HarrisX Battleground State Poll (Nov 3-5): Michigan

This survey was administered by HarrisX among 1,864 registered voters from November 3-5, 2024 across Michigan. Respondents were recruited through opt-in, web-panel recruitment sampling. Recruitment occurs through a broad variety of professional, validated respondent panels to expand the sampling frame as wide as possible and minimize the impact of any given panel on recruiting methods.

The sampling margin of error is +/- 2.3%. Results were weighted by age, gender, race/ethnicity, political party, education, income, early vote percentage, and previous vote choice where necessary to align with actual demographic proportions amongst the population of RVs within Michigan

For further insights and data, visit elections.harrisx.com

HarrisX's Final Presidential Horserace (+Leaners)

H2bMEV: : If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for? (including Early voters choice)
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump+leaners	48.3%	48.8%	92.7%	5.6%	45.7%	44.0%	97.6%	0.7%	41.3%	93.4%	6.7%	21.5%	52.0%	44.5%	47.2%	47.0%	49.2%	49.6%	47.5%	45.5%	49.7%	49.6%	54.6%	15.8%	39.9%	39.9%	57.5%	16.6%	61.2%	56.7%	51.7%	14.7%	25.8%	24.5%	-	48.3%	-	-	48.5%	47.8%	9.2%	38.3%	88.1%	45.8%	50.3%	44.7%	40.1%	61.2%	50.5%	42.2%	65.9%	38.4%	37.5%	57.9%
Kamala Harris+leaners	48.6%	49.5%	6.7%	92.8%	44.7%	45.8%	1.3%	98.3%	29.3%	5.9%	91.6%	59.4%	44.8%	52.4%	47.7%	49.2%	47.9%	49.5%	47.2%	50.2%	47.4%	49.5%	42.6%	81.0%	55.5%	53.8%	39.7%	79.0%	31.6%	39.8%	45.5%	83.7%	71.3%	66.8%	-	48.6%	-	-	48.0%	49.7%	89.3%	55.8%	11.1%	50.6%	47.1%	52.2%	56.6%	35.7%	46.3%	53.8%	31.9%	58.7%	60.0%	38.4%
Cornel West+leaners	2.1%	1.1%	0.5%	0.9%	6.8%	5.9%	0.9%	0.6%	19.6%	0.7%	0.9%	7.7%	2.1%	2.1%	2.7%	2.7%	2.2%	0.7%	2.2%	3.3%	2.2%	0.7%	1.9%	2.0%	0.0%	5.7%	2.0%	2.3%	0.0%	3.2%	1.8%	1.6%	0.0%	8.0%	-	2.1%	-	-	2.4%	1.6%	0.7%	4.0%	0.7%	2.2%	1.9%	2.3%	1.8%	1.9%	2.4%	2.2%	1.2%	2.3%	1.3%	2.4%
Jill Stein+leaners	1.0%	0.7%	0.1%	0.7%	2.8%	4.4%	0.2%	0.5%	9.9%	0.0%	0.7%	11.3%	1.1%	1.0%	2.3%	1.1%	0.7%	0.2%	3.2%	1.0%	0.7%	0.2%	0.9%	1.2%	4.6%	0.5%	0.7%	2.1%	7.2%	0.2%	1.0%	0.0%	2.8%	0.8%	-	1.0%	-	-	1.1%	0.9%	0.8%	1.9%	0.1%	1.4%	0.7%	0.8%	1.6%	1.2%	0.9%	1.9%	0.9%	0.7%	1.2%	1.3%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

Full Poll Findings below:

QVOTE1: Have you already voted in Tuesday's 2024 elections, or have you not had the chance to yet?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Already voted	42%	49%	42%	48%	35%	16%	41%	49%	10%	44%	53%	25%	45%	39%	34%	25%	34%	74%	36%	26%	32%	74%	44%	34%	32%	46%	48%	36%	29%	48%	40%	33%	34%	45%	-	42%	-	-	35%	54%	54%	33%	44%	37%	47%	47%	36%	38%	50%	38%	43%	45%	33%	34%
Not yet	58%	51%	58%	52%	65%	84%	59%	51%	90%	56%	47%	75%	55%	61%	66%	75%	66%	26%	64%	74%	68%	26%	56%	66%	68%	54%	52%	64%	71%	52%	60%	67%	66%	55%	-	58%	-	-	65%	46%	46%	67%	56%	63%	53%	53%	64%	62%	50%	62%	57%	55%	67%	66%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

QTYPEOFVOTE: Did you mail in a ballot or did you vote early at a voting center?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Mailed in a ballot	66%	66%	55%	74%	68%	56%	55%	74%	57%	58%	76%	49%	64%	68%	48%	55%	60%	79%	46%	55%	59%	79%	66%	70%	54%	61%	64%	64%	36%	70%	68%	79%	64%	52%	-	66%	-	-	62%	70%	73%	68%	57%	66%	65%	67%	61%	67%	64%	59%	67%	70%	63%	66%
Voted early at a voting center	34%	34%	45%	26%	32%	44%	45%	26%	43%	42%	24%	51%	36%	32%	52%	45%	40%	21%	54%	45%	41%	21%	34%	30%	46%	39%	36%	36%	64%	30%	32%	21%	36%	48%	-	34%	-	-	38%	30%	27%	32%	43%	34%	35%	33%	39%	33%	36%	41%	33%	30%	37%	34%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,015	1,015	316	482	201	16	397	598	20	350	546	13	415	600	198	224	263	330	124	233	328	330	817	135	21	42	334	59	6	16	483	76	15	26	0	1,015	0	0	502	513	339	367	309	524	467	557	212	246	237	98	80	320	114	166

H2V: Who did you vote for in the 2024 presidential election?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump	44%	44%	93%	3%	39%	10%	97%	1%	0%	92%	3%	13%	50%	36%	49%	40%	42%	44%	47%	44%	41%	44%	49%	8%	31%	41%	54%	11%	66%	61%	42%	4%	12%	22%	-	44%	-	-	43%	44%	7%	30%	88%	43%	43%	40%	44%	51%	49%	48%	55%	29%	38%	47%
Kamala Harris	54%	54%	5%	97%	56%	47%	2%	98%	19%	6%	96%	10%	47%	62%	49%	58%	57%	54%	51%	53%	57%	54%	49%	91%	65%	53%	44%	88%	34%	30%	56%	95%	82%	76%	-	54%	-	-	55%	54%	93%	67%	10%	55%	54%	57%	54%	48%	48%	49%	44%	69%	61%	51%
Cornel West	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	6%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	-	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%
Jill Stein	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	5%	0%	0%	10%	0%	0%	12%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	2%	-	0%	-	-	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	2%	1%	0%	1%	0%
Someone else	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	17%	0%	0%	45%	1%	0%	41%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	4%	0%	0%	0%	9%	1%	0%	0%	0%	-	1%	-	-	0%	1%	0%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%
I did not vote in this race	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	21%	0%	0%	20%	0%	1%	23%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	4%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	6%	0%	-	1%	-	-	1%	0%	0%	2%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,015	1,015	316	482	201	16	397	598	20	350	546	13	415	600	198	224	263	330	124	233	328	330	817	135	21	42	334	59	6	16	483	76	15	26	0	1,015	0	0	502	513	339	367	309	524	467	557	212	246	237	98	80	320	114	166

QVOTETIME: Is this the first time you are voting in a presidential election?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Yes	13%	13%	11%	13%	20%	21%	14%	13%	9%	10%	6%	26%	14%	12%	49%	19%	5%	1%	52%	27%	5%	1%	10%	29%	42%	17%	12%	29%	40%	8%	7%	29%	43%	27%	-	13%	-	-	17%	9%	13%	17%	11%	13%	14%	10%	27%	10%	10%	30%	11%	11%	23%	10%
No	87%	87%	89%	87%	80%	79%	86%	87%	91%	90%	94%	74%	86%	88%	51%	81%	95%	99%	48%	73%	95%	99%	90%	71%	58%	83%	88%	71%	60%	92%	93%	71%	57%	73%	-	87%	-	-	83%	91%	87%	83%	89%	87%	86%	90%	73%	90%	90%	70%	89%	89%	77%	90%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,015	1,015	316	482	201	16	397	598	20	350	546	13	415	600	198	224	263	330	124	233	328	330	817	135	21	42	334	59	6	16	483	76	15	26	0	1,015	0	0	502	513	339	367	309	524	467	557	212	246	237	98	80	320	114	166

QDECISION1: When did you make up your mind on who you were voting for?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Today	3%	3%	2%	2%	3%	17%	3%	2%	0%	2%	2%	0%	3%	2%	7%	6%	2%	0%	7%	6%	2%	0%	2%	6%	4%	1%	2%	6%	0%	0%	2%	6%	6%	2%	-	3%	-	-	4%	1%	1%	4%	2%	3%	3%	1%	6%	3%	1%	6%	3%	2%	5%	3%
In the last week	7%	7%	4%	7%	14%	10%	7%	6%	17%	7%	6%	19%	8%	6%	19%	13%	5%	1%	19%	14%	7%	1%	7%	13%	17%	0%	7%	13%	16%	0%	6%	12%	17%	0%	-	7%	-	-	9%	5%	5%	10%	6%	7%	8%	6%	14%	4%	7%	14%	3%	5%	14%	4%
In late October	6%	6%	6%	5%	9%	7%	7%	5%	2%	7%	3%	0%	7%	5%	12%	9%	6%	3%	11%	11%	6%	3%	5%	9%	22%	4%	6%	14%	32%	1%	4%	2%	17%	7%	-	6%	-	-	7%	5%	5%	8%	5%	9%	4%	5%	13%	3%	6%	16%	2%	5%	8%	4%
In early October	7%	7%	7%	8%	7%	5%	7%	7%	4%	7%	7%	3%	7%	7%	9%	12%	5%	6%	7%	14%	5%	6%	7%	5%	9%	8%	8%	5%	0%	8%	7%	5%	13%	8%	-	7%	-	-	6%	8%	6%	10%	6%	6%	8%	6%	9%	8%	6%	7%	9%	7%	12%	6%
In September	10%	10%	6%	12%	12%	3%	6%	13%	4%	5%	12%	0%	10%	8%	11%	5%	7%	12%	12%	6%	6%	12%	10%	11%	8%	7%	10%	14%	24%	0%	9%	7%	0%	14%	-	10%	-	-	11%	8%	11%	13%	5%	9%	10%	12%	8%	6%	12%	11%	7%	12%	4%	5%
Before September	64%	64%	72%	63%	52%	50%	66%	62%	67%	69%	67%	53%	63%	66%	39%	51%	70%	77%	39%	46%	68%	77%	66%	52%	40%	69%	64%	45%	29%	91%	70%	63%	46%	48%	-	64%	-	-	59%	70%	70%	49%	73%	63%	64%	65%	49%	74%	65%	46%	72%	65%	55%	75%
Unsure/ Don't Know	3%	3%	3%	3%	5%	9%	3%	3%	5%	3%	3%	24%	2%	4%	4%	4%	6%	2%	5%	3%	5%	2%	3%	4%	0%	11%	3%	3%	0%	0%	3%	5%	0%	21%	-	3%	-	-	4%	2%	1%	5%	3%	3%	3%	4%	2%	3%	3%	1%	3%	5%	3%	4%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,015	1,015	316	482	201	16	397	598	20	350	546	13	415	600	198	224	263	330	124	233	328	330	817	135	21	42	334	59	6	16	483	76	15	26	0	1,015	0	0	502	513	339	367	309	524	467	557	212	246	237	98	80	320	114	166

QDECISION2: Would you say that you voted for change or for continuity in how the country is managed?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Change	72%	72%	91%	58%	67%	72%	92%	56%	75%	93%	55%	92%	73%	72%	78%	74%	71%	70%	79%	75%	71%	70%	71%	79%	70%	78%	70%	77%	100%	87%	72%	80%	52%	69%	-	72%	-	-	76%	68%	54%	70%	91%	76%	68%	73%	70%	71%	75%	71%	68%	71%	70%	74%
Continuity	28%	28%	9%	42%	33%	28%	8%	44%	25%	7%	45%	8%	27%	28%	22%	26%	29%	30%	21%	25%	29%	30%	29%	21%	30%	22%	30%	23%	0%	13%	28%	20%	48%	31%	-	28%	-	-	24%	32%	46%	30%	9%	24%	32%	27%	30%	29%	25%	29%	32%	29%	30%	26%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,015	1,015	316	482	201	16	397	598	20	350	546	13	415	600	198	224	263	330	124	233	328	330	817	135	21	42	334	59	6	16	483	76	15	26	0	1,015	0	0	502	513	339	367	309	524	467	557	212	246	237	98	80	320	114	166

JS2: How likely or unlikely are you to vote in the upcoming 2024 elections in November?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET: Likely Voters (T3B)	89%	100%	93%	94%	82%	44%	92%	93%	52%	96%	96%	82%	90%	88%	81%	87%	90%	99%	78%	87%	89%	99%	91%	85%	82%	85%	92%	83%	87%	89%	90%	88%	78%	81%	-	89%	-	-	85%	97%	94%	82%	95%	85%	95%	92%	85%	88%	93%	85%	89%	91%	84%	88%
NET: Likely Voters (T2B)	87%	100%	90%	92%	78%	43%	90%	90%	47%	95%	95%	78%	88%	86%	76%	84%	88%	98%	75%	82%	87%	98%	88%	82%	82%	85%	90%	79%	87%	89%	87%	86%	78%	81%	-	87%	-	-	82%	95%	93%	78%	93%	83%	92%	90%	81%	86%	92%	81%	87%	89%	81%	84%
Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections/I already voted	79%	91%	85%	84%	69%	33%	83%	82%	40%	90%	88%	69%	80%	78%	64%	73%	82%	97%	60%	74%	79%	97%	82%	70%	70%	76%	83%	66%	73%	81%	80%	75%	67%	72%	-	79%	-	-	73%	91%	88%	67%	88%	72%	88%	83%	71%	80%	83%	72%	82%	82%	70%	78%
Probably going to vote in the elections	8%	9%	6%	8%	10%	10%	7%	8%	7%	5%	7%	8%	8%	7%	13%	10%	6%	2%	14%	8%	8%	2%	7%	12%	12%	9%	7%	12%	14%	9%	6%	11%	10%	9%	-	8%	-	-	10%	4%	5%	11%	5%	11%	5%	8%	9%	6%	9%	8%	5%	6%	11%	6%
Possibly going to vote in the elections	2%	0%	2%	2%	4%	1%	2%	2%	5%	1%	2%	5%	2%	3%	4%	3%	2%	1%	3%	5%	2%	1%	3%	3%	0%	0%	2%	4%	0%	0%	3%	2%	0%	0%	-	2%	-	-	3%	1%	1%	4%	1%	2%	2%	2%	4%	3%	1%	5%	2%	2%	3%	3%
May or may not vote in the elections	3%	0%	2%	2%	7%	16%	2%	2%	18%	1%	1%	9%	4%	3%	6%	5%	2%	0%	8%	4%	3%	0%	3%	7%	2%	2%	3%	11%	0%	0%	3%	2%	3%	3%	-	3%	-	-	5%	0%	2%	6%	1%	5%	2%	3%	3%	4%	4%	3%	3%	2%	4%	5%
Possibly not going to participate in the elections	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	3%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	5%	0%	0%	0%	7%	0%	1%	2%	4%	0%	-	1%	-	-	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	0%	0%	2%	0%	1%	3%	0%
Probably not going to participate in the elections	2%	0%	2%	1%	4%	7%	2%	1%	11%	1%	0%	4%	2%	2%	5%	3%	1%	0%	5%	3%	1%	0%	1%	3%	4%	6%	1%	4%	6%	6%	2%	1%	3%	6%	-	2%	-	-	3%	1%	1%	3%	1%	3%	1%	1%	3%	3%	1%	3%	4%	2%	2%	2%
Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections	4%	0%	3%	3%	5%	30%	3%	4%	19%	1%	2%	4%	4%	5%	6%	5%	6%	0%	6%	5%	6%	0%	4%	4%	7%	7%	4%	2%	0%	5%	4%	7%	12%	9%	-	4%	-	-	5%	2%	3%	7%	2%	6%	2%	3%	7%	5%	2%	7%	5%	4%	8%	5%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

