HarrisX Battleground State Poll (Nov 3-5): All 7 States

This survey was administered by HarrisX among 12,515 registered voters from November 3-5, 2024 across 7 battleground states in the US. Respondents were recruited through opt-in, web-panel recruitment sampling. Recruitment occurs though a broad variety of professional, validated respondent panels to expand the sampling frame as wide as possible and minimize the impact of any given panel on recruiting methods.

Sample size and sampling margin of error for each state are as follows: Arizona (N: 1636, MoE: +/- 2.4%), Georgia (N: 1880, MoE: +/- 2.3%), Michigan (N: 1864, MoE: +/- 2.3%), Nevada (N: 1260, MoE: +/- 2.8%), North Carolina (N: 1815, MoE: +/- 2.3%), Pennsylvania (N: 2333, MoE: +/- 2%), Wisconsin (N: 1727, MoE: +/- 2.4%.) Results were weighted by age, gender, race/ethnicity, political party, education, income, early vote percentage, and previous vote choice where necessary to align with actual demographic proportions amongst the population of RVs within each state.

For further insights and data, visit elections.harrisx.com

HarrisX's Final Presidential Horserace (+Leaners)

H2bMEV: : If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for? (including Early voters choice)

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump+leaners

48.4%

47.1%

49.0%

49.0%

48.3%

50.0%

47.9%

48.0%

47.5%

50.0%

49.2%

48.8%

50.4%

48.5%

49.5%

91.3%

5.5%

44.3%

40.9%

98.1%

0.9%

35.2%

92.2%

6.3%

30.0%

53.2%

43.9%

43.8%

48.2%

51.4%

50.4%

42.3%

47.1%

51.3%

50.4%

55.9%

19.5%

38.8%

40.0%

58.5%

26.8%

50.0%

53.2%

53.3%

12.7%

30.0%

29.0%

47.1%

48.1%

49.0%

49.2%

49.9%

46.0%

9.7%

39.2%

85.1%

46.3%

50.6%

47.8%

38.5%

60.3%

53.7%

44.2%

63.9%

41.9%

32.3%

57.6%

Kamala Harris+leaners

48.5%

50.3%

48.0%

48.5%

48.6%

46.4%

48.0%

49.3%

51.0%

47.9%

49.0%

49.5%

46.8%

48.1%

48.5%

7.6%

93.5%

47.6%

46.7%

0.9%

97.7%

35.3%

6.3%

92.0%

39.9%

43.9%

52.9%

51.6%

48.1%

46.3%

48.0%

53.4%

48.6%

46.0%

48.0%

41.6%

76.8%

56.8%

54.3%

39.2%

68.6%

45.8%

42.4%

43.9%

84.4%

65.4%

64.3%

50.3%

48.3%

48.2%

47.6%

46.7%

51.5%

88.7%

55.5%

13.6%

50.3%

46.6%

49.3%

58.2%

36.4%

43.7%

52.5%

32.9%

55.0%

64.4%

39.0%

Cornel West+leaners

2.0%

1.7%

1.6%

1.6%

2.1%

2.3%

2.6%

1.8%

1.0%

1.1%

1.2%

1.1%

1.8%

2.1%

1.4%

0.7%

0.6%

5.2%

7.9%

0.6%

0.8%

19.5%

1.1%

0.9%

18.4%

1.9%

2.0%

2.9%

2.5%

1.4%

1.1%

2.5%

2.8%

1.7%

1.1%

1.7%

2.4%

2.1%

4.0%

1.5%

3.1%

1.9%

3.4%

1.8%

1.8%

2.3%

4.6%

1.7%

2.4%

1.6%

2.1%

2.2%

1.6%

0.9%

3.3%

1.1%

2.0%

1.9%

1.7%

2.3%

2.1%

1.5%

2.4%

2.1%

1.9%

2.3%

2.0%

Jill Stein+leaners

1.1%

0.9%

1.4%

0.9%

1.0%

1.2%

1.4%

0.9%

0.5%

1.0%

0.6%

0.7%

1.0%

1.3%

0.7%

0.4%

0.4%

2.9%

4.5%

0.4%

0.6%

10.0%

0.4%

0.8%

11.7%

1.1%

1.2%

1.7%

1.3%

0.8%

0.6%

1.8%

1.4%

0.9%

0.6%

0.9%

1.3%

2.3%

1.6%

0.8%

1.6%

2.3%

1.0%

0.9%

1.1%

2.2%

2.2%

0.9%

1.2%

1.2%

1.1%

1.2%

0.9%

0.8%

2.0%

0.3%

1.4%

0.9%

1.1%

1.0%

1.3%

1.1%

0.9%

1.1%

1.1%

1.0%

1.4%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

Full Poll Findings below:

QVOTE1: Have you already voted in Tuesday's 2024 elections, or have you not had the chance to yet?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Already voted

47%

22%

57%

66%

42%

52%

43%

56%

25%

65%

73%

49%

61%

49%

64%

47%

52%

43%

22%

46%

52%

14%

50%

55%

42%

48%

46%

42%

36%

43%

66%

44%

37%

41%

66%

48%

46%

41%

45%

50%

42%

45%

43%

46%

50%

38%

47%

22%

43%

61%

54%

41%

57%

56%

41%

48%

42%

52%

50%

45%

42%

51%

47%

44%

50%

44%

40%

Not yet

53%

78%

43%

34%

58%

48%

57%

44%

75%

35%

27%

51%

39%

51%

36%

53%

48%

57%

78%

54%

48%

86%

50%

45%

58%

52%

54%

58%

64%

57%

34%

56%

63%

59%

34%

52%

54%

59%

55%

50%

58%

55%

57%

54%

50%

62%

53%

78%

57%

39%

46%

59%

43%

44%

59%

52%

58%

48%

50%

55%

58%

49%

53%

56%

50%

56%

60%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

QTYPEOFVOTE: Did you mail in a ballot or did you vote early at a voting center?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Mailed in a ballot

45%

78%

17%

14%

66%

77%

47%

49%

78%

17%

14%

66%

77%

47%

49%

38%

50%

49%

30%

37%

51%

47%

38%

51%

54%

46%

44%

40%

43%

38%

53%

39%

43%

39%

53%

47%

29%

45%

50%

47%

34%

44%

56%

47%

26%

46%

45%

78%

57%

16%

65%

44%

46%

53%

47%

37%

44%

46%

46%

48%

40%

46%

48%

40%

45%

47%

40%

Voted early at a voting center

55%

22%

83%

86%

34%

23%

53%

51%

22%

83%

86%

34%

23%

53%

51%

62%

50%

51%

70%

63%

49%

53%

62%

49%

46%

54%

56%

60%

57%

62%

47%

61%

57%

61%

47%

53%

71%

55%

50%

53%

66%

56%

44%

53%

74%

54%

55%

22%

43%

84%

35%

56%

54%

47%

53%

63%

56%

54%

54%

52%

60%

54%

52%

60%

55%

53%

60%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

6,677

807

1,111

1,071

1,015

1,057

797

819

807

1,111

1,071

1,015

1,057

797

819

2,387

2,944

1,272

74

2,854

3,688

135

2,529

3,208

130

2,901

3,776

1,365

1,589

1,700

2,023

871

1,628

2,155

2,023

5,047

1,001

333

296

2,242

391

151

117

2,805

610

182

179

807

1,812

2,182

1,876

3,663

3,014

2,018

2,431

2,228

3,274

3,268

3,406

1,838

1,433

1,486

886

529

1,920

952

904

H2V: Who did you vote for in the 2024 presidential election?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump

45%

32%

49%

48%

44%

47%

45%

47%

32%

49%

48%

44%

47%

45%

47%

91%

4%

41%

32%

97%

1%

10%

91%

5%

21%

50%

40%

40%

47%

47%

47%

38%

45%

48%

47%

53%

13%

36%

39%

55%

20%

45%

51%

50%

8%

27%

31%

32%

44%

48%

47%

47%

44%

9%

35%

84%

44%

47%

45%

37%

57%

51%

43%

58%

38%

30%

55%

Kamala Harris

52%

66%

48%

50%

54%

50%

50%

51%

66%

48%

50%

54%

50%

50%

51%

8%

95%

52%

42%

1%

98%

11%

7%

94%

31%

47%

57%

56%

50%

51%

50%

58%

51%

50%

50%

45%

83%

61%

56%

42%

75%

52%

44%

47%

90%

69%

66%

66%

52%

49%

50%

50%

53%

89%

61%

14%

54%

50%

53%

59%

40%

46%

53%

39%

59%

66%

42%

Cornel West

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

1%

8%

0%

0%

7%

0%

0%

10%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

Jill Stein

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

2%

3%

0%

0%

8%

0%

1%

4%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

2%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

Someone else

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

0%

4%

9%

1%

0%

49%

1%

0%

30%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

4%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

0%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

I did not vote in this race

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

7%

0%

0%

15%

0%

0%

4%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

6,677

807

1,111

1,071

1,015

1,057

797

819

807

1,111

1,071

1,015

1,057

797

819

2,387

2,944

1,272

74

2,854

3,688

135

2,529

3,208

130

2,901

3,776

1,365

1,589

1,700

2,023

871

1,628

2,155

2,023

5,047

1,001

333

296

2,242

391

151

117

2,805

610

182

179

807

1,812

2,182

1,876

3,663

3,014

2,018

2,431

2,228

3,274

3,268

3,406

1,838

1,433

1,486

886

529

1,920

952

904

QVOTETIME: Is this the first time you are voting in a presidential election?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Yes

14%

16%

12%

13%

13%

12%

15%

20%

16%

12%

13%

13%

12%

15%

20%

13%

14%

15%

32%

14%

14%

16%

8%

6%

14%

15%

13%

38%

19%

5%

2%

43%

22%

6%

2%

11%

20%

28%

22%

12%

25%

33%

19%

10%

16%

24%

24%

16%

14%

12%

15%

18%

9%

16%

16%

11%

15%

14%

11%

23%

11%

11%

27%

10%

10%

20%

11%

No

86%

84%

88%

87%

87%

88%

85%

80%

84%

88%

87%

87%

88%

85%

80%

87%

86%

85%

68%

86%

86%

84%

92%

94%

86%

85%

87%

62%

81%

95%

98%

57%

78%

94%

98%

89%

80%

72%

78%

88%

75%

67%

81%

90%

84%

76%

76%

84%

86%

88%

85%

82%

91%

84%

84%

89%

85%

86%

89%

77%

89%

89%

73%

90%

90%

80%

89%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

6,677

807

1,111

1,071

1,015

1,057

797

819

807

1,111

1,071

1,015

1,057

797

819

2,387

2,944

1,272

74

2,854

3,688

135

2,529

3,208

130

2,901

3,776

1,365

1,589

1,700

2,023

871

1,628

2,155

2,023

5,047

1,001

333

296

2,242

391

151

117

2,805

610

182

179

807

1,812

2,182

1,876

3,663

3,014

2,018

2,431

2,228

3,274

3,268

3,406

1,838

1,433

1,486

886

529

1,920

952

904

QDECISION1: When did you make up your mind on who you were voting for?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Today

2%

4%

2%

1%

3%

2%

1%

3%

4%

2%

1%

3%

2%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

8%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

4%

3%

1%

5%

3%

1%

0%

5%

4%

1%

0%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

4%

6%

1%

1%

2%

3%

2%

4%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

5%

1%

1%

6%

1%

1%

3%

1%

In the last week

8%

10%

9%

7%

7%

7%

8%

11%

10%

9%

7%

7%

7%

8%

11%

7%

8%

12%

6%

9%

7%

20%

8%

6%

12%

10%

7%

17%

13%

4%

3%

17%

14%

5%

3%

7%

11%

13%

10%

9%

13%

13%

12%

5%

10%

13%

9%

10%

8%

8%

9%

9%

7%

7%

11%

7%

8%

9%

6%

15%

5%

7%

18%

6%

6%

12%

4%

In late October

7%

10%

6%

7%

6%

6%

6%

11%

10%

6%

7%

6%

6%

6%

11%

6%

7%

10%

7%

7%

7%

22%

7%

6%

16%

7%

7%

11%

11%

4%

4%

12%

12%

5%

4%

6%

9%

11%

8%

7%

10%

11%

6%

6%

9%

11%

10%

10%

6%

6%

8%

7%

7%

6%

9%

5%

7%

7%

6%

11%

6%

5%

12%

6%

6%

10%

6%

In early October

8%

12%

7%

7%

7%

9%

9%

7%

12%

7%

7%

7%

9%

9%

7%

7%

8%

8%

9%

7%

9%

11%

7%

8%

13%

8%

8%

10%

10%

6%

6%

11%

11%

7%

6%

7%

11%

8%

10%

7%

12%

7%

10%

7%

10%

10%

11%

12%

8%

7%

8%

8%

7%

7%

10%

6%

8%

8%

7%

9%

7%

7%

10%

7%

7%

9%

7%

In September

8%

9%

10%

7%

10%

7%

10%

8%

9%

10%

7%

10%

7%

10%

8%

6%

11%

9%

7%

6%

11%

5%

6%

11%

10%

9%

8%

10%

9%

7%

8%

10%

10%

7%

8%

8%

12%

11%

8%

8%

12%

15%

4%

7%

12%

7%

12%

9%

10%

8%

8%

9%

8%

10%

10%

6%

9%

8%

8%

10%

8%

9%

10%

8%

8%

9%

7%

Before September

63%

54%

62%

67%

64%

66%

61%

58%

54%

62%

67%

64%

66%

61%

58%

70%

61%

54%

42%

67%

60%

24%

68%

65%

35%

61%

64%

42%

50%

74%

76%

40%

46%

71%

76%

67%

49%

49%

56%

65%

44%

47%

66%

70%

53%

52%

47%

54%

63%

65%

62%

60%

66%

65%

53%

71%

63%

63%

68%

46%

69%

69%

41%

69%

68%

52%

70%

Unsure/ Don't Know

4%

3%

5%

4%

3%

3%

5%

3%

3%

5%

4%

3%

3%

5%

3%

3%

3%

5%

21%

3%

4%

17%

3%

3%

10%

3%

5%

5%

3%

4%

3%

6%

3%

4%

3%

3%

5%

3%

6%

2%

5%

1%

1%

4%

5%

5%

9%

3%

4%

4%

3%

5%

3%

2%

5%

3%

4%

3%

3%

4%

4%

2%

3%

3%

4%

5%

5%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

6,677

807

1,111

1,071

1,015

1,057

797

819

807

1,111

1,071

1,015

1,057

797

819

2,387

2,944

1,272

74

2,854

3,688

135

2,529

3,208

130

2,901

3,776

1,365

1,589

1,700

2,023

871

1,628

2,155

2,023

5,047

1,001

333

296

2,242

391

151

117

2,805

610

182

179

807

1,812

2,182

1,876

3,663

3,014

2,018

2,431

2,228

3,274

3,268

3,406

1,838

1,433

1,486

886

529

1,920

952

904

QDECISION2: Would you say that you voted for change or for continuity in how the country is managed?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Change

76%

65%

84%

80%

72%

75%

71%

76%

65%

84%

80%

72%

75%

71%

76%

89%

64%

76%

82%

91%

63%

81%

91%

62%

79%

74%

78%

80%

73%

78%

74%

80%

74%

78%

74%

75%

80%

79%

74%

73%

78%

78%

75%

77%

82%

80%

74%

65%

72%

82%

75%

80%

71%

59%

75%

90%

79%

74%

77%

70%

80%

77%

67%

77%

78%

74%

83%

Continuity

24%

35%

16%

20%

28%

25%

29%

24%

35%

16%

20%

28%

25%

29%

24%

11%

36%

24%

18%

9%

37%

19%

9%

38%

21%

26%

22%

20%

27%

22%

26%

20%

26%

22%

26%

25%

20%

21%

26%

27%

22%

22%

25%

23%

18%

20%

26%

35%

28%

18%

25%

20%

29%

41%

25%

10%

21%

26%

23%

30%

20%

23%

33%

23%

22%

26%

17%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

6,677

807

1,111

1,071

1,015

1,057

797

819

807

1,111

1,071

1,015

1,057

797

819

2,387

2,944

1,272

74

2,854

3,688

135

2,529

3,208

130

2,901

3,776

1,365

1,589

1,700

2,023

871

1,628

2,155

2,023

5,047

1,001

333

296

2,242

391

151

117

2,805

610

182

179

807

1,812

2,182

1,876

3,663

3,014

2,018

2,431

2,228

3,274

3,268

3,406

1,838

1,433

1,486

886

529

1,920

952

904

JS2: How likely or unlikely are you to vote in the upcoming 2024 elections in November?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET: Likely Voters (T3B)

90%

91%

89%

93%

89%

89%

90%

90%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

94%

94%

83%

51%

93%

93%

53%

97%

97%

89%

92%

88%

84%

88%

92%

97%

84%

87%

91%

97%

92%

87%

84%

84%

94%

87%

89%

82%

90%

87%

80%

85%

91%

90%

91%

89%

86%

97%

95%

85%

94%

86%

95%

91%

89%

89%

93%

91%

92%

90%

87%

87%

NET: Likely Voters (T2B)

88%

88%

87%

90%

87%

86%

88%

87%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

92%

92%

80%

46%

90%

91%

48%

95%

96%

87%

90%

86%

80%

84%

90%

96%

79%

83%

89%

96%

90%

84%

79%

81%

92%

83%

85%

79%

88%

85%

75%

82%

88%

87%

89%

86%

83%

95%

93%

81%

92%

83%

93%

89%

85%

87%

91%

88%

89%

88%

83%

85%

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections/I already voted

81%

82%

81%

85%

79%

78%

81%

80%

92%

93%

94%

91%

91%

92%

92%

86%

87%

71%

36%

84%

84%

38%

90%

90%

78%

83%

79%

70%

76%

84%

94%

69%

74%

83%

94%

84%

77%

70%

72%

86%

75%

75%

71%

82%

78%

66%

73%

82%

80%

83%

79%

75%

91%

88%

72%

87%

75%

87%

83%

77%

80%

85%

79%

84%

82%

76%

77%

Probably going to vote in the elections

7%

7%

6%

5%

8%

8%

7%

7%

8%

7%

6%

9%

9%

8%

8%

6%

6%

9%

9%

7%

6%

10%

5%

5%

9%

7%

7%

10%

9%

6%

2%

10%

9%

6%

2%

6%

8%

9%

8%

6%

8%

9%

8%

6%

7%

9%

9%

7%

7%

6%

7%

8%

5%

5%

9%

5%

8%

5%

6%

8%

7%

6%

8%

6%

6%

7%

7%

Possibly going to vote in the elections

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

2%

3%

5%

2%

2%

5%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

4%

3%

2%

1%

4%

4%

2%

1%

2%

3%

5%

3%

2%

4%

4%

3%

2%

2%

5%

3%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

1%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

2%

4%

2%

2%

4%

3%

2%

4%

2%

May or may not vote in the elections

4%

4%

4%

3%

3%

4%

3%

4%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

2%

7%

14%

3%

3%

16%

1%

1%

6%

3%

4%

6%

5%

3%

1%

6%

5%

3%

1%

3%

5%

6%

7%

2%

7%

3%

8%

4%

3%

9%

7%

4%

3%

4%

4%

5%

1%

2%

6%

2%

5%

2%

3%

4%

4%

3%

3%

2%

4%

5%

5%

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

4%

1%

1%

3%

0%

0%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

Probably not going to participate in the elections

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

3%

5%

1%

1%

7%

0%

0%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

3%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

3%

1%

1%

1%

5%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

0%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

4%

4%

5%

3%

4%

5%

4%

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

3%

2%

6%

27%

3%

3%

22%

2%

2%

2%

3%

5%

5%

5%

4%

2%

5%

5%

4%

2%

3%

5%

7%

4%

3%

4%

6%

4%

4%

7%

7%

5%

4%

4%

4%

4%

6%

2%

2%

6%

3%

6%

2%

3%

5%

5%

3%

4%

4%

4%

6%

6%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

QBallot: Have you received a ballot for the 2024 presidential election or not?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Yes

28%

21%

24%

24%

25%

50%

12%

64%

21%

26%

26%

25%

56%

10%

70%

25%

34%

26%

20%

26%

31%

26%

25%

32%

28%

29%

27%

34%

29%

24%

22%

34%

31%

25%

22%

24%

33%

45%

33%

25%

34%

50%

34%

23%

33%

42%

33%

21%

19%

24%

56%

27%

29%

33%

28%

25%

27%

29%

27%

39%

17%

28%

41%

16%

26%

37%

19%

No

72%

79%

76%

76%

75%

50%

88%

36%

79%

74%

74%

75%

44%

90%

30%

75%

66%

74%

80%

74%

69%

74%

75%

68%

72%

71%

73%

66%

71%

76%

78%

66%

69%

75%

78%

76%

67%

55%

67%

75%

66%

50%

66%

77%

67%

58%

67%

79%

81%

76%

44%

73%

71%

67%

72%

75%

73%

71%

73%

61%

83%

72%

59%

84%

74%

63%

81%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

5,838

1,526

769

744

849

579

930

441

1,296

548

529

653

411

752

306

2,158

2,047

1,398

235

2,669

2,579

590

2,035

1,967

123

2,514

3,324

1,407

2,027

1,606

798

861

1,970

2,209

798

4,199

991

389

259

1,784

470

149

111

2,415

521

240

148

1,526

1,779

1,513

1,020

4,077

1,761

1,167

2,760

1,911

3,407

2,322

2,539

1,653

1,646

1,132

793

589

1,407

860

1,057

QEarly2: How do you plan to vote this year: by mail, in person before Election Day, or in person on Election Day?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

By mail

8%

5%

8%

7%

8%

14%

4%

13%

4%

7%

5%

7%

12%

3%

10%

5%

9%

9%

10%

6%

8%

9%

4%

8%

7%

6%

9%

13%

6%

5%

5%

13%

9%

5%

5%

6%

10%

15%

10%

5%

9%

11%

6%

6%

11%

18%

13%

5%

6%

7%

13%

8%

6%

9%

9%

5%

9%

6%

7%

9%

6%

6%

8%

5%

9%

11%

6%

In person before Election Day

11%

8%

14%

15%

13%

14%

9%

12%

8%

15%

15%

14%

15%

8%

13%

11%

12%

11%

8%

12%

12%

9%

11%

10%

9%

12%

11%

14%

11%

10%

10%

15%

11%

10%

10%

10%

17%

13%

7%

11%

17%

13%

6%

10%

17%

12%

8%

8%

11%

14%

13%

13%

8%

12%

12%

11%

13%

9%

12%

13%

9%

11%

14%

9%

12%

12%

10%

In person on Election Day

72%

82%

64%

66%

70%

60%

79%

63%

88%

77%

79%

79%

72%

90%

77%

80%

75%

64%

33%

76%

73%

47%

83%

81%

78%

75%

69%

58%

73%

79%

80%

56%

70%

78%

80%

77%

58%

59%

70%

79%

61%

67%

74%

75%

54%

54%

65%

82%

74%

65%

61%

67%

83%

74%

66%

79%

65%

81%

73%

68%

75%

77%

70%

77%

68%

65%

73%

I am not planning to vote

9%

4%

14%

12%

9%

13%

8%

12%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

4%

4%

16%

49%

6%

6%

36%

1%

1%

6%

7%

11%

15%

9%

6%

5%

16%

10%

6%

5%

7%

15%

13%

13%

5%

12%

9%

13%

9%

18%

16%

13%

4%

9%

13%

12%

12%

3%

5%

14%

5%

13%

4%

9%

10%

10%

6%

8%

8%

11%

12%

11%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

5,838

1,526

769

744

849

579

930

441

1,296

548

529

653

411

752

306

2,158

2,047

1,398

235

2,669

2,579

590

2,035

1,967

123

2,514

3,324

1,407

2,027

1,606

798

861

1,970

2,209

798

4,199

991

389

259

1,784

470

149

111

2,415

521

240

148

1,526

1,779

1,513

1,020

4,077

1,761

1,167

2,760

1,911

3,407

2,322

2,539

1,653

1,646

1,132

793

589

1,407

860

1,057

F1r: SUMMARY OF T2B - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Brian Kemp

52%

-

52%

-

-

-

-

-

-

55%

-

-

-

-

-

80%

28%

48%

20%

75%

32%

32%

80%

32%

54%

57%

48%

37%

48%

57%

72%

35%

44%

57%

72%

68%

32%

29%

49%

70%

38%

33%

61%

66%

28%

25%

38%

-

-

52%

-

50%

56%

25%

43%

79%

49%

56%

52%

39%

66%

58%

43%

73%

46%

34%

61%

Josh Shapiro

51%

51%

-

-

-

-

-

-

54%

-

-

-

-

-

-

26%

78%

50%

20%

26%

77%

31%

27%

84%

59%

51%

51%

38%

47%

53%

64%

37%

44%

51%

64%

52%

53%

44%

42%

51%

54%

57%

44%

53%

53%

32%

41%

51%

-

-

-

44%

61%

80%

55%

27%

48%

53%

54%

53%

44%

53%

54%

45%

54%

53%

44%

Gretchen Whitmer

49%

-

-

-

49%

-

-

-

-

-

-

51%

-

-

-

17%

84%

49%

29%

18%

85%

22%

16%

85%

32%

48%

51%

46%

48%

51%

52%

46%

47%

51%

52%

45%

75%

48%

54%

43%

72%

51%

46%

47%

78%

46%

62%

-

49%

-

-

47%

53%

86%

54%

18%

51%

49%

55%

52%

37%

53%

50%

34%

58%

56%

39%

Roy Cooper

49%

-

-

49%

-

-

-

-

-

-

51%

-

-

-

-

26%

74%

54%

15%

26%

74%

31%

26%

80%

49%

48%

49%

39%

50%

52%

55%

36%

50%

51%

55%

45%

60%

45%

46%

46%

57%

44%

41%

45%

63%

47%

48%

-

-

49%

-

44%

58%

75%

56%

25%

50%

49%

52%

57%

40%

51%

52%

42%

53%

62%

39%

Jacky Rosen

48%

-

-

-

-

-

-

48%

-

-

-

-

-

-

51%

22%

79%

47%

2%

21%

79%

20%

23%

85%

47%

47%

49%

40%

50%

55%

50%

36%

49%

53%

50%

50%

57%

41%

50%

48%

58%

40%

50%

52%

57%

41%

51%

-

-

-

48%

46%

53%

73%

52%

23%

45%

52%

49%

48%

42%

49%

46%

41%

49%

51%

43%

Kamala Harris

48%

49%

48%

47%

48%

47%

47%

50%

51%

49%

48%

49%

48%

49%

51%

11%

93%

44%

26%

7%

93%

16%

10%

89%

32%

44%

51%

52%

50%

45%

45%

53%

50%

45%

45%

41%

76%

55%

50%

40%

69%

48%

40%

43%

81%

61%

59%

49%

47%

47%

48%

46%

52%

89%

53%

15%

49%

47%

48%

60%

35%

43%

57%

32%

53%

64%

37%

Donald Trump

46%

44%

47%

46%

46%

47%

45%

45%

45%

48%

47%

46%

48%

46%

46%

86%

9%

38%

30%

90%

6%

16%

86%

8%

21%

50%

41%

44%

47%

48%

44%

41%

48%

48%

44%

52%

22%

39%

37%

55%

30%

49%

48%

49%

15%

30%

28%

44%

45%

47%

46%

48%

43%

12%

36%

80%

44%

47%

44%

40%

56%

49%

47%

59%

39%

33%

54%

Ruben Gallego

45%

-

-

-

-

45%

-

-

-

-

-

-

48%

-

-

20%

81%

42%

27%

15%

80%

25%

17%

82%

37%

40%

50%

40%

46%

45%

49%

42%

41%

47%

49%

42%

44%

52%

55%

39%

41%

39%

58%

45%

48%

64%

51%

-

-

-

45%

41%

51%

78%

50%

19%

44%

46%

44%

53%

35%

39%

48%

25%

49%

57%

41%

Josh Stein

45%

-

-

45%

-

-

-

-

-

-

48%

-

-

-

-

24%

72%

44%

13%

22%

71%

18%

25%

76%

35%

47%

43%

36%

43%

48%

54%

33%

43%

47%

54%

43%

53%

46%

35%

46%

51%

56%

36%

40%

55%

39%

35%

-

-

45%

-

39%

56%

71%

49%

25%

46%

45%

47%

52%

39%

47%

54%

43%

47%

50%

35%

Tony Evers

44%

-

-

-

-

-

44%

-

-

-

-

-

-

47%

-

17%

78%

45%

15%

15%

77%

17%

16%

81%

36%

44%

45%

39%

46%

42%

50%

38%

45%

43%

50%

44%

49%

42%

47%

44%

55%

26%

45%

45%

40%

46%

50%

-

44%

-

-

40%

53%

80%

47%

18%

45%

44%

44%

52%

38%

42%

56%

33%

46%

47%

42%

Bob Casey

43%

43%

-

-

-

-

-

-

46%

-

-

-

-

-

-

14%

76%

40%

20%

12%

76%

17%

12%

80%

40%

43%

44%

35%

40%

44%

52%

36%

37%

43%

52%

42%

54%

46%

41%

42%

49%

52%

33%

42%

58%

40%

46%

43%

-

-

-

38%

51%

79%

46%

15%

43%

44%

43%

54%

34%

42%

54%

35%

45%

54%

34%

Tammy Baldwin

42%

-

-

-

-

-

42%

-

-

-

-

-

-

44%

-

11%

84%

39%

9%

10%

79%

7%

10%

82%

24%

40%

44%

41%

41%

40%

46%

42%

41%

40%

46%

41%

62%

42%

37%

39%

60%

30%

34%

43%

63%

45%

41%

-

42%

-

-

38%

50%

85%

43%

12%

43%

41%

41%

50%

34%

38%

50%

32%

45%

51%

36%

Joe Lombardo

42%

-

-

-

-

-

-

42%

-

-

-

-

-

-

45%

66%

19%

42%

23%

65%

23%

15%

72%

24%

53%

46%

38%

25%

45%

43%

60%

17%

43%

44%

60%

50%

22%

26%

38%

55%

27%

29%

30%

45%

17%

23%

46%

-

-

-

42%

39%

48%

20%

38%

66%

37%

47%

44%

39%

49%

49%

42%

59%

39%

35%

43%

Elissa Slotkin

41%

-

-

-

41%

-

-

-

-

-

-

44%

-

-

-

12%

75%

36%

9%

11%

74%

14%

13%

76%

15%

41%

40%

33%

40%

41%

48%

31%

39%

41%

48%

39%

53%

49%

36%

39%

52%

52%

36%

38%

54%

47%

36%

-

41%

-

-

37%

46%

77%

41%

14%

40%

42%

45%

42%

31%

45%

42%

31%

45%

43%

31%

J.D. Vance

39%

40%

40%

41%

39%

39%

39%

34%

42%

43%

43%

42%

43%

41%

36%

74%

10%

30%

14%

74%

8%

15%

75%

10%

29%

45%

33%

29%

36%

44%

48%

26%

34%

44%

48%

46%

16%

24%

32%

51%

20%

34%

43%

41%

11%

17%

22%

40%

39%

40%

37%

37%

42%

10%

26%

74%

35%

43%

39%

30%

48%

46%

36%

55%

33%

23%

43%

Tim Walz

39%

41%

37%

39%

38%

38%

39%

38%

44%

40%

42%

42%

42%

42%

41%

12%

73%

34%

10%

10%

71%

9%

11%

76%

26%

38%

39%

33%

38%

39%

44%

32%

38%

39%

44%

37%

50%

36%

38%

37%

47%

37%

34%

37%

53%

36%

41%

41%

39%

38%

38%

34%

47%

76%

39%

13%

37%

41%

40%

45%

28%

38%

45%

29%

43%

45%

28%

Eric Hovde

38%

-

-

-

-

-

38%

-

-

-

-

-

-

41%

-

75%

8%

29%

3%

73%

8%

21%

78%

9%

36%

45%

33%

26%

40%

42%

45%

24%

37%

42%

45%

42%

11%

21%

25%

48%

11%

45%

33%

36%

10%

15%

16%

-

38%

-

-

38%

40%

9%

25%

74%

34%

42%

41%

33%

41%

44%

41%

50%

37%

24%

33%

Katie Hobbs

38%

-

-

-

-

38%

-

-

-

-

-

-

41%

-

-

17%

69%

35%

21%

14%

66%

16%

14%

74%

39%

37%

39%

28%

41%

40%

44%

26%

36%

41%

44%

38%

43%

38%

42%

39%

44%

31%

41%

37%

41%

44%

43%

-

-

-

38%

33%

46%

69%

41%

16%

36%

40%

40%

42%

25%

37%

45%

21%

43%

39%

27%

Dave McCormick

38%

38%

-

-

-

-

-

-

40%

-

-

-

-

-

-

69%

13%

24%

11%

69%

11%

18%

72%

12%

22%

43%

33%

31%

36%

41%

43%

28%

35%

41%

43%

42%

21%

23%

31%

46%

28%

29%

45%

37%

15%

17%

22%

38%

-

-

-

38%

38%

12%

25%

69%

36%

40%

37%

30%

46%

42%

39%

52%

32%

21%

42%

Joe Biden

38%

39%

37%

38%

38%

36%

38%

39%

41%

40%

39%

40%

38%

40%

42%

7%

78%

31%

13%

5%

75%

7%

6%

78%

17%

36%

39%

33%

39%

38%

42%

32%

38%

38%

42%

34%

60%

38%

36%

34%

54%

35%

29%

33%

66%

42%

42%

39%

38%

38%

37%

34%

44%

76%

39%

11%

37%

39%

38%

48%

27%

35%

46%

27%

40%

50%

28%

Sam Brown

36%

-

-

-

-

-

-

36%

-

-

-

-

-

-

38%

71%

8%

29%

21%

70%

6%

8%

69%

10%

17%

41%

31%

29%

38%

35%

44%

25%

38%

35%

44%

40%

13%

32%

26%

45%

18%

41%

22%

36%

8%

24%

31%

-

-

-

36%

36%

36%

12%

26%

71%

34%

38%

35%

35%

46%

40%

40%

53%

30%

29%

42%

Mike Rogers

36%

-

-

-

36%

-

-

-

-

-

-

39%

-

-

-

68%

10%

28%

12%

66%

9%

17%

71%

11%

24%

42%

30%

24%

35%

39%

45%

20%

33%

39%

45%

39%

17%

30%

34%

46%

15%

47%

47%

33%

19%

18%

22%

-

36%

-

-

32%

42%

11%

24%

68%

32%

40%

34%

31%

43%

40%

37%

51%

28%

24%

37%

Kari Lake

36%

-

-

-

-

36%

-

-

-

-

-

-

38%

-

-

66%

12%

26%

20%

66%

8%

10%

68%

8%

12%

41%

30%

28%

33%

40%

42%

25%

34%

37%

42%

41%

18%

24%

20%

46%

27%

32%

21%

36%

7%

17%

19%

-

-

-

36%

36%

35%

12%

22%

68%

34%

38%

36%

31%

44%

41%

39%

50%

32%

22%

40%

Nikki Haley

31%

32%

30%

34%

29%

30%

30%

29%

34%

33%

36%

32%

33%

32%

32%

46%

17%

28%

8%

44%

20%

16%

50%

22%

33%

38%

24%

16%

24%

34%

50%

13%

22%

32%

50%

36%

14%

18%

22%

44%

18%

25%

26%

28%

11%

13%

19%

32%

30%

32%

29%

25%

41%

16%

24%

48%

25%

37%

32%

26%

33%

38%

33%

43%

26%

17%

27%

Mark Robinson

29%

-

-

29%

-

-

-

-

-

-

30%

-

-

-

-

54%

10%

20%

9%

52%

8%

9%

53%

8%

12%

33%

26%

25%

29%

30%

32%

25%

28%

31%

32%

35%

14%

31%

20%

38%

18%

41%

18%

32%

10%

25%

21%

-

-

29%

-

30%

28%

10%

18%

53%

27%

32%

27%

21%

37%

32%

27%

38%

22%

14%

36%

Jill Stein

12%

11%

11%

17%

12%

12%

13%

12%

11%

12%

17%

13%

13%

13%

13%

9%

17%

12%

5%

10%

15%

8%

10%

16%

18%

15%

10%

16%

17%

10%

7%

14%

19%

11%

7%

12%

15%

14%

13%

14%

18%

16%

14%

9%

12%

12%

12%

11%

12%

14%

12%

11%

15%

19%

12%

9%

11%

14%

11%

18%

8%

13%

21%

10%

10%

14%

7%

Cornel West

11%

11%

14%

12%

11%

11%

9%

11%

11%

15%

12%

11%

11%

10%

12%

9%

14%

12%

6%

10%

13%

9%

10%

14%

14%

14%

8%

12%

15%

10%

9%

10%

16%

10%

9%

10%

19%

11%

12%

13%

23%

13%

15%

7%

16%

9%

10%

11%

10%

13%

11%

10%

14%

16%

11%

9%

10%

13%

10%

17%

7%

12%

22%

10%

8%

12%

5%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

F1r: SUMMARY OF B2B - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Joe Biden

