HarrisX Battleground State Poll (Nov 3-5): Michigan

This survey was administered by HarrisX among 1,864 registered voters from November 3-5, 2024 across Michigan. Respondents were recruited through opt-in, web-panel recruitment sampling. Recruitment occurs through a broad variety of professional, validated respondent panels to expand the sampling frame as wide as possible and minimize the impact of any given panel on recruiting methods.

The sampling margin of error is +/- 2.3%. Results were weighted by age, gender, race/ethnicity, political party, education, income, early vote percentage, and previous vote choice where necessary to align with actual demographic proportions amongst the population of RVs within Michigan

For further insights and data, visit elections.harrisx.com

HarrisX's Final Presidential Horserace (+Leaners)

H2bMEV: : If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for? (including Early voters choice)

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump+leaners

48.3%

48.8%

92.7%

5.6%

45.7%

44.0%

97.6%

0.7%

41.3%

93.4%

6.7%

21.5%

52.0%

44.5%

47.2%

47.0%

49.2%

49.6%

47.5%

45.5%

49.7%

49.6%

54.6%

15.8%

39.9%

39.9%

57.5%

16.6%

61.2%

56.7%

51.7%

14.7%

25.8%

24.5%

-

48.3%

-

-

48.5%

47.8%

9.2%

38.3%

88.1%

45.8%

50.3%

44.7%

40.1%

61.2%

50.5%

42.2%

65.9%

38.4%

37.5%

57.9%

Kamala Harris+leaners

48.6%

49.5%

6.7%

92.8%

44.7%

45.8%

1.3%

98.3%

29.3%

5.9%

91.6%

59.4%

44.8%

52.4%

47.7%

49.2%

47.9%

49.5%

47.2%

50.2%

47.4%

49.5%

42.6%

81.0%

55.5%

53.8%

39.7%

79.0%

31.6%

39.8%

45.5%

83.7%

71.3%

66.8%

-

48.6%

-

-

48.0%

49.7%

89.3%

55.8%

11.1%

50.6%

47.1%

52.2%

56.6%

35.7%

46.3%

53.8%

31.9%

58.7%

60.0%

38.4%

Cornel West+leaners

2.1%

1.1%

0.5%

0.9%

6.8%

5.9%

0.9%

0.6%

19.6%

0.7%

0.9%

7.7%

2.1%

2.1%

2.7%

2.7%

2.2%

0.7%

2.2%

3.3%

2.2%

0.7%

1.9%

2.0%

0.0%

5.7%

2.0%

2.3%

0.0%

3.2%

1.8%

1.6%

0.0%

8.0%

-

2.1%

-

-

2.4%

1.6%

0.7%

4.0%

0.7%

2.2%

1.9%

2.3%

1.8%

1.9%

2.4%

2.2%

1.2%

2.3%

1.3%

2.4%

Jill Stein+leaners

1.0%

0.7%

0.1%

0.7%

2.8%

4.4%

0.2%

0.5%

9.9%

0.0%

0.7%

11.3%

1.1%

1.0%

2.3%

1.1%

0.7%

0.2%

3.2%

1.0%

0.7%

0.2%

0.9%

1.2%

4.6%

0.5%

0.7%

2.1%

7.2%

0.2%

1.0%

0.0%

2.8%

0.8%

-

1.0%

-

-

1.1%

0.9%

0.8%

1.9%

0.1%

1.4%

0.7%

0.8%

1.6%

1.2%

0.9%

1.9%

0.9%

0.7%

1.2%

1.3%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

Full Poll Findings below:

QVOTE1: Have you already voted in Tuesday's 2024 elections, or have you not had the chance to yet?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Already voted

42%

49%

42%

48%

35%

16%

41%

49%

10%

44%

53%

25%

45%

39%

34%

25%

34%

74%

36%

26%

32%

74%

44%

34%

32%

46%

48%

36%

29%

48%

40%

33%

34%

45%

-

42%

-

-

35%

54%

54%

33%

44%

37%

47%

47%

36%

38%

50%

38%

43%

45%

33%

34%

Not yet

58%

51%

58%

52%

65%

84%

59%

51%

90%

56%

47%

75%

55%

61%

66%

75%

66%

26%

64%

74%

68%

26%

56%

66%

68%

54%

52%

64%

71%

52%

60%

67%

66%

55%

-

58%

-

-

65%

46%

46%

67%

56%

63%

53%

53%

64%

62%

50%

62%

57%

55%

67%

66%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

QTYPEOFVOTE: Did you mail in a ballot or did you vote early at a voting center?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Mailed in a ballot

66%

66%

55%

74%

68%

56%

55%

74%

57%

58%

76%

49%

64%

68%

48%

55%

60%

79%

46%

55%

59%

79%

66%

70%

54%

61%

64%

64%

36%

70%

68%

79%

64%

52%

-

66%

-

-

62%

70%

73%

68%

57%

66%

65%

67%

61%

67%

64%

59%

67%

70%

63%

66%

Voted early at a voting center

34%

34%

45%

26%

32%

44%

45%

26%

43%

42%

24%

51%

36%

32%

52%

45%

40%

21%

54%

45%

41%

21%

34%

30%

46%

39%

36%

36%

64%

30%

32%

21%

36%

48%

-

34%

-

-

38%

30%

27%

32%

43%

34%

35%

33%

39%

33%

36%

41%

33%

30%

37%

34%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,015

1,015

316

482

201

16

397

598

20

350

546

13

415

600

198

224

263

330

124

233

328

330

817

135

21

42

334

59

6

16

483

76

15

26

0

1,015

0

0

502

513

339

367

309

524

467

557

212

246

237

98

80

320

114

166

H2V: Who did you vote for in the 2024 presidential election?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump

44%

44%

93%

3%

39%

10%

97%

1%

0%

92%

3%

13%

50%

36%

49%

40%

42%

44%

47%

44%

41%

44%

49%

8%

31%

41%

54%

11%

66%

61%

42%

4%

12%

22%

-

44%

-

-

43%

44%

7%

30%

88%

43%

43%

40%

44%

51%

49%

48%

55%

29%

38%

47%

Kamala Harris

54%

54%

5%

97%

56%

47%

2%

98%

19%

6%

96%

10%

47%

62%

49%

58%

57%

54%

51%

53%

57%

54%

49%

91%

65%

53%

44%

88%

34%

30%

56%

95%

82%

76%

-

54%

-

-

55%

54%

93%

67%

10%

55%

54%

57%

54%

48%

48%

49%

44%

69%

61%

51%

Cornel West

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

6%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

-

0%

-

-

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

Jill Stein

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

5%

0%

0%

10%

0%

0%

12%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

2%

-

0%

-

-

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

2%

1%

0%

1%

0%

Someone else

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

17%

0%

0%

45%

1%

0%

41%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

2%

1%

0%

0%

4%

0%

0%

0%

9%

1%

0%

0%

0%

-

1%

-

-

0%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

I did not vote in this race

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

21%

0%

0%

20%

0%

1%

23%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

4%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

6%

0%

-

1%

-

-

1%

0%

0%

2%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,015

1,015

316

482

201

16

397

598

20

350

546

13

415

600

198

224

263

330

124

233

328

330

817

135

21

42

334

59

6

16

483

76

15

26

0

1,015

0

0

502

513

339

367

309

524

467

557

212

246

237

98

80

320

114

166

QVOTETIME: Is this the first time you are voting in a presidential election?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Yes

13%

13%

11%

13%

20%

21%

14%

13%

9%

10%

6%

26%

14%

12%

49%

19%

5%

1%

52%

27%

5%

1%

10%

29%

42%

17%

12%

29%

40%

8%

7%

29%

43%

27%

-

13%

-

-

17%

9%

13%

17%

11%

13%

14%

10%

27%

10%

10%

30%

11%

11%

23%

10%

No

87%

87%

89%

87%

80%

79%

86%

87%

91%

90%

94%

74%

86%

88%

51%

81%

95%

99%

48%

73%

95%

99%

90%

71%

58%

83%

88%

71%

60%

92%

93%

71%

57%

73%

-

87%

-

-

83%

91%

87%

83%

89%

87%

86%

90%

73%

90%

90%

70%

89%

89%

77%

90%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,015

1,015

316

482

201

16

397

598

20

350

546

13

415

600

198

224

263

330

124

233

328

330

817

135

21

42

334

59

6

16

483

76

15

26

0

1,015

0

0

502

513

339

367

309

524

467

557

212

246

237

98

80

320

114

166

QDECISION1: When did you make up your mind on who you were voting for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Today

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

17%

3%

2%

0%

2%

2%

0%

3%

2%

7%

6%

2%

0%

7%

6%

2%

0%

2%

6%

4%

1%

2%

6%

0%

0%

2%

6%

6%

2%

-

3%

-

-

4%

1%

1%

4%

2%

3%

3%

1%

6%

3%

1%

6%

3%

2%

5%

3%

In the last week

7%

7%

4%

7%

14%

10%

7%

6%

17%

7%

6%

19%

8%

6%

19%

13%

5%

1%

19%

14%

7%

1%

7%

13%

17%

0%

7%

13%

16%

0%

6%

12%

17%

0%

-

7%

-

-

9%

5%

5%

10%

6%

7%

8%

6%

14%

4%

7%

14%

3%

5%

14%

4%

In late October

6%

6%

6%

5%

9%

7%

7%

5%

2%

7%

3%

0%

7%

5%

12%

9%

6%

3%

11%

11%

6%

3%

5%

9%

22%

4%

6%

14%

32%

1%

4%

2%

17%

7%

-

6%

-

-

7%

5%

5%

8%

5%

9%

4%

5%

13%

3%

6%

16%

2%

5%

8%

4%

In early October

7%

7%

7%

8%

7%

5%

7%

7%

4%

7%

7%

3%

7%

7%

9%

12%

5%

6%

7%

14%

5%

6%

7%

5%

9%

8%

8%

5%

0%

8%

7%

5%

13%

8%

-

7%

-

-

6%

8%

6%

10%

6%

6%

8%

6%

9%

8%

6%

7%

9%

7%

12%

6%

In September

10%

10%

6%

12%

12%

3%

6%

13%

4%

5%

12%

0%

10%

8%

11%

5%

7%

12%

12%

6%

6%

12%

10%

11%

8%

7%

10%

14%

24%

0%

9%

7%

0%

14%

-

10%

-

-

11%

8%

11%

13%

5%

9%

10%

12%

8%

6%

12%

11%

7%

12%

4%

5%

Before September

64%

64%

72%

63%

52%

50%

66%

62%

67%

69%

67%

53%

63%

66%

39%

51%

70%

77%

39%

46%

68%

77%

66%

52%

40%

69%

64%

45%

29%

91%

70%

63%

46%

48%

-

64%

-

-

59%

70%

70%

49%

73%

63%

64%

65%

49%

74%

65%

46%

72%

65%

55%

75%

Unsure/ Don't Know

3%

3%

3%

3%

5%

9%

3%

3%

5%

3%

3%

24%

2%

4%

4%

4%

6%

2%

5%

3%

5%

2%

3%

4%

0%

11%

3%

3%

0%

0%

3%

5%

0%

21%

-

3%

-

-

4%

2%

1%

5%

3%

3%

3%

4%

2%

3%

3%

1%

3%

5%

3%

4%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,015

1,015

316

482

201

16

397

598

20

350

546

13

415

600

198

224

263

330

124

233

328

330

817

135

21

42

334

59

6

16

483

76

15

26

0

1,015

0

0

502

513

339

367

309

524

467

557

212

246

237

98

80

320

114

166

QDECISION2: Would you say that you voted for change or for continuity in how the country is managed?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Change

72%

72%

91%

58%

67%

72%

92%

56%

75%

93%

55%

92%

73%

72%

78%

74%

71%

70%

79%

75%

71%

70%

71%

79%

70%

78%

70%

77%

100%

87%

72%

80%

52%

69%

-

72%

-

-

76%

68%

54%

70%

91%

76%

68%

73%

70%

71%

75%

71%

68%

71%

70%

74%

Continuity

28%

28%

9%

42%

33%

28%

8%

44%

25%

7%

45%

8%

27%

28%

22%

26%

29%

30%

21%

25%

29%

30%

29%

21%

30%

22%

30%

23%

0%

13%

28%

20%

48%

31%

-

28%

-

-

24%

32%

46%

30%

9%

24%

32%

27%

30%

29%

25%

29%

32%

29%

30%

26%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,015

1,015

316

482

201

16

397

598

20

350

546

13

415

600

198

224

263

330

124

233

328

330

817

135

21

42

334

59

6

16

483

76

15

26

0

1,015

0

0

502

513

339

367

309

524

467

557

212

246

237

98

80

320

114

166

JS2: How likely or unlikely are you to vote in the upcoming 2024 elections in November?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET: Likely Voters (T3B)

