HarrisX Battleground State Poll (Nov 3-5): Wisconsin

This survey was administered by HarrisX among 1,727 registered voters from November 3-5, 2024 across Wisconsin. Respondents were recruited through opt-in, web-panel recruitment sampling. Recruitment occurs through a broad variety of professional, validated respondent panels to expand the sampling frame as wide as possible and minimize the impact of any given panel on recruiting methods.

The sampling margin of error is +/- 2.4%. Results were weighted by age, gender, race/ethnicity, political party, education, income, early vote percentage, and previous vote choice where necessary to align with actual demographic proportions amongst the population of RVs within Wisconsin.

For further insights and data, visit elections.harrisx.com

HarrisX's Final Presidential Horserace (+Leaners)

H2bMEV: : If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for? (including Early voters choice)

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump+leaners

47.9%

48.5%

91.1%

3.4%

42.6%

41.3%

98.1%

0.8%

37.2%

91.4%

4.9%

33.4%

52.0%

44.0%

40.4%

52.4%

52.9%

46.1%

38.5%

50.5%

52.7%

46.1%

51.2%

22.4%

29.7%

31.2%

54.6%

24.4%

46.0%

40.6%

47.7%

19.4%

25.3%

20.2%

-

47.9%

-

-

49.9%

44.1%

11.6%

37.6%

84.3%

45.4%

50.4%

48.9%

41.4%

52.8%

53.1%

43.4%

60.0%

44.8%

39.0%

47.0%

Kamala Harris+leaners

48.0%

48.1%

7.2%

95.1%

48.8%

43.7%

0.7%

96.2%

34.7%

6.6%

92.1%

34.7%

44.9%

51.0%

53.0%

43.9%

43.9%

51.2%

56.2%

44.6%

43.6%

51.2%

45.6%

70.6%

62.5%

55.5%

43.1%

65.4%

48.2%

50.6%

48.1%

78.2%

66.4%

61.2%

-

48.0%

-

-

46.1%

51.7%

86.3%

56.1%

13.1%

50.5%

45.7%

48.6%

52.6%

42.7%

45.5%

49.5%

38.5%

51.6%

56.1%

46.1%

Cornel West+leaners

2.6%

2.1%

1.2%

1.5%

4.7%

11.7%

1.0%

1.4%

20.2%

1.7%

1.1%

24.1%

2.2%

3.0%

4.6%

2.9%

1.5%

1.4%

2.6%

4.7%

2.0%

1.4%

1.9%

7.0%

7.8%

7.8%

1.5%

10.2%

5.8%

4.1%

2.2%

2.4%

8.3%

12.2%

-

2.6%

-

-

2.6%

2.7%

1.4%

3.6%

2.3%

2.4%

2.8%

1.2%

5.1%

2.5%

0.5%

6.1%

0.7%

1.9%

3.9%

3.9%

Jill Stein+leaners

1.4%

1.3%

0.5%

0.0%

3.9%

3.3%

0.2%

1.5%

8.0%

0.3%

1.9%

7.8%

0.9%

1.9%

2.0%

0.8%

1.6%

1.2%

2.7%

0.2%

1.7%

1.2%

1.4%

0.0%

0.0%

5.5%

0.8%

0.0%

0.0%

4.7%

2.0%

0.0%

0.0%

6.4%

-

1.4%

-

-

1.4%

1.5%

0.7%

2.7%

0.3%

1.8%

1.1%

1.3%

1.0%

2.0%

0.8%

1.0%

0.8%

1.7%

1.0%

2.9%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

Full Poll Findings below:

QVOTE1: Have you already voted in Tuesday's 2024 elections, or have you not had the chance to yet?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Already voted

43%

49%

43%

49%

39%

16%

43%

48%

16%

44%

50%

40%

44%

42%

41%

34%

39%

59%

41%

36%

38%

59%

44%

45%

29%

45%

44%

51%

50%

48%

43%

37%

24%

42%

-

43%

-

-

38%

53%

55%

36%

43%

37%

48%

48%

46%

33%

48%

50%

33%

48%

42%

33%

Not yet

57%

51%

57%

51%

61%

84%

57%

52%

84%

56%

50%

60%

56%

58%

59%

66%

61%

41%

59%

64%

62%

41%

56%

55%

71%

55%

56%

49%

50%

52%

57%

63%

76%

58%

-

57%

-

-

62%

47%

45%

64%

57%

63%

52%

52%

54%

67%

52%

50%

67%

52%

58%

67%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

QTYPEOFVOTE: Did you mail in a ballot or did you vote early at a voting center?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Mailed in a ballot

47%

47%

41%

55%

47%

13%

40%

53%

58%

37%

53%

51%

46%

49%

48%

59%

45%

42%

47%

58%

46%

42%

48%

42%

45%

43%

46%

45%

46%

49%

50%

35%

44%

34%

-

47%

-

-

51%

43%

57%

48%

38%

49%

46%

45%

51%

48%

42%

52%

45%

48%

50%

49%

Voted early at a voting center

53%

53%

59%

45%

53%

87%

60%

47%

42%

63%

47%

49%

54%

51%

52%

41%

55%

58%

53%

42%

54%

58%

52%

58%

55%

57%

54%

55%

54%

51%

50%

65%

56%

66%

-

53%

-

-

49%

57%

43%

52%

62%

51%

54%

55%

49%

52%

58%

48%

55%

52%

50%

51%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

797

797

294

353

143

7

341

439

17

290

391

24

347

450

134

202

208

253

73

207

264

253

706

51

18

22

303

27

5

12

403

24

13

10

0

797

0

0

411

386

285

246

266

345

438

377

245

175

158

126

63

219

119

112

H2V: Who did you vote for in the 2024 presidential election?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump

45%

45%

88%

4%

38%

48%

96%

1%

17%

89%

4%

26%

48%

41%

37%

55%

46%

42%

31%

54%

48%

42%

47%

19%

26%

34%

51%

18%

30%

40%

43%

22%

23%

26%

-

45%

-

-

44%

45%

16%

32%

81%

41%

47%

46%

40%

47%

51%

43%

48%

40%

37%

47%

Kamala Harris

50%

50%

9%

93%

52%

22%

1%

95%

11%

8%

92%

20%

47%

53%

53%

41%

50%

54%

60%

40%

47%

54%

49%

70%

54%

55%

45%

66%

58%

51%

52%

78%

51%

59%

-

50%

-

-

51%

50%

81%

61%

14%

54%

47%

50%

54%

47%

45%

50%

48%

55%

58%

46%

Cornel West

2%

2%

0%

3%

2%

17%

1%

1%

24%

1%

1%

26%

2%

1%

4%

2%

1%

1%

2%

5%

0%

1%

1%

0%

21%

0%

2%

0%

12%

0%

1%

0%

26%

0%

-

2%

-

-

1%

2%

3%

2%

1%

1%

2%

0%

4%

2%

0%

5%

2%

0%

3%

3%

Jill Stein

1%

1%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

2%

1%

0%

2%

1%

2%

0%

2%

1%

1%

0%

0%

7%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

15%

-

1%

-

-

1%

1%

1%

2%

0%

2%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

2%

1%

2%

Someone else

2%

2%

2%

1%

5%

0%

1%

1%

42%

2%

1%

29%

2%

2%

4%

2%

2%

1%

5%

1%

2%

1%

2%

8%

0%

5%

1%

11%

0%

9%

2%

0%

0%

0%

-

2%

-

-

2%

2%

0%

4%

3%

2%

3%

3%

1%

2%

3%

1%

2%

3%

0%

2%

I did not vote in this race

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

13%

0%

0%

6%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

0%

5%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

-

0%

-

-

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

797

797

294

353

143

7

341

439

17

290

391

24

347

450

134

202

208

253

73

207

264

253

706

51

18

22

303

27

5

12

403

24

13

10

0

797

0

0

411

386

285

246

266

345

438

377

245

175

158

126

63

219

119

112

QVOTETIME: Is this the first time you are voting in a presidential election?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Yes

15%

15%

16%

16%

14%

22%

16%

14%

26%

7%

5%

22%

14%

17%

41%

18%

7%

2%

43%

26%

7%

2%

13%

22%

41%

36%

11%

17%

65%

49%

16%

32%

28%

18%

-

15%

-

-

18%

12%

16%

19%

11%

16%

15%

12%

25%

10%

10%

23%

10%

15%

27%

11%

No

85%

85%

84%

84%

86%

78%

84%

86%

74%

93%

95%

78%

86%

83%

59%

82%

93%

98%

57%

74%

93%

98%

87%

78%

59%

64%

89%

83%

35%

51%

84%

68%

72%

82%

-

85%

-

-

82%

88%

84%

81%

89%

84%

85%

88%

75%

90%

90%

77%

90%

85%

73%

89%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

797

797

294

353

143

7

341

439

17

290

391

24

347

450

134

202

208

253

73

207

264

253

706

51

18

22

303

27

5

12

403

24

13

10

0

797

0

0

411

386

285

246

266

345

438

377

245

175

158

126

63

219

119

112

QDECISION1: When did you make up your mind on who you were voting for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Today

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

1%

2%

4%

2%

1%

0%

5%

2%

1%

0%

1%

0%

11%

0%

1%

0%

12%

0%

1%

0%

11%

0%

-

1%

-

-

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

3%

0%

2%

1%

0%

1%

5%

0%

In the last week

8%

8%

3%

11%

10%

12%

5%

9%

43%

4%

7%

29%

8%

8%

22%

9%

2%

2%

24%

12%

2%

2%

6%

20%

32%

19%

6%

19%

24%

14%

6%

22%

37%

27%

-

8%

-

-

8%

7%

9%

8%

7%

8%

9%

6%

16%

2%

3%

19%

0%

10%

11%

3%

In late October

6%

6%

6%

5%

8%

0%

5%

6%

18%

4%

7%

14%

7%

5%

9%

9%

4%

4%

8%

10%

5%

4%

5%

14%

16%

5%

7%

4%

16%

9%

4%

34%

16%

0%

-

6%

-

-

6%

6%

6%

9%

3%

5%

7%

4%

9%

7%

6%

8%

7%

2%

11%

7%

In early October

9%

9%

10%

7%

11%

0%

10%

8%

9%

11%

7%

11%

12%

7%

11%

16%

6%

6%

11%

15%

8%

6%

9%

21%

4%

5%

11%

23%

0%

9%

7%

17%

6%

0%

-

9%

-

-

9%

9%

9%

12%

7%

9%

10%

9%

10%

8%

13%

12%

8%

6%

7%

9%

In September

10%

10%

8%

11%

10%

0%

8%

12%

0%

7%

11%

14%

11%

9%

8%

13%

7%

11%

6%

13%

8%

11%

9%

7%

7%

20%

10%

8%

19%

19%

9%

5%

0%

20%

-

10%

-

-

9%

11%

12%

11%

6%

8%

10%

10%

9%

10%

10%

10%

11%

9%

8%

8%

Before September

61%

61%

67%

61%

54%

26%

67%

59%

5%

69%

64%

21%

60%

61%

41%

48%

76%

72%

40%

44%

72%

72%

65%

33%

25%

44%

64%

41%

30%

42%

66%

18%

22%

47%

-

61%

-

-

59%

64%

61%

49%

72%

61%

60%

67%

48%

65%

66%

47%

70%

68%

49%

61%

Unsure/ Don't Know

5%

5%

3%

3%

6%

61%

3%

5%

26%

3%

3%

10%

1%

8%

7%

4%

4%

4%

7%

4%

4%

4%

4%

5%

5%

6%

1%

6%

0%

7%

8%

4%

8%

6%

-

5%

-

-

7%

2%

2%

8%

3%

7%

3%

3%

5%

8%

0%

2%

4%

5%

10%

12%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

797

797

294

353

143

7

341

439

17

290

391

24

347

450

134

202

208

253

73

207

264

253

706

51

18

22

303

27

5

12

403

24

13

10

0

797

0

0

411

386

285

246

266

345

438

377

245

175

158

126

63

219

119

112

QDECISION2: Would you say that you voted for change or for continuity in how the country is managed?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Change

71%

71%

83%

55%

77%

71%

87%

57%

68%

87%

58%

73%

68%

74%

73%

63%

78%

70%

75%

63%

76%

70%

72%

75%

66%

60%

68%

71%

88%

68%

76%

81%

53%

50%

-

71%

-

-

77%

64%

54%

70%

87%

77%

67%

77%

62%

70%

78%

60%

58%

76%

65%

80%

Continuity

29%

29%

17%

45%

23%

29%

13%

43%

32%

13%

42%

27%

32%

26%

27%

37%

22%

30%

25%

37%

24%

30%

28%

25%

34%

40%

32%

29%

12%

32%

24%

19%

47%

50%

-

29%

-

-

23%

36%

46%

30%

13%

23%

33%

23%

38%

30%

22%

40%

42%

24%

35%

20%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

797

797

294

353

143

7

341

439

17

290

391

24

347

450

134

202

208

253

73

207

264

253

706

51

18

22

303

27

5

12

403

24

13

10

0

797

0

0

411

386

285

246

266

345

438

377

245

175

158

126

63

219

119

112

JS2: How likely or unlikely are you to vote in the upcoming 2024 elections in November?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET: Likely Voters (T3B)

90%

100%

94%

93%

86%

52%

93%

93%

54%

95%

97%

92%

92%

88%

83%

89%

92%

97%

81%

88%

91%

97%

92%

85%

71%

71%

93%

92%

76%

67%

91%

75%

70%

75%

-

90%

-

-

87%

96%

94%

84%

93%

85%

94%

90%

91%

89%

89%

94%

94%

91%

88%

84%

NET: Likely Voters (T2B)

