HarrisX Battleground State Poll (Nov 3-5): Pennsylvania

This survey was administered by HarrisX among 2,333 registered voters from November 3-5, 2024 across Pennsylvania. Respondents were recruited through opt-in, web-panel recruitment sampling. Recruitment occurs through a broad variety of professional, validated respondent panels to expand the sampling frame as wide as possible and minimize the impact of any given panel on recruiting methods.

The sampling margin of error is +/- 2.0%. Results were weighted by age, gender, race/ethnicity, political party, education, income, early vote percentage, and previous vote choice where necessary to align with actual demographic proportions amongst the population of RVs within Pennsylvania.

For further insights and data, visit elections.harrisx.com

HarrisX's Final Presidential Horserace (+Leaners)

H2bMEV: : If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for? (including Early voters choice)

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump+leaners

47.1%

47.5%

90.3%

6.1%

39.6%

42.9%

98.4%

0.6%

37.4%

93.1%

5.1%

22.8%

51.5%

42.8%

43.7%

45.4%

51.4%

47.4%

37.9%

47.2%

51.2%

47.4%

52.6%

20.2%

26.2%

40.8%

55.1%

29.7%

28.0%

69.4%

50.1%

11.1%

24.3%

20.6%

47.1%

-

-

-

49.7%

43.1%

6.1%

37.6%

85.4%

46.9%

47.6%

46.5%

32.1%

61.3%

52.6%

38.0%

62.9%

40.4%

25.6%

60.0%

Kamala Harris+leaners

50.3%

51.0%

8.2%

93.4%

51.5%

44.3%

0.5%

98.7%

34.1%

5.0%

93.4%

51.4%

45.8%

54.8%

52.9%

50.6%

47.4%

50.6%

59.0%

48.9%

46.9%

50.6%

45.1%

75.9%

70.8%

54.9%

42.5%

66.4%

67.6%

26.8%

47.7%

85.1%

74.1%

74.8%

50.3%

-

-

-

47.3%

54.9%

93.3%

57.2%

13.4%

50.3%

50.0%

50.8%

66.1%

35.4%

44.9%

59.7%

33.4%

56.9%

73.1%

37.0%

Cornel West+leaners

1.7%

1.0%

1.1%

0.2%

6.3%

8.5%

0.5%

0.5%

20.8%

1.5%

0.9%

14.4%

1.8%

1.7%

2.8%

2.3%

0.9%

1.2%

2.6%

2.3%

1.4%

1.2%

1.6%

2.6%

1.2%

3.0%

1.7%

1.6%

2.4%

3.8%

1.5%

3.6%

0.0%

2.5%

1.7%

-

-

-

2.1%

1.3%

0.3%

3.5%

0.8%

1.8%

1.7%

1.8%

1.2%

2.1%

1.5%

1.6%

2.8%

2.1%

0.9%

1.6%

Jill Stein+leaners

0.9%

0.5%

0.5%

0.3%

2.6%

4.4%

0.6%

0.2%

7.7%

0.4%

0.6%

11.4%

0.9%

0.8%

0.5%

1.8%

0.3%

0.8%

0.5%

1.7%

0.5%

0.8%

0.7%

1.2%

1.8%

1.2%

0.7%

2.3%

1.9%

0.0%

0.7%

0.2%

1.7%

2.0%

0.9%

-

-

-

0.9%

0.7%

0.3%

1.7%

0.4%

1.0%

0.8%

0.8%

0.6%

1.2%

1.1%

0.7%

0.9%

0.6%

0.5%

1.4%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

Full Poll Findings below:

QVOTE1: Have you already voted in Tuesday's 2024 elections, or have you not had the chance to yet?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Already voted

22%

25%

16%

29%

21%

13%

16%

30%

7%

17%

30%

26%

23%

21%

25%

17%

12%

33%

29%

18%

12%

33%

22%

19%

28%

26%

23%

17%

34%

25%

20%

22%

23%

27%

22%

-

-

-

17%

29%

34%

19%

17%

20%

24%

22%

28%

17%

22%

30%

19%

22%

26%

16%

Not yet

78%

75%

84%

71%

79%

87%

84%

70%

93%

83%

70%

74%

77%

79%

75%

83%

88%

67%

71%

82%

88%

67%

78%

81%

72%

74%

77%

83%

66%

75%

80%

78%

77%

73%

78%

-

-

-

83%

71%

66%

81%

83%

80%

76%

78%

72%

83%

78%

70%

81%

78%

74%

84%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

QTYPEOFVOTE: Did you mail in a ballot or did you vote early at a voting center?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Mailed in a ballot

78%

78%

70%

82%

83%

45%

68%

83%

75%

68%

84%

95%

76%

81%

64%

63%

84%

92%

64%

58%

86%

92%

82%

66%

63%

70%

81%

58%

52%

68%

83%

72%

81%

71%

78%

-

-

-

77%

79%

81%

80%

72%

80%

76%

82%

68%

84%

83%

59%

88%

82%

78%

81%

Voted early at a voting center

22%

22%

30%

18%

17%

55%

32%

17%

25%

32%

16%

5%

24%

19%

36%

37%

16%

8%

36%

42%

14%

8%

18%

34%

37%

30%

19%

42%

48%

32%

17%

28%

19%

29%

22%

-

-

-

23%

21%

19%

20%

28%

20%

24%

18%

32%

16%

17%

41%

12%

18%

22%

19%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

807

807

240

444

117

6

263

529

15

238

446

12

393

414

186

198

169

254

131

207

215

254

649

99

39

20

319

43

24

7

330

56

15

13

807

0

0

0

414

393

301

294

212

385

407

375

262

170

177

145

71

198

117

99

H2V: Who did you vote for in the 2024 presidential election?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump

32%

32%

84%

3%

27%

23%

96%

0%

10%

90%

2%

0%

38%

25%

35%

30%

27%

31%

30%

33%

33%

31%

35%

12%

18%

32%

39%

19%

21%

71%

30%

7%

13%

6%

32%

-

-

-

33%

31%

7%

25%

72%

34%

30%

30%

28%

41%

38%

34%

44%

22%

21%

37%

Kamala Harris

66%

66%

13%

96%

63%

56%

2%

99%

0%

7%

97%

58%

60%

71%

63%

66%

68%

66%

69%

63%

63%

66%

62%

86%

77%

63%

59%

81%

76%

29%

66%

90%

80%

86%

66%

-

-

-

64%

67%

92%

70%

24%

63%

67%

68%

69%

55%

61%

64%

53%

76%

74%

57%

Cornel West

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

22%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

19%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

-

-

-

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

Jill Stein

1%

1%

1%

0%

3%

0%

1%

0%

18%

0%

1%

8%

0%

1%

0%

3%

0%

1%

0%

2%

0%

1%

0%

1%

3%

5%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

7%

8%

1%

-

-

-

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

2%

2%

0%

Someone else

1%

1%

2%

0%

5%

0%

1%

0%

58%

2%

0%

15%

1%

2%

1%

0%

3%

2%

0%

1%

2%

2%

2%

0%

2%

0%

1%

0%

3%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

1%

-

-

-

1%

2%

0%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

3%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

4%

I did not vote in this race

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

14%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

-

-

-

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

807

807

240

444

117

6

263

529

15

238

446

12

393

414

186

198

169

254

131

207

215

254

649

99

39

20

319

43

24

7

330

56

15

13

807

0

0

0

414

393

301

294

212

385

407

375

262

170

177

145

71

198

117

99

QVOTETIME: Is this the first time you are voting in a presidential election?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Yes

16%

16%

15%

16%

15%

88%

16%

16%

34%

12%

7%

10%

19%

14%

41%

21%

6%

2%

44%

25%

7%

2%

12%

26%

35%

28%

15%

35%

41%

15%

9%

20%

27%

36%

16%

-

-

-

22%

11%

16%

20%

13%

18%

16%

12%

24%

14%

14%

28%

13%

10%

19%

14%

No

84%

84%

85%

84%

85%

12%

84%

84%

66%

88%

93%

90%

81%

86%

59%

79%

94%

98%

56%

75%

93%

98%

88%

74%

65%

72%

86%

65%

59%

85%

91%

80%

73%

64%

84%

-

-

-

78%

89%

84%

80%

87%

82%

84%

88%

76%

86%

86%

72%

87%

90%

81%

86%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

807

807

240

444

117

6

263

529

15

238

446

12

393

414

186

198

169

254

131

207

215

254

649

99

39

20

319

43

24

7

330

56

15

13

807

0

0

0

414

393

301

294

212

385

407

375

262

170

177

145

71

198

117

99

QDECISION1: When did you make up your mind on who you were voting for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Today

4%

4%

2%

4%

4%

42%

3%

4%

8%

1%

5%

6%

5%

3%

7%

7%

2%

1%

7%

8%

1%

1%

3%

10%

7%

4%

4%

13%

12%

0%

2%

8%

0%

7%

4%

-

-

-

4%

4%

6%

3%

3%

4%

4%

2%

8%

1%

3%

9%

3%

1%

7%

0%

In the last week

10%

10%

12%

7%

14%

0%

14%

8%

11%

13%

6%

0%

12%

7%

20%

15%

7%

2%

19%

17%

9%

2%

9%

14%

15%

5%

12%

20%

7%

13%

6%

9%

28%

0%

10%

-

-

-

9%

10%

5%

14%

11%

7%

12%

7%

18%

3%

8%

23%

5%

7%

12%

1%

In late October

10%

10%

11%

9%

11%

0%

12%

7%

53%

14%

7%

19%

10%

9%

11%

19%

3%

6%

11%

18%

5%

6%

9%

9%

11%

12%

10%

17%

12%

0%

8%

4%

8%

19%

10%

-

-

-

8%

11%

7%

12%

10%

7%

11%

8%

14%

7%

7%

16%

7%

8%

10%

7%

In early October

12%

12%

14%

12%

9%

0%

12%

12%

0%

10%

10%

60%

9%

15%

14%

16%

13%

8%

13%

18%

13%

8%

9%

19%

14%

25%

8%

6%

15%

14%

11%

29%

11%

33%

12%

-

-

-

13%

10%

11%

8%

16%

10%

13%

12%

13%

9%

10%

10%

3%

15%

15%

14%

In September

9%

9%

5%

9%

12%

46%

5%

10%

14%

5%

10%

0%

10%

7%

9%

8%

7%

9%

9%

9%

7%

9%

8%

12%

19%

0%

9%

5%

27%

0%

7%

17%

6%

0%

9%

-

-

-

11%

6%

8%

11%

6%

10%

8%

7%

11%

7%

7%

15%

8%

7%

7%

7%

Before September

54%

54%

54%

57%

45%

0%

53%

56%

8%

54%

61%

8%

52%

55%

36%

32%

62%

72%

37%

29%

59%

72%

59%

31%

34%

47%

56%

35%

26%

73%

63%

28%

46%

31%

54%

-

-

-

50%

57%

61%

47%

52%

58%

51%

61%

34%

66%

64%

25%

69%

58%

45%

63%

Unsure/ Don't Know

3%

3%

2%

3%

5%

12%

2%

3%

5%

2%

2%

7%

2%

5%

3%

4%

6%

2%

4%

2%

6%

2%

3%

5%

0%

6%

2%

4%

0%

0%

4%

5%

0%

10%

3%

-

-

-

5%

1%

2%

5%

2%

4%

1%

2%

2%

6%

1%

1%

5%

4%

3%

8%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

807

807

240

444

117

6

263

529

15

238

446

12

393

414

186

198

169

254

131

207

215

254

649

99

39

20

319

43

24

7

330

56

15

13

807

0

0

0

414

393

301

294

212

385

407

375

262

170

177

145

71

198

117

99

QDECISION2: Would you say that you voted for change or for continuity in how the country is managed?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Change

65%

65%

78%

57%

69%

44%

79%

58%

96%

82%

55%

80%

63%

68%

71%

62%

69%

62%

75%

59%

68%

62%

63%

74%

64%

77%

62%

64%

50%

100%

65%

82%

86%

62%

65%

-

-

-

69%

62%

49%

69%

83%

68%

63%

71%

59%

63%

71%

53%

59%

70%

66%

66%

Continuity

35%

35%

22%

43%

31%

56%

21%

42%

4%

18%

45%

20%

37%

32%

29%

38%

31%

38%

25%

41%

32%

38%

37%

26%

36%

23%

38%

36%

50%

0%

35%

18%

14%

38%

35%

-

-

-

31%

38%

51%

31%

17%

32%

37%

29%

41%

37%

29%

47%

41%

30%

34%

34%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

807

807

240

444

117

6

263

529

15

238

446

12

393

414

186

198

169

254

131

207

215

254

649

99

39

20

319

43

24

7

330

56

15

13

807

0

0

0

414

393

301

294

212

385

407

375

262

170

177

145

71

198

117

99

JS2: How likely or unlikely are you to vote in the upcoming 2024 elections in November?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET: Likely Voters (T3B)

