HarrisX Battleground State Poll (Nov 3-5): Pennsylvania

This survey was administered by HarrisX among 2,333 registered voters from November 3-5, 2024 across Pennsylvania. Respondents were recruited through opt-in, web-panel recruitment sampling. Recruitment occurs through a broad variety of professional, validated respondent panels to expand the sampling frame as wide as possible and minimize the impact of any given panel on recruiting methods.

The sampling margin of error is +/- 2.0%. Results were weighted by age, gender, race/ethnicity, political party, education, income, early vote percentage, and previous vote choice where necessary to align with actual demographic proportions amongst the population of RVs within Pennsylvania.

For further insights and data, visit elections.harrisx.com

HarrisX's Final Presidential Horserace (+Leaners)

H2bMEV: : If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for? (including Early voters choice)
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump+leaners	47.1%	47.5%	90.3%	6.1%	39.6%	42.9%	98.4%	0.6%	37.4%	93.1%	5.1%	22.8%	51.5%	42.8%	43.7%	45.4%	51.4%	47.4%	37.9%	47.2%	51.2%	47.4%	52.6%	20.2%	26.2%	40.8%	55.1%	29.7%	28.0%	69.4%	50.1%	11.1%	24.3%	20.6%	47.1%	-	-	-	49.7%	43.1%	6.1%	37.6%	85.4%	46.9%	47.6%	46.5%	32.1%	61.3%	52.6%	38.0%	62.9%	40.4%	25.6%	60.0%
Kamala Harris+leaners	50.3%	51.0%	8.2%	93.4%	51.5%	44.3%	0.5%	98.7%	34.1%	5.0%	93.4%	51.4%	45.8%	54.8%	52.9%	50.6%	47.4%	50.6%	59.0%	48.9%	46.9%	50.6%	45.1%	75.9%	70.8%	54.9%	42.5%	66.4%	67.6%	26.8%	47.7%	85.1%	74.1%	74.8%	50.3%	-	-	-	47.3%	54.9%	93.3%	57.2%	13.4%	50.3%	50.0%	50.8%	66.1%	35.4%	44.9%	59.7%	33.4%	56.9%	73.1%	37.0%
Cornel West+leaners	1.7%	1.0%	1.1%	0.2%	6.3%	8.5%	0.5%	0.5%	20.8%	1.5%	0.9%	14.4%	1.8%	1.7%	2.8%	2.3%	0.9%	1.2%	2.6%	2.3%	1.4%	1.2%	1.6%	2.6%	1.2%	3.0%	1.7%	1.6%	2.4%	3.8%	1.5%	3.6%	0.0%	2.5%	1.7%	-	-	-	2.1%	1.3%	0.3%	3.5%	0.8%	1.8%	1.7%	1.8%	1.2%	2.1%	1.5%	1.6%	2.8%	2.1%	0.9%	1.6%
Jill Stein+leaners	0.9%	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	2.6%	4.4%	0.6%	0.2%	7.7%	0.4%	0.6%	11.4%	0.9%	0.8%	0.5%	1.8%	0.3%	0.8%	0.5%	1.7%	0.5%	0.8%	0.7%	1.2%	1.8%	1.2%	0.7%	2.3%	1.9%	0.0%	0.7%	0.2%	1.7%	2.0%	0.9%	-	-	-	0.9%	0.7%	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	1.0%	0.8%	0.8%	0.6%	1.2%	1.1%	0.7%	0.9%	0.6%	0.5%	1.4%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

Full Poll Findings below:

QVOTE1: Have you already voted in Tuesday's 2024 elections, or have you not had the chance to yet?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Already voted	22%	25%	16%	29%	21%	13%	16%	30%	7%	17%	30%	26%	23%	21%	25%	17%	12%	33%	29%	18%	12%	33%	22%	19%	28%	26%	23%	17%	34%	25%	20%	22%	23%	27%	22%	-	-	-	17%	29%	34%	19%	17%	20%	24%	22%	28%	17%	22%	30%	19%	22%	26%	16%
Not yet	78%	75%	84%	71%	79%	87%	84%	70%	93%	83%	70%	74%	77%	79%	75%	83%	88%	67%	71%	82%	88%	67%	78%	81%	72%	74%	77%	83%	66%	75%	80%	78%	77%	73%	78%	-	-	-	83%	71%	66%	81%	83%	80%	76%	78%	72%	83%	78%	70%	81%	78%	74%	84%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

QTYPEOFVOTE: Did you mail in a ballot or did you vote early at a voting center?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Mailed in a ballot	78%	78%	70%	82%	83%	45%	68%	83%	75%	68%	84%	95%	76%	81%	64%	63%	84%	92%	64%	58%	86%	92%	82%	66%	63%	70%	81%	58%	52%	68%	83%	72%	81%	71%	78%	-	-	-	77%	79%	81%	80%	72%	80%	76%	82%	68%	84%	83%	59%	88%	82%	78%	81%
Voted early at a voting center	22%	22%	30%	18%	17%	55%	32%	17%	25%	32%	16%	5%	24%	19%	36%	37%	16%	8%	36%	42%	14%	8%	18%	34%	37%	30%	19%	42%	48%	32%	17%	28%	19%	29%	22%	-	-	-	23%	21%	19%	20%	28%	20%	24%	18%	32%	16%	17%	41%	12%	18%	22%	19%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	807	807	240	444	117	6	263	529	15	238	446	12	393	414	186	198	169	254	131	207	215	254	649	99	39	20	319	43	24	7	330	56	15	13	807	0	0	0	414	393	301	294	212	385	407	375	262	170	177	145	71	198	117	99

H2V: Who did you vote for in the 2024 presidential election?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump	32%	32%	84%	3%	27%	23%	96%	0%	10%	90%	2%	0%	38%	25%	35%	30%	27%	31%	30%	33%	33%	31%	35%	12%	18%	32%	39%	19%	21%	71%	30%	7%	13%	6%	32%	-	-	-	33%	31%	7%	25%	72%	34%	30%	30%	28%	41%	38%	34%	44%	22%	21%	37%
Kamala Harris	66%	66%	13%	96%	63%	56%	2%	99%	0%	7%	97%	58%	60%	71%	63%	66%	68%	66%	69%	63%	63%	66%	62%	86%	77%	63%	59%	81%	76%	29%	66%	90%	80%	86%	66%	-	-	-	64%	67%	92%	70%	24%	63%	67%	68%	69%	55%	61%	64%	53%	76%	74%	57%
Cornel West	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	22%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	19%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%
Jill Stein	1%	1%	1%	0%	3%	0%	1%	0%	18%	0%	1%	8%	0%	1%	0%	3%	0%	1%	0%	2%	0%	1%	0%	1%	3%	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	7%	8%	1%	-	-	-	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	2%	2%	0%
Someone else	1%	1%	2%	0%	5%	0%	1%	0%	58%	2%	0%	15%	1%	2%	1%	0%	3%	2%	0%	1%	2%	2%	2%	0%	2%	0%	1%	0%	3%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	1%	-	-	-	1%	2%	0%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	3%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	4%
I did not vote in this race	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	14%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	807	807	240	444	117	6	263	529	15	238	446	12	393	414	186	198	169	254	131	207	215	254	649	99	39	20	319	43	24	7	330	56	15	13	807	0	0	0	414	393	301	294	212	385	407	375	262	170	177	145	71	198	117	99

QVOTETIME: Is this the first time you are voting in a presidential election?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Yes	16%	16%	15%	16%	15%	88%	16%	16%	34%	12%	7%	10%	19%	14%	41%	21%	6%	2%	44%	25%	7%	2%	12%	26%	35%	28%	15%	35%	41%	15%	9%	20%	27%	36%	16%	-	-	-	22%	11%	16%	20%	13%	18%	16%	12%	24%	14%	14%	28%	13%	10%	19%	14%
No	84%	84%	85%	84%	85%	12%	84%	84%	66%	88%	93%	90%	81%	86%	59%	79%	94%	98%	56%	75%	93%	98%	88%	74%	65%	72%	86%	65%	59%	85%	91%	80%	73%	64%	84%	-	-	-	78%	89%	84%	80%	87%	82%	84%	88%	76%	86%	86%	72%	87%	90%	81%	86%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	807	807	240	444	117	6	263	529	15	238	446	12	393	414	186	198	169	254	131	207	215	254	649	99	39	20	319	43	24	7	330	56	15	13	807	0	0	0	414	393	301	294	212	385	407	375	262	170	177	145	71	198	117	99

QDECISION1: When did you make up your mind on who you were voting for?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Today	4%	4%	2%	4%	4%	42%	3%	4%	8%	1%	5%	6%	5%	3%	7%	7%	2%	1%	7%	8%	1%	1%	3%	10%	7%	4%	4%	13%	12%	0%	2%	8%	0%	7%	4%	-	-	-	4%	4%	6%	3%	3%	4%	4%	2%	8%	1%	3%	9%	3%	1%	7%	0%
In the last week	10%	10%	12%	7%	14%	0%	14%	8%	11%	13%	6%	0%	12%	7%	20%	15%	7%	2%	19%	17%	9%	2%	9%	14%	15%	5%	12%	20%	7%	13%	6%	9%	28%	0%	10%	-	-	-	9%	10%	5%	14%	11%	7%	12%	7%	18%	3%	8%	23%	5%	7%	12%	1%
In late October	10%	10%	11%	9%	11%	0%	12%	7%	53%	14%	7%	19%	10%	9%	11%	19%	3%	6%	11%	18%	5%	6%	9%	9%	11%	12%	10%	17%	12%	0%	8%	4%	8%	19%	10%	-	-	-	8%	11%	7%	12%	10%	7%	11%	8%	14%	7%	7%	16%	7%	8%	10%	7%
In early October	12%	12%	14%	12%	9%	0%	12%	12%	0%	10%	10%	60%	9%	15%	14%	16%	13%	8%	13%	18%	13%	8%	9%	19%	14%	25%	8%	6%	15%	14%	11%	29%	11%	33%	12%	-	-	-	13%	10%	11%	8%	16%	10%	13%	12%	13%	9%	10%	10%	3%	15%	15%	14%
In September	9%	9%	5%	9%	12%	46%	5%	10%	14%	5%	10%	0%	10%	7%	9%	8%	7%	9%	9%	9%	7%	9%	8%	12%	19%	0%	9%	5%	27%	0%	7%	17%	6%	0%	9%	-	-	-	11%	6%	8%	11%	6%	10%	8%	7%	11%	7%	7%	15%	8%	7%	7%	7%
Before September	54%	54%	54%	57%	45%	0%	53%	56%	8%	54%	61%	8%	52%	55%	36%	32%	62%	72%	37%	29%	59%	72%	59%	31%	34%	47%	56%	35%	26%	73%	63%	28%	46%	31%	54%	-	-	-	50%	57%	61%	47%	52%	58%	51%	61%	34%	66%	64%	25%	69%	58%	45%	63%
Unsure/ Don't Know	3%	3%	2%	3%	5%	12%	2%	3%	5%	2%	2%	7%	2%	5%	3%	4%	6%	2%	4%	2%	6%	2%	3%	5%	0%	6%	2%	4%	0%	0%	4%	5%	0%	10%	3%	-	-	-	5%	1%	2%	5%	2%	4%	1%	2%	2%	6%	1%	1%	5%	4%	3%	8%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	807	807	240	444	117	6	263	529	15	238	446	12	393	414	186	198	169	254	131	207	215	254	649	99	39	20	319	43	24	7	330	56	15	13	807	0	0	0	414	393	301	294	212	385	407	375	262	170	177	145	71	198	117	99

QDECISION2: Would you say that you voted for change or for continuity in how the country is managed?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Change	65%	65%	78%	57%	69%	44%	79%	58%	96%	82%	55%	80%	63%	68%	71%	62%	69%	62%	75%	59%	68%	62%	63%	74%	64%	77%	62%	64%	50%	100%	65%	82%	86%	62%	65%	-	-	-	69%	62%	49%	69%	83%	68%	63%	71%	59%	63%	71%	53%	59%	70%	66%	66%
Continuity	35%	35%	22%	43%	31%	56%	21%	42%	4%	18%	45%	20%	37%	32%	29%	38%	31%	38%	25%	41%	32%	38%	37%	26%	36%	23%	38%	36%	50%	0%	35%	18%	14%	38%	35%	-	-	-	31%	38%	51%	31%	17%	32%	37%	29%	41%	37%	29%	47%	41%	30%	34%	34%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	807	807	240	444	117	6	263	529	15	238	446	12	393	414	186	198	169	254	131	207	215	254	649	99	39	20	319	43	24	7	330	56	15	13	807	0	0	0	414	393	301	294	212	385	407	375	262	170	177	145	71	198	117	99

JS2: How likely or unlikely are you to vote in the upcoming 2024 elections in November?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET: Likely Voters (T3B)	91%	100%	94%	94%	80%	49%	92%	94%	55%	96%	97%	87%	93%	88%	85%	90%	92%	96%	85%	89%	91%	96%	92%	85%	84%	86%	95%	83%	90%	88%	90%	87%	76%	85%	91%	-	-	-	87%	97%	96%	85%	93%	87%	94%	92%	90%	90%	93%	92%	94%	90%	87%	86%
NET: Likely Voters (T2B)	88%	100%	92%	93%	75%	43%	90%	92%	48%	94%	95%	87%	91%	86%	81%	86%	91%	95%	81%	85%	89%	95%	90%	84%	80%	81%	93%	82%	90%	79%	87%	87%	70%	82%	88%	-	-	-	84%	95%	95%	81%	92%	85%	92%	90%	86%	88%	92%	89%	92%	88%	84%	84%
Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections/I already voted	82%	92%	85%	87%	67%	32%	83%	86%	38%	88%	90%	78%	84%	79%	72%	76%	85%	91%	70%	75%	84%	91%	84%	75%	73%	73%	86%	75%	83%	74%	82%	76%	63%	73%	82%	-	-	-	76%	90%	89%	73%	86%	77%	86%	83%	78%	83%	85%	80%	87%	81%	76%	79%
Probably going to vote in the elections	7%	8%	7%	6%	8%	11%	8%	6%	9%	7%	5%	9%	7%	7%	10%	10%	5%	3%	10%	11%	6%	3%	6%	9%	7%	7%	7%	8%	7%	5%	6%	11%	7%	9%	7%	-	-	-	8%	5%	5%	9%	6%	8%	6%	7%	8%	5%	7%	9%	5%	7%	7%	5%
Possibly going to vote in the elections	2%	0%	2%	1%	5%	6%	2%	2%	7%	1%	1%	0%	2%	3%	4%	4%	1%	1%	4%	4%	2%	1%	2%	1%	3%	6%	2%	1%	0%	9%	2%	1%	6%	3%	2%	-	-	-	3%	2%	1%	4%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	1%	3%	2%	3%	4%	2%
May or may not vote in the elections	4%	0%	1%	3%	9%	21%	3%	3%	18%	1%	1%	11%	3%	4%	7%	4%	3%	1%	7%	4%	4%	1%	2%	5%	10%	12%	1%	8%	7%	12%	3%	2%	13%	11%	4%	-	-	-	5%	1%	2%	6%	2%	5%	2%	3%	4%	3%	3%	4%	1%	4%	4%	5%
Possibly not going to participate in the elections	1%	0%	0%	1%	2%	6%	1%	0%	3%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	2%	0%	0%	1%	0%	4%	0%	1%	-	-	-	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	2%
Probably not going to participate in the elections	1%	0%	0%	0%	4%	4%	1%	1%	4%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	3%	1%	0%	0%	2%	2%	0%	1%	3%	0%	0%	1%	-	-	-	1%	0%	0%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	3%	1%
Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections	4%	0%	4%	3%	6%	20%	3%	2%	21%	3%	2%	2%	3%	5%	4%	5%	4%	3%	5%	4%	4%	3%	4%	7%	3%	2%	3%	6%	0%	0%	5%	8%	7%	3%	4%	-	-	-	6%	1%	2%	6%	3%	5%	3%	3%	3%	5%	2%	2%	4%	5%	5%	6%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