QBallot: Have you received a ballot for the 2024 presidential election or not?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Yes	25%	25%	24%	31%	20%	17%	23%	28%	25%	21%	32%	24%	28%	23%	30%	24%	21%	29%	28%	26%	22%	29%	22%	37%	25%	37%	25%	38%	26%	44%	20%	36%	25%	31%	-	25%	-	-	23%	29%	27%	26%	23%	23%	27%	29%	34%	12%	32%	39%	7%	26%	28%	16%
No	75%	75%	76%	69%	80%	83%	77%	72%	75%	79%	68%	76%	72%	77%	70%	76%	79%	71%	72%	74%	78%	71%	78%	63%	75%	63%	75%	62%	74%	56%	80%	64%	75%	69%	-	75%	-	-	77%	71%	73%	74%	77%	77%	73%	71%	66%	88%	68%	61%	93%	74%	72%	84%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	849	653	293	294	214	48	385	367	97	298	272	17	338	511	206	327	241	75	130	302	342	75	653	131	29	36	252	62	10	14	401	69	19	22	0	849	0	0	584	265	163	425	261	501	329	374	215	260	158	99	81	216	116	179

QEarly2: How do you plan to vote this year: by mail, in person before Election Day, or in person on Election Day?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
By mail	8%	7%	7%	11%	6%	11%	8%	8%	6%	6%	9%	1%	7%	9%	14%	5%	6%	11%	15%	6%	5%	11%	7%	14%	16%	2%	6%	13%	10%	0%	8%	15%	20%	4%	-	8%	-	-	9%	5%	8%	9%	6%	9%	6%	11%	8%	4%	9%	7%	2%	13%	9%	5%
In person before Election Day	13%	14%	12%	15%	14%	8%	12%	15%	8%	13%	15%	9%	13%	13%	15%	13%	12%	10%	14%	14%	12%	10%	12%	18%	17%	11%	14%	15%	8%	8%	10%	22%	23%	15%	-	13%	-	-	15%	9%	11%	14%	12%	16%	11%	13%	15%	12%	14%	13%	12%	11%	18%	11%
In person on Election Day	70%	79%	77%	71%	64%	35%	72%	71%	52%	80%	76%	79%	71%	68%	56%	74%	74%	78%	54%	69%	75%	78%	73%	57%	53%	70%	73%	59%	72%	83%	73%	54%	39%	59%	-	70%	-	-	65%	82%	76%	63%	76%	62%	80%	71%	63%	73%	74%	66%	74%	68%	60%	73%
I am not planning to vote	9%	0%	5%	4%	16%	47%	7%	6%	33%	1%	1%	11%	9%	10%	16%	9%	8%	1%	17%	10%	7%	1%	8%	11%	14%	16%	7%	13%	10%	10%	9%	9%	17%	22%	-	9%	-	-	11%	4%	4%	14%	5%	14%	3%	6%	14%	11%	4%	14%	12%	8%	13%	11%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	849	653	293	294	214	48	385	367	97	298	272	17	338	511	206	327	241	75	130	302	342	75	653	131	29	36	252	62	10	14	401	69	19	22	0	849	0	0	584	265	163	425	261	501	329	374	215	260	158	99	81	216	116	179

F1r: SUMMARY OF T2B - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region	Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Midwest	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Gretchen Whitmer	49%	51%	17%	84%	49%	29%	18%	85%	22%	16%	85%	32%	48%	51%	46%	48%	51%	52%	46%	47%	51%	52%	45%	75%	48%	54%	43%	72%	51%	46%	47%	78%	46%	62%	49%	47%	53%	86%	54%	18%	51%	49%	55%	52%	37%	53%	50%	34%	58%	56%	39%
Kamala Harris	48%	49%	8%	91%	44%	31%	6%	94%	13%	8%	88%	30%	46%	49%	48%	50%	45%	47%	48%	50%	46%	47%	42%	81%	54%	47%	41%	81%	39%	40%	44%	81%	63%	54%	48%	47%	49%	90%	52%	13%	49%	47%	51%	59%	33%	47%	58%	31%	55%	60%	35%
Donald Trump	46%	46%	87%	10%	37%	36%	90%	6%	20%	87%	9%	11%	50%	42%	45%	46%	47%	45%	44%	45%	48%	45%	51%	21%	41%	37%	54%	23%	54%	57%	48%	18%	32%	18%	46%	46%	45%	11%	37%	82%	42%	49%	42%	43%	55%	47%	48%	58%	36%	36%	53%
Elissa Slotkin	41%	44%	12%	75%	36%	9%	11%	74%	14%	13%	76%	15%	41%	40%	33%	40%	41%	48%	31%	39%	41%	48%	39%	53%	49%	36%	39%	52%	52%	36%	38%	54%	47%	36%	41%	37%	46%	77%	41%	14%	40%	42%	45%	42%	31%	45%	42%	31%	45%	43%	31%
J.D. Vance	39%	42%	74%	10%	30%	11%	74%	8%	13%	76%	11%	15%	44%	33%	28%	33%	45%	47%	28%	30%	44%	47%	44%	15%	17%	34%	50%	14%	27%	51%	38%	17%	11%	19%	39%	35%	45%	10%	25%	75%	34%	44%	37%	31%	47%	44%	34%	54%	30%	27%	42%
Tim Walz	38%	42%	9%	73%	34%	9%	8%	73%	5%	9%	75%	29%	38%	39%	33%	33%	40%	47%	30%	34%	39%	47%	37%	52%	27%	41%	36%	52%	25%	36%	37%	52%	29%	45%	38%	34%	46%	77%	39%	10%	37%	41%	44%	39%	29%	41%	38%	32%	46%	39%	27%
Joe Biden	38%	40%	6%	76%	32%	11%	5%	76%	5%	5%	77%	8%	38%	38%	33%	37%	38%	44%	32%	38%	37%	44%	35%	62%	32%	38%	36%	59%	29%	32%	34%	65%	34%	43%	38%	35%	44%	78%	39%	9%	37%	40%	40%	46%	27%	39%	45%	30%	42%	48%	26%
Mike Rogers	36%	39%	68%	10%	28%	12%	66%	9%	17%	71%	11%	24%	42%	30%	24%	35%	39%	45%	20%	33%	39%	45%	39%	17%	30%	34%	46%	15%	47%	47%	33%	19%	18%	22%	36%	32%	42%	11%	24%	68%	32%	40%	34%	31%	43%	40%	37%	51%	28%	24%	37%
Nikki Haley	29%	32%	45%	17%	29%	4%	43%	19%	11%	47%	21%	11%	36%	23%	18%	20%	33%	45%	17%	20%	31%	45%	33%	14%	20%	23%	41%	15%	37%	28%	25%	13%	9%	18%	29%	23%	40%	15%	22%	49%	24%	36%	30%	25%	32%	35%	31%	43%	24%	18%	24%
Jill Stein	12%	13%	9%	17%	12%	1%	11%	15%	5%	10%	15%	10%	13%	11%	17%	15%	8%	9%	18%	15%	10%	9%	11%	16%	17%	14%	14%	17%	10%	6%	9%	15%	21%	21%	12%	12%	12%	18%	12%	9%	12%	13%	12%	18%	8%	13%	18%	10%	11%	17%	7%
Cornel West	11%	11%	7%	14%	13%	8%	10%	13%	9%	9%	15%	0%	13%	9%	12%	13%	9%	10%	11%	13%	10%	10%	9%	21%	13%	19%	11%	21%	16%	20%	6%	20%	11%	18%	11%	10%	12%	15%	11%	8%	11%	11%	10%	19%	7%	11%	21%	9%	8%	17%	5%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	1,864	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

F1r: SUMMARY OF B2B - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region	Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Midwest	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Joe Biden	56%	56%	90%	20%	59%	45%	91%	19%	64%	91%	21%	68%	57%	54%	55%	56%	59%	54%	54%	54%	60%	54%	61%	28%	55%	53%	61%	30%	71%	64%	60%	24%	45%	43%	56%	57%	53%	19%	52%	87%	55%	57%	55%	43%	67%	59%	45%	67%	51%	41%	67%
Donald Trump	50%	51%	12%	87%	57%	33%	9%	91%	53%	12%	89%	73%	48%	53%	48%	48%	51%	54%	48%	49%	50%	54%	47%	71%	52%	56%	44%	70%	46%	43%	49%	72%	57%	68%	50%	49%	53%	86%	58%	17%	53%	49%	55%	51%	42%	51%	47%	40%	59%	55%	43%
Kamala Harris	48%	49%	88%	8%	49%	33%	90%	5%	56%	89%	11%	45%	51%	45%	43%	45%	53%	51%	41%	45%	51%	51%	54%	15%	37%	45%	56%	15%	61%	60%	52%	16%	22%	31%	48%	47%	49%	9%	41%	83%	46%	50%	45%	35%	63%	50%	37%	66%	40%	32%	60%
Mike Rogers	43%	44%	17%	70%	44%	24%	16%	71%	27%	16%	75%	39%	43%	43%	39%	38%	42%	51%	41%	38%	41%	51%	42%	53%	37%	39%	42%	51%	39%	36%	41%	56%	36%	42%	43%	41%	46%	72%	46%	18%	42%	44%	46%	42%	37%	47%	40%	37%	45%	44%	38%
Gretchen Whitmer	42%	43%	77%	10%	39%	26%	76%	9%	42%	80%	11%	44%	46%	38%	34%	43%	45%	46%	32%	41%	45%	46%	48%	12%	30%	32%	52%	12%	49%	49%	45%	10%	18%	16%	42%	41%	43%	8%	34%	76%	39%	46%	39%	31%	57%	44%	35%	64%	33%	26%	52%
J.D. Vance	42%	44%	12%	73%	43%	17%	11%	75%	30%	12%	78%	50%	41%	43%	34%	40%	43%	50%	32%	41%	42%	50%	40%	50%	49%	47%	39%	50%	60%	40%	41%	50%	42%	54%	42%	39%	47%	80%	44%	13%	41%	44%	47%	42%	33%	45%	42%	31%	49%	41%	34%
Tim Walz	40%	42%	72%	12%	37%	20%	72%	9%	35%	75%	14%	35%	46%	33%	31%	38%	43%	47%	32%	34%	43%	47%	44%	18%	33%	33%	51%	19%	55%	50%	38%	17%	18%	17%	40%	38%	44%	11%	30%	73%	38%	43%	38%	35%	47%	46%	41%	53%	29%	27%	43%
Elissa Slotkin	39%	41%	68%	12%	38%	28%	68%	11%	34%	71%	14%	54%	43%	35%	32%	37%	42%	45%	30%	36%	42%	45%	43%	20%	25%	41%	47%	20%	36%	50%	38%	21%	18%	32%	39%	36%	44%	11%	32%	68%	35%	44%	38%	31%	48%	44%	36%	49%	32%	24%	47%
Nikki Haley	32%	34%	22%	46%	30%	12%	23%	43%	22%	23%	49%	42%	35%	30%	24%	30%	35%	40%	22%	29%	34%	40%	33%	30%	23%	36%	35%	30%	35%	35%	31%	31%	16%	37%	32%	30%	37%	53%	30%	21%	32%	33%	38%	26%	28%	40%	26%	30%	35%	27%	26%
Jill Stein	29%	32%	34%	29%	26%	11%	33%	28%	17%	35%	32%	31%	36%	23%	25%	25%	30%	38%	23%	26%	29%	38%	30%	26%	26%	32%	36%	29%	50%	43%	24%	22%	10%	23%	29%	26%	35%	31%	23%	36%	28%	32%	32%	22%	31%	40%	25%	39%	23%	18%	25%
Cornel West	23%	24%	25%	23%	21%	9%	25%	22%	15%	27%	25%	37%	30%	15%	16%	21%	24%	30%	14%	21%	24%	30%	23%	21%	18%	27%	31%	22%	37%	34%	15%	19%	6%	19%	23%	21%	26%	26%	18%	26%	23%	23%	24%	20%	24%	32%	23%	35%	15%	16%	16%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	1,864	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

F1r: SUMMARY OF 'NEVER HEARD OF THEM' - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region	Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Midwest	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Cornel West	31%	30%	33%	33%	24%	38%	31%	31%	27%	30%	27%	18%	25%	37%	40%	33%	30%	22%	44%	33%	30%	22%	31%	25%	46%	27%	24%	26%	40%	23%	38%	24%	49%	31%	31%	34%	26%	30%	33%	30%	30%	31%	32%	25%	34%	26%	21%	29%	39%	29%	38%
Jill Stein	21%	19%	23%	19%	18%	30%	22%	20%	20%	21%	14%	4%	17%	25%	27%	22%	20%	14%	32%	20%	20%	14%	21%	23%	20%	14%	17%	19%	22%	12%	25%	28%	18%	16%	21%	24%	15%	17%	23%	20%	22%	19%	20%	20%	21%	18%	17%	14%	23%	24%	27%
Nikki Haley	15%	13%	13%	16%	13%	33%	15%	15%	18%	12%	11%	15%	11%	19%	29%	20%	9%	3%	32%	21%	11%	3%	13%	21%	37%	12%	8%	22%	28%	12%	18%	20%	43%	11%	15%	20%	7%	13%	19%	12%	17%	12%	12%	20%	16%	8%	19%	10%	17%	22%	21%
Tim Walz	6%	4%	5%	6%	5%	25%	6%	6%	10%	4%	2%	14%	5%	7%	13%	8%	3%	1%	15%	9%	3%	1%	5%	9%	15%	10%	4%	8%	21%	3%	6%	11%	11%	15%	6%	9%	2%	5%	9%	3%	7%	4%	5%	6%	8%	4%	5%	7%	7%	7%	8%
J.D. Vance	6%	4%	3%	7%	6%	25%	4%	7%	11%	3%	4%	8%	5%	6%	14%	8%	2%	1%	16%	8%	3%	1%	4%	13%	14%	7%	3%	13%	14%	9%	5%	12%	15%	5%	6%	8%	1%	5%	9%	3%	8%	4%	4%	10%	6%	3%	11%	5%	5%	9%	6%
Elissa Slotkin	6%	5%	7%	4%	5%	20%	7%	4%	11%	5%	2%	10%	6%	6%	14%	6%	3%	2%	18%	5%	3%	2%	5%	6%	10%	9%	4%	9%	12%	9%	6%	3%	9%	9%	6%	8%	2%	4%	7%	6%	7%	4%	5%	9%	4%	4%	8%	6%	7%	10%	3%
Mike Rogers	5%	4%	3%	7%	5%	7%	3%	6%	7%	2%	3%	4%	4%	5%	10%	5%	3%	1%	13%	5%	4%	1%	4%	9%	8%	5%	2%	10%	14%	5%	5%	7%	3%	6%	5%	6%	2%	6%	6%	3%	6%	4%	5%	6%	3%	4%	6%	2%	6%	6%	4%
Gretchen Whitmer	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	7%	2%	2%	3%	2%	1%	13%	2%	2%	5%	2%	1%	1%	6%	2%	1%	1%	2%	3%	6%	2%	2%	3%	0%	0%	2%	3%	9%	4%	2%	3%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	4%	2%	1%	4%	1%	2%	5%	2%
Kamala Harris	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	0%	2%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	1%	1%	2%	1%	0%	1%	3%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	4%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	0%	2%	2%	1%	2%	0%
Joe Biden	1%	1%	2%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	2%	0%	3%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	2%	0%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	2%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	1%	0%
Donald Trump	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	2%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	2%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	1,864	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

