HarrisX Battleground State Poll (Nov 3-5): North Carolina

This survey was administered by HarrisX among 1,815 registered voters from November 3-5, 2024 across North Carolina. Respondents were recruited through opt-in, web-panel recruitment sampling. Recruitment occurs through a broad variety of professional, validated respondent panels to expand the sampling frame as wide as possible and minimize the impact of any given panel on recruiting methods.

The sampling margin of error is +/- 2.3%. Results were weighted by age, gender, race/ethnicity, political party, education, income, early vote percentage, and previous vote choice where necessary to align with actual demographic proportions amongst the population of RVs within North Carolina.

For further insights and data, visit elections.harrisx.com

HarrisX's Final Presidential Horserace (+Leaners)

H2bMEV: : If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for? (including Early voters choice)

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump+leaners

49.0%

49.2%

92.3%

4.2%

45.3%

34.5%

98.0%

0.8%

35.4%

92.2%

5.0%

38.6%

52.1%

46.2%

41.1%

50.3%

52.3%

53.0%

41.0%

46.2%

53.0%

53.0%

61.9%

14.9%

38.0%

47.3%

62.1%

21.3%

49.9%

54.8%

61.6%

9.2%

29.6%

43.5%

-

-

49.0%

-

51.1%

45.3%

7.8%

39.0%

85.1%

45.0%

54.0%

46.7%

29.8%

63.3%

52.1%

37.7%

61.1%

41.6%

21.7%

65.2%

Kamala Harris+leaners

48.5%

49.0%

7.1%

94.9%

48.2%

53.0%

1.2%

98.0%

34.2%

6.2%

93.6%

28.9%

45.2%

51.5%

54.4%

46.2%

46.3%

46.4%

54.9%

49.9%

45.0%

46.4%

36.2%

81.5%

57.3%

48.8%

36.0%

73.9%

46.5%

37.6%

36.5%

88.2%

64.9%

54.4%

-

-

48.5%

-

46.0%

52.9%

90.2%

57.1%

13.6%

52.1%

44.0%

50.8%

67.0%

34.5%

46.0%

58.9%

35.3%

55.4%

75.3%

33.7%

Cornel West+leaners

1.6%

1.2%

0.3%

0.5%

4.4%

6.8%

0.7%

0.8%

17.5%

1.3%

0.6%

25.0%

1.9%

1.3%

2.5%

2.3%

0.9%

0.6%

2.6%

2.3%

1.1%

0.6%

1.3%

1.8%

3.3%

3.9%

1.3%

2.5%

3.7%

7.6%

1.2%

1.1%

3.0%

2.1%

-

-

1.6%

-

1.6%

1.5%

0.4%

2.8%

0.9%

1.6%

1.5%

1.5%

2.3%

1.3%

1.1%

3.2%

2.1%

1.9%

1.4%

0.5%

Jill Stein+leaners

0.9%

0.6%

0.3%

0.4%

2.1%

5.7%

0.1%

0.4%

12.9%

0.3%

0.9%

7.5%

0.9%

1.0%

2.0%

1.2%

0.5%

0.0%

1.4%

1.6%

0.9%

0.0%

0.6%

1.8%

1.5%

0.0%

0.5%

2.2%

0.0%

0.0%

0.7%

1.5%

2.5%

0.0%

-

-

0.9%

-

1.3%

0.4%

1.6%

1.1%

0.3%

1.4%

0.5%

0.9%

0.9%

1.0%

0.8%

0.1%

1.5%

1.1%

1.6%

0.5%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

Full Poll Findings below:

QVOTE1: Have you already voted in Tuesday's 2024 elections, or have you not had the chance to yet?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Already voted

66%

73%

70%

70%

57%

35%

67%

70%

19%

73%

73%

71%

65%

67%

58%

57%

67%

81%

59%

55%

66%

81%

70%

59%

56%

59%

71%

53%

48%

33%

68%

64%

62%

72%

-

-

66%

-

61%

74%

71%

59%

69%

60%

73%

69%

62%

64%

68%

60%

64%

70%

64%

65%

Not yet

34%

27%

30%

30%

43%

65%

33%

30%

81%

27%

27%

29%

35%

33%

42%

43%

33%

19%

41%

45%

34%

19%

30%

41%

44%

41%

29%

47%

52%

67%

32%

36%

38%

28%

-

-

34%

-

39%

26%

29%

41%

31%

40%

27%

31%

38%

36%

32%

40%

36%

30%

36%

35%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

QTYPEOFVOTE: Did you mail in a ballot or did you vote early at a voting center?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Mailed in a ballot

14%

14%

13%

16%

14%

0%

12%

16%

21%

11%

15%

29%

14%

15%

20%

16%

10%

12%

21%

17%

11%

12%

13%

19%

16%

16%

12%

22%

20%

20%

14%

16%

13%

15%

-

-

14%

-

15%

13%

17%

16%

11%

15%

15%

15%

16%

12%

16%

15%

10%

15%

17%

14%

Voted early at a voting center

86%

86%

87%

84%

86%

100%

88%

84%

79%

89%

85%

71%

86%

85%

80%

84%

90%

88%

79%

83%

89%

88%

87%

81%

84%

84%

88%

78%

80%

80%

86%

84%

87%

85%

-

-

86%

-

85%

87%

83%

84%

89%

85%

85%

85%

84%

88%

84%

85%

90%

85%

83%

86%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,071

1,071

402

426

231

12

488

561

22

441

481

23

447

624

232

255

285

299

159

253

360

299

768

232

33

38

339

89

11

8

429

143

22

30

0

0

1,071

0

631

440

277

396

398

524

515

500

208

363

212

92

143

288

116

220

H2V: Who did you vote for in the 2024 presidential election?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump

48%

48%

92%

3%

42%

15%

97%

1%

10%

92%

3%

20%

50%

46%

39%

50%

51%

50%

39%

45%

52%

50%

61%

8%

30%

43%

59%

14%

41%

39%

63%

4%

24%

43%

-

-

48%

-

50%

44%

6%

34%

87%

44%

52%

44%

29%

64%

49%

37%

59%

39%

21%

69%

Kamala Harris

50%

50%

7%

96%

53%

68%

1%

99%

14%

6%

96%

29%

48%

52%

58%

46%

48%

49%

60%

52%

46%

49%

38%

89%

65%

54%

39%

83%

51%

43%

36%

93%

72%

57%

-

-

50%

-

48%

54%

93%

63%

11%

54%

47%

55%

68%

34%

50%

59%

38%

59%

77%

30%

Cornel West

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

8%

0%

0%

15%

1%

0%

8%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

3%

0%

1%

1%

8%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

-

-

0%

-

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

2%

2%

0%

0%

0%

Jill Stein

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

10%

0%

0%

7%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

4%

0%

-

-

0%

-

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

Someone else

1%

1%

0%

0%

3%

0%

1%

0%

37%

1%

0%

40%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

3%

1%

0%

0%

18%

1%

2%

0%

0%

-

-

1%

-

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

1%

I did not vote in this race

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

16%

1%

0%

4%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

-

-

0%

-

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

0%

1%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,071

1,071

402

426

231

12

488

561

22

441

481

23

447

624

232

255

285

299

159

253

360

299

768

232

33

38

339

89

11

8

429

143

22

30

0

0

1,071

0

631

440

277

396

398

524

515

500

208

363

212

92

143

288

116

220

QVOTETIME: Is this the first time you are voting in a presidential election?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Yes

13%

13%

13%

11%

14%

27%

12%

13%

11%

6%

5%

16%

14%

12%

35%

14%

4%

2%

41%

15%

6%

2%

10%

19%

16%

19%

11%

23%

19%

0%

9%

16%

15%

23%

-

-

13%

-

16%

7%

16%

12%

12%

13%

13%

12%

22%

9%

12%

27%

7%

11%

16%

11%

No

87%

87%

87%

89%

86%

73%

88%

87%

89%

94%

95%

84%

86%

88%

65%

86%

96%

98%

59%

85%

94%

98%

90%

81%

84%

81%

89%

77%

81%

100%

91%

84%

85%

77%

-

-

87%

-

84%

93%

84%

88%

88%

87%

87%

88%

78%

91%

88%

73%

93%

89%

84%

89%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,071

1,071

402

426

231

12

488

561

22

441

481

23

447

624

232

255

285

299

159

253

360

299

768

232

33

38

339

89

11

8

429

143

22

30

0

0

1,071

0

631

440

277

396

398

524

515

500

208

363

212

92

143

288

116

220

QDECISION1: When did you make up your mind on who you were voting for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Today

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

2%

1%

3%

2%

0%

0%

2%

3%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

3%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

-

-

1%

-

1%

1%

2%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

4%

0%

1%

6%

0%

0%

3%

0%

In the last week

7%

7%

5%

7%

9%

0%

6%

6%

19%

6%

4%

9%

8%

5%

11%

11%

5%

2%

13%

10%

5%

2%

5%

10%

6%

7%

7%

10%

9%

0%

4%

10%

5%

8%

-

-

7%

-

8%

4%

8%

7%

5%

7%

7%

5%

10%

6%

6%

13%

8%

5%

8%

5%

In late October

7%

7%

5%

8%

11%

13%

5%

8%

38%

6%

7%

28%

6%

8%

11%

11%

4%

5%

10%

13%

5%

5%

6%

10%

8%

16%

6%

8%

8%

15%

7%

11%

9%

16%

-

-

7%

-

7%

7%

6%

11%

4%

7%

7%

5%

11%

8%

3%

13%

7%

7%

9%

9%

In early October

7%

7%

6%

9%

6%

7%

5%

9%

13%

4%

9%

3%

8%

6%

8%

7%

7%

6%

9%

7%

6%

6%

6%

11%

8%

10%

5%

16%

8%

22%

6%

7%

8%

8%

-

-

7%

-

8%

5%

4%

10%

6%

8%

6%

9%

7%

5%

9%

11%

4%

8%

3%

5%

In September

7%

7%

5%

9%

9%

0%

4%

11%

0%

4%

10%

10%

7%

7%

7%

10%

6%

7%

7%

10%

6%

7%

6%

11%

3%

7%

7%

11%

0%

0%

6%

11%

5%

9%

-

-

7%

-

7%

7%

9%

8%

5%

10%

5%

6%

12%

6%

7%

9%

7%

5%

15%

6%

Before September

67%

67%

75%

63%

60%

63%

75%

61%

16%

74%

65%

37%

68%

67%

57%

57%

74%

76%

53%

56%

73%

76%

72%

53%

71%

50%

72%

49%

75%

57%

72%

55%

69%

48%

-

-

67%

-

65%

70%

69%

57%

75%

65%

70%

70%

51%

72%

72%

48%

73%

68%

54%

72%

Unsure/ Don't Know

4%

4%

3%

3%

5%

17%

3%

4%

13%

3%

4%

14%

2%

5%

4%

2%

5%

3%

5%

2%

4%

3%

3%

4%

3%

11%

2%

2%

0%

6%

4%

5%

5%

12%

-

-

4%

-

3%

4%

3%

5%

2%

2%

4%

5%

3%

2%

3%

0%

1%

7%

7%

2%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,071

1,071

402

426

231

12

488

561

22

441

481

23

447

624

232

255

285

299

159

253

360

299

768

232

33

38

339

89

11

8

429

143

22

30

0

0

1,071

0

631

440

277

396

398

524

515

500

208

363

212

92

143

288

116

220

QDECISION2: Would you say that you voted for change or for continuity in how the country is managed?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Change

80%

80%

92%

71%

76%

87%

93%

68%

88%

93%

65%

74%

79%

82%

83%

77%

81%

80%

83%

77%

81%

80%

81%

81%

83%

74%

77%

86%

84%

79%

84%

77%

82%

73%

-

-

80%

-

84%

75%

64%

79%

92%

81%

80%

79%

76%

85%

78%

73%

84%

79%

79%

86%

Continuity

20%

20%

8%

29%

24%

13%

7%

32%

12%

7%

35%

26%

21%

18%

17%

23%

19%

20%

17%

23%

19%

20%

19%

19%

17%

26%

23%

14%

16%

21%

16%

23%

18%

27%

-

-

20%

-

16%

25%

36%

21%

8%

19%

20%

21%

24%

15%

22%

27%

16%

21%

21%

14%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,071

1,071

402

426

231

12

488

561

22

441

481

23

447

624

232

255

285

299

159

253

360

299

768

232

33

38

339

89

11

8

429

143

22

30

0

0

1,071

0

631

440

277

396

398

524

515

500

208

363

212

92

143

288

116

220

JS2: How likely or unlikely are you to vote in the upcoming 2024 elections in November?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET: Likely Voters (T3B)