56%

56%

56%

57%

56%

58%

56%

54%

55%

56%

57%

56%

58%

56%

53%

90%

18%

60%

49%

91%

21%

61%

91%

19%

68%

59%

53%

55%

55%

59%

56%

55%

53%

59%

56%

62%

30%

51%

53%

63%

36%

59%

63%

61%

24%

45%

45%

56%

56%

57%

56%

58%

53%

19%

51%

86%

55%

58%

57%

45%

67%

61%

48%

69%

53%

41%

65%

Mark Robinson

55%

-

-

55%

-

-

-

-

-

-

57%

-

-

-

-

33%

77%

62%

39%

33%

79%

43%

35%

83%

63%

55%

55%

50%

51%

57%

64%

49%

52%

55%

64%

52%

67%

53%

55%

53%

63%

52%

61%

51%

69%

54%

52%

-

-

55%

-

50%

65%

78%

61%

35%

56%

56%

58%

62%

48%

57%

59%

51%

60%

66%

45%

Kari Lake

53%

-

-

-

-

53%

-

-

-

-

-

-

55%

-

-

26%

79%

61%

43%

24%

83%

60%

25%

88%

77%

48%

58%

51%

53%

55%

55%

52%

49%

57%

55%

52%

70%

54%

60%

50%

57%

41%

55%

55%

85%

64%

65%

-

-

-

53%

48%

60%

78%

64%

25%

52%

54%

55%

58%

39%

51%

51%

30%

59%

65%

45%

Sam Brown

52%

-

-

-

-

-

-

52%

-

-

-

-

-

-

53%

24%

84%

53%

11%

20%

85%

43%

24%

84%

64%

51%

53%

50%

48%

58%

53%

52%

47%

57%

53%

52%

69%

46%

58%

51%

66%

45%

61%

54%

71%

48%

54%

-

-

-

52%

50%

56%

81%

57%

23%

53%

52%

55%

52%

41%

55%

50%

41%

55%

55%

42%

Donald Trump

51%

52%

48%

50%

50%

51%

51%

51%

53%

49%

51%

51%

51%

52%

51%

13%

88%

56%

43%

9%

91%

56%

13%

90%

67%

47%

54%

49%

48%

51%

55%

51%

47%

50%

55%

46%

69%

55%

57%

44%

62%

47%

46%

48%

76%

61%

66%

52%

51%

49%

51%

48%

56%

85%

58%

19%

51%

50%

53%

55%

40%

49%

49%

38%

58%

62%

42%

Eric Hovde

49%

-

-

-

-

-

49%

-

-

-

-

-

-

50%

-

16%

82%

56%

40%

17%

82%

41%

15%

84%

51%

45%

53%

50%

44%

51%

52%

49%

45%

50%

52%

48%

64%

60%

44%

44%

68%

37%

37%

52%

58%

66%

52%

-

49%

-

-

47%

53%

81%

56%

19%

51%

48%

48%

52%

48%

46%

46%

42%

50%

59%

52%

Tammy Baldwin

49%

-

-

-

-

-

49%

-

-

-

-

-

-

49%

-

83%

9%

49%

41%

83%

15%

52%

86%

13%

64%

52%

46%

39%

46%

57%

52%

37%

44%

56%

52%

51%

26%

35%

36%

54%

26%

45%

36%

49%

25%

33%

35%

-

49%

-

-

51%

44%

9%

42%

83%

45%

52%

51%

38%

56%

54%

39%

61%

47%

36%

52%

Kamala Harris

48%

47%

48%

50%

48%

48%

49%

46%

48%

48%

51%

49%

50%

49%

46%

87%

6%

48%

43%

90%

6%

53%

88%

10%

58%

52%

44%

41%

45%

53%

53%

39%

45%

52%

53%

56%

18%

38%

42%

58%

25%

47%

52%

53%

12%

30%

34%

47%

48%

49%

47%

49%

46%

9%

40%

83%

46%

50%

49%

35%

61%

54%

39%

65%

43%

30%

58%

Dave McCormick

44%

44%

-

-

-

-

-

-

45%

-

-

-

-

-

-

17%

70%

48%

28%

15%

71%

37%

16%

74%

58%

43%

45%

38%

40%

44%

51%

40%

38%

43%

51%

43%

54%

39%

45%

42%

51%

41%

37%

44%

57%

36%

51%

44%

-

-

-

39%

50%

72%

51%

17%

43%

45%

46%

47%

36%

45%

43%

37%

48%

50%

36%

Tony Evers

43%

-

-

-

-

-

43%

-

-

-

-

-

-

45%

-

74%

11%

41%

27%

74%

14%

39%

78%

12%

51%

46%

41%

35%

39%

53%

47%

34%

37%

50%

47%

46%

28%

21%

24%

49%

21%

21%

28%

43%

37%

21%

19%

-

43%

-

-

45%

41%

12%

34%

75%

39%

47%

45%

35%

49%

47%

34%

58%

42%

36%

42%

Mike Rogers

43%

-

-

-

43%

-

-

-

-

-

-

44%

-

-

-

17%

70%

44%

24%

16%

71%

27%

16%

75%

39%

43%

43%

39%

38%

42%

51%

41%

38%

41%

51%

42%

53%

37%

39%

42%

51%

39%

36%

41%

56%

36%

42%

-

43%

-

-

41%

46%

72%

46%

18%

42%

44%

46%

42%

37%

47%

40%

37%

45%

44%

38%

Gretchen Whitmer

42%

-

-

-

42%

-

-

-

-

-

-

43%

-

-

-

77%

10%

39%

26%

76%

9%

42%

80%

11%

44%

46%

38%

34%

43%

45%

46%

32%

41%

45%

46%

48%

12%

30%

32%

52%

12%

49%

49%

45%

10%

18%

16%

-

42%

-

-

41%

43%

8%

34%

76%

39%

46%

39%

31%

57%

44%

35%

64%

33%

26%

52%

J.D. Vance

42%

44%

38%

41%

42%

42%

43%

43%

46%

40%

43%

44%

45%

46%

46%

14%

73%

43%

21%

11%

74%

31%

13%

78%

49%

41%

43%

38%

40%

43%

47%

38%

40%

42%

47%

40%

52%

44%

43%

39%

51%

44%

36%

40%

53%

43%

48%

44%

43%

39%

42%

37%

50%

77%

45%

15%

40%

44%

45%

46%

32%

43%

45%

32%

47%

47%

31%

Bob Casey

41%

41%

-

-

-

-

-

-

42%

-

-

-

-

-

-

72%

12%

36%

26%

73%

11%

38%

77%

11%

40%

46%

37%

34%

39%

44%

45%

31%

40%

44%

45%

45%

28%

25%

30%

49%

34%

26%

50%

41%

23%

23%

16%

41%

-

-

-

42%

40%

9%

33%

72%

38%

44%

42%

29%

50%

47%

32%

57%

37%

26%

44%

Tim Walz

40%

41%

38%

42%

40%

39%

42%

37%

43%

41%

43%

42%

42%

44%

39%

71%

11%

36%

21%

71%

10%

34%

74%

12%

45%

47%

34%

32%

36%

44%

49%

31%

34%

43%

49%

46%

20%

28%

32%

52%

25%

38%

44%

40%

15%

21%

23%

41%

41%

40%

38%

38%

43%

11%

30%

72%

37%

44%

41%

31%

48%

48%

37%

55%

34%

24%

43%

Elissa Slotkin

39%

-

-

-

39%

-

-

-

-

-

-

41%

-

-

-

68%

12%

38%

28%

68%

11%

34%

71%

14%

54%

43%

35%

32%

37%

42%

45%

30%

36%

42%

45%

43%

20%

25%

41%

47%

20%

36%

50%

38%

21%

18%

32%

-

39%

-

-

36%

44%

11%

32%

68%

35%

44%

38%

31%

48%

44%

36%

49%

32%

24%

47%

Ruben Gallego

39%

-

-

-

-

39%

-

-

-

-

-

-

41%

-

-

68%

10%

35%

14%

69%

9%

30%

71%

10%

42%

45%

33%

30%

34%

44%

47%

28%

34%

41%

47%

45%

38%

24%

24%

52%

34%

30%

17%

38%

42%

19%

31%

-

-

-

39%

37%

42%

11%

29%

68%

36%

41%

41%

33%

42%

47%

40%

49%

36%

26%

38%

Jacky Rosen

38%

-

-

-

-

-

-

38%

-

-

-

-

-

-

39%

69%

10%

35%

33%

67%

11%

30%

67%

10%

34%

44%

33%

33%

37%

39%

46%

31%

36%

39%

46%

41%

24%

36%

34%

45%

28%

46%

34%

36%

20%

29%

34%

-

-

-

38%

37%

40%

17%

30%

68%

39%

38%

38%

37%

46%

43%

43%

49%

32%

31%

44%

Katie Hobbs

38%

-

-

-

-

38%

-

-

-

-

-

-

39%

-

-

64%

11%

34%

23%

64%

12%

34%

69%

13%

33%

43%

33%

30%

30%

42%

48%

28%

32%

40%

48%

44%

27%

23%

25%

50%

33%

28%

22%

38%

20%

19%

29%

-

-

-

38%

35%

42%

10%

29%

66%

35%

41%

41%

32%

42%

47%

37%

46%

34%

27%

40%

Joe Lombardo

36%

-

-

-

-

-

-

36%

-

-

-

-

-

-

38%

17%

59%

34%

13%

17%

56%

27%

16%

61%

27%

39%

34%

34%

37%

42%

32%

36%

35%

40%

32%

34%

42%

39%

36%

35%

47%

45%

48%

34%

38%

35%

25%

-

-

-

36%

35%

39%

62%

34%

18%

38%

35%

34%

39%

29%

39%

38%

37%

30%

41%

24%

Roy Cooper

36%

-

-

36%

-

-

-

-

-

-

37%

-

-

-

-

61%

12%

31%

36%

60%

12%

33%

63%

11%

25%

40%

33%

33%

33%

38%

41%

33%

32%

38%

41%

43%

18%

32%

34%

46%

21%

43%

37%

40%

15%

24%

33%

-

-

36%

-

38%

33%

10%

26%

63%

34%

40%

33%

27%

45%

37%

34%

47%

30%

20%

43%

Brian Kemp

33%

-

33%

-

-

-

-

-

-

33%

-

-

-

-

-

13%

58%

30%

26%

16%

51%

25%

15%

56%

24%

31%

35%

37%

34%

34%

24%

35%

37%

34%

24%

23%

46%

49%

26%

23%

41%

53%

24%

23%

50%

45%

28%

-

-

33%

-

32%

33%

61%

35%

13%

32%

34%

35%

40%

21%

31%

39%

19%

39%

41%

22%

Nikki Haley

32%

33%

31%

34%

32%

30%

32%

33%

34%

33%

36%

34%

33%

34%

35%

23%

45%

30%

16%

23%

43%

20%

22%

48%

30%

35%

29%

30%

32%

33%

34%

29%

33%

33%

34%

32%

35%

28%

31%

35%

38%

34%

33%

29%

32%

23%

29%

33%

32%

33%

31%

28%

39%

52%

29%

23%

30%

35%

34%

33%

27%

37%

36%

31%

31%

30%

25%

Josh Shapiro

32%

32%

-

-

-

-

-

-

32%

-

-

-

-

-

-

57%

8%

26%

26%

57%

8%

29%

60%

7%

26%

36%

28%

30%

31%

34%

31%

27%

32%

34%

31%

34%

24%

20%

29%

39%

28%

21%

34%

29%

21%

18%

25%

32%

-

-

-

33%

30%

9%

22%

58%

31%

33%

32%

26%

38%

36%

29%

44%

27%

22%

33%

Jill Stein

28%

29%

27%

29%

29%

26%

30%

29%

30%

30%

30%

32%

28%

32%

31%

31%

29%

24%

13%

30%

28%

18%

33%

31%

27%

34%

23%

25%

27%

28%

34%

24%

27%

28%

34%

30%

25%

23%

23%

36%

29%

31%

26%

24%

21%

17%

20%

29%

30%

28%

27%

25%

34%

33%

22%

33%

26%

31%

29%

28%

27%

35%

34%

33%

23%

22%

23%

Josh Stein

27%

-

-

27%

-

-

-

-

-

-

29%

-

-

-

-

45%

9%

26%

16%

45%

10%

22%

48%

10%

34%

31%

24%

24%

25%

27%

33%

26%

22%

28%

33%

32%

14%

23%

33%

36%

14%

31%

34%

28%

13%

18%

32%

-

-

27%

-

26%

30%

10%

19%

47%

24%

32%

28%

19%

31%

33%

22%

34%

24%

16%

28%

Cornel West

23%

22%

24%

25%

23%

22%

23%

25%

23%

26%

26%

24%

24%

24%

27%

25%

24%

21%

10%

25%

22%

15%

27%

25%

24%

30%

16%

19%

22%

22%

29%

18%

21%

22%

29%

24%

23%

19%

21%

31%

27%

27%

26%

17%

19%

13%

17%

22%

23%

24%

23%

20%

28%

26%

19%

27%

21%

26%

24%

23%

22%

31%

29%

30%

17%

17%

16%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

F1r: SUMMARY OF 'NEVER HEARD OF THEM' - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Cornel West

30%

31%

26%

27%

31%

32%

32%

29%

30%

25%

26%

30%

30%

31%

29%

31%

30%

26%

33%

30%

30%

26%

28%

27%

23%

23%

36%

37%

29%

30%

22%

39%

31%

30%

22%

30%

25%

36%

28%

23%

21%

30%

20%

37%

28%

41%

35%

31%

32%

27%

31%

33%

25%

28%

32%

29%

31%

28%

30%

27%

33%

24%

21%

25%

35%

34%

39%

Jill Stein

20%

20%

22%

15%

21%

22%

19%

22%

20%

20%

14%

19%

20%

17%

21%

21%

19%

19%

24%

21%

19%

21%

19%

16%

13%

16%

24%

26%

19%

20%

15%

28%

19%

20%

15%

19%

23%

24%

22%

15%

20%

21%

17%

23%

26%

27%

25%

20%

20%

19%

22%

23%

14%

16%

23%

20%

23%

17%

19%

20%

21%

16%

16%

16%

23%

24%

25%

Nikki Haley

15%

14%

14%

11%

15%

17%

16%

16%

12%

13%

9%

13%

14%

14%

15%

12%

16%

15%

29%

14%

15%

19%

10%

11%

10%

10%

19%

27%

17%

11%

4%

29%

18%

12%

4%

12%

20%

27%

17%

7%

18%

20%

13%

17%

21%

32%

21%

14%

16%

13%

17%

19%

7%

14%

19%

11%

19%

11%

13%

18%

15%

8%

13%

10%

18%

23%

19%

Josh Stein

7%

-

-

7%

-

-

-

-

-

-

5%

-

-

-

-

8%

5%

8%

18%

8%

5%

13%

7%

3%

4%

5%

8%

13%

9%

5%

1%

13%

9%

6%

1%

6%

8%

10%

8%

4%

9%

0%

11%

8%

7%

18%

6%

-

-

7%

-

9%

3%

6%

8%

6%

8%

5%

6%

7%

8%

5%

5%

6%

6%

10%

10%

Tim Walz

6%

5%

8%

6%

6%

7%

6%

8%

4%

6%

4%

4%

4%

4%

6%

5%

5%

8%

19%

6%

6%

12%

4%

3%

7%

5%

8%

13%

7%

4%

1%

14%

8%

4%

1%

5%

10%

12%

9%

3%

10%

10%

4%

6%

10%

13%

14%

5%

6%

7%

7%

9%

2%

4%

9%

4%

8%

4%

5%

7%

7%

4%

6%

5%

7%

9%

8%

Katie Hobbs

6%

-

-

-

-

6%

-

-

-

-

-

-

5%

-

-

5%

5%

7%

14%

6%

6%

6%

5%

4%

5%

5%

7%

16%

5%

1%

2%

18%

7%

2%

2%

4%

6%

11%

9%

3%

8%

10%

12%

5%

3%

12%

6%

-

-

-

6%

9%

2%

8%

7%

3%

8%

5%

6%

6%

7%

5%

4%

9%

6%

8%

6%

Elissa Slotkin

6%

-

-

-

6%

-

-

-

-

-

-

5%

-

-

-

7%

4%

5%

20%

7%

4%

11%

5%

2%

10%

6%

6%

14%

6%

3%

2%

18%

5%

3%

2%

5%

6%

10%

9%

4%

9%

12%

9%

6%

3%

9%

9%

-

6%

-

-

8%

2%

4%

7%

6%

7%

4%

5%

9%

4%

4%

8%

6%

7%

10%

3%

Joe Lombardo

6%

-

-

-

-

-

-

6%

-

-

-

-

-

-

4%

5%

7%

6%

7%

5%

6%

15%

3%

5%

0%

4%

8%

12%

4%

4%

1%

16%

5%

4%

1%

5%

11%

7%

6%

3%

7%

7%

0%

7%

15%

6%

13%

-

-

-

6%

6%

5%

6%

6%

5%

7%

4%

5%

7%

3%

2%

6%

0%

9%

7%

5%

J.D. Vance

6%

4%

7%

6%

6%

6%

5%

8%

3%

5%

4%

4%

3%

4%

6%

4%

6%

7%

19%

4%

6%

12%

3%

3%

7%

4%

7%

12%

7%

3%

1%

14%

8%

3%

1%

4%

11%

13%

6%

3%

10%

9%

4%

5%

12%

15%

8%

4%

5%

7%

6%

8%

2%

5%

8%

3%

8%

3%

4%

8%

6%

3%

7%

4%

6%

10%

7%

Mike Rogers

5%

-

-

-

5%

-

-

-

-

-

-

4%

-

-

-

3%

7%

5%

7%

3%

6%

7%

2%

3%

4%

4%

5%

10%

5%

3%

1%

13%

5%

4%

1%

4%

9%

8%

5%

2%

10%

14%

5%

5%

7%

3%

6%

-

5%

-

-

6%

2%

6%

6%

3%

6%

4%

5%

6%

3%

4%

6%

2%

6%

6%

4%

Mark Robinson

4%

-

-

4%

-

-

-

-

-

-

3%

-

-

-

-

2%

5%

6%

8%

3%

5%

12%

2%

3%

4%

3%

5%

9%

3%

3%

1%

10%

5%

2%

1%

3%

5%

9%

5%

2%

6%

0%

2%

4%

5%

15%

6%

-

-

4%

-

5%

2%

6%

5%

2%

5%

3%

5%

4%

3%

4%

2%

2%

6%

6%

4%

Eric Hovde

4%

-

-

-

-

-

4%

-

-

-

-

-

-

3%

-

3%

4%

6%

0%

3%

5%

4%

2%

3%

3%

4%

4%

10%

4%

1%

0%

11%

6%

1%

0%

3%

15%

5%

4%

3%

10%

0%

7%

4%

21%

7%

0%

-

4%

-

-

5%

2%

4%

5%

3%

5%

3%

3%

5%

4%

3%

5%

2%

3%

5%

6%

Brian Kemp

4%

-

4%

-

-

-

-

-

-

3%

-

-

-

-

-

3%

5%

3%

15%

2%

5%

4%

1%

5%

3%

3%

5%

9%

3%

1%

0%

13%

3%

1%

0%

2%

7%

8%

3%

2%

5%

6%

0%

2%

8%

10%

6%

-

-

4%

-

4%

3%

4%

5%

2%

4%

4%

3%

7%

3%

2%

5%

2%

4%

8%

3%

Dave McCormick

3%

3%

-

-

-

-

-

-

3%

-

-

-

-

-

-

3%

3%

4%

9%

3%

3%

8%

2%

3%

3%

3%

4%

9%

3%

2%

1%

9%

5%

2%

1%

3%

3%

11%

4%

3%

4%

10%

3%

3%

3%

12%

4%

3%

-

-

-

4%

3%

4%

4%

3%

4%

3%

4%

5%

1%

4%

4%

0%

3%

6%

2%

Roy Cooper

3%

-

-

3%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2%

-

-

-

-

3%

3%

2%

8%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

4%

2%

4%

6%

3%

2%

0%

7%

4%

2%

0%

2%

4%

9%

4%

2%

4%

0%

7%

3%

3%

15%

2%

-

-

3%

-

3%

2%

4%

3%

2%

4%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

3%

2%

4%

5%

3%

Ruben Gallego

3%

-

-

-

-

3%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2%

-

-

3%

2%

3%

11%

4%

2%

4%

3%

1%

0%

3%

3%

7%

3%

0%

1%

8%

4%

1%

1%

2%

1%

4%

4%

1%

0%

6%

6%

3%

3%

3%

3%

-

-

-

3%

4%

1%

3%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

4%

3%

3%

3%

Josh Shapiro

3%

3%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

5%

2%

3%

7%

3%

1%

0%

8%

4%

1%

0%

2%

3%

8%

5%

2%

4%

10%

0%

2%

3%

5%

8%

3%

-

-

-

3%

1%

3%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

5%

2%

2%

6%

1%

2%

4%

3%

Jacky Rosen

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2%

2%

1%

4%

3%

4%

1%

5%

3%

1%

0%

3%

2%

6%

1%

1%

1%

8%

1%

1%

1%

2%

5%

4%

1%

2%

5%

7%

0%

2%

5%

1%

2%

-

-

-

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

3%

3%

7%

2%

1%

1%

Kari Lake

2%

-

-

-

-

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

1%

-

-

2%

2%

3%

6%

2%

3%

2%

1%

1%

0%

3%

2%

5%

3%

0%

2%

5%

3%

1%

2%

1%

0%

5%

4%

1%

0%

8%

0%

2%

0%

2%

7%

-

-

-

2%

3%

1%

3%

3%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

4%

3%

1%

4%

2%

2%

3%

Sam Brown

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2%

1%

4%

2%

2%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

0%

2%

3%

4%

3%

1%

0%

4%

4%

1%

0%

2%

5%

4%

1%

1%

5%

4%

0%

2%

4%

4%

2%

-

-

-

2%

2%

2%

4%

2%

1%

2%

3%

1%

4%

1%

1%

3%

0%

2%

4%

1%

Tony Evers

2%

-

-

-

-

-

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2%

-

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

5%

1%

0%

3%

2%

2%

6%

2%

1%

0%

6%

3%

1%

0%

1%

9%

8%

3%

2%

5%

0%

4%

1%

13%

11%

3%

-

2%

-

-

3%

1%

2%

3%

2%

3%

1%

2%

4%

2%

1%

3%

3%

2%

4%

1%

Bob Casey

2%

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

5%

2%

2%

6%

2%

1%

0%

6%

3%

1%

0%

2%

1%

4%

6%

2%

0%

5%

4%

2%

2%

2%

7%

2%

-

-

-

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

1%

2%

3%

0%

2%

2%

2%

Gretchen Whitmer

2%

-

-

-

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

1%

-

-

-

2%

1%

2%

7%

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

13%

2%

2%

5%

2%

1%

1%

6%

2%

1%

1%

2%

3%

6%

2%

2%

3%

0%

0%

2%

3%

9%

4%

-

2%

-

-

3%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

4%

2%

1%

4%

1%

2%

5%

2%

Tammy Baldwin

2%

-

-

-

-

-

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

1%

-

2%

1%

2%

0%

2%

1%

2%

1%

0%

2%

2%

1%

2%

3%

1%

0%

2%

3%

1%

0%

1%

2%

8%

4%

1%

4%

6%

7%

1%

0%

8%

0%

-

2%

-

-

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

3%

1%

1%

3%

2%

0%

3%

1%

Joe Biden

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

Kamala Harris

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

Donald Trump

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

F1r: SUMMARY OF 'NO OPINION' - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Jill Stein