91%

100%

94%

94%

80%

49%

92%

94%

55%

96%

97%

87%

93%

88%

85%

90%

92%

96%

85%

89%

91%

96%

92%

85%

84%

86%

95%

83%

90%

88%

90%

87%

76%

85%

91%

-

-

-

87%

97%

96%

85%

93%

87%

94%

92%

90%

90%

93%

92%

94%

90%

87%

86%

NET: Likely Voters (T2B)

88%

100%

92%

93%

75%

43%

90%

92%

48%

94%

95%

87%

91%

86%

81%

86%

91%

95%

81%

85%

89%

95%

90%

84%

80%

81%

93%

82%

90%

79%

87%

87%

70%

82%

88%

-

-

-

84%

95%

95%

81%

92%

85%

92%

90%

86%

88%

92%

89%

92%

88%

84%

84%

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections/I already voted

82%

92%

85%

87%

67%

32%

83%

86%

38%

88%

90%

78%

84%

79%

72%

76%

85%

91%

70%

75%

84%

91%

84%

75%

73%

73%

86%

75%

83%

74%

82%

76%

63%

73%

82%

-

-

-

76%

90%

89%

73%

86%

77%

86%

83%

78%

83%

85%

80%

87%

81%

76%

79%

Probably going to vote in the elections

7%

8%

7%

6%

8%

11%

8%

6%

9%

7%

5%

9%

7%

7%

10%

10%

5%

3%

10%

11%

6%

3%

6%

9%

7%

7%

7%

8%

7%

5%

6%

11%

7%

9%

7%

-

-

-

8%

5%

5%

9%

6%

8%

6%

7%

8%

5%

7%

9%

5%

7%

7%

5%

Possibly going to vote in the elections

2%

0%

2%

1%

5%

6%

2%

2%

7%

1%

1%

0%

2%

3%

4%

4%

1%

1%

4%

4%

2%

1%

2%

1%

3%

6%

2%

1%

0%

9%

2%

1%

6%

3%

2%

-

-

-

3%

2%

1%

4%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

3%

2%

3%

4%

2%

May or may not vote in the elections

4%

0%

1%

3%

9%

21%

3%

3%

18%

1%

1%

11%

3%

4%

7%

4%

3%

1%

7%

4%

4%

1%

2%

5%

10%

12%

1%

8%

7%

12%

3%

2%

13%

11%

4%

-

-

-

5%

1%

2%

6%

2%

5%

2%

3%

4%

3%

3%

4%

1%

4%

4%

5%

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

1%

0%

0%

1%

2%

6%

1%

0%

3%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

2%

0%

1%

2%

0%

0%

1%

0%

4%

0%

1%

-

-

-

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

2%

Probably not going to participate in the elections

1%

0%

0%

0%

4%

4%

1%

1%

4%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

1%

0%

1%

3%

1%

0%

0%

2%

2%

0%

1%

3%

0%

0%

1%

-

-

-

1%

0%

0%

2%

1%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

3%

1%

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

4%

0%

4%

3%

6%

20%

3%

2%

21%

3%

2%

2%

3%

5%

4%

5%

4%

3%

5%

4%

4%

3%

4%

7%

3%

2%

3%

6%

0%

0%

5%

8%

7%

3%

4%

-

-

-

6%

1%

2%

6%

3%

5%

3%

3%

3%

5%

2%

2%

4%

5%

5%

6%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

QBallot: Have you received a ballot for the 2024 presidential election or not?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Yes

21%

21%

17%

28%

19%

9%

19%

24%

18%

18%

25%

11%

23%

19%

28%

23%

18%

15%

29%

26%

19%

15%

18%

36%

38%

20%

19%

42%

50%

13%

17%

31%

27%

26%

21%

-

-

-

22%

20%

29%

20%

18%

21%

21%

19%

35%

14%

20%

41%

13%

19%

28%

14%

No

79%

79%

83%

72%

81%

91%

81%

76%

82%

82%

75%

89%

77%

81%

72%

77%

82%

85%

71%

74%

81%

85%

82%

64%

62%

80%

81%

58%

50%

87%

83%

69%

73%

74%

79%

-

-

-

78%

80%

71%

80%

82%

79%

79%

81%

65%

86%

80%

59%

87%

81%

72%

86%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,526

1,296

672

573

249

32

752

666

108

634

557

22

698

828

312

445

484

285

182

437

622

285

1,239

178

67

42

562

88

31

17

677

90

36

25

1,526

0

0

0

1,001

525

323

635

568

782

713

733

345

448

347

172

179

386

173

269

QEarly2: How do you plan to vote this year: by mail, in person before Election Day, or in person on Election Day?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

By mail

5%

4%

3%

7%

6%

5%

4%

6%

4%

3%

5%

0%

4%

6%

10%

5%

3%

2%

10%

6%

3%

2%

4%

7%

9%

5%

4%

7%

6%

0%

5%

7%

12%

8%

5%

-

-

-

5%

5%

5%

6%

4%

6%

4%

5%

6%

3%

5%

5%

2%

6%

7%

5%

In person before Election Day

8%

8%

9%

8%

9%

5%

10%

8%

5%

8%

7%

11%

9%

8%

10%

10%

7%

6%

11%

9%

8%

6%

7%

20%

9%

0%

8%

23%

9%

0%

7%

17%

8%

0%

8%

-

-

-

10%

5%

11%

8%

8%

11%

7%

8%

11%

7%

8%

14%

7%

8%

9%

7%

In person on Election Day

82%

88%

87%

84%

72%

47%

84%

84%

60%

88%

87%

89%

84%

80%

73%

79%

86%

89%

70%

80%

84%

89%

85%

64%

75%

89%

87%

62%

81%

95%

83%

67%

69%

84%

82%

-

-

-

78%

89%

83%

78%

86%

76%

87%

83%

76%

85%

86%

77%

88%

81%

76%

83%

I am not planning to vote

4%

0%

2%

2%

13%

44%

3%

2%

32%

1%

1%

0%

3%

6%

8%

6%

3%

2%

9%

5%

4%

2%

4%

8%

7%

7%

2%

8%

3%

5%

5%

9%

11%

8%

4%

-

-

-

6%

1%

1%

9%

2%

7%

2%

4%

6%

4%

2%

4%

3%

6%

8%

5%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,526

1,296

672

573

249

32

752

666

108

634

557

22

698

828

312

445

484

285

182

437

622

285

1,239

178

67

42

562

88

31

17

677

90

36

25

1,526

0

0

0

1,001

525

323

635

568

782

713

733

345

448

347

172

179

386

173

269

F1r: SUMMARY OF T2B - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Josh Shapiro

51%

54%

26%

78%

50%

20%

26%

77%

31%

27%

84%

59%

51%

51%

38%

47%

53%

64%

37%

44%

51%

64%

52%

53%

44%

42%

51%

54%

57%

44%

53%

53%

32%

41%

51%

44%

61%

80%

55%

27%

48%

53%

54%

53%

44%

53%

54%

45%

54%

53%

44%

Kamala Harris

49%

51%

11%

92%

44%

31%

6%

94%

19%

8%

90%

42%

45%

54%

52%

49%

47%

50%

57%

49%

46%

50%

45%

74%

64%

54%

42%

66%

61%

25%

48%

82%

67%

74%

49%

46%

54%

92%

54%

15%

49%

50%

50%

66%

33%

43%

60%

31%

57%

73%

35%

Donald Trump

44%

45%

85%

8%

34%

26%

90%

5%

18%

87%

6%

17%

48%

41%

44%

45%

46%

43%

39%

48%

46%

43%

49%

25%

29%

35%

51%

36%

32%

60%

47%

13%

25%

18%

44%

48%

39%

9%

33%

81%

46%

44%

43%

35%

56%

48%

41%

57%

38%

28%

55%

Bob Casey

43%

46%

14%

76%

40%

20%

12%

76%

17%

12%

80%

40%

43%

44%

35%

40%

44%

52%

36%

37%

43%

52%

42%

54%

46%

41%

42%

49%

52%

33%

42%

58%

40%

46%

43%

38%

51%

79%

46%

15%

43%

44%

43%

54%

34%

42%

54%

35%

45%

54%

34%

Tim Walz

41%

44%

10%

75%

38%

15%

8%

76%

11%

7%

79%

48%

40%

42%

35%

42%

39%

47%

38%

39%

38%

47%

40%

52%

43%

41%

38%

52%

51%

33%

41%

51%

34%

46%

41%

35%

50%

82%

43%

11%

38%

43%

43%

49%

30%

41%

46%

31%

45%

52%

29%

J.D. Vance

40%

42%

75%

11%

28%

11%

78%

8%

16%

78%

9%

29%

46%

34%

31%

36%

46%

45%

27%

36%

45%

45%

45%

18%

22%

34%

49%

25%

27%

61%

40%

11%

17%

15%

40%

39%

41%

10%

27%

74%

37%

43%

39%

28%

51%

46%

34%

58%

33%

21%

46%

Joe Biden

39%

41%

7%

77%

30%

15%

4%

76%

5%

4%

80%

21%

37%

41%

34%

38%

39%

45%

35%

37%

38%

45%

37%

57%

49%

28%

37%

50%

46%

11%

37%

64%

51%

40%

39%

35%

46%

79%

41%

10%

37%

41%

39%

54%

26%

35%

51%

27%

43%

57%

25%

Dave McCormick

38%

40%

69%

13%

24%

11%

69%

11%

18%

72%

12%

22%

43%

33%

31%

36%

41%

43%

28%

35%

41%

43%

42%

21%

23%

31%

46%

28%

29%

45%

37%

15%

17%

22%

38%

38%

38%

12%

25%

69%

36%

40%

37%

30%

46%

42%

39%

52%

32%

21%

42%

Nikki Haley

32%

34%

48%

19%

24%

10%

46%

19%

24%

50%

22%

57%

39%

24%

14%

25%

35%

49%

12%

22%

33%

49%

36%

11%

17%

22%

44%

17%

16%

34%

28%

6%

18%

13%

32%

25%

41%

16%

25%

49%

26%

37%

32%

24%

37%

39%

32%

46%

25%

15%

29%

Cornel West

11%

11%

8%

13%

11%

13%

9%

12%

11%

9%

13%

13%

14%

7%

11%

14%

8%

10%

9%

15%

9%

10%

9%

19%

15%

11%

13%

26%

12%

17%

6%

13%

17%

7%

11%

10%

12%

16%

10%

8%

10%

12%

9%

18%

7%

10%

25%

11%

9%

10%

3%

Jill Stein

11%

11%

8%

14%

10%

10%

9%

12%

8%

8%

12%

21%

13%

8%

16%

13%

10%

4%

14%

17%

9%

4%

10%

13%

15%

10%

12%

19%

13%

16%

8%

6%

16%

7%

11%

8%

14%

15%

10%

8%

9%

13%

10%

16%

7%

12%

19%

9%

7%

13%

6%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

F1r: SUMMARY OF B2B - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Joe Biden