89%

100%

93%

94%

82%

44%

92%

93%

52%

96%

96%

82%

90%

88%

81%

87%

90%

99%

78%

87%

89%

99%

91%

85%

82%

85%

92%

83%

87%

89%

90%

88%

78%

81%

-

89%

-

-

85%

97%

94%

82%

95%

85%

95%

92%

85%

88%

93%

85%

89%

91%

84%

88%

NET: Likely Voters (T2B)

87%

100%

90%

92%

78%

43%

90%

90%

47%

95%

95%

78%

88%

86%

76%

84%

88%

98%

75%

82%

87%

98%

88%

82%

82%

85%

90%

79%

87%

89%

87%

86%

78%

81%

-

87%

-

-

82%

95%

93%

78%

93%

83%

92%

90%

81%

86%

92%

81%

87%

89%

81%

84%

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections/I already voted

79%

91%

85%

84%

69%

33%

83%

82%

40%

90%

88%

69%

80%

78%

64%

73%

82%

97%

60%

74%

79%

97%

82%

70%

70%

76%

83%

66%

73%

81%

80%

75%

67%

72%

-

79%

-

-

73%

91%

88%

67%

88%

72%

88%

83%

71%

80%

83%

72%

82%

82%

70%

78%

Probably going to vote in the elections

8%

9%

6%

8%

10%

10%

7%

8%

7%

5%

7%

8%

8%

7%

13%

10%

6%

2%

14%

8%

8%

2%

7%

12%

12%

9%

7%

12%

14%

9%

6%

11%

10%

9%

-

8%

-

-

10%

4%

5%

11%

5%

11%

5%

8%

9%

6%

9%

8%

5%

6%

11%

6%

Possibly going to vote in the elections

2%

0%

2%

2%

4%

1%

2%

2%

5%

1%

2%

5%

2%

3%

4%

3%

2%

1%

3%

5%

2%

1%

3%

3%

0%

0%

2%

4%

0%

0%

3%

2%

0%

0%

-

2%

-

-

3%

1%

1%

4%

1%

2%

2%

2%

4%

3%

1%

5%

2%

2%

3%

3%

May or may not vote in the elections

3%

0%

2%

2%

7%

16%

2%

2%

18%

1%

1%

9%

4%

3%

6%

5%

2%

0%

8%

4%

3%

0%

3%

7%

2%

2%

3%

11%

0%

0%

3%

2%

3%

3%

-

3%

-

-

5%

0%

2%

6%

1%

5%

2%

3%

3%

4%

4%

3%

3%

2%

4%

5%

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

3%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

5%

0%

0%

0%

7%

0%

1%

2%

4%

0%

-

1%

-

-

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

0%

0%

2%

0%

1%

3%

0%

Probably not going to participate in the elections

2%

0%

2%

1%

4%

7%

2%

1%

11%

1%

0%

4%

2%

2%

5%

3%

1%

0%

5%

3%

1%

0%

1%

3%

4%

6%

1%

4%

6%

6%

2%

1%

3%

6%

-

2%

-

-

3%

1%

1%

3%

1%

3%

1%

1%

3%

3%

1%

3%

4%

2%

2%

2%

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

4%

0%

3%

3%

5%

30%

3%

4%

19%

1%

2%

4%

4%

5%

6%

5%

6%

0%

6%

5%

6%

0%

4%

4%

7%

7%

4%

2%

0%

5%

4%

7%

12%

9%

-

4%

-

-

5%

2%

3%

7%

2%

6%

2%

3%

7%

5%

2%

7%

5%

4%

8%

5%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

QBallot: Have you received a ballot for the 2024 presidential election or not?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Yes

25%

25%

24%

31%

20%

17%

23%

28%

25%

21%

32%

24%

28%

23%

30%

24%

21%

29%

28%

26%

22%

29%

22%

37%

25%

37%

25%

38%

26%

44%

20%

36%

25%

31%

-

25%

-

-

23%

29%

27%

26%

23%

23%

27%

29%

34%

12%

32%

39%

7%

26%

28%

16%

No

75%

75%

76%

69%

80%

83%

77%

72%

75%

79%

68%

76%

72%

77%

70%

76%

79%

71%

72%

74%

78%

71%

78%

63%

75%

63%

75%

62%

74%

56%

80%

64%

75%

69%

-

75%

-

-

77%

71%

73%

74%

77%

77%

73%

71%

66%

88%

68%

61%

93%

74%

72%

84%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

849

653

293

294

214

48

385

367

97

298

272

17

338

511

206

327

241

75

130

302

342

75

653

131

29

36

252

62

10

14

401

69

19

22

0

849

0

0

584

265

163

425

261

501

329

374

215

260

158

99

81

216

116

179

QEarly2: How do you plan to vote this year: by mail, in person before Election Day, or in person on Election Day?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

By mail

8%

7%

7%

11%

6%

11%

8%

8%

6%

6%

9%

1%

7%

9%

14%

5%

6%

11%

15%

6%

5%

11%

7%

14%

16%

2%

6%

13%

10%

0%

8%

15%

20%

4%

-

8%

-

-

9%

5%

8%

9%

6%

9%

6%

11%

8%

4%

9%

7%

2%

13%

9%

5%

In person before Election Day

13%

14%

12%

15%

14%

8%

12%

15%

8%

13%

15%

9%

13%

13%

15%

13%

12%

10%

14%

14%

12%

10%

12%

18%

17%

11%

14%

15%

8%

8%

10%

22%

23%

15%

-

13%

-

-

15%

9%

11%

14%

12%

16%

11%

13%

15%

12%

14%

13%

12%

11%

18%

11%

In person on Election Day

70%

79%

77%

71%

64%

35%

72%

71%

52%

80%

76%

79%

71%

68%

56%

74%

74%

78%

54%

69%

75%

78%

73%

57%

53%

70%

73%

59%

72%

83%

73%

54%

39%

59%

-

70%

-

-

65%

82%

76%

63%

76%

62%

80%

71%

63%

73%

74%

66%

74%

68%

60%

73%

I am not planning to vote

9%

0%

5%

4%

16%

47%

7%

6%

33%

1%

1%

11%

9%

10%

16%

9%

8%

1%

17%

10%

7%

1%

8%

11%

14%

16%

7%

13%

10%

10%

9%

9%

17%

22%

-

9%

-

-

11%

4%

4%

14%

5%

14%

3%

6%

14%

11%

4%

14%

12%

8%

13%

11%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

849

653

293

294

214

48

385

367

97

298

272

17

338

511

206

327

241

75

130

302

342

75

653

131

29

36

252

62

10

14

401

69

19

22

0

849

0

0

584

265

163

425

261

501

329

374

215

260

158

99

81

216

116

179

F1r: SUMMARY OF T2B - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Midwest

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Gretchen Whitmer

49%

51%

17%

84%

49%

29%

18%

85%

22%

16%

85%

32%

48%

51%

46%

48%

51%

52%

46%

47%

51%

52%

45%

75%

48%

54%

43%

72%

51%

46%

47%

78%

46%

62%

49%

47%

53%

86%

54%

18%

51%

49%

55%

52%

37%

53%

50%

34%

58%

56%

39%

Kamala Harris

48%

49%

8%

91%

44%

31%

6%

94%

13%

8%

88%

30%

46%

49%

48%

50%

45%

47%

48%

50%

46%

47%

42%

81%

54%

47%

41%

81%

39%

40%

44%

81%

63%

54%

48%

47%

49%

90%

52%

13%

49%

47%

51%

59%

33%

47%

58%

31%

55%

60%

35%

Donald Trump

46%

46%

87%

10%

37%

36%

90%

6%

20%

87%

9%

11%

50%

42%

45%

46%

47%

45%

44%

45%

48%

45%

51%

21%

41%

37%

54%

23%

54%

57%

48%

18%

32%

18%

46%

46%

45%

11%

37%

82%

42%

49%

42%

43%

55%

47%

48%

58%

36%

36%

53%

Elissa Slotkin

41%

44%

12%

75%

36%

9%

11%

74%

14%

13%

76%

15%

41%

40%

33%

40%

41%

48%

31%

39%

41%

48%

39%

53%

49%

36%

39%

52%

52%

36%

38%

54%

47%

36%

41%

37%

46%

77%

41%

14%

40%

42%

45%

42%

31%

45%

42%

31%

45%

43%

31%

J.D. Vance

39%

42%

74%

10%

30%

11%

74%

8%

13%

76%

11%

15%

44%

33%

28%

33%

45%

47%

28%

30%

44%

47%

44%

15%

17%

34%

50%

14%

27%

51%

38%

17%

11%

19%

39%

35%

45%

10%

25%

75%

34%

44%

37%

31%

47%

44%

34%

54%

30%

27%

42%

Tim Walz

38%

42%

9%

73%

34%

9%

8%

73%

5%

9%

75%

29%

38%

39%

33%

33%

40%

47%

30%

34%

39%

47%

37%

52%

27%

41%

36%

52%

25%

36%

37%

52%

29%

45%

38%

34%

46%

77%

39%

10%

37%

41%

44%

39%

29%

41%

38%

32%

46%

39%

27%

Joe Biden

38%

40%

6%

76%

32%

11%

5%

76%

5%

5%

77%

8%

38%

38%

33%

37%

38%

44%

32%

38%

37%

44%

35%

62%

32%

38%

36%

59%

29%

32%

34%

65%

34%

43%

38%

35%

44%

78%

39%

9%

37%

40%

40%

46%

27%

39%

45%

30%

42%

48%

26%

Mike Rogers

36%

39%

68%

10%

28%

12%

66%

9%

17%

71%

11%

24%

42%

30%

24%

35%

39%

45%

20%

33%

39%

45%

39%

17%

30%

34%

46%

15%

47%

47%

33%

19%

18%

22%

36%

32%

42%

11%

24%

68%

32%

40%

34%

31%

43%

40%

37%

51%

28%

24%

37%

Nikki Haley

29%

32%

45%

17%

29%

4%

43%

19%

11%

47%

21%

11%

36%

23%

18%

20%

33%

45%

17%

20%

31%

45%

33%

14%

20%

23%

41%

15%

37%

28%

25%

13%

9%

18%

29%

23%

40%

15%

22%

49%

24%

36%

30%

25%

32%

35%

31%

43%

24%

18%

24%

Jill Stein

12%

13%

9%

17%

12%

1%

11%

15%

5%

10%

15%

10%

13%

11%

17%

15%

8%

9%

18%

15%

10%

9%

11%

16%

17%

14%

14%

17%

10%

6%

9%

15%

21%

21%

12%

12%

12%

18%

12%

9%

12%

13%

12%

18%

8%

13%

18%

10%

11%

17%

7%

Cornel West

11%

11%

7%

14%

13%

8%

10%

13%

9%

9%

15%

0%

13%

9%

12%

13%

9%

10%

11%

13%

10%

10%

9%

21%

13%

19%

11%

21%

16%

20%

6%

20%

11%

18%

11%

10%

12%

15%

11%

8%

11%

11%

10%

19%

7%

11%

21%

9%

8%

17%

5%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

1,864

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

F1r: SUMMARY OF B2B - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Midwest