39%

41%

40%

39%

38%

41%

39%

37%

40%

38%

39%

37%

39%

38%

36%

38%

35%

44%

58%

38%

38%

52%

38%

37%

42%

35%

43%

33%

38%

43%

44%

33%

36%

42%

44%

39%

37%

39%

43%

35%

33%

31%

43%

44%

40%

44%

43%

41%

38%

39%

39%

41%

37%

32%

44%

39%

40%

38%

40%

34%

43%

36%

28%

41%

44%

40%

44%

Cornel West

36%

37%

36%

37%

35%

36%

36%

35%

35%

33%

36%

34%

35%

35%

32%

35%

32%

40%

50%

35%

35%

50%

35%

34%

39%

32%

39%

32%

34%

38%

40%

32%

32%

38%

40%

36%

33%

34%

38%

33%

29%

29%

39%

40%

37%

37%

38%

37%

35%

36%

35%

38%

33%

31%

39%

35%

38%

33%

36%

33%

38%

33%

28%

36%

40%

38%

40%

Nikki Haley

23%

22%

24%

21%

23%

23%

22%

22%

19%

21%

19%

20%

20%

19%

19%

19%

21%

27%

47%

20%

22%

44%

18%

19%

27%

17%

28%

28%

27%

22%

13%

29%

27%

23%

13%

20%

31%

28%

30%

14%

26%

22%

28%

26%

35%

32%

31%

22%

23%

23%

23%

28%

14%

18%

28%

18%

26%

18%

21%

24%

24%

16%

18%

17%

26%

30%

30%

Josh Stein

21%

-

-

21%

-

-

-

-

-

-

18%

-

-

-

-

24%

14%

22%

53%

24%

15%

47%

21%

12%

27%

16%

25%

28%

24%

19%

11%

28%

26%

19%

11%

19%

26%

20%

24%

14%

26%

13%

18%

24%

26%

25%

27%

-

-

21%

-

26%

11%

13%

25%

21%

21%

18%

19%

22%

23%

14%

19%

17%

23%

24%

27%

Katie Hobbs

18%

-

-

-

-

18%

-

-

-

-

-

-

14%

-

-

14%

15%

23%

43%

16%

16%

43%

12%

10%

22%

14%

22%

26%

24%

18%

6%

28%

25%

17%

6%

14%

25%

28%

24%

8%

16%

31%

25%

20%

37%

25%

23%

-

-

-

18%

23%

10%

13%

23%

14%

21%

14%

14%

20%

26%

11%

15%

24%

17%

26%

28%

Mike Rogers

17%

-

-

-

17%

-

-

-

-

-

-

13%

-

-

-

13%

13%

23%

58%

15%

14%

48%

11%

11%

33%

12%

22%

27%

22%

16%

4%

26%

24%

17%

4%

15%

21%

25%

22%

10%

24%

0%

13%

20%

17%

42%

30%

-

17%

-

-

20%

10%

11%

24%

12%

21%

12%

15%

21%

16%

10%

17%

10%

21%

26%

21%

Joe Lombardo

16%

-

-

-

-

-

-

16%

-

-

-

-

-

-

13%

12%

15%

18%

57%

13%

15%

42%

9%

10%

20%

11%

21%

29%

14%

11%

8%

31%

17%

12%

8%

11%

24%

28%

20%

7%

18%

19%

22%

15%

30%

36%

17%

-

-

-

16%

20%

9%

12%

22%

11%

19%

13%

17%

15%

19%

10%

13%

4%

23%

17%

28%

Tim Walz

15%

13%

17%

14%

16%

16%

13%

17%

10%

13%

11%

12%

13%

10%

14%

12%

11%

22%

51%

13%

13%

46%

11%

9%

23%

11%

19%

22%

19%

13%

6%

23%

20%

14%

6%

12%

20%

24%

20%

9%

18%

15%

18%

16%

22%

31%

22%

13%

15%

15%

17%

19%

8%

8%

22%

11%

18%

11%

13%

17%

17%

10%

12%

11%

16%

22%

21%

Dave McCormick

15%

15%

-

-

-

-

-

-

12%

-

-

-

-

-

-

11%

14%

23%

52%

12%

15%

37%

10%

11%

17%

11%

19%

23%

21%

13%

5%

23%

22%

15%

5%

13%

21%

27%

19%

9%

17%

20%

14%

16%

25%

35%

23%

15%

-

-

-

19%

9%

12%

21%

11%

18%

11%

13%

18%

16%

9%

14%

11%

17%

23%

20%

Josh Shapiro

15%

15%

-

-

-

-

-

-

12%

-

-

-

-

-

-

14%

10%

22%

52%

14%

12%

38%

11%

7%

11%

10%

19%

25%

19%

12%

4%

27%

20%

13%

4%

12%

19%

28%

24%

9%

15%

12%

23%

16%

23%

45%

26%

15%

-

-

-

19%

8%

8%

20%

13%

18%

12%

13%

16%

16%

9%

12%

11%

17%

21%

20%

Elissa Slotkin

14%

-

-

-

14%

-

-

-

-

-

-

11%

-

-

-

13%

9%

22%

43%

14%

11%

41%

11%

8%

21%

10%

19%

22%

17%

14%

5%

21%

20%

14%

5%

13%

20%

15%

15%

9%

19%

0%

6%

17%

22%

26%

23%

-

14%

-

-

18%

8%

9%

20%

12%

18%

10%

11%

18%

17%

6%

14%

15%

16%

23%

19%

Bob Casey

13%

13%

-

-

-

-

-

-

10%

-

-

-

-

-

-

11%

11%

21%

54%

12%

11%

44%

9%

8%

15%

9%

17%

25%

18%

11%

2%

27%

20%

12%

2%

11%

17%

25%

24%

8%

16%

16%

12%

15%

18%

35%

32%

13%

-

-

-

17%

8%

10%

19%

11%

16%

10%

12%

14%

15%

9%

11%

8%

16%

18%

20%

J.D. Vance

13%

13%

15%

12%

14%

13%

12%

16%

9%

12%

10%

10%

10%

10%

13%

9%

11%

20%

47%

11%

12%

43%

9%

9%

15%

10%

17%

21%

18%

11%

4%

22%

19%

12%

4%

11%

21%

19%

19%

7%

19%

13%

17%

14%

23%

25%

21%

13%

13%

14%

14%

18%

6%

8%

20%

8%

17%

10%

11%

16%

15%

9%

12%

10%

14%

20%

18%

Ruben Gallego

13%

-

-

-

-

13%

-

-

-

-

-

-

10%

-

-

9%

7%

19%

48%

12%

10%

41%

9%

6%

20%

12%

14%

23%

17%

11%

3%

23%

20%

11%

3%

11%

17%

19%

17%

8%

25%

25%

19%

14%

7%

15%

15%

-

-

-

13%

18%

7%

8%

17%

11%

16%

10%

12%

12%

20%

11%

11%

22%

12%

14%

19%

Roy Cooper

12%

-

-

12%

-

-

-

-

-

-

10%

-

-

-

-

11%

11%

12%

40%

11%

11%

33%

9%

7%

23%

10%

14%

22%

14%

8%

4%

24%

15%

9%

4%

9%

18%

14%

17%

7%

18%

13%

15%

12%

19%

14%

18%

-

-

12%

-

15%

7%

11%

15%

10%

13%

10%

12%

12%

12%

9%

11%

9%

14%

14%

15%

Mark Robinson

11%

-

-

11%

-

-

-

-

-

-

9%

-

-

-

-

11%

9%

12%

45%

12%

8%

36%

10%

6%

21%

9%

14%

16%

16%

10%

3%

17%

15%

11%

3%

10%

15%

7%

20%

7%

13%

8%

18%

13%

16%

6%

21%

-

-

11%

-

15%

6%

6%

16%

9%

12%

9%

10%

13%

12%

7%

12%

9%

13%

14%

15%

Jacky Rosen

11%

-

-

-

-

-

-

11%

-

-

-

-

-

-

8%

7%

9%

14%

62%

9%

9%

45%

7%

4%

19%

6%

16%

21%

12%

5%

3%

25%

13%

6%

3%

8%

14%

20%

15%

5%

10%

7%

16%

11%

18%

29%

14%

-

-

-

11%

14%

5%

8%

16%

7%

13%

8%

11%

12%

9%

5%

8%

3%

16%

17%

13%

Brian Kemp

11%

-

11%

-

-

-

-

-

-

8%

-

-

-

-

-

5%

10%

19%

38%

7%

12%

38%

5%

7%

19%

10%

13%

17%

15%

7%

4%

18%

16%

8%

4%

7%

15%

14%

22%

6%

16%

8%

15%

9%

15%

20%

28%

-

-

11%

-

14%

7%

11%

16%

6%

15%

6%

10%

14%

11%

10%

12%

6%

10%

17%

14%

Tony Evers

10%

-

-

-

-

-

10%

-

-

-

-

-

-

7%

-

6%

8%

11%

57%

8%

7%

40%

5%

6%

10%

8%

12%

20%

13%

5%

2%

22%

15%

6%

2%

8%

14%

29%

26%

5%

18%

53%

23%

11%

9%

22%

29%

-

10%

-

-

13%

5%

6%

17%

5%

12%

8%

10%

10%

11%

10%

7%

6%

10%

13%

15%

Sam Brown

9%

-

-

-

-

-

-

9%

-

-

-

-

-

-

7%

4%

5%

16%

66%

7%

6%

45%

6%

4%

19%

6%

13%

17%

10%

6%

2%

18%

11%

7%

2%

5%

14%

18%

15%

3%

10%

10%

17%

8%

17%

24%

13%

-

-

-

9%

12%

5%

3%

15%

6%

11%

8%

9%

9%

12%

4%

7%

6%

14%

11%

15%

Kari Lake

9%

-

-

-

-

9%

-

-

-

-

-

-

6%

-

-

6%

7%

10%

32%

8%

6%

28%

6%

3%

12%

8%

9%

17%

12%

5%

2%

18%

13%

6%

2%

5%

12%

17%

16%

3%

16%

19%

24%

7%

7%

16%

9%

-

-

-

9%

12%

3%

6%

12%

6%

11%

6%

6%

10%

13%

5%

9%

16%

7%

11%

12%

Eric Hovde

8%

-

-

-

-

-

8%

-

-

-

-

-

-

6%

-

5%

6%

9%

57%

7%

5%

34%

5%

4%

11%

7%

10%

14%

11%

6%

3%

16%

12%

7%

3%

7%

11%

14%

27%

5%

11%

18%

23%

9%

10%

13%

31%

-

8%

-

-

10%

5%

6%

13%

5%

10%

7%

8%

10%

8%

7%

8%

5%

10%

12%

9%

Tammy Baldwin

8%

-

-

-

-

-

8%

-

-

-

-

-

-

6%

-

4%

5%

11%

50%

6%

5%

39%

4%

4%

10%

7%

9%

17%

10%

3%

2%

19%

12%

3%

2%

7%

10%

15%

23%

5%

10%

18%

22%

8%

12%

14%

25%

-

8%

-

-

10%

5%

5%

13%

3%

9%

6%

7%

9%

8%

7%

8%

5%

7%

11%

11%

Gretchen Whitmer

6%

-

-

-

6%

-

-

-

-

-

-

4%

-

-

-

3%

5%

10%

38%

4%

4%

34%

2%

3%

11%

5%

8%

14%

7%

4%

1%

16%

10%

3%

1%

5%

11%

16%

12%

3%

12%

0%

5%

6%

8%

26%

18%

-

6%

-

-

9%

3%

4%

10%

3%

8%

4%

5%

12%

5%

3%

11%

1%

8%

13%

7%

Joe Biden

5%

4%

5%

4%

5%

5%

5%

7%

3%

3%

2%

3%

3%

3%

4%

2%

3%

9%

37%

2%

4%

31%

2%

3%

12%

4%

6%

10%

6%

3%

1%

11%

7%

3%

1%

3%

9%

10%

10%

2%

9%

6%

7%

5%

9%

13%

13%

4%

5%

5%

6%

7%

2%

3%

9%

2%

7%

3%

5%

6%

5%

3%

4%

3%

6%

8%

6%

Kamala Harris

3%

3%

4%

3%

3%

4%

4%

4%

1%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

6%

30%

2%

1%

30%

1%

1%

10%

3%

4%

6%

4%

2%

1%

7%

5%

2%

1%

2%

6%

6%

7%

2%

6%

4%

6%

3%

6%

7%

7%

3%

3%

3%

4%

5%

1%

1%

6%

1%

5%

2%

3%

4%

4%

3%

3%

2%

3%

5%

5%

Donald Trump

3%

3%

4%

3%

3%

2%

3%

3%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

5%

26%

1%

2%

27%

1%

1%

11%

2%

4%

6%

4%

2%

1%

6%

5%

2%

1%

2%

7%

5%

6%

1%

6%

3%

6%

2%

7%

7%

6%

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

1%

2%

5%

1%

4%

1%

2%

4%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

4%

4%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

F1r1: Joe Biden - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

38%

39%

37%

38%

38%

36%

38%

39%

41%

40%

39%

40%

38%

40%

42%

7%

78%

31%

13%

5%

75%

7%

6%

78%

17%

36%

39%

33%

39%

38%

42%

32%

38%

38%

42%

34%

60%

38%

36%

34%

54%

35%

29%

33%

66%

42%

42%

39%

38%

38%

37%

34%

44%

76%

39%

11%

37%

39%

38%

48%

27%

35%

46%

27%

40%

50%

28%

Very favorable

16%

17%

18%

16%

18%

14%

15%

17%

18%

19%

17%

19%

15%

16%

19%

2%

39%

8%

3%

2%

33%

1%

2%

37%

3%

16%

17%

12%

16%

17%

21%

12%

15%

16%

21%

14%

31%

16%

12%

15%

28%

15%

11%

13%

35%

17%

13%

17%

16%

17%

15%

15%

18%

38%

14%

5%

17%

16%

15%

23%

12%

14%

23%

12%

17%

22%

12%

Favorable

21%

22%

20%

22%

20%

22%

23%

22%

23%

21%

22%

21%

23%

24%

23%

5%

40%

23%

11%

3%

42%

6%

4%

41%

14%

20%

23%

21%

23%

21%

21%

20%

23%

21%

21%

20%

29%

22%

24%

19%

26%

19%

18%

20%

31%

25%

29%

22%

22%

21%

22%

19%

25%

38%

25%

6%

20%

23%

22%

25%

16%

21%

23%

15%

24%

28%

16%

Unfavorable

16%

15%

16%

16%

15%

15%

16%

17%

14%

14%

15%

14%

14%

15%

16%

15%

12%

21%

21%

15%

15%

27%

13%

13%

27%

15%

16%

22%

18%

13%

10%

23%

18%

14%

10%

15%

15%

20%

19%

14%

15%

21%

19%

16%

14%

20%

19%

15%

15%

16%

16%

16%

15%

12%

19%

14%

15%

16%

16%

16%

15%

15%

17%

13%

17%

15%

16%

Very unfavorable

41%

41%

40%

41%

41%

43%

40%

37%

41%

42%

42%

43%

43%

41%

37%

75%

5%

39%

28%

76%

6%

33%

78%

6%

41%

44%

37%

33%

37%

46%

47%

32%

36%

45%

47%

47%

15%

31%

34%

49%

20%

38%

44%

46%

10%

25%

25%

41%

41%

41%

40%

42%

38%

7%

32%

73%

40%

42%

41%

29%

52%

46%

31%

56%

36%

26%

50%

NET UNFAVORABLE

56%

56%

56%

57%

56%

58%

56%

54%

55%

56%

57%

56%

58%

56%

53%

90%

18%

60%

49%

91%

21%

61%

91%

19%

68%

59%

53%

55%

55%

59%

56%

55%

53%

59%

56%

62%

30%

51%

53%

63%

36%

59%

63%

61%

24%

45%

45%

56%

56%

57%

56%

58%

53%

19%

51%

86%

55%

58%

57%

45%

67%

61%

48%

69%

53%

41%

65%

Never heard of them

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

No opinion

5%

4%

5%

4%

5%

5%

5%

7%

3%

3%

2%

3%

3%

3%

4%

2%

3%

9%

37%

2%

4%

31%

2%

3%

12%

4%

6%

10%

6%

3%

1%

11%

7%

3%

1%

3%

9%

10%

10%

2%

9%

6%

7%

5%

9%

13%

13%

4%

5%

5%

6%

7%

2%

3%

9%

2%

7%

3%

5%

6%

5%

3%

4%

3%

6%

8%

6%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

F1r2: Kamala Harris - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

48%

49%

48%

47%

48%

47%

47%

50%

51%

49%

48%

49%

48%

49%

51%

11%

93%

44%

26%

7%

93%

16%

10%

89%

32%

44%

51%

52%

50%

45%

45%

53%

50%

45%

45%

41%

76%

55%

50%

40%

69%

48%

40%

43%

81%

61%

59%

49%

47%

47%

48%

46%

52%

89%

53%

15%

49%

47%

48%

60%

35%

43%

57%

32%

53%

64%

37%

Very favorable

30%

31%

32%

30%

31%

30%

29%

29%

33%

34%

32%

33%

31%

32%

32%

4%

68%

19%

11%

2%

63%

2%

4%

63%

13%

28%

33%

29%

29%

31%

32%

30%

28%

31%

32%

26%

53%

35%

26%

25%

47%

32%

22%

27%

57%

37%

29%

31%

30%

31%

29%

29%

33%

66%

29%

9%

31%

30%

30%

39%

22%

26%

37%

20%

34%

41%

24%

Favorable

18%

18%

16%

17%

17%

18%

18%

20%

18%

15%

16%

16%

17%

17%

20%

6%

24%

25%

16%

5%

30%

14%

6%

26%

19%

16%

19%

22%

21%

14%

13%

23%

21%

15%

13%

16%

23%

20%

24%

15%

22%

16%

18%

16%

24%

24%

30%

18%

17%

16%

19%

17%

19%

23%

24%

6%

18%

18%

18%

21%

12%

16%

20%

11%

20%

23%

13%

Unfavorable

11%

9%

10%

12%

10%

10%

12%

11%

9%

9%

11%

9%

10%

11%

11%

13%

3%

16%

18%

14%

5%

26%

13%

5%

23%

11%

11%

13%

13%

10%

7%

12%

13%

10%

7%

11%

7%

12%

15%

10%

9%

13%

14%

11%

5%

11%

15%

9%

11%

11%

11%

11%

11%

4%

14%

11%

10%

11%

10%

11%

11%

10%

12%

10%

10%

10%

13%

Very unfavorable

37%

38%

38%

38%

38%

38%

37%

35%

39%

39%

40%

40%

40%

38%

36%

74%

3%

33%

24%

76%

1%

27%

75%

4%

36%

42%

33%

28%

33%

43%

46%

27%

31%

42%

46%

45%

11%

25%

28%

48%

16%

33%

38%

42%

7%

19%

19%

38%

37%

38%

37%

38%

36%

5%

27%

72%

36%

39%

39%

24%

50%

44%

27%

55%

33%

21%

45%

NET UNFAVORABLE

48%

47%

48%

50%

48%

48%

49%

46%

48%

48%

51%

49%

50%

49%

46%

87%

6%

48%

43%

90%

6%

53%

88%

10%

58%

52%

44%

41%

45%

53%

53%

39%

45%

52%

53%

56%

18%

38%

42%

58%

25%

47%

52%

53%

12%

30%

34%

47%

48%

49%

47%

49%

46%

9%

40%

83%

46%

50%

49%

35%

61%

54%

39%

65%

43%

30%

58%

Never heard of them

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

No opinion

3%

3%

4%

3%

3%

4%

4%

4%

1%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

6%

30%

2%

1%

30%

1%

1%

10%

3%

4%

6%

4%

2%

1%

7%

5%

2%

1%

2%

6%

6%

7%

2%

6%

4%

6%

3%

6%

7%

7%

3%

3%

3%

4%

5%

1%

1%

6%

1%

5%

2%

3%

4%

4%

3%

3%

2%

3%

5%

5%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

F1r3: Donald Trump - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

46%

44%

47%

46%

46%

47%

45%

45%

45%

48%

47%

46%

48%

46%

46%

86%

9%

38%

30%

90%

6%

16%

86%

8%

21%

50%

41%

44%

47%

48%

44%

41%

48%

48%

44%

52%

22%

39%

37%

55%

30%

49%

48%

49%

15%

30%

28%

44%

45%

47%

46%

48%

43%

12%

36%

80%

44%

47%

44%

40%

56%

49%

47%

59%

39%

33%

54%

Very favorable

28%

28%

29%

29%

27%

29%

27%

28%

29%

31%

31%

30%

31%

28%

29%

59%

3%

18%

15%

59%

2%

3%

58%

2%

6%

32%

25%

26%

28%

29%

30%

25%

28%

29%

30%

33%

12%

23%

19%

35%

15%

30%

24%

30%

8%

17%

15%

28%

27%

29%

28%

30%

25%

7%

18%

54%

28%

28%

27%

23%

37%

30%

27%

40%

23%

19%

34%

Favorable

18%

16%

18%

17%

18%

18%

18%

17%

16%

18%

17%

17%

17%

18%

17%

27%

6%

21%

15%

32%

4%

13%

28%

5%

14%

19%

16%

18%

19%

19%

15%

16%

19%

19%

15%

19%

11%

16%

18%

19%

15%

19%

24%

19%

7%

13%

13%

16%

18%

18%

17%

17%

18%

5%

18%

26%

16%

19%

17%

17%

19%

18%

20%

19%

16%

14%

20%

Unfavorable

10%

9%

13%

10%

9%

10%

10%

10%

9%

12%

10%

8%

9%

9%

9%

6%

11%

15%

13%

7%

11%

27%

8%

10%

24%

10%

10%

13%

12%

9%

8%

13%

11%

9%

8%

9%

15%

10%

11%

10%

15%

10%

8%

9%

15%

10%

13%

9%

10%

11%

10%

10%

11%

7%

14%

8%

10%

10%

10%

12%

9%

10%

12%

9%

10%

11%

9%

Very unfavorable

40%

43%

36%

40%

41%

41%

42%

41%

44%

37%

41%

43%

42%

43%

42%

7%

77%

41%

30%

2%

80%

29%

5%

80%

43%

36%

45%

37%

36%

42%

47%

38%

35%

41%

47%

37%

55%

45%

46%

34%

47%

37%

38%

40%

61%

51%

52%

43%

41%

38%

41%

38%

45%

78%

45%

11%

41%

40%

43%

43%

32%

39%

36%

30%

48%

51%

33%

NET UNFAVORABLE

51%

52%

48%

50%

50%

51%

51%

51%

53%

49%

51%

51%

51%

52%

51%

13%

88%

56%

43%

9%

91%

56%

13%

90%

67%

47%

54%

49%

48%

51%

55%

51%

47%

50%

55%

46%

69%

55%

57%

44%

62%

47%

46%

48%

76%

61%

66%

52%

51%

49%

51%

48%

56%

85%

58%

19%

51%

50%

53%

55%

40%

49%

49%

38%

58%

62%

42%

Never heard of them

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

No opinion

3%

3%

4%

3%

3%

2%

3%

3%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

5%

26%

1%

2%

27%

1%

1%

11%

2%

4%

6%

4%

2%

1%

6%

5%

2%

1%

2%

7%

5%

6%

1%

6%

3%

6%

2%

7%

7%

6%

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

1%

2%

5%

1%

4%

1%

2%

4%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

4%

4%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

F1r4: Nikki Haley - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

31%

32%

30%

34%

29%

30%

30%

29%

34%

33%

36%

32%

33%

32%

32%

46%

17%

28%

8%

44%

20%

16%

50%

22%

33%

38%

24%

16%

24%

34%

50%

13%

22%

32%

50%

36%

14%

18%

22%

44%

18%

25%

26%

28%

11%

13%

19%

32%

30%

32%

29%

25%

41%

16%

24%

48%

25%

37%

32%

26%

33%

38%

33%

43%

26%

17%

27%

Very favorable

8%

7%

9%

9%

8%

8%

8%

6%

7%

10%

9%

9%

9%

9%

7%

14%

4%

6%

1%

12%

4%

4%

14%

4%

7%

10%

6%

4%

5%

8%

15%

4%

5%

7%

15%

10%

4%

4%

3%

12%

5%

6%

3%

7%

4%

2%

3%

7%

8%

9%

7%

6%

11%

3%

5%

15%

6%

9%

9%

6%

8%

11%

8%

12%

7%

4%

6%

Favorable

23%

24%

21%

25%

21%

22%

22%

22%

26%

23%

27%

23%

24%

23%

25%

32%

14%

22%

7%

31%

16%

12%

35%

18%

25%

27%

18%

12%

18%

26%

35%

9%

17%

25%

35%

26%

10%

15%

20%

31%

13%

19%

23%

21%

8%

11%

17%

24%

22%

23%

22%

18%

30%

13%

19%

34%

18%

27%

23%

20%

25%

27%

25%

31%

19%

14%

21%

Unfavorable

18%

18%

18%

20%

17%

18%

19%

19%

19%

19%

20%

18%

20%

20%

19%

14%

23%

18%

8%

14%

23%

12%

14%

25%

20%

20%

16%

17%

18%

18%

20%

16%

19%

18%

20%

19%

18%

15%

16%

21%

22%

18%

17%

17%

14%

13%

15%

18%

18%

19%

18%

15%

23%

25%

18%

14%

16%

20%

20%

18%

16%

22%

20%

18%

18%

15%

14%

Very unfavorable

14%

15%

13%

14%

16%

12%

13%

15%

15%

14%

15%

17%

13%

14%

16%

8%

22%

12%

8%

9%

20%

8%

9%

23%

10%

15%

13%

13%

14%

15%

14%

13%

14%

15%

14%

14%

17%

13%

15%

15%

16%

16%

16%

13%

18%

10%

14%

15%

15%

14%

13%

13%

16%

27%

12%

9%

14%

15%

14%

15%

12%

15%

16%

13%

13%

15%

11%

NET UNFAVORABLE

32%

33%

31%

34%

32%

30%

32%

33%

34%

33%

36%

34%

33%

34%

35%

23%

45%

30%

16%

23%

43%

20%

22%

48%

30%

35%

29%

30%

32%

33%

34%

29%

33%

33%

34%

32%

35%

28%

31%

35%

38%

34%

33%

29%

32%

23%

29%

33%

32%

33%

31%

28%

39%

52%

29%

23%

30%

35%

34%

33%

27%

37%

36%

31%

31%

30%

25%

Never heard of them

15%

14%

14%

11%

15%

17%

16%

16%

12%

13%

9%

13%

14%

14%

15%

12%

16%

15%

29%

14%

15%

19%

10%

11%

10%

10%

19%

27%

17%

11%

4%

29%

18%

12%

4%

12%

20%

27%

17%

7%

18%

20%

13%

17%

21%

32%

21%

14%

16%

13%

17%

19%

7%

14%

19%

11%

19%

11%

13%

18%

15%

8%

13%

10%

18%

23%

19%

No opinion

23%

22%

24%

21%

23%

23%

22%

22%

19%

21%

19%

20%

20%

19%

19%

19%

21%

27%

47%

20%

22%

44%

18%

19%

27%

17%

28%

28%

27%

22%

13%

29%

27%

23%

13%

20%

31%

28%

30%

14%

26%

22%

28%

26%

35%

32%

31%

22%

23%

23%

23%

28%

14%

18%

28%

18%

26%

18%

21%

24%

24%

16%

18%

17%

26%

30%

30%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

F1r7: Cornel West - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

11%

11%

14%

12%

11%

11%

9%

11%

11%

15%

12%

11%

11%

10%

12%

9%

14%

12%

6%

10%

13%

9%

10%

14%

14%

14%

8%

12%

15%

10%

9%

10%

16%

10%

9%

10%

19%

11%

12%

13%

23%

13%

15%

7%

16%

9%

10%

11%

10%

13%

11%

10%

14%

16%

11%

9%

10%

13%

10%

17%

7%

12%

22%

10%

8%

12%

5%

Very favorable

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

4%

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

1%

3%

3%

2%

1%

2%

5%

2%

2%

3%

6%

2%

2%

1%

4%

1%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

4%

1%

2%

6%

2%

2%

2%

1%

Favorable

9%

9%

11%

9%

9%

8%

8%

9%

9%

12%

10%

9%

9%

8%

10%

7%

11%

10%

5%

8%

10%

7%

8%

11%

11%

11%

7%

9%

12%

8%

7%

7%

13%

8%

7%

8%

14%

9%

10%

10%

17%

11%

12%

5%

12%

8%

8%

9%

8%

10%

9%

8%

11%

12%

9%

7%

8%

10%

8%

14%

6%

10%

17%

8%

6%

10%

5%

Unfavorable

12%

11%

13%

13%

12%

11%

11%

13%

12%

14%

14%

12%

12%

11%

14%

12%

13%

11%

7%

12%

12%

9%

13%

14%

14%

15%

9%

12%

13%

11%

12%

11%

14%

11%

12%

12%

13%

10%

10%

16%

16%

14%

11%

9%

11%

8%

10%

11%

11%

13%

12%

11%

15%

14%

10%

13%

11%

14%

12%

14%

11%

15%

18%

14%

9%

10%

8%

Very unfavorable

11%

10%

11%

11%

11%

10%

12%

12%

11%

12%

12%

12%

11%

13%

13%

13%

11%

10%

3%

13%

10%

6%

14%

11%

10%

15%

8%

7%

9%

11%

17%

7%

8%

11%

17%

12%

10%

9%

11%

16%

11%

13%

16%

8%

8%

6%

6%

10%

11%

11%

11%

10%

13%

12%

8%

14%

10%

12%

12%

9%

11%

16%

11%

16%

8%

7%

7%

NET UNFAVORABLE

23%

22%

24%

25%

23%

22%

23%

25%

23%

26%

26%

24%

24%

24%

27%

25%

24%

21%

10%

25%

22%

15%

27%

25%

24%

30%

16%

19%

22%

22%

29%

18%

21%

22%

29%

24%

23%

19%

21%

31%

27%

27%

26%

17%

19%

13%

17%

22%

23%

24%

23%

20%

28%

26%

19%

27%

21%

26%

24%

23%

22%

31%

29%

30%

17%

17%

16%

Never heard of them

30%

31%

26%

27%

31%

32%

32%

29%

30%

25%

26%

30%

30%

31%

29%

31%

30%

26%

33%

30%

30%

26%

28%

27%

23%

23%

36%

37%

29%

30%

22%

39%

31%

30%

22%

30%

25%

36%

28%

23%

21%

30%

20%

37%

28%

41%

35%

31%

32%

27%

31%

33%

25%

28%

32%

29%

31%

28%

30%

27%

33%

24%

21%

25%

35%

34%

39%

No opinion

36%

37%

36%

37%

35%

36%

36%

35%

35%

33%

36%

34%

35%

35%

32%

35%

32%

40%

50%

35%

35%

50%

35%

34%

39%

32%

39%

32%

34%

38%

40%

32%

32%

38%

40%

36%

33%

34%

38%

33%

29%

29%

39%

40%

37%

37%

38%

37%

35%

36%

35%

38%

33%

31%

39%

35%

38%

33%

36%

33%

38%

33%

28%

36%

40%

38%

40%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

F1r8: Jill Stein - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

12%

11%

11%

17%

12%

12%

13%

12%

11%

12%

17%

13%

13%

13%

13%

9%

17%

12%

5%

10%

15%

8%

10%

16%

18%

15%

10%

16%

17%

10%

7%

14%

19%

11%

7%

12%

15%

14%

13%

14%

18%

16%

14%

9%

12%

12%

12%

11%

12%

14%

12%

11%

15%

19%

12%

9%

11%

14%

11%

18%

8%

13%

21%

10%

10%

14%

7%

Very favorable

2%

2%

2%

5%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

5%

3%

2%

2%

2%

1%

4%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

4%

2%

3%

2%

4%

3%

2%

1%

5%

4%

2%

1%

2%

4%

3%

3%

3%

4%

4%

4%

2%

4%

2%

1%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

4%

2%

1%

2%

3%

2%

4%

1%

2%

5%

1%

2%

3%

1%

Favorable

10%

9%

10%

12%

10%

10%

10%

10%

9%

10%

12%

10%

11%

11%

11%

8%

13%

10%

4%

9%

12%

7%

8%

12%

16%

12%

8%

11%

14%

8%

6%

10%

15%

9%

6%

10%

11%

11%

10%

12%

13%

13%

9%

7%

8%

10%

10%

9%

10%

11%

10%

8%

12%

15%

9%

8%

9%

11%

9%

14%

7%

11%

16%

9%

8%

11%

6%

Unfavorable

15%

16%

16%

16%

14%

14%

15%

16%

16%

17%

16%

14%

14%

16%

17%

16%

15%

13%

9%

16%

15%

10%

17%

16%

17%

18%

12%

15%

16%

14%

15%

15%

17%

14%

15%

16%

14%

13%

13%

18%

17%

18%

14%

13%

12%

9%

12%

16%

14%

16%

15%

13%

18%

16%

13%

17%

14%

16%

15%

17%

14%

17%

21%

16%

13%

12%

13%

Very unfavorable

13%

13%

12%

13%

16%

12%

15%

12%

14%

13%

14%

17%

13%

16%

13%

15%

14%

11%

4%

14%

13%

7%

16%

15%

10%

16%

10%

10%

11%

14%

19%

10%

10%

14%

19%

15%

11%

10%

10%

18%

12%

13%

12%

11%

9%

8%

8%

13%

15%

12%

12%

12%

16%

17%

9%

16%

12%

15%

14%

12%

13%

18%

14%

16%

11%

10%

11%

NET UNFAVORABLE

28%

29%

27%

29%

29%

26%

30%

29%

30%

30%

30%

32%

28%

32%

31%

31%

29%

24%

13%

30%

28%

18%

33%

31%

27%

34%

23%

25%

27%

28%

34%

24%

27%

28%

34%

30%

25%

23%

23%

36%

29%

31%

26%

24%

21%

17%

20%

29%

30%

28%

27%

25%

34%

33%

22%

33%

26%

31%

29%

28%

27%

35%

34%

33%

23%

22%

23%

Never heard of them

20%

20%

22%

15%

21%

22%

19%

22%

20%

20%

14%

19%

20%

17%

21%

21%

19%

19%

24%

21%

19%

21%

19%

16%

13%

16%

24%

26%

19%

20%

15%

28%

19%

20%

15%

19%

23%

24%

22%

15%

20%

21%

17%

23%

26%

27%

25%

20%

20%

19%

22%

23%

14%

16%

23%

20%

23%

17%

19%

20%

21%

16%

16%

16%

23%

24%

25%

No opinion

39%

41%

40%

39%

38%

41%

39%

37%

40%

38%

39%

37%

39%

38%

36%

38%

35%

44%

58%

38%

38%

52%

38%

37%

42%

35%

43%

33%

38%

43%

44%

33%

36%

42%

44%

39%

37%

39%

43%

35%

33%

31%

43%

44%

40%

44%

43%

41%

38%

39%

39%

41%

37%

32%

44%

39%

40%

38%

40%

34%

43%

36%

28%

41%

44%

40%

44%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