F1r: SUMMARY OF 'NO OPINION' - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region	Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Midwest	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Jill Stein	38%	37%	35%	35%	44%	59%	35%	37%	58%	34%	39%	55%	34%	42%	31%	39%	41%	40%	27%	39%	41%	40%	38%	35%	37%	40%	34%	35%	17%	39%	42%	35%	50%	40%	38%	38%	38%	34%	42%	36%	38%	36%	36%	40%	40%	29%	39%	37%	43%	41%	41%
Cornel West	35%	34%	35%	30%	43%	46%	34%	34%	50%	35%	33%	45%	31%	39%	33%	32%	37%	38%	31%	34%	36%	38%	37%	33%	23%	27%	34%	30%	6%	23%	40%	37%	34%	32%	35%	35%	36%	29%	38%	36%	36%	34%	34%	36%	36%	31%	35%	28%	38%	38%	41%
Nikki Haley	23%	20%	19%	21%	28%	51%	19%	23%	50%	18%	19%	33%	18%	28%	29%	30%	22%	12%	29%	31%	23%	12%	21%	34%	20%	30%	16%	33%	0%	25%	26%	36%	33%	34%	23%	27%	16%	19%	29%	18%	27%	19%	20%	28%	24%	16%	24%	16%	25%	33%	29%
Mike Rogers	17%	13%	13%	13%	23%	58%	15%	14%	48%	11%	11%	33%	12%	22%	27%	22%	16%	4%	26%	24%	17%	4%	15%	21%	25%	22%	10%	24%	0%	13%	20%	17%	42%	30%	17%	20%	10%	11%	24%	12%	21%	12%	15%	21%	16%	10%	17%	10%	21%	26%	21%
Tim Walz	16%	12%	14%	10%	24%	46%	15%	12%	50%	12%	9%	22%	11%	21%	24%	21%	14%	5%	22%	23%	15%	5%	14%	22%	25%	17%	9%	22%	0%	11%	19%	21%	42%	23%	16%	20%	9%	7%	22%	13%	18%	12%	13%	21%	16%	9%	16%	9%	18%	27%	22%
Elissa Slotkin	14%	11%	13%	9%	22%	43%	14%	11%	41%	11%	8%	21%	10%	19%	22%	17%	14%	5%	21%	20%	14%	5%	13%	20%	15%	15%	9%	19%	0%	6%	17%	22%	26%	23%	14%	18%	8%	9%	20%	12%	18%	10%	11%	18%	17%	6%	14%	15%	16%	23%	19%
J.D. Vance	14%	10%	10%	10%	21%	47%	12%	10%	46%	9%	7%	27%	9%	18%	24%	19%	9%	3%	24%	21%	11%	3%	12%	22%	19%	12%	8%	23%	0%	0%	16%	21%	32%	22%	14%	18%	6%	6%	22%	9%	18%	9%	12%	17%	14%	7%	13%	9%	16%	23%	18%
Gretchen Whitmer	6%	4%	3%	5%	10%	38%	4%	4%	34%	2%	3%	11%	5%	8%	14%	7%	4%	1%	16%	10%	3%	1%	5%	11%	16%	12%	3%	12%	0%	5%	6%	8%	26%	18%	6%	9%	3%	4%	10%	3%	8%	4%	5%	12%	5%	3%	11%	1%	8%	13%	7%
Joe Biden	5%	3%	2%	3%	9%	44%	2%	5%	30%	2%	2%	21%	3%	7%	12%	7%	3%	0%	14%	7%	4%	0%	4%	10%	13%	9%	2%	11%	0%	4%	5%	9%	21%	15%	5%	7%	2%	3%	9%	2%	7%	3%	4%	9%	5%	2%	8%	3%	6%	11%	6%
Kamala Harris	3%	2%	2%	1%	6%	36%	2%	1%	30%	2%	1%	25%	2%	5%	7%	4%	2%	1%	8%	5%	2%	1%	3%	3%	7%	8%	2%	3%	0%	0%	4%	3%	11%	15%	3%	5%	2%	1%	6%	2%	4%	2%	3%	4%	3%	2%	3%	1%	4%	6%	5%
Donald Trump	3%	2%	1%	2%	5%	31%	1%	2%	27%	1%	1%	17%	2%	4%	6%	5%	1%	0%	7%	5%	2%	0%	2%	7%	7%	7%	1%	6%	0%	0%	2%	8%	11%	14%	3%	4%	2%	1%	5%	2%	4%	2%	2%	5%	3%	1%	4%	1%	4%	7%	4%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	1,864	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

F1r1: Joe Biden - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	38%	40%	6%	76%	32%	11%	5%	76%	5%	5%	77%	8%	38%	38%	33%	37%	38%	44%	32%	38%	37%	44%	35%	62%	32%	38%	36%	59%	29%	32%	34%	65%	34%	43%	-	38%	-	-	35%	44%	78%	39%	9%	37%	40%	40%	46%	27%	39%	45%	30%	42%	48%	26%
Very favorable	18%	19%	2%	39%	11%	1%	2%	36%	2%	1%	39%	0%	19%	16%	13%	17%	17%	23%	13%	17%	17%	23%	16%	37%	8%	12%	18%	33%	7%	11%	14%	42%	9%	13%	-	18%	-	-	17%	20%	40%	17%	3%	17%	19%	17%	24%	14%	17%	26%	17%	17%	22%	11%
Favorable	20%	21%	4%	37%	20%	9%	3%	40%	4%	4%	38%	8%	19%	22%	20%	20%	21%	21%	19%	21%	20%	21%	19%	25%	23%	26%	18%	25%	22%	21%	20%	23%	24%	29%	-	20%	-	-	18%	24%	38%	22%	6%	20%	21%	23%	22%	14%	22%	18%	13%	24%	26%	15%
Unfavorable	15%	14%	13%	13%	20%	24%	12%	15%	29%	10%	14%	21%	13%	17%	20%	17%	15%	7%	19%	18%	16%	7%	15%	12%	15%	15%	13%	15%	8%	9%	17%	7%	20%	20%	-	15%	-	-	16%	12%	11%	20%	11%	15%	14%	16%	12%	15%	14%	13%	10%	18%	12%	18%
Very unfavorable	41%	43%	78%	7%	39%	21%	79%	4%	35%	81%	6%	47%	44%	38%	35%	38%	44%	46%	35%	37%	43%	46%	45%	16%	40%	38%	48%	15%	63%	55%	43%	17%	25%	23%	-	41%	-	-	41%	41%	8%	32%	76%	40%	43%	39%	31%	52%	45%	32%	57%	33%	29%	49%
NET UNFAVORABLE	56%	56%	90%	20%	59%	45%	91%	19%	64%	91%	21%	68%	57%	54%	55%	56%	59%	54%	54%	54%	60%	54%	61%	28%	55%	53%	61%	30%	71%	64%	60%	24%	45%	43%	-	56%	-	-	57%	53%	19%	52%	87%	55%	57%	55%	43%	67%	59%	45%	67%	51%	41%	67%
Never heard of them	1%	1%	2%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	2%	0%	3%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	2%	0%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	2%	0%	0%	-	1%	-	-	1%	1%	0%	0%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	1%	0%
No opinion	5%	3%	2%	3%	9%	44%	2%	5%	30%	2%	2%	21%	3%	7%	12%	7%	3%	0%	14%	7%	4%	0%	4%	10%	13%	9%	2%	11%	0%	4%	5%	9%	21%	15%	-	5%	-	-	7%	2%	3%	9%	2%	7%	3%	4%	9%	5%	2%	8%	3%	6%	11%	6%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

F1r2: Kamala Harris - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	48%	49%	8%	91%	44%	31%	6%	94%	13%	8%	88%	30%	46%	49%	48%	50%	45%	47%	48%	50%	46%	47%	42%	81%	54%	47%	41%	81%	39%	40%	44%	81%	63%	54%	-	48%	-	-	47%	49%	90%	52%	13%	49%	47%	51%	59%	33%	47%	58%	31%	55%	60%	35%
Very favorable	31%	33%	3%	70%	16%	8%	1%	65%	0%	2%	64%	8%	31%	31%	30%	30%	30%	34%	30%	29%	31%	34%	27%	61%	35%	23%	26%	61%	32%	23%	28%	61%	37%	24%	-	31%	-	-	31%	31%	70%	30%	6%	32%	31%	32%	40%	22%	29%	42%	23%	36%	37%	22%
Favorable	17%	16%	5%	21%	29%	23%	5%	29%	13%	6%	24%	22%	16%	18%	18%	21%	15%	13%	18%	22%	15%	13%	15%	20%	19%	24%	15%	20%	7%	17%	16%	19%	27%	30%	-	17%	-	-	16%	18%	20%	22%	8%	17%	16%	19%	19%	11%	19%	16%	8%	19%	23%	13%
Unfavorable	10%	9%	12%	5%	16%	15%	13%	4%	29%	11%	6%	20%	8%	12%	12%	11%	12%	5%	11%	12%	12%	5%	11%	5%	6%	15%	9%	6%	4%	12%	13%	4%	7%	17%	-	10%	-	-	10%	10%	3%	15%	9%	10%	10%	9%	10%	13%	8%	10%	7%	9%	10%	17%
Very unfavorable	38%	40%	77%	3%	33%	18%	77%	1%	27%	78%	5%	25%	42%	33%	31%	33%	41%	45%	31%	32%	40%	45%	43%	10%	32%	30%	47%	9%	57%	48%	39%	12%	15%	14%	-	38%	-	-	37%	39%	6%	27%	74%	35%	40%	37%	25%	50%	42%	26%	59%	31%	22%	43%
NET UNFAVORABLE	48%	49%	88%	8%	49%	33%	90%	5%	56%	89%	11%	45%	51%	45%	43%	45%	53%	51%	41%	45%	51%	51%	54%	15%	37%	45%	56%	15%	61%	60%	52%	16%	22%	31%	-	48%	-	-	47%	49%	9%	41%	83%	46%	50%	45%	35%	63%	50%	37%	66%	40%	32%	60%
Never heard of them	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	0%	2%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	1%	1%	2%	1%	0%	1%	3%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	4%	0%	-	1%	-	-	1%	0%	0%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	0%	2%	2%	1%	2%	0%
No opinion	3%	2%	2%	1%	6%	36%	2%	1%	30%	2%	1%	25%	2%	5%	7%	4%	2%	1%	8%	5%	2%	1%	3%	3%	7%	8%	2%	3%	0%	0%	4%	3%	11%	15%	-	3%	-	-	5%	2%	1%	6%	2%	4%	2%	3%	4%	3%	2%	3%	1%	4%	6%	5%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

F1r3: Donald Trump - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	46%	46%	87%	10%	37%	36%	90%	6%	20%	87%	9%	11%	50%	42%	45%	46%	47%	45%	44%	45%	48%	45%	51%	21%	41%	37%	54%	23%	54%	57%	48%	18%	32%	18%	-	46%	-	-	46%	45%	11%	37%	82%	42%	49%	42%	43%	55%	47%	48%	58%	36%	36%	53%
Very favorable	27%	30%	58%	4%	17%	9%	58%	2%	2%	59%	3%	3%	30%	25%	26%	27%	26%	30%	27%	27%	26%	30%	32%	9%	12%	16%	34%	8%	15%	27%	30%	9%	11%	6%	-	27%	-	-	29%	24%	6%	17%	55%	26%	28%	25%	23%	36%	28%	25%	39%	21%	21%	34%
Favorable	18%	17%	29%	6%	20%	27%	33%	4%	18%	28%	6%	8%	20%	17%	19%	19%	21%	14%	18%	18%	22%	14%	19%	12%	28%	21%	19%	15%	39%	30%	18%	9%	21%	12%	-	18%	-	-	17%	21%	5%	19%	27%	16%	21%	17%	20%	19%	19%	23%	19%	15%	16%	19%
Unfavorable	9%	8%	6%	9%	16%	9%	7%	10%	22%	6%	9%	4%	9%	10%	12%	11%	8%	6%	12%	13%	8%	6%	9%	13%	11%	6%	9%	13%	7%	0%	9%	14%	14%	12%	-	9%	-	-	11%	7%	7%	13%	7%	11%	8%	8%	11%	10%	8%	8%	11%	9%	13%	9%
Very unfavorable	41%	43%	6%	78%	41%	24%	2%	81%	31%	6%	79%	68%	39%	43%	36%	37%	44%	48%	36%	36%	42%	48%	38%	58%	41%	50%	35%	58%	39%	43%	40%	58%	43%	56%	-	41%	-	-	38%	46%	79%	45%	10%	42%	41%	47%	40%	32%	43%	39%	29%	51%	42%	33%
NET UNFAVORABLE	50%	51%	12%	87%	57%	33%	9%	91%	53%	12%	89%	73%	48%	53%	48%	48%	51%	54%	48%	49%	50%	54%	47%	71%	52%	56%	44%	70%	46%	43%	49%	72%	57%	68%	-	50%	-	-	49%	53%	86%	58%	17%	53%	49%	55%	51%	42%	51%	47%	40%	59%	55%	43%
Never heard of them	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	2%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	2%	0%	0%	-	1%	-	-	1%	0%	2%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%
No opinion	3%	2%	1%	2%	5%	31%	1%	2%	27%	1%	1%	17%	2%	4%	6%	5%	1%	0%	7%	5%	2%	0%	2%	7%	7%	7%	1%	6%	0%	0%	2%	8%	11%	14%	-	3%	-	-	4%	2%	1%	5%	2%	4%	2%	2%	5%	3%	1%	4%	1%	4%	7%	4%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

F1r4: Nikki Haley - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	29%	32%	45%	17%	29%	4%	43%	19%	11%	47%	21%	11%	36%	23%	18%	20%	33%	45%	17%	20%	31%	45%	33%	14%	20%	23%	41%	15%	37%	28%	25%	13%	9%	18%	-	29%	-	-	23%	40%	15%	22%	49%	24%	36%	30%	25%	32%	35%	31%	43%	24%	18%	24%
Very favorable	8%	9%	14%	4%	6%	2%	13%	4%	3%	14%	3%	0%	9%	7%	6%	4%	9%	13%	6%	4%	8%	13%	9%	6%	2%	5%	10%	6%	0%	6%	8%	7%	4%	4%	-	8%	-	-	7%	10%	3%	5%	15%	6%	10%	8%	7%	8%	10%	6%	10%	7%	8%	7%
Favorable	21%	23%	31%	13%	23%	3%	30%	15%	8%	33%	18%	11%	27%	16%	12%	16%	24%	32%	10%	16%	23%	32%	24%	8%	18%	18%	31%	8%	37%	22%	18%	6%	5%	14%	-	21%	-	-	16%	31%	12%	17%	33%	18%	25%	21%	18%	24%	26%	25%	33%	17%	10%	17%
Unfavorable	17%	18%	12%	21%	19%	8%	13%	21%	9%	13%	23%	29%	17%	16%	11%	16%	17%	21%	11%	15%	17%	21%	17%	15%	13%	18%	17%	17%	16%	17%	16%	13%	11%	19%	-	17%	-	-	15%	19%	23%	16%	12%	17%	17%	19%	13%	16%	21%	11%	16%	16%	15%	16%
Very unfavorable	16%	17%	11%	25%	11%	4%	10%	22%	12%	11%	26%	13%	17%	15%	13%	14%	18%	19%	11%	13%	18%	19%	16%	15%	10%	18%	18%	13%	19%	18%	15%	17%	4%	18%	-	16%	-	-	15%	18%	29%	13%	10%	15%	17%	19%	14%	12%	20%	15%	14%	18%	12%	10%
NET UNFAVORABLE	32%	34%	22%	46%	30%	12%	23%	43%	22%	23%	49%	42%	35%	30%	24%	30%	35%	40%	22%	29%	34%	40%	33%	30%	23%	36%	35%	30%	35%	35%	31%	31%	16%	37%	-	32%	-	-	30%	37%	53%	30%	21%	32%	33%	38%	26%	28%	40%	26%	30%	35%	27%	26%
Never heard of them	15%	13%	13%	16%	13%	33%	15%	15%	18%	12%	11%	15%	11%	19%	29%	20%	9%	3%	32%	21%	11%	3%	13%	21%	37%	12%	8%	22%	28%	12%	18%	20%	43%	11%	-	15%	-	-	20%	7%	13%	19%	12%	17%	12%	12%	20%	16%	8%	19%	10%	17%	22%	21%
No opinion	23%	20%	19%	21%	28%	51%	19%	23%	50%	18%	19%	33%	18%	28%	29%	30%	22%	12%	29%	31%	23%	12%	21%	34%	20%	30%	16%	33%	0%	25%	26%	36%	33%	34%	-	23%	-	-	27%	16%	19%	29%	18%	27%	19%	20%	28%	24%	16%	24%	16%	25%	33%	29%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