88%

100%

92%

91%

83%

47%

90%

91%

48%

93%

95%

89%

89%

86%

78%

86%

89%

96%

77%

84%

89%

96%

90%

81%

61%

69%

91%

90%

76%

67%

90%

67%

57%

72%

-

88%

-

-

84%

94%

92%

82%

91%

83%

92%

88%

88%

87%

87%

91%

90%

89%

83%

84%

Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections/I already voted

81%

92%

85%

85%

74%

41%

84%

85%

37%

89%

91%

78%

83%

78%

69%

78%

83%

93%

69%

73%

84%

93%

83%

75%

57%

65%

85%

84%

76%

64%

82%

62%

51%

66%

-

81%

-

-

77%

88%

89%

72%

86%

75%

85%

84%

80%

77%

83%

83%

84%

84%

77%

71%

Probably going to vote in the elections

7%

8%

6%

6%

9%

6%

7%

6%

11%

5%

5%

12%

6%

8%

9%

9%

7%

3%

9%

11%

6%

3%

7%

6%

4%

4%

6%

6%

0%

2%

8%

5%

6%

6%

-

7%

-

-

7%

6%

4%

10%

5%

7%

6%

5%

7%

10%

4%

9%

6%

5%

6%

12%

Possibly going to vote in the elections

2%

0%

2%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

6%

2%

1%

3%

2%

2%

4%

2%

2%

1%

4%

4%

2%

1%

2%

4%

10%

1%

3%

2%

0%

0%

1%

8%

13%

3%

-

2%

-

-

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

2%

4%

2%

1%

3%

4%

2%

5%

1%

May or may not vote in the elections

3%

0%

2%

3%

5%

11%

3%

3%

10%

1%

1%

3%

2%

5%

5%

5%

4%

0%

6%

4%

4%

0%

3%

0%

15%

10%

2%

0%

8%

11%

4%

1%

17%

10%

-

3%

-

-

4%

1%

3%

5%

2%

5%

2%

3%

4%

4%

3%

3%

1%

3%

5%

6%

Possibly not going to participate in the elections

1%

0%

1%

0%

2%

7%

1%

1%

6%

1%

0%

2%

1%

1%

3%

1%

1%

0%

3%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

4%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

2%

9%

-

1%

-

-

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

0%

1%

2%

0%

1%

2%

1%

1%

Probably not going to participate in the elections

1%

0%

1%

1%

2%

4%

1%

1%

6%

0%

1%

3%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

3%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

5%

1%

0%

0%

7%

1%

3%

3%

2%

-

1%

-

-

2%

1%

1%

3%

1%

2%

1%

2%

0%

2%

2%

0%

3%

2%

1%

2%

Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections

4%

0%

3%

2%

5%

26%

3%

2%

23%

3%

1%

0%

4%

4%

8%

3%

3%

2%

8%

4%

3%

2%

3%

12%

10%

10%

3%

7%

16%

15%

3%

21%

8%

4%

-

4%

-

-

6%

1%

2%

6%

3%

6%

2%

4%

4%

4%

5%

3%

2%

3%

5%

7%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

QBallot: Have you received a ballot for the 2024 presidential election or not?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Yes

12%

10%

10%

15%

10%

22%

10%

13%

17%

10%

13%

9%

12%

12%

16%

14%

10%

6%

15%

17%

10%

6%

10%

23%

23%

27%

11%

9%

13%

41%

9%

39%

24%

12%

-

12%

-

-

11%

14%

11%

14%

10%

10%

15%

11%

15%

11%

10%

18%

9%

13%

12%

12%

No

88%

90%

90%

85%

90%

78%

90%

87%

83%

90%

87%

91%

88%

88%

84%

86%

90%

94%

85%

83%

90%

94%

90%

77%

77%

73%

89%

91%

87%

59%

91%

61%

76%

88%

-

88%

-

-

89%

86%

89%

86%

90%

90%

85%

89%

85%

89%

90%

82%

91%

87%

88%

88%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

930

752

349

339

206

36

411

434

85

342

354

30

389

541

178

332

259

161

95

316

358

161

789

71

43

27

338

34

6

11

451

37

37

16

0

930

0

0

622

308

195

410

325

509

411

359

265

306

152

122

115

207

143

191

QEarly2: How do you plan to vote this year: by mail, in person before Election Day, or in person on Election Day?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

By mail

4%

3%

2%

7%

4%

8%

3%

5%

5%

2%

5%

13%

4%

4%

7%

3%

4%

1%

4%

7%

4%

1%

4%

2%

11%

12%

3%

0%

13%

18%

4%

4%

11%

6%

-

4%

-

-

3%

7%

5%

4%

3%

4%

5%

3%

6%

4%

2%

7%

3%

5%

5%

4%

In person before Election Day

9%

8%

10%

10%

6%

7%

9%

9%

9%

8%

8%

4%

9%

8%

11%

10%

6%

7%

12%

10%

6%

7%

9%

13%

12%

0%

8%

12%

32%

0%

9%

14%

8%

0%

-

9%

-

-

9%

8%

7%

10%

8%

8%

9%

9%

9%

8%

10%

11%

6%

8%

8%

10%

In person on Election Day

79%

90%

87%

79%

76%

46%

85%

81%

49%

90%

85%

80%

80%

78%

69%

79%

84%

87%

69%

74%

85%

87%

82%

62%

65%

57%

83%

71%

38%

48%

81%

50%

70%

66%

-

79%

-

-

77%

84%

83%

73%

86%

76%

83%

80%

78%

79%

80%

77%

84%

80%

79%

75%

I am not planning to vote

8%

0%

2%

4%

15%

39%

4%

6%

36%

1%

2%

3%

7%

9%

14%

8%

5%

5%

15%

9%

5%

5%

6%

23%

12%

31%

5%

16%

17%

34%

7%

32%

11%

29%

-

8%

-

-

11%

1%

5%

13%

3%

12%

3%

8%

7%

10%

8%

5%

7%

7%

8%

12%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

930

752

349

339

206

36

411

434

85

342

354

30

389

541

178

332

259

161

95

316

358

161

789

71

43

27

338

34

6

11

451

37

37

16

0

930

0

0

622

308

195

410

325

509

411

359

265

306

152

122

115

207

143

191

F1r: SUMMARY OF T2B - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Midwest

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Kamala Harris

47%

49%

11%

92%

46%

17%

7%

91%

15%

11%

88%

34%

44%

50%

51%

46%

42%

48%

53%

47%

43%

48%

45%

67%

61%

44%

43%

61%

40%

43%

48%

76%

67%

46%

47%

43%

55%

88%

52%

14%

48%

46%

46%

57%

39%

41%

55%

35%

50%

59%

43%

Donald Trump

45%

46%

85%

9%

35%

26%

89%

6%

17%

84%

6%

25%

49%

41%

40%

52%

48%

39%

37%

52%

48%

39%

48%

25%

26%

27%

52%

29%

46%

30%

44%

20%

21%

22%

45%

47%

42%

15%

34%

78%

42%

47%

43%

41%

52%

46%

46%

58%

39%

36%

47%

Tony Evers

44%

47%

17%

78%

45%

15%

15%

77%

17%

16%

81%

36%

44%

45%

39%

46%

42%

50%

38%

45%

43%

50%

44%

49%

42%

47%

44%

55%

26%

45%

45%

40%

46%

50%

44%

40%

53%

80%

47%

18%

45%

44%

44%

52%

38%

42%

56%

33%

46%

47%

42%

Tammy Baldwin

42%

44%

11%

84%

39%

9%

10%

79%

7%

10%

82%

24%

40%

44%

41%

41%

40%

46%

42%

41%

40%

46%

41%

62%

42%

37%

39%

60%

30%

34%

43%

63%

45%

41%

42%

38%

50%

85%

43%

12%

43%

41%

41%

50%

34%

38%

50%

32%

45%

51%

36%

J.D. Vance

39%

41%

75%

8%

29%

23%

76%

7%

21%

80%

9%

35%

47%

32%

30%

39%

45%

43%

28%

36%

45%

43%

42%

21%

20%

18%

50%

27%

25%

22%

35%

13%

18%

14%

39%

40%

39%

9%

24%

77%

35%

44%

41%

33%

43%

47%

39%

54%

35%

25%

34%

Tim Walz

39%

42%

12%

77%

36%

5%

10%

72%

11%

12%

79%

20%

38%

40%

34%

37%

39%

46%

32%

38%

38%

46%

39%

40%

33%

33%

39%

46%

17%

26%

40%

31%

37%

42%

39%

34%

49%

78%

39%

13%

38%

40%

40%

45%

31%

37%

48%

30%

43%

43%

32%

Eric Hovde

38%

41%

75%

8%

29%

3%

73%

8%

21%

78%

9%

36%

45%

33%

26%

40%

42%

45%

24%

37%

42%

45%

42%

11%

21%

25%

48%

11%

45%

33%

36%

10%

15%

16%

38%

38%

40%

9%

25%

74%

34%

42%

41%

33%

41%

44%

41%

50%

37%

24%

33%

Joe Biden

38%

40%

9%

79%

32%

9%

6%

73%

6%

7%

78%

19%

36%

39%

32%

39%

34%

45%

30%

38%

36%

45%

36%

59%

46%

32%

35%

52%

30%

32%

37%

69%

50%

33%

38%

33%

47%

76%

40%

10%

38%

38%

36%

46%

32%

34%

46%

28%

38%

46%

35%

Nikki Haley

30%

32%

45%

15%

31%

0%

44%

18%

19%

50%

20%

31%

37%

23%

16%

23%

32%

48%

12%

24%

30%

48%

32%

13%

7%

20%

41%

14%

0%

14%

25%

12%

9%

27%

30%

25%

39%

16%

23%

47%

23%

36%

29%

28%

32%

34%

37%

42%

25%

19%

25%

Jill Stein

13%

13%

11%

19%

9%

4%

10%

16%

7%

11%

16%

17%

14%

11%

15%

20%

8%

8%

13%

21%

10%

8%

13%

12%

10%

12%

14%

15%

8%

13%

11%

9%

10%

12%

13%

9%

19%

24%

9%

9%

11%

14%

12%

19%

8%

11%

24%

8%

12%

13%

9%

Cornel West

9%

10%

11%

9%

8%

6%

9%

10%

11%

8%

10%

20%

12%

7%

12%

14%

6%

6%

9%

17%

7%

6%

8%

17%

16%

15%

11%

20%

0%

17%

6%

12%

20%

13%

9%

7%

13%

12%

8%

10%

7%

12%

8%

15%

6%

11%

18%

7%

5%

12%

6%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

1,727

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

F1r: SUMMARY OF B2B - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Midwest

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Joe Biden

56%

56%

88%

17%

59%

58%

91%

21%

63%

91%

19%

69%

59%

54%

55%

55%

62%

54%

56%

53%

61%

54%

59%

31%

40%

51%

61%

38%

52%

54%

57%

20%

37%

47%

56%

60%

49%

19%

50%

88%

55%

58%

59%

46%

62%

61%

47%

68%

56%

45%

58%

Donald Trump

51%

52%

14%

88%

61%

43%

10%

91%

55%

15%

92%

66%

47%

56%

50%

45%

50%

60%

54%

43%

50%

60%

50%

66%

64%

57%

46%

58%

46%

45%

53%

77%

69%

69%

51%

49%

57%

83%

60%

21%

53%

50%

54%

54%

45%

50%

49%

40%

59%

60%

49%

Eric Hovde

49%

50%

16%

82%

56%

40%

17%

82%

41%

15%

84%

51%

45%

53%

50%

44%

51%

52%

49%

45%

50%

52%

48%

64%

60%

44%

44%

68%

37%

37%

52%

58%

66%

52%

49%

47%

53%

81%

56%

19%

51%

48%

48%

52%

48%

46%

46%

42%

50%

59%

52%

Kamala Harris

49%

49%

85%

6%

49%

50%

90%

8%

55%

88%

10%

64%

53%

45%

39%

48%

56%

52%

38%

46%

55%

52%

52%

26%

30%

36%

55%

33%

52%

34%

48%

16%

24%

39%

49%

51%

44%

9%

41%

85%

47%

51%

51%

38%

56%

55%

41%

62%

47%

34%

51%

Tammy Baldwin

49%

49%

83%

9%

49%

41%

83%

15%

52%

86%

13%

64%

52%

46%

39%

46%

57%

52%

37%

44%

56%

52%

51%

26%

35%

36%

54%

26%

45%

36%

49%

25%

33%

35%

49%

51%

44%

9%

42%

83%

45%

52%

51%

38%

56%

54%

39%

61%

47%

36%

52%

J.D. Vance

43%

46%

13%

78%

47%

18%

10%

78%

32%

12%

80%

52%

41%

46%

40%

42%

42%

50%

39%

42%

42%

50%

43%

46%

46%

42%

41%

52%

39%

27%

46%

38%

47%

60%

43%

39%

53%

79%

48%

14%

43%

44%

45%

48%

37%

41%

45%

36%

48%

52%

38%

Tony Evers

43%

45%

74%

11%

41%

27%

74%

14%

39%

78%

12%

51%

46%

41%

35%

39%

53%

47%

34%

37%

50%

47%

46%

28%

21%

24%

49%

21%

21%

28%

43%

37%

21%

19%

43%

45%

41%

12%

34%

75%

39%

47%

45%

35%

49%

47%

34%

58%

42%

36%

42%

Tim Walz

42%

44%

73%

12%

38%

25%

74%

12%

37%

77%

12%

48%

47%

37%

33%

40%

46%

48%

33%

38%

45%

48%

44%

27%

28%

30%

49%

30%

44%

33%

39%

24%

23%

27%

42%

42%

41%

13%

30%

75%

39%

45%

43%

35%

46%

49%

38%

54%

38%

31%

40%

Nikki Haley

32%

34%

22%

47%

29%

24%

23%

43%

19%

22%

47%

35%

36%

28%

28%

36%

30%

34%

26%

34%

32%

34%

33%

35%

32%

16%

37%

45%

17%

21%

28%

21%

36%

11%

32%

28%

41%

53%

28%

23%

30%

34%

33%

32%

29%

39%

34%

34%

28%

30%

26%

Jill Stein

30%

32%

32%

30%

29%

17%

31%

30%

20%

35%

32%

29%

37%

23%

23%

30%

29%

37%

23%

27%

30%

37%

31%

30%

19%

13%

39%

35%

15%

11%

23%

23%

21%

15%

30%

27%

35%

34%

23%

34%

27%

33%

30%

30%

29%

38%

35%

37%

22%

25%

22%

Cornel West

23%

24%

24%

27%

17%

15%

25%

23%

13%

27%

24%

23%

31%

15%

16%

25%

22%

28%

14%

24%

23%

28%

23%

33%

16%

11%

31%

41%

34%

14%

16%

23%

11%

8%

23%

20%

28%

27%

17%

28%

20%

26%

23%

24%

23%

29%

30%

33%

16%

16%

14%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

1,727

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

F1r: SUMMARY OF 'NEVER HEARD OF THEM' - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Midwest