F1r10: J.D. Vance - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

39%

40%

40%

41%

39%

39%

39%

34%

42%

43%

43%

42%

43%

41%

36%

74%

10%

30%

14%

74%

8%

15%

75%

10%

29%

45%

33%

29%

36%

44%

48%

26%

34%

44%

48%

46%

16%

24%

32%

51%

20%

34%

43%

41%

11%

17%

22%

40%

39%

40%

37%

37%

42%

10%

26%

74%

35%

43%

39%

30%

48%

46%

36%

55%

33%

23%

43%

Very favorable

20%

20%

20%

22%

20%

21%

20%

15%

21%

22%

24%

22%

23%

21%

17%

42%

3%

12%

5%

40%

2%

2%

43%

3%

7%

22%

17%

12%

16%

23%

28%

11%

14%

23%

28%

24%

5%

10%

14%

27%

6%

15%

16%

22%

5%

6%

12%

20%

20%

21%

18%

19%

21%

3%

9%

44%

17%

22%

20%

12%

27%

23%

14%

30%

18%

10%

24%

Favorable

19%

20%

20%

19%

19%

18%

19%

19%

20%

21%

20%

20%

19%

20%

19%

32%

7%

18%

9%

34%

6%

12%

33%

7%

21%

23%

16%

17%

20%

21%

20%

15%

20%

21%

20%

22%

10%

14%

18%

24%

14%

19%

27%

19%

7%

11%

11%

20%

19%

20%

18%

18%

21%

7%

17%

30%

17%

21%

19%

18%

21%

22%

22%

24%

16%

13%

20%

Unfavorable

12%

13%

13%

13%

12%

12%

12%

14%

13%

13%

13%

12%

12%

12%

14%

8%

15%

16%

10%

8%

16%

16%

8%

16%

25%

13%

12%

15%

15%

11%

9%

15%

15%

11%

9%

11%

17%

15%

16%

12%

17%

16%

11%

10%

16%

14%

21%

13%

12%

13%

13%

12%

14%

14%

16%

7%

12%

13%

12%

16%

9%

12%

17%

9%

12%

14%

9%

Very unfavorable

29%

31%

25%

28%

30%

30%

31%

29%

33%

27%

30%

32%

33%

34%

32%

6%

58%

27%

11%

4%

57%

15%

5%

62%

25%

28%

31%

23%

25%

32%

38%

23%

24%

30%

38%

29%

35%

29%

26%

27%

34%

29%

26%

30%

37%

29%

27%

31%

31%

27%

30%

25%

36%

63%

29%

7%

28%

31%

32%

30%

22%

31%

28%

23%

34%

33%

22%

NET UNFAVORABLE

42%

44%

38%

41%

42%

42%

43%

43%

46%

40%

43%

44%

45%

46%

46%

14%

73%

43%

21%

11%

74%

31%

13%

78%

49%

41%

43%

38%

40%

43%

47%

38%

40%

42%

47%

40%

52%

44%

43%

39%

51%

44%

36%

40%

53%

43%

48%

44%

43%

39%

42%

37%

50%

77%

45%

15%

40%

44%

45%

46%

32%

43%

45%

32%

47%

47%

31%

Never heard of them

6%

4%

7%

6%

6%

6%

5%

8%

3%

5%

4%

4%

3%

4%

6%

4%

6%

7%

19%

4%

6%

12%

3%

3%

7%

4%

7%

12%

7%

3%

1%

14%

8%

3%

1%

4%

11%

13%

6%

3%

10%

9%

4%

5%

12%

15%

8%

4%

5%

7%

6%

8%

2%

5%

8%

3%

8%

3%

4%

8%

6%

3%

7%

4%

6%

10%

7%

No opinion

13%

13%

15%

12%

14%

13%

12%

16%

9%

12%

10%

10%

10%

10%

13%

9%

11%

20%

47%

11%

12%

43%

9%

9%

15%

10%

17%

21%

18%

11%

4%

22%

19%

12%

4%

11%

21%

19%

19%

7%

19%

13%

17%

14%

23%

25%

21%

13%

13%

14%

14%

18%

6%

8%

20%

8%

17%

10%

11%

16%

15%

9%

12%

10%

14%

20%

18%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

F1r19: Tim Walz - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

39%

41%

37%

39%

38%

38%

39%

38%

44%

40%

42%

42%

42%

42%

41%

12%

73%

34%

10%

10%

71%

9%

11%

76%

26%

38%

39%

33%

38%

39%

44%

32%

38%

39%

44%

37%

50%

36%

38%

37%

47%

37%

34%

37%

53%

36%

41%

41%

39%

38%

38%

34%

47%

76%

39%

13%

37%

41%

40%

45%

28%

38%

45%

29%

43%

45%

28%

Very favorable

19%

20%

18%

19%

21%

18%

20%

18%

22%

20%

21%

23%

20%

22%

20%

3%

43%

12%

2%

2%

39%

1%

3%

43%

8%

18%

20%

14%

16%

21%

26%

14%

15%

20%

26%

18%

27%

17%

15%

18%

26%

17%

13%

19%

29%

17%

18%

20%

20%

19%

18%

17%

23%

47%

16%

5%

19%

20%

20%

22%

14%

19%

21%

13%

22%

23%

15%

Favorable

19%

21%

19%

20%

18%

20%

19%

19%

21%

20%

20%

19%

22%

20%

21%

9%

30%

22%

8%

8%

33%

8%

8%

33%

18%

19%

19%

19%

22%

18%

18%

18%

22%

18%

18%

18%

23%

20%

23%

19%

21%

20%

21%

18%

24%

19%

24%

21%

18%

19%

20%

17%

24%

29%

23%

8%

18%

21%

20%

23%

14%

19%

23%

16%

21%

23%

13%

Unfavorable

12%

13%

12%

13%

12%

12%

13%

11%

13%

12%

13%

11%

13%

13%

12%

17%

7%

14%

7%

17%

7%

19%

17%

7%

21%

14%

11%

14%

14%

13%

9%

14%

14%

13%

9%

13%

9%

12%

14%

14%

12%

15%

18%

12%

7%

9%

11%

13%

12%

12%

12%

12%

13%

6%

13%

16%

11%

14%

12%

14%

12%

13%

17%

12%

11%

10%

12%

Very unfavorable

28%

28%

27%

28%

28%

27%

29%

25%

30%

29%

30%

31%

29%

31%

27%

54%

4%

22%

13%

54%

3%

15%

57%

5%

24%

33%

23%

18%

21%

31%

40%

17%

20%

30%

40%

33%

11%

16%

18%

38%

13%

23%

26%

28%

8%

11%

11%

28%

28%

28%

26%

26%

30%

5%

16%

56%

26%

30%

29%

17%

36%

36%

20%

43%

23%

14%

31%

NET UNFAVORABLE

40%

41%

38%

42%

40%

39%

42%

37%

43%

41%

43%

42%

42%

44%

39%

71%

11%

36%

21%

71%

10%

34%

74%

12%

45%

47%

34%

32%

36%

44%

49%

31%

34%

43%

49%

46%

20%

28%

32%

52%

25%

38%

44%

40%

15%

21%

23%

41%

41%

40%

38%

38%

43%

11%

30%

72%

37%

44%

41%

31%

48%

48%

37%

55%

34%

24%

43%

Never heard of them

6%

5%

8%

6%

6%

7%

6%

8%

4%

6%

4%

4%

4%

4%

6%

5%

5%

8%

19%

6%

6%

12%

4%

3%

7%

5%

8%

13%

7%

4%

1%

14%

8%

4%

1%

5%

10%

12%

9%

3%

10%

10%

4%

6%

10%

13%

14%

5%

6%

7%

7%

9%

2%

4%

9%

4%

8%

4%

5%

7%

7%

4%

6%

5%

7%

9%

8%

No opinion

15%

13%

17%

14%

16%

16%

13%

17%

10%

13%

11%

12%

13%

10%

14%

12%

11%

22%

51%

13%

13%

46%

11%

9%

23%

11%

19%

22%

19%

13%

6%

23%

20%

14%

6%

12%

20%

24%

20%

9%

18%

15%

18%

16%

22%

31%

22%

13%

15%

15%

17%

19%

8%

8%

22%

11%

18%

11%

13%

17%

17%

10%

12%

11%

16%

22%

21%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

F1r20: Kari Lake - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

36%

-

-

-

-

36%

-

-

-

-

-

-

38%

-

-

66%

12%

26%

20%

66%

8%

10%

68%

8%

12%

41%

30%

28%

33%

40%

42%

25%

34%

37%

42%

41%

18%

24%

20%

46%

27%

32%

21%

36%

7%

17%

19%

-

-

-

36%

36%

35%

12%

22%

68%

34%

38%

36%

31%

44%

41%

39%

50%

32%

22%

40%

Very favorable

16%

-

-

-

-

16%

-

-

-

-

-

-

18%

-

-

35%

5%

8%

8%

32%

3%

3%

34%

3%

4%

20%

13%

10%

14%

19%

23%

9%

14%

17%

23%

19%

16%

9%

10%

23%

25%

11%

5%

16%

5%

7%

15%

-

-

-

16%

15%

18%

6%

6%

36%

16%

17%

17%

12%

24%

20%

14%

34%

15%

9%

18%

Favorable

19%

-

-

-

-

19%

-

-

-

-

-

-

20%

-

-

31%

7%

18%

12%

34%

6%

6%

33%

5%

7%

22%

17%

18%

18%

21%

20%

17%

20%

20%

20%

22%

2%

15%

10%

23%

2%

21%

17%

21%

3%

10%

4%

-

-

-

19%

21%

17%

6%

16%

32%

19%

21%

19%

19%

20%

21%

25%

16%

17%

13%

22%

Unfavorable

15%

-

-

-

-

15%

-

-

-

-

-

-

15%

-

-

14%

12%

19%

16%

15%

14%

26%

16%

14%

33%

17%

13%

19%

21%

11%

10%

18%

20%

13%

10%

15%

30%

14%

15%

19%

25%

12%

17%

11%

37%

16%

14%

-

-

-

15%

13%

18%

9%

19%

13%

14%

17%

14%

19%

12%

16%

21%

12%

11%

17%

12%

Very unfavorable

38%

-

-

-

-

38%

-

-

-

-

-

-

40%

-

-

12%

67%

42%

27%

9%

69%

34%

10%

74%

44%

31%

45%

32%

32%

44%

44%

33%

29%

43%

44%

37%

40%

39%

45%

31%

32%

29%

38%

43%

49%

48%

51%

-

-

-

38%

36%

42%

69%

45%

11%

38%

38%

41%

39%

27%

35%

30%

18%

48%

48%

33%

NET UNFAVORABLE

53%

-

-

-

-

53%

-

-

-

-

-

-

55%

-

-

26%

79%

61%

43%

24%

83%

60%

25%

88%

77%

48%

58%

51%

53%

55%

55%

52%

49%

57%

55%

52%

70%

54%

60%

50%

57%

41%

55%

55%

85%

64%

65%

-

-

-

53%

48%

60%

78%

64%

25%

52%

54%

55%

58%

39%

51%

51%

30%

59%

65%

45%

Never heard of them

2%

-

-

-

-

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

1%

-

-

2%

2%

3%

6%

2%

3%

2%

1%

1%

0%

3%

2%

5%

3%

0%

2%

5%

3%

1%

2%

1%

0%

5%

4%

1%

0%

8%

0%

2%

0%

2%

7%

-

-

-

2%

3%

1%

3%

3%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

4%

3%

1%

4%

2%

2%

3%

No opinion

9%

-

-

-

-

9%

-

-

-

-

-

-

6%

-

-

6%

7%

10%

32%

8%

6%

28%

6%

3%

12%

8%

9%

17%

12%

5%

2%

18%

13%

6%

2%

5%

12%

17%

16%

3%

16%

19%

24%

7%

7%

16%

9%

-

-

-

9%

12%

3%

6%

12%

6%

11%

6%

6%

10%

13%

5%

9%

16%

7%

11%

12%

NET

100%

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

0

0

0

0

1,636

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,468

0

0

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

F1r21: Ruben Gallego - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

45%

-

-

-

-

45%

-

-

-

-

-

-

48%

-

-

20%

81%

42%

27%

15%

80%

25%

17%

82%

37%

40%

50%

40%

46%

45%

49%

42%

41%

47%

49%

42%

44%

52%

55%

39%

41%

39%

58%

45%

48%

64%

51%

-

-

-

45%

41%

51%

78%

50%

19%

44%

46%

44%

53%

35%

39%

48%

25%

49%

57%

41%

Very favorable

20%

-

-

-

-

20%

-

-

-

-

-

-

21%

-

-

5%

44%

15%

4%

3%

39%

3%

3%

42%

9%

19%

20%

11%

15%

23%

28%

12%

12%

22%

28%

19%

18%

22%

17%

19%

17%

20%

14%

19%

19%

23%

19%

-

-

-

20%

16%

25%

44%

18%

7%

20%

19%

19%

23%

13%

19%

24%

7%

20%

22%

16%

Favorable

26%

-

-

-

-

26%

-

-

-

-

-

-

26%

-

-

15%

38%

27%

22%

12%

40%

22%

14%

41%

28%

21%

30%

29%

32%

22%

21%

30%

29%

25%

21%

23%

27%

30%

38%

20%

24%

19%

44%

26%

29%

40%

33%

-

-

-

26%

25%

26%

35%

32%

12%

25%

27%

24%

29%

22%

20%

24%

18%

28%

35%

25%

Unfavorable

14%

-

-

-

-

14%

-

-

-

-

-

-

14%

-

-

19%

7%

17%

4%

22%

7%

11%

20%

8%

20%

16%

12%

16%

14%

17%

11%

17%

14%

17%

11%

16%

28%

11%

6%

17%

25%

15%

4%

14%

32%

7%

9%

-

-

-

14%

15%

14%

7%

16%

17%

12%

17%

13%

17%

13%

16%

20%

11%

11%

14%

14%

Very unfavorable

24%

-

-

-

-

24%

-

-

-

-

-

-

27%

-

-

49%

3%

19%

11%

47%

2%

19%

51%

2%

22%

28%

21%

13%

20%

27%

36%

11%

20%

24%

36%

29%

10%

13%

18%

34%

9%

15%

13%

24%

10%

12%

22%

-

-

-

24%

22%

28%

4%

14%

51%

25%

25%

28%

16%

29%

32%

20%

37%

25%

12%

24%

NET UNFAVORABLE

39%

-

-

-

-

39%

-

-

-

-

-

-

41%

-

-

68%

10%

35%

14%

69%

9%

30%

71%

10%

42%

45%

33%

30%

34%

44%

47%

28%

34%

41%

47%

45%

38%

24%

24%

52%

34%

30%

17%

38%

42%

19%

31%

-

-

-

39%

37%

42%

11%

29%

68%

36%

41%

41%

33%

42%

47%

40%

49%

36%

26%

38%

Never heard of them

3%

-

-

-

-

3%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2%

-

-

3%

2%

3%

11%

4%

2%

4%

3%

1%

0%

3%

3%

7%

3%

0%

1%

8%

4%

1%

1%

2%

1%

4%

4%

1%

0%

6%

6%

3%

3%

3%

3%

-

-

-

3%

4%

1%

3%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

4%

3%

3%

3%

No opinion

13%

-

-

-

-

13%

-

-

-

-

-

-

10%

-

-

9%

7%

19%

48%

12%

10%

41%

9%

6%

20%

12%

14%

23%

17%

11%

3%

23%

20%

11%

3%

11%

17%

19%

17%

8%

25%

25%

19%

14%

7%

15%

15%

-

-

-

13%

18%

7%

8%

17%

11%

16%

10%

12%

12%

20%

11%

11%

22%

12%

14%

19%

NET

100%

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

0

0

0

0

1,636

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,468

0

0

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

F1r22: Katie Hobbs - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

38%

-

-

-

-

38%

-

-

-

-

-

-

41%

-

-

17%

69%

35%

21%

14%

66%

16%

14%

74%

39%

37%

39%

28%

41%

40%

44%

26%

36%

41%

44%

38%

43%

38%

42%

39%

44%

31%

41%

37%

41%

44%

43%

-

-

-

38%

33%

46%

69%

41%

16%

36%

40%

40%

42%

25%

37%

45%

21%

43%

39%

27%

Very favorable

16%

-

-

-

-

16%

-

-

-

-

-

-

18%

-

-

5%

38%

11%

0%

3%

33%

2%

3%

37%

5%

18%

15%

9%

15%

15%

25%

11%

11%

15%

25%

17%

12%

16%

10%

19%

21%

17%

6%

15%

1%

16%

14%

-

-

-

16%

12%

22%

40%

14%

5%

15%

18%

17%

19%

9%

18%

22%

8%

16%

16%

10%

Favorable

22%

-

-

-

-

22%

-

-

-

-

-

-

23%

-

-

12%

31%

24%

21%

11%

34%

14%

11%

37%

34%

19%

24%

18%

26%

25%

19%

15%

25%

26%

19%

21%

30%

22%

32%

20%

22%

14%

35%

22%

40%

28%

29%

-

-

-

22%

20%

24%

29%

27%

11%

21%

22%

23%

23%

16%

19%

23%

13%

27%

23%

17%

Unfavorable

15%

-

-

-

-

15%

-

-

-

-

-

-

16%

-

-

23%

8%

14%

13%

22%

8%

21%

23%

9%

20%

18%

13%

16%

14%

16%

15%

14%

17%

15%

15%

17%

13%

12%

10%

19%

14%

14%

9%

15%

12%

10%

11%

-

-

-

15%

14%

17%

7%

15%

20%

13%

18%

14%

17%

17%

16%

21%

15%

11%

13%

18%

Very unfavorable

23%

-

-

-

-

23%

-

-

-

-

-

-

24%

-

-

42%

4%

20%

10%

42%

3%

14%

45%

4%

13%

26%

19%

14%

16%

26%

33%

13%

15%

24%

33%

27%

13%

11%

15%

31%

19%

14%

12%

23%

7%

9%

17%

-

-

-

23%

21%

24%

3%

14%

46%

22%

23%

27%

15%

25%

31%

16%

31%

23%

13%

21%

NET UNFAVORABLE

38%

-

-

-

-

38%

-

-

-

-

-

-

39%

-

-

64%

11%

34%

23%

64%

12%

34%

69%

13%

33%

43%

33%

30%

30%

42%

48%

28%

32%

40%

48%

44%

27%

23%

25%

50%

33%

28%

22%

38%

20%

19%

29%

-

-

-

38%

35%

42%

10%

29%

66%

35%

41%

41%

32%

42%

47%

37%

46%

34%

27%

40%

Never heard of them

6%

-

-

-

-

6%

-

-

-

-

-

-

5%

-

-

5%

5%

7%

14%

6%

6%

6%

5%

4%

5%

5%

7%

16%

5%

1%

2%

18%

7%

2%

2%

4%

6%

11%

9%

3%

8%

10%

12%

5%

3%

12%

6%

-

-

-

6%

9%

2%

8%

7%

3%

8%

5%

6%

6%

7%

5%

4%

9%

6%

8%

6%

No opinion

18%

-

-

-

-

18%

-

-

-

-

-

-

14%

-

-

14%

15%

23%

43%

16%

16%

43%

12%

10%

22%

14%

22%

26%

24%

18%

6%

28%

25%

17%

6%

14%

25%

28%

24%

8%

16%

31%

25%

20%

37%

25%

23%

-

-

-

18%

23%

10%

13%

23%

14%

21%

14%

14%

20%

26%

11%

15%

24%

17%

26%

28%

NET

100%

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

0

0

0

0

1,636

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,468

0

0

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

F1r23: Elissa Slotkin - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

41%

-

-

-

41%

-

-

-

-

-

-

44%

-

-

-

12%

75%

36%

9%

11%

74%

14%

13%

76%

15%

41%

40%

33%

40%

41%

48%

31%

39%

41%

48%

39%

53%

49%

36%

39%

52%

52%

36%

38%

54%

47%

36%

-

41%

-

-

37%

46%

77%

41%

14%

40%

42%

45%

42%

31%

45%

42%

31%

45%

43%

31%

Very favorable

19%

-

-

-

19%

-

-

-

-

-

-

21%

-

-

-

2%

42%

11%

2%

2%

38%

2%

2%

42%

5%

20%

18%

14%

15%

19%

28%

14%

14%

19%

28%

18%

33%

15%

13%

19%

31%

21%

12%

17%

35%

12%

13%

-

19%

-

-

17%

23%

45%

17%

4%

19%

20%

21%

20%

15%

21%

21%

17%

21%

19%

13%

Favorable

22%

-

-

-

22%

-

-

-

-

-

-

23%

-

-

-

10%

33%

25%

7%

9%

35%

12%

11%

34%

9%

21%

22%

19%

25%

22%

20%

18%

25%

22%

20%

21%

20%

34%

23%

20%

21%

31%

23%

21%

19%

35%

23%

-

22%

-

-

20%

24%

32%

25%

10%

22%

22%

24%

22%

16%

24%

21%

14%

24%

24%

18%

Unfavorable

16%

-

-

-

16%

-

-

-

-

-

-

16%

-

-

-

22%

8%

20%

15%

23%

9%

18%

22%

10%

33%

16%

16%

15%

19%

17%

13%

15%

18%

17%

13%

17%

9%

16%

15%

17%

10%

27%

7%

17%

9%

8%

22%

-

16%

-

-

15%

18%

8%

17%

21%

15%

17%

15%

13%

20%

16%

16%

17%

14%

9%

22%

Very unfavorable

23%

-

-

-

23%

-

-

-

-

-

-

25%

-

-

-

46%

4%

18%

13%

45%

2%

16%

49%

4%

21%

27%

19%

16%

18%

25%

32%

15%

18%

25%

32%

26%

11%

9%

26%

30%

10%

9%

43%

22%

12%

10%

10%

-

23%

-

-

21%

27%

3%

15%

47%

20%

27%

23%

18%

28%

28%

21%

32%

17%

15%

25%

NET UNFAVORABLE

39%

-

-

-

39%

-

-

-

-

-

-

41%

-

-

-

68%

12%

38%

28%

68%

11%

34%

71%

14%

54%

43%

35%

32%

37%

42%

45%

30%

36%

42%

45%

43%

20%

25%

41%

47%

20%

36%

50%

38%

21%

18%

32%

-

39%

-

-

36%

44%

11%

32%

68%

35%

44%

38%

31%

48%

44%

36%

49%

32%

24%

47%

Never heard of them

6%

-

-

-

6%

-

-

-

-

-

-

5%

-

-

-

7%

4%

5%

20%

7%

4%

11%

5%

2%

10%

6%

6%

14%

6%

3%

2%

18%

5%

3%

2%

5%

6%

10%

9%

4%

9%

12%

9%

6%

3%

9%

9%

-

6%

-

-

8%

2%

4%

7%

6%

7%

4%

5%

9%

4%

4%

8%

6%

7%

10%

3%

No opinion

14%

-

-

-

14%

-

-

-

-

-

-

11%

-

-

-

13%

9%

22%

43%

14%

11%

41%

11%

8%

21%

10%

19%

22%

17%

14%

5%

21%

20%

14%

5%

13%

20%

15%

15%

9%

19%

0%

6%

17%

22%

26%

23%

-

14%

-

-

18%

8%

9%

20%

12%

18%

10%

11%

18%

17%

6%

14%

15%

16%

23%

19%

NET

100%

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

0

0

0

1,864

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,668

0

0

0

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

F1r24: Mike Rogers - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

36%

-

-

-

36%

-

-

-

-

-

-

39%

-

-

-

68%

10%

28%

12%

66%

9%

17%

71%

11%

24%

42%

30%

24%

35%

39%

45%

20%

33%

39%

45%

39%

17%

30%

34%

46%

15%

47%

47%

33%

19%

18%

22%

-

36%

-

-

32%

42%

11%

24%

68%

32%

40%

34%

31%

43%

40%

37%

51%

28%

24%

37%

Very favorable

11%

-

-

-

11%

-

-

-

-

-

-

12%

-

-

-

23%

3%

5%

1%

21%

2%

5%

24%

2%

0%

13%

9%

7%

6%

14%

17%

5%

7%

13%

17%

13%

4%

3%

6%

15%

4%

0%

7%

11%

4%

5%

5%

-

11%

-

-

11%

11%

3%

5%

24%

9%

12%

10%

9%

15%

12%

10%

18%

7%

8%

12%

Favorable

25%

-

-

-

25%

-

-

-

-

-

-

27%

-

-

-

44%

8%

23%

11%

45%

7%

12%

46%

10%

24%

29%

21%

17%

28%

25%

28%

15%

27%

26%

28%

26%

13%

27%

28%

30%

12%

47%

39%

23%

15%

13%

17%

-

25%

-

-

22%

31%

8%

19%

44%

23%

28%

24%

22%

28%

28%

27%

34%

20%

16%

25%

Unfavorable

16%

-

-

-

16%

-

-

-

-

-

-

16%

-

-

-

11%

19%

20%

13%

12%

20%

14%

12%

21%

12%

17%

15%

19%

14%

18%

14%

20%

15%

17%

14%

16%

16%

16%

20%

17%

15%

14%

20%

15%

17%

18%

20%

-

16%

-

-

17%

15%

17%

20%

11%

17%

16%

16%

18%

15%

17%

18%

15%

15%

18%

15%

Very unfavorable

26%

-

-

-

26%

-

-

-

-

-

-

28%

-

-

-

5%

51%

24%

11%

4%

51%

14%

4%

54%

27%

26%

27%

20%

24%

25%

36%

21%

22%

25%

36%

26%

37%

21%

19%

25%

36%

25%

16%

27%

39%

18%

22%

-

26%

-

-

24%

31%

55%

26%

6%

25%

28%

30%

23%

23%

30%

21%

22%

30%

26%

23%

NET UNFAVORABLE

43%

-

-

-

43%

-

-

-

-

-

-

44%

-

-

-

17%

70%

44%

24%

16%

71%

27%

16%

75%

39%

43%

43%

39%

38%

42%

51%

41%

38%

41%

51%

42%

53%

37%

39%

42%

51%

39%

36%

41%

56%

36%

42%

-

43%

-

-

41%

46%

72%

46%

18%

42%

44%

46%

42%

37%

47%

40%

37%

45%

44%

38%

Never heard of them

5%

-

-

-

5%

-

-

-

-

-

-

4%

-

-

-

3%

7%

5%

7%

3%

6%

7%

2%

3%

4%

4%

5%

10%

5%

3%

1%

13%

5%

4%

1%

4%

9%

8%

5%

2%

10%

14%

5%

5%

7%

3%

6%

-

5%

-

-

6%

2%

6%

6%

3%

6%

4%

5%

6%

3%

4%

6%

2%

6%

6%

4%

No opinion

17%

-

-

-

17%

-

-

-

-

-

-

13%

-

-

-

13%

13%

23%

58%

15%

14%

48%

11%

11%

33%

12%

22%

27%

22%

16%

4%

26%

24%

17%

4%

15%

21%

25%

22%

10%

24%

0%

13%

20%

17%

42%

30%

-

17%

-

-

20%

10%

11%

24%

12%

21%

12%

15%

21%

16%

10%

17%

10%

21%

26%

21%

NET

100%

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

0

0

0

1,864

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,668

0

0

0

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

F1r25: Gretchen Whitmer - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

49%

-

-

-

49%

-

-

-

-

-

-

51%

-

-

-

17%

84%

49%

29%

18%

85%

22%

16%

85%

32%

48%

51%

46%

48%

51%

52%

46%

47%

51%

52%

45%

75%

48%

54%

43%

72%

51%

46%

47%

78%

46%

62%

-

49%

-

-

47%

53%

86%

54%

18%

51%

49%

55%

52%

37%

53%

50%

34%

58%

56%

39%

Very favorable

31%

-

-

-

31%

-

-

-

-

-

-

33%

-

-

-

5%

62%

23%

10%

4%

60%

6%

5%

62%

5%

29%

32%

26%

25%

34%

37%

26%

24%

32%

37%

27%

56%

35%

27%

24%

53%

39%

24%

29%

61%

32%

29%

-

31%

-

-

30%

31%

64%

31%

6%

33%

29%

34%

33%

22%

32%

30%

20%

37%

37%

23%

Favorable

19%

-

-

-

19%

-

-

-

-

-

-

18%

-

-

-

13%

22%

26%

19%

13%

25%

16%

11%

24%

27%

19%

19%

20%

23%

17%

15%

19%

24%

18%

15%

19%

18%

13%

28%

19%

20%

12%

22%

18%

17%

14%

33%

-

19%

-

-

17%

22%

22%

23%

12%

17%

20%

21%

19%

15%

21%

20%

13%

21%

18%

16%

Unfavorable

12%

-

-

-

12%

-

-

-

-

-

-

12%

-

-

-

18%

5%

12%

10%

17%

5%

21%

17%

6%

15%

12%

11%

12%

15%

10%

9%

11%

15%

11%

9%

14%

3%

10%

4%

14%

4%

15%

4%

13%

2%

7%

4%

-

12%

-

-

11%

13%

4%

12%

16%

11%

13%

11%

9%

14%

13%

9%

13%

9%

9%

15%

Very unfavorable

31%

-

-

-

31%

-

-

-

-

-

-

32%

-

-

-

60%

5%

26%

16%

60%

4%

20%

63%

5%

29%

34%

27%

22%

28%

35%

37%

21%

26%

34%

37%

35%

8%

20%

28%

38%

9%

34%

45%

32%

8%

11%

13%

-

31%

-

-

31%

30%

4%

21%

60%

28%

33%

28%

22%

43%

31%

26%

50%

25%

17%

37%

NET UNFAVORABLE

42%

-

-

-

42%

-

-

-

-

-

-

43%

-

-

-

77%

10%

39%

26%

76%

9%

42%

80%

11%

44%

46%

38%

34%

43%

45%

46%

32%

41%

45%

46%

48%

12%

30%

32%

52%

12%

49%

49%

45%

10%

18%

16%

-

42%

-

-

41%

43%

8%

34%

76%

39%

46%

39%

31%

57%

44%

35%

64%

33%

26%

52%

Never heard of them

2%

-

-

-

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

1%

-

-

-

2%

1%

2%

7%

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

13%

2%

2%

5%

2%

1%

1%

6%

2%

1%

1%

2%

3%

6%

2%

2%

3%

0%

0%

2%

3%

9%

4%

-

2%

-

-

3%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

4%

2%

1%

4%

1%

2%

5%

2%

No opinion

6%

-

-

-

6%

-

-

-

-

-

-

4%

-

-

-

3%

5%

10%

38%

4%

4%

34%

2%

3%

11%

5%

8%

14%

7%

4%

1%

16%

10%

3%

1%

5%

11%

16%

12%

3%

12%

0%

5%

6%

8%

26%

18%

-

6%

-

-

9%

3%

4%

10%

3%

8%

4%

5%

12%

5%

3%

11%

1%

8%

13%

7%

NET

100%

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

0

0

0

1,864

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,668

0

0

0

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

F1r26: Sam Brown - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

36%

-

-

-

-

-

-

36%

-

-

-

-

-

-

38%

71%

8%

29%

21%

70%

6%

8%

69%

10%

17%

41%

31%

29%

38%

35%

44%

25%

38%

35%

44%

40%

13%

32%

26%

45%

18%

41%

22%

36%

8%

24%

31%

-

-

-

36%

36%

36%

12%

26%

71%

34%

38%

35%

35%

46%

40%

40%

53%

30%

29%

42%

Very favorable

13%

-

-

-

-

-

-

13%

-

-

-

-

-

-

14%

29%

2%

9%

0%

28%

1%

0%

28%

2%

0%

14%

12%

10%

11%

14%

19%

9%

11%

13%

19%

15%

6%

12%

6%

16%

4%

15%

3%

14%

7%

9%

10%

-

-

-

13%

14%

12%

4%

7%

30%

12%

14%

13%

13%

16%

15%

13%

17%

11%

12%

16%

Favorable

23%

-

-

-

-

-

-

23%

-

-

-

-

-

-

24%

42%

6%

20%

21%

43%

5%

8%

40%

8%

17%

26%

19%

19%

27%

21%

25%

17%

26%

22%

25%

25%

7%

20%

20%

28%

14%

27%

19%

22%

1%

15%

21%

-

-

-

23%

22%

24%

8%

19%

41%

22%

24%

22%

23%

30%

25%

27%

36%

19%

18%

26%

Unfavorable

17%

-

-

-

-

-

-

17%

-

-

-

-

-

-

17%

14%

18%

20%

4%

13%

21%

13%

14%

21%

15%

16%

17%

15%

20%

17%

16%

11%

22%

17%

16%

19%

22%

7%

23%

20%

19%

4%

18%

18%

26%

10%

28%

-

-

-

17%

15%

20%

18%

20%

11%

16%

18%

18%

15%

16%

17%

15%

20%

20%

15%

13%

Very unfavorable

36%

-

-

-

-

-

-

36%

-

-

-

-

-

-

36%

10%

66%

33%

7%

8%

63%

31%

10%

64%

48%

35%

36%

35%

28%

41%

38%

42%

25%

39%

38%

34%

46%

39%

35%

31%

47%

41%

44%

36%

45%

38%

26%

-

-

-

36%

35%

36%

63%

37%

12%

37%

34%

36%

37%

26%

38%

34%

21%

35%

40%

29%

NET UNFAVORABLE

52%

-

-

-

-

-

-

52%

-

-

-

-

-

-

53%

24%

84%

53%

11%

20%

85%

43%

24%

84%

64%

51%

53%

50%

48%

58%

53%

52%

47%

57%

53%

52%

69%

46%

58%

51%

66%

45%

61%

54%

71%

48%

54%

-

-

-

52%

50%

56%

81%

57%

23%

53%

52%

55%

52%

41%

55%

50%

41%

55%

55%

42%

Never heard of them

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2%

1%

4%

2%

2%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

0%

2%

3%

4%

3%

1%

0%

4%

4%

1%

0%

2%

5%

4%

1%

1%

5%

4%

0%

2%

4%

4%

2%

-

-

-

2%

2%

2%

4%

2%

1%

2%

3%

1%

4%

1%

1%

3%

0%

2%

4%

1%

No opinion

9%

-

-

-

-

-

-

9%

-

-

-

-

-

-

7%

4%

5%

16%

66%

7%

6%

45%

6%

4%

19%

6%

13%

17%

10%

6%

2%

18%

11%

7%

2%

5%

14%

18%

15%

3%