QBallot: Have you received a ballot for the 2024 presidential election or not?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Yes	21%	21%	17%	28%	19%	9%	19%	24%	18%	18%	25%	11%	23%	19%	28%	23%	18%	15%	29%	26%	19%	15%	18%	36%	38%	20%	19%	42%	50%	13%	17%	31%	27%	26%	21%	-	-	-	22%	20%	29%	20%	18%	21%	21%	19%	35%	14%	20%	41%	13%	19%	28%	14%
No	79%	79%	83%	72%	81%	91%	81%	76%	82%	82%	75%	89%	77%	81%	72%	77%	82%	85%	71%	74%	81%	85%	82%	64%	62%	80%	81%	58%	50%	87%	83%	69%	73%	74%	79%	-	-	-	78%	80%	71%	80%	82%	79%	79%	81%	65%	86%	80%	59%	87%	81%	72%	86%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,526	1,296	672	573	249	32	752	666	108	634	557	22	698	828	312	445	484	285	182	437	622	285	1,239	178	67	42	562	88	31	17	677	90	36	25	1,526	0	0	0	1,001	525	323	635	568	782	713	733	345	448	347	172	179	386	173	269

QEarly2: How do you plan to vote this year: by mail, in person before Election Day, or in person on Election Day?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
By mail	5%	4%	3%	7%	6%	5%	4%	6%	4%	3%	5%	0%	4%	6%	10%	5%	3%	2%	10%	6%	3%	2%	4%	7%	9%	5%	4%	7%	6%	0%	5%	7%	12%	8%	5%	-	-	-	5%	5%	5%	6%	4%	6%	4%	5%	6%	3%	5%	5%	2%	6%	7%	5%
In person before Election Day	8%	8%	9%	8%	9%	5%	10%	8%	5%	8%	7%	11%	9%	8%	10%	10%	7%	6%	11%	9%	8%	6%	7%	20%	9%	0%	8%	23%	9%	0%	7%	17%	8%	0%	8%	-	-	-	10%	5%	11%	8%	8%	11%	7%	8%	11%	7%	8%	14%	7%	8%	9%	7%
In person on Election Day	82%	88%	87%	84%	72%	47%	84%	84%	60%	88%	87%	89%	84%	80%	73%	79%	86%	89%	70%	80%	84%	89%	85%	64%	75%	89%	87%	62%	81%	95%	83%	67%	69%	84%	82%	-	-	-	78%	89%	83%	78%	86%	76%	87%	83%	76%	85%	86%	77%	88%	81%	76%	83%
I am not planning to vote	4%	0%	2%	2%	13%	44%	3%	2%	32%	1%	1%	0%	3%	6%	8%	6%	3%	2%	9%	5%	4%	2%	4%	8%	7%	7%	2%	8%	3%	5%	5%	9%	11%	8%	4%	-	-	-	6%	1%	1%	9%	2%	7%	2%	4%	6%	4%	2%	4%	3%	6%	8%	5%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,526	1,296	672	573	249	32	752	666	108	634	557	22	698	828	312	445	484	285	182	437	622	285	1,239	178	67	42	562	88	31	17	677	90	36	25	1,526	0	0	0	1,001	525	323	635	568	782	713	733	345	448	347	172	179	386	173	269

F1r: SUMMARY OF T2B - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region	Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Josh Shapiro	51%	54%	26%	78%	50%	20%	26%	77%	31%	27%	84%	59%	51%	51%	38%	47%	53%	64%	37%	44%	51%	64%	52%	53%	44%	42%	51%	54%	57%	44%	53%	53%	32%	41%	51%	44%	61%	80%	55%	27%	48%	53%	54%	53%	44%	53%	54%	45%	54%	53%	44%
Kamala Harris	49%	51%	11%	92%	44%	31%	6%	94%	19%	8%	90%	42%	45%	54%	52%	49%	47%	50%	57%	49%	46%	50%	45%	74%	64%	54%	42%	66%	61%	25%	48%	82%	67%	74%	49%	46%	54%	92%	54%	15%	49%	50%	50%	66%	33%	43%	60%	31%	57%	73%	35%
Donald Trump	44%	45%	85%	8%	34%	26%	90%	5%	18%	87%	6%	17%	48%	41%	44%	45%	46%	43%	39%	48%	46%	43%	49%	25%	29%	35%	51%	36%	32%	60%	47%	13%	25%	18%	44%	48%	39%	9%	33%	81%	46%	44%	43%	35%	56%	48%	41%	57%	38%	28%	55%
Bob Casey	43%	46%	14%	76%	40%	20%	12%	76%	17%	12%	80%	40%	43%	44%	35%	40%	44%	52%	36%	37%	43%	52%	42%	54%	46%	41%	42%	49%	52%	33%	42%	58%	40%	46%	43%	38%	51%	79%	46%	15%	43%	44%	43%	54%	34%	42%	54%	35%	45%	54%	34%
Tim Walz	41%	44%	10%	75%	38%	15%	8%	76%	11%	7%	79%	48%	40%	42%	35%	42%	39%	47%	38%	39%	38%	47%	40%	52%	43%	41%	38%	52%	51%	33%	41%	51%	34%	46%	41%	35%	50%	82%	43%	11%	38%	43%	43%	49%	30%	41%	46%	31%	45%	52%	29%
J.D. Vance	40%	42%	75%	11%	28%	11%	78%	8%	16%	78%	9%	29%	46%	34%	31%	36%	46%	45%	27%	36%	45%	45%	45%	18%	22%	34%	49%	25%	27%	61%	40%	11%	17%	15%	40%	39%	41%	10%	27%	74%	37%	43%	39%	28%	51%	46%	34%	58%	33%	21%	46%
Joe Biden	39%	41%	7%	77%	30%	15%	4%	76%	5%	4%	80%	21%	37%	41%	34%	38%	39%	45%	35%	37%	38%	45%	37%	57%	49%	28%	37%	50%	46%	11%	37%	64%	51%	40%	39%	35%	46%	79%	41%	10%	37%	41%	39%	54%	26%	35%	51%	27%	43%	57%	25%
Dave McCormick	38%	40%	69%	13%	24%	11%	69%	11%	18%	72%	12%	22%	43%	33%	31%	36%	41%	43%	28%	35%	41%	43%	42%	21%	23%	31%	46%	28%	29%	45%	37%	15%	17%	22%	38%	38%	38%	12%	25%	69%	36%	40%	37%	30%	46%	42%	39%	52%	32%	21%	42%
Nikki Haley	32%	34%	48%	19%	24%	10%	46%	19%	24%	50%	22%	57%	39%	24%	14%	25%	35%	49%	12%	22%	33%	49%	36%	11%	17%	22%	44%	17%	16%	34%	28%	6%	18%	13%	32%	25%	41%	16%	25%	49%	26%	37%	32%	24%	37%	39%	32%	46%	25%	15%	29%
Cornel West	11%	11%	8%	13%	11%	13%	9%	12%	11%	9%	13%	13%	14%	7%	11%	14%	8%	10%	9%	15%	9%	10%	9%	19%	15%	11%	13%	26%	12%	17%	6%	13%	17%	7%	11%	10%	12%	16%	10%	8%	10%	12%	9%	18%	7%	10%	25%	11%	9%	10%	3%
Jill Stein	11%	11%	8%	14%	10%	10%	9%	12%	8%	8%	12%	21%	13%	8%	16%	13%	10%	4%	14%	17%	9%	4%	10%	13%	15%	10%	12%	19%	13%	16%	8%	6%	16%	7%	11%	8%	14%	15%	10%	8%	9%	13%	10%	16%	7%	12%	19%	9%	7%	13%	6%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

F1r: SUMMARY OF B2B - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region	Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Joe Biden	56%	55%	90%	19%	59%	51%	93%	20%	65%	94%	17%	66%	59%	53%	58%	55%	58%	53%	55%	57%	58%	53%	59%	34%	43%	58%	61%	45%	49%	79%	58%	24%	37%	44%	56%	59%	51%	18%	51%	87%	56%	56%	56%	40%	70%	60%	46%	71%	51%	34%	69%
Donald Trump	52%	53%	15%	88%	58%	47%	9%	92%	57%	12%	92%	69%	49%	55%	49%	49%	52%	57%	54%	46%	52%	57%	49%	67%	61%	63%	47%	57%	63%	36%	50%	78%	58%	82%	52%	47%	59%	88%	61%	18%	50%	54%	54%	60%	42%	50%	52%	42%	58%	68%	41%
Kamala Harris	47%	48%	87%	7%	47%	44%	92%	5%	54%	91%	8%	50%	52%	43%	41%	46%	51%	50%	36%	47%	51%	50%	52%	21%	30%	45%	55%	32%	37%	71%	50%	11%	24%	26%	47%	50%	44%	7%	40%	83%	46%	48%	47%	30%	64%	53%	36%	67%	41%	23%	61%
J.D. Vance	44%	46%	14%	75%	44%	27%	10%	77%	34%	12%	80%	52%	43%	45%	39%	43%	42%	50%	43%	40%	42%	50%	42%	57%	46%	43%	41%	57%	52%	27%	43%	57%	40%	55%	44%	39%	52%	78%	49%	15%	43%	46%	47%	50%	33%	44%	48%	34%	50%	52%	32%
Dave McCormick	44%	45%	17%	70%	48%	28%	15%	71%	37%	16%	74%	58%	43%	45%	38%	40%	44%	51%	40%	38%	43%	51%	43%	54%	39%	45%	42%	51%	41%	37%	44%	57%	36%	51%	44%	39%	50%	72%	51%	17%	43%	45%	46%	47%	36%	45%	43%	37%	48%	50%	36%
Tim Walz	41%	43%	74%	12%	34%	15%	77%	9%	35%	80%	10%	29%	47%	35%	32%	38%	45%	48%	28%	38%	45%	48%	46%	24%	24%	31%	51%	26%	28%	54%	40%	21%	19%	15%	41%	41%	41%	8%	31%	75%	39%	44%	41%	29%	52%	48%	37%	58%	35%	21%	46%
Bob Casey	41%	42%	72%	12%	36%	26%	73%	11%	38%	77%	11%	40%	46%	37%	34%	39%	44%	45%	31%	40%	44%	45%	45%	28%	25%	30%	49%	34%	26%	50%	41%	23%	23%	16%	41%	42%	40%	9%	33%	72%	38%	44%	42%	29%	50%	47%	32%	57%	37%	26%	44%
Nikki Haley	33%	34%	22%	45%	31%	12%	22%	44%	20%	23%	47%	14%	35%	30%	35%	31%	30%	34%	34%	35%	29%	34%	32%	36%	29%	33%	35%	35%	37%	32%	30%	36%	20%	34%	33%	28%	40%	53%	30%	22%	29%	36%	35%	33%	27%	37%	36%	31%	33%	31%	24%
Josh Shapiro	32%	32%	57%	8%	26%	26%	57%	8%	29%	60%	7%	26%	36%	28%	30%	31%	34%	31%	27%	32%	34%	31%	34%	24%	20%	29%	39%	28%	21%	34%	29%	21%	18%	25%	32%	33%	30%	9%	22%	58%	31%	33%	32%	26%	38%	36%	29%	44%	27%	22%	33%
Jill Stein	29%	30%	30%	30%	24%	14%	30%	29%	23%	33%	30%	21%	34%	24%	28%	28%	25%	34%	28%	29%	25%	34%	30%	28%	24%	23%	35%	30%	30%	31%	24%	26%	18%	17%	29%	25%	34%	36%	23%	30%	26%	31%	29%	30%	26%	33%	39%	32%	26%	20%	22%
Cornel West	22%	23%	24%	22%	19%	6%	23%	21%	19%	26%	22%	15%	27%	16%	20%	21%	19%	27%	18%	23%	18%	27%	23%	21%	13%	20%	29%	20%	14%	30%	16%	23%	12%	13%	22%	18%	27%	24%	18%	24%	19%	24%	22%	23%	21%	27%	27%	28%	16%	19%	14%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

F1r: SUMMARY OF 'NEVER HEARD OF THEM' - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region	Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Cornel West	31%	30%	32%	31%	26%	32%	32%	31%	21%	29%	29%	32%	26%	35%	36%	30%	33%	25%	37%	30%	32%	25%	31%	29%	29%	33%	25%	32%	25%	18%	36%	26%	32%	43%	31%	33%	27%	30%	32%	29%	34%	28%	31%	28%	32%	28%	25%	22%	33%	33%	41%
Jill Stein	20%	20%	21%	20%	18%	24%	20%	20%	16%	18%	18%	15%	16%	24%	24%	18%	20%	17%	25%	19%	20%	17%	19%	20%	25%	21%	15%	21%	24%	9%	23%	20%	27%	30%	20%	24%	14%	17%	23%	19%	22%	18%	18%	21%	23%	15%	19%	16%	21%	24%	28%
Nikki Haley	14%	12%	11%	16%	14%	33%	13%	15%	15%	10%	11%	2%	10%	18%	25%	16%	13%	4%	27%	16%	15%	4%	11%	27%	28%	18%	7%	28%	28%	9%	15%	25%	28%	24%	14%	20%	5%	13%	18%	10%	19%	10%	12%	20%	13%	9%	17%	6%	15%	24%	18%
Tim Walz	5%	4%	4%	4%	6%	23%	5%	4%	7%	4%	2%	4%	4%	6%	12%	5%	3%	1%	12%	6%	3%	1%	4%	8%	6%	14%	3%	11%	5%	0%	4%	5%	7%	24%	5%	6%	2%	4%	7%	4%	6%	3%	4%	8%	3%	2%	7%	3%	6%	8%	4%
J.D. Vance	4%	3%	3%	4%	4%	15%	3%	4%	6%	2%	2%	4%	3%	4%	9%	4%	2%	1%	9%	6%	2%	1%	3%	9%	6%	6%	2%	9%	5%	0%	3%	8%	7%	10%	4%	5%	1%	4%	4%	3%	5%	2%	3%	6%	2%	2%	7%	1%	4%	6%	4%
Dave McCormick	3%	3%	3%	3%	4%	9%	3%	3%	8%	2%	3%	3%	3%	4%	9%	3%	2%	1%	9%	5%	2%	1%	3%	3%	11%	4%	3%	4%	10%	3%	3%	3%	12%	4%	3%	4%	3%	4%	4%	3%	4%	3%	4%	5%	1%	4%	4%	0%	3%	6%	2%
Josh Shapiro	3%	2%	3%	3%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	2%	2%	5%	2%	3%	7%	3%	1%	0%	8%	4%	1%	0%	2%	3%	8%	5%	2%	4%	10%	0%	2%	3%	5%	8%	3%	3%	1%	3%	2%	3%	4%	2%	2%	5%	2%	2%	6%	1%	2%	4%	3%
Bob Casey	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	5%	2%	2%	6%	2%	1%	0%	6%	3%	1%	0%	2%	1%	4%	6%	2%	0%	5%	4%	2%	2%	2%	7%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	3%	0%	2%	2%	2%
Donald Trump	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	0%	0%	2%	2%	0%	0%	1%	2%	2%	0%	1%	2%	0%	0%	1%	2%	5%	0%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	2%	0%	0%	2%	0%	1%	1%	0%
Kamala Harris	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Joe Biden	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

