27%

13%

14%

16%

27%

19%

21%

18%

12%

20%

33%

20%

12%

17%

7%

15%

12%

-

-

-

18%

13%

26%

44%

16%

5%

17%

19%

18%

21%

11%

19%

25%

9%

18%

17%

12%

Somewhat approve

25%

27%

19%

33%

27%

6%

16%

37%

9%

16%

37%

30%

24%

27%

23%

31%

28%

20%

18%

32%

28%

20%

24%

40%

26%

28%

24%

34%

23%

26%

25%

47%

30%

30%

-

-

-

25%

26%

25%

29%

32%

13%

24%

27%

24%

29%

21%

24%

26%

20%

25%

31%

23%

Somewhat disapprove

18%

19%

24%

10%

19%

12%

25%

9%

21%

26%

10%

23%

17%

19%

20%

20%

15%

17%

20%

18%

17%

17%

19%

13%

17%

11%

18%

15%

16%

12%

19%

10%

19%

10%

-

-

-

18%

17%

18%

8%

17%

24%

15%

20%

18%

18%

18%

17%

19%

13%

19%

16%

21%

Strongly disapprove

22%

22%

41%

3%

18%

20%

39%

4%

22%

43%

5%

16%

26%

18%

15%

15%

25%

31%

15%

16%

23%

31%

25%

9%

14%

14%

30%

11%

15%

10%

20%

7%

14%

17%

-

-

-

22%

21%

24%

4%

13%

45%

21%

23%

24%

15%

27%

29%

16%

37%

20%

15%

21%

BOTTOM 2 BOX

40%

41%

65%

13%

36%

33%

65%

13%

44%

69%

14%

40%

43%

37%

35%

35%

40%

47%

35%

34%

40%

47%

44%

22%

32%

25%

48%

26%

31%

21%

40%

16%

32%

27%

-

-

-

40%

38%

42%

12%

30%

69%

36%

43%

42%

33%

45%

46%

35%

50%

39%

31%

42%

Unsure/Don't know

17%

13%

12%

13%

22%

59%

15%

16%

41%

10%

9%

23%

14%

20%

30%

19%

16%

5%

34%

20%

16%

5%

13%

17%

24%

35%

8%

7%

26%

40%

18%

30%

23%

31%

-

-

-

17%

24%

8%

14%

21%

13%

22%

11%

15%

17%

23%

12%

14%

22%

18%

21%

24%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

1,468

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

TQCong: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is doing its job?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

24%

25%

23%

36%

16%

5%

23%

28%

4%

23%

28%

15%

26%

22%

29%

32%

19%

18%

28%

31%

22%

18%

23%

41%

29%

14%

23%

52%

33%

21%

22%

28%

26%

8%

-

-

-

24%

24%

25%

27%

24%

22%

22%

27%

20%

34%

19%

19%

38%

22%

20%

29%

18%

Strongly approve

5%

5%

4%

9%

3%

5%

4%

6%

2%

5%

5%

5%

6%

4%

8%

7%

3%

2%

9%

7%

3%

2%

4%

21%

6%

2%

4%

28%

9%

1%

4%

12%

5%

2%