10%

10%

17%

8%

17%

24%

13%

-

-

-

9%

12%

5%

3%

15%

6%

11%

8%

9%

9%

12%

4%

7%

6%

14%

11%

15%

NET

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,260

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,260

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,125

430

467

326

37

566

616

78

454

504

26

548

712

255

361

334

310

148

351

451

310

874

132

129

125

385

58

51

54

489

74

78

71

0

0

0

1,260

842

418

304

592

364

736

507

564

573

123

244

264

40

320

309

83

F1r27: Jacky Rosen - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

48%

-

-

-

-

-

-

48%

-

-

-

-

-

-

51%

22%

79%

47%

2%

21%

79%

20%

23%

85%

47%

47%

49%

40%

50%

55%

50%

36%

49%

53%

50%

50%

57%

41%

50%

48%

58%

40%

50%

52%

57%

41%

51%

-

-

-

48%

46%

53%

73%

52%

23%

45%

52%

49%

48%

42%

49%

46%

41%

49%

51%

43%

Very favorable

19%

-

-

-

-

-

-

19%

-

-

-

-

-

-

21%

4%

41%

13%

0%

4%

36%

2%

4%

42%

25%

21%

18%

10%

18%

26%

25%

9%

16%

25%

25%

20%

25%

17%

18%

20%

29%

17%

25%

19%

20%

16%

12%

-

-

-

19%

18%

21%

39%

18%

5%

18%

20%

19%

21%

12%

22%

21%

9%

17%

20%

14%

Favorable

29%

-

-

-

-

-

-

29%

-

-

-

-

-

-

29%

18%

38%

34%

2%

17%

42%

18%

20%

43%

22%

26%

32%

29%

32%

29%

26%

27%

34%

28%

26%

30%

32%

24%

32%

28%

29%

22%

24%

33%

37%

25%

39%

-

-

-

29%

28%

32%

34%

33%

18%

27%

32%

30%

28%

30%

27%

25%

32%

33%

31%

30%

Unfavorable

17%

-

-

-

-

-

-

17%

-

-

-

-

-

-

17%

30%

6%

15%

14%

27%

7%

15%

26%

7%

20%

16%

18%

15%

20%

14%

19%

14%

19%

16%

19%

18%

7%

18%

14%

15%

9%

22%

10%

20%

5%

15%

19%

-

-

-

17%

17%

18%

10%

15%

26%

17%

17%

17%

16%

21%

15%

16%

27%

18%

17%

18%

Very unfavorable

21%

-

-

-

-

-

-

21%

-

-

-

-

-

-

22%

39%

4%

20%

19%

40%

4%

15%

41%

3%

14%

28%

15%

18%

16%

25%

27%

17%

18%

24%

27%

23%

17%

18%

20%

30%

19%

24%

25%

16%

15%

14%

15%

-

-

-

21%

21%

22%

8%

15%

42%

22%

21%

21%

21%

25%

29%

27%

23%

13%

14%

26%

NET UNFAVORABLE

38%

-

-

-

-

-

-

38%

-

-

-

-

-

-

39%

69%

10%

35%

33%

67%

11%

30%

67%

10%

34%

44%

33%

33%

37%

39%

46%

31%

36%

39%

46%

41%

24%

36%

34%

45%

28%

46%

34%

36%

20%

29%

34%

-

-

-

38%

37%

40%

17%

30%

68%

39%

38%

38%

37%

46%

43%

43%

49%

32%

31%

44%

Never heard of them

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2%

2%

1%

4%

3%

4%

1%

5%

3%

1%

0%

3%

2%

6%

1%

1%

1%

8%

1%

1%

1%

2%

5%

4%

1%

2%

5%

7%

0%

2%

5%

1%

2%

-

-

-

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

3%

3%

7%

2%

1%

1%

No opinion

11%

-

-

-

-

-

-

11%

-

-

-

-

-

-

8%

7%

9%

14%

62%

9%

9%

45%

7%

4%

19%

6%

16%

21%

12%

5%

3%

25%

13%

6%

3%

8%

14%

20%

15%

5%

10%

7%

16%

11%

18%

29%

14%

-

-

-

11%

14%

5%

8%

16%

7%

13%

8%

11%

12%

9%

5%

8%

3%

16%

17%

13%

NET

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,260

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,260

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,125

430

467

326

37

566

616

78

454

504

26

548

712

255

361

334

310

148

351

451

310

874

132

129

125

385

58

51

54

489

74

78

71

0

0

0

1,260

842

418

304

592

364

736

507

564

573

123

244

264

40

320

309

83

F1r28: Joe Lombardo - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

42%

-

-

-

-

-

-

42%

-

-

-

-

-

-

45%

66%

19%

42%

23%

65%

23%

15%

72%

24%

53%

46%

38%

25%

45%

43%

60%

17%

43%

44%

60%

50%

22%

26%

38%

55%

27%

29%

30%

45%

17%

23%

46%

-

-

-

42%

39%

48%

20%

38%

66%

37%

47%

44%

39%

49%

49%

42%

59%

39%

35%

43%

Very favorable

15%

-

-

-

-

-

-

15%

-

-

-

-

-

-

16%

28%

4%

13%

0%

28%

4%

0%

31%

4%

10%

16%

13%

7%

13%

16%

24%

5%

13%

15%

24%

17%

6%

11%

10%

20%

10%

11%

5%

14%

2%

11%

15%

-

-

-

15%

13%

17%

5%

9%

30%

12%

18%

16%

14%

13%

20%

13%

12%

12%

14%

14%

Favorable

27%

-

-

-

-

-

-

27%

-

-

-

-

-

-

29%

38%

15%

29%

23%

38%

19%

15%

42%

20%

43%

30%

25%

18%

31%

27%

36%

12%

30%

29%

36%

33%

16%

14%

27%

35%

18%

18%

24%

30%

15%

12%

30%

-

-

-

27%

26%

30%

15%

28%

35%

25%

29%

28%

25%

36%

29%

29%

47%

27%

21%

29%

Unfavorable

18%

-

-

-

-

-

-

18%

-

-

-

-

-

-

18%

12%

27%

15%

10%

10%

26%

18%

10%

28%

21%

19%

17%

15%

23%

19%

16%

15%

20%

20%

16%

18%

19%

18%

16%

19%

24%

20%

13%

16%

15%

17%

19%

-

-

-

18%

16%

21%

29%

16%

13%

18%

19%

16%

20%

16%

18%

21%

19%

15%

19%

15%

Very unfavorable

18%

-

-

-

-

-

-

18%

-

-

-

-

-

-

19%

5%

32%

19%

3%

7%

31%

9%

6%

33%

6%

19%

17%

19%

14%

23%

16%

22%

15%

21%

16%

17%

23%

21%

20%

16%

23%

25%

35%

17%

23%

19%

6%

-

-

-

18%

19%

18%

34%

19%

5%

20%

17%

18%

19%

13%

21%

18%

19%

15%

21%

9%

NET UNFAVORABLE

36%

-

-

-

-

-

-

36%

-

-

-

-

-

-

38%

17%

59%

34%

13%

17%

56%

27%

16%

61%

27%

39%

34%

34%

37%

42%

32%

36%

35%

40%

32%

34%

42%

39%

36%

35%

47%

45%

48%

34%

38%

35%

25%

-

-

-

36%

35%

39%

62%

34%

18%

38%

35%

34%

39%

29%

39%

38%

37%

30%

41%

24%

Never heard of them

6%

-

-

-

-

-

-

6%

-

-

-

-

-

-

4%

5%

7%

6%

7%

5%

6%

15%

3%

5%

0%

4%

8%

12%

4%

4%

1%

16%

5%

4%

1%

5%

11%

7%

6%

3%

7%

7%

0%

7%

15%

6%

13%

-

-

-

6%

6%

5%

6%

6%

5%

7%

4%

5%

7%

3%

2%

6%

0%

9%

7%

5%

No opinion

16%

-

-

-

-

-

-

16%

-

-

-

-

-

-

13%

12%

15%

18%

57%

13%

15%

42%

9%

10%

20%

11%

21%

29%

14%

11%

8%

31%

17%

12%

8%

11%

24%

28%

20%

7%

18%

19%

22%

15%

30%

36%

17%

-

-

-

16%

20%

9%

12%

22%

11%

19%

13%

17%

15%

19%

10%

13%

4%

23%

17%

28%

NET

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,260

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,260

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,125

430

467

326

37

566

616

78

454

504

26

548

712

255

361

334

310

148

351

451

310

874

132

129

125

385

58

51

54

489

74

78

71

0

0

0

1,260

842

418

304

592

364

736

507

564

573

123

244

264

40

320

309

83

F1r29: Dave McCormick - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

38%

38%

-

-

-

-

-

-

40%

-

-

-

-

-

-

69%

13%

24%

11%

69%

11%

18%

72%

12%

22%

43%

33%

31%

36%

41%

43%

28%

35%

41%

43%

42%

21%

23%

31%

46%

28%

29%

45%

37%

15%

17%

22%

38%

-

-

-

38%

38%

12%

25%

69%

36%

40%

37%

30%

46%

42%

39%

52%

32%

21%

42%

Very favorable

14%

14%

-

-

-

-

-

-

15%

-

-

-

-

-

-

28%

3%

7%

2%

28%

3%

3%

30%

3%

7%

17%

11%

11%

9%

15%

19%

12%

9%

15%

19%

15%

6%

9%

15%

18%

9%

10%

24%

13%

3%

7%

8%

14%

-

-

-

14%

14%

4%

7%

29%

15%

14%

14%

9%

19%

16%

10%

26%

11%

8%

14%

Favorable

24%

24%

-

-

-

-

-

-

25%

-

-

-

-

-

-

41%

10%

18%

9%

42%

9%

15%

42%

9%

15%

27%

21%

19%

26%

26%

24%

16%

27%

26%

24%

26%

16%

15%

17%

28%

20%

19%

21%

24%

12%

10%

13%

24%

-

-

-

24%

24%

8%

18%

41%

21%

27%

24%

21%

27%

26%

28%

26%

21%

14%

28%

Unfavorable

16%

16%

-

-

-

-

-

-

16%

-

-

-

-

-

-

11%

19%

22%

16%

11%

20%

24%

12%

18%

32%

16%

17%

19%

19%

17%

12%

20%

19%

16%

12%

15%

21%

17%

23%

15%

19%

19%

21%

15%

22%

16%

25%

16%

-

-

-

16%

17%

17%

22%

9%

16%

17%

17%

18%

13%

16%

19%

14%

19%

18%

12%

Very unfavorable

27%

27%

-

-

-

-

-

-

29%

-

-

-

-

-

-

6%

50%

26%

13%

4%

51%

13%

4%

55%

26%

27%

28%

19%

21%

27%

40%

20%

19%

27%

40%

27%

34%

21%

22%

27%

32%

22%

16%

28%

35%

20%

26%

27%

-

-

-

23%

33%

55%

28%

8%

27%

28%

29%

28%

23%

29%

25%

23%

29%

33%

24%

NET UNFAVORABLE

44%

44%

-

-

-

-

-

-

45%

-

-

-

-

-

-

17%

70%

48%

28%

15%

71%

37%

16%

74%

58%

43%

45%

38%

40%

44%

51%

40%

38%

43%

51%

43%

54%

39%

45%

42%

51%

41%

37%

44%

57%

36%

51%

44%

-

-

-

39%

50%

72%

51%

17%

43%

45%

46%

47%

36%

45%

43%

37%

48%

50%

36%

Never heard of them

3%

3%

-

-

-

-

-

-

3%

-

-

-

-

-

-

3%

3%

4%

9%

3%

3%

8%

2%

3%

3%

3%

4%

9%

3%

2%

1%

9%

5%

2%

1%

3%

3%

11%

4%

3%

4%

10%

3%

3%

3%

12%

4%

3%

-

-

-

4%

3%

4%

4%

3%

4%

3%

4%

5%

1%

4%

4%

0%

3%

6%

2%

No opinion

15%

15%

-

-

-

-

-

-

12%

-

-

-

-

-

-

11%

14%

23%

52%

12%

15%

37%

10%

11%

17%

11%

19%

23%

21%

13%

5%

23%

22%

15%

5%

13%

21%

27%

19%

9%

17%

20%

14%

16%

25%

35%

23%

15%

-

-

-

19%

9%

12%

21%

11%

18%

11%

13%

18%

16%

9%

14%

11%

17%

23%

20%

NET

100%

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,333

0

0

0

0

0

0

2,103

0

0

0

0

0

0

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

F1r30: Bob Casey - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

43%

43%

-

-

-

-

-

-

46%

-

-

-

-

-

-

14%

76%

40%

20%

12%

76%

17%

12%

80%

40%

43%

44%

35%

40%

44%

52%

36%

37%

43%

52%

42%

54%

46%

41%

42%

49%

52%

33%

42%

58%

40%

46%

43%

-

-

-

38%

51%

79%

46%

15%

43%

44%

43%

54%

34%

42%

54%

35%

45%

54%

34%

Very favorable

17%

17%

-

-

-

-

-

-

19%

-

-

-

-

-

-

3%

36%

9%

0%

3%

32%

4%

2%

36%

9%

17%

18%

10%

14%

16%

27%

9%

13%

16%

27%

17%

21%

14%

11%

17%

18%

14%

11%

18%

23%

15%

11%

17%

-

-

-

15%

21%

39%

15%

4%

17%

17%

17%

22%

13%

18%

20%

11%

16%

25%

14%

Favorable

26%

26%

-

-

-

-

-

-

27%

-

-

-

-

-

-

11%

40%

31%

20%

10%

43%

14%

10%

44%

31%

26%

26%

25%

26%

28%

26%

27%

24%

28%

26%

25%

33%

32%

29%

25%

31%

38%

22%

24%

35%

25%

35%

26%

-

-

-

24%

30%

40%

32%

11%

26%

27%

26%

32%

22%

23%

34%

24%

29%

29%

20%

Unfavorable

18%

18%

-

-

-

-

-

-

18%

-

-

-

-

-

-

28%

7%

20%

17%

30%

7%

19%

29%

7%

20%

19%

17%

17%

22%

19%

15%

16%

22%

19%

15%

19%

14%

12%

15%

20%

18%

15%

22%

19%

10%

8%

11%

18%

-

-

-

19%

16%

4%

19%

28%

16%

20%

21%

13%

17%

23%

15%

18%

20%

11%

17%

Very unfavorable

23%

23%

-

-

-

-

-

-

24%

-

-

-

-

-

-

44%

5%

16%

9%

44%

4%

19%

48%

4%

20%

27%

20%

17%

18%

26%

30%

15%

17%

25%

30%

25%

14%

13%

15%

29%

16%

11%

28%

22%

12%

15%

5%

23%

-

-

-

23%

23%

6%

15%

44%

22%

24%

21%

16%

32%

25%

17%

39%

18%

15%

26%

NET UNFAVORABLE

41%

41%

-

-

-

-

-

-

42%

-

-

-

-

-

-

72%

12%

36%

26%

73%

11%

38%

77%

11%

40%

46%

37%

34%

39%

44%

45%

31%

40%

44%

45%

45%

28%

25%

30%

49%

34%

26%

50%

41%

23%

23%

16%

41%

-

-

-

42%

40%

9%

33%

72%

38%

44%

42%

29%

50%

47%

32%

57%

37%

26%

44%

Never heard of them

2%

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

5%

2%

2%

6%

2%

1%

0%

6%

3%

1%

0%

2%

1%

4%

6%

2%

0%

5%

4%

2%

2%

2%

7%

2%

-

-

-

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

1%

2%

3%

0%

2%

2%

2%

No opinion

13%

13%

-

-

-

-

-

-

10%

-

-

-

-

-

-

11%

11%

21%

54%

12%

11%

44%

9%

8%

15%

9%

17%

25%

18%

11%

2%

27%

20%

12%

2%

11%

17%

25%

24%

8%

16%

16%

12%

15%

18%

35%

32%

13%

-

-

-

17%

8%

10%

19%

11%

16%

10%

12%

14%

15%

9%

11%

8%

16%

18%

20%

NET

100%

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,333

0

0

0

0

0

0

2,103

0

0

0

0

0

0

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

F1r31: Josh Shapiro - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

51%

51%

-

-

-

-

-

-

54%

-

-

-

-

-

-

26%

78%

50%

20%

26%

77%

31%

27%

84%

59%

51%

51%

38%

47%

53%

64%

37%

44%

51%

64%

52%

53%

44%

42%

51%

54%

57%

44%

53%

53%

32%

41%

51%

-

-

-

44%

61%

80%

55%

27%

48%

53%

54%

53%

44%

53%

54%

45%

54%

53%

44%

Very favorable

26%

26%

-

-

-

-

-

-

28%

-

-

-

-

-

-

6%

50%

20%

12%

6%

47%

9%

6%

53%

24%

25%

28%

15%

21%

28%

37%

14%

20%

27%

37%

28%

29%

16%

14%

26%

29%

18%

3%

29%

28%

13%

21%

26%

-

-

-

22%

33%

53%

27%

7%

24%

28%

28%

27%

23%

26%

23%

25%

29%

33%

21%

Favorable

25%

25%

-

-

-

-

-

-

26%

-

-

-

-

-

-

20%

28%

29%

8%

20%

30%

22%

21%

31%

35%

26%

23%

23%

25%

24%

27%

24%

25%

24%

27%

24%

25%

29%

28%

25%

24%

39%

40%

24%

25%

18%

20%

25%

-

-

-

22%

28%

26%

28%

20%

24%

26%

26%

26%

22%

27%

31%

20%

25%

20%

23%

Unfavorable

16%

16%

-

-

-

-

-

-

16%

-

-

-

-

-

-

26%

6%

16%

18%

27%

7%

16%

27%

5%

18%

18%

14%

17%

16%

17%

15%

15%

18%

17%

15%

17%

12%

11%

18%

19%

15%

14%

17%

15%

9%

9%

20%

16%

-

-

-

17%

15%

6%

13%

27%

15%

17%

16%

15%

18%

18%

17%

20%

14%

12%

16%

Very unfavorable

15%

15%

-

-

-

-

-

-

16%

-

-

-

-

-

-

31%

2%

11%

7%

30%

2%

13%

32%

2%

7%

18%

13%

13%

15%

17%

16%

12%

14%

18%

16%

17%

12%

8%

10%

19%

13%

7%

17%

14%

12%

10%

5%

15%

-

-

-

16%

14%

3%

9%

31%

15%

16%

15%

11%

20%

18%

12%

24%

13%

10%

16%

NET UNFAVORABLE

32%

32%

-

-

-

-

-

-

32%

-

-

-

-

-

-

57%

8%

26%

26%

57%

8%

29%

60%

7%

26%

36%

28%

30%

31%

34%

31%

27%

32%

34%

31%

34%

24%

20%

29%

39%

28%

21%

34%

29%

21%

18%

25%

32%

-

-

-

33%

30%

9%

22%

58%

31%

33%

32%

26%

38%

36%

29%

44%

27%

22%

33%

Never heard of them

3%

3%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

5%

2%

3%

7%

3%

1%

0%

8%

4%

1%

0%

2%

3%

8%

5%

2%

4%

10%

0%

2%

3%

5%

8%

3%

-

-

-

3%

1%

3%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

5%

2%

2%

6%

1%

2%

4%

3%

No opinion

15%

15%

-

-

-

-

-

-

12%

-

-

-

-

-

-

14%

10%

22%

52%

14%

12%

38%

11%

7%

11%

10%

19%

25%

19%

12%

4%

27%

20%

13%

4%

12%

19%

28%

24%

9%

15%

12%

23%

16%

23%

45%

26%

15%

-

-

-

19%

8%

8%

20%

13%

18%

12%

13%

16%

16%

9%

12%

11%

17%

21%

20%

NET

100%

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,333

0

0

0

0

0

0

2,103

0

0

0

0

0

0

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

F1r32: Eric Hovde - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

38%

-

-

-

-

-

38%

-

-

-

-

-

-

41%

-

75%

8%

29%

3%

73%

8%

21%

78%

9%

36%

45%

33%

26%

40%

42%

45%

24%

37%

42%

45%

42%

11%

21%

25%

48%

11%

45%

33%

36%

10%

15%

16%

-

38%

-

-

38%

40%

9%

25%

74%

34%

42%

41%

33%

41%

44%

41%

50%

37%

24%

33%

Very favorable

14%

-

-

-

-

-

14%

-

-

-

-

-

-

15%

-

32%

2%

7%

0%

28%

2%

5%

33%

1%

4%

18%

11%

9%

13%

15%

20%

10%

12%

14%

20%

16%

3%

3%

9%

20%

3%

0%

11%

12%

3%

4%

6%

-

14%

-

-

15%

13%

2%

6%

33%

13%

15%

17%

11%

14%

20%

15%

17%

13%

6%

12%

Favorable

24%

-

-

-

-

-

24%

-

-

-

-

-

-

26%

-

43%

6%

22%

3%

45%

6%

16%

46%

8%

31%

27%

22%

17%

28%

27%

25%

14%

26%

28%

25%

26%

8%

18%

17%

28%

8%

45%

22%

24%

7%

10%

10%

-

24%

-

-

22%

28%

7%

19%

41%

21%

27%

24%

22%

26%

24%

26%

33%

24%

17%

21%

Unfavorable

15%

-

-

-

-

-

15%

-

-

-

-

-

-

14%

-

10%

17%

21%

15%

11%

17%

24%

8%

17%

28%

15%

15%

21%

15%

13%

10%

20%

18%

14%

10%

14%

25%

24%

17%

14%

29%

12%

11%

14%

20%

27%

24%

-

15%

-

-

14%

16%

14%

19%

10%

15%

15%

14%

17%

15%

15%

15%

14%

13%

19%

15%

Very unfavorable

34%

-

-

-

-

-

34%

-

-

-

-

-

-

36%

-

6%

65%

35%

25%

6%

64%

17%

7%

67%

22%

30%

38%

28%

28%

37%

42%

29%

27%

36%

42%

34%

39%

36%

27%

29%

39%

25%

26%

38%

38%

39%

29%

-

34%

-

-

32%

37%

67%

37%

9%

36%

33%

34%

35%

33%

30%

31%

28%

37%

40%

37%

NET UNFAVORABLE

49%

-

-

-

-

-

49%

-

-

-

-

-

-

50%

-

16%

82%

56%

40%

17%

82%

41%

15%

84%

51%

45%

53%

50%

44%

51%

52%

49%

45%

50%

52%

48%

64%

60%

44%

44%

68%

37%

37%

52%

58%

66%

52%

-

49%

-

-

47%

53%

81%

56%

19%

51%

48%

48%

52%

48%

46%

46%

42%

50%

59%

52%

Never heard of them

4%

-

-

-

-

-

4%

-

-

-

-

-

-

3%

-

3%

4%

6%

0%

3%

5%

4%

2%

3%

3%

4%

4%

10%

4%

1%

0%

11%

6%

1%

0%

3%

15%

5%

4%

3%

10%

0%

7%

4%

21%

7%

0%

-

4%

-

-

5%

2%

4%

5%

3%

5%

3%

3%

5%

4%

3%

5%

2%

3%

5%

6%

No opinion

8%

-

-

-

-

-

8%

-

-

-

-

-

-

6%

-

5%

6%

9%

57%

7%

5%

34%

5%

4%

11%

7%

10%

14%

11%

6%

3%

16%

12%

7%

3%

7%

11%

14%

27%

5%

11%

18%

23%

9%

10%

13%

31%

-

8%

-

-

10%

5%

6%

13%

5%

10%

7%

8%

10%

8%

7%

8%

5%

10%

12%

9%

NET

100%

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

0

0

0

0

0

1,727

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,549

0

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

F1r33: Tammy Baldwin - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

42%

-

-

-

-

-

42%

-

-

-

-

-

-

44%

-

11%

84%

39%

9%

10%

79%

7%

10%

82%

24%

40%

44%

41%

41%

40%

46%

42%

41%

40%

46%

41%

62%

42%

37%

39%

60%

30%

34%

43%

63%

45%

41%

-

42%

-

-

38%

50%

85%

43%

12%

43%

41%

41%

50%

34%

38%

50%

32%

45%

51%

36%

Very favorable

19%

-

-

-

-

-

19%

-

-

-

-

-

-

21%

-

2%

47%

13%

4%

2%

39%

4%

3%

44%

3%

20%

19%

13%

17%

19%

29%

13%

16%

18%

29%

19%

29%

18%

18%

20%

30%

11%

17%

18%

29%

19%

20%

-

19%

-

-

17%

23%

48%

16%

4%

21%

18%

20%

24%

14%

21%

25%

14%

19%

22%

15%

Favorable

22%

-

-

-

-

-

22%

-

-

-

-

-

-

23%

-

8%

38%

26%

5%

8%

40%

3%

7%

38%

22%

20%

25%

28%

24%

21%

17%

29%

25%

21%

17%

22%

32%

24%

19%

19%

31%

19%

17%

25%

34%

26%

21%

-

22%

-

-

20%

27%

37%

27%

8%

22%

22%

21%

26%

20%

17%

25%

19%

26%

29%

21%

Unfavorable

18%

-

-

-

-

-

18%

-

-

-

-

-

-

17%

-

25%

7%

22%

21%

24%

11%

31%

24%

10%

35%

18%

18%

21%

20%

19%

13%

21%

19%

20%

13%

19%

10%

23%

16%

18%

10%

39%

13%

19%

10%

18%

19%

-

18%

-

-

18%

18%

7%

21%

22%

16%

20%

17%

18%

21%

18%

18%

18%

16%

18%

23%

Very unfavorable

31%

-

-

-

-

-

31%

-

-

-

-

-

-

32%

-

58%

2%

27%

20%

59%

4%

21%

62%

3%

29%

34%

28%

18%

27%

38%

39%

17%

24%

36%

39%

33%

16%

13%

20%

36%

16%

6%

23%

30%

15%

15%

15%

-

31%

-

-

33%

26%

1%

21%

61%

29%

32%

34%

20%

35%

37%

21%

43%

31%

18%

29%

NET UNFAVORABLE

49%

-

-

-

-

-

49%

-

-

-

-

-

-

49%

-

83%

9%

49%

41%

83%

15%

52%

86%

13%

64%

52%

46%

39%

46%

57%

52%

37%

44%

56%

52%

51%

26%

35%

36%

54%

26%

45%

36%

49%

25%

33%

35%

-

49%

-

-

51%

44%

9%

42%

83%

45%

52%

51%

38%

56%

54%

39%

61%

47%

36%

52%

Never heard of them

2%

-

-

-

-

-

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

1%

-

2%

1%

2%

0%

2%

1%

2%

1%

0%

2%

2%

1%

2%

3%

1%

0%

2%

3%

1%

0%

1%

2%

8%

4%

1%

4%

6%

7%

1%

0%

8%

0%

-

2%

-

-

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

3%

1%

1%

3%

2%

0%

3%

1%

No opinion

8%

-

-

-

-

-

8%

-

-

-

-

-

-

6%

-

4%

5%

11%

50%

6%

5%

39%

4%

4%

10%

7%

9%

17%

10%

3%

2%

19%

12%

3%

2%

7%

10%

15%

23%

5%

10%

18%

22%

8%

12%

14%

25%

-

8%

-

-

10%

5%

5%

13%

3%

9%

6%

7%

9%

8%

7%

8%

5%

7%

11%

11%

NET

100%

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

0

0

0

0

0

1,727

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,549

0

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

F1r34: Tony Evers - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

44%

-

-

-

-

-

44%

-

-

-

-

-

-

47%

-

17%

78%

45%

15%

15%

77%

17%

16%

81%

36%

44%

45%

39%

46%

42%

50%

38%

45%

43%

50%

44%

49%

42%

47%

44%

55%

26%

45%

45%

40%

46%

50%

-

44%

-

-

40%

53%

80%

47%

18%

45%

44%

44%

52%

38%

42%

56%

33%

46%

47%

42%

Very favorable

22%

-

-

-

-

-

22%

-

-

-

-

-

-

24%

-

3%

49%

18%

4%

3%

43%

3%

3%

49%

14%

23%

20%

17%

17%

22%

32%

14%

19%

21%

32%

22%

22%

27%

23%

24%

25%

11%

25%

20%

17%

31%

21%

-

22%

-

-

20%

26%

51%

19%

5%

24%

21%

21%

27%

18%

22%

30%

18%

20%

24%

19%

Favorable

22%

-

-

-

-

-

22%

-

-

-

-

-

-

23%

-

14%

30%

27%

12%

12%

34%

14%

13%

32%

23%

21%

24%

22%

28%

21%

18%

23%

26%

22%

18%

22%

27%

15%

24%

20%

30%

15%

21%

25%

23%

16%

29%

-

22%

-

-

20%

26%

28%

27%

13%

22%

23%

23%

25%

20%

20%

26%

15%

26%

23%

23%

Unfavorable

17%

-

-

-

-

-

17%

-

-

-

-

-

-

17%

-

23%

8%

19%

14%

24%

9%

21%

23%

8%

27%

17%

17%

19%

15%

20%

14%

18%

17%

19%

14%

18%

11%

14%

10%

19%

6%

6%

4%

17%

17%

15%

16%

-

17%

-

-

17%

17%

9%

18%

22%

15%

18%

16%

16%

20%

15%

15%

22%

16%

18%

17%

Very unfavorable

26%

-

-

-

-

-

26%

-

-

-

-

-

-

28%

-

51%

4%

22%

13%

50%

5%

18%

55%

4%

24%

29%

24%

16%

23%

33%

34%

16%

20%

31%

34%

28%

17%

7%

14%

31%

15%

15%

23%

26%

20%

5%

3%

-

26%

-

-

28%

24%

3%

16%

54%

24%

29%

29%

19%

30%

32%

20%

36%

26%

17%

25%

NET UNFAVORABLE

43%

-

-

-

-

-

43%

-

-

-

-

-

-

45%

-

74%

11%

41%

27%

74%

14%

39%

78%

12%

51%

46%

41%

35%

39%

53%

47%

34%

37%

50%

47%

46%

28%

21%

24%

49%

21%

21%

28%

43%

37%

21%

19%

-

43%

-

-

45%

41%

12%

34%

75%

39%

47%

45%

35%

49%

47%

34%

58%

42%

36%

42%

Never heard of them

2%

-

-

-

-

-

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2%

-

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

5%

1%

0%

3%

2%

2%

6%

2%

1%

0%

6%

3%

1%

0%

1%

9%

8%

3%

2%

5%

0%

4%

1%

13%

11%

3%

-

2%

-

-

3%

1%

2%

3%

2%

3%

1%

2%

4%

2%

1%

3%

3%

2%

4%

1%

No opinion

10%

-

-

-

-

-

10%

-

-

-

-

-

-

7%

-

6%

8%

11%

57%

8%

7%

40%

5%

6%

10%

8%

12%

20%

13%

5%

2%

22%

15%

6%

2%

8%

14%

29%

26%

5%

18%

53%

23%

11%

9%

22%

29%

-

10%

-

-

13%

5%

6%

17%

5%

12%

8%

10%

10%

11%

10%

7%

6%

10%

13%

15%

NET

100%

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

0

0

0

0

0

1,727

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,549

0

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

F1r35: Roy Cooper - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

49%

-

-

49%

-

-

-

-

-

-

51%

-

-

-

-

26%

74%

54%

15%

26%

74%

31%

26%

80%

49%

48%

49%

39%

50%

52%

55%

36%

50%

51%

55%

45%

60%

45%

46%

46%

57%

44%

41%

45%

63%

47%

48%

-

-

49%

-

44%

58%

75%

56%

25%

50%

49%

52%

57%

40%

51%

52%

42%

53%

62%

39%

Very favorable

24%

-

-

24%

-

-

-

-

-

-

26%

-

-

-

-

5%

46%

25%

5%

4%

46%

14%

5%

52%

14%

21%

27%

16%

21%

28%

33%

15%

20%

27%

33%

22%

32%

25%

22%

20%

28%

16%

19%

24%

36%

31%

23%

-

-

24%

-

21%

30%

49%

27%

7%

26%

23%

28%

25%

19%

24%

18%

20%

31%

33%

19%

Favorable

25%

-

-

25%

-

-

-

-

-

-

25%

-

-

-

-

20%

28%

29%

10%

22%

28%

16%

21%

28%

35%

27%

22%

23%

30%

24%

22%

21%

30%

25%

22%

24%

28%

20%

24%

26%

30%

28%

22%

21%

27%

15%

25%

-

-

25%

-

23%

28%

26%

30%

18%

24%

25%

24%

31%

21%

27%

34%

22%

21%

29%

20%

Unfavorable

16%

-

-

16%

-

-

-

-

-

-

16%

-

-

-

-

25%

7%

14%

27%

24%

8%

17%

25%

7%

10%

18%

14%

17%

15%

16%

16%

18%

16%

15%

16%

18%

11%

14%

17%

20%

11%

18%

10%

16%

10%

11%

21%

-

-

16%

-

16%

16%

6%

14%

24%

15%

18%

14%

14%

20%

15%

17%

22%

13%

11%

19%

Very unfavorable

20%

-

-

20%

-

-

-

-

-

-

21%

-

-

-

-

35%

5%

18%

9%

36%

4%

16%

38%

4%

14%

22%

18%

16%

18%

22%

24%

15%

16%

23%

24%

25%

7%

18%

17%

25%

9%

25%

28%

24%

5%

13%

12%

-

-

20%

-

21%

17%

4%

11%

39%

19%

22%

20%

13%

25%

22%

16%

25%

17%

9%

25%

NET UNFAVORABLE

36%

-

-

36%

-

-

-

-

-

-

37%

-

-

-

-

61%

12%

31%

36%

60%

12%

33%

63%

11%

25%

40%

33%

33%

33%

38%

41%

33%

32%