56%

55%

90%

19%

59%

51%

93%

20%

65%

94%

17%

66%

59%

53%

58%

55%

58%

53%

55%

57%

58%

53%

59%

34%

43%

58%

61%

45%

49%

79%

58%

24%

37%

44%

56%

59%

51%

18%

51%

87%

56%

56%

56%

40%

70%

60%

46%

71%

51%

34%

69%

Donald Trump

52%

53%

15%

88%

58%

47%

9%

92%

57%

12%

92%

69%

49%

55%

49%

49%

52%

57%

54%

46%

52%

57%

49%

67%

61%

63%

47%

57%

63%

36%

50%

78%

58%

82%

52%

47%

59%

88%

61%

18%

50%

54%

54%

60%

42%

50%

52%

42%

58%

68%

41%

Kamala Harris

47%

48%

87%

7%

47%

44%

92%

5%

54%

91%

8%

50%

52%

43%

41%

46%

51%

50%

36%

47%

51%

50%

52%

21%

30%

45%

55%

32%

37%

71%

50%

11%

24%

26%

47%

50%

44%

7%

40%

83%

46%

48%

47%

30%

64%

53%

36%

67%

41%

23%

61%

J.D. Vance

44%

46%

14%

75%

44%

27%

10%

77%

34%

12%

80%

52%

43%

45%

39%

43%

42%

50%

43%

40%

42%

50%

42%

57%

46%

43%

41%

57%

52%

27%

43%

57%

40%

55%

44%

39%

52%

78%

49%

15%

43%

46%

47%

50%

33%

44%

48%

34%

50%

52%

32%

Dave McCormick

44%

45%

17%

70%

48%

28%

15%

71%

37%

16%

74%

58%

43%

45%

38%

40%

44%

51%

40%

38%

43%

51%

43%

54%

39%

45%

42%

51%

41%

37%

44%

57%

36%

51%

44%

39%

50%

72%

51%

17%

43%

45%

46%

47%

36%

45%

43%

37%

48%

50%

36%

Tim Walz

41%

43%

74%

12%

34%

15%

77%

9%

35%

80%

10%

29%

47%

35%

32%

38%

45%

48%

28%

38%

45%

48%

46%

24%

24%

31%

51%

26%

28%

54%

40%

21%

19%

15%

41%

41%

41%

8%

31%

75%

39%

44%

41%

29%

52%

48%

37%

58%

35%

21%

46%

Bob Casey

41%

42%

72%

12%

36%

26%

73%

11%

38%

77%

11%

40%

46%

37%

34%

39%

44%

45%

31%

40%

44%

45%

45%

28%

25%

30%

49%

34%

26%

50%

41%

23%

23%

16%

41%

42%

40%

9%

33%

72%

38%

44%

42%

29%

50%

47%

32%

57%

37%

26%

44%

Nikki Haley

33%

34%

22%

45%

31%

12%

22%

44%

20%

23%

47%

14%

35%

30%

35%

31%

30%

34%

34%

35%

29%

34%

32%

36%

29%

33%

35%

35%

37%

32%

30%

36%

20%

34%

33%

28%

40%

53%

30%

22%

29%

36%

35%

33%

27%

37%

36%

31%

33%

31%

24%

Josh Shapiro

32%

32%

57%

8%

26%

26%

57%

8%

29%

60%

7%

26%

36%

28%

30%

31%

34%

31%

27%

32%

34%

31%

34%

24%

20%

29%

39%

28%

21%

34%

29%

21%

18%

25%

32%

33%

30%

9%

22%

58%

31%

33%

32%

26%

38%

36%

29%

44%

27%

22%

33%

Jill Stein

29%

30%

30%

30%

24%

14%

30%

29%

23%

33%

30%

21%

34%

24%

28%

28%

25%

34%

28%

29%

25%

34%

30%

28%

24%

23%

35%

30%

30%

31%

24%

26%

18%

17%

29%

25%

34%

36%

23%

30%

26%

31%

29%

30%

26%

33%

39%

32%

26%

20%

22%

Cornel West

22%

23%

24%

22%

19%

6%

23%

21%

19%

26%

22%

15%

27%

16%

20%

21%

19%

27%

18%

23%

18%

27%

23%

21%

13%

20%

29%

20%

14%

30%

16%

23%

12%

13%

22%

18%

27%

24%

18%

24%

19%

24%

22%

23%

21%

27%

27%

28%

16%

19%

14%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

F1r: SUMMARY OF 'NEVER HEARD OF THEM' - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Cornel West

31%

30%

32%

31%

26%

32%

32%

31%

21%

29%

29%

32%

26%

35%

36%

30%

33%

25%

37%

30%

32%

25%

31%

29%

29%

33%

25%

32%

25%

18%

36%

26%

32%

43%

31%

33%

27%

30%

32%

29%

34%

28%

31%

28%

32%

28%

25%

22%

33%

33%

41%

Jill Stein

20%

20%

21%

20%

18%

24%

20%

20%

16%

18%

18%

15%

16%

24%

24%

18%

20%

17%

25%

19%

20%

17%

19%

20%

25%

21%

15%

21%

24%

9%

23%

20%

27%

30%

20%

24%

14%

17%

23%

19%

22%

18%

18%

21%

23%

15%

19%

16%

21%

24%

28%

Nikki Haley

14%

12%

11%

16%

14%

33%

13%

15%

15%

10%

11%

2%

10%

18%

25%

16%

13%

4%

27%

16%

15%

4%

11%

27%

28%

18%

7%

28%

28%

9%

15%

25%

28%

24%

14%

20%

5%

13%

18%

10%

19%

10%

12%

20%

13%

9%

17%

6%

15%

24%

18%

Tim Walz

5%

4%

4%

4%

6%

23%

5%

4%

7%

4%

2%

4%

4%

6%

12%

5%

3%

1%

12%

6%

3%

1%

4%

8%

6%

14%

3%

11%

5%

0%

4%

5%

7%

24%

5%

6%

2%

4%

7%

4%

6%

3%

4%

8%

3%

2%

7%

3%

6%

8%

4%

J.D. Vance

4%

3%

3%

4%

4%

15%

3%

4%

6%

2%

2%

4%

3%

4%

9%

4%

2%

1%

9%

6%

2%

1%

3%

9%

6%

6%

2%

9%

5%

0%

3%

8%

7%

10%

4%

5%

1%

4%

4%

3%

5%

2%

3%

6%

2%

2%

7%

1%

4%

6%

4%

Dave McCormick

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

9%

3%

3%

8%

2%

3%

3%

3%

4%

9%

3%

2%

1%

9%

5%

2%

1%

3%

3%

11%

4%

3%

4%

10%

3%

3%

3%

12%

4%

3%

4%

3%

4%

4%

3%

4%

3%

4%

5%

1%

4%

4%

0%

3%

6%

2%

Josh Shapiro

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

5%

2%

3%

7%

3%

1%

0%

8%

4%

1%

0%

2%

3%

8%

5%

2%

4%

10%

0%

2%

3%

5%

8%

3%

3%

1%

3%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

5%

2%

2%

6%

1%

2%

4%

3%

Bob Casey

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

5%

2%

2%

6%

2%

1%

0%

6%

3%

1%

0%

2%

1%

4%

6%

2%

0%

5%

4%

2%

2%

2%

7%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

1%

2%

3%

0%

2%

2%

2%

Donald Trump

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

0%

0%

2%

2%

0%

0%

1%

2%

2%

0%

1%

2%

0%

0%

1%

2%

5%

0%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

2%

0%

0%

2%

0%

1%

1%

0%

Kamala Harris

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

0%

2%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

Joe Biden

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

F1r: SUMMARY OF 'NO OPINION' - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Jill Stein