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Cornel West

32%

31%

33%

31%

32%

30%

32%

33%

28%

31%

30%

24%

24%

40%

43%

28%

32%

25%

46%

31%

31%

25%

33%

30%

34%

21%

25%

20%

24%

7%

40%

45%

36%

37%

32%

34%

29%

32%

35%

29%

34%

30%

32%

30%

34%

23%

24%

24%

40%

37%

43%

Jill Stein

19%

17%

22%

16%

19%

24%

21%

17%

24%

18%

14%

19%

14%

24%

28%

16%

19%

13%

29%

18%

19%

13%

17%

32%

32%

23%

12%

24%

30%

24%

23%

45%

32%

21%

19%

22%

14%

13%

23%

19%

22%

16%

17%

20%

21%

12%

15%

14%

22%

25%

27%

Nikki Haley

16%

14%

14%

16%

17%

33%

14%

17%

21%

11%

12%

13%

9%

23%

31%

16%

13%

4%

33%

20%

13%

4%

15%

29%

21%

18%

8%

19%

18%

14%

22%

44%

22%

22%

16%

21%

6%

13%

22%

12%

21%

12%

13%

19%

18%

6%

12%

10%

21%

26%

23%

Tim Walz

6%

4%

4%

4%

9%

12%

5%

6%

12%

3%

2%

11%

4%

8%

12%

6%

5%

1%

11%

8%

4%

1%

5%

15%

16%

7%

3%

14%

12%

7%

7%

16%

17%

7%

6%

8%

2%

5%

9%

2%

7%

5%

5%

6%

7%

4%

5%

3%

6%

8%

10%

J.D. Vance

5%

4%

4%

5%

6%

3%

3%

6%

8%

2%

3%

3%

3%

7%

12%

4%

2%

1%

12%

7%

2%

1%

4%

15%

12%

6%

2%

5%

12%

7%

5%

29%

12%

5%

5%

6%

2%

5%

7%

2%

7%

3%

3%

7%

5%

2%

5%

2%

4%

9%

8%

Eric Hovde

4%

3%

3%

4%

6%

0%

3%

5%

4%

2%

3%

3%

4%

4%

10%

4%

1%

0%

11%

6%

1%

0%

3%

15%

5%

4%

3%

10%

0%

7%

4%

21%

7%

0%

4%

5%

2%

4%

5%

3%

5%

3%

3%

5%

4%

3%

5%

2%

3%

5%

6%

Tony Evers

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

5%

1%

0%

3%

2%

2%

6%

2%

1%

0%

6%

3%

1%

0%

1%

9%

8%

3%

2%

5%

0%

4%

1%

13%

11%

3%

2%

3%

1%

2%

3%

2%

3%

1%

2%

4%

2%

1%

3%

3%

2%

4%

1%

Tammy Baldwin

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

0%

2%

1%

2%

1%

0%

2%

2%

1%

2%

3%

1%

0%

2%

3%

1%

0%

1%

2%

8%

4%

1%

4%

6%

7%

1%

0%

8%

0%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

3%

1%

1%

3%

2%

0%

3%

1%

Joe Biden

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

2%

0%

0%

5%

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

0%

1%

2%

0%

0%

1%

0%

5%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

6%

0%

1%

1%

2%

2%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

Donald Trump

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

4%

1%

1%

2%

0%

0%

0%

2%

1%

0%

0%

1%

2%

4%

0%

1%

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

5%

0%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

1%

1%

Kamala Harris

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

2%

1%

0%

0%

4%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

2%

0%

1%

0%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

1,727

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

F1r: SUMMARY OF 'NO OPINION' - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Midwest