93%

100%

95%

96%

88%

60%

95%

95%

52%

98%

98%

92%

94%

92%

87%

91%

94%

99%

87%

90%

93%

99%

94%

89%

92%

90%

96%

90%

92%

85%

92%

89%

93%

92%

-

-

93%

-

90%

98%

96%

89%

95%

89%

97%

94%

92%

91%

94%

93%

93%

93%

91%

89%

NET: Likely Voters (T2B)

90%

100%

92%

94%

85%

58%

92%

93%

45%

97%

97%

92%

91%

89%

83%

88%

92%

97%

83%

87%

92%

97%

92%

86%

86%

85%

94%

85%

83%

85%

91%

86%

88%

85%

-

-

90%

-

86%

97%

94%

86%

93%

86%

95%

92%

88%

89%

93%

88%

90%

92%

87%

88%

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections/I already voted

85%

94%

89%

90%

76%

49%

88%

88%

36%

94%

92%

85%

86%

85%

75%

82%

89%

95%

74%

79%

88%

95%

88%

79%

81%

75%

89%

77%

79%

72%

87%

81%

82%

77%

-

-

85%

-

80%

94%

90%

78%

90%

80%

92%

88%

81%

84%

89%

80%

84%

87%

81%

83%

Probably going to vote in the elections

5%

6%

3%

4%

9%

8%

4%

5%

10%

2%

5%

7%

5%

5%

9%

6%

3%

2%

9%

7%

4%

2%

4%

6%

5%

10%

4%

8%

4%

13%

4%

5%

6%

8%

-

-

5%

-

6%

3%

4%

8%

2%

7%

4%

4%

7%

5%

4%

8%

6%

4%

5%

5%

Possibly going to vote in the elections

2%

0%

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

6%

1%

1%

0%

3%

2%

4%

3%

2%

1%

4%

3%

2%

1%

2%

4%

6%

4%

2%

5%

9%

0%

1%

3%

4%

6%

-

-

2%

-

3%

1%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

2%

5%

2%

2%

5%

3%

2%

4%

2%

May or may not vote in the elections

3%

0%

2%

1%

5%

8%

2%

2%

17%

1%

1%

3%

3%

3%

4%

4%

3%

0%

4%

4%

3%

0%

3%

3%

5%

2%

2%

4%

4%

3%

3%

2%

5%

2%

-

-

3%

-

3%

2%

1%

4%

2%

4%

1%

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

3%

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

5%

1%

1%

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

2%

0%

1%

0%

2%

0%

1%

0%

1%

2%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

2%

0%

0%

-

-

1%

-

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

Probably not going to participate in the elections

1%

0%

0%

1%

2%

5%

1%

1%

6%

0%

0%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

0%

3%

1%

0%

0%

1%

2%

0%

4%

0%

0%

0%

7%

1%

4%

0%

2%

-

-

1%

-

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

2%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

2%

2%

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

3%

0%

2%

1%

4%

22%

2%

2%

22%

1%

1%

3%

3%

3%

4%

3%

3%

1%

4%

4%

3%

1%

2%

4%

3%

4%

2%

5%

4%

4%

3%

4%

2%

4%

-

-

3%

-

4%

0%

1%

4%

2%

4%

1%

2%

4%

4%

2%

3%

3%

2%

4%

4%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

QBallot: Have you received a ballot for the 2024 presidential election or not?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Yes

24%

26%

19%

33%

21%

18%

21%

30%

12%

19%

34%

28%

24%

23%

32%

28%

15%

10%

34%

28%

18%

10%

19%

27%

35%

45%

19%

29%

32%

39%

19%

25%

38%

51%

-

-

24%

-

23%

25%

30%

22%

22%

21%

29%

25%

32%

16%

27%

37%

11%

24%

27%

20%

No

76%

74%

81%

67%

79%

82%

79%

70%

88%

81%

66%

72%

76%

77%

68%

72%

85%

90%

66%

72%

82%

90%

81%

73%

65%

55%

81%

71%

68%

61%

81%

75%

62%

49%

-

-

76%

-

77%

75%

70%

78%

78%

79%

71%

75%

68%

84%

73%

63%

89%

76%

73%

80%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

744

529

226

255

227

36

315

335

94

214

252

13

309

435

214

270

176

84

139

281

240

84

467

213

30

34

182

100

13

14

285

113

17

20

0

0

744

0

548

196

152

378

214

477

247

291

178

275

124

83

102

167

95

173

QEarly2: How do you plan to vote this year: by mail, in person before Election Day, or in person on Election Day?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