F1r: SUMMARY OF 'NO OPINION' - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region	Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Jill Stein	41%	40%	41%	37%	48%	51%	40%	39%	53%	40%	39%	43%	37%	45%	32%	40%	45%	45%	33%	35%	45%	45%	41%	39%	36%	46%	38%	30%	33%	44%	44%	47%	39%	47%	41%	43%	38%	32%	44%	43%	43%	38%	43%	33%	44%	41%	23%	43%	46%	43%	44%
Cornel West	37%	35%	37%	34%	43%	49%	37%	36%	49%	36%	36%	40%	33%	41%	33%	36%	41%	38%	35%	31%	41%	38%	37%	30%	43%	37%	33%	22%	48%	36%	41%	38%	39%	37%	37%	40%	33%	30%	39%	39%	38%	36%	38%	31%	40%	35%	24%	39%	41%	39%	41%
Nikki Haley	22%	19%	19%	20%	31%	46%	19%	22%	40%	18%	20%	27%	16%	28%	26%	28%	22%	13%	28%	26%	24%	13%	21%	26%	27%	27%	14%	20%	20%	25%	27%	33%	34%	29%	22%	27%	14%	17%	28%	19%	26%	18%	21%	22%	23%	15%	15%	17%	26%	31%	28%
Dave McCormick	15%	12%	11%	14%	23%	52%	12%	15%	37%	10%	11%	17%	11%	19%	23%	21%	13%	5%	23%	22%	15%	5%	13%	21%	27%	19%	9%	17%	20%	14%	16%	25%	35%	23%	15%	19%	9%	12%	21%	11%	18%	11%	13%	18%	16%	9%	14%	11%	17%	23%	20%
Josh Shapiro	15%	12%	14%	10%	22%	52%	14%	12%	38%	11%	7%	11%	10%	19%	25%	19%	12%	4%	27%	20%	13%	4%	12%	19%	28%	24%	9%	15%	12%	23%	16%	23%	45%	26%	15%	19%	8%	8%	20%	13%	18%	12%	13%	16%	16%	9%	12%	11%	17%	21%	20%
Bob Casey	13%	10%	11%	11%	21%	54%	12%	11%	44%	9%	8%	15%	9%	17%	25%	18%	11%	2%	27%	20%	12%	2%	11%	17%	25%	24%	8%	16%	16%	12%	15%	18%	35%	32%	13%	17%	8%	10%	19%	11%	16%	10%	12%	14%	15%	9%	11%	8%	16%	18%	20%
Tim Walz	13%	10%	11%	10%	23%	46%	10%	11%	47%	9%	9%	20%	9%	17%	21%	15%	13%	5%	21%	17%	14%	5%	11%	17%	28%	14%	8%	10%	16%	12%	14%	23%	40%	15%	13%	18%	6%	6%	20%	10%	16%	9%	11%	14%	15%	9%	11%	8%	14%	18%	20%
J.D. Vance	13%	9%	8%	10%	24%	47%	9%	12%	44%	8%	9%	15%	9%	16%	21%	17%	10%	4%	22%	17%	12%	4%	11%	17%	26%	17%	8%	9%	16%	12%	13%	24%	35%	20%	13%	17%	6%	8%	19%	8%	15%	9%	11%	15%	14%	8%	11%	8%	13%	20%	18%
Joe Biden	4%	3%	2%	3%	11%	34%	1%	4%	29%	1%	3%	12%	3%	6%	7%	7%	3%	2%	9%	6%	4%	2%	3%	9%	8%	13%	2%	5%	5%	10%	4%	12%	12%	16%	4%	6%	3%	3%	7%	2%	6%	3%	4%	5%	4%	4%	2%	2%	5%	8%	6%
Kamala Harris	3%	1%	1%	1%	8%	25%	1%	1%	25%	0%	1%	8%	2%	3%	5%	3%	2%	1%	5%	4%	2%	1%	2%	5%	6%	0%	2%	3%	2%	0%	2%	7%	10%	0%	3%	4%	1%	1%	5%	1%	4%	1%	3%	2%	3%	3%	2%	1%	3%	3%	4%
Donald Trump	3%	1%	0%	2%	7%	27%	0%	2%	25%	0%	1%	12%	2%	3%	5%	4%	2%	0%	5%	4%	2%	0%	2%	6%	8%	2%	2%	5%	5%	4%	2%	7%	12%	0%	3%	4%	1%	1%	5%	1%	4%	1%	2%	3%	2%	2%	4%	1%	2%	3%	3%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

F1r1: Joe Biden - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	39%	41%	7%	77%	30%	15%	4%	76%	5%	4%	80%	21%	37%	41%	34%	38%	39%	45%	35%	37%	38%	45%	37%	57%	49%	28%	37%	50%	46%	11%	37%	64%	51%	40%	39%	-	-	-	35%	46%	79%	41%	10%	37%	41%	39%	54%	26%	35%	51%	27%	43%	57%	25%
Very favorable	17%	18%	2%	38%	6%	2%	2%	33%	1%	1%	37%	2%	17%	17%	14%	16%	15%	22%	14%	16%	15%	22%	15%	32%	18%	12%	16%	26%	17%	7%	15%	37%	19%	16%	17%	-	-	-	15%	20%	41%	13%	5%	17%	18%	16%	29%	9%	16%	26%	9%	16%	31%	10%
Favorable	22%	23%	5%	40%	24%	13%	3%	43%	5%	3%	43%	18%	21%	24%	20%	22%	24%	23%	21%	21%	23%	23%	21%	25%	31%	16%	20%	24%	29%	4%	23%	26%	33%	25%	22%	-	-	-	20%	25%	38%	28%	5%	21%	23%	23%	26%	17%	20%	25%	18%	28%	26%	15%
Unfavorable	15%	14%	14%	13%	20%	33%	14%	14%	27%	14%	11%	33%	15%	15%	21%	17%	14%	10%	23%	18%	13%	10%	14%	11%	21%	26%	14%	14%	26%	26%	15%	9%	15%	27%	15%	-	-	-	16%	14%	12%	19%	13%	14%	16%	16%	14%	14%	16%	16%	13%	16%	13%	14%
Very unfavorable	41%	41%	77%	6%	38%	17%	79%	5%	38%	80%	6%	33%	44%	38%	36%	38%	44%	43%	31%	39%	45%	43%	45%	23%	22%	32%	47%	31%	23%	53%	44%	15%	22%	17%	41%	-	-	-	43%	37%	6%	32%	74%	42%	40%	40%	26%	56%	44%	30%	58%	35%	22%	55%
NET UNFAVORABLE	56%	55%	90%	19%	59%	51%	93%	20%	65%	94%	17%	66%	59%	53%	58%	55%	58%	53%	55%	57%	58%	53%	59%	34%	43%	58%	61%	45%	49%	79%	58%	24%	37%	44%	56%	-	-	-	59%	51%	18%	51%	87%	56%	56%	56%	40%	70%	60%	46%	71%	51%	34%	69%
Never heard of them	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%
No opinion	4%	3%	2%	3%	11%	34%	1%	4%	29%	1%	3%	12%	3%	6%	7%	7%	3%	2%	9%	6%	4%	2%	3%	9%	8%	13%	2%	5%	5%	10%	4%	12%	12%	16%	4%	-	-	-	6%	3%	3%	7%	2%	6%	3%	4%	5%	4%	4%	2%	2%	5%	8%	6%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

F1r2: Kamala Harris - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	49%	51%	11%	92%	44%	31%	6%	94%	19%	8%	90%	42%	45%	54%	52%	49%	47%	50%	57%	49%	46%	50%	45%	74%	64%	54%	42%	66%	61%	25%	48%	82%	67%	74%	49%	-	-	-	46%	54%	92%	54%	15%	49%	50%	50%	66%	33%	43%	60%	31%	57%	73%	35%
Very favorable	31%	33%	5%	64%	19%	6%	2%	61%	2%	3%	62%	9%	29%	33%	28%	29%	32%	34%	30%	28%	31%	34%	28%	51%	42%	24%	26%	46%	44%	11%	30%	57%	40%	33%	31%	-	-	-	29%	33%	66%	29%	9%	31%	31%	31%	43%	21%	28%	40%	18%	33%	46%	23%
Favorable	18%	18%	7%	27%	25%	24%	3%	32%	18%	5%	28%	33%	16%	21%	24%	20%	15%	15%	27%	21%	15%	15%	17%	23%	22%	30%	15%	20%	17%	14%	18%	25%	26%	41%	18%	-	-	-	17%	21%	26%	25%	6%	18%	19%	19%	23%	12%	15%	20%	13%	24%	27%	12%
Unfavorable	9%	9%	12%	4%	14%	19%	14%	4%	21%	13%	5%	9%	10%	8%	9%	14%	9%	6%	8%	13%	10%	6%	9%	5%	12%	13%	9%	10%	16%	18%	9%	1%	7%	9%	9%	-	-	-	10%	9%	3%	13%	10%	8%	10%	10%	9%	10%	10%	12%	8%	9%	5%	11%
Very unfavorable	38%	39%	74%	4%	33%	25%	78%	1%	33%	78%	3%	41%	42%	34%	32%	33%	42%	43%	28%	34%	42%	43%	43%	16%	19%	32%	45%	22%	21%	54%	40%	10%	17%	17%	38%	-	-	-	40%	35%	4%	27%	73%	38%	38%	37%	22%	54%	42%	24%	59%	32%	19%	50%
NET UNFAVORABLE	47%	48%	87%	7%	47%	44%	92%	5%	54%	91%	8%	50%	52%	43%	41%	46%	51%	50%	36%	47%	51%	50%	52%	21%	30%	45%	55%	32%	37%	71%	50%	11%	24%	26%	47%	-	-	-	50%	44%	7%	40%	83%	46%	48%	47%	30%	64%	53%	36%	67%	41%	23%	61%
Never heard of them	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	-	-	-	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%
No opinion	3%	1%	1%	1%	8%	25%	1%	1%	25%	0%	1%	8%	2%	3%	5%	3%	2%	1%	5%	4%	2%	1%	2%	5%	6%	0%	2%	3%	2%	0%	2%	7%	10%	0%	3%	-	-	-	4%	1%	1%	5%	1%	4%	1%	3%	2%	3%	3%	2%	1%	3%	3%	4%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

F1r3: Donald Trump - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	44%	45%	85%	8%	34%	26%	90%	5%	18%	87%	6%	17%	48%	41%	44%	45%	46%	43%	39%	48%	46%	43%	49%	25%	29%	35%	51%	36%	32%	60%	47%	13%	25%	18%	44%	-	-	-	48%	39%	9%	33%	81%	46%	44%	43%	35%	56%	48%	41%	57%	38%	28%	55%
Very favorable	28%	29%	58%	3%	18%	11%	60%	1%	6%	58%	2%	11%	31%	25%	31%	26%	30%	26%	28%	29%	30%	26%	31%	14%	20%	20%	33%	21%	23%	36%	29%	8%	16%	9%	28%	-	-	-	33%	21%	5%	18%	54%	31%	26%	27%	21%	36%	30%	24%	40%	23%	17%	33%
Favorable	16%	16%	28%	6%	16%	15%	30%	4%	12%	29%	4%	6%	17%	16%	13%	19%	16%	17%	11%	19%	17%	17%	18%	11%	9%	15%	18%	15%	8%	24%	18%	6%	10%	9%	16%	-	-	-	16%	18%	4%	15%	27%	15%	18%	16%	14%	20%	17%	17%	17%	15%	11%	22%
Unfavorable	9%	9%	6%	10%	15%	23%	7%	10%	30%	8%	10%	16%	10%	9%	11%	12%	9%	7%	11%	12%	9%	7%	9%	10%	16%	14%	9%	10%	21%	8%	8%	10%	11%	19%	9%	-	-	-	9%	11%	6%	14%	7%	10%	9%	9%	13%	8%	10%	12%	8%	8%	13%	8%
Very unfavorable	43%	44%	9%	78%	43%	24%	2%	82%	27%	4%	82%	53%	39%	47%	38%	38%	43%	50%	42%	34%	42%	50%	40%	57%	45%	49%	38%	46%	43%	28%	42%	68%	47%	63%	43%	-	-	-	39%	48%	81%	47%	11%	40%	44%	45%	47%	34%	40%	40%	34%	50%	55%	34%
NET UNFAVORABLE	52%	53%	15%	88%	58%	47%	9%	92%	57%	12%	92%	69%	49%	55%	49%	49%	52%	57%	54%	46%	52%	57%	49%	67%	61%	63%	47%	57%	63%	36%	50%	78%	58%	82%	52%	-	-	-	47%	59%	88%	61%	18%	50%	54%	54%	60%	42%	50%	52%	42%	58%	68%	41%
Never heard of them	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	0%	0%	2%	2%	0%	0%	1%	2%	2%	0%	1%	2%	0%	0%	1%	2%	5%	0%	1%	-	-	-	1%	1%	2%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	2%	0%	0%	2%	0%	1%	1%	0%
No opinion	3%	1%	0%	2%	7%	27%	0%	2%	25%	0%	1%	12%	2%	3%	5%	4%	2%	0%	5%	4%	2%	0%	2%	6%	8%	2%	2%	5%	5%	4%	2%	7%	12%	0%	3%	-	-	-	4%	1%	1%	5%	1%	4%	1%	2%	3%	2%	2%	4%	1%	2%	3%	3%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