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Jill Stein

39%

38%

36%

36%

43%

56%

38%

37%

49%

36%

38%

35%

36%

42%

34%

34%

44%

42%

35%

33%

42%

42%

39%

25%

39%

52%

35%

26%

47%

52%

43%

23%

37%

52%

39%

42%

32%

30%

44%

38%

40%

37%

41%

31%

42%

39%

26%

41%

44%

37%

43%

Cornel West

36%

35%

32%

33%

42%

48%

34%

35%

48%

33%

36%

32%

34%

37%

30%

32%

39%

42%

32%

28%

39%

42%

36%

20%

35%

53%

33%

20%

41%

62%

38%

20%

33%

42%

36%

38%

30%

30%

41%

33%

39%

32%

38%

31%

37%

36%

28%

36%

39%

35%

37%

Nikki Haley

22%

19%

19%

22%

23%

43%

19%

22%

42%

17%

20%

21%

18%

26%

25%

24%

25%

14%

29%

22%

24%

14%

20%

22%

40%

46%

15%

22%

65%

51%

25%

22%

33%

40%

22%

26%

14%

18%

28%

17%

26%

18%

24%

21%

21%

21%

17%

14%

27%

25%

26%

Tim Walz

13%

10%

11%

7%

18%

58%

12%

11%

40%

8%

7%

21%

11%

16%

21%

16%

11%

5%

23%

16%

12%

5%

12%

18%

24%

30%

10%

10%

27%

34%

14%

29%

23%

24%

13%

17%

7%

5%

21%

10%

17%

10%

12%

14%

16%

11%

10%

13%

13%

18%

18%

J.D. Vance

12%

10%

8%

9%

17%

56%

11%

10%

39%

7%

9%

10%

10%

15%

19%

15%

11%

5%

21%

15%

11%

5%

11%

18%

23%

34%

7%

16%

25%

44%

14%

21%

22%

21%

12%

16%

6%

6%

21%

7%

14%

10%

11%

13%

14%

10%

11%

7%

12%

14%

20%

Tony Evers

10%

7%

6%

8%

11%

57%

8%

7%

40%

5%

6%

10%

8%

12%

20%

13%

5%

2%

22%

15%

6%

2%

8%

14%

29%

26%

5%

18%

53%

23%

11%

9%

22%

29%

10%

13%

5%

6%

17%

5%

12%

8%

10%

10%

11%

10%

7%

6%

10%

13%

15%

Eric Hovde

8%

6%

5%

6%

9%

57%

7%

5%

34%

5%

4%

11%

7%

10%

14%

11%

6%

3%

16%

12%

7%

3%

7%

11%

14%

27%

5%

11%

18%

23%

9%

10%

13%

31%

8%

10%

5%

6%

13%

5%

10%

7%

8%

10%

8%

7%

8%

5%

10%

12%

9%

Tammy Baldwin

8%

6%

4%

5%

11%

50%

6%

5%

39%

4%

4%

10%

7%

9%

17%

10%

3%

2%

19%

12%

3%

2%

7%

10%

15%

23%

5%

10%

18%

22%

8%

12%

14%

25%

8%

10%

5%

5%

13%

3%

9%

6%

7%

9%

8%

7%

8%

5%

7%

11%

11%

Joe Biden

5%

3%

2%

4%

8%

33%

2%

5%

29%

2%

3%

7%

4%

6%

12%

4%

3%

1%

13%

7%

3%

1%

4%

10%

9%

17%

3%

10%

18%

14%

5%

10%

7%

20%

5%

7%

2%

3%

10%

1%

7%

3%

5%

7%

5%

4%

6%

3%

5%

8%

6%

Kamala Harris

4%

1%

2%

1%

4%

33%

1%

2%

28%

1%

1%

0%

3%

4%

8%

4%

2%

0%

9%

5%

2%

0%

2%

7%

9%

17%

2%

7%

8%

19%

3%

8%

9%

16%

4%

5%

1%

2%

6%

1%

4%

2%

3%

4%

4%

4%

3%

1%

2%

5%

6%

Donald Trump

3%

1%

1%

1%

4%

30%

0%

1%

26%

1%

1%

5%

3%

3%

7%

2%

2%

0%

8%

4%

2%

0%

2%

8%

6%

17%

1%

10%

8%

24%

2%

3%

6%

8%

3%

4%

0%

1%

6%

1%

4%

1%

3%

3%

2%

4%

3%

1%

2%

4%

3%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

1,727

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

F1r1: Joe Biden - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

38%

40%

9%

79%

32%

9%

6%

73%

6%

7%

78%

19%

36%

39%

32%

39%

34%

45%

30%

38%

36%

45%

36%

59%

46%

32%

35%

52%

30%

32%

37%

69%

50%

33%

-

38%

-

-

33%

47%

76%

40%

10%

38%

38%

36%

46%

32%

34%

46%

28%

38%

46%

35%

Very favorable

15%

16%

3%

36%

9%

2%

2%

30%

2%

2%

34%

3%

15%

15%

12%

13%

12%

23%

13%

12%

12%

23%

14%

32%

25%

10%

14%

30%

3%

10%

13%

33%

30%

10%

-

15%

-

-

13%

18%

35%

12%

4%

16%

13%

13%

21%

12%

12%

23%

10%

14%

19%

13%

Favorable

23%

24%

6%

43%

24%

7%

4%

44%

5%

5%

44%

15%

21%

24%

20%

27%

22%

22%

18%

26%

24%

22%

23%

27%

21%

22%

21%

22%

27%

22%

24%

36%

20%

23%

-

23%

-

-

20%

29%

40%

27%

6%

21%

25%

23%

25%

20%

22%

22%

18%

25%

27%

22%

Unfavorable

16%

15%

15%

12%

22%

17%

14%

15%

31%

13%

14%

27%

14%

18%

24%

15%

14%

11%

25%

17%

14%

11%

16%

12%

23%

21%

14%

13%

6%

19%

17%

11%

27%

23%

-

16%

-

-

16%

16%

14%

19%

13%

15%

17%

16%

18%

15%

14%

17%

11%

18%

19%

17%

Very unfavorable

40%

41%

73%

5%

37%

41%

77%

6%

31%

78%

5%

42%

45%

36%

31%

40%

48%

43%

31%

36%

47%

43%

43%

19%

17%

30%

47%

25%

46%

35%

40%

10%

10%

24%

-

40%

-

-

44%

33%

5%

31%

75%

40%

41%

43%

29%

48%

47%

31%

57%

38%

26%

41%

NET UNFAVORABLE

56%

56%

88%

17%

59%

58%

91%

21%

63%

91%

19%

69%

59%

54%

55%

55%

62%

54%

56%

53%

61%

54%

59%

31%

40%

51%

61%

38%

52%

54%

57%

20%

37%

47%

-

56%

-

-

60%

49%

19%

50%

88%

55%

58%

59%

46%

62%

61%

47%

68%

56%

45%

58%

Never heard of them

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

2%

0%

0%

5%

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

0%

1%

2%

0%

0%

1%

0%

5%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

6%

0%

-

1%

-

-

1%

2%

2%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

No opinion

5%

3%

2%

4%

8%

33%

2%

5%

29%

2%

3%

7%

4%

6%

12%

4%

3%

1%

13%

7%

3%

1%

4%

10%

9%

17%

3%

10%

18%

14%

5%

10%

7%

20%

-

5%

-

-

7%

2%

3%

10%

1%

7%

3%

5%

7%

5%

4%

6%

3%

5%

8%

6%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

F1r2: Kamala Harris - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

47%

49%

11%

92%

46%

17%

7%

91%

15%

11%

88%

34%

44%

50%

51%

46%

42%

48%

53%

47%

43%

48%

45%

67%

61%

44%

43%

61%

40%

43%

48%

76%

67%

46%

-

47%

-

-

43%

55%

88%

52%

14%

48%

46%

46%

57%

39%

41%

55%

35%

50%

59%

43%

Very favorable

29%

32%

5%

67%

21%

11%

2%

61%

2%

4%

62%

20%

26%

32%

29%

27%

27%

35%

31%

26%

27%

35%

28%

49%

36%

27%

25%

44%

20%

29%

31%

55%

40%

26%

-

29%

-

-

27%

34%

66%

28%

7%

30%

29%

29%

38%

23%

24%

36%

21%

34%

40%

25%

Favorable

18%

17%

7%

25%

25%

6%

5%

30%

13%

7%

27%

14%

17%

18%

22%

19%

15%

14%

22%

21%

15%

14%

17%

18%

25%

17%

17%

17%

19%

14%

17%

21%

26%

20%

-

18%

-

-

16%

21%

22%

25%

6%

18%

17%

17%

19%

17%

17%

19%

15%

17%

20%

18%

Unfavorable

12%

11%

14%

5%

17%

22%

14%

7%

32%

12%

8%

23%

10%

14%

13%

13%

11%

10%

12%

15%

11%

10%

12%

8%

17%

17%

10%

10%

28%

9%

13%

7%

14%

26%

-

12%

-

-

11%

13%

6%

15%

12%

11%

13%

11%

11%

13%

10%

10%

10%

12%

12%

16%

Very unfavorable

37%

38%

72%

2%

33%

28%

76%

1%

23%

75%

2%

41%

43%

31%

26%

35%

45%

41%

26%

31%

44%

41%

40%

18%

13%

19%

45%

23%

24%

25%

35%

9%

10%

13%

-

37%

-

-

40%

31%

3%

26%

73%

36%

38%

40%

26%

42%

45%

31%

52%

35%

21%

34%

NET UNFAVORABLE

49%

49%

85%

6%

49%

50%

90%

8%

55%

88%

10%

64%

53%

45%

39%

48%

56%

52%

38%

46%

55%

52%

52%

26%

30%

36%

55%

33%

52%

34%

48%

16%

24%

39%

-

49%

-

-

51%

44%

9%

41%

85%

47%

51%

51%

38%

56%

55%

41%

62%

47%

34%

51%

Never heard of them

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

2%

1%

0%

0%

4%

1%

0%

0%

0%

-

1%

-

-

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

2%

0%

1%

0%

No opinion

4%

1%

2%

1%

4%

33%

1%

2%

28%

1%

1%

0%

3%

4%

8%

4%

2%

0%

9%

5%

2%

0%

2%

7%

9%

17%

2%

7%

8%

19%

3%

8%

9%

16%

-

4%

-

-

5%

1%

2%

6%

1%

4%

2%

3%

4%

4%

4%

3%

1%

2%

5%

6%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

F1r3: Donald Trump - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

45%

46%

85%

9%

35%

26%

89%

6%

17%

84%

6%

25%

49%

41%

40%

52%

48%

39%

37%

52%

48%

39%

48%

25%

26%

27%

52%

29%

46%

30%

44%

20%

21%

22%

-

45%

-

-

47%

42%

15%

34%

78%

42%

47%

43%

41%

52%

46%

46%

58%

39%

36%

47%

Very favorable

27%

28%

57%

4%

15%

16%

56%

3%

5%

54%

3%

6%

33%

22%

23%

34%

25%

26%

22%

33%

26%

26%

29%

15%

13%

11%

35%

17%

30%

13%

24%

12%

9%

8%

-

27%

-

-

29%

24%

10%

17%

50%

26%

28%

26%

26%

31%

30%

33%

38%

22%

17%

26%

Favorable

18%

18%

28%

5%

19%

10%

33%

4%

12%

30%

4%

20%

17%

19%

17%

18%

23%

13%

15%

19%

22%

13%

19%

10%

13%

16%

17%

11%

16%

17%

20%

8%

12%

14%

-

18%

-

-

18%

18%

5%

17%

28%

16%

19%

17%

16%

21%

16%

14%

20%

18%

18%

21%

Unfavorable

10%

9%

8%

9%

12%

17%

8%

9%

28%

8%

10%

23%

11%

9%

14%

10%

8%

7%

15%

10%

9%

7%

9%

15%

12%

10%

11%

13%

17%

4%

8%

17%

11%

17%

-

10%

-

-

10%

10%

6%

11%

11%

9%

11%

10%

12%

6%

13%

13%

5%

8%

12%

7%

Very unfavorable

42%

43%

6%

79%

48%

26%

3%

82%

28%

7%

82%

42%

36%

47%

37%

36%

42%

53%

38%

33%

41%

53%

40%

51%

51%

46%

35%

45%

28%

41%

45%

60%

58%

52%

-

42%

-

-

39%

47%

77%

49%

10%

44%

40%

44%

42%

39%

37%

36%

35%

50%

48%

42%

NET UNFAVORABLE

51%

52%

14%

88%

61%

43%

10%

91%

55%

15%

92%

66%

47%

56%

50%

45%

50%

60%

54%

43%

50%

60%

50%

66%

64%

57%

46%

58%

46%

45%

53%

77%

69%

69%

-

51%

-

-

49%

57%

83%

60%

21%

53%

50%

54%

54%

45%

50%

49%

40%

59%

60%

49%

Never heard of them

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

4%

1%

1%

2%

0%

0%

0%

2%

1%

0%

0%

1%

2%

4%

0%

1%

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

5%

0%

-

1%

-

-

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

1%

1%

No opinion

3%

1%

1%

1%

4%

30%

0%

1%

26%

1%

1%

5%

3%

3%

7%

2%

2%

0%

8%

4%

2%

0%

2%

8%

6%

17%

1%

10%

8%

24%

2%

3%

6%

8%

-

3%

-

-

4%

0%

1%

6%

1%

4%

1%

3%

3%

2%

4%

3%

1%

2%

4%

3%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

F1r4: Nikki Haley - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

30%

32%

45%

15%

31%

0%

44%

18%

19%

50%

20%

31%

37%

23%

16%

23%

32%

48%

12%

24%

30%

48%

32%

13%

7%

20%

41%

14%

0%

14%

25%

12%

9%

27%

-

30%

-

-

25%

39%

16%

23%

47%

23%

36%

29%

28%

32%

34%

37%

42%

25%

19%

25%

Very favorable

8%

9%

15%

3%

7%

0%

14%

3%

6%

17%

3%

4%

12%

5%

6%

6%

7%

14%

6%

6%

7%

14%

9%

6%

3%

2%

13%

7%

0%

4%

5%

5%

4%

0%

-

8%

-

-

7%

11%

3%

4%

16%

7%

10%

10%

6%

8%

12%

10%

13%

8%

2%

4%

Favorable

22%

23%

30%

12%

24%

0%

30%

15%

13%

33%

17%

27%

25%

18%

9%

18%

25%

34%

7%

18%

23%

34%

23%

8%

4%

18%

28%

8%

0%

10%

19%

8%

5%

27%

-

22%

-

-

18%

28%

12%

19%

31%

16%

27%

20%

22%

24%

22%

27%

29%

17%

17%

20%

Unfavorable

19%

20%

13%

26%

18%

12%

14%

25%

15%

13%

26%

28%

22%

16%

18%

21%

16%

19%

16%

22%

18%

19%

19%

16%

18%

11%

23%

21%

0%

14%

16%

8%

23%

7%

-

19%

-

-

15%

25%

28%

17%

15%

17%

20%

20%

18%

17%

25%

19%

20%

16%

18%

15%

Very unfavorable

13%

14%

9%

21%

11%

12%

9%

19%

4%

9%

21%

8%

15%

12%

10%

15%

13%

15%

10%

13%

14%

15%

13%

19%

14%

6%

14%

24%

17%

7%

12%

13%

13%

4%

-

13%

-

-

12%

16%

25%

10%

9%

13%

14%

13%

14%

13%

14%

16%

14%

12%

12%

11%

NET UNFAVORABLE

32%

34%

22%

47%

29%

24%

23%

43%

19%

22%

47%

35%

36%

28%

28%

36%

30%

34%

26%

34%

32%

34%

33%

35%

32%

16%

37%

45%

17%

21%

28%

21%

36%

11%

-

32%

-

-

28%

41%

53%

28%

23%

30%

34%

33%

32%

29%

39%

34%

34%

28%

30%

26%

Never heard of them

16%

14%

14%

16%

17%

33%

14%

17%

21%

11%

12%

13%

9%

23%

31%

16%

13%

4%

33%

20%

13%

4%

15%

29%

21%

18%

8%

19%

18%

14%

22%

44%

22%

22%

-

16%

-

-

21%

6%

13%

22%

12%

21%

12%

13%

19%

18%

6%

12%

10%

21%

26%

23%

No opinion

22%

19%

19%

22%

23%

43%

19%

22%

42%

17%

20%

21%

18%

26%

25%

24%

25%

14%

29%

22%

24%

14%

20%

22%

40%

46%

15%

22%

65%

51%

25%

22%

33%

40%

-

22%

-

-

26%

14%

18%

28%

17%

26%

18%

24%

21%

21%

21%

17%

14%

27%

25%

26%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

F1r7: Cornel West - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

9%

10%

11%

9%

8%

6%

9%

10%

11%

8%

10%

20%

12%

7%

12%

14%

6%

6%

9%

17%

7%

6%

8%

17%

16%

15%

11%

20%

0%

17%

6%

12%

20%

13%

-

9%

-

-

7%

13%

12%

8%

10%

7%

12%

8%

15%

6%

11%

18%

7%

5%

12%

6%

Very favorable

2%

2%

2%

3%

1%

1%

1%

3%

3%

1%

3%

7%

3%

1%

3%

4%

1%

0%

2%

5%

1%

0%

2%

3%

5%

0%

3%

4%

0%

0%

1%

1%

6%

0%

-

2%

-

-

1%

4%

3%

2%

2%

1%

3%

1%

4%

1%

2%

6%

1%

1%

3%

1%

Favorable

8%

8%

9%

6%

8%

5%

8%

7%

8%

8%

7%

14%

9%

6%

9%

11%

5%

5%

7%

12%

6%

5%

7%

14%

11%

15%

9%

15%

0%

17%

5%

11%

14%

13%

-

8%

-

-

6%

10%

9%

6%

8%

6%

9%

7%

11%

5%

10%

12%

6%

4%

9%

5%

Unfavorable

11%

11%

12%

13%

8%

11%

12%

10%

11%

13%

11%

16%

14%

8%

9%

16%

9%

11%

7%

16%

10%

11%

11%

14%

8%

5%

15%

18%

7%

9%

8%

6%

8%

0%

-

11%

-

-

10%

14%

13%

9%

12%

9%

13%

11%

13%

10%

14%

15%

14%

7%

10%

7%

Very unfavorable

12%

13%

12%

14%

9%

5%

12%

13%

1%

14%

14%

7%

16%

7%

7%

9%

13%

18%

7%

8%

13%

18%

12%

20%

8%

6%

16%

22%

27%

5%

7%

16%

3%

8%

-

12%

-

-

11%

14%

14%

8%

15%

11%

12%

12%

11%

12%

15%

15%

19%

8%

6%

7%

NET UNFAVORABLE

23%

24%

24%

27%

17%

15%

25%

23%

13%

27%

24%

23%

31%

15%

16%

25%

22%

28%

14%

24%

23%

28%

23%

33%

16%

11%

31%

41%

34%

14%

16%

23%

11%

8%

-

23%

-

-

20%

28%

27%

17%

28%

20%

26%

23%

24%

23%

29%

30%

33%

16%

16%

14%

Never heard of them

32%

31%

33%

31%

32%

30%

32%

33%

28%

31%

30%

24%

24%

40%

43%

28%

32%

25%

46%

31%

31%

25%

33%

30%

34%

21%

25%

20%

24%

7%

40%

45%

36%

37%

-

32%

-