F1r7: Cornel West - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	11%	11%	7%	14%	13%	8%	10%	13%	9%	9%	15%	0%	13%	9%	12%	13%	9%	10%	11%	13%	10%	10%	9%	21%	13%	19%	11%	21%	16%	20%	6%	20%	11%	18%	-	11%	-	-	10%	12%	15%	11%	8%	11%	11%	10%	19%	7%	11%	21%	9%	8%	17%	5%
Very favorable	2%	2%	1%	3%	3%	2%	2%	2%	4%	2%	3%	0%	2%	2%	2%	4%	1%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	6%	2%	4%	2%	6%	5%	2%	1%	5%	0%	7%	-	2%	-	-	2%	3%	3%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	4%	1%	2%	4%	1%	2%	2%	1%
Favorable	9%	9%	6%	11%	10%	6%	8%	10%	5%	7%	12%	0%	11%	7%	10%	9%	8%	8%	10%	10%	8%	8%	7%	15%	11%	15%	9%	15%	11%	18%	5%	15%	11%	11%	-	9%	-	-	8%	10%	12%	9%	7%	9%	9%	8%	16%	5%	9%	16%	8%	6%	15%	4%
Unfavorable	12%	12%	12%	12%	12%	6%	13%	11%	10%	14%	12%	27%	16%	7%	8%	13%	11%	14%	7%	13%	11%	14%	11%	12%	11%	14%	17%	12%	23%	14%	6%	12%	4%	15%	-	12%	-	-	11%	13%	13%	9%	14%	12%	12%	12%	12%	11%	17%	14%	17%	6%	9%	8%
Very unfavorable	11%	12%	13%	11%	9%	3%	12%	11%	5%	13%	13%	10%	14%	8%	8%	9%	13%	16%	7%	8%	13%	16%	12%	8%	7%	12%	15%	10%	15%	20%	9%	7%	2%	5%	-	11%	-	-	10%	13%	12%	9%	13%	11%	12%	12%	8%	12%	15%	9%	18%	9%	7%	8%
NET UNFAVORABLE	23%	24%	25%	23%	21%	9%	25%	22%	15%	27%	25%	37%	30%	15%	16%	21%	24%	30%	14%	21%	24%	30%	23%	21%	18%	27%	31%	22%	37%	34%	15%	19%	6%	19%	-	23%	-	-	21%	26%	26%	18%	26%	23%	23%	24%	20%	24%	32%	23%	35%	15%	16%	16%
Never heard of them	31%	30%	33%	33%	24%	38%	31%	31%	27%	30%	27%	18%	25%	37%	40%	33%	30%	22%	44%	33%	30%	22%	31%	25%	46%	27%	24%	26%	40%	23%	38%	24%	49%	31%	-	31%	-	-	34%	26%	30%	33%	30%	30%	31%	32%	25%	34%	26%	21%	29%	39%	29%	38%
No opinion	35%	34%	35%	30%	43%	46%	34%	34%	50%	35%	33%	45%	31%	39%	33%	32%	37%	38%	31%	34%	36%	38%	37%	33%	23%	27%	34%	30%	6%	23%	40%	37%	34%	32%	-	35%	-	-	35%	36%	29%	38%	36%	36%	34%	34%	36%	36%	31%	35%	28%	38%	38%	41%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

F1r8: Jill Stein - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	12%	13%	9%	17%	12%	1%	11%	15%	5%	10%	15%	10%	13%	11%	17%	15%	8%	9%	18%	15%	10%	9%	11%	16%	17%	14%	14%	17%	10%	6%	9%	15%	21%	21%	-	12%	-	-	12%	12%	18%	12%	9%	12%	13%	12%	18%	8%	13%	18%	10%	11%	17%	7%
Very favorable	3%	3%	1%	5%	2%	0%	2%	4%	2%	2%	3%	0%	3%	3%	6%	2%	1%	1%	7%	2%	2%	1%	2%	6%	2%	5%	2%	6%	0%	5%	2%	6%	4%	4%	-	3%	-	-	3%	2%	4%	3%	1%	3%	2%	3%	4%	2%	2%	4%	2%	3%	5%	1%
Favorable	10%	10%	8%	12%	10%	1%	9%	11%	3%	8%	12%	10%	11%	8%	11%	12%	7%	8%	11%	13%	8%	8%	9%	10%	14%	9%	12%	11%	10%	1%	7%	8%	17%	16%	-	10%	-	-	9%	10%	14%	9%	7%	9%	11%	10%	14%	6%	11%	14%	8%	8%	12%	6%
Unfavorable	14%	14%	15%	12%	14%	9%	16%	12%	10%	17%	13%	10%	17%	11%	12%	14%	14%	14%	11%	15%	13%	14%	14%	14%	10%	15%	16%	17%	18%	18%	11%	12%	4%	11%	-	14%	-	-	12%	16%	11%	11%	18%	14%	14%	14%	11%	15%	17%	14%	18%	10%	8%	13%
Very unfavorable	16%	17%	18%	17%	12%	2%	17%	16%	7%	18%	18%	21%	20%	12%	12%	11%	16%	23%	12%	11%	16%	23%	16%	12%	17%	18%	20%	13%	33%	25%	13%	11%	6%	12%	-	16%	-	-	14%	18%	20%	12%	17%	14%	18%	18%	11%	16%	23%	12%	21%	13%	11%	12%
NET UNFAVORABLE	29%	32%	34%	29%	26%	11%	33%	28%	17%	35%	32%	31%	36%	23%	25%	25%	30%	38%	23%	26%	29%	38%	30%	26%	26%	32%	36%	29%	50%	43%	24%	22%	10%	23%	-	29%	-	-	26%	35%	31%	23%	36%	28%	32%	32%	22%	31%	40%	25%	39%	23%	18%	25%
Never heard of them	21%	19%	23%	19%	18%	30%	22%	20%	20%	21%	14%	4%	17%	25%	27%	22%	20%	14%	32%	20%	20%	14%	21%	23%	20%	14%	17%	19%	22%	12%	25%	28%	18%	16%	-	21%	-	-	24%	15%	17%	23%	20%	22%	19%	20%	20%	21%	18%	17%	14%	23%	24%	27%
No opinion	38%	37%	35%	35%	44%	59%	35%	37%	58%	34%	39%	55%	34%	42%	31%	39%	41%	40%	27%	39%	41%	40%	38%	35%	37%	40%	34%	35%	17%	39%	42%	35%	50%	40%	-	38%	-	-	38%	38%	34%	42%	36%	38%	36%	36%	40%	40%	29%	39%	37%	43%	41%	41%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

F1r10: J.D. Vance - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	39%	42%	74%	10%	30%	11%	74%	8%	13%	76%	11%	15%	44%	33%	28%	33%	45%	47%	28%	30%	44%	47%	44%	15%	17%	34%	50%	14%	27%	51%	38%	17%	11%	19%	-	39%	-	-	35%	45%	10%	25%	75%	34%	44%	37%	31%	47%	44%	34%	54%	30%	27%	42%
Very favorable	20%	22%	42%	2%	13%	2%	41%	1%	2%	45%	3%	0%	20%	19%	11%	15%	22%	29%	11%	12%	22%	29%	24%	4%	3%	12%	25%	2%	4%	18%	23%	7%	2%	7%	-	20%	-	-	18%	22%	2%	9%	45%	16%	22%	18%	13%	28%	19%	15%	30%	17%	11%	26%
Favorable	19%	20%	32%	8%	17%	9%	33%	6%	11%	31%	9%	15%	24%	14%	18%	18%	24%	17%	18%	18%	22%	17%	20%	11%	15%	22%	25%	12%	23%	33%	16%	10%	10%	12%	-	19%	-	-	16%	24%	8%	16%	31%	18%	21%	19%	17%	20%	26%	19%	24%	13%	15%	17%
Unfavorable	12%	12%	6%	15%	15%	9%	7%	16%	14%	6%	16%	24%	11%	12%	11%	12%	12%	11%	11%	12%	12%	11%	9%	17%	21%	19%	9%	16%	32%	15%	10%	19%	14%	23%	-	12%	-	-	13%	9%	15%	14%	6%	13%	10%	12%	14%	9%	10%	16%	7%	13%	13%	10%
Very unfavorable	30%	32%	6%	58%	28%	9%	4%	59%	16%	6%	62%	26%	30%	31%	22%	27%	32%	39%	20%	28%	30%	39%	30%	33%	27%	28%	30%	34%	28%	25%	31%	31%	27%	31%	-	30%	-	-	26%	38%	65%	30%	6%	28%	34%	35%	28%	24%	35%	27%	24%	36%	28%	24%
NET UNFAVORABLE	42%	44%	12%	73%	43%	17%	11%	75%	30%	12%	78%	50%	41%	43%	34%	40%	43%	50%	32%	41%	42%	50%	40%	50%	49%	47%	39%	50%	60%	40%	41%	50%	42%	54%	-	42%	-	-	39%	47%	80%	44%	13%	41%	44%	47%	42%	33%	45%	42%	31%	49%	41%	34%
Never heard of them	6%	4%	3%	7%	6%	25%	4%	7%	11%	3%	4%	8%	5%	6%	14%	8%	2%	1%	16%	8%	3%	1%	4%	13%	14%	7%	3%	13%	14%	9%	5%	12%	15%	5%	-	6%	-	-	8%	1%	5%	9%	3%	8%	4%	4%	10%	6%	3%	11%	5%	5%	9%	6%
No opinion	14%	10%	10%	10%	21%	47%	12%	10%	46%	9%	7%	27%	9%	18%	24%	19%	9%	3%	24%	21%	11%	3%	12%	22%	19%	12%	8%	23%	0%	0%	16%	21%	32%	22%	-	14%	-	-	18%	6%	6%	22%	9%	18%	9%	12%	17%	14%	7%	13%	9%	16%	23%	18%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

F1r19: Tim Walz - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	38%	42%	9%	73%	34%	9%	8%	73%	5%	9%	75%	29%	38%	39%	33%	33%	40%	47%	30%	34%	39%	47%	37%	52%	27%	41%	36%	52%	25%	36%	37%	52%	29%	45%	-	38%	-	-	34%	46%	77%	39%	10%	37%	41%	44%	39%	29%	41%	38%	32%	46%	39%	27%
Very favorable	21%	23%	2%	45%	13%	4%	2%	42%	0%	2%	45%	4%	21%	20%	16%	16%	22%	29%	14%	17%	20%	29%	20%	31%	17%	16%	20%	31%	17%	13%	19%	31%	18%	19%	-	21%	-	-	19%	24%	51%	18%	3%	19%	23%	24%	19%	16%	23%	21%	17%	24%	18%	16%
Favorable	18%	19%	7%	28%	21%	5%	6%	31%	5%	7%	30%	25%	17%	18%	17%	17%	18%	18%	16%	17%	19%	18%	17%	21%	10%	24%	16%	20%	8%	23%	18%	21%	11%	26%	-	18%	-	-	16%	21%	26%	21%	8%	17%	18%	20%	19%	12%	18%	17%	15%	22%	22%	11%
Unfavorable	12%	11%	17%	6%	13%	10%	17%	6%	18%	16%	8%	17%	13%	11%	12%	16%	13%	6%	14%	15%	13%	6%	12%	8%	19%	11%	13%	7%	36%	14%	11%	9%	8%	8%	-	12%	-	-	12%	12%	5%	12%	16%	12%	12%	10%	16%	12%	12%	19%	10%	8%	13%	13%
Very unfavorable	28%	31%	54%	6%	24%	10%	55%	4%	17%	59%	6%	18%	33%	23%	19%	22%	30%	41%	19%	19%	30%	41%	32%	10%	13%	22%	38%	12%	18%	35%	27%	8%	10%	10%	-	28%	-	-	26%	32%	5%	17%	58%	26%	31%	28%	19%	36%	34%	23%	43%	21%	14%	30%
NET UNFAVORABLE	40%	42%	72%	12%	37%	20%	72%	9%	35%	75%	14%	35%	46%	33%	31%	38%	43%	47%	32%	34%	43%	47%	44%	18%	33%	33%	51%	19%	55%	50%	38%	17%	18%	17%	-	40%	-	-	38%	44%	11%	30%	73%	38%	43%	38%	35%	47%	46%	41%	53%	29%	27%	43%
Never heard of them	6%	4%	5%	6%	5%	25%	6%	6%	10%	4%	2%	14%	5%	7%	13%	8%	3%	1%	15%	9%	3%	1%	5%	9%	15%	10%	4%	8%	21%	3%	6%	11%	11%	15%	-	6%	-	-	9%	2%	5%	9%	3%	7%	4%	5%	6%	8%	4%	5%	7%	7%	7%	8%
No opinion	16%	12%	14%	10%	24%	46%	15%	12%	50%	12%	9%	22%	11%	21%	24%	21%	14%	5%	22%	23%	15%	5%	14%	22%	25%	17%	9%	22%	0%	11%	19%	21%	42%	23%	-	16%	-	-	20%	9%	7%	22%	13%	18%	12%	13%	21%	16%	9%	16%	9%	18%	27%	22%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