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Joe Biden

56%

56%

90%

20%

59%

45%

91%

19%

64%

91%

21%

68%

57%

54%

55%

56%

59%

54%

54%

54%

60%

54%

61%

28%

55%

53%

61%

30%

71%

64%

60%

24%

45%

43%

56%

57%

53%

19%

52%

87%

55%

57%

55%

43%

67%

59%

45%

67%

51%

41%

67%

Donald Trump

50%

51%

12%

87%

57%

33%

9%

91%

53%

12%

89%

73%

48%

53%

48%

48%

51%

54%

48%

49%

50%

54%

47%

71%

52%

56%

44%

70%

46%

43%

49%

72%

57%

68%

50%

49%

53%

86%

58%

17%

53%

49%

55%

51%

42%

51%

47%

40%

59%

55%

43%

Kamala Harris

48%

49%

88%

8%

49%

33%

90%

5%

56%

89%

11%

45%

51%

45%

43%

45%

53%

51%

41%

45%

51%

51%

54%

15%

37%

45%

56%

15%

61%

60%

52%

16%

22%

31%

48%

47%

49%

9%

41%

83%

46%

50%

45%

35%

63%

50%

37%

66%

40%

32%

60%

Mike Rogers

43%

44%

17%

70%

44%

24%

16%

71%

27%

16%

75%

39%

43%

43%

39%

38%

42%

51%

41%

38%

41%

51%

42%

53%

37%

39%

42%

51%

39%

36%

41%

56%

36%

42%

43%

41%

46%

72%

46%

18%

42%

44%

46%

42%

37%

47%

40%

37%

45%

44%

38%

Gretchen Whitmer

42%

43%

77%

10%

39%

26%

76%

9%

42%

80%

11%

44%

46%

38%

34%

43%

45%

46%

32%

41%

45%

46%

48%

12%

30%

32%

52%

12%

49%

49%

45%

10%

18%

16%

42%

41%

43%

8%

34%

76%

39%

46%

39%

31%

57%

44%

35%

64%

33%

26%

52%

J.D. Vance

42%

44%

12%

73%

43%

17%

11%

75%

30%

12%

78%

50%

41%

43%

34%

40%

43%

50%

32%

41%

42%

50%

40%

50%

49%

47%

39%

50%

60%

40%

41%

50%

42%

54%

42%

39%

47%

80%

44%

13%

41%

44%

47%

42%

33%

45%

42%

31%

49%

41%

34%

Tim Walz

40%

42%

72%

12%

37%

20%

72%

9%

35%

75%

14%

35%

46%

33%

31%

38%

43%

47%

32%

34%

43%

47%

44%

18%

33%

33%

51%

19%

55%

50%

38%

17%

18%

17%

40%

38%

44%

11%

30%

73%

38%

43%

38%

35%

47%

46%

41%

53%

29%

27%

43%

Elissa Slotkin

39%

41%

68%

12%

38%

28%

68%

11%

34%

71%

14%

54%

43%

35%

32%

37%

42%

45%

30%

36%

42%

45%

43%

20%

25%

41%

47%

20%

36%

50%

38%

21%

18%

32%

39%

36%

44%

11%

32%

68%

35%

44%

38%

31%

48%

44%

36%

49%

32%

24%

47%

Nikki Haley

32%

34%

22%

46%

30%

12%

23%

43%

22%

23%

49%

42%

35%

30%

24%

30%

35%

40%

22%

29%

34%

40%

33%

30%

23%

36%

35%

30%

35%

35%

31%

31%

16%

37%

32%

30%

37%

53%

30%

21%

32%

33%

38%

26%

28%

40%

26%

30%

35%

27%

26%

Jill Stein

29%

32%

34%

29%

26%

11%

33%

28%

17%

35%

32%

31%

36%

23%

25%

25%

30%

38%

23%

26%

29%

38%

30%

26%

26%

32%

36%

29%

50%

43%

24%

22%

10%

23%

29%

26%

35%

31%

23%

36%

28%

32%

32%

22%

31%

40%

25%

39%

23%

18%

25%

Cornel West

23%

24%

25%

23%

21%

9%

25%

22%

15%

27%

25%

37%

30%

15%

16%

21%

24%

30%

14%

21%

24%

30%

23%

21%

18%

27%

31%

22%

37%

34%

15%

19%

6%

19%

23%

21%

26%

26%

18%

26%

23%

23%

24%

20%

24%

32%

23%

35%

15%

16%

16%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

1,864

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

F1r: SUMMARY OF 'NEVER HEARD OF THEM' - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Midwest

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Cornel West

31%

30%

33%

33%

24%

38%

31%

31%

27%

30%

27%

18%

25%

37%

40%

33%

30%

22%

44%

33%

30%

22%

31%

25%

46%

27%

24%

26%

40%

23%

38%

24%

49%

31%

31%

34%

26%

30%

33%

30%

30%

31%

32%

25%

34%

26%

21%

29%

39%

29%

38%

Jill Stein

21%

19%

23%

19%

18%

30%

22%

20%

20%

21%

14%

4%

17%

25%

27%

22%

20%

14%

32%

20%

20%

14%

21%

23%

20%

14%

17%

19%

22%

12%

25%

28%

18%

16%

21%

24%

15%

17%

23%

20%

22%

19%

20%

20%

21%

18%

17%

14%

23%

24%

27%

Nikki Haley

15%

13%

13%

16%

13%

33%

15%

15%

18%

12%

11%

15%

11%

19%

29%

20%

9%

3%

32%

21%

11%

3%

13%

21%

37%

12%

8%

22%

28%

12%

18%

20%

43%

11%

15%

20%

7%

13%

19%

12%

17%

12%

12%

20%

16%

8%

19%

10%

17%

22%

21%

Tim Walz

6%

4%

5%

6%

5%

25%

6%

6%

10%

4%

2%

14%

5%

7%

13%

8%

3%

1%

15%

9%

3%

1%

5%

9%

15%

10%

4%

8%

21%

3%

6%

11%

11%

15%

6%

9%

2%

5%

9%

3%

7%

4%

5%

6%

8%

4%

5%

7%

7%

7%

8%

J.D. Vance

6%

4%

3%

7%

6%

25%

4%

7%

11%

3%

4%

8%

5%

6%

14%

8%

2%

1%

16%

8%

3%

1%

4%

13%

14%

7%

3%

13%

14%

9%

5%

12%

15%

5%

6%

8%

1%

5%

9%

3%

8%

4%

4%

10%

6%

3%

11%

5%

5%

9%

6%

Elissa Slotkin

6%

5%

7%

4%

5%

20%

7%

4%

11%

5%

2%

10%

6%

6%

14%

6%

3%

2%

18%

5%

3%

2%

5%

6%

10%

9%

4%

9%

12%

9%

6%

3%

9%

9%

6%

8%

2%

4%

7%

6%

7%

4%

5%

9%

4%

4%

8%

6%

7%

10%

3%

Mike Rogers

5%

4%

3%

7%

5%

7%

3%

6%

7%

2%

3%

4%

4%

5%

10%

5%

3%

1%

13%

5%

4%

1%

4%

9%

8%

5%

2%

10%

14%

5%

5%

7%

3%

6%

5%

6%

2%

6%

6%

3%

6%

4%

5%

6%

3%

4%

6%

2%

6%

6%

4%

Gretchen Whitmer

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

7%

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

13%

2%

2%

5%

2%

1%

1%

6%

2%

1%

1%

2%

3%

6%

2%

2%

3%

0%

0%

2%

3%

9%

4%

2%

3%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

4%

2%

1%

4%

1%

2%

5%

2%

Kamala Harris

1%

1%

2%

0%

1%

0%

2%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

1%

3%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

2%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

4%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

2%

2%

1%

2%

0%

Joe Biden

1%

1%

2%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

2%

0%

3%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

2%

0%

1%

0%

2%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

2%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

1%

1%

0%

Donald Trump

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

2%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

2%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

1,864

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

F1r: SUMMARY OF 'NO OPINION' - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Midwest