41%

40%

41%

37%

48%

51%

40%

39%

53%

40%

39%

43%

37%

45%

32%

40%

45%

45%

33%

35%

45%

45%

41%

39%

36%

46%

38%

30%

33%

44%

44%

47%

39%

47%

41%

43%

38%

32%

44%

43%

43%

38%

43%

33%

44%

41%

23%

43%

46%

43%

44%

Cornel West

37%

35%

37%

34%

43%

49%

37%

36%

49%

36%

36%

40%

33%

41%

33%

36%

41%

38%

35%

31%

41%

38%

37%

30%

43%

37%

33%

22%

48%

36%

41%

38%

39%

37%

37%

40%

33%

30%

39%

39%

38%

36%

38%

31%

40%

35%

24%

39%

41%

39%

41%

Nikki Haley

22%

19%

19%

20%

31%

46%

19%

22%

40%

18%

20%

27%

16%

28%

26%

28%

22%

13%

28%

26%

24%

13%

21%

26%

27%

27%

14%

20%

20%

25%

27%

33%

34%

29%

22%

27%

14%

17%

28%

19%

26%

18%

21%

22%

23%

15%

15%

17%

26%

31%

28%

Dave McCormick

15%

12%

11%

14%

23%

52%

12%

15%

37%

10%

11%

17%

11%

19%

23%

21%

13%

5%

23%

22%

15%

5%

13%

21%

27%

19%

9%

17%

20%

14%

16%

25%

35%

23%

15%

19%

9%

12%

21%

11%

18%

11%

13%

18%

16%

9%

14%

11%

17%

23%

20%

Josh Shapiro

15%

12%

14%

10%

22%

52%

14%

12%

38%

11%

7%

11%

10%

19%

25%

19%

12%

4%

27%

20%

13%

4%

12%

19%

28%

24%

9%

15%

12%

23%

16%

23%

45%

26%

15%

19%

8%

8%

20%

13%

18%

12%

13%

16%

16%

9%

12%

11%

17%

21%

20%

Bob Casey

13%

10%

11%

11%

21%

54%

12%

11%

44%

9%

8%

15%

9%

17%

25%

18%

11%

2%

27%

20%

12%

2%

11%

17%

25%

24%

8%

16%

16%

12%

15%

18%

35%

32%

13%

17%

8%

10%

19%

11%

16%

10%

12%

14%

15%

9%

11%

8%

16%

18%

20%

Tim Walz

13%

10%

11%

10%

23%

46%

10%

11%

47%

9%

9%

20%

9%

17%

21%

15%

13%

5%

21%

17%

14%

5%

11%

17%

28%

14%

8%

10%

16%

12%

14%

23%

40%

15%

13%

18%

6%

6%

20%

10%

16%

9%

11%

14%

15%

9%

11%

8%

14%

18%

20%

J.D. Vance

13%

9%

8%

10%

24%

47%

9%

12%

44%

8%

9%

15%

9%

16%

21%

17%

10%

4%

22%

17%

12%

4%

11%

17%

26%

17%

8%

9%

16%

12%

13%

24%

35%

20%

13%

17%

6%

8%

19%

8%

15%

9%

11%

15%

14%

8%

11%

8%

13%

20%

18%

Joe Biden

4%

3%

2%

3%

11%

34%

1%

4%

29%

1%

3%

12%

3%

6%

7%

7%

3%

2%

9%

6%

4%

2%

3%

9%

8%

13%

2%

5%

5%

10%

4%

12%

12%

16%

4%

6%

3%

3%

7%

2%

6%

3%

4%

5%

4%

4%

2%

2%

5%

8%

6%

Kamala Harris

3%

1%

1%

1%

8%

25%

1%

1%

25%

0%

1%

8%

2%

3%

5%

3%

2%

1%

5%

4%

2%

1%

2%

5%

6%

0%

2%

3%

2%

0%

2%

7%

10%

0%

3%

4%

1%

1%

5%

1%

4%

1%

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

1%

3%

3%

4%

Donald Trump

3%

1%

0%

2%

7%

27%

0%

2%

25%

0%

1%

12%

2%

3%

5%

4%

2%

0%

5%

4%

2%

0%

2%

6%

8%

2%

2%

5%

5%

4%

2%

7%

12%

0%

3%

4%

1%

1%

5%

1%

4%

1%

2%

3%

2%

2%

4%

1%

2%

3%

3%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

F1r1: Joe Biden - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

39%

41%

7%

77%

30%

15%

4%

76%

5%

4%

80%

21%

37%

41%

34%

38%

39%

45%

35%

37%

38%

45%

37%

57%

49%

28%

37%

50%

46%

11%

37%

64%

51%

40%

39%

-

-

-

35%

46%

79%

41%

10%

37%

41%

39%

54%

26%

35%

51%

27%

43%

57%

25%

Very favorable

17%

18%

2%

38%

6%

2%

2%

33%

1%

1%

37%

2%

17%

17%

14%

16%

15%

22%

14%

16%

15%

22%

15%

32%

18%

12%

16%

26%

17%

7%

15%

37%

19%

16%

17%

-

-

-

15%

20%

41%

13%

5%

17%

18%

16%

29%

9%

16%

26%

9%

16%

31%

10%

Favorable

22%

23%

5%

40%

24%

13%

3%

43%

5%

3%

43%

18%

21%

24%

20%

22%

24%

23%

21%

21%

23%

23%

21%

25%

31%

16%

20%

24%

29%

4%

23%

26%

33%

25%

22%

-

-

-

20%

25%

38%

28%

5%

21%

23%

23%

26%

17%

20%

25%

18%

28%

26%

15%

Unfavorable

15%

14%

14%

13%

20%

33%

14%

14%

27%

14%

11%

33%

15%

15%

21%

17%

14%

10%

23%

18%

13%

10%

14%

11%

21%

26%

14%

14%

26%

26%

15%

9%

15%

27%

15%

-

-

-

16%

14%

12%

19%

13%

14%

16%

16%

14%

14%

16%

16%

13%

16%

13%

14%

Very unfavorable

41%

41%

77%

6%

38%

17%

79%

5%

38%

80%

6%

33%

44%

38%

36%

38%

44%

43%

31%

39%

45%

43%

45%

23%

22%

32%

47%

31%

23%

53%

44%

15%

22%

17%

41%

-

-

-

43%

37%

6%

32%

74%

42%

40%

40%

26%

56%

44%

30%

58%

35%

22%

55%

NET UNFAVORABLE

56%

55%

90%

19%

59%

51%

93%

20%

65%

94%

17%

66%

59%

53%

58%

55%

58%

53%

55%

57%

58%

53%

59%

34%

43%

58%

61%

45%

49%

79%

58%

24%

37%

44%

56%

-

-

-

59%

51%

18%

51%

87%

56%

56%

56%

40%

70%

60%

46%

71%

51%

34%

69%

Never heard of them

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

-

-

-

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

No opinion

4%

3%

2%

3%

11%

34%

1%

4%

29%

1%

3%

12%

3%

6%

7%

7%

3%

2%

9%

6%

4%

2%

3%

9%

8%

13%

2%

5%

5%

10%

4%

12%

12%

16%

4%

-

-

-

6%

3%

3%

7%

2%

6%

3%

4%

5%

4%

4%

2%

2%

5%

8%

6%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

F1r2: Kamala Harris - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

49%

51%

11%

92%

44%

31%

6%

94%

19%

8%

90%

42%

45%

54%

52%

49%

47%

50%

57%

49%

46%

50%

45%

74%

64%

54%

42%

66%

61%

25%

48%

82%

67%

74%

49%

-

-

-

46%

54%

92%

54%

15%

49%

50%

50%

66%

33%

43%

60%

31%

57%

73%

35%

Very favorable

31%

33%

5%

64%

19%

6%

2%

61%

2%

3%

62%

9%

29%

33%

28%

29%

32%

34%

30%

28%

31%

34%

28%

51%

42%

24%

26%

46%

44%

11%

30%

57%

40%

33%

31%

-

-

-

29%

33%

66%

29%

9%

31%

31%

31%

43%

21%

28%

40%

18%

33%

46%

23%

Favorable

18%

18%

7%

27%

25%

24%

3%

32%

18%

5%

28%

33%

16%

21%

24%

20%

15%

15%

27%

21%

15%

15%

17%

23%

22%

30%

15%

20%

17%

14%

18%

25%

26%

41%

18%

-

-

-

17%

21%

26%

25%

6%

18%

19%

19%

23%

12%

15%

20%

13%

24%

27%

12%

Unfavorable

9%

9%

12%

4%

14%

19%

14%

4%

21%

13%

5%

9%

10%

8%

9%

14%

9%

6%

8%

13%

10%

6%

9%

5%

12%

13%

9%

10%

16%

18%

9%

1%

7%

9%

9%

-

-

-

10%

9%

3%

13%

10%

8%

10%

10%

9%

10%

10%

12%

8%

9%

5%

11%

Very unfavorable

38%

39%

74%

4%

33%

25%

78%

1%

33%

78%

3%

41%

42%

34%

32%

33%

42%

43%

28%

34%

42%

43%

43%

16%

19%

32%

45%

22%

21%

54%

40%

10%

17%

17%

38%

-

-

-

40%

35%

4%

27%

73%

38%

38%

37%

22%

54%

42%

24%

59%

32%

19%

50%

NET UNFAVORABLE

47%

48%

87%

7%

47%

44%

92%

5%

54%

91%

8%

50%

52%

43%

41%

46%

51%

50%

36%

47%

51%

50%

52%

21%

30%

45%

55%

32%

37%

71%

50%

11%

24%

26%

47%

-

-

-

50%

44%

7%

40%

83%

46%

48%

47%

30%

64%

53%

36%

67%

41%

23%

61%

Never heard of them

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

0%

2%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

-

-

-

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

No opinion

3%

1%

1%

1%

8%

25%

1%

1%

25%

0%

1%

8%

2%

3%

5%

3%

2%

1%

5%

4%

2%

1%

2%

5%

6%

0%

2%

3%

2%

0%

2%

7%

10%

0%

3%

-

-

-

4%

1%

1%

5%

1%

4%

1%

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

1%

3%

3%

4%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

F1r3: Donald Trump - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

44%

45%

85%

8%

34%

26%

90%

5%

18%

87%

6%

17%

48%

41%

44%

45%

46%

43%

39%

48%

46%

43%

49%

25%

29%

35%

51%

36%

32%

60%

47%

13%

25%

18%

44%

-

-

-

48%

39%

9%

33%

81%

46%

44%

43%

35%

56%

48%

41%

57%

38%

28%

55%

Very favorable

28%

29%

58%

3%

18%

11%

60%

1%

6%

58%

2%

11%

31%

25%

31%

26%

30%

26%

28%

29%

30%

26%

31%

14%

20%

20%

33%

21%

23%

36%

29%

8%

16%

9%

28%

-

-

-

33%

21%

5%

18%

54%

31%

26%

27%

21%

36%

30%

24%

40%

23%

17%

33%

Favorable

16%

16%

28%

6%

16%

15%

30%

4%

12%

29%

4%

6%

17%

16%

13%

19%

16%

17%

11%

19%

17%

17%

18%

11%

9%

15%

18%

15%

8%

24%

18%

6%

10%

9%

16%

-

-

-

16%

18%

4%

15%

27%

15%

18%

16%

14%

20%

17%

17%

17%

15%

11%

22%

Unfavorable

9%

9%

6%

10%

15%

23%

7%

10%

30%

8%

10%

16%

10%

9%

11%

12%

9%

7%

11%

12%

9%

7%

9%

10%

16%

14%

9%

10%

21%

8%

8%

10%

11%

19%

9%

-

-

-

9%

11%

6%

14%

7%

10%

9%

9%

13%

8%

10%

12%

8%

8%

13%

8%

Very unfavorable

43%

44%

9%

78%

43%

24%

2%

82%

27%

4%

82%

53%

39%

47%

38%

38%

43%

50%

42%

34%

42%

50%

40%

57%

45%

49%

38%

46%

43%

28%

42%

68%

47%

63%

43%

-

-

-

39%

48%

81%

47%

11%

40%

44%

45%

47%

34%

40%

40%

34%

50%

55%

34%

NET UNFAVORABLE

52%

53%

15%

88%

58%

47%

9%

92%

57%

12%

92%

69%

49%

55%

49%

49%

52%

57%

54%

46%

52%

57%

49%

67%

61%

63%

47%

57%

63%

36%

50%

78%

58%

82%

52%

-

-

-

47%

59%

88%

61%

18%

50%

54%

54%

60%

42%

50%

52%

42%

58%

68%

41%

Never heard of them

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

0%

0%

2%

2%

0%

0%

1%

2%

2%

0%

1%

2%

0%

0%

1%

2%

5%

0%

1%

-

-

-

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

2%

0%

0%

2%

0%

1%

1%

0%

No opinion

3%

1%

0%

2%

7%

27%

0%

2%

25%

0%

1%

12%

2%

3%

5%

4%

2%

0%

5%

4%

2%

0%

2%

6%

8%

2%

2%

5%

5%

4%

2%

7%

12%

0%

3%

-

-

-

4%

1%

1%

5%

1%

4%

1%

2%

3%

2%

2%

4%

1%

2%

3%

3%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

F1r4: Nikki Haley - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

32%

34%

48%

19%

24%

10%

46%

19%

24%

50%

22%

57%

39%

24%

14%

25%

35%

49%

12%

22%

33%

49%

36%

11%

17%

22%

44%

17%

16%

34%

28%

6%

18%

13%

32%

-

-

-

25%

41%

16%

25%

49%

26%

37%

32%

24%

37%

39%

32%

46%

25%

15%

29%

Very favorable

7%

7%

12%

4%

4%

0%

11%

3%

4%

12%

4%

16%

9%

5%

4%

5%

6%

12%

4%

4%

6%

12%

8%

3%

3%

0%

11%

5%

2%

0%

6%

2%

3%

0%

7%

-

-

-

6%

9%

3%

6%

12%

6%

8%

7%

6%

7%

9%

8%

10%

5%

4%

5%

Favorable

24%

26%

37%

15%

19%

10%

34%

16%

19%

38%

18%

41%

30%

19%

10%

20%

28%

37%

8%

18%

27%

37%

28%

8%

14%

22%

33%

12%

14%

34%

22%

4%

14%

13%

24%

-

-

-

20%

32%

14%

19%

38%

20%

29%

25%

17%

29%

30%

24%

36%

20%

10%

24%

Unfavorable

18%

19%

13%

23%

18%

8%

13%

23%

13%

14%

24%

8%

20%

16%

21%

15%

17%

19%

19%

19%

16%

19%

19%

18%

15%

14%

20%

20%

19%

13%

17%

16%

11%

15%

18%

-

-

-

15%

23%

25%

19%

12%

16%

20%

19%

18%

15%

20%

22%

18%

19%

14%

13%

Very unfavorable

15%

15%

8%

22%

13%

4%

9%

20%

7%

9%

23%

6%

15%

14%

15%

16%

13%

15%

15%

16%

13%

15%

14%

18%

14%

19%

15%

15%

18%

19%

13%

20%

9%

19%

15%

-

-

-

13%

17%

28%

11%

9%

14%

16%

16%

15%

12%

17%

13%

13%

14%

17%

12%

NET UNFAVORABLE

33%

34%

22%

45%

31%

12%

22%

44%

20%

23%

47%

14%

35%

30%

35%