F1r4: Nikki Haley - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	32%	34%	48%	19%	24%	10%	46%	19%	24%	50%	22%	57%	39%	24%	14%	25%	35%	49%	12%	22%	33%	49%	36%	11%	17%	22%	44%	17%	16%	34%	28%	6%	18%	13%	32%	-	-	-	25%	41%	16%	25%	49%	26%	37%	32%	24%	37%	39%	32%	46%	25%	15%	29%
Very favorable	7%	7%	12%	4%	4%	0%	11%	3%	4%	12%	4%	16%	9%	5%	4%	5%	6%	12%	4%	4%	6%	12%	8%	3%	3%	0%	11%	5%	2%	0%	6%	2%	3%	0%	7%	-	-	-	6%	9%	3%	6%	12%	6%	8%	7%	6%	7%	9%	8%	10%	5%	4%	5%
Favorable	24%	26%	37%	15%	19%	10%	34%	16%	19%	38%	18%	41%	30%	19%	10%	20%	28%	37%	8%	18%	27%	37%	28%	8%	14%	22%	33%	12%	14%	34%	22%	4%	14%	13%	24%	-	-	-	20%	32%	14%	19%	38%	20%	29%	25%	17%	29%	30%	24%	36%	20%	10%	24%
Unfavorable	18%	19%	13%	23%	18%	8%	13%	23%	13%	14%	24%	8%	20%	16%	21%	15%	17%	19%	19%	19%	16%	19%	19%	18%	15%	14%	20%	20%	19%	13%	17%	16%	11%	15%	18%	-	-	-	15%	23%	25%	19%	12%	16%	20%	19%	18%	15%	20%	22%	18%	19%	14%	13%
Very unfavorable	15%	15%	8%	22%	13%	4%	9%	20%	7%	9%	23%	6%	15%	14%	15%	16%	13%	15%	15%	16%	13%	15%	14%	18%	14%	19%	15%	15%	18%	19%	13%	20%	9%	19%	15%	-	-	-	13%	17%	28%	11%	9%	14%	16%	16%	15%	12%	17%	13%	13%	14%	17%	12%
NET UNFAVORABLE	33%	34%	22%	45%	31%	12%	22%	44%	20%	23%	47%	14%	35%	30%	35%	31%	30%	34%	34%	35%	29%	34%	32%	36%	29%	33%	35%	35%	37%	32%	30%	36%	20%	34%	33%	-	-	-	28%	40%	53%	30%	22%	29%	36%	35%	33%	27%	37%	36%	31%	33%	31%	24%
Never heard of them	14%	12%	11%	16%	14%	33%	13%	15%	15%	10%	11%	2%	10%	18%	25%	16%	13%	4%	27%	16%	15%	4%	11%	27%	28%	18%	7%	28%	28%	9%	15%	25%	28%	24%	14%	-	-	-	20%	5%	13%	18%	10%	19%	10%	12%	20%	13%	9%	17%	6%	15%	24%	18%
No opinion	22%	19%	19%	20%	31%	46%	19%	22%	40%	18%	20%	27%	16%	28%	26%	28%	22%	13%	28%	26%	24%	13%	21%	26%	27%	27%	14%	20%	20%	25%	27%	33%	34%	29%	22%	-	-	-	27%	14%	17%	28%	19%	26%	18%	21%	22%	23%	15%	15%	17%	26%	31%	28%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

F1r7: Cornel West - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	11%	11%	8%	13%	11%	13%	9%	12%	11%	9%	13%	13%	14%	7%	11%	14%	8%	10%	9%	15%	9%	10%	9%	19%	15%	11%	13%	26%	12%	17%	6%	13%	17%	7%	11%	-	-	-	10%	12%	16%	10%	8%	10%	12%	9%	18%	7%	10%	25%	11%	9%	10%	3%
Very favorable	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	4%	1%	2%	3%	2%	3%	0%	3%	1%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	5%	1%	0%	3%	4%	0%	0%	1%	6%	3%	0%	2%	-	-	-	2%	2%	3%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	5%	2%	2%	1%	0%
Favorable	9%	9%	7%	11%	9%	9%	7%	10%	8%	7%	11%	13%	11%	6%	8%	12%	7%	8%	7%	13%	7%	8%	8%	14%	13%	11%	10%	22%	12%	17%	5%	7%	14%	7%	9%	-	-	-	8%	10%	13%	8%	7%	8%	10%	8%	14%	6%	9%	20%	9%	7%	8%	3%
Unfavorable	11%	12%	11%	12%	11%	6%	11%	11%	10%	12%	12%	5%	14%	8%	11%	14%	11%	10%	10%	16%	10%	10%	12%	12%	9%	11%	15%	12%	9%	15%	8%	12%	8%	8%	11%	-	-	-	10%	14%	11%	11%	12%	10%	12%	11%	14%	9%	14%	16%	13%	8%	11%	6%
Very unfavorable	10%	11%	12%	10%	8%	0%	11%	10%	10%	14%	10%	10%	13%	8%	8%	7%	8%	17%	8%	7%	8%	17%	11%	9%	5%	9%	14%	8%	5%	15%	8%	11%	4%	5%	10%	-	-	-	8%	13%	13%	7%	12%	9%	12%	10%	9%	12%	12%	10%	16%	8%	8%	8%
NET UNFAVORABLE	22%	23%	24%	22%	19%	6%	23%	21%	19%	26%	22%	15%	27%	16%	20%	21%	19%	27%	18%	23%	18%	27%	23%	21%	13%	20%	29%	20%	14%	30%	16%	23%	12%	13%	22%	-	-	-	18%	27%	24%	18%	24%	19%	24%	22%	23%	21%	27%	27%	28%	16%	19%	14%
Never heard of them	31%	30%	32%	31%	26%	32%	32%	31%	21%	29%	29%	32%	26%	35%	36%	30%	33%	25%	37%	30%	32%	25%	31%	29%	29%	33%	25%	32%	25%	18%	36%	26%	32%	43%	31%	-	-	-	33%	27%	30%	32%	29%	34%	28%	31%	28%	32%	28%	25%	22%	33%	33%	41%
No opinion	37%	35%	37%	34%	43%	49%	37%	36%	49%	36%	36%	40%	33%	41%	33%	36%	41%	38%	35%	31%	41%	38%	37%	30%	43%	37%	33%	22%	48%	36%	41%	38%	39%	37%	37%	-	-	-	40%	33%	30%	39%	39%	38%	36%	38%	31%	40%	35%	24%	39%	41%	39%	41%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

F1r8: Jill Stein - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	11%	11%	8%	14%	10%	10%	9%	12%	8%	8%	12%	21%	13%	8%	16%	13%	10%	4%	14%	17%	9%	4%	10%	13%	15%	10%	12%	19%	13%	16%	8%	6%	16%	7%	11%	-	-	-	8%	14%	15%	10%	8%	9%	13%	10%	16%	7%	12%	19%	9%	7%	13%	6%
Very favorable	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	1%	1%	3%	4%	2%	1%	3%	3%	1%	1%	3%	3%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	1%	4%	1%	1%	3%	0%	2%	-	-	-	2%	2%	3%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	4%	1%	2%	5%	1%	1%	2%	1%
Favorable	9%	9%	7%	11%	9%	7%	8%	10%	7%	7%	10%	17%	11%	7%	14%	11%	9%	4%	12%	14%	8%	4%	8%	11%	13%	9%	10%	16%	12%	12%	7%	5%	13%	7%	9%	-	-	-	7%	12%	12%	8%	7%	7%	11%	8%	12%	7%	10%	14%	9%	6%	11%	5%
Unfavorable	16%	16%	16%	16%	14%	11%	16%	16%	14%	17%	16%	17%	19%	12%	16%	18%	13%	16%	15%	19%	13%	16%	16%	14%	15%	18%	19%	16%	22%	27%	13%	12%	9%	12%	16%	-	-	-	14%	19%	18%	14%	15%	14%	17%	16%	18%	14%	17%	24%	18%	14%	11%	10%
Very unfavorable	13%	14%	15%	13%	10%	3%	14%	13%	9%	16%	14%	5%	15%	11%	12%	10%	13%	18%	13%	10%	12%	18%	14%	15%	8%	4%	17%	14%	8%	3%	12%	15%	9%	5%	13%	-	-	-	12%	16%	18%	9%	15%	12%	14%	14%	12%	13%	16%	15%	14%	12%	9%	12%
NET UNFAVORABLE	29%	30%	30%	30%	24%	14%	30%	29%	23%	33%	30%	21%	34%	24%	28%	28%	25%	34%	28%	29%	25%	34%	30%	28%	24%	23%	35%	30%	30%	31%	24%	26%	18%	17%	29%	-	-	-	25%	34%	36%	23%	30%	26%	31%	29%	30%	26%	33%	39%	32%	26%	20%	22%
Never heard of them	20%	20%	21%	20%	18%	24%	20%	20%	16%	18%	18%	15%	16%	24%	24%	18%	20%	17%	25%	19%	20%	17%	19%	20%	25%	21%	15%	21%	24%	9%	23%	20%	27%	30%	20%	-	-	-	24%	14%	17%	23%	19%	22%	18%	18%	21%	23%	15%	19%	16%	21%	24%	28%
No opinion	41%	40%	41%	37%	48%	51%	40%	39%	53%	40%	39%	43%	37%	45%	32%	40%	45%	45%	33%	35%	45%	45%	41%	39%	36%	46%	38%	30%	33%	44%	44%	47%	39%	47%	41%	-	-	-	43%	38%	32%	44%	43%	43%	38%	43%	33%	44%	41%	23%	43%	46%	43%	44%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

F1r10: J.D. Vance - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	40%	42%	75%	11%	28%	11%	78%	8%	16%	78%	9%	29%	46%	34%	31%	36%	46%	45%	27%	36%	45%	45%	45%	18%	22%	34%	49%	25%	27%	61%	40%	11%	17%	15%	40%	-	-	-	39%	41%	10%	27%	74%	37%	43%	39%	28%	51%	46%	34%	58%	33%	21%	46%
Very favorable	20%	21%	41%	3%	11%	2%	42%	2%	4%	42%	3%	11%	24%	17%	16%	16%	23%	25%	14%	15%	22%	25%	23%	5%	9%	14%	27%	8%	9%	23%	20%	3%	9%	7%	20%	-	-	-	21%	19%	3%	10%	43%	20%	20%	19%	11%	29%	22%	14%	37%	17%	7%	23%
Favorable	20%	20%	33%	8%	17%	9%	36%	6%	12%	35%	6%	19%	22%	18%	15%	20%	24%	20%	12%	21%	22%	20%	21%	12%	13%	21%	22%	17%	18%	38%	20%	8%	8%	8%	20%	-	-	-	18%	22%	6%	18%	32%	17%	23%	20%	17%	22%	24%	20%	21%	16%	15%	23%
Unfavorable	13%	13%	8%	15%	16%	21%	8%	16%	19%	9%	15%	18%	13%	13%	17%	16%	11%	8%	19%	17%	11%	8%	11%	18%	17%	20%	12%	21%	16%	11%	11%	14%	19%	26%	13%	-	-	-	12%	13%	12%	17%	8%	14%	12%	14%	16%	8%	13%	18%	8%	15%	14%	8%
Very unfavorable	31%	33%	6%	60%	28%	6%	3%	60%	14%	4%	64%	34%	30%	33%	22%	27%	32%	42%	24%	24%	31%	42%	31%	39%	29%	24%	29%	36%	36%	16%	33%	42%	21%	29%	31%	-	-	-	26%	39%	66%	32%	7%	29%	34%	33%	34%	25%	32%	30%	26%	35%	38%	24%
NET UNFAVORABLE	44%	46%	14%	75%	44%	27%	10%	77%	34%	12%	80%	52%	43%	45%	39%	43%	42%	50%	43%	40%	42%	50%	42%	57%	46%	43%	41%	57%	52%	27%	43%	57%	40%	55%	44%	-	-	-	39%	52%	78%	49%	15%	43%	46%	47%	50%	33%	44%	48%	34%	50%	52%	32%
Never heard of them	4%	3%	3%	4%	4%	15%	3%	4%	6%	2%	2%	4%	3%	4%	9%	4%	2%	1%	9%	6%	2%	1%	3%	9%	6%	6%	2%	9%	5%	0%	3%	8%	7%	10%	4%	-	-	-	5%	1%	4%	4%	3%	5%	2%	3%	6%	2%	2%	7%	1%	4%	6%	4%
No opinion	13%	9%	8%	10%	24%	47%	9%	12%	44%	8%	9%	15%	9%	16%	21%	17%	10%	4%	22%	17%	12%	4%	11%	17%	26%	17%	8%	9%	16%	12%	13%	24%	35%	20%	13%	-	-	-	17%	6%	8%	19%	8%	15%	9%	11%	15%	14%	8%	11%	8%	13%	20%	18%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

F1r19: Tim Walz - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	41%	44%	10%	75%	38%	15%	8%	76%	11%	7%	79%	48%	40%	42%	35%	42%	39%	47%	38%	39%	38%	47%	40%	52%	43%	41%	38%	52%	51%	33%	41%	51%	34%	46%	41%	-	-	-	35%	50%	82%	43%	11%	38%	43%	43%	49%	30%	41%	46%	31%	45%	52%	29%
Very favorable	20%	22%	3%	43%	14%	0%	1%	41%	1%	2%	43%	8%	18%	22%	16%	16%	21%	28%	17%	14%	20%	28%	20%	25%	17%	18%	18%	28%	20%	4%	23%	22%	13%	28%	20%	-	-	-	17%	26%	50%	17%	4%	19%	22%	21%	25%	15%	20%	21%	13%	23%	28%	17%
Favorable	21%	21%	8%	32%	24%	15%	7%	35%	10%	6%	36%	40%	21%	20%	19%	27%	18%	19%	22%	25%	18%	19%	19%	27%	26%	23%	20%	24%	32%	29%	19%	29%	21%	19%	21%	-	-	-	18%	25%	32%	26%	8%	20%	22%	22%	24%	15%	21%	25%	18%	22%	24%	12%
Unfavorable	13%	13%	19%	7%	13%	9%	20%	6%	16%	21%	6%	13%	14%	12%	13%	16%	13%	11%	12%	17%	13%	11%	14%	7%	13%	12%	15%	9%	15%	14%	13%	6%	11%	10%	13%	-	-	-	13%	13%	4%	15%	18%	12%	14%	13%	13%	13%	14%	17%	12%	12%	9%	14%
Very unfavorable	28%	30%	55%	5%	21%	6%	57%	3%	20%	58%	4%	15%	33%	23%	20%	22%	33%	37%	17%	21%	32%	37%	32%	16%	10%	19%	37%	17%	12%	40%	27%	15%	8%	5%	28%	-	-	-	28%	29%	4%	16%	58%	27%	30%	28%	17%	39%	33%	20%	47%	23%	13%	32%
NET UNFAVORABLE	41%	43%	74%	12%	34%	15%	77%	9%	35%	80%	10%	29%	47%	35%	32%	38%	45%	48%	28%	38%	45%	48%	46%	24%	24%	31%	51%	26%	28%	54%	40%	21%	19%	15%	41%	-	-	-	41%	41%	8%	31%	75%	39%	44%	41%	29%	52%	48%	37%	58%	35%	21%	46%
Never heard of them	5%	4%	4%	4%	6%	23%	5%	4%	7%	4%	2%	4%	4%	6%	12%	5%	3%	1%	12%	6%	3%	1%	4%	8%	6%	14%	3%	11%	5%	0%	4%	5%	7%	24%	5%	-	-	-	6%	2%	4%	7%	4%	6%	3%	4%	8%	3%	2%	7%	3%	6%	8%	4%
No opinion	13%	10%	11%	10%	23%	46%	10%	11%	47%	9%	9%	20%	9%	17%	21%	15%	13%	5%	21%	17%	14%	5%	11%	17%	28%	14%	8%	10%	16%	12%	14%	23%	40%	15%	13%	-	-	-	18%	6%	6%	20%	10%	16%	9%	11%	14%	15%	9%	11%	8%	14%	18%	20%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