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Jill Stein

38%

37%

35%

35%

44%

59%

35%

37%

58%

34%

39%

55%

34%

42%

31%

39%

41%

40%

27%

39%

41%

40%

38%

35%

37%

40%

34%

35%

17%

39%

42%

35%

50%

40%

38%

38%

38%

34%

42%

36%

38%

36%

36%

40%

40%

29%

39%

37%

43%

41%

41%

Cornel West

35%

34%

35%

30%

43%

46%

34%

34%

50%

35%

33%

45%

31%

39%

33%

32%

37%

38%

31%

34%

36%

38%

37%

33%

23%

27%

34%

30%

6%

23%

40%

37%

34%

32%

35%

35%

36%

29%

38%

36%

36%

34%

34%

36%

36%

31%

35%

28%

38%

38%

41%

Nikki Haley

23%

20%

19%

21%

28%

51%

19%

23%

50%

18%

19%

33%

18%

28%

29%

30%

22%

12%

29%

31%

23%

12%

21%

34%

20%

30%

16%

33%

0%

25%

26%

36%

33%

34%

23%

27%

16%

19%

29%

18%

27%

19%

20%

28%

24%

16%

24%

16%

25%

33%

29%

Mike Rogers

17%

13%

13%

13%

23%

58%

15%

14%

48%

11%

11%

33%

12%

22%

27%

22%

16%

4%

26%

24%

17%

4%

15%

21%

25%

22%

10%

24%

0%

13%

20%

17%

42%

30%

17%

20%

10%

11%

24%

12%

21%

12%

15%

21%

16%

10%

17%

10%

21%

26%

21%

Tim Walz

16%

12%

14%

10%

24%

46%

15%

12%

50%

12%

9%

22%

11%

21%

24%

21%

14%

5%

22%

23%

15%

5%

14%

22%

25%

17%

9%

22%

0%

11%

19%

21%

42%

23%

16%

20%

9%

7%

22%

13%

18%

12%

13%

21%

16%

9%

16%

9%

18%

27%

22%

Elissa Slotkin

14%

11%

13%

9%

22%

43%

14%

11%

41%

11%

8%

21%

10%

19%

22%

17%

14%

5%

21%

20%

14%

5%

13%

20%

15%

15%

9%

19%

0%

6%

17%

22%

26%

23%

14%

18%

8%

9%

20%

12%

18%

10%

11%

18%

17%

6%

14%

15%

16%

23%

19%

J.D. Vance

14%

10%

10%

10%

21%

47%

12%

10%

46%

9%

7%

27%

9%

18%

24%

19%

9%

3%

24%

21%

11%

3%

12%

22%

19%

12%

8%

23%

0%

0%

16%

21%

32%

22%

14%

18%

6%

6%

22%

9%

18%

9%

12%

17%

14%

7%

13%

9%

16%

23%

18%

Gretchen Whitmer

6%

4%

3%

5%

10%

38%

4%

4%

34%

2%

3%

11%

5%

8%

14%

7%

4%

1%

16%

10%

3%

1%

5%

11%

16%

12%

3%

12%

0%

5%

6%

8%

26%

18%

6%

9%

3%

4%

10%

3%

8%

4%

5%

12%

5%

3%

11%

1%

8%

13%

7%

Joe Biden

5%

3%

2%

3%

9%

44%

2%

5%

30%

2%

2%

21%

3%

7%

12%

7%

3%

0%

14%

7%

4%

0%

4%

10%

13%

9%

2%

11%

0%

4%

5%

9%

21%

15%

5%

7%

2%

3%

9%

2%

7%

3%

4%

9%

5%

2%

8%

3%

6%

11%

6%

Kamala Harris

3%

2%

2%

1%

6%

36%

2%

1%

30%

2%

1%

25%

2%

5%

7%

4%

2%

1%

8%

5%

2%

1%

3%

3%

7%

8%

2%

3%

0%

0%

4%

3%

11%

15%

3%

5%

2%

1%

6%

2%

4%

2%

3%

4%

3%

2%

3%

1%

4%

6%

5%

Donald Trump

3%

2%

1%

2%

5%

31%

1%

2%

27%

1%

1%

17%

2%

4%

6%

5%

1%

0%

7%

5%

2%

0%

2%

7%

7%

7%

1%

6%

0%

0%

2%

8%

11%

14%

3%

4%

2%

1%

5%

2%

4%

2%

2%

5%

3%

1%

4%

1%

4%

7%

4%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

1,864

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

F1r1: Joe Biden - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

38%

40%

6%

76%

32%

11%

5%

76%

5%

5%

77%

8%

38%

38%

33%

37%

38%

44%

32%

38%

37%

44%

35%

62%

32%

38%

36%

59%

29%

32%

34%

65%

34%

43%

-

38%

-

-

35%

44%

78%

39%

9%

37%

40%

40%

46%

27%

39%

45%

30%

42%

48%

26%

Very favorable

18%

19%

2%

39%

11%

1%

2%

36%

2%

1%

39%

0%

19%

16%

13%

17%

17%

23%

13%

17%

17%

23%

16%

37%

8%

12%

18%

33%

7%

11%

14%

42%

9%

13%

-

18%

-

-

17%

20%

40%

17%

3%

17%

19%

17%

24%

14%

17%

26%

17%

17%

22%

11%

Favorable

20%

21%

4%

37%

20%

9%

3%

40%

4%

4%

38%

8%

19%

22%

20%

20%

21%

21%

19%

21%

20%

21%

19%

25%

23%

26%

18%

25%

22%

21%

20%

23%

24%

29%

-

20%

-

-

18%

24%

38%

22%

6%

20%

21%

23%

22%

14%

22%

18%

13%

24%

26%

15%

Unfavorable

15%

14%

13%

13%

20%

24%

12%

15%

29%

10%

14%

21%

13%

17%

20%

17%

15%

7%

19%

18%

16%

7%

15%

12%

15%

15%

13%

15%

8%

9%

17%

7%

20%

20%

-

15%

-

-

16%

12%

11%

20%

11%

15%

14%

16%

12%

15%

14%

13%

10%

18%

12%

18%

Very unfavorable

41%

43%

78%

7%

39%

21%

79%

4%

35%

81%

6%

47%

44%

38%

35%

38%

44%

46%

35%

37%

43%

46%

45%

16%

40%

38%

48%

15%

63%

55%

43%

17%

25%

23%

-

41%

-

-

41%

41%

8%

32%

76%

40%

43%

39%

31%

52%

45%

32%

57%

33%

29%

49%

NET UNFAVORABLE

56%

56%

90%

20%

59%

45%

91%

19%

64%

91%

21%

68%

57%

54%

55%

56%

59%

54%

54%

54%

60%

54%

61%

28%

55%

53%

61%

30%

71%

64%

60%

24%

45%

43%

-

56%

-

-

57%

53%

19%

52%

87%

55%

57%

55%

43%

67%

59%

45%

67%

51%

41%

67%

Never heard of them

1%

1%

2%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

2%

0%

3%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

2%

0%

1%

0%

2%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

2%

0%

0%

-

1%

-

-

1%

1%

0%

0%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

1%

1%

0%

No opinion

5%

3%

2%

3%

9%

44%

2%

5%

30%

2%

2%

21%

3%

7%

12%

7%

3%

0%

14%

7%

4%

0%

4%

10%

13%

9%

2%

11%

0%

4%

5%

9%

21%

15%

-

5%

-

-

7%

2%

3%

9%

2%

7%

3%

4%

9%

5%

2%

8%

3%

6%

11%

6%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

F1r2: Kamala Harris - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

48%

49%

8%

91%

44%

31%

6%

94%

13%

8%

88%

30%

46%

49%

48%

50%

45%

47%

48%

50%

46%

47%

42%

81%

54%

47%

41%

81%

39%

40%

44%

81%

63%

54%

-

48%

-

-

47%

49%

90%

52%

13%

49%

47%

51%

59%

33%

47%

58%

31%

55%

60%

35%

Very favorable

31%

33%

3%

70%

16%

8%

1%

65%

0%

2%

64%

8%

31%

31%

30%

30%

30%

34%

30%

29%

31%

34%

27%

61%

35%

23%

26%

61%

32%

23%

28%

61%

37%

24%

-

31%

-

-

31%

31%

70%

30%

6%

32%

31%

32%

40%

22%

29%

42%

23%

36%

37%

22%

Favorable

17%

16%

5%

21%

29%

23%

5%

29%

13%

6%

24%

22%

16%

18%

18%

21%

15%

13%

18%

22%

15%

13%

15%

20%

19%

24%

15%

20%

7%

17%

16%

19%

27%

30%

-

17%

-

-

16%

18%

20%

22%

8%

17%

16%

19%

19%

11%

19%

16%

8%

19%

23%

13%

Unfavorable

10%

9%

12%

5%

16%

15%

13%

4%

29%

11%

6%

20%

8%

12%

12%

11%

12%

5%

11%

12%

12%

5%

11%

5%

6%

15%

9%

6%

4%

12%

13%

4%

7%

17%

-

10%

-

-

10%

10%

3%

15%

9%

10%

10%

9%

10%

13%

8%

10%

7%

9%

10%

17%

Very unfavorable

38%

40%

77%

3%

33%

18%

77%

1%

27%

78%

5%

25%

42%

33%

31%

33%

41%

45%

31%

32%

40%

45%

43%

10%

32%

30%

47%

9%

57%

48%

39%

12%

15%

14%

-

38%

-

-

37%

39%

6%

27%

74%

35%

40%

37%

25%

50%

42%

26%

59%

31%

22%

43%

NET UNFAVORABLE

48%

49%

88%

8%

49%

33%

90%

5%

56%

89%

11%

45%

51%

45%

43%

45%

53%

51%

41%

45%

51%

51%

54%

15%

37%

45%

56%

15%

61%

60%

52%

16%

22%

31%

-

48%

-

-

47%

49%

9%

41%

83%

46%

50%

45%

35%

63%

50%

37%

66%

40%

32%

60%

Never heard of them

1%

1%

2%

0%

1%

0%

2%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

1%

3%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

2%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

4%

0%

-

1%

-

-

1%

0%

0%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

2%

2%

1%

2%

0%

No opinion

3%

2%

2%

1%

6%

36%

2%

1%

30%

2%

1%

25%

2%

5%

7%

4%

2%

1%

8%

5%

2%

1%

3%

3%

7%

8%

2%

3%

0%

0%

4%

3%

11%

15%

-

3%

-

-

5%

2%

1%

6%

2%

4%

2%

3%

4%

3%

2%

3%

1%

4%

6%

5%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

F1r3: Donald Trump - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

46%

46%

87%

10%

37%

36%

90%

6%

20%

87%

9%

11%

50%

42%

45%

46%

47%

45%

44%

45%

48%

45%

51%

21%

41%

37%

54%

23%

54%

57%

48%

18%

32%

18%

-

46%

-

-

46%

45%

11%

37%

82%

42%

49%

42%

43%

55%

47%

48%

58%

36%

36%

53%

Very favorable

27%

30%

58%

4%

17%

9%

58%

2%

2%

59%

3%

3%

30%

25%

26%

27%

26%

30%

27%

27%

26%

30%

32%

9%

12%

16%

34%

8%

15%

27%

30%

9%

11%

6%

-

27%

-

-

29%

24%

6%

17%

55%

26%

28%

25%

23%

36%

28%

25%

39%

21%

21%

34%

Favorable

18%

17%

29%

6%

20%

27%

33%

4%

18%

28%

6%

8%

20%

17%

19%

19%

21%

14%

18%

18%

22%

14%

19%

12%

28%

21%

19%

15%

39%

30%

18%

9%

21%

12%

-

18%

-

-

17%

21%

5%

19%

27%

16%

21%

17%

20%

19%

19%

23%

19%

15%

16%

19%

Unfavorable

9%

8%

6%

9%

16%

9%

7%

10%

22%

6%

9%

4%

9%

10%

12%

11%

8%

6%

12%

13%

8%

6%

9%

13%

11%

6%

9%

13%

7%

0%

9%

14%

14%

12%

-

9%

-

-

11%

7%

7%

13%

7%

11%

8%

8%

11%

10%

8%

8%

11%

9%

13%

9%

Very unfavorable

41%

43%

6%

78%

41%

24%

2%

81%

31%

6%

79%

68%

39%

43%

36%

37%

44%

48%

36%

36%

42%

48%

38%

58%

41%

50%

35%

58%

39%

43%

40%

58%

43%

56%

-

41%

-

-

38%

46%

79%

45%

10%

42%

41%

47%

40%

32%

43%

39%

29%

51%

42%

33%

NET UNFAVORABLE

50%

51%

12%

87%

57%

33%

9%

91%

53%

12%

89%

73%

48%

53%

48%

48%

51%

54%

48%

49%

50%

54%

47%

71%

52%

56%

44%

70%

46%

43%

49%

72%

57%

68%

-

50%

-

-

49%

53%

86%

58%

17%

53%

49%

55%

51%

42%

51%

47%

40%

59%

55%

43%

Never heard of them

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

2%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

2%

0%

0%

-

1%

-

-

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

No opinion

3%

2%

1%

2%

5%

31%

1%

2%

27%

1%

1%

17%

2%

4%

6%

5%

1%

0%

7%

5%

2%

0%

2%

7%

7%

7%

1%

6%

0%

0%

2%

8%

11%

14%

-

3%

-

-

4%

2%

1%

5%

2%

4%

2%

2%

5%

3%

1%

4%

1%

4%

7%

4%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

F1r4: Nikki Haley - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

29%

32%

45%

17%

29%

4%

43%

19%

11%

47%

21%

11%

36%

23%

18%

20%

33%

45%

17%

20%

31%

45%

33%

14%

20%

23%

41%

15%

37%

28%

25%

13%

9%

18%

-

29%

-

-

23%

40%

15%

22%

49%

24%

36%

30%

25%

32%

35%

31%

43%

24%

18%

24%

Very favorable

8%

9%

14%

4%

6%

2%

13%

4%

3%

14%

3%

0%

9%

7%

6%

4%

9%

13%

6%

4%

8%

13%

9%

6%

2%

5%

10%

6%

0%

6%

8%

7%

4%

4%

-

8%

-

-

7%

10%

3%

5%

15%

6%

10%

8%

7%

8%

10%

6%

10%

7%

8%

7%

Favorable

21%

23%

31%

13%

23%

3%

30%

15%

8%

33%

18%

11%

27%

16%

12%

16%

24%

32%

10%

16%

23%

32%

24%

8%

18%

18%

31%

8%

37%

22%

18%

6%

5%

14%

-

21%

-

-

16%

31%

12%

17%

33%

18%

25%

21%

18%

24%

26%

25%

33%

17%

10%

17%

Unfavorable

17%

18%

12%

21%

19%

8%

13%

21%

9%

13%

23%

29%

17%

16%

11%

16%

17%

21%

11%

15%

17%

21%

17%

15%

13%

18%

17%

17%

16%

17%

16%

13%

11%

19%

-

17%

-

-

15%

19%

23%

16%

12%

17%

17%

19%

13%

16%

21%

11%

16%

16%

15%

16%

Very unfavorable

16%

17%

11%

25%

11%

4%

10%

22%

12%

11%

26%

13%

17%

15%

13%

14%

18%

19%

11%

13%

18%

19%

16%