By mail

7%

5%

4%

9%

9%

7%

5%

8%

12%

3%

9%

6%

8%

6%

13%

5%

4%

4%

13%

6%

5%

4%

6%

7%

13%

18%

7%

10%

15%

5%

4%

4%

11%

34%

-

-

7%

-

9%

3%

11%

8%

4%

7%

7%

5%

10%

7%

6%

12%

9%

5%

7%

6%

In person before Election Day

15%

15%

15%

15%

15%

10%

14%

16%

13%

15%

13%

18%

14%

15%

20%

14%

10%

12%

22%

15%

10%

12%

14%

15%

13%

15%

15%

14%

8%

13%

14%

17%

18%

17%

-

-

15%

-

18%

5%

13%

14%

16%

16%

12%

15%

18%

12%

11%

19%

14%

19%

16%

11%

In person on Election Day

66%

79%

74%

70%

60%

22%

72%

68%

35%

79%

75%

67%

69%

63%

50%

70%

76%

76%

45%

68%

75%

76%

70%

57%

74%

57%

71%

63%

78%

71%

68%

51%

71%

40%

-

-

66%

-

57%

89%

68%

60%

73%

61%

76%

69%

62%

65%

76%

63%

65%

62%

60%

65%

I am not planning to vote

12%

1%

7%

6%

16%

61%

9%

8%

40%

4%

3%

9%

9%

16%

18%

11%

9%

8%

20%

11%

10%

8%

10%

20%

0%

10%

7%

13%

0%

11%

13%

28%

0%

9%

-

-

12%

-

16%

2%

7%

18%

7%

16%

5%

11%

11%

15%

7%

6%

12%

14%

16%

18%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

744

529

226

255

227

36

315

335

94

214

252

13

309

435

214

270

176

84

139

281

240

84

467

213

30

34

182

100

13

14

285

113

17

20

0

0

744

0

548

196

152

378

214

477

247

291

178

275

124

83

102

167

95

173

F1r: SUMMARY OF T2B - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

South

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Roy Cooper

49%

51%

26%

74%

54%

15%

26%

74%

31%

26%

80%

49%

48%

49%

39%

50%

52%

55%

36%

50%

51%

55%

45%

60%

45%

46%

46%

57%

44%

41%

45%

63%

47%

48%

49%

44%

58%

75%

56%

25%

50%

49%

52%

57%

40%

51%

52%

42%

53%

62%

39%

Kamala Harris

47%

48%

9%

93%

43%

38%

5%

92%

20%

9%

89%

29%

44%

50%

55%

49%

44%

40%

55%

51%

43%

40%

35%

80%

55%

46%

34%

75%

49%

38%

36%

84%

59%

51%

47%

44%

51%

90%

53%

14%

50%

43%

48%

68%

33%

44%

61%

33%

52%

76%

33%

Donald Trump

46%

47%

87%

7%

39%

24%

90%

6%

16%

86%

6%

23%

50%

43%

39%

52%

49%

47%

38%

48%

50%

47%

58%

17%

35%

41%

59%

24%

41%

37%

56%

11%

32%

42%

46%

50%

41%

9%

36%

80%

43%

51%

44%

33%

58%

49%

43%

56%

38%

23%

60%

Josh Stein

45%

48%

24%

72%

44%

13%

22%

71%

18%

25%

76%

35%

47%

43%

36%

43%

48%

54%

33%

43%

47%

54%

43%

53%

46%

35%

46%

51%

56%

36%

40%

55%

39%

35%

45%

39%

56%

71%

49%

25%

46%

45%

47%

52%

39%

47%

54%

43%

47%

50%

35%

J.D. Vance

41%

43%

76%

9%

33%

11%

76%

8%

12%

77%

8%

20%

46%

37%

30%

40%

44%

50%

30%

37%

44%

50%

52%

12%

30%

42%

56%

15%

44%

48%

48%

10%

21%

39%

41%

41%

42%

9%

28%

75%

36%

47%

40%

27%

51%

46%

37%

50%

34%

17%

51%

Tim Walz

39%

42%

13%

72%

35%

16%

11%

71%

10%

12%

75%

24%

39%

39%

36%

40%

38%

42%

34%

41%

38%

42%

34%

53%

43%

40%

35%

50%

37%

36%

32%

56%

47%

42%

39%

34%

47%

73%

43%

14%

39%

40%

41%

51%

30%

39%

50%

31%

43%

52%

28%

Joe Biden

38%

39%

5%

80%

32%

22%

5%

75%

10%

6%

79%

10%

37%

39%

35%

41%

38%

39%

33%

41%

37%

39%

28%

64%

43%

39%

30%

58%

39%

30%

27%

69%

45%

44%

38%

34%

46%

78%

41%

11%

40%

36%

40%

53%

26%

37%

51%

27%

43%

56%

26%

Nikki Haley

34%

36%

49%

20%

34%

11%

47%

24%

11%

54%

24%

34%

40%

29%

16%

29%

37%

56%

16%

24%

36%

56%

41%

19%

24%

19%

47%

21%

41%

22%

36%

16%

12%

17%

34%

30%

42%

17%

28%

51%

28%

42%

36%

25%

37%

42%

33%

42%

30%

17%

33%

Mark Robinson

29%

30%

54%

10%

20%

9%

52%

8%

9%

53%

8%

12%

33%

26%

25%

29%

30%

32%

25%

28%

31%

32%

35%

14%

31%

20%

38%

18%

41%

18%

32%

10%

25%

21%

29%

30%

28%

10%

18%

53%

27%

32%

27%

21%

37%

32%

27%

38%

22%

14%

36%

Jill Stein

17%

17%

11%

24%

15%

12%

12%

22%

14%

10%

24%

18%

21%

13%

21%

23%

13%

10%

20%

22%

16%

10%

13%

24%

25%

11%

17%

27%

37%

22%

10%

22%

16%

6%

17%

16%

17%

25%

17%

11%

17%

17%

16%

26%

12%

20%

32%

13%

12%

19%

10%

Cornel West

12%

12%

9%

15%

12%

7%

9%

15%

8%

9%

15%

18%

15%

9%

11%

16%

10%

10%

10%

15%

11%

10%

9%

20%

11%

5%

13%

23%

16%

4%

6%

18%

8%

6%

12%

11%

14%

16%

12%

9%

12%

12%

11%

20%

8%

12%

29%

10%

10%

11%

6%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

1,815

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

F1r: SUMMARY OF B2B - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

South

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Joe Biden

57%

57%

92%

16%

60%

48%

93%

21%

54%

92%

19%

77%

58%

55%

54%

54%

59%

60%

55%

52%

59%

60%

68%

26%

52%

46%

67%

31%

57%

58%

69%

23%

49%

40%

57%

60%

52%

17%

52%

86%

54%

60%

55%

41%

68%

59%

44%

67%

52%

38%

70%

Mark Robinson

55%

57%

33%

77%

62%

39%

33%

79%

43%

35%

83%

63%

55%

55%

50%

51%

57%

64%

49%

52%

55%

64%

52%

67%

53%

55%

53%

63%

52%

61%

51%

69%

54%

52%

55%

50%

65%

78%

61%

35%

56%

56%

58%

62%

48%

57%

59%

51%

60%

66%

45%

Donald Trump

50%

51%

11%

90%

56%

52%

9%

92%

53%

13%

91%

65%

47%

53%

53%

45%

49%

53%

53%

49%

47%

53%

41%

75%

59%

51%

39%

68%

55%

54%

42%

81%

62%

49%

50%

46%

57%

88%

59%

18%

52%

47%

53%

64%

38%

49%

55%

39%

57%

73%

37%

Kamala Harris

50%

51%

89%

5%

50%

38%

92%

7%

45%

90%

9%

60%

53%

47%

39%

47%

54%

58%

38%

44%

54%

58%

63%

14%

40%

45%

64%

18%

47%

55%

62%

10%

35%

40%

50%

51%

47%

8%

41%

84%

46%

54%

50%

27%

63%

55%

33%

62%

45%

20%

63%

Tim Walz

42%

43%

71%

11%

39%

27%

72%

12%

31%

73%

13%

53%

46%

37%

34%

37%

45%

51%

34%

35%

44%

51%

50%

19%

38%

38%

54%

22%

52%

44%

45%

17%

28%

35%

42%

39%

45%

13%

30%

72%

38%

47%

42%

27%

49%

49%

32%

52%

36%

22%

46%

J.D. Vance

41%

43%

13%

71%

44%

27%

11%

72%

29%

12%

78%

57%

40%

41%

40%

36%

43%

45%

39%

38%

41%

45%

36%

55%

48%

36%

36%

55%

44%

29%

35%

55%

52%

39%

41%

35%

52%

74%

47%

14%

41%

42%

46%

49%

30%

43%

45%

34%

48%

53%

26%

Roy Cooper

36%

37%

61%

12%

31%

36%

60%

12%

33%

63%

11%

25%

40%

33%

33%

33%

38%

41%

33%

32%

38%

41%

43%

18%

32%

34%

46%

21%

43%

37%

40%

15%

24%

33%

36%

38%

33%

10%

26%

63%

34%

40%

33%

27%

45%

37%

34%

47%

30%

20%

43%

Nikki Haley

34%

36%

22%

48%

34%

23%

22%

47%

24%

21%

52%

33%

36%

32%

33%

35%

36%

32%

32%

35%

35%

32%

32%

38%

37%

39%

35%

39%

40%

46%

29%

37%

35%

36%

34%

30%

42%

53%

33%

23%

33%

36%

36%

39%

28%

38%

41%

30%

34%

38%

26%

Jill Stein

29%

30%

35%

25%

26%

22%

33%

26%

19%

35%

27%

31%

33%

25%

26%

27%

28%

35%

27%

26%

27%

35%

32%

22%

29%

28%

37%

23%

31%

19%

26%

21%

27%

32%

29%

26%

35%

28%

24%

36%

28%

31%

29%

27%

30%

33%

31%

34%

25%

23%

26%

Josh Stein

27%

29%

45%

9%

26%

16%

45%

10%

22%

48%

10%

34%

31%

24%

24%

25%

27%

33%

26%

22%

28%

33%

32%

14%

23%

33%

36%

14%

31%

34%

28%

13%

18%

32%

27%

26%

30%

10%

19%

47%

24%

32%

28%

19%

31%

33%

22%

34%

24%

16%

28%

Cornel West

25%

26%

24%

25%

27%

10%

25%

25%

15%

27%

27%

28%

31%

19%

23%

20%

24%

32%

25%

20%

23%

32%

25%

24%

23%

26%

32%

25%

39%

23%

18%

22%

11%

28%

25%

22%

30%

26%

23%

26%

21%

30%

28%

22%

23%

36%

24%

28%

19%

19%

18%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

1,815

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

F1r: SUMMARY OF 'NEVER HEARD OF THEM' - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

South

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Cornel West

27%

26%

29%

27%

23%

28%

28%

26%

23%

26%

23%

13%

22%

32%

32%

32%

27%

18%

32%

32%

28%

18%

27%

21%

37%

39%

21%

20%

25%

42%

34%

23%

46%

38%

27%

30%

22%

27%

28%

26%

29%

24%

25%

27%

29%

21%

19%

24%

30%

35%

34%

Jill Stein

15%

14%

16%

15%

15%

13%

17%

13%

20%

14%

12%

6%

12%

18%

20%

16%

14%

10%

20%

18%

14%

10%

15%

16%

16%

21%

11%

16%

4%

32%

19%

16%

25%

15%

15%

17%

12%

13%

17%

15%

17%

13%

15%

13%

17%

12%

9%

14%

17%

17%

20%

Nikki Haley

11%

9%

9%

12%

11%

24%

10%

11%

16%

6%

7%

5%

8%

14%

22%

12%

6%

2%

24%

13%

8%

2%

9%

16%

20%

7%

5%

16%

8%

7%

12%

15%

29%

7%

11%

15%

3%

13%

14%

6%

15%

6%

9%

13%

12%

5%

9%

11%

13%

17%

12%

Josh Stein

7%

5%

8%

5%

8%

18%

8%

5%

13%

7%

3%

4%

5%

8%

13%

9%

5%

1%

13%

9%

6%

1%

6%

8%

10%

8%

4%

9%

0%

11%

8%

7%

18%

6%

7%

9%

3%

6%

8%

6%

8%

5%

6%

7%

8%

5%

5%

6%

6%

10%

10%

J.D. Vance

6%

4%

4%

6%

7%

20%

5%

6%

18%

4%

4%

4%

5%

7%

11%

9%

3%

0%

13%

9%

4%

0%

4%

10%

11%

4%

3%

10%

4%

2%

5%

11%

17%

6%

6%

8%

2%

6%

8%

4%

9%

3%

4%

8%

7%

4%

5%

5%

5%

12%

8%

Tim Walz

6%

4%

5%

5%

7%

14%

6%

5%

11%

3%

3%

4%

4%

7%

11%

7%

4%

0%

13%

7%

4%

0%

5%

8%

6%

5%

2%

9%

4%

6%

7%

7%

8%

5%

6%

8%

1%

6%

7%

3%

7%

3%

4%

6%

7%

3%

5%

5%

6%

6%

9%

Mark Robinson

4%

3%

2%

5%

6%

8%

3%

5%

12%

2%

3%

4%

3%

5%

9%

3%

3%

1%

10%

5%

2%

1%

3%

5%

9%

5%

2%

6%

0%

2%

4%

5%

15%

6%

4%

5%

2%

6%

5%

2%

5%

3%

5%

4%

3%

4%

2%

2%

6%

6%

4%

Roy Cooper

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

8%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

4%

2%

4%

6%

3%

2%

0%

7%

4%

2%

0%

2%

4%

9%

4%

2%

4%

0%

7%

3%

3%

15%

2%

3%

3%

2%

4%

3%

2%

4%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

3%

2%

4%

5%

3%

Joe Biden

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

4%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

3%

1%

1%

0%

3%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

3%

4%

1%

2%

4%

5%

1%

0%

3%

4%

1%

2%

0%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

Kamala Harris

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

3%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

2%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

5%

1%

1%

0%

4%

0%

1%

0%

5%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

1%

0%

1%

Donald Trump

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

1,815

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

F1r: SUMMARY OF 'NO OPINION' - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