-

34%

29%

32%

35%

29%

34%

30%

32%

30%

34%

23%

24%

24%

40%

37%

43%

No opinion

36%

35%

32%

33%

42%

48%

34%

35%

48%

33%

36%

32%

34%

37%

30%

32%

39%

42%

32%

28%

39%

42%

36%

20%

35%

53%

33%

20%

41%

62%

38%

20%

33%

42%

-

36%

-

-

38%

30%

30%

41%

33%

39%

32%

38%

31%

37%

36%

28%

36%

39%

35%

37%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

F1r8: Jill Stein - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

13%

13%

11%

19%

9%

4%

10%

16%

7%

11%

16%

17%

14%

11%

15%

20%

8%

8%

13%

21%

10%

8%

13%

12%

10%

12%

14%

15%

8%

13%

11%

9%

10%

12%

-

13%

-

-

9%

19%

24%

9%

9%

11%

14%

12%

19%

8%

11%

24%

8%

12%

13%

9%

Very favorable

2%

2%

2%

4%

1%

1%

2%

3%

1%

1%

4%

0%

3%

2%

3%

4%

1%

1%

3%

4%

1%

1%

2%

5%

5%

0%

2%

6%

0%

0%

2%

3%

6%

0%

-

2%

-

-

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

4%

1%

2%

5%

0%

3%

2%

1%

Favorable

10%

11%

8%

15%

9%

2%

9%

13%

5%

9%

12%

17%

11%

9%

12%

16%

6%

7%

10%

17%

8%

7%

11%

8%

5%

12%

12%

9%

8%

13%

10%

6%

4%

12%

-

10%

-

-

7%

16%

19%

8%

7%

9%

12%

9%

15%

8%

9%

19%

8%

10%

11%

7%

Unfavorable

15%

16%

15%

14%

16%

10%

16%

14%

14%

18%

15%

20%

18%

12%

14%

18%

14%

14%

14%

18%

14%

14%

15%

21%

9%

9%

18%

22%

15%

6%

12%

19%

7%

13%

-

15%

-

-

13%

18%

16%

15%

15%

14%

16%

14%

18%

13%

18%

21%

15%

11%

14%

12%

Very unfavorable

15%

16%

16%

16%

13%

7%

15%

16%

7%

17%

17%

9%

19%

11%

9%

12%

15%

23%

9%

9%

16%

23%

16%

10%

11%

4%

20%

13%

0%

5%

11%

5%

14%

2%

-

15%

-

-

13%

17%

18%

9%

20%

13%

17%

16%

12%

16%

20%

14%

22%

11%

11%

11%

NET UNFAVORABLE

30%

32%

32%

30%

29%

17%

31%

30%

20%

35%

32%

29%

37%

23%

23%

30%

29%

37%

23%

27%

30%

37%

31%

30%

19%

13%

39%

35%

15%

11%

23%

23%

21%

15%

-

30%

-

-

27%

35%

34%

23%

34%

27%

33%

30%

30%

29%

38%

35%

37%

22%

25%

22%

Never heard of them

19%

17%

22%

16%

19%

24%

21%

17%

24%

18%

14%

19%

14%

24%

28%

16%

19%

13%

29%

18%

19%

13%

17%

32%

32%

23%

12%

24%

30%

24%

23%

45%

32%

21%

-

19%

-

-

22%

14%

13%

23%

19%

22%

16%

17%

20%

21%

12%

15%

14%

22%

25%

27%

No opinion

39%

38%

36%

36%

43%

56%

38%

37%

49%

36%

38%

35%

36%

42%

34%

34%

44%

42%

35%

33%

42%

42%

39%

25%

39%

52%

35%

26%

47%

52%

43%

23%

37%

52%

-

39%

-

-

42%

32%

30%

44%

38%

40%

37%

41%

31%

42%

39%

26%

41%

44%

37%

43%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

F1r10: J.D. Vance - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

39%

41%

75%

8%

29%

23%

76%

7%

21%

80%

9%

35%

47%

32%

30%

39%

45%

43%

28%

36%

45%

43%

42%

21%

20%

18%

50%

27%

25%

22%

35%

13%

18%

14%

-

39%

-

-

40%

39%

9%

24%

77%

35%

44%

41%

33%

43%

47%

39%

54%

35%

25%

34%

Very favorable

20%

21%

41%

3%

12%

7%

40%

2%

6%

44%

3%

10%

23%

17%

11%

18%

23%

27%

11%

16%

22%

27%

22%

5%

9%

11%

25%

8%

0%

12%

18%

1%

11%

9%

-

20%

-

-

20%

20%

3%

9%

44%

17%

22%

21%

14%

23%

25%

17%

28%

18%

11%

19%

Favorable

19%

20%

34%

5%

17%

16%

36%

4%

16%

36%

6%

26%

23%

16%

18%

21%

23%

16%

17%

21%

23%

16%

21%

16%

11%

8%

24%

19%

25%

10%

17%

12%

7%

5%

-

19%

-

-

20%

19%

6%

15%

33%

18%

22%

20%

18%

21%

22%

22%

27%

17%

14%

16%

Unfavorable

12%

12%

8%

15%

16%

3%

8%

16%

19%

8%

14%

30%

12%

12%

16%

15%

9%

9%

14%

17%

10%

9%

11%

17%

22%

14%

13%

17%

6%

4%

10%

18%

27%

26%

-

12%

-

-

11%

14%

13%

16%

7%

12%

13%

12%

16%

9%

13%

14%

10%

11%

19%

9%

Very unfavorable

31%

34%

5%

63%

31%

15%

3%

62%

13%

4%

66%

22%

29%

34%

24%

27%

32%

41%

25%

25%

32%

41%

32%

29%

24%

28%

28%

35%

33%

22%

35%

20%

21%

34%

-

31%

-

-

27%

39%

66%

32%

6%

31%

31%

33%

32%

28%

28%

31%

27%

37%

33%

29%

NET UNFAVORABLE

43%

46%

13%

78%

47%

18%

10%

78%

32%

12%

80%

52%

41%

46%

40%

42%

42%

50%

39%

42%

42%

50%

43%

46%

46%

42%

41%

52%

39%

27%

46%

38%

47%

60%

-

43%

-

-

39%

53%

79%

48%

14%

43%

44%

45%

48%

37%

41%

45%

36%

48%

52%

38%

Never heard of them

5%

4%

4%

5%

6%

3%

3%

6%

8%

2%

3%

3%

3%

7%

12%

4%

2%

1%

12%

7%

2%

1%

4%

15%

12%

6%

2%

5%

12%

7%

5%

29%

12%

5%

-

5%

-

-

6%

2%

5%

7%

2%

7%

3%

3%

7%

5%

2%

5%

2%

4%

9%

8%

No opinion

12%

10%

8%

9%

17%

56%

11%

10%

39%

7%

9%

10%

10%

15%

19%

15%

11%

5%

21%

15%

11%

5%

11%

18%

23%

34%

7%

16%

25%

44%

14%

21%

22%

21%

-

12%

-

-

16%

6%

6%

21%

7%

14%

10%

11%

13%

14%

10%

11%

7%

12%

14%

20%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

F1r32: Eric Hovde - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

38%

41%

75%

8%

29%

3%

73%

8%

21%

78%

9%

36%

45%

33%

26%

40%

42%

45%

24%

37%

42%

45%

42%

11%

21%

25%

48%

11%

45%

33%

36%

10%

15%

16%

-

38%

-

-

38%

40%

9%

25%

74%

34%

42%

41%

33%

41%

44%

41%

50%

37%

24%

33%

Very favorable

14%

15%

32%

2%

7%

0%

28%

2%

5%

33%

1%

4%

18%

11%

9%

13%

15%

20%

10%

12%

14%

20%

16%

3%

3%

9%

20%

3%

0%

11%

12%

3%

4%

6%

-

14%

-

-

15%

13%

2%

6%

33%

13%

15%

17%

11%

14%

20%

15%

17%

13%

6%

12%

Favorable

24%

26%

43%

6%

22%

3%

45%

6%

16%

46%

8%

31%

27%

22%

17%

28%

27%

25%

14%

26%

28%

25%

26%

8%

18%

17%

28%

8%

45%

22%

24%

7%

10%

10%

-

24%

-

-

22%

28%

7%

19%

41%

21%

27%

24%

22%

26%

24%

26%

33%

24%

17%

21%

Unfavorable

15%

14%

10%

17%

21%

15%

11%

17%

24%

8%

17%

28%

15%

15%

21%

15%

13%

10%

20%

18%

14%

10%

14%

25%

24%

17%

14%

29%

12%

11%

14%

20%

27%

24%

-

15%

-

-

14%

16%

14%

19%

10%

15%

15%

14%

17%

15%

15%

15%

14%

13%

19%

15%

Very unfavorable

34%

36%

6%

65%

35%

25%

6%

64%

17%

7%

67%

22%

30%

38%

28%

28%

37%

42%

29%

27%

36%

42%

34%

39%

36%

27%

29%

39%

25%

26%

38%

38%

39%

29%

-

34%

-

-

32%

37%

67%

37%

9%

36%

33%

34%

35%

33%

30%

31%

28%

37%

40%

37%

NET UNFAVORABLE

49%

50%

16%

82%

56%

40%

17%

82%

41%

15%

84%

51%

45%

53%

50%

44%

51%

52%

49%

45%

50%

52%

48%

64%

60%

44%

44%

68%

37%

37%

52%

58%

66%

52%

-

49%

-

-

47%

53%

81%

56%

19%

51%

48%

48%

52%

48%

46%

46%

42%

50%

59%

52%

Never heard of them

4%

3%

3%

4%

6%

0%

3%

5%

4%

2%

3%

3%

4%

4%

10%

4%

1%

0%

11%

6%

1%

0%

3%

15%

5%

4%

3%

10%

0%

7%

4%

21%

7%

0%

-

4%

-

-

5%

2%

4%

5%

3%

5%

3%

3%

5%

4%

3%

5%

2%

3%

5%

6%

No opinion

8%

6%

5%

6%

9%

57%

7%

5%

34%

5%

4%

11%

7%

10%

14%

11%

6%

3%

16%

12%

7%

3%

7%

11%

14%

27%

5%

11%

18%

23%

9%

10%

13%

31%

-

8%

-

-

10%

5%

6%

13%

5%

10%

7%

8%

10%

8%

7%

8%

5%

10%

12%

9%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

F1r33: Tammy Baldwin - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

42%

44%

11%

84%

39%

9%

10%

79%

7%

10%

82%

24%

40%

44%

41%

41%

40%

46%

42%

41%

40%

46%

41%

62%

42%

37%

39%

60%

30%

34%

43%

63%

45%

41%

-

42%

-

-

38%

50%

85%

43%

12%

43%

41%

41%

50%

34%

38%

50%

32%

45%

51%

36%

Very favorable

19%

21%

2%

47%

13%

4%

2%

39%

4%

3%

44%

3%

20%

19%

13%

17%

19%

29%

13%

16%

18%

29%

19%

29%

18%

18%

20%

30%

11%

17%

18%

29%

19%

20%

-

19%

-

-

17%

23%

48%

16%

4%

21%

18%

20%

24%

14%

21%

25%

14%

19%

22%

15%

Favorable

22%

23%

8%

38%

26%

5%

8%

40%

3%

7%

38%

22%

20%

25%

28%

24%

21%

17%

29%

25%

21%

17%

22%

32%

24%

19%

19%

31%

19%

17%

25%

34%

26%

21%

-

22%

-

-

20%

27%

37%

27%

8%

22%

22%

21%

26%

20%

17%

25%

19%

26%

29%

21%

Unfavorable

18%

17%

25%

7%

22%

21%

24%

11%

31%

24%

10%

35%

18%

18%

21%

20%

19%

13%

21%

19%

20%

13%

19%

10%

23%

16%

18%

10%

39%

13%

19%

10%

18%

19%

-

18%

-

-

18%

18%

7%

21%

22%

16%

20%

17%

18%

21%

18%

18%

18%

16%

18%

23%

Very unfavorable

31%

32%

58%

2%

27%

20%

59%

4%

21%

62%

3%

29%

34%

28%

18%

27%

38%

39%

17%

24%

36%

39%

33%

16%

13%

20%

36%

16%

6%

23%

30%

15%

15%

15%

-

31%

-

-

33%

26%

1%

21%

61%

29%

32%

34%

20%

35%

37%

21%

43%

31%

18%

29%

NET UNFAVORABLE

49%

49%

83%

9%

49%

41%

83%

15%

52%

86%

13%

64%

52%

46%

39%

46%

57%

52%

37%

44%

56%

52%

51%

26%

35%

36%

54%

26%

45%

36%

49%

25%

33%

35%

-

49%

-

-

51%

44%

9%

42%

83%

45%

52%

51%

38%

56%

54%

39%

61%

47%

36%

52%

Never heard of them

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

0%

2%

1%

2%

1%

0%

2%

2%

1%

2%

3%

1%

0%

2%

3%

1%

0%

1%

2%

8%

4%

1%

4%

6%

7%

1%

0%

8%

0%

-

2%

-

-

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

3%

1%

1%

3%

2%

0%

3%

1%

No opinion

8%

6%

4%

5%

11%

50%

6%

5%

39%

4%

4%

10%

7%

9%

17%

10%

3%

2%

19%

12%

3%

2%

7%

10%

15%

23%

5%

10%

18%

22%

8%

12%

14%

25%

-

8%

-

-

10%

5%

5%

13%

3%

9%

6%

7%

9%

8%

7%

8%

5%

7%

11%

11%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

F1r34: Tony Evers - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET FAVORABLE

44%

47%

17%

78%

45%

15%

15%

77%

17%

16%

81%

36%

44%

45%

39%

46%

42%

50%

38%

45%

43%

50%

44%

49%

42%

47%

44%

55%

26%

45%

45%

40%

46%

50%

-

44%

-

-

40%

53%

80%

47%

18%

45%

44%

44%

52%

38%

42%

56%

33%

46%

47%

42%

Very favorable

22%

24%

3%

49%

18%

4%

3%

43%

3%

3%

49%

14%

23%

20%

17%

17%

22%

32%

14%

19%

21%

32%

22%

22%

27%

23%

24%

25%

11%

25%

20%

17%

31%

21%

-

22%

-

-

20%

26%

51%

19%

5%

24%

21%

21%

27%

18%

22%

30%

18%

20%

24%

19%

Favorable

22%

23%

14%

30%

27%

12%

12%

34%

14%

13%

32%

23%

21%

24%

22%

28%

21%

18%

23%

26%

22%

18%

22%

27%

15%

24%

20%

30%

15%

21%

25%

23%

16%

29%

-

22%

-

-

20%

26%

28%

27%

13%

22%

23%

23%

25%

20%

20%

26%

15%

26%

23%

23%

Unfavorable

17%

17%

23%

8%

19%

14%

24%

9%

21%

23%

8%

27%

17%

17%

19%

15%

20%

14%

18%

17%

19%

14%

18%

11%

14%

10%

19%

6%

6%

4%

17%

17%

15%

16%

-

17%

-

-

17%

17%

9%

18%

22%

15%

18%

16%

16%

20%

15%

15%

22%

16%

18%

17%

Very unfavorable

26%

28%

51%

4%

22%

13%

50%

5%

18%

55%

4%

24%

29%

24%

16%

23%

33%

34%

16%

20%

31%

34%

28%

17%

7%

14%

31%

15%

15%

23%

26%

20%

5%

3%

-

26%

-

-

28%

24%

3%

16%

54%

24%

29%

29%

19%

30%

32%

20%

36%

26%

17%

25%

NET UNFAVORABLE

43%

45%

74%

11%

41%

27%

74%

14%

39%

78%

12%

51%

46%

41%

35%

39%

53%

47%

34%

37%

50%

47%

46%

28%

21%

24%

49%

21%

21%

28%

43%

37%

21%

19%

-

43%

-

-

45%

41%

12%

34%

75%

39%

47%

45%

35%

49%

47%

34%

58%

42%

36%

42%

Never heard of them

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

5%

1%

0%

3%

2%

2%

6%

2%

1%

0%

6%

3%

1%

0%

1%

9%

8%

3%

2%

5%

0%

4%

1%

13%

11%

3%

-

2%

-

-

3%

1%

2%

3%

2%

3%

1%

2%

4%

2%

1%

3%

3%

2%

4%

1%

No opinion

10%

7%

6%

8%

11%

57%

8%

7%

40%

5%

6%

10%

8%

12%

20%

13%

5%

2%

22%

15%

6%

2%

8%

14%

29%

26%

5%

18%

53%

23%

11%

9%

22%

29%

-

10%

-

-

13%

5%

6%

17%

5%

12%

8%

10%

10%

11%

10%

7%

6%

10%

13%

15%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

H1b: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican, and Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump

46%

47%

91%

3%

37%

31%

100%

0%

0%

90%

5%

25%

51%

41%

36%

51%

51%

45%

33%

49%

51%

45%

49%

21%

24%

20%

54%

27%

52%

26%

45%

13%

17%

13%

-

46%

-

-

47%

42%

11%

34%

83%

43%

49%

46%

39%

52%

51%

43%

60%

41%

34%

46%

Kamala Harris

47%

49%

7%

93%

50%

24%

0%

100%

0%

6%

93%

38%

44%

50%

50%

43%

44%

50%

54%

42%

44%

50%

45%

70%

55%

50%

43%

64%

40%

43%

47%

79%

59%

57%

-

47%

-

-

44%

52%

87%

53%

12%

50%

44%

48%

52%

40%

44%

50%

38%

52%

54%

42%

Don’t Know / Unsure

7%

4%

3%

4%

13%

45%

0%

0%

100%

4%

3%

37%

5%

10%

14%

6%

5%

5%

13%

9%

6%

5%

6%

9%

20%

30%

4%

9%

8%

30%

8%

8%

24%

30%

-

7%

-

-

8%

6%

1%

13%

5%

8%

7%

6%

9%

7%

6%

7%

2%

7%

11%

12%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

H1bL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump

48%

55%

76%

9%

54%

44%

-

-

48%

82%

22%

42%

50%

46%

46%

43%

50%

54%

47%

43%

50%

54%

53%

49%

21%

45%

52%

54%

0%

49%

53%

41%

23%

41%

-

48%

-

-

44%

56%

0%

47%

59%

40%

53%

59%

41%

39%

57%

35%

77%

61%

45%

35%

Kamala Harris

52%

45%

24%

91%

46%

56%

-

-

52%

18%

78%

58%

50%

54%

54%

57%

50%

46%

53%

57%

50%

46%

47%

51%

79%

55%

48%

46%

100%

51%

47%

59%

77%

59%

-

52%

-

-

56%

44%

100%

53%

41%

60%

47%

41%

59%

61%

43%

65%

23%

39%

55%

65%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

102

53

18

24

40

20

0

0

102

20

18

19

33

69

38

28

20

16

19

39

28

16

71

9

11

11

22

4

1

6

49

5

10

5

0

102

0

0

68

34

7

67

28

49

50

35

38

29

13

17

3

22

21

26

H1bM: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican, and Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump+leaners