31%

30%

34%

34%

35%

29%

34%

32%

36%

29%

33%

35%

35%

37%

32%

30%

36%

20%

34%

33%

-

-

-

28%

40%

53%

30%

22%

29%

36%

35%

33%

27%

37%

36%

31%

33%

31%

24%

Never heard of them

14%

12%

11%

16%

14%

33%

13%

15%

15%

10%

11%

2%

10%

18%

25%

16%

13%

4%

27%

16%

15%

4%

11%

27%

28%

18%

7%

28%

28%

9%

15%

25%

28%

24%

14%

-

-

-

20%

5%

13%

18%

10%

19%

10%

12%

20%

13%

9%

17%

6%

15%

24%

18%

No opinion

22%

19%

19%

20%

31%

46%

19%

22%

40%

18%

20%

27%

16%

28%

26%

28%

22%

13%

28%

26%

24%

13%

21%

26%

27%

27%

14%

20%

20%

25%

27%

33%

34%

29%

22%

-

-

-

27%

14%

17%

28%

19%

26%

18%

21%

22%

23%

15%

15%

17%

26%

31%

28%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

F1r7: Cornel West - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

11%

11%

8%

13%

11%

13%

9%

12%

11%

9%

13%

13%

14%

7%

11%

14%

8%

10%

9%

15%

9%

10%

9%

19%

15%

11%

13%

26%

12%

17%

6%

13%

17%

7%

11%

-

-

-

10%

12%

16%

10%

8%

10%

12%

9%

18%

7%

10%

25%

11%

9%

10%

3%

Very favorable

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

4%

1%

2%

3%

2%

3%

0%

3%

1%

3%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

5%

1%

0%

3%

4%

0%

0%

1%

6%

3%

0%

2%

-

-

-

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

3%

1%

2%

5%

2%

2%

1%

0%

Favorable

9%

9%

7%

11%

9%

9%

7%

10%

8%

7%

11%

13%

11%

6%

8%

12%

7%

8%

7%

13%

7%

8%

8%

14%

13%

11%

10%

22%

12%

17%

5%

7%

14%

7%

9%

-

-

-

8%

10%

13%

8%

7%

8%

10%

8%

14%

6%

9%

20%

9%

7%

8%

3%

Unfavorable

11%

12%

11%

12%

11%

6%

11%

11%

10%

12%

12%

5%

14%

8%

11%

14%

11%

10%

10%

16%

10%

10%

12%

12%

9%

11%

15%

12%

9%

15%

8%

12%

8%

8%

11%

-

-

-

10%

14%

11%

11%

12%

10%

12%

11%

14%

9%

14%

16%

13%

8%

11%

6%

Very unfavorable

10%

11%

12%

10%

8%

0%

11%

10%

10%

14%

10%

10%

13%

8%

8%

7%

8%

17%

8%

7%

8%

17%

11%

9%

5%

9%

14%

8%

5%

15%

8%

11%

4%

5%

10%

-

-

-

8%

13%

13%

7%

12%

9%

12%

10%

9%

12%

12%

10%

16%

8%

8%

8%

NET UNFAVORABLE

22%

23%

24%

22%

19%

6%

23%

21%

19%

26%

22%

15%

27%

16%

20%

21%

19%

27%

18%

23%

18%

27%

23%

21%

13%

20%

29%

20%

14%

30%

16%

23%

12%

13%

22%

-

-

-

18%

27%

24%

18%

24%

19%

24%

22%

23%

21%

27%

27%

28%

16%

19%

14%

Never heard of them

31%

30%

32%

31%

26%

32%

32%

31%

21%

29%

29%

32%

26%

35%

36%

30%

33%

25%

37%

30%

32%

25%

31%

29%

29%

33%

25%

32%

25%

18%

36%

26%

32%

43%

31%

-

-

-

33%

27%

30%

32%

29%

34%

28%

31%

28%

32%

28%

25%

22%

33%

33%

41%

No opinion

37%

35%

37%

34%

43%

49%

37%

36%

49%

36%

36%

40%

33%

41%

33%

36%

41%

38%

35%

31%

41%

38%

37%

30%

43%

37%

33%

22%

48%

36%

41%

38%

39%

37%

37%

-

-

-

40%

33%

30%

39%

39%

38%

36%

38%

31%

40%

35%

24%

39%

41%

39%

41%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

F1r8: Jill Stein - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

11%

11%

8%

14%

10%

10%

9%

12%

8%

8%

12%

21%

13%

8%

16%

13%

10%

4%

14%

17%

9%

4%

10%

13%

15%

10%

12%

19%

13%

16%

8%

6%

16%

7%

11%

-

-

-

8%

14%

15%

10%

8%

9%

13%

10%

16%

7%

12%

19%

9%

7%

13%

6%

Very favorable

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

1%

1%

3%

4%

2%

1%

3%

3%

1%

1%

3%

3%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

1%

4%

1%

1%

3%

0%

2%

-

-

-

2%

2%

3%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

4%

1%

2%

5%

1%

1%

2%

1%

Favorable

9%

9%

7%

11%

9%

7%

8%

10%

7%

7%

10%

17%

11%

7%

14%

11%

9%

4%

12%

14%

8%

4%

8%

11%

13%

9%

10%

16%

12%

12%

7%

5%

13%

7%

9%

-

-

-

7%

12%

12%

8%

7%

7%

11%

8%

12%

7%

10%

14%

9%

6%

11%

5%

Unfavorable

16%

16%

16%

16%

14%

11%

16%

16%

14%

17%

16%

17%

19%

12%

16%

18%

13%

16%

15%

19%

13%

16%

16%

14%

15%

18%

19%

16%

22%

27%

13%

12%

9%

12%

16%

-

-

-

14%

19%

18%

14%

15%

14%

17%

16%

18%

14%

17%

24%

18%

14%

11%

10%

Very unfavorable

13%

14%

15%

13%

10%

3%

14%

13%

9%

16%

14%

5%

15%

11%

12%

10%

13%

18%

13%

10%

12%

18%

14%

15%

8%

4%

17%

14%

8%

3%

12%

15%

9%

5%

13%

-

-

-

12%

16%

18%

9%

15%

12%

14%

14%

12%

13%

16%

15%

14%

12%

9%

12%

NET UNFAVORABLE

29%

30%

30%

30%

24%

14%

30%

29%

23%

33%

30%

21%

34%

24%

28%

28%

25%

34%

28%

29%

25%

34%

30%

28%

24%

23%

35%

30%

30%

31%

24%

26%

18%

17%

29%

-

-

-

25%

34%

36%

23%

30%

26%

31%

29%

30%

26%

33%

39%

32%

26%

20%

22%

Never heard of them

20%

20%

21%

20%

18%

24%

20%

20%

16%

18%

18%

15%

16%

24%

24%

18%

20%

17%

25%

19%

20%

17%

19%

20%

25%

21%

15%

21%

24%

9%

23%

20%

27%

30%

20%

-

-

-

24%

14%

17%

23%

19%

22%

18%

18%

21%

23%

15%

19%

16%

21%

24%

28%

No opinion

41%

40%

41%

37%

48%

51%

40%

39%

53%

40%

39%

43%

37%

45%

32%

40%

45%

45%

33%

35%

45%

45%

41%

39%

36%

46%

38%

30%

33%

44%

44%

47%

39%

47%

41%

-

-

-

43%

38%

32%

44%

43%

43%

38%

43%

33%

44%

41%

23%

43%

46%

43%

44%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

F1r10: J.D. Vance - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

40%

42%

75%

11%

28%

11%

78%

8%

16%

78%

9%

29%

46%

34%

31%

36%

46%

45%

27%

36%

45%

45%

45%

18%

22%

34%

49%

25%

27%

61%

40%

11%

17%

15%

40%

-

-

-

39%

41%

10%

27%

74%

37%

43%

39%

28%

51%

46%

34%

58%

33%

21%

46%

Very favorable

20%

21%

41%

3%

11%

2%

42%

2%

4%

42%

3%

11%

24%

17%

16%

16%

23%

25%

14%

15%

22%

25%

23%

5%

9%

14%

27%

8%

9%

23%

20%

3%

9%

7%

20%

-

-

-

21%

19%

3%

10%

43%

20%

20%

19%

11%

29%

22%

14%

37%

17%

7%

23%

Favorable

20%

20%

33%

8%

17%

9%

36%

6%

12%

35%

6%

19%

22%

18%

15%

20%

24%

20%

12%

21%

22%

20%

21%

12%

13%

21%

22%

17%

18%

38%

20%

8%

8%

8%

20%

-

-

-

18%

22%

6%

18%

32%

17%

23%

20%

17%

22%

24%

20%

21%

16%

15%

23%

Unfavorable

13%

13%

8%

15%

16%

21%

8%

16%

19%

9%

15%

18%

13%

13%

17%

16%

11%

8%

19%

17%

11%

8%

11%

18%

17%

20%

12%

21%

16%

11%

11%

14%

19%

26%

13%

-

-

-

12%

13%

12%

17%

8%

14%

12%

14%

16%

8%

13%

18%

8%

15%

14%

8%

Very unfavorable

31%

33%

6%

60%

28%

6%

3%

60%

14%

4%

64%

34%

30%

33%

22%

27%

32%

42%

24%

24%

31%

42%

31%

39%

29%

24%

29%

36%

36%

16%

33%

42%

21%

29%

31%

-

-

-

26%

39%

66%

32%

7%

29%

34%

33%

34%

25%

32%

30%

26%

35%

38%

24%

NET UNFAVORABLE

44%

46%

14%

75%

44%

27%

10%

77%

34%

12%

80%

52%

43%

45%

39%

43%

42%

50%

43%

40%

42%

50%

42%

57%

46%

43%

41%

57%

52%

27%

43%

57%

40%

55%

44%

-

-

-

39%

52%

78%

49%

15%

43%

46%

47%

50%

33%

44%

48%

34%

50%

52%

32%

Never heard of them

4%

3%

3%

4%

4%

15%

3%

4%

6%

2%

2%

4%

3%

4%

9%

4%

2%

1%

9%

6%

2%

1%

3%

9%

6%

6%

2%

9%

5%

0%

3%

8%

7%

10%

4%

-

-

-

5%

1%

4%

4%

3%

5%

2%

3%

6%

2%

2%

7%

1%

4%

6%

4%

No opinion

13%

9%

8%

10%

24%

47%

9%

12%

44%

8%

9%

15%

9%

16%

21%

17%

10%

4%

22%

17%

12%

4%

11%

17%

26%

17%

8%

9%

16%

12%

13%

24%

35%

20%

13%

-

-

-

17%

6%

8%

19%

8%

15%

9%

11%

15%

14%

8%

11%

8%

13%

20%

18%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

F1r19: Tim Walz - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

41%

44%

10%

75%

38%

15%

8%

76%

11%

7%

79%

48%

40%

42%

35%

42%

39%

47%

38%

39%

38%

47%

40%

52%

43%

41%

38%

52%

51%

33%

41%

51%

34%

46%

41%

-

-

-

35%

50%

82%

43%

11%

38%

43%

43%

49%

30%

41%

46%

31%

45%

52%

29%

Very favorable

20%

22%

3%

43%

14%

0%

1%

41%

1%

2%

43%

8%

18%

22%

16%

16%

21%

28%

17%

14%

20%

28%

20%

25%

17%

18%

18%

28%

20%

4%

23%

22%

13%

28%

20%

-

-

-

17%

26%

50%

17%

4%

19%

22%

21%

25%

15%

20%

21%

13%

23%

28%

17%

Favorable

21%

21%

8%

32%

24%

15%

7%

35%

10%

6%

36%

40%

21%

20%

19%

27%

18%

19%

22%

25%

18%

19%

19%

27%

26%

23%

20%

24%

32%

29%

19%

29%

21%

19%

21%

-

-

-

18%

25%

32%

26%

8%

20%

22%

22%

24%

15%

21%

25%

18%

22%

24%

12%

Unfavorable

13%

13%

19%

7%

13%

9%

20%

6%

16%

21%

6%

13%

14%

12%

13%

16%

13%

11%

12%

17%

13%

11%

14%

7%

13%

12%

15%

9%

15%

14%

13%

6%

11%

10%

13%

-

-

-

13%

13%

4%

15%

18%

12%

14%

13%

13%

13%

14%

17%

12%

12%

9%

14%

Very unfavorable

28%

30%

55%

5%

21%

6%

57%

3%

20%

58%

4%

15%

33%

23%

20%

22%

33%

37%

17%

21%

32%

37%

32%

16%

10%

19%

37%

17%

12%

40%

27%

15%

8%

5%

28%

-

-

-

28%

29%

4%

16%

58%

27%

30%

28%

17%

39%

33%

20%

47%

23%

13%

32%

NET UNFAVORABLE

41%

43%

74%

12%

34%

15%

77%

9%

35%

80%

10%

29%

47%

35%

32%

38%

45%

48%

28%

38%

45%

48%

46%

24%

24%

31%

51%

26%

28%

54%

40%

21%

19%

15%

41%

-

-

-

41%

41%

8%

31%

75%

39%

44%

41%

29%

52%

48%

37%

58%

35%

21%

46%

Never heard of them

5%

4%

4%

4%

6%

23%

5%

4%

7%

4%

2%

4%

4%

6%

12%

5%

3%

1%

12%

6%

3%

1%

4%

8%

6%

14%

3%

11%

5%

0%

4%

5%

7%

24%

5%

-

-

-

6%

2%

4%

7%

4%

6%

3%

4%

8%

3%

2%

7%

3%

6%

8%

4%

No opinion

13%

10%

11%

10%

23%

46%

10%

11%

47%

9%

9%

20%

9%

17%

21%

15%

13%

5%

21%

17%

14%

5%

11%

17%

28%

14%

8%

10%

16%

12%

14%

23%

40%

15%

13%

-

-

-

18%

6%

6%

20%

10%

16%

9%

11%

14%

15%

9%

11%

8%

14%

18%

20%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

F1r29: Dave McCormick - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

38%

40%

69%

13%

24%

11%

69%

11%

18%

72%

12%

22%

43%

33%

31%

36%

41%

43%

28%

35%

41%

43%

42%

21%

23%

31%

46%

28%

29%

45%

37%

15%

17%

22%

38%

-

-

-

38%

38%

12%

25%

69%

36%

40%

37%

30%

46%

42%

39%

52%

32%

21%

42%

Very favorable

14%

15%

28%

3%

7%

2%

28%

3%

3%

30%

3%

7%

17%

11%

11%

9%

15%

19%

12%

9%

15%

19%

15%

6%

9%

15%

18%

9%

10%

24%

13%

3%

7%

8%

14%

-

-

-

14%

14%

4%

7%

29%

15%

14%

14%

9%

19%

16%

10%

26%

11%

8%

14%

Favorable

24%

25%

41%

10%

18%

9%

42%

9%

15%

42%

9%

15%

27%

21%

19%

26%

26%

24%

16%

27%

26%

24%

26%

16%

15%

17%

28%

20%

19%

21%

24%

12%

10%

13%

24%

-

-

-

24%

24%

8%

18%

41%

21%

27%

24%

21%

27%

26%

28%

26%

21%

14%

28%

Unfavorable

16%

16%

11%

19%

22%

16%

11%

20%

24%

12%

18%

32%

16%

17%

19%

19%

17%