F1r29: Dave McCormick - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	38%	40%	69%	13%	24%	11%	69%	11%	18%	72%	12%	22%	43%	33%	31%	36%	41%	43%	28%	35%	41%	43%	42%	21%	23%	31%	46%	28%	29%	45%	37%	15%	17%	22%	38%	-	-	-	38%	38%	12%	25%	69%	36%	40%	37%	30%	46%	42%	39%	52%	32%	21%	42%
Very favorable	14%	15%	28%	3%	7%	2%	28%	3%	3%	30%	3%	7%	17%	11%	11%	9%	15%	19%	12%	9%	15%	19%	15%	6%	9%	15%	18%	9%	10%	24%	13%	3%	7%	8%	14%	-	-	-	14%	14%	4%	7%	29%	15%	14%	14%	9%	19%	16%	10%	26%	11%	8%	14%
Favorable	24%	25%	41%	10%	18%	9%	42%	9%	15%	42%	9%	15%	27%	21%	19%	26%	26%	24%	16%	27%	26%	24%	26%	16%	15%	17%	28%	20%	19%	21%	24%	12%	10%	13%	24%	-	-	-	24%	24%	8%	18%	41%	21%	27%	24%	21%	27%	26%	28%	26%	21%	14%	28%
Unfavorable	16%	16%	11%	19%	22%	16%	11%	20%	24%	12%	18%	32%	16%	17%	19%	19%	17%	12%	20%	19%	16%	12%	15%	21%	17%	23%	15%	19%	19%	21%	15%	22%	16%	25%	16%	-	-	-	16%	17%	17%	22%	9%	16%	17%	17%	18%	13%	16%	19%	14%	19%	18%	12%
Very unfavorable	27%	29%	6%	50%	26%	13%	4%	51%	13%	4%	55%	26%	27%	28%	19%	21%	27%	40%	20%	19%	27%	40%	27%	34%	21%	22%	27%	32%	22%	16%	28%	35%	20%	26%	27%	-	-	-	23%	33%	55%	28%	8%	27%	28%	29%	28%	23%	29%	25%	23%	29%	33%	24%
NET UNFAVORABLE	44%	45%	17%	70%	48%	28%	15%	71%	37%	16%	74%	58%	43%	45%	38%	40%	44%	51%	40%	38%	43%	51%	43%	54%	39%	45%	42%	51%	41%	37%	44%	57%	36%	51%	44%	-	-	-	39%	50%	72%	51%	17%	43%	45%	46%	47%	36%	45%	43%	37%	48%	50%	36%
Never heard of them	3%	3%	3%	3%	4%	9%	3%	3%	8%	2%	3%	3%	3%	4%	9%	3%	2%	1%	9%	5%	2%	1%	3%	3%	11%	4%	3%	4%	10%	3%	3%	3%	12%	4%	3%	-	-	-	4%	3%	4%	4%	3%	4%	3%	4%	5%	1%	4%	4%	0%	3%	6%	2%
No opinion	15%	12%	11%	14%	23%	52%	12%	15%	37%	10%	11%	17%	11%	19%	23%	21%	13%	5%	23%	22%	15%	5%	13%	21%	27%	19%	9%	17%	20%	14%	16%	25%	35%	23%	15%	-	-	-	19%	9%	12%	21%	11%	18%	11%	13%	18%	16%	9%	14%	11%	17%	23%	20%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

F1r30: Bob Casey - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	43%	46%	14%	76%	40%	20%	12%	76%	17%	12%	80%	40%	43%	44%	35%	40%	44%	52%	36%	37%	43%	52%	42%	54%	46%	41%	42%	49%	52%	33%	42%	58%	40%	46%	43%	-	-	-	38%	51%	79%	46%	15%	43%	44%	43%	54%	34%	42%	54%	35%	45%	54%	34%
Very favorable	17%	19%	3%	36%	9%	0%	3%	32%	4%	2%	36%	9%	17%	18%	10%	14%	16%	27%	9%	13%	16%	27%	17%	21%	14%	11%	17%	18%	14%	11%	18%	23%	15%	11%	17%	-	-	-	15%	21%	39%	15%	4%	17%	17%	17%	22%	13%	18%	20%	11%	16%	25%	14%
Favorable	26%	27%	11%	40%	31%	20%	10%	43%	14%	10%	44%	31%	26%	26%	25%	26%	28%	26%	27%	24%	28%	26%	25%	33%	32%	29%	25%	31%	38%	22%	24%	35%	25%	35%	26%	-	-	-	24%	30%	40%	32%	11%	26%	27%	26%	32%	22%	23%	34%	24%	29%	29%	20%
Unfavorable	18%	18%	28%	7%	20%	17%	30%	7%	19%	29%	7%	20%	19%	17%	17%	22%	19%	15%	16%	22%	19%	15%	19%	14%	12%	15%	20%	18%	15%	22%	19%	10%	8%	11%	18%	-	-	-	19%	16%	4%	19%	28%	16%	20%	21%	13%	17%	23%	15%	18%	20%	11%	17%
Very unfavorable	23%	24%	44%	5%	16%	9%	44%	4%	19%	48%	4%	20%	27%	20%	17%	18%	26%	30%	15%	17%	25%	30%	25%	14%	13%	15%	29%	16%	11%	28%	22%	12%	15%	5%	23%	-	-	-	23%	23%	6%	15%	44%	22%	24%	21%	16%	32%	25%	17%	39%	18%	15%	26%
NET UNFAVORABLE	41%	42%	72%	12%	36%	26%	73%	11%	38%	77%	11%	40%	46%	37%	34%	39%	44%	45%	31%	40%	44%	45%	45%	28%	25%	30%	49%	34%	26%	50%	41%	23%	23%	16%	41%	-	-	-	42%	40%	9%	33%	72%	38%	44%	42%	29%	50%	47%	32%	57%	37%	26%	44%
Never heard of them	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	5%	2%	2%	6%	2%	1%	0%	6%	3%	1%	0%	2%	1%	4%	6%	2%	0%	5%	4%	2%	2%	2%	7%	2%	-	-	-	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	3%	0%	2%	2%	2%
No opinion	13%	10%	11%	11%	21%	54%	12%	11%	44%	9%	8%	15%	9%	17%	25%	18%	11%	2%	27%	20%	12%	2%	11%	17%	25%	24%	8%	16%	16%	12%	15%	18%	35%	32%	13%	-	-	-	17%	8%	10%	19%	11%	16%	10%	12%	14%	15%	9%	11%	8%	16%	18%	20%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

F1r31: Josh Shapiro - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	51%	54%	26%	78%	50%	20%	26%	77%	31%	27%	84%	59%	51%	51%	38%	47%	53%	64%	37%	44%	51%	64%	52%	53%	44%	42%	51%	54%	57%	44%	53%	53%	32%	41%	51%	-	-	-	44%	61%	80%	55%	27%	48%	53%	54%	53%	44%	53%	54%	45%	54%	53%	44%
Very favorable	26%	28%	6%	50%	20%	12%	6%	47%	9%	6%	53%	24%	25%	28%	15%	21%	28%	37%	14%	20%	27%	37%	28%	29%	16%	14%	26%	29%	18%	3%	29%	28%	13%	21%	26%	-	-	-	22%	33%	53%	27%	7%	24%	28%	28%	27%	23%	26%	23%	25%	29%	33%	21%
Favorable	25%	26%	20%	28%	29%	8%	20%	30%	22%	21%	31%	35%	26%	23%	23%	25%	24%	27%	24%	25%	24%	27%	24%	25%	29%	28%	25%	24%	39%	40%	24%	25%	18%	20%	25%	-	-	-	22%	28%	26%	28%	20%	24%	26%	26%	26%	22%	27%	31%	20%	25%	20%	23%
Unfavorable	16%	16%	26%	6%	16%	18%	27%	7%	16%	27%	5%	18%	18%	14%	17%	16%	17%	15%	15%	18%	17%	15%	17%	12%	11%	18%	19%	15%	14%	17%	15%	9%	9%	20%	16%	-	-	-	17%	15%	6%	13%	27%	15%	17%	16%	15%	18%	18%	17%	20%	14%	12%	16%
Very unfavorable	15%	16%	31%	2%	11%	7%	30%	2%	13%	32%	2%	7%	18%	13%	13%	15%	17%	16%	12%	14%	18%	16%	17%	12%	8%	10%	19%	13%	7%	17%	14%	12%	10%	5%	15%	-	-	-	16%	14%	3%	9%	31%	15%	16%	15%	11%	20%	18%	12%	24%	13%	10%	16%
NET UNFAVORABLE	32%	32%	57%	8%	26%	26%	57%	8%	29%	60%	7%	26%	36%	28%	30%	31%	34%	31%	27%	32%	34%	31%	34%	24%	20%	29%	39%	28%	21%	34%	29%	21%	18%	25%	32%	-	-	-	33%	30%	9%	22%	58%	31%	33%	32%	26%	38%	36%	29%	44%	27%	22%	33%
Never heard of them	3%	2%	3%	3%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	2%	2%	5%	2%	3%	7%	3%	1%	0%	8%	4%	1%	0%	2%	3%	8%	5%	2%	4%	10%	0%	2%	3%	5%	8%	3%	-	-	-	3%	1%	3%	2%	3%	4%	2%	2%	5%	2%	2%	6%	1%	2%	4%	3%
No opinion	15%	12%	14%	10%	22%	52%	14%	12%	38%	11%	7%	11%	10%	19%	25%	19%	12%	4%	27%	20%	13%	4%	12%	19%	28%	24%	9%	15%	12%	23%	16%	23%	45%	26%	15%	-	-	-	19%	8%	8%	20%	13%	18%	12%	13%	16%	16%	9%	12%	11%	17%	21%	20%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

H1b: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican, and Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump	45%	46%	88%	6%	36%	35%	100%	0%	0%	91%	5%	17%	50%	40%	41%	43%	49%	46%	36%	45%	49%	46%	51%	20%	23%	39%	53%	31%	27%	66%	48%	9%	19%	21%	45%	-	-	-	48%	42%	7%	34%	83%	45%	46%	45%	30%	59%	51%	36%	61%	39%	22%	57%
Kamala Harris	49%	51%	8%	92%	48%	20%	0%	100%	0%	5%	92%	50%	45%	52%	50%	48%	46%	51%	55%	48%	44%	51%	44%	73%	67%	47%	42%	64%	68%	23%	46%	82%	66%	65%	49%	-	-	-	45%	54%	92%	54%	13%	48%	49%	49%	65%	34%	44%	59%	33%	54%	71%	35%
Don’t Know / Unsure	6%	3%	3%	3%	16%	45%	0%	0%	100%	4%	3%	33%	5%	7%	9%	8%	5%	3%	9%	8%	6%	3%	5%	7%	10%	13%	5%	4%	5%	12%	6%	9%	15%	15%	6%	-	-	-	7%	4%	1%	12%	3%	7%	5%	6%	6%	7%	5%	5%	6%	7%	7%	8%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

H1bL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump	51%	66%	76%	39%	45%	45%	-	-	51%	81%	34%	55%	60%	45%	47%	36%	58%	83%	46%	45%	45%	83%	60%	39%	50%	11%	68%	62%	64%	0%	54%	28%	45%	17%	51%	-	-	-	47%	60%	2%	46%	83%	47%	51%	36%	74%	57%	47%	87%	59%	30%	63%	55%
Kamala Harris	49%	34%	24%	61%	55%	55%	-	-	49%	19%	66%	45%	40%	55%	53%	64%	42%	17%	54%	55%	55%	17%	40%	61%	50%	89%	32%	38%	36%	100%	46%	72%	55%	83%	49%	-	-	-	53%	40%	98%	54%	17%	53%	49%	64%	26%	43%	53%	13%	41%	70%	37%	45%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	123	63	27	24	55	17	0	0	123	29	26	11	47	76	36	44	27	16	22	42	43	16	90	15	10	8	37	4	3	3	53	11	7	5	123	0	0	0	92	31	7	92	24	65	52	54	30	39	20	13	14	34	17	25

H1bM: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican, and Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump+leaners	48.3%	48.3%	90.9%	6.7%	42.9%	55.3%	100.0%	0.0%	51.0%	94.2%	5.6%	34.7%	53.1%	43.7%	45.7%	46.5%	52.2%	48.7%	40.2%	48.2%	52.2%	48.7%	53.8%	22.4%	28.2%	40.7%	56.7%	34.0%	30.4%	65.6%	51.0%	11.3%	25.9%	23.1%	48.3%	-	-	-	51.1%	44.3%	7.0%	39.7%	86.1%	48.2%	48.7%	47.3%	33.9%	63.1%	53.6%	40.7%	64.9%	40.9%	26.6%	61.7%
Kamala Harris+leaners	51.7%	51.7%	9.1%	93.3%	57.1%	44.7%	0.0%	100.0%	49.0%	5.8%	94.4%	65.3%	46.9%	56.3%	54.3%	53.5%	47.8%	51.3%	59.8%	51.8%	47.8%	51.3%	46.2%	77.6%	71.8%	59.3%	43.3%	66.0%	69.6%	34.4%	49.0%	88.7%	74.1%	76.9%	51.7%	-	-	-	48.9%	55.7%	93.0%	60.3%	13.9%	51.8%	51.3%	52.7%	66.1%	36.9%	46.4%	59.3%	35.1%	59.1%	73.4%	38.3%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

QH1DJT: Would you say your choice is more of a vote…
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
For Donald Trump	76%	77%	79%	62%	68%	68%	78%	-	50%	78%	49%	57%	76%	78%	86%	77%	74%	71%	84%	80%	75%	71%	76%	77%	79%	75%	74%	79%	84%	86%	79%	73%	74%	52%	76%	-	-	-	82%	67%	81%	71%	79%	82%	73%	74%	80%	78%	72%	81%	77%	77%	78%	78%
Against Kamala Harris	24%	23%	21%	38%	32%	32%	22%	-	51%	22%	51%	43%	24%	22%	14%	23%	26%	29%	16%	20%	25%	29%	24%	23%	21%	25%	26%	21%	16%	14%	21%	27%	26%	48%	24%	-	-	-	18%	33%	19%	29%	21%	18%	27%	26%	20%	22%	28%	19%	23%	23%	22%	22%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,079	963	830	68	160	21	1,015	0	64	820	49	12	531	548	226	290	321	242	124	301	412	242	970	56	29	24	461	39	16	15	509	17	13	9	1,079	0	0	0	698	381	50	367	662	544	516	498	198	383	257	119	155	241	79	228

QH1KH: Would you say your choice is more of a vote…
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
For Kamala Harris	71%	71%	45%	77%	60%	59%	-	73%	51%	55%	72%	57%	65%	76%	70%	76%	73%	66%	69%	78%	72%	66%	67%	83%	86%	67%	60%	82%	84%	43%	73%	84%	87%	75%	71%	-	-	-	75%	66%	76%	70%	56%	74%	69%	68%	82%	63%	59%	82%	53%	75%	82%	70%
Against Donald Trump	29%	29%	55%	23%	40%	41%	-	27%	49%	45%	28%	43%	35%	24%	30%	24%	27%	34%	31%	22%	28%	34%	33%	17%	14%	33%	40%	18%	16%	57%	27%	16%	13%	25%	29%	-	-	-	25%	34%	24%	30%	44%	26%	31%	32%	18%	37%	41%	18%	47%	25%	18%	30%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	1,254	1,140	82	949	206	17	0	1,195	59	52	954	22	560	694	272	353	332	297	189	343	425	297	918	221	77	38	420	92	39	9	498	129	38	29	1,254	0	0	0	717	537	574	562	118	623	604	610	409	235	267	198	95	343	211	140

LW1: Regardless of who you support, if you had to pick, who do you think is more likely to win in the presidential election in November, Kamala Harris or Donald Trump?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Kamala Harris	52%	52%	16%	88%	55%	52%	9%	91%	55%	13%	89%	49%	47%	56%	53%	53%	50%	52%	57%	52%	49%	52%	48%	74%	67%	55%	45%	62%	62%	33%	50%	85%	72%	70%	52%	-	-	-	49%	56%	88%	58%	20%	52%	51%	52%	67%	37%	47%	61%	34%	58%	73%	40%
Donald Trump	48%	48%	84%	12%	45%	48%	91%	9%	45%	87%	11%	51%	53%	44%	47%	47%	50%	48%	43%	48%	51%	48%	52%	26%	33%	45%	55%	38%	38%	67%	50%	15%	28%	30%	48%	-	-	-	51%	44%	12%	42%	80%	48%	49%	48%	33%	63%	53%	39%	66%	42%	27%	60%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