49.2%

49.4%

92.8%

3.0%

44.1%

50.8%

100.0%

0.0%

47.5%

93.0%

5.4%

40.5%

53.3%

45.2%

42.3%

53.3%

53.6%

47.6%

39.2%

52.5%

53.5%

47.6%

52.3%

25.6%

28.8%

33.6%

55.4%

32.0%

51.8%

41.0%

49.3%

16.4%

22.7%

25.0%

-

49.2%

-

-

51.0%

45.6%

11.4%

39.7%

85.5%

45.6%

52.3%

49.5%

42.6%

55.0%

53.8%

45.4%

61.5%

45.3%

39.3%

49.9%

Kamala Harris+leaners

50.8%

50.6%

7.2%

97.0%

55.9%

49.2%

0.0%

100.0%

52.5%

7.0%

94.6%

59.5%

46.7%

54.8%

57.7%

46.7%

46.4%

52.4%

60.8%

47.5%

46.5%

52.4%

47.7%

74.4%

71.2%

66.4%

44.6%

68.0%

48.2%

59.0%

50.7%

83.6%

77.3%

75.0%

-

50.8%

-

-

49.0%

54.4%

88.6%

60.3%

14.5%

54.4%

47.7%

50.5%

57.4%

45.0%

46.2%

54.6%

38.5%

54.7%

60.7%

50.1%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

QH1DJT: Would you say your choice is more of a vote…

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

For Donald Trump

75%

76%

81%

72%

62%

52%

78%

-

40%

78%

57%

12%

77%

72%

77%

77%

74%

73%

78%

81%

71%

73%

75%

77%

81%

73%

77%

76%

100%

91%

73%

79%

70%

38%

-

75%

-

-

79%

68%

84%

64%

80%

82%

70%

74%

74%

78%

76%

76%

82%

72%

71%

73%

Against Kamala Harris

25%

24%

19%

28%

38%

48%

22%

-

60%

22%

43%

88%

23%

28%

23%

23%

26%

27%

22%

19%

29%

27%

25%

23%

19%

27%

23%

24%

0%

9%

27%

21%

30%

62%

-

25%

-

-

21%

32%

16%

36%

20%

18%

30%

26%

26%

22%

24%

24%

18%

28%

29%

27%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

798

712

600

21

155

22

752

0

46

592

32

19

368

430

126

263

228

181

62

248

307

181

742

24

16

16

337

16

5

10

405

8

11

6

0

798

0

0

507

291

51

251

496

369

418

353

193

252

163

99

106

190

94

146

QH1KH: Would you say your choice is more of a vote…

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

For Kamala Harris

65%

65%

38%

73%

51%

75%

-

66%

53%

49%

67%

40%

63%

66%

72%

62%

61%

62%

70%

68%

61%

62%

62%

91%

74%

57%

60%

94%

85%

54%

64%

87%

72%

60%

-

65%

-

-

68%

59%

70%

63%

51%

70%

60%

60%

73%

62%

54%

73%

65%

65%

74%

60%

Against Donald Trump

35%

35%

62%

27%

49%

25%

-

34%

47%

51%

33%

60%

37%

34%

28%

38%

39%

38%

30%

32%

39%

38%

38%

9%

26%

43%

40%

6%

15%

46%

36%

13%

28%

40%

-

35%

-

-

32%

41%

30%

37%

49%

30%

40%

40%

27%

38%

46%

27%

35%

35%

26%

40%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

929

837

43

671

194

21

0

873

56

40

713

35

368

561

186

271

239

233

106

275

315

233

753

98

45

33

304

45

6

13

449

53

39

20

0

929

0

0

526

403

429

405

95

485

431

383

317

229

147

149

72

236

168

157

LW1: Regardless of who you support, if you had to pick, who do you think is more likely to win in the presidential election in November, Kamala Harris or Donald Trump?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Kamala Harris

52%

51%

15%

88%

58%

57%

10%

90%

61%

16%

88%

66%

48%

55%

53%

45%

49%

58%

56%

46%

49%

58%

49%

68%

64%

70%

46%

66%

42%

68%

52%

71%

70%

73%

-

52%

-

-

49%

57%

82%

59%

23%

54%

49%

51%

56%

47%

48%

52%

43%

55%

61%

51%

Donald Trump

48%

49%

85%

12%

42%

43%

90%

10%

39%

84%

12%

34%

52%

45%

47%

55%

51%

42%

44%

54%

51%

42%

51%

32%

36%

30%

54%

34%

58%

32%

48%

29%

30%

27%

-

48%

-

-

51%

43%

18%

41%

77%

46%

51%

49%

44%

53%

52%

48%

57%

45%

39%

49%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

H2b: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate

45%

47%

90%

3%

36%

33%

97%

1%

9%

89%

5%

23%

50%

41%

36%

50%

50%

45%

34%

48%

50%

45%

49%

22%

24%

17%

53%

24%

52%

22%

45%

18%

17%

13%

-

45%

-

-

47%

41%

11%

33%

83%

43%

48%

46%

38%

51%

51%

41%

58%

42%

33%

46%

Kamala Harris, running as the Democratic party candidate

45%

47%

6%

94%

45%

22%

1%

94%

13%

6%

90%

38%

42%

49%

47%

43%

42%

50%

49%

42%

42%

50%

43%

63%

60%

46%

41%

53%

40%

39%

46%

78%

66%

53%

-

45%

-

-

42%

52%

86%

51%

12%

46%

45%

46%

51%

39%

42%

47%

37%

49%

57%

41%

Cornel West, running as an independent candidate

2%

2%

1%

0%

4%

5%

1%

1%

9%

2%

1%

16%

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

1%

3%

2%

2%

1%

1%

8%

0%

8%

1%

13%

0%

4%

2%

1%

0%

12%

-

2%

-

-

2%

1%

0%

3%

1%

2%

2%

1%

3%

1%

1%

3%

1%

2%

2%

2%

Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate

1%

1%

1%

1%

3%

1%

0%

2%

4%

0%

2%

8%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

3%

0%

1%

1%

1%

2%

0%

5%

0%

3%

0%

5%

2%

0%

0%

6%

-

1%

-

-

1%

1%

2%

2%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

Don't Know / Unsure

6%

3%

2%

3%

12%

39%

1%

2%

65%

3%

2%

15%

6%

7%

12%

5%

5%

3%

11%

7%

5%

3%

5%

5%

15%

24%

4%

7%

8%

30%

6%

3%

17%

16%

-

6%

-

-

7%

4%

1%

11%

4%

8%

4%

5%

7%

7%

6%

7%

3%

5%

7%

10%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

H2bL: Between the four choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate

40%

57%

63%

0%

52%

22%

100%

0%

44%

73%

7%

62%

41%

39%

37%

33%

48%

48%

40%

28%

50%

48%

39%

14%

29%

58%

40%

0%

0%

63%

38%

54%

33%

48%

-

40%

-

-

35%

56%

0%

37%

56%

31%

54%

52%

45%

19%

55%

27%

38%

49%

66%

14%

Kamala Harris, running as the Democratic party candidate

42%

21%

8%

86%

34%

55%

0%

85%

36%

6%

71%

18%

41%

43%

51%

41%

32%

27%

54%

47%

29%

27%

39%

46%

60%

42%

37%

63%

100%

37%

41%

0%

55%

52%

-

42%

-

-

47%

28%

100%

45%

22%

52%

28%

42%

35%

49%

35%

46%

42%

51%

22%

51%

Cornel West, running as an independent candidate

14%

18%

29%

14%

8%

19%

0%

15%

14%

12%

22%

20%

14%

13%

8%

26%

13%

17%

0%

25%

15%

17%

15%

40%

11%

0%

16%

38%

0%

0%

14%

46%

13%

0%

-

14%

-

-

13%

16%

0%

12%

22%

12%

14%

0%

20%

23%

0%

27%

20%

0%

12%

24%

Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate

5%

4%

0%

0%

7%

5%

0%

0%

6%

8%

0%

0%

4%

5%

4%

0%

8%

8%

6%

0%

6%

8%

7%

0%

0%

0%

7%

0%

0%

0%

7%

0%

0%

0%

-

5%

-

-

6%

0%

0%

6%

0%

5%

4%

5%

0%

9%

10%

0%

0%

0%

0%

11%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

84

37

13

16

38

17

6

16

62

17

12

8

35

49

30

23

19

12

15

32

25

12

64

4

7

9

26

2

1

6

38

2

6

3

0

84

0

0

59

25

5

58

21

49

32

25

32

27

12

18

5

13

14

22

H2bM: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump+leaners

48%

48%

92%

3%

42%

41%

98%

1%

37%

91%

5%

32%

52%

43%

41%

52%

53%

46%

39%

50%

52%

46%

51%

22%

29%

31%

55%

24%

52%

41%

47%

19%

23%

20%

-

48%

-

-

50%

44%

11%

37%

85%

46%

50%

49%

41%

53%

54%

44%

60%

44%

38%

47%

Kamala Harris+leaners

48%

48%

6%

96%

49%

44%

1%

96%

37%

7%

91%

41%

44%

52%

53%

45%

44%

51%

55%

46%

44%

51%

45%

66%

69%

55%

43%

57%

48%

51%

48%

78%

75%

61%

-

48%

-

-

45%

53%

87%

55%

13%

50%

46%

48%

54%

43%

44%

50%

38%

52%

58%

46%

Cornel West+leaners

3%

2%

1%

1%

5%

12%

1%

2%

18%

2%

1%

19%

2%

3%

4%

3%

2%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

2%

10%

2%

8%

1%

16%

0%

4%

3%

2%

2%

12%

-

3%

-

-

3%

2%

0%

5%

2%

3%

3%

1%

4%

3%

1%

5%

1%

2%

3%

4%

Jill Stein+leaners

2%

1%

1%

1%

4%

3%

0%

2%

8%

0%

2%

8%

1%

2%

3%

1%

1%

1%

4%

0%

2%

1%

1%

2%

0%

5%

1%

3%

0%

5%

2%

0%

0%

6%

-

2%

-

-

2%

1%

2%

3%

0%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

3%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

HORSE0501: Have you made up your mind on who you will vote for in the 2024 presidential election or are you still weighing the choices?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Have made up my mind

87%

91%

92%

92%

78%

54%

91%

93%

22%

91%

92%

63%

87%

87%

78%

85%

89%

96%

80%

80%

88%

96%

89%

81%

69%

73%

88%

77%

69%

76%

89%

87%

69%

69%

-

87%

-

-

86%

88%

95%

78%

92%

86%

88%

89%

82%

87%

88%

81%

91%

90%

85%

84%

Still weighing the choices

13%

9%

8%

8%

22%

46%

9%

7%

78%

9%

8%

37%

13%

13%

22%

15%

11%

4%

20%

20%

12%

4%

11%

19%

31%

27%

12%

23%

31%

24%

11%

13%

31%

31%

-

13%

-

-

14%

12%

5%

22%

8%

14%

12%

11%

18%

13%

12%

19%

9%

10%

15%

16%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

S1bWI: If the 2024 election for senate in Wisconsin were held today and it was between Eric Hovde, the Republican, and Tammy Baldwin, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Eric Hovde

43%

45%

85%

3%

35%

16%

84%

5%

24%

84%

6%

39%

47%

38%

31%

43%

49%

47%

28%

40%

49%

47%

46%

9%

28%

32%

50%

11%

52%

46%

42%

5%

21%

16%

-

43%

-

-

43%

42%

8%

31%

79%

38%

47%

43%

35%

49%

48%

38%

58%

39%

30%

42%

Tammy Baldwin

45%

47%

9%

90%

45%

23%

8%

86%

18%

10%

88%

29%

42%

49%

46%

43%

43%

50%

49%

41%

43%

50%

44%

66%

46%

43%

41%

65%

30%

34%

47%

67%

50%

54%

-

45%

-

-

43%

50%

89%

48%

13%

47%

44%

47%

49%

40%

43%

46%

36%

50%

53%

42%

Don't know/Unsure

12%

8%

5%

7%

20%

61%

8%

8%

58%

6%

5%

31%

11%

13%

23%

14%

8%

3%

23%

18%

8%

3%

10%

26%

26%

24%

9%

24%

18%

19%

11%

27%

29%

30%

-

12%

-

-

14%

8%

4%

21%

7%

15%

10%

10%

16%

11%

9%

16%

7%

11%

16%

15%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

WI1bL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Eric Hovde

42%

41%

63%

34%

40%

38%

65%

20%

43%

71%

34%

22%

39%

45%

33%

54%

41%

65%

28%

51%

42%

65%

47%

23%

34%

36%

46%

22%

0%

19%

48%

23%

40%

48%

-

42%

-

-

42%

44%

50%

38%

55%

41%

44%

38%

45%

44%

41%

37%

41%

35%

55%

45%

Tammy Baldwin

58%

59%

37%

66%

60%

62%

35%

80%

57%

29%

66%

78%

61%

55%

67%

46%

59%

35%

72%

49%

58%

35%

53%

77%

66%

64%

54%

78%

100%

81%

52%

77%

60%

52%

-

58%

-

-

58%

56%

50%

62%

45%

59%

56%

62%

55%

56%

59%

63%

59%

65%

45%

55%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

175

102

38

44

67

26

59

60

56

40

33

17

65

110

65

67

30

13

35

86

41

13

129

22

14

10

49

10

2

4

80

12

12

6

0

175

0

0

129

46

14

119

42

102

71

58

67

50

25

31

9

33

36

41

S1bWIM: If the 2024 election for senate in Wisconsin were held today and it was between Eric Hovde, the Republican, and Tammy Baldwin, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Eric Hovde + Learners

48%

49%

89%

5%

43%

39%

89%

7%

49%

88%

8%

46%

51%

44%

39%

50%

52%

49%

35%

50%

52%

49%

50%

15%

36%

41%

54%

17%

52%

50%

47%

12%

32%

31%

-

48%

-

-

49%

45%

9%

39%

83%

44%

51%

47%

42%

54%

51%

44%

60%

43%

39%

49%

Tammy Baldwin + Learners

52%

51%

11%

95%

57%

61%

11%

93%

51%

12%

92%

54%

49%

56%

61%

50%

48%

51%

65%

50%

48%

51%

50%

85%

64%

59%

46%

83%

48%

50%

53%

88%

68%

69%

-

52%

-

-

51%

55%

91%

61%

17%

56%

49%

53%

58%

46%

49%

56%

40%

57%

61%

51%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

QVOTEFACTOR: What factor was most important when casting your vote?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Candidate's position on issues