12%

20%

19%

16%

12%

15%

21%

17%

23%

15%

19%

19%

21%

15%

22%

16%

25%

16%

-

-

-

16%

17%

17%

22%

9%

16%

17%

17%

18%

13%

16%

19%

14%

19%

18%

12%

Very unfavorable

27%

29%

6%

50%

26%

13%

4%

51%

13%

4%

55%

26%

27%

28%

19%

21%

27%

40%

20%

19%

27%

40%

27%

34%

21%

22%

27%

32%

22%

16%

28%

35%

20%

26%

27%

-

-

-

23%

33%

55%

28%

8%

27%

28%

29%

28%

23%

29%

25%

23%

29%

33%

24%

NET UNFAVORABLE

44%

45%

17%

70%

48%

28%

15%

71%

37%

16%

74%

58%

43%

45%

38%

40%

44%

51%

40%

38%

43%

51%

43%

54%

39%

45%

42%

51%

41%

37%

44%

57%

36%

51%

44%

-

-

-

39%

50%

72%

51%

17%

43%

45%

46%

47%

36%

45%

43%

37%

48%

50%

36%

Never heard of them

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

9%

3%

3%

8%

2%

3%

3%

3%

4%

9%

3%

2%

1%

9%

5%

2%

1%

3%

3%

11%

4%

3%

4%

10%

3%

3%

3%

12%

4%

3%

-

-

-

4%

3%

4%

4%

3%

4%

3%

4%

5%

1%

4%

4%

0%

3%

6%

2%

No opinion

15%

12%

11%

14%

23%

52%

12%

15%

37%

10%

11%

17%

11%

19%

23%

21%

13%

5%

23%

22%

15%

5%

13%

21%

27%

19%

9%

17%

20%

14%

16%

25%

35%

23%

15%

-

-

-

19%

9%

12%

21%

11%

18%

11%

13%

18%

16%

9%

14%

11%

17%

23%

20%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

F1r30: Bob Casey - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

43%

46%

14%

76%

40%

20%

12%

76%

17%

12%

80%

40%

43%

44%

35%

40%

44%

52%

36%

37%

43%

52%

42%

54%

46%

41%

42%

49%

52%

33%

42%

58%

40%

46%

43%

-

-

-

38%

51%

79%

46%

15%

43%

44%

43%

54%

34%

42%

54%

35%

45%

54%

34%

Very favorable

17%

19%

3%

36%

9%

0%

3%

32%

4%

2%

36%

9%

17%

18%

10%

14%

16%

27%

9%

13%

16%

27%

17%

21%

14%

11%

17%

18%

14%

11%

18%

23%

15%

11%

17%

-

-

-

15%

21%

39%

15%

4%

17%

17%

17%

22%

13%

18%

20%

11%

16%

25%

14%

Favorable

26%

27%

11%

40%

31%

20%

10%

43%

14%

10%

44%

31%

26%

26%

25%

26%

28%

26%

27%

24%

28%

26%

25%

33%

32%

29%

25%

31%

38%

22%

24%

35%

25%

35%

26%

-

-

-

24%

30%

40%

32%

11%

26%

27%

26%

32%

22%

23%

34%

24%

29%

29%

20%

Unfavorable

18%

18%

28%

7%

20%

17%

30%

7%

19%

29%

7%

20%

19%

17%

17%

22%

19%

15%

16%

22%

19%

15%

19%

14%

12%

15%

20%

18%

15%

22%

19%

10%

8%

11%

18%

-

-

-

19%

16%

4%

19%

28%

16%

20%

21%

13%

17%

23%

15%

18%

20%

11%

17%

Very unfavorable

23%

24%

44%

5%

16%

9%

44%

4%

19%

48%

4%

20%

27%

20%

17%

18%

26%

30%

15%

17%

25%

30%

25%

14%

13%

15%

29%

16%

11%

28%

22%

12%

15%

5%

23%

-

-

-

23%

23%

6%

15%

44%

22%

24%

21%

16%

32%

25%

17%

39%

18%

15%

26%

NET UNFAVORABLE

41%

42%

72%

12%

36%

26%

73%

11%

38%

77%

11%

40%

46%

37%

34%

39%

44%

45%

31%

40%

44%

45%

45%

28%

25%

30%

49%

34%

26%

50%

41%

23%

23%

16%

41%

-

-

-

42%

40%

9%

33%

72%

38%

44%

42%

29%

50%

47%

32%

57%

37%

26%

44%

Never heard of them

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

5%

2%

2%

6%

2%

1%

0%

6%

3%

1%

0%

2%

1%

4%

6%

2%

0%

5%

4%

2%

2%

2%

7%

2%

-

-

-

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

1%

2%

3%

0%

2%

2%

2%

No opinion

13%

10%

11%

11%

21%

54%

12%

11%

44%

9%

8%

15%

9%

17%

25%

18%

11%

2%

27%

20%

12%

2%

11%

17%

25%

24%

8%

16%

16%

12%

15%

18%

35%

32%

13%

-

-

-

17%

8%

10%

19%

11%

16%

10%

12%

14%

15%

9%

11%

8%

16%

18%

20%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

F1r31: Josh Shapiro - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

51%

54%

26%

78%

50%

20%

26%

77%

31%

27%

84%

59%

51%

51%

38%

47%

53%

64%

37%

44%

51%

64%

52%

53%

44%

42%

51%

54%

57%

44%

53%

53%

32%

41%

51%

-

-

-

44%

61%

80%

55%

27%

48%

53%

54%

53%

44%

53%

54%

45%

54%

53%

44%

Very favorable

26%

28%

6%

50%

20%

12%

6%

47%

9%

6%

53%

24%

25%

28%

15%

21%

28%

37%

14%

20%

27%

37%

28%

29%

16%

14%

26%

29%

18%

3%

29%

28%

13%

21%

26%

-

-

-

22%

33%

53%

27%

7%

24%

28%

28%

27%

23%

26%

23%

25%

29%

33%

21%

Favorable

25%

26%

20%

28%

29%

8%

20%

30%

22%

21%

31%

35%

26%

23%

23%

25%

24%

27%

24%

25%

24%

27%

24%

25%

29%

28%

25%

24%

39%

40%

24%

25%

18%

20%

25%

-

-

-

22%

28%

26%

28%

20%

24%

26%

26%

26%

22%

27%

31%

20%

25%

20%

23%

Unfavorable

16%

16%

26%

6%

16%

18%

27%

7%

16%

27%

5%

18%

18%

14%

17%

16%

17%

15%

15%

18%

17%

15%

17%

12%

11%

18%

19%

15%

14%

17%

15%

9%

9%

20%

16%

-

-

-

17%

15%

6%

13%

27%

15%

17%

16%

15%

18%

18%

17%

20%

14%

12%

16%

Very unfavorable

15%

16%

31%

2%

11%

7%

30%

2%

13%

32%

2%

7%

18%

13%

13%

15%

17%

16%

12%

14%

18%

16%

17%

12%

8%

10%

19%

13%

7%

17%

14%

12%

10%

5%

15%

-

-

-

16%

14%

3%

9%

31%

15%

16%

15%

11%

20%

18%

12%

24%

13%

10%

16%

NET UNFAVORABLE

32%

32%

57%

8%

26%

26%

57%

8%

29%

60%

7%

26%

36%

28%

30%

31%

34%

31%

27%

32%

34%

31%

34%

24%

20%

29%

39%

28%

21%

34%

29%

21%

18%

25%

32%

-

-

-

33%

30%

9%

22%

58%

31%

33%

32%

26%

38%

36%

29%

44%

27%

22%

33%

Never heard of them

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

5%

2%

3%

7%

3%

1%

0%

8%

4%

1%

0%

2%

3%

8%

5%

2%

4%

10%

0%

2%

3%

5%

8%

3%

-

-

-

3%

1%

3%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

5%

2%

2%

6%

1%

2%

4%

3%

No opinion

15%

12%

14%

10%

22%

52%

14%

12%

38%

11%

7%

11%

10%

19%

25%

19%

12%

4%

27%

20%

13%

4%

12%

19%

28%

24%

9%

15%

12%

23%

16%

23%

45%

26%

15%

-

-

-

19%

8%

8%

20%

13%

18%

12%

13%

16%

16%

9%

12%

11%

17%

21%

20%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

H1b: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican, and Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump

45%

46%

88%

6%

36%

35%

100%

0%

0%

91%

5%

17%

50%

40%

41%

43%

49%

46%

36%

45%

49%

46%

51%

20%

23%

39%

53%

31%

27%

66%

48%

9%

19%

21%

45%

-

-

-

48%

42%

7%

34%

83%

45%

46%

45%

30%

59%

51%

36%

61%

39%

22%

57%

Kamala Harris

49%

51%

8%

92%

48%

20%

0%

100%

0%

5%

92%

50%

45%

52%

50%

48%

46%

51%

55%

48%

44%

51%

44%

73%

67%

47%

42%

64%

68%

23%

46%

82%

66%

65%

49%

-

-

-

45%

54%

92%

54%

13%

48%

49%

49%

65%

34%

44%

59%

33%

54%

71%

35%

Don’t Know / Unsure

6%

3%

3%

3%

16%

45%

0%

0%

100%

4%

3%

33%

5%

7%

9%

8%

5%

3%

9%

8%

6%

3%

5%

7%

10%

13%

5%

4%

5%

12%

6%

9%

15%

15%

6%

-

-

-

7%

4%

1%

12%

3%

7%

5%

6%

6%

7%

5%

5%

6%

7%

7%

8%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

H1bL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump

51%

66%

76%

39%

45%

45%

-

-

51%

81%

34%

55%

60%

45%

47%

36%

58%

83%

46%

45%

45%

83%

60%

39%

50%

11%

68%

62%

64%

0%

54%

28%

45%

17%

51%

-

-

-

47%

60%

2%

46%

83%

47%

51%

36%

74%

57%

47%

87%

59%

30%

63%

55%

Kamala Harris

49%

34%

24%

61%

55%

55%

-

-

49%

19%

66%

45%

40%

55%

53%

64%

42%

17%

54%

55%

55%

17%

40%

61%

50%

89%

32%

38%

36%

100%

46%

72%

55%

83%

49%

-

-

-

53%

40%

98%

54%

17%

53%

49%

64%

26%

43%

53%

13%

41%

70%

37%

45%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

123

63

27

24

55

17

0

0

123

29

26

11

47

76

36

44

27

16

22

42

43

16

90

15

10

8

37

4

3

3

53

11

7

5

123

0

0

0

92

31

7

92

24

65

52

54

30

39

20

13

14

34

17

25

H1bM: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican, and Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump+leaners

48.3%

48.3%

90.9%

6.7%

42.9%

55.3%

100.0%

0.0%

51.0%

94.2%

5.6%

34.7%

53.1%

43.7%

45.7%

46.5%

52.2%

48.7%

40.2%

48.2%

52.2%

48.7%

53.8%

22.4%

28.2%

40.7%

56.7%

34.0%

30.4%

65.6%

51.0%

11.3%

25.9%

23.1%

48.3%

-

-

-

51.1%

44.3%

7.0%

39.7%

86.1%

48.2%

48.7%

47.3%

33.9%

63.1%

53.6%

40.7%

64.9%

40.9%

26.6%

61.7%

Kamala Harris+leaners

51.7%

51.7%

9.1%

93.3%

57.1%

44.7%

0.0%

100.0%

49.0%

5.8%

94.4%

65.3%

46.9%

56.3%

54.3%

53.5%

47.8%

51.3%

59.8%

51.8%

47.8%

51.3%

46.2%

77.6%

71.8%

59.3%

43.3%

66.0%

69.6%

34.4%

49.0%

88.7%

74.1%

76.9%

51.7%

-

-

-

48.9%

55.7%

93.0%

60.3%

13.9%

51.8%

51.3%

52.7%

66.1%

36.9%

46.4%

59.3%

35.1%

59.1%

73.4%

38.3%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

QH1DJT: Would you say your choice is more of a vote…

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

For Donald Trump

76%

77%

79%

62%

68%

68%

78%

-

50%

78%

49%

57%

76%

78%

86%

77%

74%

71%

84%

80%

75%

71%

76%

77%

79%

75%

74%

79%

84%

86%

79%

73%

74%

52%

76%

-

-

-

82%

67%

81%

71%

79%

82%

73%

74%

80%

78%

72%

81%

77%

77%

78%

78%

Against Kamala Harris

24%

23%

21%

38%

32%

32%

22%

-

51%

22%

51%

43%

24%

22%

14%

23%

26%

29%

16%

20%

25%

29%

24%

23%

21%

25%

26%

21%

16%

14%

21%

27%

26%

48%

24%

-

-

-

18%

33%

19%

29%

21%

18%

27%

26%

20%

22%

28%

19%

23%

23%

22%

22%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,079

963

830

68

160

21

1,015

0

64

820

49

12

531

548

226

290

321

242

124

301

412

242

970

56

29

24

461

39

16

15

509

17

13

9

1,079

0

0

0

698

381

50

367

662

544

516

498

198

383

257

119

155

241

79

228

QH1KH: Would you say your choice is more of a vote…

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

For Kamala Harris

71%

71%

45%

77%

60%

59%

-

73%

51%

55%

72%

57%

65%

76%

70%

76%

73%

66%

69%

78%

72%

66%

67%

83%

86%

67%

60%

82%

84%

43%

73%

84%

87%

75%

71%

-

-

-

75%

66%

76%

70%

56%

74%

69%

68%

82%

63%

59%

82%

53%

75%

82%

70%

Against Donald Trump

29%

29%

55%

23%

40%

41%

-

27%

49%

45%

28%

43%

35%

24%

30%

24%

27%

34%

31%

22%

28%

34%

33%

17%

14%

33%

40%

18%

16%

57%

27%

16%

13%

25%

29%

-

-

-

25%

34%

24%

30%

44%

26%

31%

32%

18%

37%

41%

18%

47%

25%

18%

30%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,254

1,140

82

949

206

17

0

1,195

59

52

954

22

560

694

272

353

332

297

189

343

425

297

918

221

77

38

420

92

39

9

498

129

38

29

1,254

0

0

0

717

537

574

562

118

623

604

610

409

235

267

198

95

343

211

140

LW1: Regardless of who you support, if you had to pick, who do you think is more likely to win in the presidential election in November, Kamala Harris or Donald Trump?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Kamala Harris