F1r23: Elissa Slotkin - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	41%	44%	12%	75%	36%	9%	11%	74%	14%	13%	76%	15%	41%	40%	33%	40%	41%	48%	31%	39%	41%	48%	39%	53%	49%	36%	39%	52%	52%	36%	38%	54%	47%	36%	-	41%	-	-	37%	46%	77%	41%	14%	40%	42%	45%	42%	31%	45%	42%	31%	45%	43%	31%
Very favorable	19%	21%	2%	42%	11%	2%	2%	38%	2%	2%	42%	5%	20%	18%	14%	15%	19%	28%	14%	14%	19%	28%	18%	33%	15%	13%	19%	31%	21%	12%	17%	35%	12%	13%	-	19%	-	-	17%	23%	45%	17%	4%	19%	20%	21%	20%	15%	21%	21%	17%	21%	19%	13%
Favorable	22%	23%	10%	33%	25%	7%	9%	35%	12%	11%	34%	9%	21%	22%	19%	25%	22%	20%	18%	25%	22%	20%	21%	20%	34%	23%	20%	21%	31%	23%	21%	19%	35%	23%	-	22%	-	-	20%	24%	32%	25%	10%	22%	22%	24%	22%	16%	24%	21%	14%	24%	24%	18%
Unfavorable	16%	16%	22%	8%	20%	15%	23%	9%	18%	22%	10%	33%	16%	16%	15%	19%	17%	13%	15%	18%	17%	13%	17%	9%	16%	15%	17%	10%	27%	7%	17%	9%	8%	22%	-	16%	-	-	15%	18%	8%	17%	21%	15%	17%	15%	13%	20%	16%	16%	17%	14%	9%	22%
Very unfavorable	23%	25%	46%	4%	18%	13%	45%	2%	16%	49%	4%	21%	27%	19%	16%	18%	25%	32%	15%	18%	25%	32%	26%	11%	9%	26%	30%	10%	9%	43%	22%	12%	10%	10%	-	23%	-	-	21%	27%	3%	15%	47%	20%	27%	23%	18%	28%	28%	21%	32%	17%	15%	25%
NET UNFAVORABLE	39%	41%	68%	12%	38%	28%	68%	11%	34%	71%	14%	54%	43%	35%	32%	37%	42%	45%	30%	36%	42%	45%	43%	20%	25%	41%	47%	20%	36%	50%	38%	21%	18%	32%	-	39%	-	-	36%	44%	11%	32%	68%	35%	44%	38%	31%	48%	44%	36%	49%	32%	24%	47%
Never heard of them	6%	5%	7%	4%	5%	20%	7%	4%	11%	5%	2%	10%	6%	6%	14%	6%	3%	2%	18%	5%	3%	2%	5%	6%	10%	9%	4%	9%	12%	9%	6%	3%	9%	9%	-	6%	-	-	8%	2%	4%	7%	6%	7%	4%	5%	9%	4%	4%	8%	6%	7%	10%	3%
No opinion	14%	11%	13%	9%	22%	43%	14%	11%	41%	11%	8%	21%	10%	19%	22%	17%	14%	5%	21%	20%	14%	5%	13%	20%	15%	15%	9%	19%	0%	6%	17%	22%	26%	23%	-	14%	-	-	18%	8%	9%	20%	12%	18%	10%	11%	18%	17%	6%	14%	15%	16%	23%	19%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

F1r24: Mike Rogers - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	36%	39%	68%	10%	28%	12%	66%	9%	17%	71%	11%	24%	42%	30%	24%	35%	39%	45%	20%	33%	39%	45%	39%	17%	30%	34%	46%	15%	47%	47%	33%	19%	18%	22%	-	36%	-	-	32%	42%	11%	24%	68%	32%	40%	34%	31%	43%	40%	37%	51%	28%	24%	37%
Very favorable	11%	12%	23%	3%	5%	1%	21%	2%	5%	24%	2%	0%	13%	9%	7%	6%	14%	17%	5%	7%	13%	17%	13%	4%	3%	6%	15%	4%	0%	7%	11%	4%	5%	5%	-	11%	-	-	11%	11%	3%	5%	24%	9%	12%	10%	9%	15%	12%	10%	18%	7%	8%	12%
Favorable	25%	27%	44%	8%	23%	11%	45%	7%	12%	46%	10%	24%	29%	21%	17%	28%	25%	28%	15%	27%	26%	28%	26%	13%	27%	28%	30%	12%	47%	39%	23%	15%	13%	17%	-	25%	-	-	22%	31%	8%	19%	44%	23%	28%	24%	22%	28%	28%	27%	34%	20%	16%	25%
Unfavorable	16%	16%	11%	19%	20%	13%	12%	20%	14%	12%	21%	12%	17%	15%	19%	14%	18%	14%	20%	15%	17%	14%	16%	16%	16%	20%	17%	15%	14%	20%	15%	17%	18%	20%	-	16%	-	-	17%	15%	17%	20%	11%	17%	16%	16%	18%	15%	17%	18%	15%	15%	18%	15%
Very unfavorable	26%	28%	5%	51%	24%	11%	4%	51%	14%	4%	54%	27%	26%	27%	20%	24%	25%	36%	21%	22%	25%	36%	26%	37%	21%	19%	25%	36%	25%	16%	27%	39%	18%	22%	-	26%	-	-	24%	31%	55%	26%	6%	25%	28%	30%	23%	23%	30%	21%	22%	30%	26%	23%
NET UNFAVORABLE	43%	44%	17%	70%	44%	24%	16%	71%	27%	16%	75%	39%	43%	43%	39%	38%	42%	51%	41%	38%	41%	51%	42%	53%	37%	39%	42%	51%	39%	36%	41%	56%	36%	42%	-	43%	-	-	41%	46%	72%	46%	18%	42%	44%	46%	42%	37%	47%	40%	37%	45%	44%	38%
Never heard of them	5%	4%	3%	7%	5%	7%	3%	6%	7%	2%	3%	4%	4%	5%	10%	5%	3%	1%	13%	5%	4%	1%	4%	9%	8%	5%	2%	10%	14%	5%	5%	7%	3%	6%	-	5%	-	-	6%	2%	6%	6%	3%	6%	4%	5%	6%	3%	4%	6%	2%	6%	6%	4%
No opinion	17%	13%	13%	13%	23%	58%	15%	14%	48%	11%	11%	33%	12%	22%	27%	22%	16%	4%	26%	24%	17%	4%	15%	21%	25%	22%	10%	24%	0%	13%	20%	17%	42%	30%	-	17%	-	-	20%	10%	11%	24%	12%	21%	12%	15%	21%	16%	10%	17%	10%	21%	26%	21%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

F1r25: Gretchen Whitmer - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	49%	51%	17%	84%	49%	29%	18%	85%	22%	16%	85%	32%	48%	51%	46%	48%	51%	52%	46%	47%	51%	52%	45%	75%	48%	54%	43%	72%	51%	46%	47%	78%	46%	62%	-	49%	-	-	47%	53%	86%	54%	18%	51%	49%	55%	52%	37%	53%	50%	34%	58%	56%	39%
Very favorable	31%	33%	5%	62%	23%	10%	4%	60%	6%	5%	62%	5%	29%	32%	26%	25%	34%	37%	26%	24%	32%	37%	27%	56%	35%	27%	24%	53%	39%	24%	29%	61%	32%	29%	-	31%	-	-	30%	31%	64%	31%	6%	33%	29%	34%	33%	22%	32%	30%	20%	37%	37%	23%
Favorable	19%	18%	13%	22%	26%	19%	13%	25%	16%	11%	24%	27%	19%	19%	20%	23%	17%	15%	19%	24%	18%	15%	19%	18%	13%	28%	19%	20%	12%	22%	18%	17%	14%	33%	-	19%	-	-	17%	22%	22%	23%	12%	17%	20%	21%	19%	15%	21%	20%	13%	21%	18%	16%
Unfavorable	12%	12%	18%	5%	12%	10%	17%	5%	21%	17%	6%	15%	12%	11%	12%	15%	10%	9%	11%	15%	11%	9%	14%	3%	10%	4%	14%	4%	15%	4%	13%	2%	7%	4%	-	12%	-	-	11%	13%	4%	12%	16%	11%	13%	11%	9%	14%	13%	9%	13%	9%	9%	15%
Very unfavorable	31%	32%	60%	5%	26%	16%	60%	4%	20%	63%	5%	29%	34%	27%	22%	28%	35%	37%	21%	26%	34%	37%	35%	8%	20%	28%	38%	9%	34%	45%	32%	8%	11%	13%	-	31%	-	-	31%	30%	4%	21%	60%	28%	33%	28%	22%	43%	31%	26%	50%	25%	17%	37%
NET UNFAVORABLE	42%	43%	77%	10%	39%	26%	76%	9%	42%	80%	11%	44%	46%	38%	34%	43%	45%	46%	32%	41%	45%	46%	48%	12%	30%	32%	52%	12%	49%	49%	45%	10%	18%	16%	-	42%	-	-	41%	43%	8%	34%	76%	39%	46%	39%	31%	57%	44%	35%	64%	33%	26%	52%
Never heard of them	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	7%	2%	2%	3%	2%	1%	13%	2%	2%	5%	2%	1%	1%	6%	2%	1%	1%	2%	3%	6%	2%	2%	3%	0%	0%	2%	3%	9%	4%	-	2%	-	-	3%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	4%	2%	1%	4%	1%	2%	5%	2%
No opinion	6%	4%	3%	5%	10%	38%	4%	4%	34%	2%	3%	11%	5%	8%	14%	7%	4%	1%	16%	10%	3%	1%	5%	11%	16%	12%	3%	12%	0%	5%	6%	8%	26%	18%	-	6%	-	-	9%	3%	4%	10%	3%	8%	4%	5%	12%	5%	3%	11%	1%	8%	13%	7%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

H1b: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican, and Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump	46%	48%	92%	6%	40%	21%	100%	0%	0%	92%	7%	3%	50%	42%	43%	46%	47%	48%	43%	45%	47%	48%	53%	13%	38%	34%	57%	12%	61%	48%	49%	13%	23%	21%	-	46%	-	-	46%	46%	9%	36%	85%	43%	49%	42%	39%	59%	47%	43%	65%	38%	33%	54%
Kamala Harris	47%	48%	6%	92%	40%	25%	0%	100%	0%	5%	90%	37%	44%	49%	47%	46%	45%	48%	46%	47%	45%	48%	41%	78%	49%	48%	39%	75%	39%	40%	44%	81%	56%	55%	-	47%	-	-	46%	48%	89%	51%	11%	48%	46%	50%	53%	35%	46%	51%	32%	55%	57%	37%
Don’t Know / Unsure	7%	4%	2%	2%	19%	54%	0%	0%	100%	3%	3%	59%	6%	8%	10%	7%	8%	4%	11%	8%	8%	4%	6%	10%	13%	19%	5%	13%	0%	12%	7%	5%	21%	24%	-	7%	-	-	8%	6%	2%	13%	4%	9%	5%	8%	8%	6%	8%	6%	3%	8%	10%	9%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

H1bL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump	52%	50%	72%	31%	47%	61%	-	-	52%	63%	50%	43%	56%	50%	58%	40%	49%	67%	64%	31%	55%	67%	54%	61%	27%	49%	50%	59%	-	74%	57%	68%	27%	37%	-	52%	-	-	50%	58%	38%	45%	86%	53%	50%	49%	58%	52%	51%	57%	80%	47%	59%	46%
Kamala Harris	48%	50%	28%	69%	53%	39%	-	-	48%	37%	50%	57%	44%	50%	42%	60%	51%	33%	36%	69%	45%	33%	46%	39%	73%	51%	50%	41%	-	26%	43%	32%	73%	63%	-	48%	-	-	50%	42%	62%	55%	14%	47%	50%	51%	42%	48%	49%	43%	20%	53%	41%	54%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	117	60	9	9	67	32	0	0	117	17	19	13	44	73	35	39	29	14	22	42	39	14	79	20	7	11	28	13	0	3	51	7	7	8	0	117	0	0	80	37	6	92	19	75	35	54	32	31	26	12	6	28	20	25

H1bM: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican, and Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump+leaners	49.9%	49.7%	93.1%	6.5%	49.3%	53.9%	100.0%	0.0%	52.1%	93.7%	8.1%	28.9%	53.5%	46.2%	49.1%	49.2%	50.7%	50.4%	49.9%	47.2%	51.5%	50.4%	55.9%	18.5%	41.6%	42.7%	58.9%	19.7%	61.2%	56.9%	53.0%	16.9%	28.7%	29.6%	-	49.9%	-	-	50.0%	49.6%	9.6%	41.6%	88.4%	47.7%	51.7%	46.2%	43.2%	61.9%	50.8%	46.6%	67.0%	41.1%	39.1%	58.2%
Kamala Harris+leaners	50.1%	50.3%	6.9%	93.5%	50.7%	46.1%	0.0%	100.0%	47.9%	6.3%	91.9%	71.1%	46.5%	53.8%	50.9%	50.8%	49.3%	49.6%	50.1%	52.8%	48.5%	49.6%	44.1%	81.5%	58.4%	57.3%	41.1%	80.4%	38.8%	43.1%	47.0%	83.1%	71.3%	70.4%	-	50.1%	-	-	50.0%	50.4%	90.4%	58.4%	11.6%	52.3%	48.3%	53.8%	56.8%	38.1%	49.2%	53.4%	33.0%	58.9%	60.9%	41.8%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

QH1DJT: Would you say your choice is more of a vote…
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
For Donald Trump	78%	77%	81%	69%	67%	74%	80%	-	52%	79%	60%	46%	75%	81%	82%	81%	75%	73%	83%	83%	75%	73%	78%	74%	69%	85%	75%	67%	63%	84%	81%	85%	78%	86%	-	78%	-	-	85%	64%	71%	78%	78%	83%	71%	74%	85%	79%	70%	86%	74%	79%	84%	83%
Against Kamala Harris	22%	23%	19%	31%	33%	26%	20%	-	48%	21%	40%	54%	25%	19%	18%	19%	25%	27%	17%	17%	25%	27%	22%	26%	31%	15%	25%	33%	37%	16%	19%	15%	22%	14%	-	22%	-	-	15%	36%	29%	22%	22%	17%	29%	26%	15%	21%	30%	14%	26%	21%	16%	17%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	844	748	571	47	192	34	782	0	62	604	59	10	371	473	185	249	230	180	118	233	313	180	747	44	19	34	320	24	10	17	427	20	9	17	0	844	0	0	505	339	44	303	497	444	378	388	165	291	184	85	102	204	80	189

QH1KH: Would you say your choice is more of a vote…
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
For Kamala Harris	72%	73%	41%	79%	55%	60%	-	74%	39%	54%	74%	55%	73%	71%	74%	77%	68%	67%	73%	77%	70%	67%	68%	87%	81%	56%	67%	88%	100%	53%	68%	86%	74%	58%	-	72%	-	-	76%	65%	76%	70%	56%	77%	66%	69%	83%	65%	67%	84%	70%	71%	82%	62%
Against Donald Trump	28%	27%	59%	21%	45%	40%	-	26%	61%	46%	26%	45%	27%	29%	26%	23%	32%	33%	27%	23%	30%	33%	32%	13%	19%	44%	33%	12%	0%	47%	32%	14%	26%	42%	-	28%	-	-	24%	35%	24%	30%	44%	23%	34%	31%	17%	35%	33%	16%	30%	29%	18%	38%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,020	920	38	729	223	30	0	965	55	44	759	20	382	638	219	302	274	225	136	302	357	225	723	222	31	44	266	97	6	13	457	125	25	31	0	1,020	0	0	581	439	458	489	73	581	418	543	262	215	211	112	59	332	150	156

LW1: Regardless of who you support, if you had to pick, who do you think is more likely to win in the presidential election in November, Kamala Harris or Donald Trump?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Kamala Harris	50%	51%	11%	89%	52%	43%	8%	93%	44%	11%	88%	61%	47%	53%	51%	50%	51%	48%	50%	51%	50%	48%	44%	80%	58%	58%	42%	80%	50%	42%	47%	80%	63%	72%	-	50%	-	-	49%	52%	86%	58%	15%	52%	48%	53%	57%	39%	49%	54%	37%	58%	61%	40%
Donald Trump	50%	49%	89%	11%	48%	57%	92%	7%	56%	89%	12%	39%	53%	47%	49%	50%	49%	52%	50%	49%	50%	52%	56%	20%	42%	42%	58%	20%	50%	58%	53%	20%	37%	28%	-	50%	-	-	51%	48%	14%	42%	85%	48%	52%	47%	43%	61%	51%	46%	63%	42%	39%	60%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