82%

83%

86%

81%

79%

81%

88%

79%

72%

89%

81%

82%

80%

84%

76%

82%

88%

84%

77%

78%

88%

84%

84%

84%

68%

67%

82%

80%

58%

64%

86%

90%

70%

70%

-

82%

-

-

82%

83%

82%

76%

90%

84%

81%

84%

78%

84%

82%

75%

82%

86%

80%

86%

Candidate's personal qualities

18%

17%

14%

19%

21%

19%

12%

21%

28%

11%

19%

18%

20%

16%

24%

18%

12%

16%

23%

22%

12%

16%

16%

16%

32%

33%

18%

20%

42%

36%

14%

10%

30%

30%

-

18%

-

-

18%

17%

18%

24%

10%

16%

19%

16%

22%

16%

18%

25%

18%

14%

20%

14%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

TQ6: Do you think the country is generally on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Right track

27%

29%

14%

50%

20%

3%

11%

46%

7%

9%

50%

11%

31%

23%

21%

30%

21%

35%

18%

32%

22%

35%

27%

28%

19%

19%

32%

27%

7%

23%

23%

29%

22%

14%

-

27%

-

-

21%

38%

51%

27%

11%

23%

30%

22%

39%

22%

24%

44%

29%

20%

33%

17%

Wrong track

61%

61%

82%

33%

65%

61%

87%

37%

58%

88%

36%

64%

59%

63%

59%

58%

69%

58%

61%

55%

69%

58%

62%

58%

57%

51%

60%

56%

73%

45%

64%

61%

53%

57%

-

61%

-

-

66%

53%

32%

56%

87%

62%

61%

67%

48%

65%

65%

45%

66%

68%

52%

65%

Unsure/Don't know

12%

11%

3%

17%

15%

36%

3%

17%

35%

3%

14%

24%

10%

14%

20%

11%

10%

7%

21%

13%

10%

7%

10%

14%

24%

30%

8%

16%

20%

32%

13%

10%

25%

28%

-

12%

-

-

13%

10%

17%

17%

3%

15%

9%

11%

13%

12%

11%

12%

5%

11%

15%

18%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

M2: In general, do you think the American economy is on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Right track

30%

33%

16%

55%

23%

6%

11%

52%

9%

10%

57%

24%

37%

24%

23%

32%

25%

41%

21%

32%

26%

41%

31%

24%

23%

19%

38%

28%

34%

23%

25%

20%

20%

14%

-

30%

-

-

23%

44%

60%

29%

12%

26%

34%

28%

40%

25%

32%

48%

32%

23%

32%

19%

Wrong track

61%

60%

81%

34%

65%

65%

87%

36%

64%

87%

33%

61%

56%

66%

63%

61%

68%

54%

63%

59%

67%

54%

62%

58%

61%

53%

57%

55%

45%

49%

66%

63%

66%

57%

-

61%

-

-

67%

49%

30%

59%

85%

64%

60%

64%

49%

68%

60%

44%

65%

68%

55%

71%

Don't know/Unsure

9%

8%

2%

11%

11%

29%

2%

12%

28%

2%

11%

15%

7%

10%

14%

8%

7%

5%

16%

9%

7%

5%

7%

17%

15%

28%

5%

17%

20%

28%

9%

17%

14%

28%

-

9%

-

-

10%

6%

10%

13%

3%

10%

6%

8%

10%

7%

8%

9%

3%

8%

13%

11%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

TQ1: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President of the United States?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

39%

41%

10%

79%

35%

9%

7%

74%

10%

8%

77%

35%

39%

39%

37%

38%

35%

45%

36%

39%

36%

45%

37%

52%

48%

40%

38%

46%

44%

47%

37%

61%

49%

31%

-

39%

-

-

34%

48%

76%

40%

11%

39%

39%

37%

47%

33%

36%

50%

32%

39%

44%

34%

Strongly approve

14%

15%

2%

34%

9%

3%

2%

28%

3%

2%

32%

3%

14%

14%

12%

13%

12%

21%

10%

13%

12%

21%

13%

23%

22%

17%

13%

25%

9%

19%

13%

20%

25%

15%

-

14%

-

-

13%

17%

35%

12%

3%

14%

14%

12%

20%

12%

11%

21%

11%

13%

20%

13%

Somewhat approve

24%

26%

8%

45%

26%

6%

5%

46%

8%

6%

44%

32%

25%

24%

25%

26%

23%

24%

26%

26%

23%

24%

24%

30%

26%

22%

25%

22%

35%

28%

24%

41%

24%

16%

-

24%

-

-

21%

31%

41%

29%

8%

24%

25%

25%

27%

21%

25%

29%

21%

26%

24%

21%

Somewhat disapprove

17%

15%

14%

14%

23%

13%

14%

18%

26%

11%

17%

17%

15%

19%

25%

17%

13%

11%

27%

19%

14%

11%

16%

18%

18%

18%

14%

21%

8%

9%

18%

13%

20%

28%

-

17%

-

-

17%

17%

15%

21%

12%

15%

19%

17%

17%

15%

15%

15%

13%

19%

19%

17%

Strongly disapprove

41%

42%

75%

4%

38%

45%

79%

5%

38%

80%

5%

42%

45%

37%

29%

42%

50%

43%

27%

39%

49%

43%

44%

19%

30%

30%

47%

25%

48%

37%

40%

10%

25%

22%

-

41%

-

-

44%

35%

8%

31%

75%

41%

41%

42%

32%

48%

47%

33%

55%

37%

31%

42%

NET DISAPPROVE

58%

57%

90%

19%

60%

58%

92%

23%

64%

91%

22%

59%

60%

56%

54%

60%

64%

55%

53%

58%

63%

55%

60%

37%

47%

48%

61%

47%

56%

46%

59%

23%

45%

49%

-

58%

-

-

61%

52%

23%

52%

88%

56%

60%

60%

49%

63%

62%

48%

68%

57%

50%

60%

Unsure/Don't know

3%

2%

0%

3%

5%

32%

0%

3%

26%

1%

1%

6%

2%

5%

10%

2%

2%

1%

11%

4%

2%

1%

3%

10%

5%

13%

1%

7%

0%

7%

4%

15%

6%

20%

-

3%

-

-

5%

1%

1%

7%

1%

5%

1%

3%

4%

4%

2%

2%

0%

4%

5%

7%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

TQVP: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kamala Harris is doing as Vice President of the United States?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

43%

45%

11%

87%

39%

16%

7%

83%

14%

10%

83%

33%

42%

44%

43%

45%

38%

46%

41%

47%

40%

46%

42%

60%

50%

40%

41%

55%

38%

43%

43%

67%

54%

36%

-

43%

-

-

38%

53%

85%

47%

12%

43%

44%

42%

52%

36%

40%

54%

33%

44%

51%

39%

Strongly approve

22%

24%

5%

49%

15%

5%

2%

44%

2%

2%

49%

10%

22%

22%

17%

19%

21%

30%

17%

19%

20%

30%

21%

32%

26%

19%

21%

32%

32%

17%

21%

33%

24%

22%

-

22%

-

-

20%

26%

49%

20%

5%

22%

22%

21%

28%

17%

21%

27%

16%

21%

29%

17%

Somewhat approve

21%

21%

7%

37%

24%

11%

5%

39%

12%

7%

35%

23%

20%

22%

26%

26%

18%

16%

24%

27%

20%

16%

21%

28%

25%

21%

20%

24%

6%

27%

22%

33%

30%

13%

-

21%

-

-

19%

27%

36%

26%

6%

21%

22%

21%

24%

20%

18%

26%

17%

23%

22%

22%

Somewhat disapprove

12%

10%

13%

6%

16%

16%

13%

8%

27%

11%

9%

18%

10%

13%

15%

12%

11%

8%

15%

14%

11%

8%

11%

10%

12%

19%

10%

9%

15%

21%

13%

10%

11%

17%

-

12%

-

-

12%

12%

7%

15%

11%

11%

12%

11%

11%

13%

10%

9%

13%

13%

13%

13%

Strongly disapprove

40%

41%

75%

3%

35%

33%

79%

3%

28%

79%

4%

38%

44%

35%

29%

38%

48%

44%

29%

34%

47%

44%

43%

22%

21%

20%

47%

25%

39%

25%

39%

17%

16%

14%

-

40%

-

-

43%

33%

5%

28%

76%

38%

41%

41%

30%

46%

47%

34%

52%

36%

26%

41%

NET DISAPPROVE

51%

51%

88%

9%

51%

49%

92%

11%

55%

90%

13%

57%

55%

48%

45%

50%

59%

52%

44%

48%

57%

52%

54%

32%

33%

39%

56%

35%

54%

46%

52%

27%

27%

31%

-

51%

-

-

55%

45%

12%

44%

87%

50%

53%

53%

41%

59%

56%

43%

66%

49%

39%

54%

Unsure/Don't know

5%

4%

1%

4%

9%

35%

1%

6%

32%

1%

4%

10%

3%

8%

12%

5%

3%

2%

15%

5%

3%

2%

4%

9%

17%

21%

2%

10%

8%

10%

6%

7%

19%

33%

-

5%

-

-

7%

2%

3%

10%

2%

8%

3%

5%

7%

4%

4%

4%

1%

7%

10%

7%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

TQGov: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Evers is doing as Governor of Wisconsin?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

TOP 2 BOX

47%

50%

20%

81%

48%

15%

19%

79%

22%

17%

83%

51%

46%

48%

44%

50%

44%

51%

41%

51%

45%

51%

47%

53%

48%

50%

46%

61%

42%

45%

48%

41%

49%

55%

-

47%

-

-

43%

56%

83%

51%

20%

48%

47%

46%

55%

42%

45%

56%

38%

47%

54%

45%

Strongly approve

22%

24%

4%

47%

18%

4%

3%

43%

2%

3%

49%

11%

23%

21%

14%

19%

21%

32%

11%

20%

21%

32%

22%

23%

13%

22%

22%

32%

11%

18%

22%

9%

13%

27%

-

22%

-

-

18%

28%

52%

18%

5%

23%

21%

20%

27%

18%

21%

28%

19%

20%

26%

18%

Somewhat approve

26%

26%

16%

34%

30%

12%

15%

37%

20%

14%

34%

40%

24%

27%

30%

31%

23%

19%

30%

32%

24%

19%

25%

30%

35%

28%

23%

28%

31%

27%

26%

32%

36%

28%

-

26%

-

-

24%

28%

31%

32%

14%

24%

27%

26%

28%

24%

24%

29%

19%

28%

27%

27%

Somewhat disapprove

17%

17%

26%

7%

17%

18%

25%

8%

23%

25%

7%

31%

19%

15%

16%

19%

19%

15%

14%

19%

19%

15%

17%

13%

22%

13%

19%

12%

50%

18%

16%

15%

14%

8%

-

17%

-

-

17%

18%

7%

18%

23%

15%

20%

17%

15%

19%

18%

16%

24%

16%

13%

16%

Strongly disapprove

26%

27%

48%

4%

23%

13%

49%

5%

21%

54%

5%

15%

28%

24%

16%

23%

33%

32%

17%

20%

31%

32%

28%

16%

8%

16%

30%

12%

0%

22%

26%

22%

11%

8%

-

26%

-

-

28%

22%

3%

17%

52%

25%

27%

29%

18%

30%

31%

18%

34%

27%

18%

26%

BOTTOM 2 BOX

43%

44%

74%

11%

40%

31%

74%

13%

44%

78%

11%

46%

47%

39%

32%

42%

52%

47%

31%

39%

50%

47%

45%

29%

30%

29%

49%

24%

50%

40%

42%

37%

25%

16%

-

43%

-

-

45%

40%

10%

35%

75%

40%

46%

46%

33%

49%

49%

34%

58%

43%

31%

42%

Unsure/Don't know

10%

6%

6%

7%

12%

54%

7%

8%

34%

4%

5%

3%

7%

12%

23%

9%

4%

2%

28%

10%

5%

2%

8%

18%

22%

21%

6%

15%

8%

14%

10%

22%

26%

29%

-

10%

-

-

13%

4%

7%

15%

5%

13%

6%

8%

12%

9%

6%

9%

4%

10%

15%

13%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

TQCong: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is doing its job?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

25%

25%

24%

33%

18%

0%

23%

28%

11%

22%

29%

24%

24%

25%

29%

28%

22%

21%

28%

31%

20%

21%

24%

40%

34%

18%

23%

36%

37%

24%

24%

45%

33%

11%

-

25%

-

-

24%

26%

31%

21%

24%

25%

25%

22%

35%

19%

21%

36%

16%

23%

34%

21%

Strongly approve

4%

4%

5%

7%

1%

0%

3%

5%

5%

3%

5%

7%

5%

4%

6%

8%

2%

2%

6%

9%

2%

2%

4%

8%

15%

0%

4%

9%

12%

0%

3%

7%

16%

0%

-

4%

-

-

4%

6%

7%

3%

4%

4%

5%

2%

10%

2%

2%

12%

1%

3%

8%

3%

Somewhat approve

20%

21%

20%

26%

17%

0%

20%

23%

6%

18%

23%

18%

19%

21%

23%

20%

20%

19%

23%

22%

18%

19%

20%

32%

18%

18%

18%

28%

24%

24%

21%

38%

17%

11%

-

20%

-

-

20%

20%

24%

18%

20%

21%

20%

19%

25%

17%

19%

24%

15%

20%

26%

18%

Somewhat disapprove

38%

40%

43%

37%

35%

28%

43%

37%

20%

42%

38%

40%

40%

37%

31%

36%

38%

48%

29%

34%

39%

48%

40%

24%

27%

37%

41%

31%

30%

30%

38%

15%

26%

44%

-

38%

-

-

38%

40%

39%

36%

41%

37%

40%

39%

32%

43%

38%

34%

50%

40%

30%

38%

Strongly disapprove

24%

25%

23%

18%

32%

22%

25%

23%

24%

26%

24%

29%

29%

19%

17%

24%

29%

26%

17%

21%

29%

26%

25%

16%

19%

21%

30%

17%

25%

24%

20%

14%

17%

16%

-

24%

-

-

22%

28%

22%

24%

25%

23%

25%

26%

20%

24%

32%

23%

30%

20%

18%

19%

NET DISAPPROVE

62%

64%

66%

55%

67%

50%

67%

60%

44%

69%

62%

69%

69%

56%

48%

60%

67%

74%

46%

55%

68%

74%

65%

40%

45%

57%

71%

48%

55%

55%

58%

29%

43%

61%

-

62%

-

-

59%

67%

61%

60%

66%

59%

65%

65%

53%

67%

70%

57%

80%

60%

48%

57%

Unsure/Don't know

13%

10%

10%

12%

15%

50%

10%

12%

45%

9%

9%

6%

7%

19%

23%

13%

11%

5%

26%

14%

12%

5%

12%

20%

21%

25%

6%

16%

8%

21%

17%

26%

24%

29%

-

13%

-

-

17%

6%

9%

19%

10%

16%

10%

13%

12%

14%

10%

7%

4%

17%

18%

22%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

TQRep: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republican Party is handling its job?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