H2b: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate	45%	46%	88%	5%	37%	34%	97%	1%	15%	91%	5%	19%	49%	41%	42%	43%	50%	45%	37%	44%	50%	45%	50%	20%	25%	41%	53%	29%	27%	69%	48%	11%	22%	21%	45%	-	-	-	48%	41%	6%	35%	84%	45%	46%	45%	29%	59%	51%	34%	61%	39%	24%	58%
Kamala Harris, running as the Democratic party candidate	48%	50%	8%	93%	46%	19%	1%	98%	10%	4%	92%	53%	44%	52%	50%	48%	46%	50%	55%	47%	44%	50%	44%	73%	66%	50%	41%	64%	66%	19%	46%	80%	66%	71%	48%	-	-	-	45%	54%	93%	53%	13%	48%	49%	49%	65%	34%	43%	58%	33%	54%	71%	35%
Cornel West, running as an independent candidate	1%	1%	1%	0%	3%	3%	0%	0%	12%	1%	0%	11%	1%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	2%	0%	2%	1%	-	-	-	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	0%	0%
Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate	1%	0%	0%	0%	2%	2%	0%	0%	5%	0%	0%	11%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	2%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	1%	-	-	-	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%
Don't Know / Unsure	5%	2%	3%	2%	12%	43%	1%	1%	59%	3%	2%	6%	4%	5%	6%	6%	4%	3%	6%	6%	5%	3%	4%	5%	6%	8%	4%	5%	2%	12%	4%	6%	10%	6%	5%	-	-	-	6%	3%	1%	9%	2%	6%	3%	4%	5%	5%	4%	5%	4%	5%	4%	6%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

H2bL: Between the four choices, which way do you lean right now?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate	41%	61%	83%	40%	26%	27%	82%	10%	38%	76%	16%	87%	50%	34%	32%	34%	44%	67%	28%	47%	30%	67%	53%	9%	34%	0%	60%	23%	100%	0%	47%	0%	19%	0%	41%	-	-	-	36%	55%	27%	33%	79%	39%	48%	35%	54%	40%	37%	67%	50%	33%	37%	34%
Kamala Harris, running as the Democratic party candidate	40%	28%	9%	54%	43%	61%	0%	88%	41%	15%	53%	13%	34%	44%	48%	47%	41%	12%	54%	29%	56%	12%	31%	54%	66%	63%	31%	33%	0%	67%	32%	69%	81%	58%	40%	-	-	-	43%	33%	48%	47%	4%	39%	36%	48%	35%	32%	48%	26%	21%	48%	47%	38%
Cornel West, running as an independent candidate	14%	7%	7%	0%	25%	7%	0%	3%	18%	6%	25%	0%	9%	18%	21%	14%	10%	9%	18%	18%	11%	9%	11%	25%	0%	37%	5%	16%	0%	33%	17%	31%	0%	42%	14%	-	-	-	17%	6%	25%	15%	9%	16%	10%	16%	7%	18%	12%	0%	17%	19%	16%	19%
Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate	5%	4%	1%	6%	6%	5%	18%	0%	3%	4%	6%	0%	7%	3%	0%	5%	5%	12%	0%	5%	3%	12%	5%	12%	0%	0%	5%	28%	0%	0%	5%	0%	0%	0%	5%	-	-	-	4%	5%	0%	4%	8%	5%	5%	2%	4%	10%	4%	6%	12%	0%	0%	9%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	96	48	21	16	43	16	13	9	74	22	22	3	40	56	27	32	23	14	18	33	31	14	73	11	7	5	31	4	2	3	42	7	5	2	96	0	0	0	71	25	6	73	17	56	34	40	27	29	16	15	9	24	12	20

H2bM: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump+leaners	47%	48%	90%	6%	40%	45%	98%	1%	37%	93%	5%	24%	51%	43%	44%	45%	52%	47%	38%	47%	51%	47%	53%	21%	27%	41%	55%	30%	29%	69%	50%	11%	24%	21%	47%	-	-	-	50%	43%	6%	38%	85%	47%	48%	47%	32%	61%	53%	38%	63%	41%	26%	60%
Kamala Harris+leaners	50%	51%	8%	93%	51%	45%	1%	99%	34%	5%	93%	53%	46%	55%	53%	51%	47%	51%	59%	49%	47%	51%	45%	75%	70%	55%	43%	66%	66%	27%	48%	85%	74%	75%	50%	-	-	-	47%	55%	93%	57%	13%	50%	50%	51%	66%	35%	45%	60%	33%	57%	73%	37%
Cornel West+leaners	2%	1%	1%	0%	6%	6%	0%	0%	22%	2%	1%	11%	2%	2%	3%	2%	1%	1%	2%	3%	1%	1%	2%	3%	1%	4%	2%	2%	2%	4%	1%	4%	0%	5%	2%	-	-	-	2%	1%	0%	4%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	3%	2%	1%	2%
Jill Stein+leaners	1%	0%	0%	0%	3%	4%	1%	0%	6%	0%	0%	11%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	2%	0%	1%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	2%	2%	0%	1%	0%	2%	0%	1%	-	-	-	1%	1%	0%	2%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

HORSE0501: Have you made up your mind on who you will vote for in the 2024 presidential election or are you still weighing the choices?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Have made up my mind	88%	92%	91%	91%	77%	43%	92%	92%	19%	91%	92%	63%	87%	88%	81%	83%	90%	95%	80%	82%	89%	95%	90%	82%	74%	81%	89%	80%	81%	84%	91%	84%	67%	80%	88%	-	-	-	87%	89%	95%	80%	91%	87%	88%	87%	86%	90%	87%	85%	91%	87%	87%	90%
Still weighing the choices	12%	8%	9%	9%	23%	57%	8%	8%	81%	9%	8%	37%	13%	12%	19%	17%	10%	5%	20%	18%	11%	5%	10%	18%	26%	19%	11%	20%	19%	16%	9%	16%	33%	20%	12%	-	-	-	13%	11%	5%	20%	9%	13%	12%	13%	14%	10%	13%	15%	9%	13%	13%	10%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

S1bPA: If the 2024 election for senate in Pennsylvania were held today and it was between David McCormick, the Republican, and Bob Casey, the Democrat, who would you vote for?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
David McCormick	41%	43%	79%	9%	28%	11%	79%	8%	21%	82%	10%	33%	47%	35%	33%	37%	45%	47%	29%	37%	44%	47%	46%	19%	21%	30%	51%	27%	24%	58%	41%	11%	17%	11%	41%	-	-	-	40%	42%	8%	29%	77%	38%	44%	41%	29%	51%	47%	35%	59%	35%	21%	45%
Bob Casey	44%	46%	9%	82%	43%	19%	8%	81%	16%	7%	83%	43%	42%	46%	40%	43%	42%	50%	43%	41%	41%	50%	42%	59%	45%	45%	40%	54%	51%	24%	44%	64%	38%	59%	44%	-	-	-	40%	51%	84%	49%	11%	43%	45%	45%	53%	34%	42%	50%	33%	48%	57%	35%
Don't know/Unsure	15%	11%	12%	10%	30%	70%	13%	11%	63%	11%	7%	25%	11%	19%	26%	20%	13%	3%	27%	22%	14%	3%	12%	22%	34%	25%	9%	19%	24%	18%	15%	25%	45%	30%	15%	-	-	-	20%	8%	8%	23%	11%	19%	11%	14%	18%	15%	11%	15%	8%	17%	22%	20%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

PA1bL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
David McCormick	52%	54%	73%	27%	52%	51%	75%	34%	40%	73%	30%	31%	60%	48%	56%	54%	45%	44%	52%	56%	49%	44%	58%	44%	50%	31%	63%	39%	60%	81%	55%	48%	45%	9%	52%	-	-	-	53%	49%	34%	50%	66%	50%	60%	53%	51%	52%	66%	56%	49%	45%	47%	53%
Bob Casey	48%	46%	27%	73%	48%	49%	25%	66%	60%	27%	70%	69%	40%	52%	44%	46%	55%	56%	48%	44%	51%	56%	42%	56%	50%	69%	37%	61%	40%	19%	45%	52%	55%	91%	48%	-	-	-	47%	51%	66%	50%	34%	50%	40%	47%	49%	48%	34%	44%	51%	55%	53%	47%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	338	230	118	91	101	28	144	116	78	104	67	9	123	215	127	118	79	14	84	134	106	14	230	58	35	15	82	24	13	4	148	34	22	11	338	0	0	0	272	66	44	204	90	209	115	145	102	91	58	44	21	87	58	70

QVOTEFACTOR: What factor was most important when casting your vote?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Candidate's position on issues	84%	85%	88%	81%	81%	63%	89%	80%	73%	89%	82%	76%	83%	84%	79%	82%	86%	86%	80%	81%	86%	86%	85%	77%	70%	87%	84%	74%	81%	91%	86%	80%	58%	84%	84%	-	-	-	84%	84%	86%	79%	88%	83%	84%	85%	79%	85%	85%	79%	84%	86%	78%	85%
Candidate's personal qualities	16%	15%	12%	19%	19%	37%	11%	20%	27%	11%	18%	24%	17%	16%	21%	18%	14%	14%	20%	19%	14%	14%	15%	23%	30%	13%	16%	26%	19%	9%	14%	20%	42%	16%	16%	-	-	-	16%	16%	14%	21%	12%	17%	16%	15%	21%	15%	15%	21%	16%	14%	22%	15%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

TQ6: Do you think the country is generally on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Right track	26%	28%	9%	47%	20%	11%	7%	46%	4%	7%	49%	13%	30%	22%	24%	27%	23%	29%	23%	30%	22%	29%	25%	33%	28%	27%	29%	37%	36%	14%	21%	29%	19%	36%	26%	-	-	-	20%	35%	51%	25%	10%	22%	30%	25%	37%	18%	28%	44%	19%	22%	30%	17%
Wrong track	62%	62%	87%	35%	62%	61%	90%	36%	64%	90%	33%	74%	62%	62%	59%	60%	66%	61%	58%	59%	67%	61%	65%	52%	49%	52%	64%	51%	45%	69%	66%	53%	53%	39%	62%	-	-	-	66%	55%	32%	58%	86%	64%	60%	62%	48%	73%	64%	45%	73%	60%	52%	73%
Unsure/Don't know	12%	11%	4%	18%	18%	28%	3%	19%	31%	3%	18%	13%	9%	16%	17%	13%	11%	10%	19%	12%	12%	10%	10%	15%	24%	21%	7%	12%	19%	17%	14%	18%	28%	24%	12%	-	-	-	14%	9%	17%	17%	4%	14%	10%	13%	14%	9%	8%	11%	7%	18%	18%	10%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

M2: In general, do you think the American economy is on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Right track	29%	31%	10%	52%	24%	12%	7%	53%	5%	7%	57%	22%	34%	25%	25%	28%	26%	37%	24%	30%	24%	37%	29%	34%	29%	29%	34%	36%	41%	14%	23%	32%	18%	39%	29%	-	-	-	22%	40%	59%	28%	10%	25%	34%	28%	41%	21%	32%	46%	24%	24%	35%	18%
Wrong track	62%	62%	87%	36%	63%	68%	91%	36%	65%	91%	32%	70%	61%	64%	63%	64%	68%	56%	61%	63%	68%	56%	64%	58%	53%	59%	61%	60%	49%	79%	67%	57%	57%	45%	62%	-	-	-	69%	53%	33%	59%	86%	66%	59%	63%	50%	73%	61%	48%	73%	64%	51%	74%
Don't know/Unsure	8%	7%	3%	11%	13%	20%	2%	11%	30%	3%	11%	9%	5%	11%	12%	8%	6%	7%	14%	8%	7%	7%	7%	8%	17%	12%	5%	4%	10%	7%	10%	12%	25%	16%	8%	-	-	-	9%	7%	8%	13%	3%	9%	7%	9%	9%	6%	6%	5%	3%	11%	14%	9%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

TQ1: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President of the United States?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET APPROVE	40%	42%	8%	76%	33%	20%	4%	77%	12%	5%	80%	27%	38%	42%	36%	39%	38%	46%	39%	37%	37%	46%	37%	62%	49%	27%	37%	54%	45%	13%	38%	71%	52%	37%	40%	-	-	-	37%	45%	78%	43%	10%	39%	41%	41%	52%	26%	38%	49%	27%	45%	56%	26%
Strongly approve	16%	18%	3%	35%	8%	1%	2%	32%	3%	2%	35%	10%	17%	16%	14%	14%	14%	22%	14%	15%	14%	22%	15%	27%	20%	11%	16%	27%	22%	3%	14%	28%	19%	17%	16%	-	-	-	14%	20%	39%	14%	4%	15%	17%	16%	24%	10%	16%	24%	11%	16%	24%	10%
Somewhat approve	24%	24%	6%	41%	26%	19%	2%	45%	9%	3%	45%	17%	21%	26%	22%	25%	24%	24%	25%	22%	24%	24%	22%	35%	28%	15%	21%	27%	24%	10%	24%	42%	33%	19%	24%	-	-	-	22%	25%	39%	30%	6%	23%	24%	25%	29%	16%	22%	25%	16%	29%	32%	16%
Somewhat disapprove	14%	13%	12%	13%	22%	19%	13%	15%	23%	11%	12%	27%	14%	15%	19%	17%	12%	10%	20%	19%	12%	10%	14%	12%	17%	24%	12%	14%	20%	25%	15%	10%	14%	23%	14%	-	-	-	14%	15%	13%	18%	11%	15%	14%	13%	17%	14%	12%	17%	13%	15%	17%	14%
Strongly disapprove	43%	43%	79%	8%	38%	30%	82%	6%	37%	83%	6%	38%	47%	39%	38%	40%	47%	44%	34%	39%	48%	44%	47%	22%	27%	40%	49%	32%	34%	58%	44%	13%	21%	28%	43%	-	-	-	46%	38%	6%	33%	78%	43%	42%	42%	27%	57%	48%	31%	60%	36%	23%	56%
NET DISAPPROVE	57%	56%	91%	21%	60%	49%	95%	21%	60%	94%	18%	65%	60%	54%	57%	57%	59%	54%	54%	58%	60%	54%	60%	34%	44%	64%	61%	45%	53%	84%	59%	22%	34%	51%	57%	-	-	-	60%	53%	19%	51%	89%	58%	56%	55%	44%	71%	60%	47%	73%	50%	39%	70%
Unsure/Don't know	3%	2%	1%	3%	7%	31%	1%	2%	28%	0%	2%	8%	2%	5%	7%	4%	2%	0%	7%	4%	3%	0%	2%	4%	7%	9%	2%	1%	2%	3%	3%	7%	13%	13%	3%	-	-	-	4%	2%	2%	6%	1%	3%	3%	3%	4%	2%	2%	3%	0%	5%	5%	4%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