South

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Jill Stein

39%

39%

38%

35%

44%

52%

39%

39%

47%

40%

37%

46%

34%

44%

33%

35%

44%

45%

33%

33%

43%

45%

40%

38%

30%

40%

35%

34%

28%

27%

45%

42%

32%

46%

39%

41%

36%

34%

43%

38%

38%

39%

40%

34%

41%

35%

27%

39%

45%

40%

44%

Cornel West

37%

36%

38%

32%

38%

55%

37%

34%

54%

38%

35%

40%

33%

40%

34%

33%

39%

40%

33%

34%

38%

40%

38%

35%

28%

29%

34%

32%

20%

32%

43%

37%

35%

28%

37%

38%

34%

31%

37%

39%

39%

33%

36%

32%

40%

31%

29%

38%

41%

35%

42%

Nikki Haley

21%

19%

20%

20%

22%

42%

20%

18%

49%

18%

16%

29%

15%

26%

29%

24%

20%

10%

28%

27%

20%

10%

18%

28%

18%

34%

13%

23%

11%

25%

23%

32%

23%

39%

21%

25%

13%

16%

24%

20%

24%

16%

18%

23%

23%

14%

18%

17%

23%

28%

29%

Josh Stein

21%

18%

24%

14%

22%

53%

24%

15%

47%

21%

12%

27%

16%

25%

28%

24%

19%

11%

28%

26%

19%

11%

19%

26%

20%

24%

14%

26%

13%

18%

24%

26%

25%

27%

21%

26%

11%

13%

25%

21%

21%

18%

19%

22%

23%

14%

19%

17%

23%

24%

27%

Tim Walz

14%

11%

11%

12%

18%

44%

12%

12%

48%

12%

9%

20%

11%

17%

19%

17%

13%

7%

19%

18%

14%

7%

12%

19%

13%

17%

9%

19%

8%

15%

15%

20%

17%

18%

14%

18%

7%

9%

19%

11%

16%

10%

12%

16%

15%

9%

12%

13%

16%

19%

16%

J.D. Vance

12%

10%

7%

13%

16%

41%

8%

14%

42%

7%

10%

19%

9%

15%

19%

15%

10%

5%

19%

17%

11%

5%

9%

23%

10%

18%

5%

21%

8%

20%

12%

24%

11%

16%

12%

16%

5%

10%

18%

7%

15%

8%

10%

16%

13%

6%

14%

11%

14%

18%

14%

Roy Cooper

12%

10%

11%

11%

12%

40%

11%

11%

33%

9%

7%

23%

10%

14%

22%

14%

8%

4%

24%

15%

9%

4%

9%

18%

14%

17%

7%

18%

13%

15%

12%

19%

14%

18%

12%

15%

7%

11%

15%

10%

13%

10%

12%

12%

12%

9%

11%

9%

14%

14%

15%

Mark Robinson

11%

9%

11%

9%

12%

45%

12%

8%

36%

10%

6%

21%

9%

14%

16%

16%

10%

3%

17%

15%

11%

3%

10%

15%

7%

20%

7%

13%

8%

18%

13%

16%

6%

21%

11%

15%

6%

6%

16%

9%

12%

9%

10%

13%

12%

7%

12%

9%

13%

14%

15%

Joe Biden

4%

2%

2%

3%

7%

28%

2%

3%

32%

1%

2%

13%

4%

4%

9%

4%

3%

0%

8%

6%

3%

0%

2%

9%

2%

11%

2%

10%

0%

7%

3%

7%

3%

12%

4%

5%

2%

3%

7%

2%

5%

3%

4%

4%

4%

4%

3%

4%

4%

5%

4%

Donald Trump

3%

2%

1%

2%

5%

23%

1%

2%

30%

1%

2%

12%

3%

4%

7%

2%

2%

1%

8%

3%

2%

1%

1%

7%

5%

8%

1%

7%

4%

9%

2%

8%

6%

7%

3%

4%

1%

2%

5%

2%

4%

2%

3%

3%

4%

1%

2%

4%

4%

3%

3%

Kamala Harris

3%

1%

1%

1%

6%

22%

1%

1%

32%

0%

1%

11%

2%

3%

5%

3%

2%

1%

5%

3%

3%

1%

1%

6%

0%

8%

1%

6%

0%

7%

2%

6%

0%

8%

3%

4%

1%

1%

5%

1%

4%

2%

2%

3%

3%

1%

3%

3%

2%

4%

3%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

1,815

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

F1r1: Joe Biden - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

38%

39%

5%

80%

32%

22%

5%

75%

10%

6%

79%

10%

37%

39%

35%

41%

38%

39%

33%

41%

37%

39%

28%

64%

43%

39%

30%

58%

39%

30%

27%

69%

45%

44%

-

-

38%

-

34%

46%

78%

41%

11%

40%

36%

40%

53%

26%

37%

51%

27%

43%

56%

26%

Very favorable

16%

17%

2%

39%

9%

5%

1%

33%

2%

1%

36%

2%

15%

17%

12%

17%

16%

20%

12%

16%

16%

20%

11%

30%

19%

12%

12%

26%

19%

9%

11%

34%

18%

13%

-

-

16%

-

15%

18%

37%

15%

5%

18%

14%

17%

21%

12%

14%

22%

12%

21%

20%

11%

Favorable

22%

22%

4%

41%

23%

17%

3%

42%

7%

4%

42%

8%

21%

22%

23%

23%

21%

20%

22%

25%

21%

20%

17%

34%

24%

28%

18%

32%

20%

21%

16%

35%

27%

31%

-

-

22%

-

18%

28%

41%

26%

6%

21%

22%

23%

32%

15%

23%

28%

15%

22%

36%

15%

Unfavorable

16%

15%

17%

11%

20%

26%

16%

15%

27%

14%

13%

29%

15%

17%

21%

17%

16%

10%

23%

17%

16%

10%

16%

15%

17%

14%

16%

13%

12%

13%

16%

17%

21%

14%

-

-

16%

-

17%

14%

11%

19%

15%

17%

15%

15%

17%

17%

14%

14%

17%

15%

20%

17%

Very unfavorable

41%

42%

75%

5%

40%

21%

77%

6%

27%

79%

5%

49%

43%

39%

33%

38%

43%

50%

33%

36%

43%

50%

52%

11%

35%

32%

51%

18%

45%

45%

53%

5%

27%

25%

-

-

41%

-

43%

38%

6%

33%

71%

38%

45%

40%

24%

52%

44%

30%

50%

36%

18%

53%

NET UNFAVORABLE

57%

57%

92%

16%

60%

48%

93%

21%

54%

92%

19%

77%

58%

55%

54%

54%

59%

60%

55%

52%

59%

60%

68%

26%

52%

46%

67%

31%

57%

58%

69%

23%

49%

40%

-

-

57%

-

60%

52%

17%

52%

86%

54%

60%

55%

41%

68%

59%

44%

67%

52%

38%

70%

Never heard of them

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

4%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

3%

1%

1%

0%

3%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

3%

4%

1%

2%

4%

5%

1%

0%

3%

4%

-

-

1%

-

2%

0%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

No opinion

4%

2%

2%

3%

7%

28%

2%

3%

32%

1%

2%

13%

4%

4%

9%

4%

3%

0%

8%

6%

3%

0%

2%

9%

2%

11%

2%

10%

0%

7%

3%

7%

3%

12%

-

-

4%

-

5%

2%

3%

7%

2%

5%

3%

4%

4%

4%

4%

3%

4%

4%

5%

4%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

F1r2: Kamala Harris - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

47%

48%

9%

93%

43%

38%

5%

92%

20%

9%

89%

29%

44%

50%

55%

49%

44%

40%

55%

51%

43%

40%

35%

80%

55%

46%

34%

75%

49%

38%

36%

84%

59%

51%

-

-

47%

-

44%

51%

90%

53%

14%

50%

43%

48%

68%

33%

44%

61%

33%

52%

76%

33%

Very favorable

30%

32%

4%

67%

21%

32%

2%

62%

2%

4%

63%

9%

28%

33%

32%

29%

29%

31%

33%

30%

28%

31%

22%

53%

37%

31%

21%

47%

42%

18%

23%

59%

34%

38%

-

-

30%

-

28%

34%

63%

30%

11%

33%

28%

31%

40%

24%

26%

38%

24%

35%

43%

24%

Favorable

17%

16%

5%

26%

23%

7%

3%

30%

18%

5%

26%

20%

16%

17%

23%

20%

15%

9%

22%

21%

15%

9%

13%

27%

18%

15%

13%

29%

7%

19%

13%

25%

25%

13%

-

-

17%

-

16%

17%

27%

23%

3%

17%

16%

17%

28%

10%

18%

23%

10%

16%

33%

9%

Unfavorable

12%

11%

17%

2%

15%

23%

16%

5%

25%

15%

5%

31%

13%

11%

13%

11%

12%

10%

13%

13%

11%

10%

13%

6%

13%

16%

14%

6%

16%

12%

12%

6%

11%

18%

-

-

12%

-

11%

12%

4%

14%

13%

11%

12%

12%

7%

14%

13%

9%

14%

11%

5%

14%

Very unfavorable

38%

40%

73%

3%

35%

15%

76%

1%

20%

75%

4%

29%

40%

36%

26%

35%

42%

49%

25%

32%

42%

49%

50%

8%

28%

29%

50%

12%

32%

43%

50%

4%

25%

22%

-

-

38%

-

40%

35%

4%

27%

71%

35%

42%

38%

20%

49%

42%

24%

48%

34%

15%

49%

NET UNFAVORABLE

50%

51%

89%

5%

50%

38%

92%

7%

45%

90%

9%

60%

53%

47%

39%

47%

54%

58%

38%

44%

54%

58%

63%

14%

40%

45%

64%

18%

47%

55%

62%

10%

35%

40%

-

-

50%

-

51%

47%

8%

41%

84%

46%

54%

50%

27%

63%

55%

33%

62%

45%

20%

63%

Never heard of them

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

3%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

2%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

5%

1%

1%

0%

4%

0%

1%

0%

5%

1%

-

-

1%

-

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

1%

0%

1%

No opinion

3%

1%

1%

1%

6%

22%

1%

1%

32%

0%

1%

11%

2%

3%

5%

3%

2%

1%

5%

3%

3%

1%

1%

6%

0%

8%

1%

6%

0%

7%

2%

6%

0%

8%

-

-

3%

-

4%

1%

1%

5%

1%

4%

2%

2%

3%

3%

1%

3%

3%

2%

4%

3%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

F1r3: Donald Trump - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

46%

47%

87%

7%

39%

24%

90%

6%

16%

86%

6%

23%

50%

43%

39%

52%

49%

47%

38%

48%

50%

47%

58%

17%

35%

41%

59%

24%

41%

37%

56%

11%

32%

42%

-

-

46%

-

50%

41%

9%

36%

80%

43%

51%

44%

33%

58%

49%

43%

56%

38%

23%

60%

Very favorable

29%

31%

62%

3%

18%

8%

59%

2%

2%

58%

2%

0%

32%

27%

23%

32%

30%

32%

24%

29%

31%

32%

37%

7%

29%

26%

38%

10%

41%

24%

36%

5%

21%

28%

-

-

29%

-

31%

25%

5%

18%

56%

28%

31%

27%

20%

38%

32%

24%

36%

22%

16%

40%

Favorable

17%

17%

26%

5%

21%

17%

30%

4%

14%

28%

4%

23%

18%

16%

16%

19%

19%

14%

15%

19%

20%

14%

21%

10%

6%

14%

21%

14%

0%

13%

21%

6%

11%

15%

-

-

17%

-

18%

16%

5%

18%

24%

16%

20%

17%

13%

20%

17%

19%

20%

17%

7%

20%

Unfavorable

10%

10%

6%

12%

15%

11%

7%

12%

22%

8%

10%

26%

10%

10%

14%

9%

9%

9%

16%

9%

9%

9%

8%

18%

6%

13%

7%

20%

9%

19%

9%

16%

5%

10%

-

-

10%

-

10%

11%

9%

13%

8%

11%

9%

9%

13%

10%

9%

14%

9%

9%

13%

11%

Very unfavorable

40%

41%

5%

78%

41%

42%

2%

80%

30%

5%

81%

40%

37%

43%

39%

37%

41%

44%

38%

39%

39%

44%

33%

57%

53%

37%

33%

48%

46%

35%

33%

65%

58%

39%

-

-

40%

-

36%

47%

79%

46%

10%

41%

39%

45%

51%

28%

41%

41%

30%

48%

60%

26%

NET UNFAVORABLE

50%

51%

11%

90%

56%

52%

9%

92%

53%

13%

91%

65%

47%

53%

53%

45%

49%

53%

53%

49%

47%

53%

41%

75%

59%

51%

39%

68%

55%

54%

42%

81%

62%

49%

-

-

50%

-

46%

57%

88%

59%

18%

52%

47%

53%

64%

38%

49%

55%

39%

57%

73%

37%

Never heard of them

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

-

-

0%

-

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

No opinion

3%

2%

1%

2%

5%

23%

1%

2%

30%

1%

2%

12%

3%

4%

7%

2%

2%

1%

8%

3%

2%

1%

1%

7%

5%

8%

1%

7%

4%

9%

2%

8%

6%

7%

-

-

3%

-

4%

1%

2%

5%

2%

4%

2%

3%

3%

4%

1%

2%

4%

4%

3%

3%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

F1r4: Nikki Haley - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

34%

36%

49%

20%

34%

11%

47%

24%

11%

54%

24%

34%

40%

29%

16%

29%

37%

56%

16%

24%

36%

56%

41%

19%

24%

19%

47%

21%

41%

22%

36%

16%

12%

17%

-

-

34%

-

30%

42%

17%

28%

51%

28%

42%

36%

25%

37%

42%

33%

42%

30%

17%

33%

Very favorable

9%

9%

14%

4%

7%

3%

14%

5%

2%

15%

5%

5%

11%

7%

4%

7%

7%

18%

5%

5%

7%

18%

11%

3%

9%

4%

14%

2%

13%

5%

8%

4%

6%

4%

-

-

9%

-

8%

10%

5%

5%

16%

7%

11%

9%

5%

11%

11%

7%

14%

8%

2%

8%

Favorable

25%

27%

35%

15%

27%

8%

34%

19%

9%

39%

19%

30%

29%

22%

12%

22%

31%

37%

11%

19%

30%

37%

30%

16%

15%

15%

33%

19%

28%

17%

28%

12%

6%

14%

-

-

25%

-

22%

32%

13%

23%

35%

20%

31%

27%

20%

26%

32%

26%

28%

22%

15%

25%

Unfavorable

20%

20%

15%

25%

19%

12%

15%

25%

11%

14%

28%

21%

22%

17%

18%

18%

22%

20%

18%

17%

22%

20%

20%

19%

18%

28%

21%

24%

19%

24%

18%

14%

18%

30%

-

-

20%

-

17%

25%

26%

20%

16%

19%

22%

22%

20%

15%

24%

23%

18%

21%

18%

13%

Very unfavorable

14%

15%

7%

23%

14%

11%

7%

22%

13%

8%

24%

12%

14%

14%

15%

17%

14%

12%

13%

18%

14%

12%

12%

19%

19%