52%

52%

16%

88%

55%

52%

9%

91%

55%

13%

89%

49%

47%

56%

53%

53%

50%

52%

57%

52%

49%

52%

48%

74%

67%

55%

45%

62%

62%

33%

50%

85%

72%

70%

52%

-

-

-

49%

56%

88%

58%

20%

52%

51%

52%

67%

37%

47%

61%

34%

58%

73%

40%

Donald Trump

48%

48%

84%

12%

45%

48%

91%

9%

45%

87%

11%

51%

53%

44%

47%

47%

50%

48%

43%

48%

51%

48%

52%

26%

33%

45%

55%

38%

38%

67%

50%

15%

28%

30%

48%

-

-

-

51%

44%

12%

42%

80%

48%

49%

48%

33%

63%

53%

39%

66%

42%

27%

60%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

H2b: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate

45%

46%

88%

5%

37%

34%

97%

1%

15%

91%

5%

19%

49%

41%

42%

43%

50%

45%

37%

44%

50%

45%

50%

20%

25%

41%

53%

29%

27%

69%

48%

11%

22%

21%

45%

-

-

-

48%

41%

6%

35%

84%

45%

46%

45%

29%

59%

51%

34%

61%

39%

24%

58%

Kamala Harris, running as the Democratic party candidate

48%

50%

8%

93%

46%

19%

1%

98%

10%

4%

92%

53%

44%

52%

50%

48%

46%

50%

55%

47%

44%

50%

44%

73%

66%

50%

41%

64%

66%

19%

46%

80%

66%

71%

48%

-

-

-

45%

54%

93%

53%

13%

48%

49%

49%

65%

34%

43%

58%

33%

54%

71%

35%

Cornel West, running as an independent candidate

1%

1%

1%

0%

3%

3%

0%

0%

12%

1%

0%

11%

1%

1%

1%

2%

0%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

0%

1%

2%

0%

2%

1%

-

-

-

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

0%

0%

Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate

1%

0%

0%

0%

2%

2%

0%

0%

5%

0%

0%

11%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

2%

0%

1%

1%

2%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

1%

-

-

-

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

Don't Know / Unsure

5%

2%

3%

2%

12%

43%

1%

1%

59%

3%

2%

6%

4%

5%

6%

6%

4%

3%

6%

6%

5%

3%

4%

5%

6%

8%

4%

5%

2%

12%

4%

6%

10%

6%

5%

-

-

-

6%

3%

1%

9%

2%

6%

3%

4%

5%

5%

4%

5%

4%

5%

4%

6%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

H2bL: Between the four choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate

41%

61%

83%

40%

26%

27%

82%

10%

38%

76%

16%

87%

50%

34%

32%

34%

44%

67%

28%

47%

30%

67%

53%

9%

34%

0%

60%

23%

100%

0%

47%

0%

19%

0%

41%

-

-

-

36%

55%

27%

33%

79%

39%

48%

35%

54%

40%

37%

67%

50%

33%

37%

34%

Kamala Harris, running as the Democratic party candidate

40%

28%

9%

54%

43%

61%

0%

88%

41%

15%

53%

13%

34%

44%

48%

47%

41%

12%

54%

29%

56%

12%

31%

54%

66%

63%

31%

33%

0%

67%

32%

69%

81%

58%

40%

-

-

-

43%

33%

48%

47%

4%

39%

36%

48%

35%

32%

48%

26%

21%

48%

47%

38%

Cornel West, running as an independent candidate

14%

7%

7%

0%

25%

7%

0%

3%

18%

6%

25%

0%

9%

18%

21%

14%

10%

9%

18%

18%

11%

9%

11%

25%

0%

37%

5%

16%

0%

33%

17%

31%

0%

42%

14%

-

-

-

17%

6%

25%

15%

9%

16%

10%

16%

7%

18%

12%

0%

17%

19%

16%

19%

Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate

5%

4%

1%

6%

6%

5%

18%

0%

3%

4%

6%

0%

7%

3%

0%

5%

5%

12%

0%

5%

3%

12%

5%

12%

0%

0%

5%

28%

0%

0%

5%

0%

0%

0%

5%

-

-

-

4%

5%

0%

4%

8%

5%

5%

2%

4%

10%

4%

6%

12%

0%

0%

9%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

96

48

21

16

43

16

13

9

74

22

22

3

40

56

27

32

23

14

18

33

31

14

73

11

7

5

31

4

2

3

42

7

5

2

96

0

0

0

71

25

6

73

17

56

34

40

27

29

16

15

9

24

12

20

H2bM: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump+leaners

47%

48%

90%

6%

40%

45%

98%

1%

37%

93%

5%

24%

51%

43%

44%

45%

52%

47%

38%

47%

51%

47%

53%

21%

27%

41%

55%

30%

29%

69%

50%

11%

24%

21%

47%

-

-

-

50%

43%

6%

38%

85%

47%

48%

47%

32%

61%

53%

38%

63%

41%

26%

60%

Kamala Harris+leaners

50%

51%

8%

93%

51%

45%

1%

99%

34%

5%

93%

53%

46%

55%

53%

51%

47%

51%

59%

49%

47%

51%

45%

75%

70%

55%

43%

66%

66%

27%

48%

85%

74%

75%

50%

-

-

-

47%

55%

93%

57%

13%

50%

50%

51%

66%

35%

45%

60%

33%

57%

73%

37%

Cornel West+leaners

2%

1%

1%

0%

6%

6%

0%

0%

22%

2%

1%

11%

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

1%

2%

3%

1%

1%

2%

3%

1%

4%

2%

2%

2%

4%

1%

4%

0%

5%

2%

-

-

-

2%

1%

0%

4%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

3%

2%

1%

2%

Jill Stein+leaners

1%

0%

0%

0%

3%

4%

1%

0%

6%

0%

0%

11%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

2%

0%

1%

1%

1%

2%

0%

1%

2%

2%

0%

1%

0%

2%

0%

1%

-

-

-

1%

1%

0%

2%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

HORSE0501: Have you made up your mind on who you will vote for in the 2024 presidential election or are you still weighing the choices?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Have made up my mind

88%

92%

91%

91%

77%

43%

92%

92%

19%

91%

92%

63%

87%

88%

81%

83%

90%

95%

80%

82%

89%

95%

90%

82%

74%

81%

89%

80%

81%

84%

91%

84%

67%

80%

88%

-

-

-

87%

89%

95%

80%

91%

87%

88%

87%

86%

90%

87%

85%

91%

87%

87%

90%

Still weighing the choices

12%

8%

9%

9%

23%

57%

8%

8%

81%

9%

8%

37%

13%

12%

19%

17%

10%

5%

20%

18%

11%

5%

10%

18%

26%

19%

11%

20%

19%

16%

9%

16%

33%

20%

12%

-

-

-

13%

11%

5%

20%

9%

13%

12%

13%

14%

10%

13%

15%

9%

13%

13%

10%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

S1bPA: If the 2024 election for senate in Pennsylvania were held today and it was between David McCormick, the Republican, and Bob Casey, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

David McCormick

41%

43%

79%

9%

28%

11%

79%

8%

21%

82%

10%

33%

47%

35%

33%

37%

45%

47%

29%

37%

44%

47%

46%

19%

21%

30%

51%

27%

24%

58%

41%

11%

17%

11%

41%

-

-

-

40%

42%

8%

29%

77%

38%

44%

41%

29%

51%

47%

35%

59%

35%

21%

45%

Bob Casey

44%

46%

9%

82%

43%

19%

8%

81%

16%

7%

83%

43%

42%

46%

40%

43%

42%

50%

43%

41%

41%

50%

42%

59%

45%

45%

40%

54%

51%

24%

44%

64%

38%

59%

44%

-

-

-

40%

51%

84%

49%

11%

43%

45%

45%

53%

34%

42%

50%

33%

48%

57%

35%

Don't know/Unsure

15%

11%

12%

10%

30%

70%

13%

11%

63%

11%

7%

25%

11%

19%

26%

20%

13%

3%

27%

22%

14%

3%

12%

22%

34%

25%

9%

19%

24%

18%

15%

25%

45%

30%

15%

-

-

-

20%

8%

8%

23%

11%

19%

11%

14%

18%

15%

11%

15%

8%

17%

22%

20%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

PA1bL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

David McCormick

52%

54%

73%

27%

52%

51%

75%

34%

40%

73%

30%

31%

60%

48%

56%

54%

45%

44%

52%

56%

49%

44%

58%

44%

50%

31%

63%

39%

60%

81%

55%

48%

45%

9%

52%

-

-

-

53%

49%

34%

50%

66%

50%

60%

53%

51%

52%

66%

56%

49%

45%

47%

53%

Bob Casey

48%

46%

27%

73%

48%

49%

25%

66%

60%

27%

70%

69%

40%

52%

44%

46%

55%

56%

48%

44%

51%

56%

42%

56%

50%

69%

37%

61%

40%

19%

45%

52%

55%

91%

48%

-

-

-

47%

51%

66%

50%

34%

50%

40%

47%

49%

48%

34%

44%

51%

55%

53%

47%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

338

230

118

91

101

28

144

116

78

104

67

9

123

215

127

118

79

14

84

134

106

14

230

58

35

15

82

24

13

4

148

34

22

11

338

0

0

0

272

66

44

204

90

209

115

145

102

91

58

44

21

87

58

70

QVOTEFACTOR: What factor was most important when casting your vote?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Candidate's position on issues

84%

85%

88%

81%

81%

63%

89%

80%

73%

89%

82%

76%

83%

84%

79%

82%

86%

86%

80%

81%

86%

86%

85%

77%

70%

87%

84%

74%

81%

91%

86%

80%

58%

84%

84%

-

-

-

84%

84%

86%

79%

88%

83%

84%

85%

79%

85%

85%

79%

84%

86%

78%

85%

Candidate's personal qualities

16%

15%

12%

19%

19%

37%

11%

20%

27%

11%

18%

24%

17%

16%

21%

18%

14%

14%

20%

19%

14%

14%

15%

23%

30%

13%

16%

26%

19%

9%

14%

20%

42%

16%

16%

-

-

-

16%

16%

14%

21%

12%

17%

16%

15%

21%

15%

15%

21%

16%

14%

22%

15%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

TQ6: Do you think the country is generally on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Right track

26%

28%

9%

47%

20%

11%

7%

46%

4%

7%

49%

13%

30%

22%

24%

27%

23%

29%

23%

30%

22%

29%

25%

33%

28%

27%

29%

37%

36%

14%

21%

29%

19%

36%

26%

-

-

-

20%

35%

51%

25%

10%

22%

30%

25%

37%

18%

28%

44%

19%

22%

30%

17%

Wrong track

62%

62%

87%

35%

62%

61%

90%

36%

64%

90%

33%

74%

62%

62%

59%

60%

66%

61%

58%

59%

67%

61%

65%

52%

49%

52%

64%

51%

45%

69%

66%

53%

53%

39%

62%

-

-

-

66%

55%

32%

58%

86%

64%

60%

62%

48%

73%

64%

45%

73%

60%

52%

73%

Unsure/Don't know

12%

11%

4%

18%

18%

28%

3%

19%

31%

3%

18%

13%

9%

16%

17%

13%

11%

10%

19%

12%

12%

10%

10%

15%

24%

21%

7%

12%

19%

17%

14%

18%

28%

24%

12%

-

-

-

14%

9%

17%

17%

4%

14%

10%

13%

14%

9%

8%

11%

7%

18%

18%

10%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

M2: In general, do you think the American economy is on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Right track