15%

10%

18%

18%

13%

19%

18%

15%

17%

4%

18%

-

16%

-

-

15%

18%

29%

13%

10%

15%

17%

19%

14%

12%

20%

15%

14%

18%

12%

10%

NET UNFAVORABLE

32%

34%

22%

46%

30%

12%

23%

43%

22%

23%

49%

42%

35%

30%

24%

30%

35%

40%

22%

29%

34%

40%

33%

30%

23%

36%

35%

30%

35%

35%

31%

31%

16%

37%

-

32%

-

-

30%

37%

53%

30%

21%

32%

33%

38%

26%

28%

40%

26%

30%

35%

27%

26%

Never heard of them

15%

13%

13%

16%

13%

33%

15%

15%

18%

12%

11%

15%

11%

19%

29%

20%

9%

3%

32%

21%

11%

3%

13%

21%

37%

12%

8%

22%

28%

12%

18%

20%

43%

11%

-

15%

-

-

20%

7%

13%

19%

12%

17%

12%

12%

20%

16%

8%

19%

10%

17%

22%

21%

No opinion

23%

20%

19%

21%

28%

51%

19%

23%

50%

18%

19%

33%

18%

28%

29%

30%

22%

12%

29%

31%

23%

12%

21%

34%

20%

30%

16%

33%

0%

25%

26%

36%

33%

34%

-

23%

-

-

27%

16%

19%

29%

18%

27%

19%

20%

28%

24%

16%

24%

16%

25%

33%

29%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

F1r7: Cornel West - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

11%

11%

7%

14%

13%

8%

10%

13%

9%

9%

15%

0%

13%

9%

12%

13%

9%

10%

11%

13%

10%

10%

9%

21%

13%

19%

11%

21%

16%

20%

6%

20%

11%

18%

-

11%

-

-

10%

12%

15%

11%

8%

11%

11%

10%

19%

7%

11%

21%

9%

8%

17%

5%

Very favorable

2%

2%

1%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

4%

2%

3%

0%

2%

2%

2%

4%

1%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

6%

2%

4%

2%

6%

5%

2%

1%

5%

0%

7%

-

2%

-

-

2%

3%

3%

3%

1%

2%

2%

2%

4%

1%

2%

4%

1%

2%

2%

1%

Favorable

9%

9%

6%

11%

10%

6%

8%

10%

5%

7%

12%

0%

11%

7%

10%

9%

8%

8%

10%

10%

8%

8%

7%

15%

11%

15%

9%

15%

11%

18%

5%

15%

11%

11%

-

9%

-

-

8%

10%

12%

9%

7%

9%

9%

8%

16%

5%

9%

16%

8%

6%

15%

4%

Unfavorable

12%

12%

12%

12%

12%

6%

13%

11%

10%

14%

12%

27%

16%

7%

8%

13%

11%

14%

7%

13%

11%

14%

11%

12%

11%

14%

17%

12%

23%

14%

6%

12%

4%

15%

-

12%

-

-

11%

13%

13%

9%

14%

12%

12%

12%

12%

11%

17%

14%

17%

6%

9%

8%

Very unfavorable

11%

12%

13%

11%

9%

3%

12%

11%

5%

13%

13%

10%

14%

8%

8%

9%

13%

16%

7%

8%

13%

16%

12%

8%

7%

12%

15%

10%

15%

20%

9%

7%

2%

5%

-

11%

-

-

10%

13%

12%

9%

13%

11%

12%

12%

8%

12%

15%

9%

18%

9%

7%

8%

NET UNFAVORABLE

23%

24%

25%

23%

21%

9%

25%

22%

15%

27%

25%

37%

30%

15%

16%

21%

24%

30%

14%

21%

24%

30%

23%

21%

18%

27%

31%

22%

37%

34%

15%

19%

6%

19%

-

23%

-

-

21%

26%

26%

18%

26%

23%

23%

24%

20%

24%

32%

23%

35%

15%

16%

16%

Never heard of them

31%

30%

33%

33%

24%

38%

31%

31%

27%

30%

27%

18%

25%

37%

40%

33%

30%

22%

44%

33%

30%

22%

31%

25%

46%

27%

24%

26%

40%

23%

38%

24%

49%

31%

-

31%

-

-

34%

26%

30%

33%

30%

30%

31%

32%

25%

34%

26%

21%

29%

39%

29%

38%

No opinion

35%

34%

35%

30%

43%

46%

34%

34%

50%

35%

33%

45%

31%

39%

33%

32%

37%

38%

31%

34%

36%

38%

37%

33%

23%

27%

34%

30%

6%

23%

40%

37%

34%

32%

-

35%

-

-

35%

36%

29%

38%

36%

36%

34%

34%

36%

36%

31%

35%

28%

38%

38%

41%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

F1r8: Jill Stein - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

12%

13%

9%

17%

12%

1%

11%

15%

5%

10%

15%

10%

13%

11%

17%

15%

8%

9%

18%

15%

10%

9%

11%

16%

17%

14%

14%

17%

10%

6%

9%

15%

21%

21%

-

12%

-

-

12%

12%

18%

12%

9%

12%

13%

12%

18%

8%

13%

18%

10%

11%

17%

7%

Very favorable

3%

3%

1%

5%

2%

0%

2%

4%

2%

2%

3%

0%

3%

3%

6%

2%

1%

1%

7%

2%

2%

1%

2%

6%

2%

5%

2%

6%

0%

5%

2%

6%

4%

4%

-

3%

-

-

3%

2%

4%

3%

1%

3%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

4%

2%

3%

5%

1%

Favorable

10%

10%

8%

12%

10%

1%

9%

11%

3%

8%

12%

10%

11%

8%

11%

12%

7%

8%

11%

13%

8%

8%

9%

10%

14%

9%

12%

11%

10%

1%

7%

8%

17%

16%

-

10%

-

-

9%

10%

14%

9%

7%

9%

11%

10%

14%

6%

11%

14%

8%

8%

12%

6%

Unfavorable

14%

14%

15%

12%

14%

9%

16%

12%

10%

17%

13%

10%

17%

11%

12%

14%

14%

14%

11%

15%

13%

14%

14%

14%

10%

15%

16%

17%

18%

18%

11%

12%

4%

11%

-

14%

-

-

12%

16%

11%

11%

18%

14%

14%

14%

11%

15%

17%

14%

18%

10%

8%

13%

Very unfavorable

16%

17%

18%

17%

12%

2%

17%

16%

7%

18%

18%

21%

20%

12%

12%

11%

16%

23%

12%

11%

16%

23%

16%

12%

17%

18%

20%

13%

33%

25%

13%

11%

6%

12%

-

16%

-

-

14%

18%

20%

12%

17%

14%

18%

18%

11%

16%

23%

12%

21%

13%

11%

12%

NET UNFAVORABLE

29%

32%

34%

29%

26%

11%

33%

28%

17%

35%

32%

31%

36%

23%

25%

25%

30%

38%

23%

26%

29%

38%

30%

26%

26%

32%

36%

29%

50%

43%

24%

22%

10%

23%

-

29%

-

-

26%

35%

31%

23%

36%

28%

32%

32%

22%

31%

40%

25%

39%

23%

18%

25%

Never heard of them

21%

19%

23%

19%

18%

30%

22%

20%

20%

21%

14%

4%

17%

25%

27%

22%

20%

14%

32%

20%

20%

14%

21%

23%

20%

14%

17%

19%

22%

12%

25%

28%

18%

16%

-

21%

-

-

24%

15%

17%

23%

20%

22%

19%

20%

20%

21%

18%

17%

14%

23%

24%

27%

No opinion

38%

37%

35%

35%

44%

59%

35%

37%

58%

34%

39%

55%

34%

42%

31%

39%

41%

40%

27%

39%

41%

40%

38%

35%

37%

40%

34%

35%

17%

39%

42%

35%

50%

40%

-

38%

-

-

38%

38%

34%

42%

36%

38%

36%

36%

40%

40%

29%

39%

37%

43%

41%

41%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

F1r10: J.D. Vance - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

39%

42%

74%

10%

30%

11%

74%

8%

13%

76%

11%

15%

44%

33%

28%

33%

45%

47%

28%

30%

44%

47%

44%

15%

17%

34%

50%

14%

27%

51%

38%

17%

11%

19%

-

39%

-

-

35%

45%

10%

25%

75%

34%

44%

37%

31%

47%

44%

34%

54%

30%

27%

42%

Very favorable

20%

22%

42%

2%

13%

2%

41%

1%

2%

45%

3%

0%

20%

19%

11%

15%

22%

29%

11%

12%

22%

29%

24%

4%

3%

12%

25%

2%

4%

18%

23%

7%

2%

7%

-

20%

-

-

18%

22%

2%

9%

45%

16%

22%

18%

13%

28%

19%

15%

30%

17%

11%

26%

Favorable

19%

20%

32%

8%

17%

9%

33%

6%

11%

31%

9%

15%

24%

14%

18%

18%

24%

17%

18%

18%

22%

17%

20%

11%

15%

22%

25%

12%

23%

33%

16%

10%

10%

12%

-

19%

-

-

16%

24%

8%

16%

31%

18%

21%

19%

17%

20%

26%

19%

24%

13%

15%

17%

Unfavorable

12%

12%

6%

15%

15%

9%

7%

16%

14%

6%

16%

24%

11%

12%

11%

12%

12%

11%

11%

12%

12%

11%

9%

17%

21%

19%

9%

16%

32%

15%

10%

19%

14%

23%

-

12%

-

-

13%

9%

15%

14%

6%

13%

10%

12%

14%

9%

10%

16%

7%

13%

13%

10%

Very unfavorable

30%

32%

6%

58%

28%

9%

4%

59%

16%

6%

62%

26%

30%

31%

22%

27%

32%

39%

20%

28%

30%

39%

30%

33%

27%

28%

30%

34%

28%

25%

31%

31%

27%

31%

-

30%

-

-

26%

38%

65%

30%

6%

28%

34%

35%

28%

24%

35%

27%

24%

36%

28%

24%

NET UNFAVORABLE

42%

44%

12%

73%

43%

17%

11%

75%

30%

12%

78%

50%

41%

43%

34%

40%

43%

50%

32%

41%

42%

50%

40%

50%

49%

47%

39%

50%

60%

40%

41%

50%

42%

54%

-

42%

-

-

39%

47%

80%

44%

13%

41%

44%

47%

42%

33%

45%

42%

31%

49%

41%

34%

Never heard of them

6%

4%

3%

7%

6%

25%

4%

7%

11%

3%

4%

8%

5%

6%

14%

8%

2%

1%

16%

8%

3%

1%

4%

13%

14%

7%

3%

13%

14%

9%

5%

12%

15%

5%

-

6%

-

-

8%

1%

5%

9%

3%

8%

4%

4%

10%

6%

3%

11%

5%

5%

9%

6%

No opinion

14%

10%

10%

10%

21%

47%

12%

10%

46%

9%

7%

27%

9%

18%

24%

19%

9%

3%

24%

21%

11%

3%

12%

22%

19%

12%

8%

23%

0%

0%

16%

21%

32%

22%

-

14%

-

-

18%

6%

6%

22%

9%

18%

9%

12%

17%

14%

7%

13%

9%

16%

23%

18%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

F1r19: Tim Walz - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

38%

42%

9%

73%

34%

9%

8%

73%

5%

9%

75%

29%

38%

39%

33%

33%

40%

47%

30%

34%

39%

47%

37%

52%

27%

41%

36%

52%

25%

36%

37%

52%

29%

45%

-

38%

-

-

34%

46%

77%

39%

10%

37%

41%

44%

39%

29%

41%

38%

32%

46%

39%

27%

Very favorable

21%

23%

2%

45%

13%

4%

2%

42%

0%

2%

45%

4%

21%

20%

16%

16%

22%

29%

14%

17%

20%

29%

20%

31%

17%

16%

20%

31%

17%

13%

19%

31%

18%

19%

-

21%

-

-

19%

24%

51%

18%

3%

19%

23%

24%

19%

16%

23%

21%

17%

24%

18%

16%

Favorable

18%

19%

7%

28%

21%

5%

6%

31%

5%

7%

30%

25%

17%

18%

17%

17%

18%

18%

16%

17%

19%

18%

17%

21%

10%

24%

16%

20%

8%

23%

18%

21%

11%

26%

-

18%

-

-

16%

21%

26%

21%

8%

17%

18%

20%

19%

12%

18%

17%

15%

22%

22%

11%

Unfavorable

12%

11%

17%

6%

13%

10%

17%

6%

18%

16%

8%

17%

13%

11%

12%

16%

13%

6%

14%

15%

13%

6%

12%

8%

19%

11%

13%

7%

36%

14%

11%

9%

8%

8%

-

12%

-

-

12%

12%

5%

12%

16%

12%

12%

10%

16%

12%

12%

19%

10%

8%

13%

13%

Very unfavorable

28%

31%

54%

6%

24%

10%

55%

4%

17%

59%

6%

18%

33%

23%

19%

22%

30%

41%

19%

19%

30%

41%

32%

10%

13%

22%

38%

12%

18%

35%

27%

8%

10%

10%

-

28%

-

-

26%

32%

5%

17%

58%

26%

31%

28%

19%

36%

34%

23%

43%

21%

14%

30%

NET UNFAVORABLE

40%

42%

72%

12%

37%

20%

72%

9%

35%

75%

14%

35%

46%

33%

31%

38%

43%

47%

32%

34%

43%

47%

44%

18%

33%

33%

51%

19%

55%

50%

38%

17%

18%

17%

-

40%

-

-

38%

44%

11%

30%

73%

38%

43%

38%

35%

47%

46%

41%

53%

29%

27%

43%

Never heard of them

6%

4%

5%

6%

5%

25%

6%

6%

10%

4%

2%

14%

5%

7%

13%

8%

3%

1%

15%

9%

3%

1%

5%

9%

15%

10%

4%

8%

21%

3%

6%

11%

11%

15%

-

6%

-

-

9%

2%

5%

9%

3%

7%

4%

5%

6%

8%

4%

5%

7%

7%

7%

8%

No opinion

16%

12%

14%

10%

24%

46%

15%

12%

50%

12%

9%

22%

11%

21%

24%

21%

14%

5%

22%

23%

15%

5%

14%

22%

25%

17%

9%

22%

0%

11%

19%

21%

42%

23%

-

16%

-

-

20%

9%

7%

22%

13%

18%

12%

13%

21%

16%

9%

16%

9%

18%

27%

22%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

F1r23: Elissa Slotkin - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

41%

44%

12%

75%

36%

9%

11%

74%

14%

13%

76%

15%

41%

40%

33%

40%

41%

48%

31%

39%

41%

48%

39%

53%

49%

36%

39%

52%

52%

36%

38%

54%

47%

36%

-

41%

-

-

37%

46%

77%

41%

14%

40%

42%

45%

42%

31%

45%

42%

31%

45%

43%

31%

Very favorable

19%

21%

2%

42%

11%

2%

2%

38%

2%

2%

42%

5%

20%

18%

14%

15%

19%

28%

14%

14%

19%

28%

18%

33%

15%

13%

19%

31%

21%

12%

17%

35%

12%

13%

-

19%

-

-

17%

23%

45%

17%

4%

19%

20%

21%

20%

15%

21%

21%

17%

21%

19%

13%

Favorable

22%

23%

10%

33%

25%

7%

9%

35%

12%

11%

34%

9%

21%

22%

19%

25%

22%

20%

18%

25%

22%

20%

21%

20%

34%

23%

20%

21%

31%

23%

21%

19%

35%

23%

-

22%

-

-

20%

24%

32%

25%

10%

22%