12%

13%

16%

21%

22%

12%

22%

18%

7%

-

-

14%

-

13%

17%

27%

14%

7%

15%

15%

14%

19%

12%

15%

18%

12%

13%

20%

13%

NET UNFAVORABLE

34%

36%

22%

48%

34%

23%

22%

47%

24%

21%

52%

33%

36%

32%

33%

35%

36%

32%

32%

35%

35%

32%

32%

38%

37%

39%

35%

39%

40%

46%

29%

37%

35%

36%

-

-

34%

-

30%

42%

53%

33%

23%

33%

36%

36%

39%

28%

38%

41%

30%

34%

38%

26%

Never heard of them

11%

9%

9%

12%

11%

24%

10%

11%

16%

6%

7%

5%

8%

14%

22%

12%

6%

2%

24%

13%

8%

2%

9%

16%

20%

7%

5%

16%

8%

7%

12%

15%

29%

7%

-

-

11%

-

15%

3%

13%

14%

6%

15%

6%

9%

13%

12%

5%

9%

11%

13%

17%

12%

No opinion

21%

19%

20%

20%

22%

42%

20%

18%

49%

18%

16%

29%

15%

26%

29%

24%

20%

10%

28%

27%

20%

10%

18%

28%

18%

34%

13%

23%

11%

25%

23%

32%

23%

39%

-

-

21%

-

25%

13%

16%

24%

20%

24%

16%

18%

23%

23%

14%

18%

17%

23%

28%

29%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

F1r7: Cornel West - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

12%

12%

9%

15%

12%

7%

9%

15%

8%

9%

15%

18%

15%

9%

11%

16%

10%

10%

10%

15%

11%

10%

9%

20%

11%

5%

13%

23%

16%

4%

6%

18%

8%

6%

-

-

12%

-

11%

14%

16%

12%

9%

12%

12%

11%

20%

8%

12%

29%

10%

10%

11%

6%

Very favorable

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

3%

1%

2%

3%

4%

3%

2%

3%

3%

1%

2%

3%

3%

1%

2%

1%

5%

2%

1%

2%

6%

4%

0%

1%

5%

0%

2%

-

-

2%

-

2%

2%

4%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

4%

1%

2%

7%

2%

3%

0%

1%

Favorable

9%

10%

7%

12%

10%

5%

8%

11%

7%

8%

12%

14%

12%

7%

8%

13%

9%

8%

7%

12%

10%

8%

8%

15%

10%

4%

11%

17%

12%

4%

5%

13%

8%

4%

-

-

9%

-

8%

11%

12%

10%

7%

9%

10%

8%

16%

7%

10%

22%

8%

7%

11%

5%

Unfavorable

13%

14%

12%

14%

15%

7%

13%

14%

9%

13%

15%

11%

16%

11%

16%

11%

15%

11%

17%

12%

14%

11%

14%

13%

10%

14%

16%

16%

13%

8%

11%

11%

8%

18%

-

-

13%

-

13%

14%

15%

13%

12%

12%

16%

14%

15%

12%

18%

17%

12%

10%

12%

12%

Very unfavorable

11%

12%

12%

11%

12%

4%

12%

11%

6%

14%

12%

17%

15%

8%

7%

8%

9%

20%

7%

8%

9%

20%

12%

10%

13%

12%

16%

10%

26%

15%

7%

11%

3%

10%

-

-

11%

-

9%

15%

11%

10%

14%

9%

14%

14%

7%

11%

19%

7%

16%

9%

7%

7%

NET UNFAVORABLE

25%

26%

24%

25%

27%

10%

25%

25%

15%

27%

27%

28%

31%

19%

23%

20%

24%

32%

25%

20%

23%

32%

25%

24%

23%

26%

32%

25%

39%

23%

18%

22%

11%

28%

-

-

25%

-

22%

30%

26%

23%

26%

21%

30%

28%

22%

23%

36%

24%

28%

19%

19%

18%

Never heard of them

27%

26%

29%

27%

23%

28%

28%

26%

23%

26%

23%

13%

22%

32%

32%

32%

27%

18%

32%

32%

28%

18%

27%

21%

37%

39%

21%

20%

25%

42%

34%

23%

46%

38%

-

-

27%

-

30%

22%

27%

28%

26%

29%

24%

25%

27%

29%

21%

19%

24%

30%

35%

34%

No opinion

37%

36%

38%

32%

38%

55%

37%

34%

54%

38%

35%

40%

33%

40%

34%

33%

39%

40%

33%

34%

38%

40%

38%

35%

28%

29%

34%

32%

20%

32%

43%

37%

35%

28%

-

-

37%

-

38%

34%

31%

37%

39%

39%

33%

36%

32%

40%

31%

29%

38%

41%

35%

42%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

F1r8: Jill Stein - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

17%

17%

11%

24%

15%

12%

12%

22%

14%

10%

24%

18%

21%

13%

21%

23%

13%

10%

20%

22%

16%

10%

13%

24%

25%

11%

17%

27%

37%

22%

10%

22%

16%

6%

-

-

17%

-

16%

17%

25%

17%

11%

17%

17%

16%

26%

12%

20%

32%

13%

12%

19%

10%

Very favorable

5%

5%

2%

8%

4%

6%

3%

7%

4%

2%

8%

4%

5%

4%

7%

6%

4%

2%

7%

7%

4%

2%

3%

8%

11%

3%

4%

7%

15%

5%

2%

9%

8%

2%

-

-

5%

-

5%

5%

9%

4%

3%

5%

5%

4%

9%

2%

5%

10%

3%

4%

9%

2%

Favorable

12%

12%

9%

16%

11%

6%

9%

15%

10%

9%

16%

14%

15%

9%

14%

17%

10%

7%

13%

16%

12%

7%

10%

16%

14%

9%

13%

20%

23%

18%

7%

13%

8%

4%

-

-

12%

-

11%

12%

16%

12%

8%

12%

12%

12%

16%

9%

15%

22%

11%

8%

11%

8%

Unfavorable

16%

16%

18%

13%

15%

18%

17%

15%

11%

18%

15%

17%

18%

14%

17%

14%

15%

17%

17%

15%

15%

17%

17%

13%

15%

15%

19%

14%

14%

19%

15%

12%

16%

13%

-

-

16%

-

15%

17%

13%

16%

17%

15%

16%

17%

16%

14%

18%

21%

16%

16%

12%

13%

Very unfavorable

13%

14%

17%

12%

11%

5%

16%

11%

8%

18%

12%

13%

15%

11%

9%

13%

13%

18%

10%

12%

13%

18%

15%

9%

14%

13%

18%

8%

17%

0%

11%

9%

11%

19%

-

-

13%

-

11%

17%

14%

8%

19%

12%

15%

12%

11%

16%

15%

11%

18%

10%

11%

13%

NET UNFAVORABLE

29%

30%

35%

25%

26%

22%

33%

26%

19%

35%

27%

31%

33%

25%

26%

27%

28%

35%

27%

26%

27%

35%

32%

22%

29%

28%

37%

23%

31%

19%

26%

21%

27%

32%

-

-

29%

-

26%

35%

28%

24%

36%

28%

31%

29%

27%

30%

33%

31%

34%

25%

23%

26%

Never heard of them

15%

14%

16%

15%

15%

13%

17%

13%

20%

14%

12%

6%

12%

18%

20%

16%

14%

10%

20%

18%

14%

10%

15%

16%

16%

21%

11%

16%

4%

32%

19%

16%

25%

15%

-

-

15%

-

17%

12%

13%

17%

15%

17%

13%

15%

13%

17%

12%

9%

14%

17%

17%

20%

No opinion

39%

39%

38%

35%

44%

52%

39%

39%

47%

40%

37%

46%

34%

44%

33%

35%

44%

45%

33%

33%

43%

45%

40%

38%

30%

40%

35%

34%

28%

27%

45%

42%

32%

46%

-

-

39%

-

41%

36%

34%

43%

38%

38%

39%

40%

34%

41%

35%

27%

39%

45%

40%

44%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

F1r10: J.D. Vance - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

41%

43%

76%

9%

33%

11%

76%

8%

12%

77%

8%

20%

46%

37%

30%

40%

44%

50%

30%

37%

44%

50%

52%

12%

30%

42%

56%

15%

44%

48%

48%

10%

21%

39%

-

-

41%

-

41%

42%

9%

28%

75%

36%

47%

40%

27%

51%

46%

37%

50%

34%

17%

51%

Very favorable

22%

24%

46%

3%

14%

5%

44%

2%

2%

46%

3%

2%

24%

21%

13%

19%

26%

31%

12%

16%

26%

31%

29%

4%

23%

17%

29%

3%

41%

10%

28%

4%

11%

21%

-

-

22%

-

22%

23%

2%

11%

47%

19%

27%

23%

7%

30%

27%

8%

29%

19%

6%

31%

Favorable

19%

20%

31%

6%

19%

6%

32%

6%

10%

31%

5%

18%

22%

16%

17%

21%

18%

18%

18%

21%

18%

18%

23%

9%

7%

25%

26%

11%

4%

38%

20%

6%

9%

18%

-

-

19%

-

19%

18%

8%

17%

28%

17%

20%

17%

20%

21%

19%

28%

22%

14%

11%

20%

Unfavorable

13%

13%

7%

16%

17%

10%

8%

18%

13%

8%

18%

31%

12%

13%

14%

13%

13%

11%

14%

13%

13%

11%

11%

18%

13%

10%

11%

19%

9%

0%

11%

18%

16%

15%

-

-

13%

-

11%

15%

15%

16%

7%

12%

14%

13%

16%

10%

12%

15%

10%

14%

17%

10%

Very unfavorable

28%

30%

6%

56%

26%

17%

4%

55%

16%

4%

60%

26%

28%

28%

26%

23%

30%

34%

25%

26%

28%

34%

25%

36%

35%

26%

25%

36%

35%

29%

25%

37%

35%

25%

-

-

28%

-

24%

37%

59%

31%

7%

28%

28%

32%

33%

20%

31%

30%

24%

34%

36%

17%

NET UNFAVORABLE

41%

43%

13%

71%

44%

27%

11%

72%

29%

12%

78%

57%

40%

41%

40%

36%

43%

45%

39%

38%

41%

45%

36%

55%

48%

36%

36%

55%

44%

29%

35%

55%

52%

39%

-

-

41%

-

35%

52%

74%

47%

14%

41%

42%

46%

49%

30%

43%

45%

34%

48%

53%

26%

Never heard of them

6%

4%

4%

6%

7%

20%

5%

6%

18%

4%

4%

4%

5%

7%

11%

9%

3%

0%

13%

9%

4%

0%

4%

10%

11%

4%

3%

10%

4%

2%

5%

11%

17%

6%

-

-

6%

-

8%

2%

6%

8%

4%

9%

3%

4%

8%

7%

4%

5%

5%

5%

12%

8%

No opinion

12%

10%

7%

13%

16%

41%

8%

14%

42%

7%

10%

19%

9%

15%

19%

15%

10%

5%

19%

17%

11%

5%

9%

23%

10%

18%

5%

21%

8%

20%

12%

24%

11%

16%

-

-

12%

-

16%

5%

10%

18%

7%

15%

8%

10%

16%

13%

6%

14%

11%

14%

18%

14%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

F1r35: Roy Cooper - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

49%

51%

26%

74%

54%

15%

26%

74%

31%

26%

80%

49%

48%

49%

39%

50%

52%

55%

36%

50%

51%

55%

45%

60%

45%

46%

46%

57%

44%

41%

45%

63%

47%

48%

-

-

49%

-

44%

58%

75%

56%

25%

50%

49%

52%

57%

40%

51%

52%

42%

53%

62%

39%

Very favorable

24%

26%

5%

46%

25%

5%

4%

46%

14%

5%

52%

14%

21%

27%

16%

21%

28%

33%

15%

20%

27%

33%

22%

32%

25%

22%

20%

28%

16%

19%

24%

36%

31%

23%

-

-

24%

-

21%

30%

49%

27%

7%

26%

23%

28%

25%

19%

24%

18%

20%

31%

33%

19%

Favorable

25%

25%

20%

28%

29%

10%

22%

28%

16%

21%

28%

35%

27%

22%

23%

30%

24%

22%

21%

30%

25%

22%

24%

28%

20%

24%

26%

30%

28%

22%

21%

27%

15%

25%

-

-

25%

-

23%

28%

26%

30%

18%

24%

25%

24%

31%

21%

27%

34%

22%

21%

29%

20%

Unfavorable

16%

16%

25%

7%

14%

27%

24%

8%

17%

25%

7%

10%

18%

14%

17%

15%

16%

16%

18%

16%

15%

16%

18%

11%

14%

17%

20%

11%

18%

10%

16%

10%

11%

21%

-

-

16%

-

16%

16%

6%

14%

24%

15%

18%

14%

14%

20%

15%

17%

22%

13%

11%

19%

Very unfavorable

20%

21%

35%

5%

18%

9%

36%

4%

16%

38%

4%

14%

22%

18%

16%

18%

22%

24%

15%

16%

23%

24%

25%

7%

18%

17%

25%

9%

25%

28%

24%

5%

13%

12%

-

-

20%

-

21%

17%

4%

11%

39%

19%

22%

20%

13%

25%

22%

16%

25%

17%

9%

25%

NET UNFAVORABLE

36%

37%

61%

12%

31%

36%

60%

12%

33%

63%

11%

25%

40%

33%

33%

33%

38%

41%

33%

32%

38%

41%

43%

18%

32%

34%

46%

21%

43%

37%

40%

15%

24%

33%

-

-

36%

-

38%

33%

10%

26%

63%

34%

40%

33%

27%

45%

37%

34%

47%

30%

20%

43%

Never heard of them

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

8%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

4%

2%

4%

6%

3%

2%

0%

7%

4%

2%

0%

2%

4%

9%

4%

2%

4%

0%

7%

3%

3%

15%

2%

-

-

3%

-

3%

2%

4%

3%

2%

4%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

3%

2%

4%

5%

3%

No opinion

12%

10%

11%

11%

12%

40%

11%

11%

33%

9%

7%

23%

10%

14%

22%

14%

8%

4%

24%

15%

9%

4%

9%

18%

14%

17%

7%

18%

13%

15%

12%

19%

14%

18%

-

-

12%

-

15%

7%

11%

15%

10%

13%

10%

12%

12%

12%

9%

11%

9%

14%

14%

15%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

F1r36: Mark Robinson - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

29%

30%

54%

10%

20%

9%

52%

8%

9%

53%

8%

12%

33%

26%

25%

29%

30%

32%

25%

28%

31%

32%

35%

14%

31%

20%

38%

18%

41%

18%

32%

10%

25%

21%

-

-

29%

-

30%

28%

10%

18%

53%

27%

32%

27%

21%

37%

32%

27%

38%

22%

14%

36%

Very favorable

13%

13%

25%

3%

7%

5%

24%

3%

0%

26%

2%

0%

14%

11%

12%

11%

13%

14%

12%

10%

14%

14%

15%

5%

22%

9%

16%

6%

32%

8%

14%

3%

15%

10%

-

-

13%

-

13%

12%

3%

6%

26%

11%

14%

13%

6%

15%

17%

8%

14%

10%

4%

17%

Favorable

17%

17%

29%

6%

13%

5%

29%

5%

9%

28%

5%

12%

19%

14%

13%

18%

18%

17%

13%

18%

17%

17%