H2b: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate	45%	48%	92%	5%	40%	17%	96%	1%	10%	92%	6%	7%	49%	42%	43%	44%	47%	49%	42%	43%	47%	49%	52%	11%	39%	32%	56%	11%	61%	47%	49%	11%	25%	17%	-	45%	-	-	45%	46%	9%	34%	85%	42%	49%	42%	37%	58%	47%	40%	64%	37%	33%	54%
Kamala Harris, running as the Democratic party candidate	46%	48%	6%	92%	40%	23%	1%	97%	6%	5%	90%	43%	43%	49%	44%	46%	46%	48%	44%	46%	46%	48%	41%	79%	41%	52%	38%	76%	32%	40%	43%	83%	48%	63%	-	46%	-	-	45%	48%	88%	51%	11%	48%	45%	50%	53%	34%	45%	52%	32%	56%	54%	35%
Cornel West, running as an independent candidate	1%	1%	0%	1%	5%	0%	1%	1%	10%	1%	1%	3%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	0%	1%	3%	2%	0%	1%	2%	0%	3%	1%	2%	0%	3%	1%	2%	0%	3%	-	1%	-	-	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%
Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	0%	1%	3%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	3%	0%	0%	0%	7%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	-	0%	-	-	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Don't Know / Unsure	6%	3%	2%	2%	15%	59%	1%	1%	73%	2%	2%	44%	5%	8%	11%	7%	5%	3%	11%	9%	5%	3%	5%	8%	17%	13%	4%	11%	0%	9%	6%	4%	28%	16%	-	6%	-	-	8%	4%	2%	11%	4%	8%	4%	6%	8%	6%	6%	6%	3%	6%	12%	8%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

H2bL: Between the four choices, which way do you lean right now?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate	45%	42%	69%	35%	38%	48%	90%	0%	44%	60%	38%	33%	52%	39%	40%	44%	51%	50%	49%	30%	55%	50%	43%	58%	10%	65%	44%	51%	-	100%	43%	85%	10%	46%	-	45%	-	-	43%	50%	32%	35%	84%	44%	45%	43%	40%	52%	57%	30%	75%	25%	46%	47%
Kamala Harris, running as the Democratic party candidate	35%	44%	22%	56%	32%	36%	0%	100%	32%	31%	56%	38%	24%	42%	32%	42%	31%	33%	23%	50%	29%	33%	33%	22%	79%	17%	29%	24%	-	0%	35%	15%	79%	26%	-	35%	-	-	34%	36%	48%	41%	6%	32%	39%	35%	42%	27%	23%	40%	0%	49%	43%	33%
Cornel West, running as an independent candidate	12%	9%	9%	9%	14%	10%	10%	0%	13%	9%	6%	10%	12%	12%	17%	5%	9%	17%	12%	11%	9%	17%	14%	5%	0%	18%	16%	7%	-	0%	13%	0%	0%	28%	-	12%	-	-	13%	8%	7%	13%	10%	13%	7%	17%	6%	9%	14%	9%	5%	21%	4%	9%
Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate	9%	5%	0%	0%	15%	6%	0%	0%	11%	0%	0%	19%	11%	8%	12%	9%	8%	0%	15%	8%	7%	0%	9%	15%	10%	0%	10%	19%	-	0%	9%	0%	10%	0%	-	9%	-	-	10%	6%	13%	11%	0%	11%	9%	5%	12%	13%	6%	21%	19%	5%	7%	11%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	102	42	9	9	51	33	11	7	84	13	13	9	38	64	34	38	21	9	24	40	29	9	69	16	9	8	25	11	0	2	44	5	9	6	0	102	0	0	75	27	8	76	18	68	27	44	28	30	22	10	6	22	18	24

H2bM: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump+leaners	48%	49%	93%	6%	45%	45%	98%	1%	41%	93%	7%	22%	52%	45%	47%	47%	49%	50%	48%	45%	50%	50%	55%	16%	41%	40%	58%	17%	61%	57%	52%	15%	28%	24%	-	48%	-	-	49%	48%	9%	38%	88%	46%	50%	45%	40%	62%	51%	42%	66%	38%	38%	58%
Kamala Harris+leaners	48%	49%	7%	93%	44%	44%	1%	98%	29%	6%	91%	59%	45%	52%	47%	49%	48%	49%	47%	50%	47%	49%	42%	81%	54%	54%	40%	79%	32%	40%	45%	84%	69%	67%	-	48%	-	-	48%	50%	89%	55%	11%	50%	47%	52%	56%	36%	46%	54%	32%	59%	59%	38%
Cornel West+leaners	2%	1%	1%	1%	7%	6%	1%	1%	20%	1%	1%	8%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	1%	2%	4%	2%	1%	2%	2%	0%	6%	2%	2%	0%	3%	2%	2%	0%	8%	-	2%	-	-	2%	2%	1%	4%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%
Jill Stein+leaners	1%	1%	0%	1%	3%	4%	0%	1%	10%	0%	1%	11%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	3%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	5%	0%	1%	2%	7%	0%	1%	0%	3%	1%	-	1%	-	-	1%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

HORSE0501: Have you made up your mind on who you will vote for in the 2024 presidential election or are you still weighing the choices?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Have made up my mind	87%	92%	93%	93%	71%	38%	91%	94%	16%	93%	92%	46%	88%	85%	79%	82%	87%	97%	78%	83%	85%	97%	88%	84%	78%	75%	90%	81%	87%	87%	87%	87%	71%	64%	-	87%	-	-	84%	91%	96%	77%	92%	84%	90%	88%	83%	87%	87%	86%	93%	89%	79%	82%
Still weighing the choices	13%	8%	7%	7%	29%	62%	9%	6%	84%	7%	8%	54%	12%	15%	21%	18%	13%	3%	22%	17%	15%	3%	12%	16%	22%	25%	10%	19%	13%	13%	13%	13%	29%	36%	-	13%	-	-	16%	9%	4%	23%	8%	16%	10%	12%	17%	13%	13%	14%	7%	11%	21%	18%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

S1bMI: If the 2024 election for senate in Michigan were held today and it was between Mike Rogers, the Republican, and Elissa Slotkin, the Democrat, who would you vote for?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Mike Rogers	39%	43%	80%	5%	31%	15%	78%	4%	21%	81%	7%	31%	44%	34%	29%	37%	42%	48%	27%	35%	41%	48%	45%	12%	25%	36%	50%	12%	39%	46%	39%	13%	15%	27%	-	39%	-	-	37%	44%	7%	26%	79%	37%	42%	38%	28%	50%	46%	29%	57%	31%	28%	44%
Elissa Slotkin	44%	47%	8%	84%	39%	20%	7%	85%	11%	9%	84%	20%	43%	44%	41%	42%	43%	48%	40%	42%	43%	48%	40%	65%	49%	38%	40%	62%	54%	36%	40%	69%	46%	40%	-	44%	-	-	41%	48%	85%	46%	12%	43%	45%	47%	48%	33%	46%	50%	31%	49%	45%	35%
Don't know/Unsure	17%	11%	12%	11%	29%	66%	15%	12%	68%	10%	9%	49%	12%	22%	30%	22%	15%	3%	33%	22%	16%	3%	15%	23%	26%	25%	10%	26%	7%	17%	20%	18%	39%	33%	-	17%	-	-	22%	8%	8%	28%	10%	20%	12%	14%	24%	17%	9%	21%	12%	20%	27%	21%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

MI1bL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Mike Rogers	55%	55%	82%	41%	43%	57%	75%	31%	54%	84%	35%	52%	57%	54%	46%	65%	60%	42%	46%	58%	63%	42%	59%	36%	55%	58%	62%	39%	0%	99%	57%	30%	62%	38%	-	55%	-	-	54%	59%	38%	54%	68%	48%	64%	55%	54%	56%	62%	52%	60%	52%	56%	54%
Elissa Slotkin	45%	45%	18%	59%	57%	43%	25%	69%	46%	16%	65%	48%	43%	46%	54%	35%	40%	58%	54%	42%	37%	58%	41%	64%	45%	42%	38%	61%	100%	1%	43%	70%	38%	62%	-	45%	-	-	46%	41%	62%	46%	32%	52%	36%	45%	46%	44%	38%	48%	40%	48%	44%	46%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	300	185	71	76	111	42	116	101	83	67	63	13	96	204	110	113	64	13	75	119	93	13	213	54	14	19	60	30	1	5	153	24	13	14	0	300	0	0	236	64	38	204	58	195	91	124	90	86	35	39	22	89	51	64

S1bMIM: If the 2024 election for senate in Michigan were held today and it was between Mike Rogers, the Republican, and Elissa Slotkin, the Democrat, who would you vote for?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Mike Rogers + Learners	49%	48%	90%	10%	44%	52%	89%	7%	58%	89%	10%	57%	51%	46%	43%	51%	51%	50%	42%	48%	51%	50%	54%	21%	39%	51%	56%	22%	39%	63%	51%	19%	39%	39%	-	49%	-	-	49%	49%	10%	41%	85%	46%	50%	46%	41%	59%	51%	40%	64%	41%	43%	56%
Elissa Slotkin + Learners	51%	52%	10%	90%	56%	48%	11%	93%	42%	11%	90%	43%	49%	54%	57%	49%	49%	50%	58%	52%	49%	50%	46%	79%	61%	49%	44%	78%	61%	37%	49%	81%	61%	61%	-	51%	-	-	51%	51%	90%	59%	15%	54%	50%	54%	59%	41%	49%	60%	36%	59%	57%	44%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

QVOTEFACTOR: What factor was most important when casting your vote?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Candidate's position on issues	83%	85%	89%	82%	81%	60%	88%	80%	72%	89%	80%	72%	82%	84%	80%	81%	85%	87%	80%	80%	85%	87%	84%	78%	84%	79%	83%	75%	93%	83%	86%	82%	77%	75%	-	83%	-	-	82%	86%	82%	80%	88%	84%	83%	85%	78%	85%	83%	76%	87%	86%	80%	84%
Candidate's personal qualities	17%	15%	11%	18%	19%	40%	12%	20%	28%	11%	20%	28%	18%	16%	20%	19%	15%	13%	20%	20%	15%	13%	16%	22%	16%	21%	17%	25%	7%	17%	14%	18%	23%	25%	-	17%	-	-	18%	14%	18%	20%	12%	16%	17%	15%	22%	15%	17%	24%	13%	14%	20%	16%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

TQ6: Do you think the country is generally on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Right track	28%	30%	9%	52%	23%	8%	8%	52%	6%	8%	56%	14%	32%	25%	24%	26%	26%	37%	22%	27%	26%	37%	28%	40%	23%	20%	31%	44%	21%	23%	24%	35%	24%	16%	-	28%	-	-	25%	34%	57%	26%	11%	25%	33%	29%	36%	21%	33%	38%	22%	24%	34%	21%
Wrong track	60%	61%	85%	34%	62%	47%	86%	34%	60%	86%	33%	57%	60%	60%	55%	60%	65%	57%	54%	58%	65%	57%	63%	39%	55%	58%	63%	37%	61%	67%	64%	40%	51%	50%	-	60%	-	-	60%	58%	29%	57%	83%	60%	59%	61%	48%	67%	60%	50%	69%	61%	44%	66%
Unsure/Don't know	12%	9%	6%	14%	14%	46%	6%	15%	35%	5%	11%	28%	9%	16%	21%	14%	9%	6%	24%	15%	9%	6%	9%	21%	22%	22%	6%	19%	18%	10%	12%	24%	25%	34%	-	12%	-	-	15%	7%	14%	17%	5%	15%	8%	11%	16%	12%	7%	12%	9%	14%	22%	13%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

M2: In general, do you think the American economy is on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Right track	30%	32%	9%	54%	28%	15%	8%	55%	10%	7%	61%	10%	35%	25%	26%	25%	28%	42%	25%	26%	27%	42%	29%	40%	22%	25%	35%	47%	17%	29%	24%	32%	25%	22%	-	30%	-	-	25%	39%	59%	29%	10%	25%	35%	31%	35%	24%	37%	40%	26%	24%	30%	22%
Wrong track	61%	61%	87%	37%	60%	48%	87%	35%	60%	87%	32%	67%	58%	64%	60%	63%	67%	53%	59%	62%	67%	53%	63%	43%	64%	61%	60%	37%	76%	63%	67%	50%	56%	59%	-	61%	-	-	63%	57%	32%	57%	86%	62%	59%	61%	50%	69%	57%	47%	70%	65%	54%	68%
Don't know/Unsure	9%	7%	5%	10%	12%	37%	5%	10%	31%	6%	8%	22%	7%	11%	15%	12%	5%	6%	17%	12%	6%	6%	7%	17%	14%	14%	5%	16%	7%	8%	9%	17%	19%	19%	-	9%	-	-	12%	4%	9%	14%	4%	12%	5%	8%	14%	8%	6%	13%	4%	11%	16%	10%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

TQ1: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President of the United States?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET APPROVE	37%	39%	7%	73%	30%	14%	5%	73%	9%	6%	74%	6%	38%	36%	32%	35%	36%	43%	30%	36%	36%	43%	34%	58%	35%	32%	36%	56%	37%	29%	33%	60%	34%	34%	-	37%	-	-	33%	43%	74%	38%	10%	36%	39%	38%	48%	26%	37%	49%	29%	39%	45%	24%
Strongly approve	16%	17%	3%	34%	9%	5%	2%	31%	3%	2%	35%	0%	18%	14%	12%	13%	15%	22%	10%	14%	15%	22%	15%	26%	16%	11%	16%	26%	19%	12%	13%	26%	14%	10%	-	16%	-	-	13%	20%	36%	14%	3%	15%	16%	16%	20%	12%	16%	22%	15%	15%	19%	10%
Somewhat approve	21%	22%	4%	39%	22%	9%	3%	41%	6%	4%	39%	6%	21%	22%	21%	22%	21%	21%	20%	22%	21%	21%	20%	32%	19%	21%	19%	30%	18%	16%	20%	34%	20%	25%	-	21%	-	-	20%	23%	39%	23%	6%	20%	23%	23%	27%	14%	20%	27%	14%	25%	27%	14%
Somewhat disapprove	17%	16%	13%	18%	23%	21%	13%	20%	28%	11%	17%	41%	15%	20%	23%	22%	16%	9%	26%	21%	17%	9%	16%	19%	24%	23%	14%	21%	7%	14%	18%	17%	34%	31%	-	17%	-	-	19%	14%	15%	24%	11%	19%	16%	19%	15%	15%	19%	14%	7%	20%	17%	21%
Strongly disapprove	42%	43%	79%	8%	40%	35%	80%	5%	38%	82%	7%	30%	45%	40%	36%	38%	46%	48%	34%	38%	45%	48%	47%	16%	33%	39%	48%	15%	56%	57%	45%	19%	19%	22%	-	42%	-	-	42%	42%	8%	32%	78%	41%	43%	40%	32%	55%	43%	33%	62%	36%	31%	50%
NET DISAPPROVE	59%	59%	92%	26%	62%	56%	93%	25%	66%	92%	24%	71%	59%	59%	59%	60%	62%	57%	59%	59%	62%	57%	63%	36%	57%	61%	63%	36%	63%	71%	63%	36%	53%	53%	-	59%	-	-	62%	55%	23%	56%	89%	60%	59%	59%	47%	70%	61%	47%	69%	56%	48%	71%
Unsure/Don't know	4%	2%	1%	2%	7%	30%	2%	3%	25%	1%	2%	22%	2%	5%	9%	4%	2%	0%	11%	5%	2%	0%	3%	7%	8%	7%	2%	8%	0%	0%	4%	4%	13%	13%	-	4%	-	-	5%	1%	2%	6%	2%	4%	2%	3%	5%	4%	2%	4%	2%	5%	6%	5%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