TQVP: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kamala Harris is doing as Vice President of the United States?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET APPROVE	45%	47%	10%	85%	40%	21%	5%	87%	12%	6%	85%	37%	41%	49%	47%	46%	42%	47%	51%	45%	42%	47%	42%	68%	53%	45%	40%	61%	49%	17%	44%	75%	57%	65%	45%	-	-	-	42%	50%	87%	50%	12%	45%	46%	46%	62%	30%	41%	56%	27%	51%	69%	32%
Strongly approve	23%	24%	3%	49%	12%	0%	1%	45%	2%	2%	47%	4%	21%	24%	18%	22%	22%	28%	20%	20%	21%	28%	21%	36%	28%	17%	20%	35%	28%	0%	22%	38%	28%	30%	23%	-	-	-	20%	26%	51%	21%	5%	22%	23%	22%	32%	16%	20%	31%	13%	23%	34%	18%
Somewhat approve	23%	23%	7%	36%	29%	21%	4%	42%	10%	4%	39%	34%	20%	25%	29%	24%	20%	19%	31%	25%	20%	19%	21%	32%	25%	28%	20%	26%	21%	17%	22%	37%	29%	36%	23%	-	-	-	22%	24%	36%	29%	6%	23%	23%	24%	30%	14%	21%	25%	14%	27%	35%	14%
Somewhat disapprove	9%	9%	11%	6%	14%	12%	11%	6%	20%	10%	5%	8%	11%	8%	12%	11%	10%	5%	12%	12%	9%	5%	9%	11%	11%	10%	10%	14%	15%	17%	8%	9%	8%	5%	9%	-	-	-	9%	9%	5%	11%	10%	9%	10%	9%	9%	10%	10%	15%	10%	8%	4%	10%
Strongly disapprove	41%	42%	78%	5%	35%	38%	83%	2%	36%	83%	5%	40%	44%	37%	33%	38%	45%	45%	29%	38%	45%	45%	45%	16%	23%	38%	47%	23%	26%	63%	44%	8%	21%	21%	41%	-	-	-	43%	37%	4%	30%	77%	41%	41%	41%	24%	56%	46%	25%	60%	35%	22%	53%
NET DISAPPROVE	50%	50%	89%	11%	49%	50%	94%	8%	57%	93%	10%	48%	55%	45%	45%	49%	55%	51%	41%	50%	54%	51%	54%	27%	35%	48%	57%	37%	41%	80%	51%	17%	28%	26%	50%	-	-	-	53%	46%	10%	42%	87%	49%	51%	49%	33%	66%	56%	40%	70%	43%	26%	63%
Unsure/Don't know	5%	3%	2%	4%	11%	29%	1%	4%	31%	1%	5%	15%	3%	6%	8%	6%	3%	2%	8%	5%	4%	2%	4%	5%	12%	7%	3%	2%	10%	3%	5%	8%	15%	9%	5%	-	-	-	5%	4%	3%	8%	2%	6%	3%	5%	5%	4%	3%	4%	3%	6%	5%	6%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

TQGov: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Josh Shapiro is doing as Governor of Pennsylvania?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
TOP 2 BOX	55%	57%	30%	83%	52%	26%	29%	82%	34%	30%	87%	60%	54%	55%	42%	52%	55%	67%	43%	51%	53%	67%	55%	62%	48%	47%	55%	60%	53%	37%	55%	64%	43%	54%	55%	-	-	-	49%	63%	84%	60%	29%	52%	57%	57%	58%	48%	55%	59%	48%	58%	58%	48%
Strongly approve	27%	29%	7%	51%	23%	10%	6%	49%	8%	7%	54%	28%	27%	27%	17%	23%	28%	38%	17%	21%	27%	38%	28%	29%	18%	23%	28%	32%	20%	17%	28%	27%	15%	27%	27%	-	-	-	22%	35%	55%	28%	7%	25%	29%	29%	29%	22%	30%	25%	24%	29%	33%	21%
Somewhat approve	27%	28%	23%	32%	29%	16%	22%	32%	26%	23%	32%	32%	27%	28%	25%	29%	27%	28%	26%	29%	26%	28%	27%	33%	31%	24%	27%	28%	33%	20%	27%	36%	28%	27%	27%	-	-	-	27%	28%	29%	32%	22%	27%	28%	28%	29%	26%	26%	34%	24%	29%	24%	28%
Somewhat disapprove	17%	17%	29%	6%	18%	17%	30%	6%	16%	29%	5%	25%	19%	16%	17%	19%	18%	15%	16%	19%	19%	15%	18%	13%	14%	17%	19%	16%	17%	25%	17%	10%	10%	11%	17%	-	-	-	18%	16%	5%	15%	29%	16%	18%	17%	15%	20%	19%	18%	20%	15%	12%	20%
Strongly disapprove	15%	15%	30%	2%	12%	6%	29%	2%	13%	32%	2%	5%	18%	12%	12%	15%	17%	15%	11%	13%	18%	15%	16%	10%	11%	14%	19%	10%	14%	25%	13%	9%	8%	7%	15%	-	-	-	16%	13%	3%	8%	30%	16%	14%	14%	12%	19%	17%	13%	24%	10%	12%	16%
BOTTOM 2 BOX	32%	32%	58%	7%	29%	23%	59%	8%	29%	61%	7%	30%	37%	28%	30%	33%	36%	30%	27%	32%	37%	30%	34%	22%	24%	31%	38%	26%	31%	50%	31%	19%	18%	18%	32%	-	-	-	34%	29%	9%	23%	59%	32%	33%	31%	27%	39%	37%	30%	44%	25%	24%	35%
Unsure/Don't know	13%	10%	12%	9%	19%	51%	12%	11%	37%	9%	6%	10%	9%	17%	28%	14%	9%	3%	30%	17%	10%	3%	11%	16%	27%	22%	7%	14%	16%	14%	14%	18%	39%	28%	13%	-	-	-	17%	7%	7%	17%	13%	16%	10%	12%	15%	13%	8%	11%	8%	17%	18%	16%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

TQCong: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is doing its job?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET APPROVE	26%	27%	20%	38%	18%	20%	21%	34%	9%	19%	35%	13%	25%	28%	28%	32%	24%	22%	27%	34%	25%	22%	24%	41%	30%	25%	24%	39%	34%	12%	25%	43%	26%	34%	26%	-	-	-	27%	25%	36%	26%	20%	29%	25%	24%	41%	19%	21%	43%	15%	26%	37%	23%
Strongly approve	5%	5%	2%	10%	3%	1%	3%	8%	1%	2%	8%	6%	5%	5%	8%	8%	4%	2%	7%	9%	4%	2%	4%	9%	8%	8%	5%	11%	5%	0%	3%	8%	12%	14%	5%	-	-	-	4%	7%	12%	3%	3%	5%	5%	4%	11%	2%	4%	12%	2%	4%	11%	2%
Somewhat approve	21%	21%	18%	28%	15%	19%	18%	26%	7%	17%	27%	7%	20%	22%	20%	25%	20%	20%	19%	25%	20%	20%	20%	32%	22%	17%	19%	28%	29%	12%	22%	35%	14%	20%	21%	-	-	-	23%	18%	25%	23%	17%	24%	20%	19%	29%	17%	18%	32%	13%	21%	26%	21%
Somewhat disapprove	37%	38%	40%	32%	39%	31%	41%	34%	26%	42%	34%	49%	38%	35%	27%	33%	42%	43%	28%	29%	41%	43%	39%	25%	27%	35%	40%	28%	28%	46%	38%	23%	26%	28%	37%	-	-	-	34%	41%	33%	35%	41%	31%	41%	39%	29%	40%	41%	29%	43%	37%	28%	38%
Strongly disapprove	24%	25%	29%	19%	26%	16%	28%	21%	29%	30%	22%	31%	29%	20%	22%	22%	23%	29%	20%	23%	23%	29%	26%	20%	23%	17%	31%	23%	28%	24%	21%	17%	18%	12%	24%	-	-	-	23%	26%	22%	23%	28%	25%	24%	25%	19%	29%	30%	22%	37%	19%	16%	22%
NET DISAPPROVE	61%	63%	70%	51%	65%	47%	68%	55%	55%	72%	56%	79%	68%	55%	49%	55%	65%	72%	48%	52%	65%	72%	65%	46%	50%	52%	70%	52%	56%	70%	59%	40%	44%	40%	61%	-	-	-	57%	67%	55%	57%	70%	56%	65%	63%	48%	69%	71%	50%	79%	56%	45%	61%
Unsure/Don't know	12%	11%	11%	11%	17%	33%	11%	11%	36%	9%	9%	7%	7%	18%	23%	12%	11%	6%	26%	14%	11%	6%	11%	13%	20%	23%	6%	9%	10%	18%	16%	17%	30%	26%	12%	-	-	-	16%	7%	9%	16%	11%	15%	10%	13%	12%	12%	8%	6%	6%	19%	18%	16%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

TQRep: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republican Party is handling its job?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET APPROVE	38%	39%	72%	11%	24%	16%	72%	9%	15%	72%	10%	10%	40%	37%	35%	39%	42%	37%	31%	41%	41%	37%	41%	22%	32%	32%	41%	30%	34%	47%	41%	13%	30%	22%	38%	-	-	-	41%	35%	12%	28%	68%	38%	39%	38%	32%	44%	40%	37%	42%	35%	27%	46%
Strongly approve	13%	13%	25%	3%	5%	8%	25%	3%	2%	25%	3%	2%	14%	11%	15%	13%	13%	11%	14%	13%	13%	11%	14%	7%	15%	8%	15%	12%	17%	5%	13%	2%	12%	10%	13%	-	-	-	13%	12%	6%	7%	24%	12%	13%	13%	12%	13%	14%	14%	15%	12%	10%	12%
Somewhat approve	26%	27%	46%	8%	19%	7%	48%	7%	13%	47%	7%	8%	26%	25%	20%	26%	29%	27%	17%	28%	27%	27%	28%	15%	18%	24%	27%	19%	17%	42%	28%	11%	18%	12%	26%	-	-	-	27%	23%	6%	21%	44%	26%	26%	25%	20%	31%	27%	23%	28%	23%	16%	35%
Somewhat disapprove	21%	21%	18%	21%	29%	21%	19%	23%	24%	19%	21%	55%	23%	19%	21%	22%	22%	20%	20%	22%	22%	20%	21%	23%	20%	19%	23%	23%	18%	21%	19%	23%	22%	17%	21%	-	-	-	21%	22%	16%	26%	19%	20%	21%	20%	22%	22%	22%	24%	24%	18%	21%	20%
Strongly disapprove	33%	35%	7%	61%	33%	16%	4%	62%	23%	6%	65%	31%	33%	34%	32%	28%	32%	40%	35%	27%	31%	40%	32%	46%	33%	26%	32%	38%	39%	20%	32%	54%	26%	31%	33%	-	-	-	29%	40%	67%	34%	9%	32%	34%	34%	38%	27%	33%	34%	30%	36%	43%	24%
NET DISAPPROVE	54%	56%	25%	82%	62%	37%	23%	84%	47%	25%	86%	87%	55%	53%	53%	50%	54%	60%	55%	50%	53%	60%	53%	69%	53%	45%	55%	61%	57%	40%	51%	77%	48%	48%	54%	-	-	-	50%	61%	83%	60%	28%	53%	56%	54%	60%	49%	55%	57%	55%	54%	63%	44%
Unsure/Don't know	7%	5%	3%	7%	14%	48%	4%	6%	38%	3%	4%	4%	5%	10%	12%	12%	4%	3%	14%	10%	7%	3%	5%	9%	15%	23%	3%	8%	9%	13%	8%	10%	21%	30%	7%	-	-	-	10%	4%	5%	12%	4%	9%	5%	8%	8%	6%	5%	5%	3%	11%	10%	9%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

TQDem: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democratic Party is handling its job?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET APPROVE	41%	43%	10%	80%	30%	21%	8%	76%	11%	8%	78%	21%	38%	45%	42%	42%	39%	43%	44%	44%	37%	43%	39%	62%	48%	31%	37%	58%	47%	0%	41%	66%	49%	53%	41%	-	-	-	39%	45%	81%	44%	12%	41%	42%	41%	57%	28%	37%	54%	25%	46%	61%	31%
Strongly approve	17%	18%	2%	37%	8%	0%	2%	33%	4%	2%	34%	0%	16%	18%	17%	17%	16%	18%	17%	18%	15%	18%	15%	31%	22%	15%	15%	26%	23%	0%	14%	37%	22%	26%	17%	-	-	-	16%	19%	39%	14%	5%	17%	17%	15%	28%	10%	15%	28%	8%	16%	29%	12%
Somewhat approve	24%	25%	8%	43%	22%	21%	6%	44%	8%	5%	44%	21%	22%	27%	25%	25%	23%	25%	27%	26%	22%	25%	24%	31%	25%	16%	22%	31%	23%	0%	26%	30%	27%	28%	24%	-	-	-	23%	27%	42%	30%	7%	24%	25%	26%	29%	18%	22%	26%	17%	30%	32%	19%
Somewhat disapprove	18%	18%	21%	11%	27%	17%	23%	14%	17%	21%	13%	30%	19%	17%	17%	21%	19%	16%	17%	18%	21%	16%	18%	12%	17%	25%	18%	13%	23%	40%	19%	11%	11%	14%	18%	-	-	-	18%	19%	10%	22%	19%	17%	19%	19%	15%	19%	21%	17%	18%	17%	13%	20%
Strongly disapprove	34%	35%	67%	4%	29%	20%	67%	4%	37%	69%	5%	42%	39%	30%	29%	30%	38%	39%	24%	31%	37%	39%	38%	18%	21%	26%	42%	23%	25%	53%	35%	14%	16%	6%	34%	-	-	-	36%	32%	4%	24%	66%	34%	34%	33%	22%	46%	39%	26%	53%	28%	19%	41%
NET DISAPPROVE	52%	53%	88%	15%	56%	37%	89%	18%	54%	90%	18%	71%	58%	47%	47%	50%	57%	55%	41%	49%	58%	55%	57%	30%	37%	50%	60%	36%	48%	93%	53%	25%	26%	20%	52%	-	-	-	53%	51%	14%	46%	85%	51%	54%	52%	37%	66%	60%	43%	72%	45%	31%	61%
Unsure/Don't know	6%	4%	3%	5%	14%	42%	3%	6%	35%	2%	4%	7%	4%	9%	12%	8%	4%	2%	15%	7%	5%	2%	4%	8%	15%	18%	3%	6%	5%	7%	6%	9%	24%	26%	6%	-	-	-	8%	4%	4%	10%	3%	8%	4%	7%	6%	6%	4%	3%	3%	9%	8%	8%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

TQ3: If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Republican from your district or the Democrat from your district?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Republican	44%	46%	90%	4%	30%	19%	89%	5%	27%	89%	6%	36%	50%	38%	37%	41%	51%	48%	33%	40%	50%	48%	49%	16%	32%	38%	53%	25%	41%	69%	45%	9%	23%	17%	44%	-	-	-	46%	42%	7%	31%	84%	42%	47%	44%	30%	57%	52%	36%	62%	37%	23%	53%
Democrat	46%	48%	5%	91%	41%	3%	4%	88%	12%	5%	88%	35%	43%	48%	48%	45%	42%	47%	51%	46%	41%	47%	42%	72%	51%	41%	41%	66%	50%	20%	44%	77%	52%	55%	46%	-	-	-	41%	52%	89%	50%	10%	45%	46%	46%	61%	30%	42%	57%	30%	50%	66%	31%
Would not vote	2%	1%	1%	1%	5%	14%	1%	1%	13%	1%	1%	6%	1%	2%	5%	2%	1%	0%	6%	2%	1%	0%	2%	4%	1%	2%	1%	4%	2%	4%	2%	4%	0%	0%	2%	-	-	-	2%	1%	1%	4%	1%	3%	1%	1%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	3%	1%
Other/Unsure/Don't know	8%	6%	4%	4%	24%	65%	6%	6%	47%	5%	5%	24%	6%	11%	11%	12%	7%	5%	10%	12%	8%	5%	7%	8%	16%	19%	5%	5%	7%	7%	9%	11%	25%	27%	8%	-	-	-	10%	6%	3%	15%	5%	11%	6%	8%	6%	11%	5%	5%	6%	11%	8%	15%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