38%

41%

43%

18%

32%

34%

46%

21%

43%

37%

40%

15%

24%

33%

-

-

36%

-

38%

33%

10%

26%

63%

34%

40%

33%

27%

45%

37%

34%

47%

30%

20%

43%

Never heard of them

3%

-

-

3%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2%

-

-

-

-

3%

3%

2%

8%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

4%

2%

4%

6%

3%

2%

0%

7%

4%

2%

0%

2%

4%

9%

4%

2%

4%

0%

7%

3%

3%

15%

2%

-

-

3%

-

3%

2%

4%

3%

2%

4%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

3%

2%

4%

5%

3%

No opinion

12%

-

-

12%

-

-

-

-

-

-

10%

-

-

-

-

11%

11%

12%

40%

11%

11%

33%

9%

7%

23%

10%

14%

22%

14%

8%

4%

24%

15%

9%

4%

9%

18%

14%

17%

7%

18%

13%

15%

12%

19%

14%

18%

-

-

12%

-

15%

7%

11%

15%

10%

13%

10%

12%

12%

12%

9%

11%

9%

14%

14%

15%

NET

100%

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

0

0

1,815

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,600

0

0

0

0

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

F1r36: Mark Robinson - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

29%

-

-

29%

-

-

-

-

-

-

30%

-

-

-

-

54%

10%

20%

9%

52%

8%

9%

53%

8%

12%

33%

26%

25%

29%

30%

32%

25%

28%

31%

32%

35%

14%

31%

20%

38%

18%

41%

18%

32%

10%

25%

21%

-

-

29%

-

30%

28%

10%

18%

53%

27%

32%

27%

21%

37%

32%

27%

38%

22%

14%

36%

Very favorable

13%

-

-

13%

-

-

-

-

-

-

13%

-

-

-

-

25%

3%

7%

5%

24%

3%

0%

26%

2%

0%

14%

11%

12%

11%

13%

14%

12%

10%

14%

14%

15%

5%

22%

9%

16%

6%

32%

8%

14%

3%

15%

10%

-

-

13%

-

13%

12%

3%

6%

26%

11%

14%

13%

6%

15%

17%

8%

14%

10%

4%

17%

Favorable

17%

-

-

17%

-

-

-

-

-

-

17%

-

-

-

-

29%

6%

13%

5%

29%

5%

9%

28%

5%

12%

19%

14%

13%

18%

18%

17%

13%

18%

17%

17%

20%

9%

9%

11%

23%

11%

9%

10%

18%

6%

10%

11%

-

-

17%

-

17%

16%

7%

12%

28%

16%

18%

14%

14%

22%

15%

18%

24%

12%

11%

19%

Unfavorable

13%

-

-

13%

-

-

-

-

-

-

14%

-

-

-

-

13%

10%

17%

16%

15%

11%

16%

17%

11%

12%

14%

12%

17%

11%

12%

12%

17%

13%

12%

12%

13%

14%

9%

26%

14%

14%

13%

38%

12%

14%

7%

20%

-

-

13%

-

13%

14%

10%

15%

14%

12%

15%

13%

15%

13%

13%

20%

12%

13%

10%

13%

Very unfavorable

42%

-

-

42%

-

-

-

-

-

-

44%

-

-

-

-

20%

66%

45%

23%

18%

68%

27%

19%

73%

52%

41%

43%

33%

40%

45%

52%

31%

39%

43%

52%

39%

53%

44%

30%

39%

49%

39%

24%

39%

56%

47%

33%

-

-

42%

-

37%

50%

69%

46%

22%

44%

41%

45%

47%

35%

44%

38%

39%

47%

56%

31%

NET UNFAVORABLE

55%

-

-

55%

-

-

-

-

-

-

57%

-

-

-

-

33%

77%

62%

39%

33%

79%

43%

35%

83%

63%

55%

55%

50%

51%

57%

64%

49%

52%

55%

64%

52%

67%

53%

55%

53%

63%

52%

61%

51%

69%

54%

52%

-

-

55%

-

50%

65%

78%

61%

35%

56%

56%

58%

62%

48%

57%

59%

51%

60%

66%

45%

Never heard of them

4%

-

-

4%

-

-

-

-

-

-

3%

-

-

-

-

2%

5%

6%

8%

3%

5%

12%

2%

3%

4%

3%

5%

9%

3%

3%

1%

10%

5%

2%

1%

3%

5%

9%

5%

2%

6%

0%

2%

4%

5%

15%

6%

-

-

4%

-

5%

2%

6%

5%

2%

5%

3%

5%

4%

3%

4%

2%

2%

6%

6%

4%

No opinion

11%

-

-

11%

-

-

-

-

-

-

9%

-

-

-

-

11%

9%

12%

45%

12%

8%

36%

10%

6%

21%

9%

14%

16%

16%

10%

3%

17%

15%

11%

3%

10%

15%

7%

20%

7%

13%

8%

18%

13%

16%

6%

21%

-

-

11%

-

15%

6%

6%

16%

9%

12%

9%

10%

13%

12%

7%

12%

9%

13%

14%

15%

NET

100%

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

0

0

1,815

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,600

0

0

0

0

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

F1r37: Josh Stein - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

45%

-

-

45%

-

-

-

-

-

-

48%

-

-

-

-

24%

72%

44%

13%

22%

71%

18%

25%

76%

35%

47%

43%

36%

43%

48%

54%

33%

43%

47%

54%

43%

53%

46%

35%

46%

51%

56%

36%

40%

55%

39%

35%

-

-

45%

-

39%

56%

71%

49%

25%

46%

45%

47%

52%

39%

47%

54%

43%

47%

50%

35%

Very favorable

19%

-

-

19%

-

-

-

-

-

-

20%

-

-

-

-

5%

38%

15%

7%

4%

36%

0%

4%

40%

10%

18%

19%

13%

16%

18%

28%

13%

16%

17%

28%

17%

24%

23%

14%

17%

21%

25%

10%

16%

27%

21%

16%

-

-

19%

-

16%

23%

39%

19%

6%

20%

18%

20%

21%

16%

17%

21%

19%

22%

21%

14%

Favorable

26%

-

-

26%

-

-

-

-

-

-

28%

-

-

-

-

19%

34%

30%

5%

19%

35%

18%

21%

36%

25%

29%

24%

22%

26%

30%

26%

21%

27%

29%

26%

26%

28%

23%

21%

28%

30%

31%

25%

24%

27%

18%

19%

-

-

26%

-

22%

33%

31%

30%

19%

26%

27%

27%

31%

22%

30%

33%

24%

25%

29%

20%

Unfavorable

13%

-

-

13%

-

-

-

-

-

-

13%

-

-

-

-

18%

6%

14%

13%

20%

6%

10%

19%

6%

27%

14%

12%

13%

10%

14%

14%

16%

10%

13%

14%

15%

8%

5%

19%

17%

9%

4%

14%

13%

7%

5%

21%

-

-

13%

-

12%

15%

7%

11%

19%

11%

16%

13%

10%

14%

14%

14%

15%

12%

7%

14%

Very unfavorable

14%

-

-

14%

-

-

-

-

-

-

15%

-

-

-

-

26%

3%

13%

3%

26%

3%

11%

29%

3%

8%

17%

12%

11%

14%

13%

19%

10%

12%

15%

19%

17%

6%

19%

14%

19%

6%

27%

20%

15%

6%

13%

11%

-

-

14%

-

14%

14%

3%

8%

28%

14%

16%

15%

9%

16%

20%

8%

19%

12%

10%

14%

NET UNFAVORABLE

27%

-

-

27%

-

-

-

-

-

-

29%

-

-

-

-

45%

9%

26%

16%

45%

10%

22%

48%

10%

34%

31%

24%

24%

25%

27%

33%

26%

22%

28%

33%

32%

14%

23%

33%

36%

14%

31%

34%

28%

13%

18%

32%

-

-

27%

-

26%

30%

10%

19%

47%

24%

32%

28%

19%

31%

33%

22%

34%

24%

16%

28%

Never heard of them

7%

-

-

7%

-

-

-

-

-

-

5%

-

-

-

-

8%

5%

8%

18%

8%

5%

13%

7%

3%

4%

5%

8%

13%

9%

5%

1%

13%

9%

6%

1%

6%

8%

10%

8%

4%

9%

0%

11%

8%

7%

18%

6%

-

-

7%

-

9%

3%

6%

8%

6%

8%

5%

6%

7%

8%

5%

5%

6%

6%

10%

10%

No opinion

21%

-

-

21%

-

-

-

-

-

-

18%

-

-

-

-

24%

14%

22%

53%

24%

15%

47%

21%

12%

27%

16%

25%

28%

24%

19%

11%

28%

26%

19%

11%

19%

26%

20%

24%

14%

26%

13%

18%

24%

26%

25%

27%

-

-

21%

-

26%

11%

13%

25%

21%

21%

18%

19%

22%

23%

14%

19%

17%

23%

24%

27%

NET

100%

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

0

0

1,815

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,600

0

0

0

0

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

F1r38: Brian Kemp - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

52%

-

52%

-

-

-

-

-

-

55%

-

-

-

-

-

80%

28%

48%

20%

75%

32%

32%

80%

32%

54%

57%

48%

37%

48%

57%

72%

35%

44%

57%

72%

68%

32%

29%

49%

70%

38%

33%

61%

66%

28%

25%

38%

-

-

52%

-

50%

56%

25%

43%

79%

49%

56%

52%

39%

66%

58%

43%

73%

46%

34%

61%

Very favorable

24%

-

24%

-

-

-

-

-

-

26%

-

-

-

-

-

46%

7%

17%

7%

41%

9%

12%

45%

10%

20%

27%

22%

15%

18%

28%

42%

14%

16%

27%

42%

34%

11%

15%

22%

36%

10%

19%

35%

32%

11%

9%

12%

-

-

24%

-

22%

28%

9%

15%

45%

23%

27%

26%

14%

31%

28%

15%

39%

23%

13%

27%

Favorable

28%

-

28%

-

-

-

-

-

-

29%

-

-

-

-

-

33%

20%

31%

13%

34%

23%

20%

35%

22%

34%

30%

26%

22%

30%

30%

29%

21%

28%

30%

29%

34%

21%

15%

26%

33%

27%

14%

26%

34%

16%

15%

27%

-

-

28%

-

27%

28%

16%

29%

34%

26%

29%

26%

25%

34%

29%

28%

34%

23%

21%

34%

Unfavorable

17%

-

17%

-

-

-

-

-

-

17%

-

-

-

-

-

9%

26%

16%

20%

11%

23%

16%

10%

26%

12%

17%

17%

21%

19%

14%

12%

20%

20%

15%

12%

13%

21%

23%

17%

14%

20%

26%

18%

13%

21%

20%

17%

-

-

17%

-

16%

18%

26%

18%

10%

16%

17%

18%

20%

12%

17%

22%

11%

19%

18%

12%

Very unfavorable

16%

-

16%

-

-

-

-

-

-

16%

-

-

-

-

-

4%

32%

14%

6%

5%

28%

9%

5%

30%

12%

14%

18%

15%

15%

20%

12%

15%

17%

19%

12%

9%

26%

25%

9%

8%

21%

26%

6%

10%

29%

24%

11%

-

-

16%

-

17%

15%

34%

18%

3%

16%

16%

17%

20%

9%

14%

18%

8%

21%

23%

10%

NET UNFAVORABLE

33%

-

33%

-

-

-

-

-

-

33%

-

-

-

-

-

13%

58%

30%

26%

16%

51%

25%

15%

56%

24%

31%

35%

37%

34%

34%

24%

35%

37%

34%

24%

23%

46%

49%

26%

23%

41%

53%

24%

23%

50%

45%

28%

-

-

33%

-

32%

33%

61%

35%

13%

32%

34%

35%

40%

21%

31%

39%

19%

39%

41%

22%

Never heard of them

4%

-

4%

-

-

-

-

-

-

3%

-

-

-

-

-

3%

5%

3%

15%

2%

5%

4%

1%

5%

3%

3%

5%

9%

3%

1%

0%

13%

3%

1%

0%

2%

7%

8%

3%

2%

5%

6%

0%

2%

8%

10%

6%

-

-

4%

-

4%

3%

4%

5%

2%

4%

4%

3%

7%

3%

2%

5%

2%

4%

8%

3%

No opinion

11%

-

11%

-

-

-

-

-

-

8%

-

-

-

-

-

5%

10%

19%

38%

7%

12%

38%

5%

7%

19%

10%

13%

17%

15%

7%

4%

18%

16%

8%

4%

7%

15%

14%

22%

6%

16%

8%

15%

9%

15%

20%

28%

-

-

11%

-

14%

7%

11%

16%

6%

15%

6%

10%

14%

11%

10%

12%

6%

10%

17%

14%

NET

100%

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,880

0

1,880

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,659

0

0

0

0

0

692

762

377

49

849

920

111

669

732

40

829

1,051

526

565

466

323

342

589

626

323

1,059

660

79

82

491

263

40

35

568

397

39

47

0

0

1,880

0

1,152

728

444

782

654

985

858

982

441

457

448

229

152

534

212

305

H1b: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican, and Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump

47%

45%

48%

48%

46%

47%

46%

46%

46%

49%

49%

48%

49%

47%

48%

90%

5%

41%

27%

100%

0%

0%

91%

6%

21%

52%

41%

41%

46%

50%

49%

39%

45%

50%

49%

54%

18%

36%

37%

57%

26%

48%

48%

51%

10%

27%

27%

45%

46%

48%

47%

48%

45%

10%

36%

83%

44%

49%

46%

37%

59%

52%

43%

63%

40%

30%

55%

Kamala Harris

47%

49%

45%

47%

47%

46%

47%

47%

51%

47%

48%

48%

47%

49%

48%

7%

93%

44%

28%

0%

100%

0%

6%

91%

35%

43%

50%

49%

46%

45%

47%

51%

47%

44%

47%

40%

74%

54%

49%

39%

66%

47%

40%

42%

82%

60%

58%

49%

47%

46%

46%

45%

51%

88%

52%

13%

48%

46%

48%

56%

35%

43%

52%

32%

53%

61%

37%

Don’t Know / Unsure

7%

6%

7%

5%

7%

7%

7%

7%

3%

4%

3%

4%

4%

4%

4%

2%

2%

15%

45%

0%

0%

100%

3%

3%

44%

5%

8%

10%

7%

5%

4%

10%

8%

6%

4%

5%

8%

10%

14%

4%

8%

5%

12%

7%

8%

13%

15%

6%

7%

6%

7%

8%

5%

2%

12%

3%

8%

5%

6%

7%

7%

5%

5%

5%

7%

9%

8%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

H1bL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump

49%

51%

46%

53%

52%

55%

48%

34%

66%

64%

48%

50%

55%

55%

35%

72%

31%

47%

48%

-

-

49%

76%

37%

48%

52%

47%

44%

45%

54%

61%

46%

43%

52%

61%

54%

47%

35%

41%

57%

51%

24%

53%

52%

42%

38%

33%

51%

50%

49%

45%

45%

60%

21%

47%

70%

45%

52%

48%

48%

51%

49%

56%

56%

47%

44%

49%

Kamala Harris

51%

49%

54%

47%

48%

45%

52%

66%

34%

36%

52%

50%

45%

45%

65%

28%

69%

53%

52%

-

-

51%

24%

63%

52%

48%

53%

56%

55%

46%

39%

54%

57%

48%

39%

46%

53%

65%

59%

43%

49%

76%

47%

48%

58%

62%

67%

49%

50%

51%

55%

55%

40%

79%

53%

30%

55%

48%

52%

52%

49%

51%

44%

44%

53%

56%

51%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

725

123

111

116

117

78

102

78

63

50

54

60

45

53

37

102

95

389

139

0

0

725

121

118

101

258

467

237

238

157

93

149

250

233

93

453

144

64

64

156

63

14

25

297

81

50

39

123

219

227

156

529

196

58

539

128

439

257

316

219

190

122

82

54

194

137

136

H1bM: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican, and Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump+leaners

49.8%

48.3%

51.1%

50.5%

49.9%

51.0%

49.2%

48.5%

48.3%

51.7%

50.2%

49.7%

51.4%

49.4%

49.5%

91.9%

5.8%

47.5%

48.8%

100.0%

0.0%

48.8%

93.1%

7.0%

42.6%

54.5%

45.2%

45.6%

49.7%

52.6%

51.3%

44.0%

48.7%

52.7%

51.3%

57.0%

21.6%

39.8%

42.4%

59.7%

30.0%

49.3%

54.3%

54.4%

13.9%

32.3%

32.5%

48.3%

49.5%

50.8%

49.9%

51.2%

47.4%

10.3%

41.6%

85.7%

47.6%

51.9%

48.9%

40.2%

61.9%

54.3%

46.2%

65.9%

43.5%

33.5%

58.9%

Kamala Harris+leaners

50.2%

51.7%

48.9%

49.5%

50.1%

49.0%

50.8%

51.6%

51.7%

48.3%

49.8%

50.3%

48.6%

50.6%

50.5%

8.1%

94.2%

52.5%

51.2%

0.0%

100.0%

51.2%

6.9%

93.0%

57.4%

45.5%

54.8%

54.4%

50.3%

47.4%

48.8%

56.0%

51.3%

47.3%

48.8%

43.0%

78.4%

60.2%

57.6%

40.3%

70.0%

50.7%

45.7%

45.6%

86.1%

67.7%

67.5%

51.7%

50.5%

49.2%

50.1%

48.8%

52.6%

89.7%

58.4%

14.3%

52.4%

48.1%

51.1%

59.8%

38.1%

45.7%

53.8%

34.1%

56.5%

66.5%

41.1%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

QH1DJT: Would you say your choice is more of a vote…

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

For Donald Trump

77%

76%

77%

78%

78%

80%

75%

77%

77%

77%

78%

77%

81%

76%

77%

82%

72%

66%

70%

80%

-

45%

79%

57%

33%

77%

77%

82%

80%

76%

72%

81%

81%

76%

72%

76%

80%

84%

77%

76%

81%

84%

82%

77%

79%

85%

70%

76%

76%

77%

79%

82%

69%

83%

72%

80%

82%

73%

75%

82%

78%

74%

82%

79%

75%

83%

77%

Against Kamala Harris

23%

24%

23%

22%

22%

20%

25%

23%

23%

23%

22%

23%

19%

24%

23%

18%

28%

34%

30%

20%

-

55%

21%

43%

67%

23%

23%

18%

20%

24%

28%

19%

19%

24%

28%

24%

20%

16%

23%

24%

19%

16%

18%

23%

21%

15%

30%

24%

24%

23%

21%

18%

31%

17%

28%

20%

18%

27%

25%

18%

22%

26%

18%

21%

25%

17%

23%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

5,884

1,079

902

864

844

798

798

599

963

797

751

748

719

712

536

4,192

284

1,255

153

5,523

0

361

4,251

322

103

2,752

3,132

1,205

1,703

1,627

1,349

727

1,649

2,159

1,349

4,997

389

265

233

2,265

237

137

113

2,732

152

128

120

1,079

1,642

1,766

1,397

3,797

2,087

311

2,074

3,499

3,024

2,747

2,754

1,310

1,820

1,346

708

698

1,408

602

1,122

QH1KH: Would you say your choice is more of a vote…

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

For Kamala Harris

71%

71%

77%

72%

72%

68%

65%

71%

71%

76%

72%

73%

67%

65%

70%

42%

79%

59%

65%

-

72%

51%

54%

73%

53%

68%

73%

75%

75%

68%

65%

73%

76%

69%

65%

65%

85%

78%

66%

61%

84%

81%

60%

68%

85%

77%

69%

71%

68%

74%

69%

74%

65%

75%

69%

63%

75%

66%

67%

79%

67%

62%

79%

64%

72%

78%

69%

Against Donald Trump

29%

29%

23%

28%

28%

32%

35%

29%

29%

24%

28%

27%

33%

35%

30%

58%

21%

41%

35%

-

28%

49%

46%

27%

47%

32%

27%

25%

25%

32%

35%

27%

24%

31%

35%

35%

15%

22%

34%

39%

16%

19%

40%

32%

15%

23%

31%

29%

32%

26%

31%

26%

35%

25%

31%

37%

25%

34%

33%

21%

33%

38%

21%

36%

28%

22%

31%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

6,631

1,254

978

951

1,020

838

929

661

1,140

862

849

920

749

837

589

353

4,707

1,415

156

0

6,267

364

313

4,853

150

2,663

3,968

1,567

1,913

1,679

1,472

1,005

1,949

2,205

1,472

4,249

1,603

457

322

1,761

624

163

115

2,488

979

294

207

1,254

1,949

1,929

1,499

3,943

2,688

2,874

3,117

640

3,657

2,843

3,191

2,181

1,259

1,272

971

420

1,919

1,210

839

LW1: Regardless of who you support, if you had to pick, who do you think is more likely to win in the presidential election in November, Kamala Harris or Donald Trump?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Kamala Harris

51%

52%

51%

49%

50%

49%

52%

51%

52%

50%

49%

51%

49%

51%

50%

14%

89%

53%

50%

9%

91%

53%

14%

88%

59%

46%

55%

53%

49%

49%

51%

54%

50%

49%

51%

44%

76%

58%

57%

42%

68%

48%

47%

47%

83%

65%

65%

52%

51%

50%

50%

49%

53%

85%

58%

20%

52%

49%

51%

59%

40%

46%

53%

37%

57%

65%

42%

Donald Trump

49%

48%

49%

51%

50%

51%

48%

49%

48%

50%

51%

49%

51%

49%

50%

86%

11%

47%

50%

91%

9%

47%

86%

12%

41%

54%

45%

47%

51%

51%

49%

46%

50%

51%

49%

56%

24%

42%

43%

58%

32%

52%

53%

53%

17%

35%

35%

48%

49%

50%

50%

51%

47%

15%

42%

80%

48%

51%

49%

41%

60%

54%

47%

63%

43%

35%

58%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

H2b: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate

46%

45%

47%

48%

45%

47%

45%

45%

46%

48%

49%

48%

49%

47%

47%

90%

5%

39%

28%

97%

1%

11%

90%

6%

21%

51%

42%

41%

45%

50%

49%

39%

44%

49%

49%

54%

17%

37%

36%

56%

24%

48%

47%

51%

11%

28%

26%

45%

45%

47%

46%

47%

44%

9%

35%

83%

44%

48%

46%

36%

58%

51%

41%

62%

40%

30%

55%

Kamala Harris, running as the Democratic party candidate

46%

48%

45%

46%

46%

44%

45%

46%

50%

47%

48%

48%

46%

47%

48%

7%

93%

42%

25%

1%

96%

9%

6%

91%

35%

42%

50%

48%

46%

44%

47%

50%

46%

44%

47%

40%

73%

52%

50%

38%

65%

45%

38%

42%

81%

57%

59%

48%

46%

46%

45%

43%

51%

87%

51%

13%

47%

46%

47%

56%

34%

42%

51%

32%

52%

61%

36%

Cornel West, running as an independent candidate

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

0%

4%

2%

1%

1%

9%

1%

1%

11%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

3%

1%

3%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

3%

1%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

2%

2%

0%

1%

6%

0%

1%

9%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

Don't Know / Unsure

6%

5%

6%

4%

6%

5%

6%

6%

2%

3%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

13%

42%

1%

2%

65%

2%

2%

24%

5%

6%

9%

6%

4%

3%

8%

7%

5%

3%

5%

7%

8%

11%

4%

8%

4%

11%

5%

6%

11%

10%

5%

6%

5%

6%

7%

4%

2%

10%

3%

7%

4%

5%

6%

6%

5%

5%

4%

5%

7%

7%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

H2bL: Between the four choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate

38%

41%

31%

37%

45%

44%

40%

25%

61%

37%

37%

42%

40%

57%

37%

71%

29%

34%

33%

94%

4%

38%

68%

16%

43%

45%

33%

32%

37%

44%

46%

34%

35%

41%

46%

45%

26%

22%

40%

51%

27%

47%

51%

41%

26%

15%

30%

41%

42%

33%

35%

34%

49%

22%

34%

65%

33%

46%

39%

37%

37%

48%

44%

40%

31%

32%

36%

Kamala Harris, running as the Democratic party candidate

42%

40%

50%

40%

35%

31%

42%

60%

28%

37%

38%

44%

26%

21%

43%

16%

58%

42%

50%

0%

83%

40%

18%

64%

26%

34%

48%

46%

44%

39%

32%

44%

45%

42%

32%

36%

49%

61%

36%

30%

46%

33%

32%

41%

53%

68%

39%

40%

38%

46%

44%

46%

30%

55%

46%

17%

47%

33%

43%

44%

38%

32%

39%

31%

53%

47%

41%

Cornel West, running as an independent candidate

14%

14%

11%

13%

12%

20%

14%

13%

7%

17%

13%

9%

24%

18%

18%

9%

9%

16%

11%

2%

7%

16%

8%

15%

22%

13%

14%

14%

14%

12%

15%

12%

14%

13%

15%

13%

13%

12%

20%

12%

11%

21%

16%

14%

15%

9%

23%

14%

13%

12%

17%

13%

15%

16%

13%

17%

13%

14%

12%

14%

15%

11%

11%

20%

13%

17%

13%

Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate

7%

5%

9%

10%

9%

5%

5%

3%

4%

9%

11%

5%

9%

4%

1%

3%

4%

8%

6%

4%

6%

7%

6%

5%

10%

8%

5%

8%

5%

5%

7%

10%

6%

4%

7%

6%

12%

6%

4%

8%

16%

0%

0%

4%

6%

7%

7%

5%

7%

9%

4%

7%

6%

7%

8%

1%

7%

7%

6%

5%

10%

9%

6%

9%

2%

4%

10%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

605

96

97

93

102

63

84

70

48

43

37

42

28

37

33

82

73

321

129

59

81

465

103

90

54

229

376

201

200

123

81

128

218

178

81

381

118

54

52

140

55

12

22

241

63

42

30

96

186

190

133

452

153

58

447

100

394

181

255

184

166

106

79

44

149

105

122

H2bM: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump+leaners

48%

47%

49%

49%

48%

50%

48%

46%

48%

50%

49%

49%

50%

48%

48%

91%

5%

44%

42%

98%

1%

35%

92%

6%

31%

53%

44%

44%

48%

51%

50%

42%

47%

51%

50%

56%

19%

39%

40%

58%

26%

50%

53%

53%

13%

30%

29%

47%

48%

49%

48%

50%

46%

10%

39%

85%

46%

50%

48%

38%

60%

54%

44%

64%

42%

32%

58%

Kamala Harris+leaners

48%

50%

48%

48%

48%

46%

48%

50%

51%

48%

49%

49%

47%

48%

49%

8%

94%

47%

46%

1%

97%

35%

6%

92%

41%

44%

53%

51%

48%

46%

48%

53%

49%

46%

48%

42%

77%

57%

54%

39%

68%

46%

42%

44%

84%

65%

63%

50%

48%

48%

48%

47%

52%

88%

55%

14%

50%

47%

49%

58%

36%

43%

53%

33%

55%

64%

39%

Cornel West+leaners

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

6%

7%

1%

1%

19%

1%

1%

16%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

1%

3%

3%

2%

1%

2%

3%

2%

5%

2%

3%

1%

4%

2%

2%

2%

5%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

1%

4%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

Jill Stein+leaners

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

3%

5%

0%

1%

10%

0%

1%

11%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

3%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

3%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

HORSE0501: Have you made up your mind on who you will vote for in the 2024 presidential election or are you still weighing the choices?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Have made up my mind

88%

88%

88%

91%

87%

87%

87%

87%

92%

93%

95%

92%

92%

91%

91%

93%

93%

77%

49%

92%

93%

25%

93%

93%

65%

88%

88%

81%

84%

91%

96%

80%

83%

89%

96%

90%

84%

79%

80%

90%

82%

84%

81%

90%

87%

76%

78%

88%

87%

90%

87%

86%

91%

94%

80%

93%

86%

90%

89%

85%

89%

89%

86%

91%

89%

85%

87%

Still weighing the choices

12%

12%

12%

9%

13%

13%

13%

13%

8%

7%

5%

8%

8%

9%

9%

7%

7%

23%

51%

8%

7%

75%

7%

7%

35%

12%

12%

19%

16%

9%

4%

20%

17%

11%

4%

10%

16%

21%

20%

10%

18%

16%

19%

10%

13%

24%

22%

12%

13%

10%

13%

14%

9%

6%

20%

7%

14%

10%

11%

15%

11%

11%

14%

9%

11%

15%

13%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

S1bAZ: If the 2024 election for senate in Arizona were held today and it was between Kari Lake, the Republican, and Ruben Gallego, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Kari Lake

37%

-

-

-

-

37%

-

-

-

-

-

-

40%

-

-

75%

4%

28%

13%

72%

5%

12%

75%

5%

20%

43%

32%

28%

34%

40%

47%

26%

35%

36%

47%

44%

17%

23%

20%

49%

23%

29%

21%

39%

9%

17%

20%

-

-

-

37%

36%

39%

6%

24%

74%

35%

39%

41%

28%

44%

45%

34%

55%

36%

22%

37%

Ruben Gallego

50%

-

-

-

-

50%

-

-

-

-

-

-

52%

-

-

17%

89%

52%

32%

15%

89%

29%

15%

90%

57%

46%

54%

50%

49%

51%

49%

52%

45%

53%

49%

46%

57%

57%

61%

44%

50%

49%

62%

49%

66%

65%

60%

-

-

-

50%

47%

54%

86%

58%

17%

48%

51%

47%

59%

41%

44%

56%

27%

50%

61%

50%

Don't know/Unsure

13%

-

-

-

-

13%

-

-

-

-

-

-

8%

-

-

9%

6%

20%

55%

12%

7%

59%

10%

5%

23%

11%

14%

22%

17%

10%

4%

22%

19%

11%

4%

10%

26%

20%

18%

7%

26%

22%

17%

12%

25%

18%

20%

-

-

-

13%

17%

7%

8%

18%

9%

16%

10%

12%

13%

15%

11%

10%

19%

14%

16%

13%

NET

100%

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

0

0

0

0

1,636

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,468

0

0

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

AZ1bL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Kari Lake

38%

-

-

-

-

38%

-

-

-

-

-

-

42%

-

-

58%

48%

25%

42%

44%

37%

30%

50%

33%

45%

30%

44%

27%

36%

56%

61%

29%

28%

55%

61%

49%

36%

21%

41%

52%

45%

3%

34%

47%

25%

39%

46%

-

-

-

38%

37%

40%

18%

38%

47%

37%

40%

39%

37%

37%

32%

37%

14%

45%

37%

59%

Ruben Gallego

62%

-

-

-

-

62%

-

-

-

-

-

-

58%

-

-

42%

52%

75%

58%

56%

63%

70%

50%

67%

55%

70%

56%

73%

64%

44%

39%

71%

72%

45%

39%

51%

64%

79%

59%

48%

55%

97%

66%

53%

75%

61%

54%

-

-

-

62%

63%

60%

82%

62%

53%

63%

60%

61%

63%

63%

68%

63%

86%

55%

63%

41%

NET

100%

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

170

0

0

0

0

170

0

0

0

0

0

0

103

0

0

46

35

72

17

73

50

47

52

26

10

62

108

60

65

30

15

41

64

50

15

104

16

38

12

33

8

18

3

71

8

20

9

0

0

0

170

135

35

24

105

41

116

50

76

66

28

28

25

9

48

41

19

S1bAZM: If the 2024 election for senate in Arizona were held today and it was between Kari Lake, the Republican, and Ruben Gallego, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Kari Lake + Learners