TQVP: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kamala Harris is doing as Vice President of the United States?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET APPROVE	44%	45%	9%	84%	38%	23%	6%	86%	13%	8%	83%	19%	44%	43%	43%	45%	42%	46%	42%	45%	43%	46%	39%	75%	48%	39%	39%	77%	44%	37%	39%	73%	51%	41%	-	44%	-	-	42%	47%	85%	47%	11%	45%	44%	46%	55%	32%	44%	56%	32%	47%	54%	31%
Strongly approve	24%	25%	3%	53%	11%	3%	2%	49%	1%	2%	50%	0%	24%	23%	21%	23%	22%	28%	21%	22%	22%	28%	21%	45%	26%	15%	21%	43%	29%	13%	20%	47%	24%	17%	-	24%	-	-	23%	24%	54%	22%	4%	24%	23%	24%	31%	17%	23%	31%	19%	25%	32%	16%
Somewhat approve	20%	20%	6%	31%	26%	20%	4%	38%	12%	6%	33%	19%	20%	20%	21%	22%	21%	17%	21%	23%	20%	17%	18%	30%	23%	24%	18%	34%	15%	24%	19%	26%	27%	24%	-	20%	-	-	19%	23%	32%	24%	7%	20%	20%	22%	24%	14%	21%	25%	13%	23%	22%	16%
Somewhat disapprove	11%	10%	12%	7%	17%	12%	13%	8%	25%	10%	9%	26%	9%	14%	16%	15%	10%	4%	18%	15%	11%	4%	11%	5%	15%	18%	10%	7%	7%	7%	13%	4%	20%	28%	-	11%	-	-	13%	8%	6%	16%	9%	12%	11%	13%	12%	9%	12%	8%	4%	14%	15%	12%
Strongly disapprove	40%	41%	78%	4%	36%	31%	80%	1%	33%	80%	5%	29%	44%	35%	31%	34%	43%	49%	29%	33%	43%	49%	45%	13%	26%	33%	48%	10%	49%	56%	42%	17%	11%	11%	-	40%	-	-	38%	42%	7%	28%	77%	37%	42%	37%	27%	54%	42%	31%	61%	32%	23%	48%
NET DISAPPROVE	51%	52%	90%	11%	53%	43%	92%	9%	58%	90%	14%	55%	53%	49%	47%	49%	54%	53%	47%	48%	53%	53%	56%	19%	41%	51%	58%	17%	56%	63%	55%	21%	31%	40%	-	51%	-	-	51%	50%	12%	44%	86%	49%	52%	50%	39%	62%	54%	39%	65%	46%	38%	60%
Unsure/Don't know	5%	3%	2%	4%	9%	34%	2%	5%	30%	2%	3%	26%	3%	8%	10%	7%	4%	1%	11%	7%	4%	1%	4%	6%	11%	10%	3%	6%	0%	0%	6%	6%	18%	19%	-	5%	-	-	7%	3%	2%	9%	3%	6%	4%	4%	6%	6%	2%	5%	3%	7%	8%	9%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

TQGov: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Gretchen Whitmer is doing as Governor of Michigan?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
TOP 2 BOX	52%	54%	20%	86%	51%	34%	20%	87%	27%	19%	88%	41%	51%	53%	49%	52%	53%	54%	47%	52%	53%	54%	48%	75%	57%	52%	48%	74%	50%	40%	49%	77%	61%	62%	-	52%	-	-	50%	56%	88%	57%	21%	54%	51%	56%	59%	40%	53%	59%	37%	58%	60%	41%
Strongly approve	31%	34%	5%	62%	25%	12%	5%	61%	7%	5%	64%	5%	29%	33%	27%	26%	34%	38%	27%	25%	33%	38%	28%	53%	33%	30%	25%	52%	32%	24%	30%	55%	34%	35%	-	31%	-	-	30%	34%	65%	31%	7%	32%	31%	34%	35%	23%	31%	31%	24%	37%	41%	23%
Somewhat approve	21%	20%	15%	24%	27%	22%	15%	27%	20%	13%	24%	35%	22%	20%	23%	26%	19%	15%	21%	27%	20%	15%	20%	22%	24%	22%	22%	22%	18%	16%	19%	22%	27%	28%	-	21%	-	-	20%	22%	23%	26%	13%	22%	20%	22%	24%	16%	22%	29%	13%	22%	19%	19%
Somewhat disapprove	13%	12%	19%	6%	14%	16%	19%	6%	19%	18%	7%	8%	13%	13%	15%	16%	10%	10%	16%	15%	12%	10%	14%	8%	17%	9%	13%	11%	21%	4%	14%	5%	15%	14%	-	13%	-	-	13%	13%	4%	14%	17%	12%	14%	13%	10%	14%	14%	10%	11%	12%	10%	16%
Strongly disapprove	29%	30%	58%	3%	24%	12%	57%	2%	22%	61%	3%	30%	32%	26%	21%	24%	33%	35%	20%	24%	31%	35%	33%	7%	15%	25%	35%	5%	30%	48%	31%	10%	6%	5%	-	29%	-	-	29%	29%	4%	18%	59%	26%	31%	26%	20%	41%	29%	22%	48%	22%	18%	36%
BOTTOM 2 BOX	41%	42%	77%	10%	37%	28%	76%	8%	40%	79%	9%	38%	44%	39%	36%	40%	43%	45%	36%	39%	43%	45%	47%	15%	32%	34%	48%	16%	50%	52%	45%	14%	21%	19%	-	41%	-	-	41%	41%	7%	33%	76%	38%	45%	39%	30%	55%	43%	32%	59%	34%	28%	52%
Unsure/Don't know	7%	4%	3%	4%	11%	38%	4%	5%	33%	2%	3%	21%	5%	8%	15%	7%	4%	1%	17%	9%	4%	1%	5%	9%	11%	14%	4%	10%	0%	9%	7%	9%	18%	19%	-	7%	-	-	9%	3%	5%	10%	3%	8%	4%	5%	11%	5%	3%	9%	4%	8%	13%	6%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

TQCong: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is doing its job?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET APPROVE	27%	28%	17%	40%	23%	19%	18%	39%	9%	17%	37%	9%	28%	26%	30%	29%	29%	22%	30%	29%	30%	22%	25%	40%	28%	28%	26%	42%	22%	27%	24%	37%	32%	29%	-	27%	-	-	28%	26%	38%	28%	19%	28%	27%	25%	40%	21%	25%	45%	19%	26%	34%	22%
Strongly approve	5%	5%	2%	9%	4%	2%	2%	9%	0%	2%	8%	0%	7%	4%	10%	6%	3%	2%	10%	6%	4%	2%	4%	11%	3%	6%	6%	10%	0%	5%	2%	12%	5%	6%	-	5%	-	-	5%	5%	9%	5%	2%	5%	5%	4%	11%	3%	5%	12%	5%	3%	9%	2%
Somewhat approve	22%	22%	16%	31%	20%	17%	16%	30%	9%	15%	29%	9%	22%	23%	20%	23%	26%	20%	20%	23%	25%	20%	21%	29%	25%	22%	20%	33%	22%	22%	22%	25%	28%	23%	-	22%	-	-	23%	21%	29%	22%	17%	22%	22%	21%	30%	18%	20%	33%	14%	23%	25%	20%
Somewhat disapprove	36%	38%	44%	30%	38%	19%	43%	32%	26%	46%	33%	34%	37%	36%	26%	35%	38%	45%	27%	33%	38%	45%	38%	24%	36%	40%	39%	22%	52%	40%	37%	26%	26%	39%	-	36%	-	-	34%	41%	31%	34%	44%	36%	37%	37%	28%	41%	38%	29%	44%	37%	27%	40%
Strongly disapprove	22%	23%	27%	17%	25%	15%	27%	17%	25%	27%	21%	32%	26%	18%	20%	18%	22%	28%	18%	19%	21%	28%	24%	13%	17%	15%	29%	13%	26%	21%	19%	13%	11%	10%	-	22%	-	-	20%	25%	20%	19%	27%	21%	25%	24%	14%	24%	30%	14%	31%	18%	15%	19%
NET DISAPPROVE	58%	61%	71%	46%	62%	34%	70%	48%	52%	72%	54%	67%	64%	53%	46%	53%	61%	73%	45%	52%	59%	73%	62%	37%	53%	55%	68%	35%	78%	62%	57%	39%	37%	49%	-	58%	-	-	54%	66%	51%	53%	71%	57%	62%	62%	43%	65%	68%	43%	75%	54%	42%	58%
Unsure/Don't know	14%	11%	12%	14%	14%	47%	12%	13%	39%	10%	9%	24%	8%	20%	24%	17%	11%	5%	26%	19%	12%	5%	12%	23%	19%	17%	6%	23%	0%	12%	19%	23%	31%	22%	-	14%	-	-	18%	8%	11%	19%	10%	15%	11%	13%	17%	14%	7%	12%	6%	20%	23%	20%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

TQRep: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republican Party is handling its job?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET APPROVE	38%	39%	73%	10%	27%	13%	71%	9%	9%	70%	9%	9%	40%	35%	37%	38%	39%	36%	37%	37%	39%	36%	42%	19%	32%	26%	44%	18%	43%	38%	40%	19%	25%	14%	-	38%	-	-	38%	37%	11%	29%	67%	35%	41%	33%	39%	45%	36%	44%	44%	29%	32%	46%
Strongly approve	10%	11%	23%	2%	4%	1%	20%	2%	0%	21%	2%	0%	10%	11%	11%	11%	11%	8%	10%	13%	11%	8%	12%	6%	4%	2%	12%	5%	6%	3%	12%	7%	3%	1%	-	10%	-	-	12%	8%	3%	6%	21%	10%	11%	7%	15%	14%	7%	15%	14%	7%	15%	14%
Somewhat approve	27%	28%	50%	8%	23%	12%	50%	7%	9%	48%	7%	9%	30%	25%	25%	27%	28%	28%	27%	25%	28%	28%	30%	13%	28%	24%	32%	13%	38%	35%	28%	12%	22%	13%	-	27%	-	-	26%	29%	8%	23%	45%	25%	30%	26%	24%	31%	30%	29%	30%	23%	18%	32%
Somewhat disapprove	21%	21%	16%	23%	26%	24%	16%	25%	23%	18%	24%	28%	21%	21%	19%	23%	22%	20%	16%	24%	22%	20%	21%	17%	30%	25%	21%	14%	26%	27%	20%	22%	32%	22%	-	21%	-	-	21%	21%	19%	24%	19%	22%	21%	21%	21%	21%	20%	19%	26%	22%	24%	17%
Strongly disapprove	33%	34%	6%	61%	32%	18%	6%	59%	27%	7%	63%	42%	33%	32%	27%	28%	34%	41%	28%	27%	33%	41%	31%	47%	26%	34%	31%	44%	24%	29%	30%	49%	27%	39%	-	33%	-	-	29%	38%	67%	32%	9%	33%	33%	38%	29%	25%	38%	29%	25%	38%	30%	25%
NET DISAPPROVE	53%	56%	22%	84%	58%	41%	23%	84%	50%	25%	88%	70%	54%	53%	46%	51%	56%	60%	44%	51%	55%	60%	51%	64%	55%	59%	53%	58%	50%	56%	50%	71%	59%	61%	-	53%	-	-	50%	60%	85%	56%	28%	55%	54%	59%	51%	46%	58%	48%	51%	60%	54%	43%
Unsure/Don't know	9%	5%	5%	6%	15%	45%	6%	7%	41%	5%	4%	21%	6%	12%	17%	11%	5%	4%	19%	11%	6%	4%	7%	17%	13%	15%	3%	24%	7%	5%	10%	9%	17%	24%	-	9%	-	-	12%	3%	4%	14%	6%	11%	5%	8%	11%	9%	6%	8%	6%	11%	14%	12%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

TQDem: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democratic Party is handling its job?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET APPROVE	41%	43%	7%	79%	35%	20%	8%	77%	11%	8%	77%	14%	41%	41%	41%	42%	39%	41%	41%	42%	40%	41%	37%	69%	34%	34%	37%	70%	23%	29%	37%	66%	40%	40%	-	41%	-	-	39%	43%	78%	42%	12%	43%	39%	42%	52%	28%	41%	55%	25%	44%	49%	31%
Strongly approve	17%	18%	2%	38%	8%	5%	2%	34%	2%	3%	34%	1%	19%	15%	16%	18%	16%	18%	16%	17%	17%	18%	15%	33%	9%	15%	16%	32%	13%	17%	14%	35%	6%	14%	-	17%	-	-	17%	17%	39%	15%	4%	18%	16%	14%	29%	13%	13%	32%	15%	15%	24%	11%
Somewhat approve	24%	24%	5%	41%	27%	15%	6%	43%	9%	6%	42%	13%	22%	25%	25%	24%	23%	23%	25%	25%	23%	23%	22%	35%	25%	19%	21%	38%	10%	12%	24%	31%	34%	26%	-	24%	-	-	22%	26%	39%	28%	7%	25%	24%	28%	23%	16%	27%	22%	10%	29%	25%	20%
Somewhat disapprove	19%	18%	20%	14%	25%	20%	22%	15%	23%	19%	15%	36%	18%	20%	20%	21%	20%	15%	20%	21%	19%	15%	19%	12%	34%	22%	17%	11%	50%	18%	20%	15%	23%	26%	-	19%	-	-	20%	17%	14%	23%	17%	18%	20%	19%	18%	19%	18%	18%	15%	19%	19%	22%
Strongly disapprove	33%	35%	68%	4%	26%	21%	65%	3%	31%	68%	5%	29%	38%	29%	24%	29%	37%	42%	24%	28%	35%	42%	38%	10%	22%	29%	43%	9%	20%	48%	33%	12%	23%	11%	-	33%	-	-	32%	36%	5%	21%	68%	31%	36%	33%	23%	43%	37%	24%	54%	28%	22%	35%
NET DISAPPROVE	52%	53%	88%	18%	51%	40%	86%	18%	54%	88%	20%	65%	55%	49%	44%	50%	57%	57%	43%	50%	55%	57%	57%	23%	56%	51%	60%	19%	70%	66%	53%	27%	46%	37%	-	52%	-	-	51%	53%	19%	44%	85%	49%	56%	52%	41%	62%	56%	42%	69%	47%	40%	57%
Unsure/Don't know	7%	5%	5%	3%	14%	39%	5%	5%	36%	4%	3%	21%	4%	11%	14%	9%	4%	2%	16%	9%	6%	2%	6%	9%	11%	14%	3%	10%	7%	5%	10%	7%	13%	23%	-	7%	-	-	9%	3%	3%	13%	3%	9%	5%	6%	7%	10%	4%	3%	6%	9%	11%	13%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

TQ3: If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Republican from your district or the Democrat from your district?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Republican	43%	45%	89%	4%	33%	11%	86%	5%	11%	87%	7%	3%	47%	38%	39%	39%	43%	49%	39%	38%	43%	49%	49%	12%	39%	28%	54%	11%	54%	37%	44%	12%	29%	20%	-	43%	-	-	41%	45%	8%	30%	83%	39%	47%	40%	34%	55%	46%	36%	62%	33%	32%	50%
Democrat	43%	46%	3%	91%	35%	6%	4%	87%	5%	5%	87%	25%	43%	43%	41%	43%	42%	46%	39%	44%	41%	46%	38%	72%	40%	47%	37%	71%	46%	49%	39%	73%	37%	46%	-	43%	-	-	41%	47%	88%	45%	9%	43%	44%	48%	50%	28%	46%	51%	28%	51%	49%	28%
Would not vote	4%	1%	2%	2%	8%	22%	3%	2%	22%	2%	1%	0%	4%	4%	7%	6%	2%	2%	7%	6%	3%	2%	3%	8%	11%	5%	3%	9%	0%	6%	2%	6%	19%	4%	-	4%	-	-	5%	2%	1%	7%	2%	5%	3%	4%	6%	3%	3%	6%	4%	4%	6%	2%
Other/Unsure/Don't know	10%	7%	5%	3%	24%	61%	6%	6%	62%	6%	5%	71%	6%	15%	14%	12%	13%	3%	15%	12%	13%	3%	10%	8%	9%	19%	6%	8%	0%	8%	14%	8%	15%	30%	-	10%	-	-	13%	7%	4%	18%	7%	12%	7%	8%	10%	14%	5%	8%	6%	12%	13%	20%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