22%

24%

22%

16%

24%

21%

14%

24%

24%

18%

Unfavorable

16%

16%

22%

8%

20%

15%

23%

9%

18%

22%

10%

33%

16%

16%

15%

19%

17%

13%

15%

18%

17%

13%

17%

9%

16%

15%

17%

10%

27%

7%

17%

9%

8%

22%

-

16%

-

-

15%

18%

8%

17%

21%

15%

17%

15%

13%

20%

16%

16%

17%

14%

9%

22%

Very unfavorable

23%

25%

46%

4%

18%

13%

45%

2%

16%

49%

4%

21%

27%

19%

16%

18%

25%

32%

15%

18%

25%

32%

26%

11%

9%

26%

30%

10%

9%

43%

22%

12%

10%

10%

-

23%

-

-

21%

27%

3%

15%

47%

20%

27%

23%

18%

28%

28%

21%

32%

17%

15%

25%

NET UNFAVORABLE

39%

41%

68%

12%

38%

28%

68%

11%

34%

71%

14%

54%

43%

35%

32%

37%

42%

45%

30%

36%

42%

45%

43%

20%

25%

41%

47%

20%

36%

50%

38%

21%

18%

32%

-

39%

-

-

36%

44%

11%

32%

68%

35%

44%

38%

31%

48%

44%

36%

49%

32%

24%

47%

Never heard of them

6%

5%

7%

4%

5%

20%

7%

4%

11%

5%

2%

10%

6%

6%

14%

6%

3%

2%

18%

5%

3%

2%

5%

6%

10%

9%

4%

9%

12%

9%

6%

3%

9%

9%

-

6%

-

-

8%

2%

4%

7%

6%

7%

4%

5%

9%

4%

4%

8%

6%

7%

10%

3%

No opinion

14%

11%

13%

9%

22%

43%

14%

11%

41%

11%

8%

21%

10%

19%

22%

17%

14%

5%

21%

20%

14%

5%

13%

20%

15%

15%

9%

19%

0%

6%

17%

22%

26%

23%

-

14%

-

-

18%

8%

9%

20%

12%

18%

10%

11%

18%

17%

6%

14%

15%

16%

23%

19%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

F1r24: Mike Rogers - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

36%

39%

68%

10%

28%

12%

66%

9%

17%

71%

11%

24%

42%

30%

24%

35%

39%

45%

20%

33%

39%

45%

39%

17%

30%

34%

46%

15%

47%

47%

33%

19%

18%

22%

-

36%

-

-

32%

42%

11%

24%

68%

32%

40%

34%

31%

43%

40%

37%

51%

28%

24%

37%

Very favorable

11%

12%

23%

3%

5%

1%

21%

2%

5%

24%

2%

0%

13%

9%

7%

6%

14%

17%

5%

7%

13%

17%

13%

4%

3%

6%

15%

4%

0%

7%

11%

4%

5%

5%

-

11%

-

-

11%

11%

3%

5%

24%

9%

12%

10%

9%

15%

12%

10%

18%

7%

8%

12%

Favorable

25%

27%

44%

8%

23%

11%

45%

7%

12%

46%

10%

24%

29%

21%

17%

28%

25%

28%

15%

27%

26%

28%

26%

13%

27%

28%

30%

12%

47%

39%

23%

15%

13%

17%

-

25%

-

-

22%

31%

8%

19%

44%

23%

28%

24%

22%

28%

28%

27%

34%

20%

16%

25%

Unfavorable

16%

16%

11%

19%

20%

13%

12%

20%

14%

12%

21%

12%

17%

15%

19%

14%

18%

14%

20%

15%

17%

14%

16%

16%

16%

20%

17%

15%

14%

20%

15%

17%

18%

20%

-

16%

-

-

17%

15%

17%

20%

11%

17%

16%

16%

18%

15%

17%

18%

15%

15%

18%

15%

Very unfavorable

26%

28%

5%

51%

24%

11%

4%

51%

14%

4%

54%

27%

26%

27%

20%

24%

25%

36%

21%

22%

25%

36%

26%

37%

21%

19%

25%

36%

25%

16%

27%

39%

18%

22%

-

26%

-

-

24%

31%

55%

26%

6%

25%

28%

30%

23%

23%

30%

21%

22%

30%

26%

23%

NET UNFAVORABLE

43%

44%

17%

70%

44%

24%

16%

71%

27%

16%

75%

39%

43%

43%

39%

38%

42%

51%

41%

38%

41%

51%

42%

53%

37%

39%

42%

51%

39%

36%

41%

56%

36%

42%

-

43%

-

-

41%

46%

72%

46%

18%

42%

44%

46%

42%

37%

47%

40%

37%

45%

44%

38%

Never heard of them

5%

4%

3%

7%

5%

7%

3%

6%

7%

2%

3%

4%

4%

5%

10%

5%

3%

1%

13%

5%

4%

1%

4%

9%

8%

5%

2%

10%

14%

5%

5%

7%

3%

6%

-

5%

-

-

6%

2%

6%

6%

3%

6%

4%

5%

6%

3%

4%

6%

2%

6%

6%

4%

No opinion

17%

13%

13%

13%

23%

58%

15%

14%

48%

11%

11%

33%

12%

22%

27%

22%

16%

4%

26%

24%

17%

4%

15%

21%

25%

22%

10%

24%

0%

13%

20%

17%

42%

30%

-

17%

-

-

20%

10%

11%

24%

12%

21%

12%

15%

21%

16%

10%

17%

10%

21%

26%

21%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

F1r25: Gretchen Whitmer - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

49%

51%

17%

84%

49%

29%

18%

85%

22%

16%

85%

32%

48%

51%

46%

48%

51%

52%

46%

47%

51%

52%

45%

75%

48%

54%

43%

72%

51%

46%

47%

78%

46%

62%

-

49%

-

-

47%

53%

86%

54%

18%

51%

49%

55%

52%

37%

53%

50%

34%

58%

56%

39%

Very favorable

31%

33%

5%

62%

23%

10%

4%

60%

6%

5%

62%

5%

29%

32%

26%

25%

34%

37%

26%

24%

32%

37%

27%

56%

35%

27%

24%

53%

39%

24%

29%

61%

32%

29%

-

31%

-

-

30%

31%

64%

31%

6%

33%

29%

34%

33%

22%

32%

30%

20%

37%

37%

23%

Favorable

19%

18%

13%

22%

26%

19%

13%

25%

16%

11%

24%

27%

19%

19%

20%

23%

17%

15%

19%

24%

18%

15%

19%

18%

13%

28%

19%

20%

12%

22%

18%

17%

14%

33%

-

19%

-

-

17%

22%

22%

23%

12%

17%

20%

21%

19%

15%

21%

20%

13%

21%

18%

16%

Unfavorable

12%

12%

18%

5%

12%

10%

17%

5%

21%

17%

6%

15%

12%

11%

12%

15%

10%

9%

11%

15%

11%

9%

14%

3%

10%

4%

14%

4%

15%

4%

13%

2%

7%

4%

-

12%

-

-

11%

13%

4%

12%

16%

11%

13%

11%

9%

14%

13%

9%

13%

9%

9%

15%

Very unfavorable

31%

32%

60%

5%

26%

16%

60%

4%

20%

63%

5%

29%

34%

27%

22%

28%

35%

37%

21%

26%

34%

37%

35%

8%

20%

28%

38%

9%

34%

45%

32%

8%

11%

13%

-

31%

-

-

31%

30%

4%

21%

60%

28%

33%

28%

22%

43%

31%

26%

50%

25%

17%

37%

NET UNFAVORABLE

42%

43%

77%

10%

39%

26%

76%

9%

42%

80%

11%

44%

46%

38%

34%

43%

45%

46%

32%

41%

45%

46%

48%

12%

30%

32%

52%

12%

49%

49%

45%

10%

18%

16%

-

42%

-

-

41%

43%

8%

34%

76%

39%

46%

39%

31%

57%

44%

35%

64%

33%

26%

52%

Never heard of them

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

7%

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

13%

2%

2%

5%

2%

1%

1%

6%

2%

1%

1%

2%

3%

6%

2%

2%

3%

0%

0%

2%

3%

9%

4%

-

2%

-

-

3%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

4%

2%

1%

4%

1%

2%

5%

2%

No opinion

6%

4%

3%

5%

10%

38%

4%

4%

34%

2%

3%

11%

5%

8%

14%

7%

4%

1%

16%

10%

3%

1%

5%

11%

16%

12%

3%

12%

0%

5%

6%

8%

26%

18%

-

6%

-

-

9%

3%

4%

10%

3%

8%

4%

5%

12%

5%

3%

11%

1%

8%

13%

7%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

H1b: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican, and Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump

46%

48%

92%

6%

40%

21%

100%

0%

0%

92%

7%

3%

50%

42%

43%

46%

47%

48%

43%

45%

47%

48%

53%

13%

38%

34%

57%

12%

61%

48%

49%

13%

23%

21%

-

46%

-

-

46%

46%

9%

36%

85%

43%

49%

42%

39%

59%

47%

43%

65%

38%

33%

54%

Kamala Harris

47%

48%

6%

92%

40%

25%

0%

100%

0%

5%

90%

37%

44%

49%

47%

46%

45%

48%

46%

47%

45%

48%

41%

78%

49%

48%

39%

75%

39%

40%

44%

81%

56%

55%

-

47%

-

-

46%

48%

89%

51%

11%

48%

46%

50%

53%

35%

46%

51%

32%

55%

57%

37%

Don’t Know / Unsure

7%

4%

2%

2%

19%

54%

0%

0%

100%

3%

3%

59%

6%

8%

10%

7%

8%

4%

11%

8%

8%

4%

6%

10%

13%

19%

5%

13%

0%

12%

7%

5%

21%

24%

-

7%

-

-

8%

6%

2%

13%

4%

9%

5%

8%

8%

6%

8%

6%

3%

8%

10%

9%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

H1bL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump

52%

50%

72%

31%

47%

61%

-

-

52%

63%

50%

43%

56%

50%

58%

40%

49%

67%

64%

31%

55%

67%

54%

61%

27%

49%

50%

59%

-

74%

57%

68%

27%

37%

-

52%

-

-

50%

58%

38%

45%

86%

53%

50%

49%

58%

52%

51%

57%

80%

47%

59%

46%

Kamala Harris

48%

50%

28%

69%

53%

39%

-

-

48%

37%

50%

57%

44%

50%

42%

60%

51%

33%

36%

69%

45%

33%

46%

39%

73%

51%

50%

41%

-

26%

43%

32%

73%

63%

-

48%

-

-

50%

42%

62%

55%

14%

47%

50%

51%

42%

48%

49%

43%

20%

53%

41%

54%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

117

60

9

9

67

32

0

0

117

17

19

13

44

73

35

39

29

14

22

42

39

14

79

20

7

11

28

13

0

3

51

7

7

8

0

117

0

0

80

37

6

92

19

75

35

54

32

31

26

12

6

28

20

25

H1bM: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican, and Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump+leaners

49.9%

49.7%

93.1%

6.5%

49.3%

53.9%

100.0%

0.0%

52.1%

93.7%

8.1%

28.9%

53.5%

46.2%

49.1%

49.2%

50.7%

50.4%

49.9%

47.2%

51.5%

50.4%

55.9%

18.5%

41.6%

42.7%

58.9%

19.7%

61.2%

56.9%

53.0%

16.9%

28.7%

29.6%

-

49.9%

-

-

50.0%

49.6%

9.6%

41.6%

88.4%

47.7%

51.7%

46.2%

43.2%

61.9%

50.8%

46.6%

67.0%

41.1%

39.1%

58.2%

Kamala Harris+leaners

50.1%

50.3%

6.9%

93.5%

50.7%

46.1%

0.0%

100.0%

47.9%

6.3%

91.9%

71.1%

46.5%

53.8%

50.9%

50.8%

49.3%

49.6%

50.1%

52.8%

48.5%

49.6%

44.1%

81.5%

58.4%

57.3%

41.1%

80.4%

38.8%

43.1%

47.0%

83.1%

71.3%

70.4%

-

50.1%

-

-

50.0%

50.4%

90.4%

58.4%

11.6%

52.3%

48.3%

53.8%

56.8%

38.1%

49.2%

53.4%

33.0%

58.9%

60.9%

41.8%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

QH1DJT: Would you say your choice is more of a vote…

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

For Donald Trump

78%

77%

81%

69%

67%

74%

80%

-

52%

79%

60%

46%

75%

81%

82%

81%

75%

73%

83%

83%

75%

73%

78%

74%

69%

85%

75%

67%

63%

84%

81%

85%

78%

86%

-

78%

-

-

85%

64%

71%

78%

78%

83%

71%

74%

85%

79%

70%

86%

74%

79%

84%

83%

Against Kamala Harris

22%

23%

19%

31%

33%

26%

20%

-

48%

21%

40%

54%

25%

19%

18%

19%

25%

27%

17%

17%

25%

27%

22%

26%

31%

15%

25%

33%

37%

16%

19%

15%

22%

14%

-

22%

-

-

15%

36%

29%

22%

22%

17%

29%

26%

15%

21%

30%

14%

26%

21%

16%

17%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

844

748

571

47

192

34

782

0

62

604

59

10

371

473

185

249

230

180

118

233

313

180

747

44

19

34

320

24

10

17

427

20

9

17

0

844

0

0

505

339

44

303

497

444

378

388

165

291

184

85

102

204

80

189

QH1KH: Would you say your choice is more of a vote…

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

For Kamala Harris

72%

73%

41%

79%

55%

60%

-

74%

39%

54%

74%

55%

73%

71%

74%

77%

68%

67%

73%

77%

70%

67%

68%

87%

81%

56%

67%

88%

100%

53%

68%

86%

74%

58%

-

72%

-

-

76%

65%

76%

70%

56%

77%

66%

69%

83%

65%

67%

84%

70%

71%

82%

62%

Against Donald Trump

28%

27%

59%

21%

45%

40%

-

26%

61%

46%

26%

45%

27%

29%

26%

23%

32%

33%

27%

23%

30%

33%

32%

13%

19%

44%

33%

12%

0%

47%

32%

14%

26%

42%

-

28%

-

-

24%

35%

24%

30%

44%

23%

34%

31%

17%

35%

33%

16%

30%

29%

18%

38%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,020

920

38

729

223

30

0

965

55

44

759

20

382

638

219

302

274

225

136

302

357

225

723

222

31

44

266

97

6

13

457

125

25

31

0

1,020

0

0

581

439

458

489

73

581

418

543

262

215

211

112

59

332

150

156

LW1: Regardless of who you support, if you had to pick, who do you think is more likely to win in the presidential election in November, Kamala Harris or Donald Trump?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Kamala Harris