42%

-

-

-

-

42%

-

-

-

-

-

-

44%

-

-

80%

7%

33%

36%

78%

7%

30%

80%

6%

30%

46%

38%

34%

40%

45%

49%

33%

41%

42%

49%

49%

26%

27%

28%

53%

35%

30%

27%

44%

16%

24%

29%

-

-

-

42%

43%

42%

8%

31%

78%

41%

43%

46%

33%

50%

49%

38%

57%

42%

28%

45%

Ruben Gallego + Learners

58%

-

-

-

-

58%

-

-

-

-

-

-

56%

-

-

20%

93%

67%

64%

22%

93%

70%

20%

94%

70%

54%

62%

66%

60%

55%

51%

67%

59%

58%

51%

51%

74%

73%

72%

47%

65%

70%

73%

56%

84%

76%

71%

-

-

-

58%

57%

58%

92%

69%

22%

59%

57%

54%

67%

50%

51%

62%

43%

58%

72%

55%

NET

100%

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,636

0

0

0

0

1,636

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,468

0

0

631

596

379

30

756

802

78

634

640

33

702

934

331

437

421

447

209

422

558

447

1,225

90

234

87

521

38

103

40

704

52

131

47

0

0

0

1,636

1,033

603

402

666

568

913

698

833

547

256

361

249

92

472

298

164

S1bMI: If the 2024 election for senate in Michigan were held today and it was between Mike Rogers, the Republican, and Elissa Slotkin, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Mike Rogers

39%

-

-

-

39%

-

-

-

-

-

-

43%

-

-

-

80%

5%

31%

15%

78%

4%

21%

81%

7%

31%

44%

34%

29%

37%

42%

48%

27%

35%

41%

48%

45%

12%

25%

36%

50%

12%

39%

46%

39%

13%

15%

27%

-

39%

-

-

37%

44%

7%

26%

79%

37%

42%

38%

28%

50%

46%

29%

57%

31%

28%

44%

Elissa Slotkin

44%

-

-

-

44%

-

-

-

-

-

-

47%

-

-

-

8%

84%

39%

20%

7%

85%

11%

9%

84%

20%

43%

44%

41%

42%

43%

48%

40%

42%

43%

48%

40%

65%

49%

38%

40%

62%

54%

36%

40%

69%

46%

40%

-

44%

-

-

41%

48%

85%

46%

12%

43%

45%

47%

48%

33%

46%

50%

31%

49%

45%

35%

Don't know/Unsure

17%

-

-

-

17%

-

-

-

-

-

-

11%

-

-

-

12%

11%

29%

66%

15%

12%

68%

10%

9%

49%

12%

22%

30%

22%

15%

3%

33%

22%

16%

3%

15%

23%

26%

25%

10%

26%

7%

17%

20%

18%

39%

33%

-

17%

-

-

22%

8%

8%

28%

10%

20%

12%

14%

24%

17%

9%

21%

12%

20%

27%

21%

NET

100%

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

0

0

0

1,864

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,668

0

0

0

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

MI1bL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Mike Rogers

55%

-

-

-

55%

-

-

-

-

-

-

55%

-

-

-

82%

41%

43%

57%

75%

31%

54%

84%

35%

52%

57%

54%

46%

65%

60%

42%

46%

58%

63%

42%

59%

36%

55%

58%

62%

39%

0%

99%

57%

30%

62%

38%

-

55%

-

-

54%

59%

38%

54%

68%

48%

64%

55%

54%

56%

62%

52%

60%

52%

56%

54%

Elissa Slotkin

45%

-

-

-

45%

-

-

-

-

-

-

45%

-

-

-

18%

59%

57%

43%

25%

69%

46%

16%

65%

48%

43%

46%

54%

35%

40%

58%

54%

42%

37%

58%

41%

64%

45%

42%

38%

61%

100%

1%

43%

70%

38%

62%

-

45%

-

-

46%

41%

62%

46%

32%

52%

36%

45%

46%

44%

38%

48%

40%

48%

44%

46%

NET

100%

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

300

0

0

0

300

0

0

0

0

0

0

185

0

0

0

71

76

111

42

116

101

83

67

63

13

96

204

110

113

64

13

75

119

93

13

213

54

14

19

60

30

1

5

153

24

13

14

0

300

0

0

236

64

38

204

58

195

91

124

90

86

35

39

22

89

51

64

S1bMIM: If the 2024 election for senate in Michigan were held today and it was between Mike Rogers, the Republican, and Elissa Slotkin, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Mike Rogers + Learners

49%

-

-

-

49%

-

-

-

-

-

-

48%

-

-

-

90%

10%

44%

52%

89%

7%

58%

89%

10%

57%

51%

46%

43%

51%

51%

50%

42%

48%

51%

50%

54%

21%

39%

51%

56%

22%

39%

63%

51%

19%

39%

39%

-

49%

-

-

49%

49%

10%

41%

85%

46%

50%

46%

41%

59%

51%

40%

64%

41%

43%

56%

Elissa Slotkin + Learners

51%

-

-

-

51%

-

-

-

-

-

-

52%

-

-

-

10%

90%

56%

48%

11%

93%

42%

11%

90%

43%

49%

54%

57%

49%

49%

50%

58%

52%

49%

50%

46%

79%

61%

49%

44%

78%

61%

37%

49%

81%

61%

61%

-

51%

-

-

51%

51%

90%

59%

15%

54%

50%

54%

59%

41%

49%

60%

36%

59%

57%

44%

NET

100%

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

0

0

0

1,864

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,668

0

0

0

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

S1bNV: If the 2024 election for senate in Nevada were held today and it was between Sam Brown, the Republican, and Jacky Rosen, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Sam Brown

38%

-

-

-

-

-

-

38%

-

-

-

-

-

-

40%

75%

6%

32%

33%

74%

6%

15%

72%

10%

30%

45%

31%

32%

39%

39%

44%

29%

39%

39%

44%

41%

16%

37%

31%

48%

23%

47%

30%

34%

9%

30%

31%

-

-

-

38%

38%

38%

14%

29%

72%

37%

39%

37%

37%

49%

43%

45%

59%

32%

28%

43%

Jacky Rosen

49%

-

-

-

-

-

-

49%

-

-

-

-

-

-

51%

17%

85%

49%

4%

17%

84%

28%

20%

86%

51%

46%

52%

46%

49%

54%

50%

48%

48%

52%

50%

49%

62%

45%

54%

45%

60%

44%

53%

54%

64%

47%

55%

-

-

-

49%

47%

54%

76%

55%

20%

47%

52%

51%

50%

38%

49%

46%

32%

53%

54%

41%

Don't know/Unsure

12%

-

-

-

-

-

-

12%

-

-

-

-

-

-

9%

8%

9%

19%

63%

8%

10%

57%

8%

5%

19%

9%

16%

22%

12%

7%

7%

23%

14%

9%

7%

9%

22%

18%

15%

7%

17%

10%

17%

12%

27%

24%

13%

-

-

-

12%

15%

7%

10%

16%

8%

16%

9%

12%

13%

13%

8%

9%

9%

15%

17%

16%

NET

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,260

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,260

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,125

430

467

326

37

566

616

78

454

504

26

548

712

255

361

334

310

148

351

451

310

874

132

129

125

385

58

51

54

489

74

78

71

0

0

0

1,260

842

418

304

592

364

736

507

564

573

123

244

264

40

320

309

83

NV1bL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Sam Brown

37%

-

-

-

-

-

-

37%

-

-

-

-

-

-

40%

58%

26%

31%

38%

61%

18%

34%

51%

38%

35%

45%

32%

36%

38%

35%

39%

36%

35%

39%

39%

44%

36%

21%

54%

46%

50%

42%

43%

42%

27%

15%

67%

-

-

-

37%

35%

42%

17%

38%

52%

28%

52%

40%

33%

38%

55%

39%

28%

33%

29%

41%

Jacky Rosen

63%

-

-

-

-

-

-

63%

-

-

-

-

-

-

60%

42%

74%

69%

62%

39%

82%

66%

49%

62%

65%

55%

68%

64%

62%

65%

61%

64%

65%

61%

61%

56%

64%

79%

46%

54%

50%

58%

57%

58%

73%

85%

33%

-

-

-

63%

65%

58%

83%

62%

48%

72%

48%

60%

67%

62%

45%

61%

72%

67%

71%

59%

NET

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

156

0

0

0

0

0

0

156

0

0

0

0

0

0

97

34

37

61

24

53

53

50

39

24

7

53

103

56

51

30

19

36

56

45

19

86

28

22

20

27

11

5

10

59

17

17

10

0

0

0

156

127

29

23

106

27

118

36

61

75

20

18

29

6

43

46

14

S1bNVM: If the 2024 election for senate in Nevada were held today and it was between Sam Brown, the Republican, and Jacky Rosen, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Sam Brown + Learners

43%

-

-

-

-

-

-

43%

-

-

-

-

-

-

44%

79%

9%

38%

57%

79%

8%

34%

76%

12%

37%

49%

37%

40%

43%

42%

46%

38%

43%

43%

46%

45%

24%

41%

39%

51%

31%

51%

37%

39%

16%

33%

40%

-

-

-

43%

43%

41%

15%

35%

76%

42%

44%

42%

41%

54%

47%

48%

62%

37%

33%

49%

Jacky Rosen + Learners

57%

-

-

-

-

-

-

57%

-

-

-

-

-

-

56%

21%

91%

62%

43%

21%

92%

66%

24%

88%

63%

51%

63%

60%

57%

58%

54%

62%

57%

57%

54%

55%

76%

59%

61%

49%

69%

49%

63%

61%

84%

67%

60%

-

-

-

57%

57%

59%

85%

65%

24%

58%

56%

58%

59%

46%

53%

52%

38%

64%

67%

51%

NET

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,260

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,260

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,125

430

467

326

37

566

616

78

454

504

26

548

712

255

361

334

310

148

351

451

310

874

132

129

125

385

58

51

54

489

74

78

71

0

0

0

1,260

842

418

304

592

364

736

507

564

573

123

244

264

40

320

309

83

S1bPA: If the 2024 election for senate in Pennsylvania were held today and it was between David McCormick, the Republican, and Bob Casey, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

David McCormick

41%

41%

-

-

-

-

-

-

43%

-

-

-

-

-

-

79%

9%

28%

11%

79%

8%

21%

82%

10%

33%

47%

35%

33%

37%

45%

47%

29%

37%

44%

47%

46%

19%

21%

30%

51%

27%

24%

58%

41%

11%

17%

11%

41%

-

-

-

40%

42%

8%

29%

77%

38%

44%

41%

29%

51%

47%

35%

59%

35%

21%

45%

Bob Casey

44%

44%

-

-

-

-

-

-

46%

-

-

-

-

-

-

9%

82%

43%

19%

8%

81%

16%

7%

83%

43%

42%

46%

40%

43%

42%

50%

43%

41%

41%

50%

42%

59%

45%

45%

40%

54%

51%

24%

44%

64%

38%

59%

44%

-

-

-

40%

51%

84%

49%

11%

43%

45%

45%

53%

34%

42%

50%

33%

48%

57%

35%

Don't know/Unsure

15%

15%

-

-

-

-

-

-

11%

-

-

-

-

-

-

12%

10%

30%

70%

13%

11%

63%

11%

7%

25%

11%

19%

26%

20%

13%

3%

27%

22%

14%

3%

12%

22%

34%

25%

9%

19%

24%

18%

15%

25%

45%

30%

15%

-

-

-

20%

8%

8%

23%

11%

19%

11%

14%

18%

15%

11%

15%

8%

17%

22%

20%

NET

100%

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,333

0

0

0

0

0

0

2,103

0

0

0

0

0

0

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

PA1bL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

David McCormick

52%

52%

-

-

-

-

-

-

54%

-

-

-

-

-

-

73%

27%

52%

51%

75%

34%

40%

73%

30%

31%

60%

48%

56%

54%

45%

44%

52%

56%

49%

44%

58%

44%

50%

31%

63%

39%

60%

81%

55%

48%

45%

9%

52%

-

-

-

53%

49%

34%

50%

66%

50%

60%

53%

51%

52%

66%

56%

49%

45%

47%

53%

Bob Casey

48%

48%

-

-

-

-

-

-

46%

-

-

-

-

-

-

27%

73%

48%

49%

25%

66%

60%

27%

70%

69%

40%

52%

44%

46%

55%

56%

48%

44%

51%

56%

42%

56%

50%

69%

37%

61%

40%

19%

45%

52%

55%

91%

48%

-

-

-

47%

51%

66%

50%

34%

50%

40%

47%

49%

48%

34%

44%

51%

55%

53%

47%

NET

100%

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

338

338

0

0

0

0

0

0

230

0

0

0

0

0

0

118

91

101

28

144

116

78

104

67

9

123

215

127

118

79

14

84

134

106

14

230

58

35

15

82

24

13

4

148

34

22

11

338

0

0

0

272

66

44

204

90

209

115

145

102

91

58

44

21

87

58

70

S1bPAM: If the 2024 election for senate in Pennsylvania were held today and it was between David McCormick, the Republican, and Bob Casey, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

David McCormick + Learners

49%

49%

-

-

-

-

-

-

49%

-

-

-

-

-

-

88%

11%

43%

47%

89%

12%

47%

90%

12%

40%

54%

44%

48%

48%

51%

48%

44%

50%

52%

48%

53%

29%

38%

38%

56%

35%

39%

72%

50%

23%

37%

14%

49%

-

-

-

51%

46%

10%

40%

85%

47%

51%

49%

38%

59%

55%

43%

63%

43%

32%

56%

Bob Casey + Learners

51%

51%

-

-

-

-

-

-

51%

-

-

-

-

-

-

12%

89%

57%

53%

11%

88%

53%

10%

88%

60%

46%

56%

52%

52%

49%

52%

56%

50%

48%

52%

47%

71%

62%

62%

44%

65%

61%

28%

50%

77%

63%

86%

51%

-

-

-

49%

54%

90%

60%

15%

53%

49%

51%

62%

41%

45%

57%

37%

57%

68%

44%

NET

100%

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,333

0

0

0

0

0

0

2,103

0

0

0

0

0

0

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

S1bWI: If the 2024 election for senate in Wisconsin were held today and it was between Eric Hovde, the Republican, and Tammy Baldwin, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Eric Hovde

43%

-

-

-

-

-

43%

-

-

-

-

-

-

45%

-

85%

3%

35%

16%

84%

5%

24%

84%

6%

39%

47%

38%

31%

43%

49%

47%

28%

40%

49%

47%

46%

9%

28%

32%

50%

11%

52%

46%

42%

5%

21%

16%

-

43%

-

-

43%

42%

8%

31%

79%

38%

47%

43%

35%

49%

48%

38%

58%

39%

30%

42%

Tammy Baldwin

45%

-

-

-

-

-

45%

-

-

-

-

-

-

47%

-

9%

90%

45%

23%

8%

86%

18%

10%

88%

29%

42%

49%

46%

43%

43%

50%

49%

41%

43%

50%

44%

66%

46%

43%

41%

65%

30%

34%

47%

67%

50%

54%

-

45%

-

-

43%

50%

89%

48%

13%

47%

44%

47%

49%

40%

43%

46%

36%

50%

53%

42%

Don't know/Unsure

12%

-

-

-

-

-

12%

-

-

-

-

-

-

8%

-

5%

7%

20%

61%

8%

8%

58%

6%

5%

31%

11%

13%

23%

14%

8%

3%

23%

18%

8%

3%

10%

26%

26%

24%

9%

24%

18%

19%

11%

27%

29%

30%

-

12%

-

-

14%

8%

4%

21%

7%

15%

10%

10%

16%

11%

9%

16%

7%

11%

16%

15%

NET

100%

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

0

0

0

0

0

1,727

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,549

0

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

WI1bL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Eric Hovde

42%

-

-

-

-

-

42%

-

-

-

-

-

-

41%

-

63%

34%

40%

38%

65%

20%

43%

71%

34%

22%

39%

45%

33%

54%

41%

65%

28%

51%

42%

65%

47%

23%

34%

36%

46%

22%

0%

19%

48%

23%

40%

48%

-

42%

-

-

42%

44%

50%

38%

55%

41%

44%

38%

45%

44%

41%

37%

41%

35%

55%

45%

Tammy Baldwin

58%

-

-

-

-

-

58%

-

-

-

-

-

-

59%

-

37%

66%

60%

62%

35%

80%

57%

29%

66%

78%

61%

55%

67%

46%

59%

35%

72%

49%

58%

35%

53%

77%

66%

64%

54%

78%

100%

81%

52%

77%

60%

52%

-

58%

-

-

58%

56%

50%

62%

45%

59%

56%

62%

55%

56%

59%

63%

59%

65%

45%

55%

NET

100%

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

175

0

0

0

0

0

175

0

0

0

0

0

0

102

0

38

44

67

26

59

60

56

40

33

17

65

110

65

67

30

13

35

86

41

13

129

22

14

10

49

10

2

4

80

12

12

6

0

175

0

0

129

46

14

119

42

102

71

58

67

50

25

31

9

33

36

41

S1bWIM: If the 2024 election for senate in Wisconsin were held today and it was between Eric Hovde, the Republican, and Tammy Baldwin, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Eric Hovde + Learners

48%

-

-

-

-

-

48%

-

-

-

-

-

-

49%

-

89%

5%

43%

39%

89%

7%

49%

88%

8%

46%

51%

44%

39%

50%

52%

49%

35%

50%

52%

49%

50%

15%

36%

41%

54%

17%

52%

50%

47%

12%

32%

31%

-

48%

-

-

49%

45%

9%

39%

83%

44%

51%

47%

42%

54%

51%

44%

60%

43%

39%

49%

Tammy Baldwin + Learners

52%

-

-

-

-

-

52%

-

-

-

-

-

-

51%

-

11%

95%

57%

61%

11%

93%

51%

12%

92%

54%

49%

56%

61%

50%

48%

51%

65%

50%

48%

51%

50%

85%

64%

59%

46%

83%

48%

50%

53%

88%

68%

69%

-

52%

-

-

51%

55%

91%

61%

17%

56%

49%

53%

58%

46%

49%

56%

40%

57%

61%

51%

NET

100%

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

0

0

0

0

0

1,727

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,549

0

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

NCG1: If the 2024 election for Governor of North Carolina were held today and it was between Mark Robinson, the Republican, and Josh Stein, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Mark Robinson

33%

-

-

33%

-

-

-

-

-

-

34%

-

-

-

-

63%

5%

26%

13%

62%

5%

9%

63%

5%

13%

35%

31%

30%

33%

34%

34%

30%

31%

34%

34%

40%

14%

29%

32%

41%

17%

32%

31%

38%

10%

26%

33%

-

-

33%

-

33%

31%

8%

20%

61%

29%

37%

31%

22%

41%

36%

26%

40%

26%

18%

43%

Josh Stein

51%

-

-

51%

-

-

-

-

-

-

53%

-

-

-

-

22%

85%

53%

21%

20%

84%

32%

22%

89%

44%

50%

52%

46%

48%

53%

57%

45%

48%

52%

57%

46%

65%

56%

45%

46%

61%

49%

46%

46%

69%

61%

45%

-

-

51%

-

46%

61%

82%

57%

25%

53%

50%

55%

60%

40%

53%

55%

41%

56%

66%

39%

Don't know/Unsure

16%

-

-

16%

-

-

-

-

-

-

13%

-

-

-

-

15%

10%

22%

66%

17%

11%

60%

15%

6%

43%

15%

17%

24%

19%

13%

9%

25%

21%

14%

9%

15%

21%

15%

22%

13%

22%

18%

23%

16%

21%

13%

22%

-

-

16%

-

21%

8%

10%

23%

13%

18%

13%

14%

18%

18%

11%

19%

19%

18%

16%

18%

NET

100%

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

0

0

1,815

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,600

0

0

0

0

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

NCGL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Mark Robinson

45%

-

-

45%

-

-

-

-

-

-

44%

-

-

-

-

56%

36%

36%

51%

54%

35%

37%

49%

35%

41%

45%

44%

46%

54%

45%

22%

46%

53%

46%

22%

47%

38%

82%

14%

46%

42%

78%

0%

48%

34%

86%

21%

-

-

45%

-

46%

38%

48%

39%

53%

46%

45%

41%

47%

47%

35%

60%

43%

44%

31%

51%

Josh Stein

55%

-

-

55%

-

-

-

-

-

-

56%

-

-

-

-

44%

64%

64%

49%

46%

65%

63%

51%

65%

59%

55%

56%

54%

46%

55%

78%

54%

47%

54%

78%

53%

62%

18%

86%

54%

58%

22%

100%

52%

66%

14%

79%

-

-

55%

-

54%

62%

52%

61%

47%

54%

55%

59%

53%

53%

65%

40%

57%

56%

69%

49%

NET

100%

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

320

0

0

320

0

0

0

0

0

0

218

0

0

0

0

103

71

112

34

149

100

71

102

49

15

123

197

117

103

64

36

81

113

90

36

197

95

10

18

73

40

4

6

124

55

6

12

0

0

320

0

267

53

41

194

85

195

104

126

68

126

42

32

49

84

36

77

NCG1M: If the 2024 election for Governor of North Carolina were held today and it was between Mark Robinson, the Republican, and Josh Stein, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Mark Robinson + Learners

40%

-

-

40%

-

-

-

-

-

-

40%

-

-

-

-

72%

9%

33%

47%

72%

9%

31%

71%

7%

31%

42%

38%

41%

43%

40%

36%

41%

42%

40%

36%

46%

22%

41%

35%

47%

26%

47%

31%

46%

17%

37%

37%

-

-

40%

-

43%

34%

13%

29%

68%

37%

43%

37%

30%

50%

39%

38%

48%

34%

23%

52%

Josh Stein + Learners

60%

-

-

60%

-

-

-

-

-

-

60%

-

-

-

-

28%

91%

67%

53%

28%

91%

69%

29%

93%

69%

58%

62%

59%

57%

60%

64%

59%

58%

60%

64%

54%

78%

59%

65%

53%

74%

53%

69%

54%

83%

63%

63%

-

-

60%

-

57%

66%

87%

71%

32%

63%

57%

63%

70%

50%

61%

62%

52%

66%

77%

48%

NET

100%

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

0

0

1,815

0

0

0

0

0

0

1,600

0

0

0

0

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

QVOTEFACTOR: What factor was most important when casting your vote?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Candidate's position on issues

82%

84%

81%

79%

83%

82%

82%

81%

85%

82%

80%

85%

83%

83%

82%

87%

80%

79%

67%

87%

78%

71%

88%

79%

79%

80%

84%

79%

80%

84%

84%

79%

79%

84%

84%

83%

79%

76%

80%

81%

77%

77%

81%

86%

80%

76%

80%

84%

83%

80%

81%

82%

82%

81%

78%

87%

82%

81%

83%

78%

83%

82%

75%

82%

84%

82%

84%

Candidate's personal qualities

18%

16%

19%

21%

17%

18%

18%

19%

15%

18%

20%

15%

17%

17%

18%

13%

20%

21%

33%

13%

22%

29%

12%

21%

21%

20%

16%

21%

20%

16%

16%

21%

21%

16%

16%

17%

21%

24%

20%

19%

23%

23%

19%

14%

20%

24%

20%

16%

17%

20%

19%

18%

18%

19%

22%

13%

18%

19%

17%

22%

17%

18%

25%

18%

16%

18%

16%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

TQ6: Do you think the country is generally on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Right track

26%

26%

26%

24%

28%

24%

27%

29%

28%

28%

25%

30%

26%

29%

31%

10%

49%

20%

7%

9%

46%

5%

9%

50%

12%

30%

23%

24%

28%

24%

30%

22%

29%

24%

30%

25%

35%

25%

24%

28%

39%

31%

23%

21%

32%

21%

25%

26%

28%

25%

26%

22%

34%

50%

25%

12%

23%

30%

25%

37%

18%

27%

42%

20%

23%

30%

16%

Wrong track

61%

62%

62%

63%

60%

62%

61%

59%

62%

62%

65%

61%

63%

61%

59%

85%

35%

64%

57%

86%

37%

61%

87%

35%

68%

61%

62%

58%

59%

67%

62%

58%

57%

66%

62%

66%

46%

56%

55%

65%

44%

58%

59%

66%

47%

54%

51%

62%

60%

63%

61%

64%

58%

35%

57%

84%

62%

61%

63%

49%

71%

65%

47%

71%

62%

51%

70%

Unsure/Don't know

12%

12%

12%

13%

12%

13%

12%

13%

11%

9%

10%

9%

11%

11%

10%

5%

16%

16%

36%

5%

17%

34%

4%

15%

20%

9%

15%

19%

13%

10%

8%

20%

14%

10%

8%

10%

19%

19%

21%

7%

18%

11%

18%

12%

21%

24%

24%

12%

12%

12%

13%

15%

9%

15%

17%

5%

15%

9%

12%

14%

12%

8%

11%

9%

15%

18%

14%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

M2: In general, do you think the American economy is on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Right track

29%

29%

28%

26%

30%

28%

30%

29%

31%

30%

28%

32%

31%

33%

32%

11%

53%

24%

10%

9%

51%

7%

9%

56%

17%

34%

24%

24%

28%

26%

36%

23%

29%

26%

36%

28%

36%

26%

24%

33%

41%

34%

24%

23%

32%

20%

24%

29%

30%

27%

29%

23%

39%

56%

28%

12%

25%

33%

28%

37%

20%

32%

44%

24%

25%

30%

16%

Wrong track

62%

62%

63%

64%

61%

63%

61%

62%

62%

63%

64%

61%

62%

60%

62%

85%

37%

64%

61%

87%

37%

65%

88%

35%

67%

59%

65%

62%

62%

67%

58%

63%

61%

67%

58%

65%

50%

61%

61%

62%

46%

59%

64%

68%

53%

63%

59%

62%

61%

64%

63%

67%

55%

35%

59%

84%

65%

60%

63%

52%

72%

61%

48%

71%

65%

57%

73%

Don't know/Unsure

9%

8%

10%

9%

9%

9%

9%

8%

7%

8%

8%

7%

7%

8%

6%

4%

11%

12%

30%

4%

11%

28%

3%

9%

15%

7%

11%

13%

10%

7%

6%

14%

10%

7%

6%

7%

14%

13%

15%

5%

12%

7%

12%

9%

16%

17%

17%

8%

9%

9%

9%

11%

6%

9%

13%

4%

11%

6%

9%

10%

8%

6%

8%

5%

11%

13%

10%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

TQ1: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President of the United States?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

38%

40%

37%

39%

37%

38%

39%

38%

42%

39%

41%

39%

40%

41%

40%

8%

77%

32%

15%

6%

74%

11%

7%

77%

22%

38%

39%

35%

39%

38%

41%

35%

39%

37%

41%

34%

59%

40%

34%

35%

54%

37%

31%

33%

64%

43%

38%

40%

38%

38%

38%

35%

44%

76%

40%

11%

37%

39%

38%

48%

27%

36%

48%

27%

41%

49%

27%

Strongly approve

15%

16%

16%

15%

16%

15%

14%

16%

18%

18%

16%

17%

16%

15%

17%

3%

35%

9%

3%

3%

30%

2%

3%

34%

4%

16%

15%

12%

14%

16%

20%

11%

14%

15%

20%

14%

25%

16%

12%

15%

24%

17%

12%

13%

26%

15%

13%

16%

15%

16%

15%

13%

19%

37%

13%

5%

15%

16%

15%

21%

11%

14%

24%

11%

16%

18%

11%

Somewhat approve

23%

24%

20%

25%

21%

23%

24%

22%

24%

21%

25%

22%

24%

26%

23%

5%

42%

23%

12%

4%

44%

8%

4%

42%

18%

21%

24%

23%

25%

22%

21%

24%

24%

22%

21%

20%

34%

25%

22%

20%

30%

20%

18%

21%

38%

28%

25%

24%

23%

22%

23%

21%

25%

39%

27%

7%

22%

23%

24%

28%

16%

22%

24%

16%

25%

31%

16%

Somewhat disapprove

16%

14%

16%

15%

17%

14%

17%

18%

13%

15%

14%

16%

13%

15%

18%

13%

14%

22%

16%

13%

17%

24%

12%

15%

27%

15%

17%

23%

18%

12%

10%

24%

19%

14%

10%

15%

17%

19%

20%

13%

19%

20%

18%

16%

15%

19%

21%

14%

17%

15%

16%

16%

15%

13%

21%

11%

16%

16%

15%

17%

15%

14%

18%

13%

17%

17%

16%

Strongly disapprove

42%

43%

42%

43%

42%

44%

41%

40%

43%

44%

44%

43%

45%

42%

41%

77%

6%

40%

36%

79%

6%

37%

80%

7%

42%

45%

39%

34%

39%

48%

48%

33%

37%

46%

48%

48%

16%

35%

38%

50%

21%

41%

47%

47%

12%

30%

30%

43%

42%

42%

42%

44%

39%

8%

33%

76%

42%

43%

43%

30%

55%

48%

31%

58%

38%

28%

52%

NET DISAPPROVE

58%

57%

58%

57%

59%

58%

58%

58%

56%

58%

58%

59%

58%

57%

58%

91%

20%

62%

52%

93%

23%

61%

92%

22%

68%

60%

56%

57%

57%

60%

58%

57%

56%

60%

58%

63%

33%

54%

58%

63%

40%

60%

65%

63%

27%

49%

52%

57%

59%

58%

58%

60%

54%

22%

54%

87%

58%

59%

58%

47%

69%

62%

49%

71%

55%

45%

68%

Unsure/Don't know

4%

3%

5%

3%

4%

4%

3%

4%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

1%

3%

6%

33%

1%

3%

28%

1%

2%

9%

2%

5%

8%

4%

2%

1%

9%

5%

2%

1%

2%

8%

6%

8%

1%

6%

3%

5%

4%

9%

9%

11%

3%

4%

4%

4%

5%

2%

2%

7%

1%

5%

2%

3%

4%

4%

2%

3%

2%

5%

6%

6%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

TQVP: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kamala Harris is doing as Vice President of the United States?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

44%

45%

42%

44%

44%

42%

43%

45%

47%

44%

45%

45%

44%

45%

48%

10%

86%

38%

21%

7%

85%

13%

9%

84%

28%

42%

46%

45%

45%

41%

43%

46%

45%

42%

43%

39%

69%

46%

44%

38%

64%

40%

36%

39%

73%

51%

50%

45%

44%

43%

43%

41%

49%

84%

47%

13%

43%

44%

44%

55%

31%

40%

54%

29%

47%

57%

33%

Strongly approve

23%

23%

24%

23%

24%

21%

22%

23%

24%

26%

25%

25%

23%

24%

25%

3%

52%

14%

6%

2%

47%

2%

3%

49%

6%

22%

24%

20%

22%

23%

27%

20%

22%

23%

27%

20%

39%

26%

18%

20%

35%

24%

14%

20%

43%

27%

22%

23%

23%

24%

22%

21%

26%

51%

21%

7%

23%

23%

22%

30%

16%

20%

30%

15%

24%

30%

17%

Somewhat approve

21%

23%

18%

21%

20%

20%

21%

22%

23%

18%

21%

20%

22%

21%

23%

7%

34%

25%

15%

5%

38%

11%

6%

34%

22%

20%

22%

25%

23%

19%

16%

26%

24%

19%

16%

19%

30%

21%

26%

18%

29%

16%

22%

19%

30%

24%

29%

23%

21%

19%

21%

20%

23%

33%

26%

6%

20%

21%

21%

25%

15%

20%

24%

14%

23%

26%

16%

Somewhat disapprove

11%

9%

11%

11%

11%

10%

12%

12%

9%

10%

10%

10%

9%

10%

11%

12%

6%

16%

12%

12%

8%

22%

11%

7%

19%

11%

10%

15%

12%

9%

6%

15%

14%

10%

6%

10%

10%

15%

14%

10%

12%

16%

15%

10%

9%

14%

12%

9%

11%

11%

11%

11%

10%

6%

14%

10%

11%

11%

10%

12%

10%

10%

13%

10%

10%

11%

10%

Strongly disapprove

40%

41%

40%

40%

40%

42%

40%

37%

42%

41%

41%

41%

43%

41%

38%

77%

4%

36%

31%

79%

2%

32%

79%

5%

39%

43%

37%

30%

36%

46%

48%

29%

34%

44%

48%

47%

13%

30%

32%

49%

17%

36%

43%

45%

10%

24%

23%

41%

40%

40%

39%

41%

38%

6%

29%

75%

38%

41%

41%

26%

53%

46%

28%

57%

36%

24%

50%

NET DISAPPROVE

51%

50%

51%

51%

51%

52%

51%

48%

50%

51%

51%

52%

52%

51%

49%

88%

9%

52%

43%

91%

10%

54%

90%

12%

58%

54%

47%

45%

48%

55%

55%

43%

48%

54%

55%

57%

23%

44%

45%

59%

29%

53%

58%

55%

18%

38%

35%

50%

51%

51%

50%

52%

48%

12%

44%

85%

50%

52%

51%

38%

63%

56%

41%

67%

46%

35%

60%

Unsure/Don't know

6%

5%

7%

5%

5%

6%

5%

6%

3%

5%

4%

3%

4%

4%

3%

2%

4%

10%

36%

2%

5%

33%

2%

4%

14%

4%

7%

10%

6%

4%

2%

11%

7%

4%

2%

4%

8%

10%

11%

3%

7%

7%

6%

6%

9%

11%

14%

5%

5%

6%

6%

7%

4%

4%

9%

2%

7%

4%

5%

7%

6%

4%

5%

4%

7%

8%

7%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

TQGov: Do you approve or disapprove of the job [Governor] is doing as Governor of [State]?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