20%

9%

9%

11%

23%

11%

9%

10%

18%

6%

10%

11%

-

-

17%

-

17%

16%

7%

12%

28%

16%

18%

14%

14%

22%

15%

18%

24%

12%

11%

19%

Unfavorable

13%

14%

13%

10%

17%

16%

15%

11%

16%

17%

11%

12%

14%

12%

17%

11%

12%

12%

17%

13%

12%

12%

13%

14%

9%

26%

14%

14%

13%

38%

12%

14%

7%

20%

-

-

13%

-

13%

14%

10%

15%

14%

12%

15%

13%

15%

13%

13%

20%

12%

13%

10%

13%

Very unfavorable

42%

44%

20%

66%

45%

23%

18%

68%

27%

19%

73%

52%

41%

43%

33%

40%

45%

52%

31%

39%

43%

52%

39%

53%

44%

30%

39%

49%

39%

24%

39%

56%

47%

33%

-

-

42%

-

37%

50%

69%

46%

22%

44%

41%

45%

47%

35%

44%

38%

39%

47%

56%

31%

NET UNFAVORABLE

55%

57%

33%

77%

62%

39%

33%

79%

43%

35%

83%

63%

55%

55%

50%

51%

57%

64%

49%

52%

55%

64%

52%

67%

53%

55%

53%

63%

52%

61%

51%

69%

54%

52%

-

-

55%

-

50%

65%

78%

61%

35%

56%

56%

58%

62%

48%

57%

59%

51%

60%

66%

45%

Never heard of them

4%

3%

2%

5%

6%

8%

3%

5%

12%

2%

3%

4%

3%

5%

9%

3%

3%

1%

10%

5%

2%

1%

3%

5%

9%

5%

2%

6%

0%

2%

4%

5%

15%

6%

-

-

4%

-

5%

2%

6%

5%

2%

5%

3%

5%

4%

3%

4%

2%

2%

6%

6%

4%

No opinion

11%

9%

11%

9%

12%

45%

12%

8%

36%

10%

6%

21%

9%

14%

16%

16%

10%

3%

17%

15%

11%

3%

10%

15%

7%

20%

7%

13%

8%

18%

13%

16%

6%

21%

-

-

11%

-

15%

6%

6%

16%

9%

12%

9%

10%

13%

12%

7%

12%

9%

13%

14%

15%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

F1r37: Josh Stein - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

45%

48%

24%

72%

44%

13%

22%

71%

18%

25%

76%

35%

47%

43%

36%

43%

48%

54%

33%

43%

47%

54%

43%

53%

46%

35%

46%

51%

56%

36%

40%

55%

39%

35%

-

-

45%

-

39%

56%

71%

49%

25%

46%

45%

47%

52%

39%

47%

54%

43%

47%

50%

35%

Very favorable

19%

20%

5%

38%

15%

7%

4%

36%

0%

4%

40%

10%

18%

19%

13%

16%

18%

28%

13%

16%

17%

28%

17%

24%

23%

14%

17%

21%

25%

10%

16%

27%

21%

16%

-

-

19%

-

16%

23%

39%

19%

6%

20%

18%

20%

21%

16%

17%

21%

19%

22%

21%

14%

Favorable

26%

28%

19%

34%

30%

5%

19%

35%

18%

21%

36%

25%

29%

24%

22%

26%

30%

26%

21%

27%

29%

26%

26%

28%

23%

21%

28%

30%

31%

25%

24%

27%

18%

19%

-

-

26%

-

22%

33%

31%

30%

19%

26%

27%

27%

31%

22%

30%

33%

24%

25%

29%

20%

Unfavorable

13%

13%

18%

6%

14%

13%

20%

6%

10%

19%

6%

27%

14%

12%

13%

10%

14%

14%

16%

10%

13%

14%

15%

8%

5%

19%

17%

9%

4%

14%

13%

7%

5%

21%

-

-

13%

-

12%

15%

7%

11%

19%

11%

16%

13%

10%

14%

14%

14%

15%

12%

7%

14%

Very unfavorable

14%

15%

26%

3%

13%

3%

26%

3%

11%

29%

3%

8%

17%

12%

11%

14%

13%

19%

10%

12%

15%

19%

17%

6%

19%

14%

19%

6%

27%

20%

15%

6%

13%

11%

-

-

14%

-

14%

14%

3%

8%

28%

14%

16%

15%

9%

16%

20%

8%

19%

12%

10%

14%

NET UNFAVORABLE

27%

29%

45%

9%

26%

16%

45%

10%

22%

48%

10%

34%

31%

24%

24%

25%

27%

33%

26%

22%

28%

33%

32%

14%

23%

33%

36%

14%

31%

34%

28%

13%

18%

32%

-

-

27%

-

26%

30%

10%

19%

47%

24%

32%

28%

19%

31%

33%

22%

34%

24%

16%

28%

Never heard of them

7%

5%

8%

5%

8%

18%

8%

5%

13%

7%

3%

4%

5%

8%

13%

9%

5%

1%

13%

9%

6%

1%

6%

8%

10%

8%

4%

9%

0%

11%

8%

7%

18%

6%

-

-

7%

-

9%

3%

6%

8%

6%

8%

5%

6%

7%

8%

5%

5%

6%

6%

10%

10%

No opinion

21%

18%

24%

14%

22%

53%

24%

15%

47%

21%

12%

27%

16%

25%

28%

24%

19%

11%

28%

26%

19%

11%

19%

26%

20%

24%

14%

26%

13%

18%

24%

26%

25%

27%

-

-

21%

-

26%

11%

13%

25%

21%

21%

18%

19%

22%

23%

14%

19%

17%

23%

24%

27%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

H1b: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican, and Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump

48%

49%

91%

5%

43%

18%

100%

0%

0%

92%

5%

15%

51%

44%

39%

50%

51%

52%

38%

45%

52%

52%

61%

13%

36%

45%

62%

20%

46%

53%

60%

6%

30%

41%

-

-

48%

-

50%

44%

8%

37%

84%

43%

54%

46%

29%

62%

52%

35%

61%

40%

22%

63%

Kamala Harris

47%

48%

7%

94%

45%

42%

0%

100%

0%

6%

94%

36%

44%

50%

52%

45%

45%

46%

53%

49%

43%

46%

35%

79%

62%

44%

35%

71%

54%

38%

35%

85%

67%

47%

-

-

47%

-

44%

53%

89%

54%

14%

50%

43%

50%

65%

33%

45%

59%

34%

54%

72%

32%

Don’t Know / Unsure

5%

3%

2%

1%

12%

39%

0%

0%

100%

2%

2%

49%

4%

6%

9%

5%

4%

2%

9%

6%

5%

2%

4%

8%

2%

11%

3%

8%

0%

9%

5%

9%

3%

11%

-

-

5%

-

6%

3%

3%

9%

2%

7%

3%

4%

6%

5%

3%

6%

5%

6%

7%

5%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

H1bL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump

53%

48%

58%

34%

52%

59%

-

-

53%

73%

36%

53%

53%

52%

55%

58%

44%

47%

58%

57%

44%

47%

50%

55%

100%

48%

46%

61%

-

60%

52%

50%

100%

43%

-

-

53%

-

54%

47%

33%

55%

59%

53%

47%

56%

50%

50%

50%

59%

52%

59%

43%

49%

Kamala Harris

47%

52%

42%

66%

48%

41%

-

-

47%

27%

64%

47%

47%

48%

45%

42%

56%

53%

42%

43%

56%

53%

50%

45%

0%

52%

54%

39%

-

40%

48%

50%

0%

57%

-

-

47%

-

46%

53%

67%

45%

41%

47%

53%

44%

50%

50%

50%

41%

48%

41%

57%

51%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

116

54

12

12

70

22

0

0

116

17

15

17

44

72

47

32

25

12

29

38

37

12

64

40

1

11

23

17

0

4

41

23

1

7

0

0

116

0

88

28

15

85

16

79

31

49

26

41

17

10

17

32

16

24

H1bM: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican, and Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump+leaners

50.5%

50.2%

92.2%

5.2%

49.2%

41.4%

100.0%

0.0%

52.6%

93.5%

5.4%

41.2%

53.7%

47.6%

43.8%

52.6%

53.0%

53.1%

43.4%

48.9%

54.1%

53.1%

62.9%

17.6%

38.2%

50.5%

63.2%

25.4%

46.3%

58.7%

62.7%

10.7%

32.6%

46.4%

-

-

50.5%

-

53.1%

45.8%

9.0%

41.6%

85.4%

46.7%

55.1%

48.2%

31.7%

64.5%

53.3%

38.7%

63.7%

43.4%

24.5%

65.2%

Kamala Harris+leaners

49.5%

49.8%

7.8%

94.8%

50.8%

58.6%

0.0%

100.0%

47.4%

6.5%

94.6%

58.9%

46.3%

52.4%

56.2%

47.4%

47.0%

46.9%

56.6%

51.1%

45.9%

46.9%

37.1%

82.4%

61.8%

49.5%

36.8%

74.6%

53.7%

41.3%

37.3%

89.3%

67.4%

53.6%

-

-

49.5%

-

46.9%

54.2%

91.1%

58.4%

14.6%

53.3%

44.9%

51.8%

68.3%

35.5%

46.7%

61.3%

36.3%

56.6%

75.5%

34.8%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

QH1DJT: Would you say your choice is more of a vote…

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

For Donald Trump

78%

78%

84%

79%

63%

81%

80%

-

49%

80%

49%

61%

79%

77%

81%

82%

78%

71%

82%

81%

80%

71%

76%

83%

100%

76%

77%

84%

100%

82%

76%

80%

100%

73%

-

-

78%

-

80%

73%

90%

70%

81%

79%

77%

77%

85%

77%

79%

84%

77%

75%

86%

77%

Against Kamala Harris

22%

22%

16%

21%

37%

19%

20%

-

51%

20%

51%

39%

21%

23%

19%

18%

22%

29%

18%

19%

20%

29%

24%

17%

0%

24%

23%

16%

0%

18%

24%

20%

0%

27%

-

-

22%

-

20%

27%

10%

30%

19%

21%

23%

23%

15%

23%

21%

16%

23%

25%

14%

23%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

864

751

577

37

227

23

803

0

61

611

40

15

365

499

188

253

232

191

123

244

306

191

735

70

23

36

301

42

10

12

434

28

13

24

0

0

864

0

595

269

37

316

511

443

396

359

113

392

161

60

144

198

53

248

QH1KH: Would you say your choice is more of a vote…

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

For Kamala Harris

72%

72%

46%

81%

59%

51%

-

74%

46%

53%

74%

39%

69%

75%

78%

77%

67%

65%

80%

76%

68%

65%

60%

85%

83%

79%

56%

84%

94%

70%

64%

86%

76%

83%

-

-

72%

-

77%

65%

77%

67%

74%

76%

66%

69%

76%

73%

65%

79%

66%

73%

74%

80%

Against Donald Trump

28%

28%

54%

19%

41%

49%

-

26%

54%

47%

26%

61%

31%

25%

22%

23%

33%

35%

20%

24%

32%

35%

40%

15%

17%

21%

44%

16%

6%

30%

36%

14%

24%

17%

-

-

28%

-

23%

35%

23%

33%

26%

24%

34%

31%

24%

27%

35%

21%

34%

27%

26%

20%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

951

849

51

644

231

25

0

896

55

44

693

21

391

560

258

272

229

192

175

290

294

192

500

375

40

36

220

147

14

10

280

228

26

26

0

0

951

0

584

367

392

458

101

558

366

432

273

246

175

115

101

257

158

145

LW1: Regardless of who you support, if you had to pick, who do you think is more likely to win in the presidential election in November, Kamala Harris or Donald Trump?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Kamala Harris

49%

49%

13%

88%

50%

51%

9%

90%

46%

12%

88%

50%

46%

52%

53%

45%

47%

50%

53%

49%

46%

50%

39%

78%

55%

45%

38%

71%

50%

41%

39%

85%

58%

47%

-

-

49%

-

47%

53%

83%

57%

19%

52%

45%

52%

64%

37%

47%

57%

39%

56%

71%

36%

Donald Trump

51%

51%

87%

12%

50%

49%

91%

10%

54%

88%

12%

50%

54%

48%

47%

55%

53%

50%

47%

51%

54%

50%

61%

22%

45%

55%

62%

29%

50%

59%

61%

15%

42%

53%

-

-

51%

-

53%

47%

17%

43%

81%

48%

55%

48%

36%

63%

53%

43%

61%

44%

29%

64%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

H2b: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate

48%

49%

91%

4%

43%

19%

97%

1%

13%

91%

5%

27%

51%

44%

39%

48%

52%

52%

40%

44%

52%

52%

61%

13%

38%

45%

61%

20%

50%

55%

60%

7%

30%

40%

-

-

48%

-

49%

44%

8%

36%

84%

43%

54%

46%

29%

61%

52%

36%

59%

40%

21%

62%

Kamala Harris, running as the Democratic party candidate

46%

48%

7%

94%

43%

41%

1%

97%

8%

5%

93%

27%

44%

49%

51%

45%

44%

45%

51%

48%

43%

45%

34%

79%

57%

44%

35%

72%

50%

34%

34%

85%

62%

49%

-

-

46%

-

43%

52%

88%

54%

13%

49%

43%

49%

63%

33%

45%

56%

34%

53%

70%

32%

Cornel West, running as an independent candidate

1%

1%

0%

0%

3%

5%

1%

1%

8%

1%

1%

15%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

2%

1%

1%

0%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

0%

0%

1%

1%

3%

1%

-

-

1%

-

1%

0%

1%

2%

0%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

2%

2%

1%

2%

0%

Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

6%

0%

1%

5%

0%

1%

7%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

3%

0%

-

-

1%

-

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

Don't Know / Unsure

4%

2%

2%

1%

10%

29%

1%

1%

67%

2%

1%

24%

4%

5%

7%

4%

3%

3%

7%

5%

4%

3%

4%

6%

2%

11%

3%

6%

0%

11%

4%

7%

3%

10%

-

-

4%

-

5%

3%

2%

8%

2%

6%

3%

3%

6%

5%

2%

6%

4%

5%

6%

5%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

H2bL: Between the four choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate

37%

37%

64%

55%

23%

52%

100%

0%

36%

57%

21%

46%

39%

36%

36%

44%

36%

33%

33%

48%

35%

33%

41%

37%

0%

24%

48%

34%

-

0%

36%

39%

0%

38%

-

-

37%

-

34%

47%

27%

34%

56%

36%

35%

31%

36%

44%

28%

46%

39%

32%

25%

48%

Kamala Harris, running as the Democratic party candidate

40%

38%

24%

35%

45%

40%

0%

88%

37%

31%

63%

10%

38%

41%

28%

36%

61%

53%

26%

31%

56%

53%

46%

37%

0%

23%

43%

29%

-

33%

48%

41%

0%

18%

-

-

40%

-

43%

29%

38%

42%

28%

45%

25%

30%

47%

44%

20%

43%

44%

33%

51%

43%

Cornel West, running as an independent candidate

13%

13%

5%

0%

18%

7%

0%

12%

15%

0%

0%

44%

13%

13%

17%

11%

4%

14%

23%

10%

4%

14%

10%

7%

100%

31%

9%

7%

-

67%

11%

6%

100%

10%

-

-

13%

-

10%

22%

13%

12%

16%

11%

20%

25%

13%

2%

37%

11%

0%

20%

15%

3%

Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate

10%

11%

8%

9%

14%

0%

0%

0%

13%

13%

15%

0%

10%

10%

19%

9%

0%

0%

19%

12%

5%

0%

3%

20%

0%

22%

0%

29%

-

0%

5%

13%

0%

34%

-

-

10%

-

13%

3%

22%

11%

0%

7%

20%

14%

4%

11%

15%

0%

16%

14%

9%

7%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

93

37

15

8

53

17

8

10

75

18

11

8

33

60

38

25

16

14

23

31

25

14

52

30

1

10

18

11

0

4

34

19

1

6

0

0

93

0

70

23

10

71

12

66

22

34

22

37

11

9

13

23

13

24

H2bM: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump+leaners

49%

49%

92%

5%

45%

35%

98%

1%

37%

92%

5%

38%

52%

46%

42%

50%

53%

53%

42%

47%

53%

53%

62%

16%

38%

47%

62%

22%

50%

55%

62%

10%

30%

43%

-

-

49%

-

51%

46%

9%

39%

85%

45%

54%

47%

31%

63%

52%

39%

61%

42%

23%

65%

Kamala Harris+leaners

48%

49%

7%

94%

47%

53%

1%

98%

32%

6%

93%

29%

45%

51%

53%

47%

46%

47%

53%

50%

45%

47%

36%

81%

57%

46%

36%

73%

50%

38%

36%

88%

62%

51%

-

-

48%

-

45%

53%

89%

57%

14%

52%

44%

50%

66%

35%

46%

59%

36%

55%

73%

34%

Cornel West+leaners

2%

1%

0%

0%

4%

7%

1%

1%

17%

1%

1%

25%

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

1%

3%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

3%

4%

1%

3%

0%

8%

1%

2%

6%

2%

-

-

2%

-

2%

1%

1%

3%

1%

2%

1%

2%

3%

1%

1%

3%

2%

2%

3%

1%

Jill Stein+leaners

1%

1%

0%

0%

3%

6%

0%

1%

13%

0%

1%

7%

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

0%

2%

2%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

0%

0%

1%

1%

3%

3%

-

-

1%

-

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

1%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

HORSE0501: Have you made up your mind on who you will vote for in the 2024 presidential election or are you still weighing the choices?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Have made up my mind

91%

95%

96%

95%

82%

60%

94%

95%

27%

96%

95%

73%

91%

91%

85%

88%

94%

97%

84%

88%

93%

97%

93%

86%

91%

81%

93%

85%

92%

84%

93%

86%

90%

80%

-

-

91%

-

89%

95%

94%

85%

96%

89%

93%

92%

90%

90%

93%

90%

89%

91%

90%

91%

Still weighing the choices

9%

5%

4%

5%

18%

40%

6%

5%

73%

4%

5%

27%

9%

9%

15%

12%

6%

3%

16%

12%

7%

3%

7%

14%

9%

19%

7%

15%

8%

16%

7%

14%

10%

20%

-

-

9%

-

11%

5%

6%

15%

4%

11%

7%

8%

10%

10%

7%

10%

11%

9%

10%

9%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

NCG1: If the 2024 election for Governor of North Carolina were held today and it was between Mark Robinson, the Republican, and Josh Stein, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Mark Robinson

33%

34%

63%

5%

26%

13%

62%

5%

9%

63%

5%

13%

35%

31%

30%

33%

34%

34%

30%

31%

34%

34%

40%

14%

29%

32%

41%

17%

32%

31%

38%

10%

26%

33%

-

-

33%

-

33%

31%

8%

20%

61%

29%

37%

31%

22%

41%

36%

26%

40%

26%

18%

43%

Josh Stein

51%

53%

22%

85%

53%

21%

20%

84%

32%

22%

89%

44%

50%

52%

46%

48%

53%

57%

45%

48%

52%

57%

46%

65%

56%

45%

46%

61%

49%

46%

46%

69%

61%

45%

-

-

51%

-

46%

61%

82%

57%

25%

53%

50%

55%

60%

40%

53%

55%

41%

56%

66%

39%

Don't know/Unsure

16%

13%

15%

10%

22%

66%

17%

11%

60%

15%

6%

43%

15%

17%

24%

19%

13%

9%

25%

21%

14%

9%

15%

21%

15%

22%

13%

22%

18%

23%

16%

21%

13%

22%

-

-

16%

-

21%

8%

10%

23%

13%

18%

13%

14%

18%

18%

11%

19%

19%

18%

16%

18%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

NCGL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Mark Robinson

45%

44%

56%

36%

36%

51%

54%

35%

37%

49%

35%

41%

45%

44%

46%

54%

45%

22%

46%

53%

46%

22%

47%

38%

82%

14%

46%

42%

78%

0%

48%

34%

86%

21%

-

-

45%

-

46%

38%

48%

39%

53%

46%

45%

41%

47%

47%

35%

60%

43%

44%

31%

51%

Josh Stein

55%

56%

44%

64%

64%

49%

46%

65%

63%

51%

65%

59%

55%

56%

54%

46%

55%

78%

54%

47%

54%

78%

53%

62%

18%

86%

54%

58%

22%

100%

52%

66%

14%

79%

-

-

55%

-

54%

62%

52%

61%

47%

54%

55%

59%

53%

53%

65%

40%

57%

56%

69%

49%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

320

218

103

71

112

34

149

100

71

102

49

15

123

197

117

103

64

36

81

113

90

36

197

95

10

18

73

40

4

6

124

55

6

12

0

0

320

0

267

53

41

194

85

195

104

126

68

126

42

32

49

84

36

77

NCG1M: If the 2024 election for Governor of North Carolina were held today and it was between Mark Robinson, the Republican, and Josh Stein, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Mark Robinson + Learners

40%

40%

72%

9%

33%

47%

72%

9%

31%

71%

7%

31%

42%

38%

41%

43%

40%

36%

41%

42%

40%

36%

46%

22%

41%

35%

47%

26%

47%

31%

46%

17%

37%

37%

-

-

40%

-

43%

34%

13%

29%

68%

37%

43%

37%

30%

50%

39%

38%

48%

34%

23%

52%

Josh Stein + Learners

60%

60%

28%

91%

67%

53%

28%

91%

69%

29%

93%

69%

58%

62%

59%

57%

60%

64%

59%

58%

60%

64%

54%

78%

59%

65%

53%

74%

53%

69%

54%

83%

63%

63%

-

-

60%

-

57%

66%

87%

71%

32%

63%

57%

63%

70%

50%

61%

62%

52%

66%

77%

48%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

QVOTEFACTOR: What factor was most important when casting your vote?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Candidate's position on issues

79%

80%

85%

79%

72%

58%

84%

77%

57%

86%

76%

70%

78%

80%

77%

79%

81%

79%

76%

79%

81%

79%

79%

81%

76%

73%

76%

85%

74%

70%

82%

78%

77%

74%

-

-

79%

-

80%

78%

77%

75%

85%

80%

78%

79%

77%

80%

80%

71%

79%

79%

83%

81%

Candidate's personal qualities

21%

20%

15%

21%

28%

42%

16%

23%

43%

14%

24%

30%

22%

20%

23%

21%

19%

21%

24%

21%

19%

21%

21%

19%

24%

27%

24%

15%

26%

30%

18%

22%

23%

26%

-

-

21%

-

20%

22%

23%

25%

15%

20%

22%

21%

23%

20%

20%

29%

21%

21%

17%

19%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

TQ6: Do you think the country is generally on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Right track

24%

25%

8%

47%

20%

8%

7%

44%

3%

7%

47%

11%

27%

22%

23%

25%

21%

28%

23%

24%

22%

28%

19%

36%

29%

32%

22%

38%

45%

22%

17%

34%

18%

37%

-

-

24%

-

20%

31%

44%

25%

11%

22%

27%

25%

35%

16%

25%

40%

20%

26%

29%

13%

Wrong track

63%

65%

87%

34%

67%

51%

88%

39%

59%

89%

36%

70%

63%

63%

58%

60%

71%

64%

58%

58%

70%

64%

71%

43%

59%

57%

70%

43%

52%

70%

72%

43%

64%

50%

-

-

63%

-

66%

59%

39%

57%

84%

64%

63%

62%

51%

72%

64%

50%

70%

60%

53%

73%

Unsure/Don't know

13%

10%

5%

19%

13%

40%

5%

17%

38%

4%

17%

19%

10%

15%

19%

15%

9%

8%

19%

18%

9%

8%

10%

21%

12%

11%

8%

19%

4%

9%

12%

23%

18%

13%

-

-

13%

-

14%

10%

17%

18%

5%

14%

11%

13%

14%

12%

11%

10%

10%

14%

18%

14%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

M2: In general, do you think the American economy is on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Right track

26%

28%

8%

50%

24%

10%

7%

48%

8%

8%

52%

16%

30%

23%

21%

25%

24%

35%

20%

25%

24%

35%

23%

35%

24%

28%

28%

37%

28%

26%

18%

34%

21%

30%

-

-

26%

-

20%

36%

51%

27%

11%

23%

31%

29%

34%

18%

30%

41%

24%

28%

28%

13%

Wrong track

64%

64%

87%

38%

66%

58%

89%

39%

65%

89%

37%

67%

63%

66%

66%

64%

69%

59%

67%

63%

69%

59%

70%

50%

67%

59%

67%

51%

64%

65%

72%

49%

68%

55%

-

-

64%

-

69%

57%

38%

59%

86%

66%

62%

61%

56%

73%

63%

52%

70%

59%

61%

77%

Don't know/Unsure

9%

8%

5%

12%

10%

32%

4%

12%

28%

4%

11%

17%

7%

12%

13%

11%

8%

6%

13%

12%

8%

6%

7%

15%

9%

13%

5%

12%

8%

9%

10%

17%

11%

15%

-

-

9%

-

11%

7%

11%

14%

4%

11%

7%

10%

9%

9%

7%

7%

7%

13%

12%

10%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

TQ1: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President of the United States?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