50%

51%

11%

89%

52%

43%

8%

93%

44%

11%

88%

61%

47%

53%

51%

50%

51%

48%

50%

51%

50%

48%

44%

80%

58%

58%

42%

80%

50%

42%

47%

80%

63%

72%

-

50%

-

-

49%

52%

86%

58%

15%

52%

48%

53%

57%

39%

49%

54%

37%

58%

61%

40%

Donald Trump

50%

49%

89%

11%

48%

57%

92%

7%

56%

89%

12%

39%

53%

47%

49%

50%

49%

52%

50%

49%

50%

52%

56%

20%

42%

42%

58%

20%

50%

58%

53%

20%

37%

28%

-

50%

-

-

51%

48%

14%

42%

85%

48%

52%

47%

43%

61%

51%

46%

63%

42%

39%

60%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

H2b: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate

45%

48%

92%

5%

40%

17%

96%

1%

10%

92%

6%

7%

49%

42%

43%

44%

47%

49%

42%

43%

47%

49%

52%

11%

39%

32%

56%

11%

61%

47%

49%

11%

25%

17%

-

45%

-

-

45%

46%

9%

34%

85%

42%

49%

42%

37%

58%

47%

40%

64%

37%

33%

54%

Kamala Harris, running as the Democratic party candidate

46%

48%

6%

92%

40%

23%

1%

97%

6%

5%

90%

43%

43%

49%

44%

46%

46%

48%

44%

46%

46%

48%

41%

79%

41%

52%

38%

76%

32%

40%

43%

83%

48%

63%

-

46%

-

-

45%

48%

88%

51%

11%

48%

45%

50%

53%

34%

45%

52%

32%

56%

54%

35%

Cornel West, running as an independent candidate

1%

1%

0%

1%

5%

0%

1%

1%

10%

1%

1%

3%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

0%

1%

3%

2%

0%

1%

2%

0%

3%

1%

2%

0%

3%

1%

2%

0%

3%

-

1%

-

-

1%

2%

1%

3%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

2%

0%

1%

3%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

0%

7%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

-

0%

-

-

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

Don't Know / Unsure

6%

3%

2%

2%

15%

59%

1%

1%

73%

2%

2%

44%

5%

8%

11%

7%

5%

3%

11%

9%

5%

3%

5%

8%

17%

13%

4%

11%

0%

9%

6%

4%

28%

16%

-

6%

-

-

8%

4%

2%

11%

4%

8%

4%

6%

8%

6%

6%

6%

3%

6%

12%

8%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

H2bL: Between the four choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate

45%

42%

69%

35%

38%

48%

90%

0%

44%

60%

38%

33%

52%

39%

40%

44%

51%

50%

49%

30%

55%

50%

43%

58%

10%

65%

44%

51%

-

100%

43%

85%

10%

46%

-

45%

-

-

43%

50%

32%

35%

84%

44%

45%

43%

40%

52%

57%

30%

75%

25%

46%

47%

Kamala Harris, running as the Democratic party candidate

35%

44%

22%

56%

32%

36%

0%

100%

32%

31%

56%

38%

24%

42%

32%

42%

31%

33%

23%

50%

29%

33%

33%

22%

79%

17%

29%

24%

-

0%

35%

15%

79%

26%

-

35%

-

-

34%

36%

48%

41%

6%

32%

39%

35%

42%

27%

23%

40%

0%

49%

43%

33%

Cornel West, running as an independent candidate

12%

9%

9%

9%

14%

10%

10%

0%

13%

9%

6%

10%

12%

12%

17%

5%

9%

17%

12%

11%

9%

17%

14%

5%

0%

18%

16%

7%

-

0%

13%

0%

0%

28%

-

12%

-

-

13%

8%

7%

13%

10%

13%

7%

17%

6%

9%

14%

9%

5%

21%

4%

9%

Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate

9%

5%

0%

0%

15%

6%

0%

0%

11%

0%

0%

19%

11%

8%

12%

9%

8%

0%

15%

8%

7%

0%

9%

15%

10%

0%

10%

19%

-

0%

9%

0%

10%

0%

-

9%

-

-

10%

6%

13%

11%

0%

11%

9%

5%

12%

13%

6%

21%

19%

5%

7%

11%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

102

42

9

9

51

33

11

7

84

13

13

9

38

64

34

38

21

9

24

40

29

9

69

16

9

8

25

11

0

2

44

5

9

6

0

102

0

0

75

27

8

76

18

68

27

44

28

30

22

10

6

22

18

24

H2bM: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump+leaners

48%

49%

93%

6%

45%

45%

98%

1%

41%

93%

7%

22%

52%

45%

47%

47%

49%

50%

48%

45%

50%

50%

55%

16%

41%

40%

58%

17%

61%

57%

52%

15%

28%

24%

-

48%

-

-

49%

48%

9%

38%

88%

46%

50%

45%

40%

62%

51%

42%

66%

38%

38%

58%

Kamala Harris+leaners

48%

49%

7%

93%

44%

44%

1%

98%

29%

6%

91%

59%

45%

52%

47%

49%

48%

49%

47%

50%

47%

49%

42%

81%

54%

54%

40%

79%

32%

40%

45%

84%

69%

67%

-

48%

-

-

48%

50%

89%

55%

11%

50%

47%

52%

56%

36%

46%

54%

32%

59%

59%

38%

Cornel West+leaners

2%

1%

1%

1%

7%

6%

1%

1%

20%

1%

1%

8%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

1%

2%

4%

2%

1%

2%

2%

0%

6%

2%

2%

0%

3%

2%

2%

0%

8%

-

2%

-

-

2%

2%

1%

4%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

1%

2%

2%

2%

Jill Stein+leaners

1%

1%

0%

1%

3%

4%

0%

1%

10%

0%

1%

11%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

0%

3%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

5%

0%

1%

2%

7%

0%

1%

0%

3%

1%

-

1%

-

-

1%

1%

1%

2%

0%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

HORSE0501: Have you made up your mind on who you will vote for in the 2024 presidential election or are you still weighing the choices?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Have made up my mind

87%

92%

93%

93%

71%

38%

91%

94%

16%

93%

92%

46%

88%

85%

79%

82%

87%

97%

78%

83%

85%

97%

88%

84%

78%

75%

90%

81%

87%

87%

87%

87%

71%

64%

-

87%

-

-

84%

91%

96%

77%

92%

84%

90%

88%

83%

87%

87%

86%

93%

89%

79%

82%

Still weighing the choices

13%

8%

7%

7%

29%

62%

9%

6%

84%

7%

8%

54%

12%

15%

21%

18%

13%

3%

22%

17%

15%

3%

12%

16%

22%

25%

10%

19%

13%

13%

13%

13%

29%

36%

-

13%

-

-

16%

9%

4%

23%

8%

16%

10%

12%

17%

13%

13%

14%

7%

11%

21%

18%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

S1bMI: If the 2024 election for senate in Michigan were held today and it was between Mike Rogers, the Republican, and Elissa Slotkin, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Mike Rogers

39%

43%

80%

5%

31%

15%

78%

4%

21%

81%

7%

31%

44%

34%

29%

37%

42%

48%

27%

35%

41%

48%

45%

12%

25%

36%

50%

12%

39%

46%

39%

13%

15%

27%

-

39%

-

-

37%

44%

7%

26%

79%

37%

42%

38%

28%

50%

46%

29%

57%

31%

28%

44%

Elissa Slotkin

44%

47%

8%

84%

39%

20%

7%

85%

11%

9%

84%

20%

43%

44%

41%

42%

43%

48%

40%

42%

43%

48%

40%

65%

49%

38%

40%

62%

54%

36%

40%

69%

46%

40%

-

44%

-

-

41%

48%

85%

46%

12%

43%

45%

47%

48%

33%

46%

50%

31%

49%

45%

35%

Don't know/Unsure

17%

11%

12%

11%

29%

66%

15%

12%

68%

10%

9%

49%

12%

22%

30%

22%

15%

3%

33%

22%

16%

3%

15%

23%

26%

25%

10%

26%

7%

17%

20%

18%

39%

33%

-

17%

-

-

22%

8%

8%

28%

10%

20%

12%

14%

24%

17%

9%

21%

12%

20%

27%

21%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

MI1bL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Mike Rogers

55%

55%

82%

41%

43%

57%

75%

31%

54%

84%

35%

52%

57%

54%

46%

65%

60%

42%

46%

58%

63%

42%

59%

36%

55%

58%

62%

39%

0%

99%

57%

30%

62%

38%

-

55%

-

-

54%

59%

38%

54%

68%

48%

64%

55%

54%

56%

62%

52%

60%

52%

56%

54%

Elissa Slotkin

45%

45%

18%

59%

57%

43%

25%

69%

46%

16%

65%

48%

43%

46%

54%

35%

40%

58%

54%

42%

37%

58%

41%

64%

45%

42%

38%

61%

100%

1%

43%

70%

38%

62%

-

45%

-

-

46%

41%

62%

46%

32%

52%

36%

45%

46%

44%

38%

48%

40%

48%

44%

46%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

300

185

71

76

111

42

116

101

83

67

63

13

96

204

110

113

64

13

75

119

93

13

213

54

14

19

60

30

1

5

153

24

13

14

0

300

0

0

236

64

38

204

58

195

91

124

90

86

35

39

22

89

51

64

S1bMIM: If the 2024 election for senate in Michigan were held today and it was between Mike Rogers, the Republican, and Elissa Slotkin, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Mike Rogers + Learners

49%

48%

90%

10%

44%

52%

89%

7%

58%

89%

10%

57%

51%

46%

43%

51%

51%

50%

42%

48%

51%

50%

54%

21%

39%

51%

56%

22%

39%

63%

51%

19%

39%

39%

-

49%

-

-

49%

49%

10%

41%

85%

46%

50%

46%

41%

59%

51%

40%

64%

41%

43%

56%

Elissa Slotkin + Learners

51%

52%

10%

90%

56%

48%

11%

93%

42%

11%

90%

43%

49%

54%

57%

49%

49%

50%

58%

52%

49%

50%

46%

79%

61%

49%

44%

78%

61%

37%

49%

81%

61%

61%

-

51%

-

-

51%

51%

90%

59%

15%

54%

50%

54%

59%

41%

49%

60%

36%

59%

57%

44%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

QVOTEFACTOR: What factor was most important when casting your vote?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Candidate's position on issues

83%

85%

89%

82%

81%

60%

88%

80%

72%

89%

80%

72%

82%

84%

80%

81%

85%

87%

80%

80%

85%

87%

84%

78%

84%

79%

83%

75%

93%

83%

86%

82%

77%

75%

-

83%

-

-

82%

86%

82%

80%

88%

84%

83%

85%

78%

85%

83%

76%

87%

86%

80%

84%

Candidate's personal qualities

17%

15%

11%

18%

19%

40%

12%

20%

28%

11%

20%

28%

18%

16%

20%

19%

15%

13%

20%

20%

15%

13%

16%

22%

16%

21%

17%

25%

7%

17%

14%

18%

23%

25%

-

17%

-

-

18%

14%

18%

20%

12%

16%

17%

15%

22%

15%

17%

24%

13%

14%

20%

16%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

TQ6: Do you think the country is generally on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Right track