TOP 2 BOX

52%

55%

58%

54%

52%

43%

47%

49%

57%

61%

56%

54%

47%

50%

52%

38%

71%

50%

23%

37%

70%

27%

37%

73%

51%

52%

51%

44%

52%

53%

59%

41%

51%

52%

59%

52%

55%

44%

49%

53%

57%

44%

44%

52%

53%

44%

53%

55%

50%

56%

46%

48%

58%

71%

54%

37%

50%

53%

53%

54%

47%

53%

55%

47%

52%

52%

48%

Strongly approve

25%

27%

28%

28%

31%

18%

22%

16%

29%

30%

29%

34%

20%

24%

17%

14%

41%

20%

8%

13%

39%

7%

14%

43%

15%

25%

24%

17%

21%

26%

35%

16%

20%

25%

35%

26%

27%

17%

21%

26%

28%

20%

18%

25%

25%

16%

23%

27%

27%

28%

17%

21%

31%

44%

22%

16%

24%

26%

26%

25%

22%

27%

25%

24%

25%

26%

21%

Somewhat approve

27%

27%

30%

27%

21%

25%

26%

33%

28%

31%

27%

20%

27%

26%

35%

23%

30%

29%

16%

24%

31%

20%

23%

30%

37%

27%

27%

27%

30%

27%

24%

25%

31%

27%

24%

26%

28%

27%

28%

27%

29%

25%

27%

26%

28%

28%

29%

27%

23%

28%

29%

26%

27%

26%

32%

21%

26%

28%

27%

29%

25%

26%

31%

23%

27%

27%

26%

Somewhat disapprove

17%

17%

17%

16%

13%

18%

17%

19%

17%

18%

16%

12%

19%

17%

20%

21%

12%

17%

15%

21%

12%

18%

21%

12%

22%

18%

16%

17%

19%

16%

14%

17%

18%

17%

14%

17%

15%

18%

13%

18%

15%

21%

14%

16%

14%

16%

13%

17%

15%

17%

18%

16%

17%

11%

16%

20%

15%

18%

16%

17%

17%

18%

18%

17%

15%

15%

17%

Strongly disapprove

20%

15%

14%

19%

29%

22%

26%

15%

15%

15%

20%

30%

22%

27%

16%

33%

8%

17%

12%

33%

8%

17%

35%

8%

13%

22%

18%

15%

17%

24%

23%

15%

17%

22%

23%

22%

15%

15%

17%

24%

14%

18%

26%

20%

16%

13%

10%

15%

27%

17%

19%

21%

19%

9%

13%

35%

20%

20%

20%

16%

25%

22%

16%

29%

17%

15%

22%

BOTTOM 2 BOX

37%

32%

31%

35%

41%

40%

43%

34%

32%

32%

36%

42%

41%

44%

36%

54%

20%

34%

27%

54%

19%

34%

57%

20%

36%

39%

34%

33%

36%

40%

38%

32%

35%

39%

38%

39%

29%

33%

30%

41%

29%

39%

40%

36%

30%

28%

22%

32%

42%

33%

37%

37%

36%

20%

30%

55%

35%

38%

36%

33%

42%

40%

34%

46%

33%

31%

39%

Unsure/Don't know

12%

13%

11%

11%

7%

17%

10%

17%

10%

7%

8%

4%

13%

6%

12%

8%

10%

16%

50%

9%

11%

38%

6%

7%

13%

8%

15%

24%

12%

8%

3%

26%

14%

8%

3%

9%

15%

23%

21%

6%

14%

17%

15%

12%

17%

28%

25%

13%

8%

11%

17%

15%

6%

9%

17%

8%

14%

8%

11%

14%

11%

8%

10%

7%

15%

17%

14%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

TQCong: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is doing its job?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

27%

26%

30%

27%

27%

24%

25%

27%

27%

31%

27%

28%

25%

25%

28%

24%

36%

20%

12%

24%

32%

10%

23%

31%

19%

27%

26%

30%

31%

24%

21%

30%

32%

25%

21%

24%

37%

31%

23%

25%

37%

35%

23%

24%

36%

27%

23%

26%

26%

28%

25%

27%

27%

33%

26%

24%

26%

27%

24%

37%

21%

23%

41%

20%

25%

32%

22%

Strongly approve

5%

5%

6%

5%

5%

5%

4%

5%

5%

7%

5%

5%

5%

4%

5%

3%

9%

3%

2%

3%

7%

2%

3%

7%

4%

6%

4%

8%

7%

3%

2%

8%

8%

4%

2%

4%

9%

7%

5%

5%

9%

8%

4%

3%

9%

6%

5%

5%

5%

6%

5%

5%

6%

9%

4%

4%

5%

5%

4%

10%

3%

4%

11%

4%

4%

8%

3%

Somewhat approve

22%

21%

23%

22%

22%

19%

20%

22%

21%

24%

22%

22%

21%

21%

23%

21%

27%

16%

9%

20%

25%

8%

20%

24%

15%

22%

22%

22%

24%

21%

19%

21%

24%

21%

19%

20%

28%

24%

19%

20%

28%

27%

19%

21%

27%

21%

18%

21%

21%

23%

20%

22%

21%

24%

21%

21%

21%

22%

20%

27%

18%

19%

29%

16%

21%

25%

20%

Somewhat disapprove

36%

37%

36%

36%

36%

36%

38%

33%

38%

37%

37%

38%

38%

40%

35%

41%

32%

36%

22%

40%

34%

25%

41%

35%

37%

37%

35%

30%

32%

39%

44%

29%

31%

38%

44%

38%

28%

31%

36%

40%

29%

31%

38%

37%

27%

31%

34%

37%

37%

36%

35%

34%

39%

34%

34%

40%

35%

37%

38%

30%

39%

39%

31%

42%

37%

30%

37%

Strongly disapprove

24%

24%

20%

24%

22%

27%

24%

25%

25%

21%

25%

23%

27%

25%

25%

24%

19%

28%

21%

25%

22%

25%

26%

24%

31%

28%

20%

18%

22%

25%

29%

18%

20%

25%

29%

26%

17%

19%

20%

30%

18%

23%

25%

21%

16%

16%

16%

24%

23%

22%

26%

22%

27%

24%

22%

25%

23%

25%

25%

19%

25%

30%

20%

31%

21%

18%

20%

NET DISAPPROVE

60%

61%

55%

59%

58%

62%

62%

58%

63%

58%

62%

61%

65%

64%

61%

65%

52%

64%

43%

65%

56%

49%

67%

59%

68%

65%

55%

48%

54%

64%

73%

47%

51%

63%

73%

64%

45%

50%

56%

70%

47%

54%

63%

58%

43%

47%

51%

61%

60%

57%

60%

56%

66%

57%

56%

65%

57%

62%

63%

49%

64%

69%

51%

73%

57%

48%

57%

Unsure/Don't know

14%

12%

15%

13%

14%

13%

13%

16%

11%

11%

11%

11%

10%

10%

11%

11%

12%

16%

46%

12%

12%

41%

10%

9%

14%

8%

19%

22%

15%

11%

6%

24%

16%

12%

6%

12%

18%

19%

21%

6%

16%

11%

14%

18%

21%

25%

26%

12%

14%

14%

14%

18%

7%

10%

18%

11%

16%

10%

13%

14%

15%

8%

8%

7%

18%

20%

21%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

TQRep: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republican Party is handling its job?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

39%

38%

41%

41%

38%

38%

39%

38%

39%

43%

42%

39%

41%

39%

39%

73%

12%

28%

13%

71%

11%

12%

70%

11%

19%

42%

36%

39%

40%

40%

38%

38%

40%

40%

38%

43%

23%

36%

29%

45%

28%

45%

35%

41%

19%

30%

24%

38%

38%

41%

38%

41%

36%

13%

30%

67%

38%

41%

37%

36%

45%

40%

42%

46%

34%

30%

45%

Strongly approve

12%

13%

14%

13%

10%

12%

12%

12%

13%

14%

14%

11%

12%

12%

13%

25%

4%

6%

5%

23%

3%

2%

22%

3%

4%

13%

11%

14%

13%

11%

10%

14%

14%

11%

10%

14%

8%

11%

6%

14%

10%

15%

6%

13%

6%

8%

7%

13%

11%

13%

12%

13%

11%

6%

8%

22%

12%

13%

11%

13%

14%

11%

16%

14%

10%

11%

14%

Somewhat approve

27%

26%

28%

28%

27%

27%

27%

26%

27%

29%

28%

28%

28%

27%

26%

48%

9%

23%

8%

48%

8%

10%

47%

8%

15%

29%

25%

24%

27%

28%

27%

24%

26%

28%

27%

29%

16%

25%

23%

31%

19%

29%

29%

28%

13%

21%

17%

26%

27%

28%

26%

28%

25%

8%

22%

45%

26%

28%

27%

23%

31%

29%

26%

32%

24%

19%

31%

Somewhat disapprove

21%

21%

21%

19%

21%

22%

22%

23%

21%

22%

19%

21%

21%

23%

24%

17%

23%

27%

16%

19%

23%

25%

19%

23%

35%

22%

20%

21%

22%

22%

21%

20%

22%

22%

21%

21%

21%

21%

25%

23%

21%

21%

25%

20%

21%

21%

25%

21%

22%

20%

22%

20%

23%

19%

24%

19%

21%

22%

21%

22%

20%

22%

23%

22%

20%

22%

19%

Strongly disapprove

32%

33%

29%

32%

33%

33%

32%

30%

35%

30%

34%

34%

34%

34%

31%

7%

60%

32%

23%

6%

59%

24%

7%

62%

35%

30%

33%

27%

28%

33%

39%

28%

27%

32%

39%

30%

42%

31%

30%

30%

37%

28%

29%

30%

47%

34%

30%

33%

32%

31%

32%

28%

38%

64%

33%

10%

32%

32%

34%

33%

26%

33%

29%

26%

36%

36%

25%

NET DISAPPROVE

53%

54%

50%

52%

53%

55%

54%

53%

56%

52%

53%

56%

55%

56%

56%

23%

82%

59%

39%

24%

82%

49%

26%

85%

70%

53%

53%

48%

49%

55%

60%

48%

49%

54%

60%

51%

63%

52%

54%

52%

58%

49%

54%

50%

69%

55%

55%

54%

54%

51%

54%

48%

61%

82%

57%

29%

52%

54%

55%

55%

46%

55%

52%

49%

56%

58%

44%

Unsure/Don't know

8%

7%

9%

8%

9%

7%

7%

9%

5%

5%

5%

5%

4%

5%

6%

4%

6%

13%

47%

5%

6%

39%

4%

4%

11%

5%

11%

13%

10%

5%

3%

14%

11%

7%

3%

6%

13%

11%

17%

3%

14%

6%

12%

9%

13%

15%

21%

7%

8%

8%

8%

11%

3%

4%

13%

4%

10%

5%

7%

9%

9%

5%

6%

5%

9%

12%

12%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

TQDem: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democratic Party is handling its job?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

39%

41%

39%

39%

41%

38%

38%

39%

43%

41%

40%

43%

40%

41%

41%

9%

80%

31%

13%

9%

74%

9%

9%

75%

23%

38%

41%

41%

41%

37%

38%

41%

42%

37%

38%

35%

62%

42%

36%

35%

57%

40%

27%

35%

67%

43%

43%

41%

40%

39%

39%

37%

44%

77%

41%

13%

40%

40%

39%

51%

28%

36%

51%

25%

43%

51%

30%

Strongly approve

16%

17%

17%

15%

17%

15%

13%

15%

18%

19%

16%

18%

16%

14%

16%

2%

37%

7%

3%

2%

31%

2%

3%

33%

5%

16%

16%

16%

16%

15%

16%

15%

17%

15%

16%

13%

29%

18%

12%

14%

25%

18%

10%

12%

32%

17%

14%

17%

15%

16%

15%

15%

17%

36%

13%

5%

16%

15%

14%

23%

11%

13%

25%

10%

15%

22%

12%

Somewhat approve

24%

24%

22%

24%

24%

24%

25%

25%

25%

22%

24%

24%

24%

26%

25%

7%

43%

24%

10%

7%

43%

8%

6%

42%

18%

22%

25%

25%

25%

22%

23%

25%

25%

23%

23%

22%

33%

24%

24%

21%

32%

22%

17%

23%

35%

26%

29%

24%

24%

23%

24%

22%

26%

41%

28%

7%

24%

24%

25%

27%

17%

23%

25%

15%

28%

29%

18%

Somewhat disapprove

19%

18%

19%

20%

19%

19%

20%

21%

18%

19%

20%

18%

19%

20%

21%

22%

12%

26%

17%

22%

16%

23%

20%

16%

27%

19%

19%

21%

21%

19%

16%

21%

20%

20%

16%

19%

15%

22%

21%

19%

16%

24%

23%

20%

14%

20%

20%

18%

19%

19%

20%

19%

19%

13%

23%

18%

19%

20%

19%

19%

21%

19%

20%

19%

18%

18%

22%

Strongly disapprove

34%

34%

34%

34%

33%

36%

35%

31%

35%

36%

36%

35%

37%

36%

32%

66%

4%

30%

25%

64%

4%

30%

67%

6%

37%

38%

30%

25%

29%

38%

44%

23%

29%

37%

44%

40%

12%

25%

27%

44%

15%

29%

39%

37%

9%

22%

17%

34%

34%

34%

34%

34%

34%

6%

23%

66%

32%

36%

35%

23%

44%

41%

25%

51%

30%

21%

38%

NET DISAPPROVE

53%

52%

53%

54%

52%

55%

55%

52%

53%

55%

56%

53%

56%

55%

54%

87%

15%

56%

43%

87%

20%

54%

87%

21%

64%

58%

49%

46%

50%

58%

60%

44%

49%

57%

60%

60%

27%

47%

48%

63%

32%

54%

62%

56%

23%

42%

37%

52%

53%

54%

54%

53%

53%

19%

46%

84%

51%

56%

54%

42%

64%

60%

44%

70%

48%

39%

60%

Unsure/Don't know

7%

6%

8%

7%

7%

7%

7%

9%

4%

4%

5%

5%

4%

4%

5%

3%

4%

13%

44%

4%

6%

37%

3%

3%

13%

5%

10%

13%

9%

5%

2%

15%

9%

6%

2%

5%

11%

11%

16%

3%

11%

7%

11%

8%

11%

14%

20%

6%

7%

8%

8%

10%

3%

4%

12%

3%

9%

4%

7%

8%

8%

4%

5%

5%

9%

10%

11%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

TQ3: If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Republican from your district or the Democrat from your district?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Republican

44%

44%

44%

44%

43%

44%

44%

43%

46%

47%

46%

45%

46%

46%

45%

90%

4%

33%

16%

87%

5%

15%

87%

7%

27%

49%

38%

36%

41%

48%

50%

35%

40%

47%

50%

51%

15%

35%

31%

55%

21%

48%

41%

47%

10%

24%

23%

44%

43%

44%

43%

44%

44%

9%

31%

82%

40%

48%

44%

33%

55%

50%

39%

61%

37%

27%

51%

Democrat

43%

46%

41%

43%

43%

42%

43%

44%

48%

43%

45%

46%

44%

45%

46%

5%

92%

36%

13%

5%

86%

11%

6%

86%

30%

41%

45%

44%

43%

41%

43%

45%

44%

41%

43%

37%

68%

47%

44%

37%

63%

41%

39%

38%

73%

51%

49%

46%

43%

42%

43%

40%

48%

86%

46%

11%

43%

43%

44%

53%

30%

40%

50%

29%

47%

57%

31%

Would not vote

3%

2%

4%

3%

4%

3%

3%

3%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

7%

16%

2%

2%

19%

1%

1%

4%

3%

3%

6%

3%

2%

1%

6%

3%

2%

1%

2%

5%

4%

6%

2%

5%

2%

5%

3%

4%

5%

6%

2%

4%

3%

3%

4%

1%

1%

6%

1%

4%

2%

3%

4%

3%

2%

3%

3%

3%

5%

3%

Other/Unsure/Don't know

10%

8%

12%

10%

10%

11%

10%

11%

6%

8%

8%

7%

8%

8%

8%

4%

4%

23%

55%

7%

7%

55%

6%

6%

39%

7%

13%

14%

12%

9%

5%

14%

13%

10%

5%

9%

12%

15%

18%

6%

11%

9%

15%

11%

12%

20%

21%

8%

10%

11%

11%

12%

7%

4%

18%

5%

12%

8%

10%

10%

12%

7%

8%

8%

12%

12%

15%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

ISSUE1: What single issue is/ was the most important one in determining how you voted in this election? Please look at the full list before answering.

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Price increases/ inflation

16%

18%

16%

16%

14%

15%

17%

17%

18%

16%

16%

14%

15%

17%

17%

21%

11%

16%

14%

21%

11%

16%

22%

11%

14%

15%

17%

14%

18%

19%

13%

14%

17%

19%

13%

16%

13%

17%

16%

15%

12%

18%

13%

18%

14%

17%

18%

18%

16%

16%

16%

18%

13%

9%

16%

20%

18%

14%

16%

14%

19%

15%

12%

17%

17%

15%

20%

Economy and jobs

17%

18%

21%

17%

18%

16%

15%

16%

18%

21%

17%

18%

15%

16%

16%

21%

13%

18%

13%

22%

12%

18%

22%

12%

19%

18%

17%

19%

22%

19%

10%

16%

22%

20%

10%

17%

17%

22%

17%

17%

19%

22%

23%

17%

15%

21%

12%

18%

17%

19%

16%

18%

17%

11%

18%

21%

17%

18%

17%

17%

18%

18%

17%

18%

16%

17%

19%

Abortion

11%

12%

9%

10%

11%

12%

11%

12%

12%

10%

10%

12%

12%

11%

12%

5%

19%

10%

8%

4%

19%

9%

4%

18%

7%

8%

14%

14%

10%

10%

10%

15%

11%

10%

10%

11%

13%

11%

12%

7%

10%

6%

7%

14%

17%

14%

15%

12%

11%

10%

12%

11%

11%

20%

11%

5%

11%

11%

11%

12%

9%

7%

9%

7%

16%

16%

11%

Immigration

11%

12%

11%

12%

11%

14%

10%

12%

12%

11%

12%

12%

16%

11%

13%

21%

2%

10%

7%

22%

2%

6%

23%

3%

5%

13%

10%

5%

8%

14%

19%

5%

7%

13%

19%

14%

4%

8%

10%

16%

5%

8%

11%

11%

2%

7%

9%

12%

10%

11%

13%

11%

12%

2%

8%

22%

11%

12%

12%

8%

14%

14%

9%

17%

10%

7%

12%

Character/ competence of the candidate

6%

5%

4%

6%

7%

6%

7%

4%

6%

4%

7%

7%

7%

8%

4%

3%

9%

6%

2%

2%

10%

3%

2%

11%

5%

5%

6%

4%

4%

5%

9%

4%

4%

5%

9%

6%

5%

3%

4%

6%

4%

4%

5%

7%

6%

3%

4%

5%

7%

5%

5%

4%

8%

11%

5%

2%

5%

7%

6%

5%

5%

6%

5%

4%

6%

6%

5%

Health care

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

3%

4%

4%

3%

3%

3%

4%

3%

4%

3%

2%

5%

4%

5%

2%

5%

4%

1%

5%

4%

3%

4%

4%

3%

3%

3%

5%

3%

3%

3%

3%

5%

3%

5%

3%

4%

2%

3%

3%

5%

5%

7%

3%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

5%

4%

1%

4%

3%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

4%

3%

Social Security

4%

5%

3%

4%

4%

4%

4%

3%

5%

3%

4%

4%

4%

4%

3%

2%

6%

4%

2%

2%

6%

4%

3%

6%

3%

4%

4%

2%

2%

5%

7%

2%

2%

4%

7%

4%

5%

3%

4%

4%

5%

3%

3%

4%

6%

3%

4%

5%

4%

4%

4%

4%

3%

5%

5%

3%

5%

3%

4%

5%

3%

3%

4%

3%

4%

6%

4%

Taxes

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

7%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

4%

3%

2%

5%

3%

1%

1%

6%

3%

1%

1%

2%

4%

4%

4%

2%

5%

5%

5%

2%

3%

3%

4%

2%

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

4%

2%

3%

5%

2%

2%

2%

2%

Ethics in government, corruption, campaign finance reform

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

3%

2%

1%

2%

3%

3%

2%

3%

4%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

1%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

Dislike of the opposing candidate

3%

3%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

4%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

3%

3%

3%

1%

4%

2%

2%

4%

3%

2%

3%

1%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

3%

4%

3%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

1%

3%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

3%

2%

2%

4%

4%

3%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

Terrorism / national security

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

1%

2%

2%

3%

1%

3%

3%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

3%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

Family values, morality

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

3%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

4%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

5%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

Environment / climate change

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

3%

2%

2%

1%

3%

1%

0%

4%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

4%

2%

2%

0%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

4%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

Corruption

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

3%

2%

1%

2%

3%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

National debt / federal budget deficits

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

3%

1%

2%

2%

1%

5%

3%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

3%

2%

4%

2%

1%

1%

1%

0%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

1%

1%

1%

Crime and drugs

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

4%

2%

2%

3%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

1%

3%

2%

1%

1%

2%

4%

2%

1%

2%

4%

2%

2%

1%

3%

3%

0%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

1%

2%

2%

2%

Education

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

3%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

3%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

0%

2%

2%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

0%

1%

1%

1%

January 6th

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

1%

3%

2%

2%

0%

4%

1%

0%

4%

3%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

3%

1%

1%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

1%

1%

0%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

Foreign and defense policy

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

Income inequality

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

3%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

0%

2%

1%

3%

2%

1%

0%

2%

2%

1%

0%

1%

3%

2%

1%

1%

3%

2%

0%

1%

3%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

Gun policies

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

3%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

3%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

The Israeli-Hamas Conflict/ Palestinians/ The Middle East

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

0%

1%

2%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

Police reform

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

2%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

Race relations

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

0%

3%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

Government gridlock

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

Political correctness

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

0%

1%

0%

China

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

Russia and Ukraine

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

Other, please specify

3%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

3%

3%

11%

2%

3%

6%

2%

4%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

3%

4%

3%

3%

1%

4%

3%

3%

1%

5%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

3%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

ISSUE2: Which candidate would do a better job handling the issue you think is most important?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump

47%

46%

48%

48%

47%

48%

47%

45%

47%

50%

49%

48%

50%

48%

47%

90%

6%

42%

29%

96%

2%

21%

91%

7%

26%

52%

42%

42%

46%

51%

50%

40%

45%

51%

50%

54%

19%

38%

39%

57%

28%

50%

52%

51%

11%

29%

28%

46%

47%

48%

47%

48%

46%

10%

37%

84%

45%

50%

46%

38%

59%

53%

44%

63%

40%

31%

55%

Kamala Harris

45%

47%

44%

45%

46%

44%

44%

47%

48%

46%

46%

48%

45%

46%

47%

7%

91%

42%

25%

1%

93%

14%

6%

89%

32%

41%

49%

47%

45%

43%

45%

50%

45%

43%

45%

39%

72%

51%

47%

37%

64%

43%

38%

42%

79%

57%

54%

47%

45%

45%

45%

43%

49%

87%

50%

12%

46%

44%

46%

55%

34%

41%

50%

31%

51%

60%

36%

Neither / Someone Else

5%

4%

5%

4%

5%

5%

5%

5%

3%

4%

3%

3%

4%

4%

4%

2%

2%

10%

19%

2%

3%

36%

3%

3%

35%

4%

5%

5%

5%

4%

3%

5%

6%

4%

3%

4%

5%

7%

8%

4%

4%

5%

5%

4%

5%

9%

10%

4%

5%

4%

5%

5%

4%

2%

7%

3%

5%

4%

5%

4%

4%

5%

4%

4%

5%

5%

5%

Don't Know

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

6%

26%

1%

1%

29%

1%

1%

7%

2%

4%

5%

3%

2%

1%

5%

4%

2%

1%

2%

5%

4%

7%

1%

4%

2%

5%

3%

5%

6%

8%

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

1%

1%

5%

1%

4%

2%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

4%

3%

4%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

I4: Would you say that your personal financial situation is improving or getting worse?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Improving

25%

24%

27%

25%

23%

24%

24%

27%

25%

28%

26%

25%

25%

26%

28%

14%

40%

21%

11%

13%

39%

11%

13%

40%

16%

28%

22%

30%

28%

21%

20%

29%

30%

22%

20%

22%

38%

26%

25%

26%

40%

31%

25%

18%

36%

22%

25%

24%

24%

26%

25%

21%

31%

42%

24%

15%

20%

30%

23%

34%

18%

25%

40%

20%

22%

28%

16%

Getting worse

42%

43%

41%

42%

44%

44%

41%

41%

43%

42%

42%

45%

44%

40%

41%

59%

24%

43%

46%

62%

24%

40%

62%

22%

42%

41%

44%

39%

43%

49%

39%

39%

41%

48%

39%

45%

28%

42%

40%

43%

27%

45%

41%

48%

29%

40%

39%

43%

43%

42%

42%

46%

36%

23%

39%

59%

47%

38%

43%

34%

51%

42%

32%

49%

44%

36%

53%

Neither

29%

29%

27%

29%

28%

29%

30%

28%

30%

27%

29%

28%

30%

31%

28%

25%

33%

30%

21%

23%

34%

29%

23%

35%

33%

28%

29%

24%

24%

28%

39%

24%

23%

27%

39%

30%

27%

26%

29%

29%

26%

23%

30%

30%

27%

28%

28%

29%

29%

28%

29%

27%

31%

32%

31%

24%

28%

30%

30%

27%

27%

30%

24%

28%

30%

31%

27%

No opinion

4%

3%

4%

4%

4%

3%

4%

4%

2%

3%

3%

2%

1%

3%

3%

2%

3%

6%

22%

2%

3%

20%

2%

2%

9%

3%

5%

7%

5%

3%

1%

8%

5%

3%

1%

3%

7%

6%

7%

2%

7%

2%

4%

4%

7%

9%

9%

3%

4%

4%

4%

5%

2%

3%

6%

2%

5%

2%

4%

4%

4%

2%

3%

2%

5%

5%

5%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

BT3: Do you think the 2024 presidential election will be conducted in a fair or unfair way?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Fair

70%

70%

70%

69%

70%

70%

70%

70%

72%

72%

71%

72%

73%

71%

72%

56%

88%

67%

49%

54%

88%

53%

54%

91%

67%

72%

68%

66%

70%

70%

74%

65%

69%

70%

74%

68%

76%

70%

73%

70%

77%

70%

76%

67%

74%

69%

71%

70%

70%

69%

70%

66%

77%

88%

72%

55%

67%

72%

70%

77%

62%

71%

79%

63%

69%

74%

61%

Unfair

30%

30%

30%

31%

30%

30%

30%

30%

28%

28%

29%

28%

27%

29%

28%

44%

12%

33%

51%

46%

12%

47%

46%

9%

33%

28%

32%

34%

30%

30%

26%

35%

31%

30%

26%

32%

24%

30%

27%

30%

23%

30%

24%

33%

26%

31%

29%

30%

30%

31%

30%

34%

23%

12%

28%

45%

33%

28%

30%

23%

38%

29%

21%

37%

31%

26%

39%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

QVOTECONF: How confident are you that your vote will be counted accurately?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Very confident

38%

39%

37%

38%

40%

38%

41%

35%

42%

40%

40%

44%

42%

44%

37%

22%

60%

35%

19%

19%

60%

21%

21%

66%

35%

41%

36%

29%

34%

41%

50%

28%

34%

39%

50%

39%

40%

33%

35%

42%

41%

34%

35%

36%

39%

32%

35%

39%

40%

37%

37%

32%

49%

63%

37%

24%

34%

42%

40%

42%

33%

41%

44%

36%

38%

39%

30%

Somewhat confident

38%

38%

41%

39%

35%

36%

36%

40%

38%

40%

38%

34%

37%

37%

39%

46%

31%

37%

29%

46%

30%

34%

46%

27%

39%

37%

38%

43%

40%

36%

32%

44%

40%

37%

32%

37%

40%

40%

40%

36%

41%

39%

39%

38%

39%

40%

40%

38%

36%

40%

38%

40%

34%

28%

39%

43%

39%

37%

38%

38%

38%

37%

38%

36%

38%

37%

40%

Not very confident

17%

16%

16%

17%

17%

18%

16%

18%

15%

15%

17%

16%

17%

15%

17%

24%

7%

19%

24%

25%

7%

23%

24%

5%

20%

16%

18%

19%

18%

16%

14%

19%

18%

16%

14%

17%

14%

18%

15%

16%

13%

17%

14%

18%

14%

18%

16%

16%

17%

16%

18%

19%

12%

7%

17%

23%

18%

15%

16%

15%

20%

15%

13%

20%

17%

16%

21%

Not at all confident

7%

7%

6%

7%

8%

8%

7%

8%

5%

4%

5%

6%

5%

4%

6%

9%

2%

9%

28%

10%

2%

22%

9%

2%

6%

6%

8%

9%

8%

7%

4%

9%

8%

8%

4%

7%

6%

10%

10%

6%

5%

10%

11%

8%

7%

10%

8%

7%

7%

6%

8%

9%

4%

2%

8%

10%

8%

6%

7%

6%

9%

6%

5%

8%

7%

7%

10%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961

BT4: Do you think Joe Biden's election as president in 2020 was fair or unfair?

Total

State

Likely Voters (T2B)

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

PA

GA

NC

MI

AZ

WI

NV

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Fair

62%

62%

61%

61%

62%

61%

62%

62%

64%

62%

62%

64%

63%

64%

62%

33%

93%

63%

50%

30%

93%

57%

32%

95%

72%

61%

62%

61%

62%

60%

63%

61%

63%

60%

63%

57%

80%

66%

65%

58%

77%

63%

62%

56%

82%

69%

67%

62%

62%

61%

61%

57%

70%

92%

67%

35%

59%

65%

63%

70%

50%

62%

70%

50%

64%

71%

49%

Unfair

38%

38%

39%

39%

38%

39%

38%

38%

36%

38%

38%

36%

37%

36%

38%

67%

7%

37%

50%

70%

7%

43%

68%

5%

28%

39%

38%

39%

38%

40%

37%

39%

37%

40%

37%

43%

20%

34%

35%

42%

23%

37%

38%

44%

18%

31%

33%

38%

38%

39%

39%

43%

30%

8%

33%

65%

41%

35%

37%

30%

50%

38%

30%

50%

36%

29%

51%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

12,515

2,333

1,880

1,815

1,864

1,636

1,727

1,260

2,103

1,659

1,600

1,668

1,468

1,549

1,125

4,545

4,991

2,670

309

5,523

6,267

725

4,564

5,175

253

5,415

7,100

2,772

3,616

3,306

2,821

1,732

3,598

4,364

2,821

9,246

1,992

722

555

4,026

861

300

228

5,220

1,131

422

327

2,333

3,591

3,695

2,896

7,740

4,775

3,185

5,191

4,139

6,681

5,590

5,945

3,491

3,079

2,618

1,679

1,118

3,327

1,812

1,961