39%

41%

6%

80%

35%

30%

5%

76%

15%

7%

80%

25%

40%

39%

37%

41%

39%

40%

37%

43%

38%

40%

30%

66%

45%

36%

33%

60%

44%

32%

26%

71%

46%

38%

-

-

39%

-

36%

46%

79%

41%

13%

41%

38%

42%

53%

27%

41%

52%

30%

43%

54%

25%

Strongly approve

15%

16%

2%

34%

8%

8%

2%

29%

2%

2%

33%

6%

15%

14%

10%

14%

17%

18%

10%

14%

15%

18%

11%

25%

21%

12%

12%

25%

24%

9%

10%

26%

19%

14%

-

-

15%

-

12%

19%

34%

13%

5%

16%

13%

17%

17%

11%

14%

23%

13%

19%

11%

10%

Somewhat approve

25%

25%

4%

46%

27%

22%

3%

47%

13%

5%

47%

18%

24%

25%

27%

27%

22%

21%

27%

29%

22%

21%

19%

41%

24%

24%

21%

35%

20%

24%

17%

45%

27%

25%

-

-

25%

-

23%

27%

45%

28%

8%

24%

25%

26%

36%

16%

27%

29%

18%

24%

44%

15%

Somewhat disapprove

15%

14%

15%

11%

20%

17%

14%

15%

20%

13%

13%

22%

14%

16%

21%

17%

12%

9%

22%

17%

13%

9%

14%

16%

20%

19%

13%

17%

7%

25%

15%

15%

29%

16%

-

-

15%

-

15%

15%

11%

19%

12%

15%

15%

14%

17%

14%

13%

15%

13%

15%

19%

15%

Strongly disapprove

43%

44%

78%

5%

41%

24%

80%

6%

36%

79%

6%

42%

44%

41%

34%

38%

48%

51%

33%

36%

47%

51%

55%

10%

35%

36%

53%

15%

49%

41%

57%

5%

25%

34%

-

-

43%

-

45%

39%

7%

33%

74%

40%

45%

41%

25%

54%

44%

29%

52%

38%

21%

57%

NET DISAPPROVE

57%

58%

92%

17%

61%

40%

94%

20%

56%

92%

19%

64%

57%

57%

55%

55%

59%

60%

55%

53%

60%

60%

68%

26%

55%

55%

65%

32%

56%

66%

71%

21%

54%

50%

-

-

57%

-

60%

53%

18%

53%

86%

55%

60%

55%

42%

69%

58%

44%

65%

53%

41%

71%

Unsure/Don't know

3%

2%

1%

3%

5%

30%

1%

3%

29%

1%

1%

12%

3%

4%

8%

4%

2%

0%

8%

4%

2%

0%

2%

8%

0%

8%

2%

7%

0%

2%

2%

8%

0%

11%

-

-

3%

-

5%

1%

3%

6%

1%

4%

2%

2%

5%

4%

1%

4%

4%

4%

5%

4%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

TQVP: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kamala Harris is doing as Vice President of the United States?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

44%

45%

8%

88%

40%

28%

5%

86%

17%

8%

86%

24%

43%

45%

48%

46%

41%

41%

50%

46%

40%

41%

34%

72%

48%

41%

34%

68%

47%

38%

33%

76%

49%

43%

-

-

44%

-

41%

49%

84%

49%

14%

46%

41%

46%

61%

31%

43%

59%

32%

49%

62%

30%

Strongly approve

23%

25%

2%

54%

14%

19%

1%

48%

3%

3%

51%

6%

21%

25%

22%

22%

23%

26%

22%

22%

22%

26%

16%

41%

36%

22%

16%

36%

36%

19%

16%

45%

36%

23%

-

-

23%

-

21%

26%

49%

23%

7%

25%

22%

24%

30%

18%

20%

30%

17%

28%

30%

18%

Somewhat approve

21%

21%

6%

34%

26%

8%

4%

38%

14%

5%

35%

18%

21%

20%

26%

23%

18%

15%

28%

24%

18%

15%

18%

32%

12%

19%

18%

32%

11%

19%

17%

31%

12%

19%

-

-

21%

-

20%

22%

35%

25%

6%

21%

20%

22%

31%

13%

22%

29%

15%

21%

32%

12%

Somewhat disapprove

11%

10%

13%

5%

15%

16%

13%

7%

23%

12%

7%

29%

11%

11%

15%

13%

10%

6%

15%

13%

10%

6%

10%

9%

23%

20%

11%

9%

11%

25%

9%

10%

31%

17%

-

-

11%

-

11%

11%

7%

14%

10%

11%

11%

11%

13%

10%

11%

12%

10%

11%

13%

10%

Strongly disapprove

40%

41%

77%

3%

36%

19%

80%

1%

24%

78%

4%

30%

41%

39%

28%

36%

45%

51%

27%

33%

45%

51%

52%

9%

27%

29%

50%

14%

37%

35%

54%

5%

20%

26%

-

-

40%

-

42%

37%

4%

29%

74%

37%

43%

39%

20%

53%

43%

23%

50%

35%

17%

55%

NET DISAPPROVE

51%

51%

90%

8%

52%

35%

93%

9%

47%

90%

11%

59%

52%

50%

43%

49%

55%

57%

42%

46%

55%

57%

62%

18%

50%

49%

61%

23%

49%

60%

64%

15%

51%

43%

-

-

51%

-

53%

48%

11%

43%

84%

48%

55%

50%

32%

63%

54%

35%

60%

47%

30%

65%

Unsure/Don't know

5%

4%

2%

4%

9%

37%

2%

5%

36%

2%

3%

17%

6%

5%

9%

5%

4%

2%

8%

7%

5%

2%

4%

9%

2%

10%

5%

9%

4%

2%

3%

9%

0%

15%

-

-

5%

-

6%

3%

5%

8%

2%

6%

4%

4%

7%

6%

4%

6%

8%

4%

8%

5%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

TQGov: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Roy Cooper is doing as Governor of North Carolina?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

TOP 2 BOX

54%

56%

30%

81%

58%

20%

31%

80%

35%

30%

85%

59%

53%

55%

48%

54%

56%

59%

46%

54%

55%

59%

51%

66%

50%

54%

51%

61%

46%

50%

50%

70%

53%

55%

-

-

54%

-

50%

62%

81%

61%

31%

55%

54%

56%

63%

47%

54%

59%

47%

58%

66%

47%

Strongly approve

28%

29%

7%

52%

28%

9%

6%

52%

13%

6%

57%

22%

25%

30%

21%

25%

29%

36%

20%

24%

28%

36%

25%

37%

23%

29%

24%

32%

19%

25%

26%

41%

25%

31%

-

-

28%

-

23%

36%

55%

29%

10%

28%

28%

30%

33%

21%

27%

27%

23%

33%

40%

20%

Somewhat approve

27%

27%

23%

29%

30%

11%

25%

29%

22%

24%

28%

37%

28%

26%

27%

30%

27%

24%

26%

29%

27%

24%

26%

29%

28%

25%

27%

30%

27%

25%

24%

29%

28%

25%

-

-

27%

-

27%

26%

25%

32%

22%

27%

26%

26%

29%

26%

28%

32%

25%

25%

26%

27%

Somewhat disapprove

16%

16%

24%

8%

15%

12%

23%

9%

13%

24%

7%

9%

18%

14%

17%

17%

15%

15%

19%

15%

16%

15%

18%

11%

12%

17%

20%

12%

17%

29%

15%

10%

9%

11%

-

-

16%

-

17%

14%

9%

14%

23%

14%

19%

15%

15%

17%

18%

18%

19%

13%

13%

15%

Strongly disapprove

19%

20%

37%

3%

15%

18%

36%

3%

17%

38%

2%

14%

20%

19%

14%

17%

22%

24%

13%

16%

22%

24%

24%

6%

18%

12%

24%

10%

19%

10%

25%

3%

16%

13%

-

-

19%

-

21%

17%

2%

11%

39%

20%

19%

19%

9%

25%

21%

10%

24%

17%

9%

26%

BOTTOM 2 BOX

35%

36%

61%

11%

30%

30%

59%

11%

30%

62%

10%

23%

38%

32%

31%

34%

37%

38%

32%

31%

38%

38%

42%

17%

30%

29%

44%

21%

36%

39%

40%

13%

25%

25%

-

-

35%

-

37%

31%

11%

25%

61%

33%

38%

34%

25%

42%

39%

28%

44%

30%

21%

41%

Unsure/Don't know

11%

8%

9%

8%

13%

50%

10%

9%

35%

8%

5%

18%

9%

12%

21%

12%

7%

2%

22%

15%

7%

2%

7%

17%

20%

17%

5%

17%

18%

11%

9%

17%

21%

20%

-

-

11%

-

13%

6%

8%

15%

8%

12%

8%

9%

13%

11%

6%

13%

9%

12%

13%

13%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

TQCong: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is doing its job?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

27%

27%

26%

34%

21%

15%

26%

30%

17%

25%

29%

20%

29%

25%

31%

31%

24%

23%

34%

30%

25%

23%

22%

39%

36%

30%

24%

39%

50%

42%

21%

39%

25%

23%

-

-

27%

-

28%

27%

28%

28%

26%

27%

29%

26%

33%

25%

26%

43%

25%

27%

23%

25%

Strongly approve

5%

5%

2%

10%

3%

2%

3%

8%

1%

3%

8%

0%

5%

5%

9%

5%

3%

2%

9%

7%

3%

2%

3%

9%

13%

6%

3%

8%

24%

9%

2%

11%

5%

5%

-

-

5%

-

5%

4%

9%

4%

3%

5%

5%

4%

9%

3%

3%

13%

4%

6%

5%

3%

Somewhat approve

22%

22%

24%

25%

19%

13%

23%

22%

16%

22%

22%

20%

24%

21%

22%

26%

22%

20%

25%

23%

22%

20%

20%

30%

23%

23%

21%

31%

26%

33%

18%

28%

21%

18%

-

-

22%

-

22%

22%

19%

23%

24%

22%

24%

22%

24%

22%

23%

30%

21%

21%

18%

22%

Somewhat disapprove

36%

37%

38%

35%

35%

16%

38%

35%

19%

39%

37%

24%

37%

34%

32%

31%

39%

40%

30%

32%

38%

40%

38%

27%

39%

33%

40%

28%

33%

26%

37%

26%

43%

36%

-

-

36%

-

33%

40%

35%

32%

39%

35%

36%

38%

31%

36%

41%

27%

37%

35%

34%

34%

Strongly disapprove

24%

25%

23%

19%

32%

19%

24%

24%

26%

26%

25%

38%

26%

22%

17%

21%

26%

33%

16%

19%

26%

33%

28%

15%

14%

22%

30%

17%

9%

29%

26%

13%

18%

18%

-

-

24%

-

22%

27%

25%

23%

24%

23%

26%

25%

22%

23%

27%

23%

27%

24%

22%

20%

NET DISAPPROVE

59%

62%

61%

54%

66%

35%

61%

59%

45%

64%

61%

61%

63%

57%

49%

52%

65%

73%

46%

51%

64%

73%

66%

42%

53%

54%

70%

46%

41%

54%

63%

39%

61%

54%

-

-

59%

-

55%

67%

60%

56%

63%

58%

62%

63%

53%

59%

67%

50%

64%

59%

55%

55%

Unsure/Don't know

13%

11%

13%

12%

12%

51%

13%

11%

38%

10%

9%

19%

8%

18%

20%

17%

11%

5%

20%

19%

12%

5%

11%

19%

11%

16%

6%

15%

9%

4%

17%

22%

13%

22%

-

-

13%

-

17%

6%

12%

16%

11%

15%

9%

11%

14%

16%

7%

7%

11%

15%

21%

20%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,815

1,600

628

681

458

48

803

896

116

655

733

36

756

1,059

446

525

461

383

298

534

600

383

1,235

445

63

72

521

189

24

22

714

256

39

50

0

0

1,815

0

1,179

636

429

774

612

1,001

762

791

386

638

336

175

245

455

211

393

TQRep: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republican Party is handling its job?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

41%

42%

75%

12%

30%

13%

73%

11%

13%

70%

11%

13%

44%

38%

41%

41%

40%

41%

42%

40%

41%

41%

48%

21%

35%

43%

49%

24%

47%

53%

46%

18%

27%

37%

-

-

41%

-

44%

35%

13%

29%

70%

39%

44%

39%

31%

49%

44%

36%

48%

34%

25%

50%

Strongly approve

13%

14%

28%

3%

5%

2%

24%

2%

3%

23%

2%

6%

14%

12%

17%

11%

11%

12%

18%

12%

11%

12%

15%

7%

11%

8%

16%

8%

19%

7%

15%

5%

6%

8%

-

-

13%

-

15%

10%

6%

7%

23%

12%

14%

12%

11%

16%

14%

15%

13%

9%

8%

18%

Somewhat approve

28%

28%

47%

9%

25%

11%

48%

9%

10%

47%

9%

7%

30%

26%

24%

30%

29%

29%

23%

27%

30%

29%

32%

14%

24%

35%

34%

16%