28%

30%

9%

52%

23%

8%

8%

52%

6%

8%

56%

14%

32%

25%

24%

26%

26%

37%

22%

27%

26%

37%

28%

40%

23%

20%

31%

44%

21%

23%

24%

35%

24%

16%

-

28%

-

-

25%

34%

57%

26%

11%

25%

33%

29%

36%

21%

33%

38%

22%

24%

34%

21%

Wrong track

60%

61%

85%

34%

62%

47%

86%

34%

60%

86%

33%

57%

60%

60%

55%

60%

65%

57%

54%

58%

65%

57%

63%

39%

55%

58%

63%

37%

61%

67%

64%

40%

51%

50%

-

60%

-

-

60%

58%

29%

57%

83%

60%

59%

61%

48%

67%

60%

50%

69%

61%

44%

66%

Unsure/Don't know

12%

9%

6%

14%

14%

46%

6%

15%

35%

5%

11%

28%

9%

16%

21%

14%

9%

6%

24%

15%

9%

6%

9%

21%

22%

22%

6%

19%

18%

10%

12%

24%

25%

34%

-

12%

-

-

15%

7%

14%

17%

5%

15%

8%

11%

16%

12%

7%

12%

9%

14%

22%

13%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

M2: In general, do you think the American economy is on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Right track

30%

32%

9%

54%

28%

15%

8%

55%

10%

7%

61%

10%

35%

25%

26%

25%

28%

42%

25%

26%

27%

42%

29%

40%

22%

25%

35%

47%

17%

29%

24%

32%

25%

22%

-

30%

-

-

25%

39%

59%

29%

10%

25%

35%

31%

35%

24%

37%

40%

26%

24%

30%

22%

Wrong track

61%

61%

87%

37%

60%

48%

87%

35%

60%

87%

32%

67%

58%

64%

60%

63%

67%

53%

59%

62%

67%

53%

63%

43%

64%

61%

60%

37%

76%

63%

67%

50%

56%

59%

-

61%

-

-

63%

57%

32%

57%

86%

62%

59%

61%

50%

69%

57%

47%

70%

65%

54%

68%

Don't know/Unsure

9%

7%

5%

10%

12%

37%

5%

10%

31%

6%

8%

22%

7%

11%

15%

12%

5%

6%

17%

12%

6%

6%

7%

17%

14%

14%

5%

16%

7%

8%

9%

17%

19%

19%

-

9%

-

-

12%

4%

9%

14%

4%

12%

5%

8%

14%

8%

6%

13%

4%

11%

16%

10%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

TQ1: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President of the United States?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

37%

39%

7%

73%

30%

14%

5%

73%

9%

6%

74%

6%

38%

36%

32%

35%

36%

43%

30%

36%

36%

43%

34%

58%

35%

32%

36%

56%

37%

29%

33%

60%

34%

34%

-

37%

-

-

33%

43%

74%

38%

10%

36%

39%

38%

48%

26%

37%

49%

29%

39%

45%

24%

Strongly approve

16%

17%

3%

34%

9%

5%

2%

31%

3%

2%

35%

0%

18%

14%

12%

13%

15%

22%

10%

14%

15%

22%

15%

26%

16%

11%

16%

26%

19%

12%

13%

26%

14%

10%

-

16%

-

-

13%

20%

36%

14%

3%

15%

16%

16%

20%

12%

16%

22%

15%

15%

19%

10%

Somewhat approve

21%

22%

4%

39%

22%

9%

3%

41%

6%

4%

39%

6%

21%

22%

21%

22%

21%

21%

20%

22%

21%

21%

20%

32%

19%

21%

19%

30%

18%

16%

20%

34%

20%

25%

-

21%

-

-

20%

23%

39%

23%

6%

20%

23%

23%

27%

14%

20%

27%

14%

25%

27%

14%

Somewhat disapprove

17%

16%

13%

18%

23%

21%

13%

20%

28%

11%

17%

41%

15%

20%

23%

22%

16%

9%

26%

21%

17%

9%

16%

19%

24%

23%

14%

21%

7%

14%

18%

17%

34%

31%

-

17%

-

-

19%

14%

15%

24%

11%

19%

16%

19%

15%

15%

19%

14%

7%

20%

17%

21%

Strongly disapprove

42%

43%

79%

8%

40%

35%

80%

5%

38%

82%

7%

30%

45%

40%

36%

38%

46%

48%

34%

38%

45%

48%

47%

16%

33%

39%

48%

15%

56%

57%

45%

19%

19%

22%

-

42%

-

-

42%

42%

8%

32%

78%

41%

43%

40%

32%

55%

43%

33%

62%

36%

31%

50%

NET DISAPPROVE

59%

59%

92%

26%

62%

56%

93%

25%

66%

92%

24%

71%

59%

59%

59%

60%

62%

57%

59%

59%

62%

57%

63%

36%

57%

61%

63%

36%

63%

71%

63%

36%

53%

53%

-

59%

-

-

62%

55%

23%

56%

89%

60%

59%

59%

47%

70%

61%

47%

69%

56%

48%

71%

Unsure/Don't know

4%

2%

1%

2%

7%

30%

2%

3%

25%

1%

2%

22%

2%

5%

9%

4%

2%

0%

11%

5%

2%

0%

3%

7%

8%

7%

2%

8%

0%

0%

4%

4%

13%

13%

-

4%

-

-

5%

1%

2%

6%

2%

4%

2%

3%

5%

4%

2%

4%

2%

5%

6%

5%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

TQVP: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kamala Harris is doing as Vice President of the United States?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

44%

45%

9%

84%

38%

23%

6%

86%

13%

8%

83%

19%

44%

43%

43%

45%

42%

46%

42%

45%

43%

46%

39%

75%

48%

39%

39%

77%

44%

37%

39%

73%

51%

41%

-

44%

-

-

42%

47%

85%

47%

11%

45%

44%

46%

55%

32%

44%

56%

32%

47%

54%

31%

Strongly approve

24%

25%

3%

53%

11%

3%

2%

49%

1%

2%

50%

0%

24%

23%

21%

23%

22%

28%

21%

22%

22%

28%

21%

45%

26%

15%

21%

43%

29%

13%

20%

47%

24%

17%

-

24%

-

-

23%

24%

54%

22%

4%

24%

23%

24%

31%

17%

23%

31%

19%

25%

32%

16%

Somewhat approve

20%

20%

6%

31%

26%

20%

4%

38%

12%

6%

33%

19%

20%

20%

21%

22%

21%

17%

21%

23%

20%

17%

18%

30%

23%

24%

18%

34%

15%

24%

19%

26%

27%

24%

-

20%

-

-

19%

23%

32%

24%

7%

20%

20%

22%

24%

14%

21%

25%

13%

23%

22%

16%

Somewhat disapprove

11%

10%

12%

7%

17%

12%

13%

8%

25%

10%

9%

26%

9%

14%

16%

15%

10%

4%

18%

15%

11%

4%

11%

5%

15%

18%

10%

7%

7%

7%

13%

4%

20%

28%

-

11%

-

-

13%

8%

6%

16%

9%

12%

11%

13%

12%

9%

12%

8%

4%

14%

15%

12%

Strongly disapprove

40%

41%

78%

4%

36%

31%

80%

1%

33%

80%

5%

29%

44%

35%

31%

34%

43%

49%

29%

33%

43%

49%

45%

13%

26%

33%

48%

10%

49%

56%

42%

17%

11%

11%

-

40%

-

-

38%

42%

7%

28%

77%

37%

42%

37%

27%

54%

42%

31%

61%

32%

23%

48%

NET DISAPPROVE

51%

52%

90%

11%

53%

43%

92%

9%

58%

90%

14%

55%

53%

49%

47%

49%

54%

53%

47%

48%

53%

53%

56%

19%

41%

51%

58%

17%

56%

63%

55%

21%

31%

40%

-

51%

-

-

51%

50%

12%

44%

86%

49%

52%

50%

39%

62%

54%

39%

65%

46%

38%

60%

Unsure/Don't know

5%

3%

2%

4%

9%

34%

2%

5%

30%

2%

3%

26%

3%

8%

10%

7%

4%

1%

11%

7%

4%

1%

4%

6%

11%

10%

3%

6%

0%

0%

6%

6%

18%

19%

-

5%

-

-

7%

3%

2%

9%

3%

6%

4%

4%

6%

6%

2%

5%

3%

7%

8%

9%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

TQGov: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Gretchen Whitmer is doing as Governor of Michigan?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

TOP 2 BOX

52%

54%

20%

86%

51%

34%

20%

87%

27%

19%

88%

41%

51%

53%

49%

52%

53%

54%

47%

52%

53%

54%

48%

75%

57%

52%

48%

74%

50%

40%

49%

77%

61%

62%

-

52%

-

-

50%

56%

88%

57%

21%

54%

51%

56%

59%

40%

53%

59%

37%

58%

60%

41%

Strongly approve

31%

34%

5%

62%

25%

12%

5%

61%

7%

5%

64%

5%

29%

33%

27%

26%

34%

38%

27%

25%

33%

38%

28%

53%

33%

30%

25%

52%

32%

24%

30%

55%

34%

35%

-

31%

-

-

30%

34%

65%

31%

7%

32%

31%

34%

35%

23%

31%

31%

24%

37%

41%

23%

Somewhat approve

21%

20%

15%

24%

27%

22%

15%

27%

20%

13%

24%

35%

22%

20%

23%

26%

19%

15%

21%

27%

20%

15%

20%

22%

24%

22%

22%

22%

18%

16%

19%

22%

27%

28%

-

21%

-

-

20%

22%

23%

26%

13%

22%

20%

22%

24%

16%

22%

29%

13%

22%

19%

19%

Somewhat disapprove

13%

12%

19%

6%

14%

16%

19%

6%

19%

18%

7%

8%

13%

13%

15%

16%

10%

10%

16%

15%

12%

10%

14%

8%

17%

9%

13%

11%

21%

4%

14%

5%

15%

14%

-

13%

-

-

13%

13%

4%

14%

17%

12%

14%

13%

10%

14%

14%

10%

11%

12%

10%

16%

Strongly disapprove

29%

30%

58%

3%

24%

12%

57%

2%

22%

61%

3%

30%

32%

26%

21%

24%

33%

35%

20%

24%

31%

35%

33%

7%

15%

25%

35%

5%

30%

48%

31%

10%

6%

5%

-

29%

-

-

29%

29%

4%

18%

59%

26%

31%

26%

20%

41%

29%

22%

48%

22%

18%

36%

BOTTOM 2 BOX

41%

42%

77%

10%

37%

28%

76%

8%

40%

79%

9%

38%

44%

39%

36%

40%

43%

45%

36%

39%

43%

45%

47%

15%

32%

34%

48%

16%

50%

52%

45%

14%

21%

19%

-

41%

-

-

41%

41%

7%

33%

76%

38%

45%

39%

30%

55%

43%

32%

59%

34%

28%

52%

Unsure/Don't know

7%

4%

3%

4%

11%

38%

4%

5%

33%

2%

3%

21%

5%

8%

15%

7%

4%

1%

17%

9%

4%

1%

5%

9%

11%

14%

4%

10%

0%

9%

7%

9%

18%

19%

-

7%

-

-

9%

3%

5%

10%

3%

8%

4%

5%

11%

5%

3%

9%

4%

8%

13%

6%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,864

1,668

609

776

415

64

782

965

117

648

818

30

753

1,111

404

551

504

405

254

535

670

405

1,470

266

50

78

586

121

16

30

884

145

34

48

0

1,864

0

0

1,086

778

502

792

570

1,025

796

931

427

506

395

197

161

536

230

345

<

TQCong: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is doing its job?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

27%

28%

17%

40%

23%

19%

18%

39%

9%

17%

37%

9%

28%

26%

30%

29%

29%

22%

30%

29%

30%

22%

25%

40%

28%

28%

26%

42%

22%

27%

24%

37%

32%

29%

-

27%

-

-

28%

26%

38%

28%

19%

28%

27%

25%

40%

21%

25%

45%

19%

26%

34%

22%

Strongly approve

5%

5%

2%

9%

4%

2%

2%

9%

0%

2%

8%

0%

7%

4%

10%

6%

3%

2%

10%

6%

4%

2%

4%

11%

3%

6%

6%

10%

0%