ISSUE1: What single issue is/ was the most important one in determining how you voted in this election? Please look at the full list before answering.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Price increases/ inflation	14%	14%	19%	9%	13%	18%	18%	9%	19%	18%	8%	26%	11%	17%	12%	16%	16%	11%	12%	14%	17%	11%	14%	13%	12%	13%	12%	12%	4%	8%	17%	13%	18%	17%	-	14%	-	-	16%	11%	8%	15%	17%	17%	11%	13%	13%	16%	12%	8%	13%	15%	18%	18%
Economy and jobs	18%	18%	22%	13%	21%	8%	23%	12%	19%	23%	13%	34%	18%	17%	18%	26%	20%	8%	16%	26%	21%	8%	18%	14%	29%	18%	17%	15%	53%	21%	18%	13%	13%	16%	-	18%	-	-	17%	20%	10%	18%	23%	15%	21%	18%	17%	19%	18%	18%	19%	17%	15%	20%
Abortion	11%	12%	6%	17%	9%	8%	4%	18%	12%	5%	17%	9%	8%	14%	14%	10%	10%	11%	15%	10%	10%	11%	11%	10%	10%	15%	8%	10%	7%	7%	14%	10%	13%	23%	-	11%	-	-	12%	10%	18%	11%	7%	11%	11%	12%	12%	9%	9%	10%	4%	15%	16%	12%
Immigration	11%	12%	19%	2%	11%	12%	21%	2%	9%	22%	2%	4%	13%	9%	5%	8%	13%	17%	4%	7%	12%	17%	12%	4%	9%	8%	15%	4%	7%	13%	10%	3%	10%	3%	-	11%	-	-	11%	10%	2%	6%	23%	11%	11%	10%	8%	15%	12%	12%	18%	8%	4%	13%
Character/ competence of the candidate	7%	7%	3%	12%	5%	3%	2%	12%	2%	3%	13%	4%	6%	7%	5%	4%	5%	13%	5%	5%	5%	13%	7%	7%	4%	4%	7%	4%	6%	8%	8%	10%	3%	1%	-	7%	-	-	4%	12%	17%	4%	3%	5%	9%	8%	5%	5%	7%	6%	4%	9%	5%	6%
Health care	4%	4%	3%	5%	2%	6%	2%	5%	4%	2%	4%	0%	3%	4%	4%	3%	5%	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	4%	4%	5%	3%	3%	3%	0%	3%	4%	6%	8%	3%	-	4%	-	-	4%	4%	5%	5%	1%	4%	3%	4%	3%	4%	4%	1%	4%	5%	4%	3%
Social Security	4%	4%	3%	7%	3%	0%	2%	7%	3%	3%	7%	4%	5%	4%	3%	1%	6%	8%	2%	2%	5%	8%	4%	8%	4%	6%	4%	8%	0%	3%	3%	7%	7%	10%	-	4%	-	-	5%	3%	4%	7%	2%	7%	2%	5%	5%	4%	5%	4%	5%	4%	6%	3%
Taxes	3%	2%	3%	4%	2%	5%	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	0%	3%	3%	8%	3%	0%	1%	8%	4%	1%	1%	2%	7%	4%	5%	2%	8%	0%	6%	2%	4%	6%	5%	-	3%	-	-	3%	2%	2%	4%	2%	2%	3%	2%	6%	2%	2%	7%	2%	3%	4%	2%
Ethics in government, corruption, campaign finance reform	2%	2%	1%	3%	3%	1%	1%	3%	2%	1%	3%	4%	3%	2%	3%	3%	2%	1%	4%	3%	2%	1%	2%	3%	0%	1%	3%	1%	0%	0%	1%	7%	0%	2%	-	2%	-	-	2%	2%	4%	2%	1%	2%	3%	2%	3%	1%	3%	3%	1%	2%	2%	1%
Dislike of the opposing candidate	2%	2%	1%	2%	3%	3%	1%	3%	2%	1%	3%	0%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%	4%	1%	1%	1%	4%	2%	1%	2%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	2%	2%	3%	1%	-	2%	-	-	1%	3%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	0%	3%	2%	0%	4%	3%	1%	2%
Terrorism / national security	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%	3%	1%	0%	3%	1%	0%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	0%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	0%	1%	2%	3%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	2%	-	2%	-	-	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	3%	2%
Family values, morality	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	9%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	3%	2%	1%	1%	4%	1%	1%	1%	2%	4%	1%	0%	1%	3%	0%	1%	2%	5%	2%	0%	-	2%	-	-	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	3%
Environment / climate change	2%	2%	1%	3%	2%	5%	1%	3%	2%	1%	3%	0%	2%	3%	3%	1%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	0%	3%	2%	3%	0%	0%	2%	4%	0%	6%	-	2%	-	-	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	4%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	4%	2%
Corruption	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	0%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	1%	2%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	5%	0%	2%	3%	12%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	-	2%	-	-	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	1%	1%	2%
National debt / federal budget deficits	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	3%	1%	1%	3%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	3%	2%	1%	1%	3%	2%	1%	2%	0%	3%	2%	6%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	-	2%	-	-	1%	2%	1%	0%	3%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	3%	0%	0%	1%
Crime and drugs	2%	2%	1%	3%	1%	5%	1%	3%	1%	1%	1%	0%	2%	2%	3%	3%	0%	1%	4%	3%	1%	1%	2%	3%	6%	0%	2%	4%	0%	0%	2%	1%	10%	0%	-	2%	-	-	2%	2%	3%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	3%	1%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%
Education	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	4%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	0%	0%	1%	2%	0%	0%	1%	3%	0%	0%	-	1%	-	-	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	1%
January 6th	2%	3%	1%	3%	4%	0%	0%	5%	1%	0%	5%	2%	3%	2%	0%	2%	3%	5%	0%	1%	3%	5%	2%	3%	0%	4%	3%	2%	0%	6%	2%	3%	0%	3%	-	2%	-	-	2%	3%	4%	2%	1%	2%	3%	2%	3%	3%	2%	4%	4%	1%	1%	3%
Foreign and defense policy	1%	1%	1%	0%	2%	0%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	3%	-	1%	-	-	0%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%
Income inequality	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	4%	1%	2%	0%	1%	2%	0%	2%	1%	3%	3%	0%	0%	2%	3%	1%	0%	1%	2%	4%	0%	2%	2%	0%	0%	1%	1%	7%	0%	-	1%	-	-	2%	1%	2%	2%	0%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%
Gun policies	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	0%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	3%	2%	1%	0%	3%	2%	1%	0%	1%	2%	2%	0%	2%	3%	5%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	-	1%	-	-	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	0%	3%	0%	2%	1%
The Israeli-Hamas Conflict/ Palestinians/ The Middle East	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	4%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	3%	1%	0%	0%	3%	1%	0%	0%	2%	-	1%	-	-	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	2%	2%	0%	1%	0%	0%
Police reform	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	2%	0%	2%	0%	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	-	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%
Race relations	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Government gridlock	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	2%	1%	1%	4%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	2%	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	3%	1%	2%	0%	0%	-	1%	-	-	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%
Political correctness	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	2%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	-	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%
China	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	4%	-	0%	-	-	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%
Russia and Ukraine	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	-	1%	-	-	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	0%	0%	0%
Other, please specify	3%	3%	1%	3%	3%	8%	2%	3%	8%	2%	4%	5%	4%	2%	1%	2%	5%	4%	1%	2%	4%	4%	3%	3%	0%	6%	3%	4%	0%	13%	2%	1%	0%	0%	-	3%	-	-	3%	3%	4%	2%	2%	3%	2%	3%	2%	3%	3%	3%	5%	2%	2%	1%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

ISSUE2: Which candidate would do a better job handling the issue you think is most important?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump	47%	48%	91%	6%	43%	31%	96%	2%	21%	92%	7%	10%	51%	42%	44%	46%	48%	48%	44%	45%	48%	48%	53%	16%	40%	38%	55%	17%	68%	57%	50%	14%	21%	21%	-	47%	-	-	46%	48%	9%	36%	86%	44%	49%	43%	39%	59%	48%	44%	64%	38%	32%	56%
Kamala Harris	46%	48%	6%	91%	41%	22%	2%	95%	10%	5%	89%	36%	43%	49%	46%	46%	45%	48%	46%	46%	44%	48%	41%	78%	48%	47%	38%	74%	32%	40%	44%	82%	58%	53%	-	46%	-	-	46%	47%	88%	51%	10%	48%	45%	49%	54%	33%	45%	50%	31%	54%	59%	35%
Neither / Someone Else	5%	3%	2%	3%	10%	19%	1%	2%	38%	2%	3%	42%	4%	5%	5%	6%	5%	3%	4%	6%	5%	3%	4%	3%	10%	9%	5%	3%	0%	3%	3%	4%	16%	14%	-	5%	-	-	4%	5%	2%	8%	3%	5%	4%	5%	4%	4%	5%	3%	3%	5%	5%	4%
Don't Know	3%	1%	1%	0%	6%	28%	0%	1%	30%	1%	0%	12%	2%	4%	5%	3%	2%	1%	6%	3%	2%	1%	2%	3%	3%	7%	1%	5%	0%	0%	3%	0%	5%	13%	-	3%	-	-	4%	1%	1%	5%	1%	3%	1%	2%	3%	4%	1%	3%	2%	3%	3%	6%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

I4: Would you say that your personal financial situation is improving or getting worse?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Improving	23%	25%	11%	41%	16%	12%	11%	38%	7%	11%	38%	12%	28%	19%	29%	26%	21%	18%	28%	28%	22%	18%	21%	40%	16%	21%	25%	46%	15%	23%	18%	31%	16%	19%	-	23%	-	-	22%	26%	40%	22%	13%	20%	28%	23%	34%	15%	28%	40%	15%	18%	28%	15%
Getting worse	44%	45%	63%	25%	46%	41%	66%	23%	43%	65%	23%	44%	42%	46%	41%	44%	51%	41%	40%	43%	50%	41%	47%	25%	46%	50%	44%	22%	52%	54%	49%	30%	42%	48%	-	44%	-	-	47%	39%	25%	40%	63%	49%	39%	43%	35%	53%	41%	33%	53%	45%	38%	54%
Neither	28%	28%	24%	32%	30%	29%	21%	36%	27%	22%	37%	29%	28%	29%	23%	25%	24%	40%	23%	25%	25%	40%	29%	27%	33%	22%	28%	23%	32%	24%	29%	32%	33%	20%	-	28%	-	-	25%	34%	31%	32%	22%	26%	32%	31%	25%	27%	29%	22%	30%	32%	30%	24%
No opinion	4%	2%	2%	2%	8%	18%	2%	3%	23%	3%	2%	14%	3%	5%	7%	4%	4%	1%	9%	4%	4%	1%	3%	8%	5%	7%	2%	8%	0%	0%	4%	7%	9%	13%	-	4%	-	-	6%	2%	4%	6%	2%	6%	2%	3%	5%	5%	2%	6%	2%	4%	5%	7%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

BT3: Do you think the 2024 presidential election will be conducted in a fair or unfair way?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Fair	70%	72%	55%	88%	67%	55%	53%	90%	51%	54%	92%	74%	72%	69%	65%	70%	70%	75%	63%	67%	72%	75%	69%	78%	68%	76%	69%	80%	79%	74%	68%	74%	60%	77%	-	70%	-	-	65%	78%	90%	70%	56%	67%	73%	72%	77%	61%	73%	80%	60%	71%	74%	61%
Unfair	30%	28%	45%	12%	33%	45%	47%	10%	49%	46%	8%	26%	28%	31%	35%	30%	30%	25%	37%	33%	28%	25%	31%	22%	32%	24%	31%	20%	21%	26%	32%	26%	40%	23%	-	30%	-	-	35%	22%	10%	30%	44%	33%	27%	28%	23%	39%	27%	20%	40%	29%	26%	39%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

QVOTECONF: How confident are you that your vote will be counted accurately?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Very confident	40%	44%	22%	63%	38%	13%	18%	64%	29%	21%	69%	43%	44%	37%	29%	35%	42%	54%	27%	34%	41%	54%	40%	45%	21%	47%	43%	49%	29%	51%	38%	39%	16%	43%	-	40%	-	-	33%	53%	70%	37%	24%	36%	45%	43%	43%	34%	45%	46%	38%	40%	39%	31%
Somewhat confident	35%	34%	42%	28%	34%	37%	44%	27%	29%	43%	24%	35%	33%	37%	42%	39%	33%	26%	40%	40%	36%	26%	35%	34%	57%	26%	33%	30%	71%	14%	36%	39%	48%	37%	-	35%	-	-	37%	31%	24%	37%	41%	35%	35%	35%	35%	34%	34%	34%	29%	36%	36%	38%
Not very confident	17%	16%	25%	7%	18%	28%	26%	6%	21%	26%	5%	22%	16%	17%	18%	17%	18%	14%	20%	17%	17%	14%	17%	14%	16%	14%	17%	14%	0%	17%	17%	15%	26%	11%	-	17%	-	-	20%	11%	4%	17%	25%	19%	14%	14%	18%	20%	14%	16%	20%	14%	19%	21%
Not at all confident	8%	6%	11%	2%	11%	23%	11%	3%	21%	10%	2%	0%	7%	9%	10%	9%	7%	6%	12%	9%	7%	6%	8%	7%	6%	14%	6%	7%	0%	18%	9%	7%	10%	10%	-	8%	-	-	9%	5%	2%	9%	11%	9%	6%	8%	5%	11%	6%	4%	12%	9%	6%	10%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

BT4: Do you think Joe Biden's election as president in 2020 was fair or unfair?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Fair	62%	64%	33%	93%	62%	43%	30%	95%	51%	32%	96%	84%	61%	63%	59%	63%	62%	63%	57%	63%	63%	63%	59%	80%	65%	67%	59%	76%	62%	58%	58%	85%	67%	75%	-	62%	-	-	57%	70%	93%	65%	36%	58%	66%	66%	69%	49%	65%	68%	46%	67%	71%	51%
Unfair	38%	36%	67%	7%	38%	57%	70%	5%	49%	68%	4%	16%	39%	37%	41%	37%	38%	37%	43%	37%	37%	37%	41%	20%	35%	33%	41%	24%	38%	42%	42%	15%	33%	25%	-	38%	-	-	43%	30%	7%	35%	64%	42%	34%	34%	31%	51%	35%	32%	54%	33%	29%	49%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,864	1,668	609	776	415	64	782	965	117	648	818	30	753	1,111	404	551	504	405	254	535	670	405	1,470	266	50	78	586	121	16	30	884	145	34	48	0	1,864	0	0	1,086	778	502	792	570	1,025	796	931	427	506	395	197	161	536	230	345

Nature of Sample


Total	Total	100%
Gender	Male	50%
	Female	50%
Age	18-29	17%
	30-44	25%
	45-64	32%
	65+	26%
Race	White	77%
	Black/AA	12%
	Hispanic	5%
	Other	7%
Region	Northeast	0%
	Midwest	100%
	South	0%
	West	0%
Income	Less than $50K	25%
	$50K to $99K	38%
	$100K +	34%
	Decline to answer	4%
Area	Suburban	50%
	Urban	22%
	Rural	28%
Party affiliation	Democrat	38%
	Independent	20%
	Republican	38%
	Other	4%
Political ideology	Liberal	24%
	Moderate	42%
	Conservative	34%
EducationXGender	College grad Male	21%
	College grad Female	15%
	Non-college Male	29%
	Non-college Female	35%