29%

31%

10%

52%

24%

12%

7%

53%

5%

7%

57%

22%

34%

25%

25%

28%

26%

37%

24%

30%

24%

37%

29%

34%

29%

29%

34%

36%

41%

14%

23%

32%

18%

39%

29%

-

-

-

22%

40%

59%

28%

10%

25%

34%

28%

41%

21%

32%

46%

24%

24%

35%

18%

Wrong track

62%

62%

87%

36%

63%

68%

91%

36%

65%

91%

32%

70%

61%

64%

63%

64%

68%

56%

61%

63%

68%

56%

64%

58%

53%

59%

61%

60%

49%

79%

67%

57%

57%

45%

62%

-

-

-

69%

53%

33%

59%

86%

66%

59%

63%

50%

73%

61%

48%

73%

64%

51%

74%

Don't know/Unsure

8%

7%

3%

11%

13%

20%

2%

11%

30%

3%

11%

9%

5%

11%

12%

8%

6%

7%

14%

8%

7%

7%

7%

8%

17%

12%

5%

4%

10%

7%

10%

12%

25%

16%

8%

-

-

-

9%

7%

8%

13%

3%

9%

7%

9%

9%

6%

6%

5%

3%

11%

14%

9%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

TQ1: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President of the United States?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

40%

42%

8%

76%

33%

20%

4%

77%

12%

5%

80%

27%

38%

42%

36%

39%

38%

46%

39%

37%

37%

46%

37%

62%

49%

27%

37%

54%

45%

13%

38%

71%

52%

37%

40%

-

-

-

37%

45%

78%

43%

10%

39%

41%

41%

52%

26%

38%

49%

27%

45%

56%

26%

Strongly approve

16%

18%

3%

35%

8%

1%

2%

32%

3%

2%

35%

10%

17%

16%

14%

14%

14%

22%

14%

15%

14%

22%

15%

27%

20%

11%

16%

27%

22%

3%

14%

28%

19%

17%

16%

-

-

-

14%

20%

39%

14%

4%

15%

17%

16%

24%

10%

16%

24%

11%

16%

24%

10%

Somewhat approve

24%

24%

6%

41%

26%

19%

2%

45%

9%

3%

45%

17%

21%

26%

22%

25%

24%

24%

25%

22%

24%

24%

22%

35%

28%

15%

21%

27%

24%

10%

24%

42%

33%

19%

24%

-

-

-

22%

25%

39%

30%

6%

23%

24%

25%

29%

16%

22%

25%

16%

29%

32%

16%

Somewhat disapprove

14%

13%

12%

13%

22%

19%

13%

15%

23%

11%

12%

27%

14%

15%

19%

17%

12%

10%

20%

19%

12%

10%

14%

12%

17%

24%

12%

14%

20%

25%

15%

10%

14%

23%

14%

-

-

-

14%

15%

13%

18%

11%

15%

14%

13%

17%

14%

12%

17%

13%

15%

17%

14%

Strongly disapprove

43%

43%

79%

8%

38%

30%

82%

6%

37%

83%

6%

38%

47%

39%

38%

40%

47%

44%

34%

39%

48%

44%

47%

22%

27%

40%

49%

32%

34%

58%

44%

13%

21%

28%

43%

-

-

-

46%

38%

6%

33%

78%

43%

42%

42%

27%

57%

48%

31%

60%

36%

23%

56%

NET DISAPPROVE

57%

56%

91%

21%

60%

49%

95%

21%

60%

94%

18%

65%

60%

54%

57%

57%

59%

54%

54%

58%

60%

54%

60%

34%

44%

64%

61%

45%

53%

84%

59%

22%

34%

51%

57%

-

-

-

60%

53%

19%

51%

89%

58%

56%

55%

44%

71%

60%

47%

73%

50%

39%

70%

Unsure/Don't know

3%

2%

1%

3%

7%

31%

1%

2%

28%

0%

2%

8%

2%

5%

7%

4%

2%

0%

7%

4%

3%

0%

2%

4%

7%

9%

2%

1%

2%

3%

3%

7%

13%

13%

3%

-

-

-

4%

2%

2%

6%

1%

3%

3%

3%

4%

2%

2%

3%

0%

5%

5%

4%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

TQVP: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kamala Harris is doing as Vice President of the United States?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

45%

47%

10%

85%

40%

21%

5%

87%

12%

6%

85%

37%

41%

49%

47%

46%

42%

47%

51%

45%

42%

47%

42%

68%

53%

45%

40%

61%

49%

17%

44%

75%

57%

65%

45%

-

-

-

42%

50%

87%

50%

12%

45%

46%

46%

62%

30%

41%

56%

27%

51%

69%

32%

Strongly approve

23%

24%

3%

49%

12%

0%

1%

45%

2%

2%

47%

4%

21%

24%

18%

22%

22%

28%

20%

20%

21%

28%

21%

36%

28%

17%

20%

35%

28%

0%

22%

38%

28%

30%

23%

-

-

-

20%

26%

51%

21%

5%

22%

23%

22%

32%

16%

20%

31%

13%

23%

34%

18%

Somewhat approve

23%

23%

7%

36%

29%

21%

4%

42%

10%

4%

39%

34%

20%

25%

29%

24%

20%

19%

31%

25%

20%

19%

21%

32%

25%

28%

20%

26%

21%

17%

22%

37%

29%

36%

23%

-

-

-

22%

24%

36%

29%

6%

23%

23%

24%

30%

14%

21%

25%

14%

27%

35%

14%

Somewhat disapprove

9%

9%

11%

6%

14%

12%

11%

6%

20%

10%

5%

8%

11%

8%

12%

11%

10%

5%

12%

12%

9%

5%

9%

11%

11%

10%

10%

14%

15%

17%

8%

9%

8%

5%

9%

-

-

-

9%

9%

5%

11%

10%

9%

10%

9%

9%

10%

10%

15%

10%

8%

4%

10%

Strongly disapprove

41%

42%

78%

5%

35%

38%

83%

2%

36%

83%

5%

40%

44%

37%

33%

38%

45%

45%

29%

38%

45%

45%

45%

16%

23%

38%

47%

23%

26%

63%

44%

8%

21%

21%

41%

-

-

-

43%

37%

4%

30%

77%

41%

41%

41%

24%

56%

46%

25%

60%

35%

22%

53%

NET DISAPPROVE

50%

50%

89%

11%

49%

50%

94%

8%

57%

93%

10%

48%

55%

45%

45%

49%

55%

51%

41%

50%

54%

51%

54%

27%

35%

48%

57%

37%

41%

80%

51%

17%

28%

26%

50%

-

-

-

53%

46%

10%

42%

87%

49%

51%

49%

33%

66%

56%

40%

70%

43%

26%

63%

Unsure/Don't know

5%

3%

2%

4%

11%

29%

1%

4%

31%

1%

5%

15%

3%

6%

8%

6%

3%

2%

8%

5%

4%

2%

4%

5%

12%

7%

3%

2%

10%

3%

5%

8%

15%

9%

5%

-

-

-

5%

4%

3%

8%

2%

6%

3%

5%

5%

4%

3%

4%

3%

6%

5%

6%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

TQGov: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Josh Shapiro is doing as Governor of Pennsylvania?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

TOP 2 BOX

55%

57%

30%

83%

52%

26%

29%

82%

34%

30%

87%

60%

54%

55%

42%

52%

55%

67%

43%

51%

53%

67%

55%

62%

48%

47%

55%

60%

53%

37%

55%

64%

43%

54%

55%

-

-

-

49%

63%

84%

60%

29%

52%

57%

57%

58%

48%

55%

59%

48%

58%

58%

48%

Strongly approve

27%

29%

7%

51%

23%

10%

6%

49%

8%

7%

54%

28%

27%

27%

17%

23%

28%

38%

17%

21%

27%

38%

28%

29%

18%

23%

28%

32%

20%

17%

28%

27%

15%

27%

27%

-

-

-

22%

35%

55%

28%

7%

25%

29%

29%

29%

22%

30%

25%

24%

29%

33%

21%

Somewhat approve

27%

28%

23%

32%

29%

16%

22%

32%

26%

23%

32%

32%

27%

28%

25%

29%

27%

28%

26%

29%

26%

28%

27%

33%

31%

24%

27%

28%

33%

20%

27%

36%

28%

27%

27%

-

-

-

27%

28%

29%

32%

22%

27%

28%

28%

29%

26%

26%

34%

24%

29%

24%

28%

Somewhat disapprove

17%

17%

29%

6%

18%

17%

30%

6%

16%

29%

5%

25%

19%

16%

17%

19%

18%

15%

16%

19%

19%

15%

18%

13%

14%

17%

19%

16%

17%

25%

17%

10%

10%

11%

17%

-

-

-

18%

16%

5%

15%

29%

16%

18%

17%

15%

20%

19%

18%

20%

15%

12%

20%

Strongly disapprove

15%

15%

30%

2%

12%

6%

29%

2%

13%

32%

2%

5%

18%

12%

12%

15%

17%

15%

11%

13%

18%

15%

16%

10%

11%

14%

19%

10%

14%

25%

13%

9%

8%

7%

15%

-

-

-

16%

13%

3%

8%

30%

16%

14%

14%

12%

19%

17%

13%

24%

10%

12%

16%

BOTTOM 2 BOX

32%

32%

58%

7%

29%

23%

59%

8%

29%

61%

7%

30%

37%

28%

30%

33%

36%

30%

27%

32%

37%

30%

34%

22%

24%

31%

38%

26%

31%

50%

31%

19%

18%

18%

32%

-

-

-

34%

29%

9%

23%

59%

32%

33%

31%

27%

39%

37%

30%

44%

25%

24%

35%

Unsure/Don't know

13%

10%

12%

9%

19%

51%

12%

11%

37%

9%

6%

10%

9%

17%

28%

14%

9%

3%

30%

17%

10%

3%

11%

16%

27%

22%

7%

14%

16%

14%

14%

18%

39%

28%

13%

-

-

-

17%

7%

7%

17%

13%

16%

10%

12%

15%

13%

8%

11%

8%

17%

18%

16%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

2,333

2,103

912

1,017

366

38

1,015

1,195

123

872

1,003

34

1,091

1,242

498

643

653

539

313

644

837

539

1,888

277

106

62

881

131

55

24

1,007

146

51

38

2,333

0

0

0

1,415

918

624

929

780

1,167

1,120

1,108

607

618

524

317

250

584

290

368

TQCong: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is doing its job?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

26%

27%

20%

38%

18%

20%

21%

34%

9%

19%

35%

13%

25%

28%

28%

32%

24%

22%

27%

34%

25%

22%

24%

41%

30%

25%

24%

39%

34%

12%

25%

43%

26%

34%

26%

-

-

-

27%

25%

36%

26%

20%

29%

25%

24%

41%

19%

21%

43%

15%

26%

37%

23%

Strongly approve

5%

5%

2%

10%

3%

1%

3%

8%

1%

2%

8%

6%

5%

5%

8%

8%

4%

2%

7%

9%

4%

2%

4%

9%

8%

8%

5%

11%

5%

0%

3%

8%

12%

14%

5%

-

-

-

4%

7%

12%

3%

3%

5%

5%

4%

11%

2%

4%

12%

2%

4%

11%

2%

Somewhat approve

21%

21%

18%

28%

15%

19%

18%

26%

7%

17%

27%

7%

20%

22%

20%

25%

20%

20%

19%

25%

20%

20%

20%

32%

22%

17%

19%

28%

29%

12%

22%

35%

14%

20%

21%

-

-

-

23%

18%

25%

23%

17%

24%

20%

19%

29%

17%

18%

32%

13%

21%

26%

21%

Somewhat disapprove

37%

38%

40%

32%

39%

31%

41%

34%

26%

42%

34%

49%

38%

35%

27%

33%

42%

43%

28%

29%

41%

43%

39%

25%

27%

35%

40%

28%

28%

46%

38%

23%

26%

28%

37%

-

-

-

34%

41%

33%

35%

41%

31%

41%

39%

29%

40%

41%

29%

43%

37%

28%

38%

Strongly disapprove

24%

25%

29%

19%

26%

16%

28%

21%

29%

30%

22%

31%

29%

20%

22%

22%

23%

29%

20%

23%

23%

29%

26%

20%

23%

17%

31%

23%

28%

24%

21%

17%

18%

12%

24%

-

-

-

23%

26%

22%

23%

28%

25%

24%

25%

19%

29%

30%

22%

37%

19%

16%

22%

NET DISAPPROVE

61%

63%

70%

51%

65%

47%

68%

55%

55%

72%

56%

79%

68%

55%

49%

55%

65%

72%

48%

52%

65%

72%

65%

46%

50%

52%

70%

52%

56%

70%

59%

40%

44%

40%

61%

-

-

-

57%

67%

55%

57%

70%

56%

65%

63%

48%

69%

71%

50%

79%

56%

45%

61%

Unsure/Don't know

12%

11%

11%

11%

17%

33%

11%

11%

36%

9%

9%

7%

7%

18%

23%

12%

11%

6%

26%

14%

11%

6%

11%

13%

20%

23%

6%

9%

10%

18%

16%

17%

30%

26%

12%

-

-

-

16%

7%

9%

16%

11%

15%

10%

13%

12%

12%

8%

6%

6%

19%

18%

16%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100