ISSUE1: What single issue is/ was the most important one in determining how you voted in this election? Please look at the full list before answering.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Price increases/ inflation	18%	18%	24%	11%	18%	20%	24%	11%	19%	25%	11%	4%	17%	19%	16%	19%	19%	16%	14%	20%	19%	16%	18%	15%	11%	21%	16%	15%	15%	23%	20%	15%	7%	19%	18%	-	-	-	20%	14%	8%	18%	23%	18%	17%	17%	15%	21%	16%	13%	21%	19%	17%	20%
Economy and jobs	18%	18%	22%	13%	18%	12%	24%	12%	14%	22%	12%	20%	19%	16%	20%	25%	18%	9%	18%	25%	19%	9%	17%	17%	27%	16%	17%	23%	34%	25%	17%	11%	20%	10%	18%	-	-	-	18%	17%	12%	19%	20%	18%	18%	18%	17%	18%	21%	19%	16%	15%	14%	19%
Abortion	12%	12%	4%	21%	9%	6%	3%	20%	10%	4%	20%	7%	6%	17%	16%	10%	12%	10%	17%	11%	11%	10%	11%	18%	13%	7%	6%	11%	5%	0%	17%	25%	21%	11%	12%	-	-	-	12%	12%	23%	11%	5%	10%	13%	13%	12%	10%	7%	6%	5%	19%	18%	14%
Immigration	12%	12%	22%	3%	8%	0%	22%	2%	8%	23%	2%	0%	14%	10%	6%	8%	14%	17%	5%	7%	13%	17%	13%	4%	3%	13%	16%	6%	0%	12%	11%	1%	5%	14%	12%	-	-	-	12%	11%	2%	7%	23%	11%	12%	12%	8%	15%	13%	9%	19%	10%	7%	11%
Character/ competence of the candidate	5%	6%	2%	9%	5%	4%	2%	9%	1%	1%	10%	0%	5%	5%	4%	4%	4%	8%	4%	3%	5%	8%	6%	3%	0%	6%	6%	2%	0%	4%	6%	4%	0%	8%	5%	-	-	-	4%	7%	11%	5%	1%	4%	6%	5%	5%	5%	6%	3%	5%	5%	6%	6%
Health care	3%	3%	1%	5%	3%	6%	2%	5%	2%	1%	4%	6%	3%	3%	4%	3%	2%	3%	5%	3%	3%	3%	3%	4%	4%	5%	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	4%	6%	6%	3%	-	-	-	3%	3%	4%	4%	2%	4%	2%	3%	4%	2%	3%	4%	1%	4%	3%	3%
Social Security	5%	5%	3%	7%	4%	2%	3%	7%	6%	3%	6%	14%	6%	4%	3%	3%	5%	9%	4%	2%	5%	9%	5%	6%	4%	3%	6%	6%	8%	3%	5%	7%	0%	2%	5%	-	-	-	5%	5%	5%	6%	4%	7%	3%	4%	6%	5%	5%	7%	5%	3%	5%	5%
Taxes	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	5%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	4%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	1%	2%	4%	2%	4%	2%	5%	0%	9%	2%	4%	3%	0%	2%	-	-	-	2%	2%	1%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	3%	1%	1%	4%	1%	2%	2%	1%
Ethics in government, corruption, campaign finance reform	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	0%	1%	3%	6%	2%	2%	6%	2%	3%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	0%	0%	0%	3%	2%	6%	3%	2%	-	-	-	2%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	4%
Dislike of the opposing candidate	3%	3%	2%	4%	3%	5%	2%	5%	1%	2%	5%	7%	4%	3%	2%	2%	4%	4%	3%	2%	3%	4%	3%	1%	3%	3%	4%	1%	4%	3%	3%	2%	3%	3%	3%	-	-	-	2%	5%	5%	3%	2%	2%	4%	4%	2%	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	1%	3%
Terrorism / national security	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	0%	2%	1%	3%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	0%	1%	3%	2%	0%	2%	4%	2%	1%	0%	3%	2%	-	-	-	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%
Family values, morality	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	3%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	0%	2%	3%	0%	0%	1%	2%	3%	0%	1%	-	-	-	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%
Environment / climate change	2%	2%	0%	3%	3%	0%	0%	3%	1%	0%	3%	4%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	4%	1%	1%	0%	2%	2%	-	-	-	1%	2%	4%	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%
Corruption	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	3%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	4%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	0%	1%	0%	2%	0%	1%	3%	2%	0%	1%	-	-	-	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	3%	1%
National debt / federal budget deficits	2%	2%	3%	1%	1%	1%	3%	1%	3%	3%	1%	4%	3%	1%	1%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	3%	2%	0%	3%	2%	3%	0%	4%	5%	1%	0%	2%	0%	2%	-	-	-	2%	2%	1%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	4%	2%	3%	1%	1%	0%
Crime and drugs	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	9%	2%	2%	4%	1%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	2%	1%	1%	4%	2%	1%	1%	2%	3%	5%	2%	2%	3%	4%	4%	1%	2%	6%	0%	2%	-	-	-	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	4%	1%	2%	2%	1%
Education	1%	1%	1%	2%	0%	0%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	4%	1%	1%	2%	2%	0%	1%	2%	2%	0%	1%	1%	3%	0%	1%	1%	4%	0%	0%	1%	2%	0%	2%	1%	-	-	-	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	3%	0%	1%	2%	0%
January 6th	2%	2%	0%	3%	2%	3%	0%	3%	0%	0%	4%	0%	2%	1%	0%	1%	1%	3%	0%	1%	2%	3%	2%	1%	1%	0%	2%	0%	2%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	2%	-	-	-	1%	2%	3%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	3%	1%	2%	2%	0%	1%
Foreign and defense policy	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	3%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	-	-	-	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	1%
Income inequality	1%	1%	0%	2%	2%	5%	1%	2%	0%	1%	2%	0%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	0%	3%	1%	1%	0%	1%	3%	5%	2%	1%	3%	8%	0%	1%	2%	2%	3%	1%	-	-	-	2%	1%	2%	2%	0%	2%	1%	1%	3%	1%	1%	3%	1%	1%	3%	0%
Gun policies	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	4%	1%	2%	1%	0%	2%	0%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	2%	2%	0%	1%	2%	0%	4%	1%	-	-	-	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%
The Israeli-Hamas Conflict/ Palestinians/ The Middle East	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	4%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	2%	0%	0%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	3%	0%	-	-	-	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%
Police reform	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Race relations	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	0%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	0%	3%	2%	0%	0%	4%	3%	0%	0%	3%	2%	0%	1%	-	-	-	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	2%	1%	0%	1%	0%
Government gridlock	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	2%	0%	0%	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%
Political correctness	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	2%	1%	-	-	-	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	0%
China	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Russia and Ukraine	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	2%	0%	0%	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%
Other, please specify	2%	2%	1%	2%	4%	14%	1%	3%	3%	1%	4%	0%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	4%	1%	2%	2%	4%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	0%	0%	2%	2%	4%	4%	2%	-	-	-	2%	3%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	3%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

ISSUE2: Which candidate would do a better job handling the issue you think is most important?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump	46%	47%	89%	7%	38%	37%	96%	2%	27%	92%	6%	25%	51%	42%	43%	45%	51%	47%	38%	46%	51%	47%	51%	20%	28%	44%	54%	32%	30%	73%	49%	9%	25%	24%	46%	-	-	-	49%	43%	7%	37%	84%	46%	48%	46%	31%	60%	53%	37%	62%	39%	25%	59%
Kamala Harris	47%	48%	7%	90%	43%	25%	1%	94%	12%	4%	91%	35%	43%	51%	49%	47%	43%	49%	56%	45%	42%	49%	42%	72%	64%	45%	40%	62%	65%	19%	45%	82%	64%	63%	47%	-	-	-	43%	52%	91%	51%	12%	46%	47%	47%	63%	32%	42%	57%	31%	53%	70%	34%
Neither / Someone Else	4%	3%	3%	1%	12%	14%	2%	2%	33%	3%	3%	31%	4%	4%	4%	6%	3%	3%	3%	6%	4%	3%	4%	5%	4%	5%	4%	4%	5%	0%	3%	6%	3%	8%	4%	-	-	-	5%	3%	2%	6%	3%	5%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%	5%	5%	4%	3%	4%
Don't Know	3%	1%	1%	1%	6%	24%	1%	1%	28%	1%	1%	10%	2%	4%	4%	3%	2%	1%	4%	3%	3%	1%	2%	2%	4%	7%	1%	2%	0%	7%	3%	3%	8%	6%	3%	-	-	-	3%	2%	0%	5%	1%	4%	1%	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	4%	2%	3%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

I4: Would you say that your personal financial situation is improving or getting worse?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Improving	24%	25%	12%	38%	23%	14%	12%	38%	8%	11%	40%	10%	29%	20%	29%	27%	21%	22%	30%	29%	20%	22%	23%	34%	32%	24%	27%	37%	43%	23%	18%	31%	22%	26%	24%	-	-	-	19%	32%	43%	23%	13%	18%	30%	23%	36%	17%	27%	42%	20%	19%	29%	15%
Getting worse	43%	43%	61%	25%	41%	54%	65%	23%	42%	66%	22%	45%	41%	46%	41%	45%	51%	37%	39%	44%	50%	37%	45%	34%	39%	35%	42%	37%	33%	36%	49%	30%	44%	34%	43%	-	-	-	49%	35%	23%	40%	61%	48%	39%	43%	33%	53%	40%	30%	53%	46%	35%	53%
Neither	29%	30%	25%	34%	29%	13%	21%	36%	30%	22%	37%	41%	28%	30%	24%	24%	26%	40%	24%	23%	27%	40%	29%	28%	20%	36%	29%	23%	23%	37%	30%	32%	17%	35%	29%	-	-	-	28%	31%	32%	31%	24%	30%	29%	30%	28%	27%	30%	26%	26%	31%	30%	28%
No opinion	3%	2%	1%	3%	7%	20%	2%	3%	20%	1%	2%	4%	2%	4%	6%	4%	2%	0%	7%	4%	3%	0%	2%	5%	9%	5%	2%	4%	1%	3%	3%	7%	17%	6%	3%	-	-	-	4%	1%	2%	6%	2%	4%	2%	3%	4%	2%	2%	2%	1%	5%	5%	4%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

BT3: Do you think the 2024 presidential election will be conducted in a fair or unfair way?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Fair	70%	72%	54%	89%	68%	54%	53%	89%	53%	51%	92%	60%	72%	69%	65%	69%	70%	76%	65%	68%	69%	76%	69%	73%	80%	72%	71%	73%	83%	66%	67%	72%	76%	76%	70%	-	-	-	65%	78%	90%	74%	53%	67%	73%	71%	77%	63%	72%	78%	66%	70%	77%	61%
Unfair	30%	28%	46%	11%	32%	46%	47%	11%	47%	49%	8%	40%	28%	31%	35%	31%	30%	24%	35%	32%	31%	24%	31%	27%	20%	28%	29%	27%	17%	34%	33%	28%	24%	24%	30%	-	-	-	35%	22%	10%	26%	47%	33%	27%	29%	23%	37%	28%	22%	34%	30%	23%	39%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

QVOTECONF: How confident are you that your vote will be counted accurately?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Very confident	39%	42%	21%	61%	37%	21%	18%	62%	12%	18%	68%	38%	43%	36%	29%	36%	40%	50%	29%	35%	39%	50%	39%	40%	46%	34%	43%	45%	52%	30%	36%	35%	41%	37%	39%	-	-	-	33%	49%	67%	39%	21%	34%	44%	42%	42%	33%	46%	46%	35%	38%	39%	31%
Somewhat confident	38%	38%	45%	32%	37%	39%	46%	31%	39%	46%	27%	39%	37%	40%	43%	39%	37%	34%	46%	40%	37%	34%	37%	40%	38%	48%	37%	36%	30%	49%	38%	43%	46%	47%	38%	-	-	-	40%	36%	26%	40%	44%	41%	36%	36%	40%	41%	34%	37%	43%	38%	43%	40%
Not very confident	16%	15%	24%	6%	17%	22%	26%	5%	26%	25%	4%	19%	14%	17%	19%	17%	15%	13%	18%	18%	15%	13%	17%	13%	9%	11%	15%	12%	16%	9%	19%	14%	2%	13%	16%	-	-	-	19%	10%	6%	14%	24%	18%	14%	16%	13%	18%	15%	13%	14%	17%	12%	22%
Not at all confident	7%	5%	10%	2%	10%	18%	10%	2%	22%	10%	2%	4%	6%	7%	8%	8%	8%	3%	7%	7%	9%	3%	6%	7%	7%	7%	6%	6%	2%	12%	7%	8%	12%	3%	7%	-	-	-	8%	5%	1%	7%	10%	7%	6%	7%	5%	8%	5%	4%	8%	8%	6%	8%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

BT4: Do you think Joe Biden's election as president in 2020 was fair or unfair?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Fair	62%	64%	31%	93%	64%	50%	28%	95%	54%	29%	97%	68%	61%	63%	59%	61%	59%	68%	62%	60%	57%	68%	59%	79%	68%	67%	60%	77%	62%	56%	58%	81%	75%	74%	62%	-	-	-	56%	71%	94%	69%	33%	57%	67%	63%	74%	50%	61%	71%	52%	65%	77%	48%
Unfair	38%	36%	69%	7%	36%	50%	72%	5%	46%	71%	3%	32%	39%	37%	41%	39%	41%	32%	38%	40%	43%	32%	41%	21%	32%	33%	40%	23%	38%	44%	42%	19%	25%	26%	38%	-	-	-	44%	29%	6%	31%	67%	43%	33%	37%	26%	50%	39%	29%	48%	35%	23%	52%
NET	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Column n	2,333	2,103	912	1,017	366	38	1,015	1,195	123	872	1,003	34	1,091	1,242	498	643	653	539	313	644	837	539	1,888	277	106	62	881	131	55	24	1,007	146	51	38	2,333	0	0	0	1,415	918	624	929	780	1,167	1,120	1,108	607	618	524	317	250	584	290	368

Nature of Sample


Total	Total	100%
Gender	Male	49%
	Female	51%
Age	18-29	16%
	30-44	24%
	45-64	32%
	65+	28%
Race	White	78%
	Black/AA	10%
	Hispanic	6%
	Other	5%
Region	Northeast	100%
	Midwest	0%
	South	0%
	West	0%
Income	Less than $50K	20%
	$50K to $99K	39%
	$100K +	39%
	Decline to answer	3%
Area	Suburban	49%
	Urban	24%
	Rural	27%
Party affiliation	Democrat	40%
	Independent	17%
	Republican	41%
	Other	2%
Political ideology	Liberal	25%
	Moderate	40%
	Conservative	36%
EducationXGender	College grad Male	22%
	College grad Female	18%
	Non-college Male	27%
	Non-college Female	33%