39%

39%

72%

12%

29%

10%

70%

11%

16%

67%

11%

28%

41%

36%

40%

42%

39%

33%

38%

44%

40%

33%

40%

30%

36%

26%

42%

28%

52%

37%

38%

33%

32%

13%

-

39%

-

-

42%

33%

12%

29%

67%

39%

39%

37%

38%

41%

39%

40%

44%

36%

34%

39%

Strongly approve

12%

12%

23%

5%

5%

1%

21%

4%

3%

19%

3%

5%

12%

11%

14%

15%

9%

9%

12%

18%

9%

9%

12%

11%

14%

3%

12%

7%

21%

3%

11%

17%

12%

3%

-

12%

-

-

12%

11%

5%

9%

19%

12%

12%

10%

15%

11%

8%

19%

10%

11%

11%

12%

Somewhat approve

27%

27%

49%

7%

23%

9%

49%

8%

13%

48%

8%

23%

29%

25%

26%

28%

30%

24%

26%

26%

31%

24%

28%

19%

23%

22%

29%

21%

31%

34%

26%

16%

20%

9%

-

27%

-

-

30%

22%

7%

21%

48%

27%

27%

28%

22%

30%

31%

22%

34%

24%

23%

27%

Somewhat disapprove

22%

23%

19%

23%

27%

12%

21%

23%

24%

23%

21%

29%

24%

20%

21%

22%

22%

24%

22%

22%

21%

24%

22%

25%

14%

22%

24%

32%

12%

17%

21%

14%

15%

28%

-

22%

-

-

21%

25%

24%

23%

20%

20%

24%

24%

21%

21%

25%

24%

22%

22%

17%

20%

Strongly disapprove

32%

34%

7%

60%

35%

26%

5%

60%

24%

7%

64%

35%

31%

33%

25%

28%

34%

42%

24%

27%

33%

42%

32%

32%

36%

26%

32%

29%

28%

24%

33%

37%

38%

29%

-

32%

-

-

29%

39%

60%

35%

11%

31%

33%

33%

32%

31%

33%

31%

30%

34%

34%

31%

NET DISAPPROVE

54%

56%

25%

84%

62%

38%

26%

83%

48%

30%

85%

65%

56%

53%

46%

50%

56%

66%

47%

49%

55%

66%

55%

57%

50%

49%

56%

61%

40%

41%

53%

51%

53%

57%

-

54%

-

-

50%

64%

84%

58%

30%

51%

57%

57%

53%

52%

58%

55%

52%

56%

52%

51%

Unsure/Don't know

7%

5%

3%

5%

9%

52%

4%

6%

36%

3%

4%

7%

4%

10%

14%

8%

5%

2%

16%

8%

6%

2%

5%

13%

14%

26%

2%

11%

8%

22%

9%

16%

15%

30%

-

7%

-

-

9%

4%

4%

13%

3%

10%

4%

6%

9%

7%

3%

5%

3%

9%

14%

10%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

TQDem: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democratic Party is handling its job?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

NET APPROVE

38%

41%

11%

81%

30%

6%

9%

72%

9%

9%

75%

28%

37%

39%

40%

40%

33%

41%

37%

43%

33%

41%

37%

56%

44%

32%

37%

52%

47%

28%

38%

62%

44%

37%

-

38%

-

-

35%

46%

78%

39%

12%

39%

38%

36%

50%

31%

34%

50%

28%

38%

50%

34%

Strongly approve

13%

14%

3%

35%

4%

0%

3%

26%

2%

2%

29%

9%

14%

13%

11%

14%

11%

18%

9%

16%

10%

18%

13%

24%

16%

7%

13%

24%

11%

8%

13%

23%

17%

5%

-

13%

-

-

12%

16%

35%

10%

4%

14%

13%

10%

21%

11%

10%

21%

12%

10%

21%

11%

Somewhat approve

25%

26%

8%

46%

26%

6%

6%

47%

7%

7%

46%

19%

24%

26%

29%

26%

22%

23%

28%

27%

23%

23%

24%

32%

29%

26%

23%

28%

36%

20%

25%

39%

26%

32%

-

25%

-

-

23%

29%

43%

29%

8%

24%

26%

26%

28%

20%

25%

28%

17%

28%

28%

23%

Somewhat disapprove

20%

20%

22%

13%

27%

13%

23%

17%

21%

20%

17%

27%

18%

21%

22%

22%

19%

16%

23%

21%

20%

16%

20%

19%

18%

20%

19%

18%

8%

19%

21%

19%

20%

22%

-

20%

-

-

20%

20%

15%

23%

19%

19%

21%

21%

17%

21%

19%

17%

20%

22%

18%

22%

Strongly disapprove

35%

36%

64%

3%

32%

37%

65%

5%

33%

69%

6%

37%

40%

30%

24%

32%

43%

41%

23%

28%

42%

41%

37%

14%

24%

25%

42%

19%

37%

31%

32%

6%

21%

18%

-

35%

-

-

37%

31%

5%

25%

67%

32%

38%

38%

25%

40%

43%

28%

50%

33%

21%

32%

NET DISAPPROVE

55%

55%

85%

16%

59%

50%

88%

23%

55%

89%

22%

64%

59%

51%

47%

54%

62%

57%

47%

50%

62%

57%

57%

32%

42%

45%

61%

37%

45%

50%

53%

25%

41%

40%

-

55%

-

-

57%

51%

20%

48%

86%

51%

58%

58%

42%

61%

62%

45%

70%

55%

39%

54%

Unsure/Don't know

7%

4%

3%

3%

11%

43%

3%

5%

36%

3%

3%

8%

4%

10%

14%

7%

5%

2%

16%

7%

5%

2%

5%

12%

14%

22%

2%

11%

8%

22%

9%

12%

15%

23%

-

7%

-

-

9%

3%

2%

13%

2%

10%

4%

5%

8%

7%

4%

6%

2%

7%

12%

12%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

TQ3: If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Republican from your district or the Democrat from your district?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Republican

44%

46%

92%

2%

33%

18%

90%

4%

18%

88%

6%

33%

50%

39%

34%

48%

49%

46%

30%

47%

49%

46%

48%

16%

26%

27%

53%

18%

45%

37%

43%

12%

21%

16%

-

44%

-

-

45%

42%

10%

30%

84%

40%

48%

46%

35%

50%

51%

40%

59%

41%

31%

43%

Democrat

43%

45%

5%

93%

39%

15%

3%

86%

15%

7%

86%

35%

41%

44%

46%

41%

37%

47%

47%

42%

38%

47%

41%

64%

52%

42%

40%

60%

46%

32%

42%

70%

53%

53%

-

43%

-

-

39%

51%

86%

45%

11%

44%

42%

42%

52%

35%

38%

53%

33%

45%

52%

36%

Would not vote

3%

1%

1%

0%

7%

29%

1%

3%

22%

1%

1%

5%

2%

4%

7%

2%

3%

1%

8%

3%

3%

1%

2%

8%

9%

12%

1%

7%

0%

13%

3%

10%

11%

12%

-

3%

-

-

4%

2%

0%

7%

1%

5%

2%

2%

4%

4%

1%

2%

3%

3%

6%

5%

Other/Unsure/Don't know

10%

8%

3%

4%

21%

38%

6%

7%

46%

5%

7%

26%

7%

12%

13%

9%

10%

6%

15%

9%

10%

6%

9%

13%

13%

18%

6%

16%

8%

18%

12%

9%

14%

18%

-

10%

-

-

12%

5%

4%

18%

4%

11%

8%

10%

8%

11%

9%

5%

4%

10%

12%

16%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

ISSUE1: What single issue is/ was the most important one in determining how you voted in this election? Please look at the full list before answering.

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Price increases/ inflation

17%

17%

24%

11%

16%

15%

25%

10%

11%

25%

10%

8%

16%

18%

13%

21%

22%

12%

14%

19%

21%

12%

18%

15%

15%

10%

17%

12%

8%

6%

18%

20%

17%

13%

-

17%

-

-

19%

14%

10%

17%

22%

19%

16%

19%

13%

19%

18%

11%

19%

20%

14%

18%

Economy and jobs

15%

16%

21%

11%

14%

17%

21%

9%

20%

21%

10%

8%

16%

15%

16%

18%

16%

12%

14%

19%

17%

12%

15%

17%

22%

13%

16%

21%

19%

22%

15%

10%

23%

2%

-

15%

-

-

16%

14%

7%

14%

23%

16%

15%

16%

12%

17%

18%

12%

18%

14%

13%

17%

Abortion

11%

11%

6%

17%

10%

16%

5%

17%

11%

6%

16%

10%

8%

14%

14%

9%

11%

9%

16%

9%

11%

9%

11%

13%

10%

15%

7%

10%

0%

16%

14%

19%

13%

14%

-

11%

-

-

11%

12%

18%

11%

6%

12%

10%

10%

12%

11%

6%

11%

7%

14%

14%

14%

Immigration

10%

11%

18%

2%

10%

4%

19%

2%

4%

20%

3%

5%

11%

9%

4%

6%

13%

16%

3%

6%

12%

16%

11%

2%

2%

6%

12%

3%

0%

4%

10%

1%

2%

8%

-

10%

-

-

10%

9%

2%

7%

19%

10%

10%

11%

7%

11%

13%

8%

13%

10%

6%

10%

Character/ competence of the candidate

7%

8%

2%

12%

9%

1%

2%

13%

6%

2%

14%

8%

6%

8%

6%

6%

7%

11%

6%

6%

6%

11%

8%

2%

4%

8%

7%

3%

0%

2%

8%

0%

6%

15%

-

7%

-

-

5%

11%

14%

8%

2%

6%

8%

7%

7%

7%

6%

7%

7%

9%

8%

7%

Health care

4%

4%

2%

6%

4%

5%

2%

6%

5%

1%

6%

3%

4%

4%

7%

3%

4%

2%

7%

4%

3%

2%

3%

6%

8%

8%

3%

7%

21%

3%

4%

5%

4%

13%

-

4%

-

-

4%

4%

5%

5%

1%

4%

4%

4%

4%

4%

4%

4%

3%

4%

4%

4%

Social Security

4%

4%

1%

6%

6%

6%

1%

6%

6%

3%

5%

2%

3%

5%

3%

2%

4%

7%

4%

2%

3%

7%

4%

7%

5%

5%

3%

6%

0%

4%

4%

8%

6%

6%

-

4%

-

-

4%

3%

5%

5%

2%

5%

3%

3%

6%

3%

2%

5%

2%

5%

6%

4%

Taxes

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

12%

2%

2%

4%

2%

2%

6%

3%

2%

4%

2%

1%

1%

5%

2%

2%

1%

2%

5%

4%

4%

3%

4%

0%

3%

1%

6%

5%

5%

-

2%

-

-

3%

2%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

4%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

Ethics in government, corruption, campaign finance reform

3%

3%

2%

4%

3%

0%

2%

4%

1%

2%

4%

3%

4%

2%

2%

3%

4%

3%

2%

2%

4%

3%

3%

1%

2%

2%

4%

2%

6%

4%

3%

0%

1%

0%

-

3%

-

-

2%

4%

4%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

4%

4%

2%

3%

3%

1%

Dislike of the opposing candidate

3%

3%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

4%

3%

2%

4%

7%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

5%

4%

2%

3%

5%

3%

3%

1%

5%

3%

3%

0%

0%

3%

1%

1%

11%

-

3%

-

-

3%

3%

4%

4%

2%

3%

3%

3%

4%

2%

5%

1%

2%

2%

6%

3%

Terrorism / national security

2%

2%

3%

1%

2%

0%

4%

1%

4%

4%

1%

5%

2%

2%

1%

3%

1%

3%

1%

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

0%

4%

2%

1%

0%

7%

2%

0%

0%

0%

-

2%

-

-

3%

1%

1%

2%

3%

3%

2%

1%

3%

4%

1%

3%

4%

1%

2%

3%

Family values, morality

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

0%

1%

3%

1%

1%

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

2%

4%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

5%

2%

2%

1%

0%

4%

2%

3%

6%

0%

-

2%

-

-

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

Environment / climate change

2%

2%

0%

5%

2%

1%

0%

5%

1%

0%

5%

0%

3%

2%

1%

3%

1%

4%

0%

3%

1%

4%

2%

0%

3%

3%

3%

0%

7%

6%

2%

1%

2%

0%

-

2%

-

-

2%

3%

5%

2%

0%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

5%

1%

2%

2%

Corruption

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

4%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

3%

4%

1%

4%

9%

7%

2%

0%

2%

0%

-

2%

-

-

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

National debt / federal budget deficits

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

0%

2%

1%

3%

1%

1%

8%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

0%

2%

3%

0%

0%

1%

0%

2%

0%

-

2%

-

-

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

Crime and drugs

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

0%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

3%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

4%

1%

3%

1%

0%

6%

5%

1%

10%

0%

0%

-

1%

-

-

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

0%

3%

1%

0%

3%

1%

1%

3%

2%

Education

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

4%

1%

1%

7%

2%

1%

4%

2%

0%

0%

3%

3%

1%

0%

1%

1%

4%

4%

1%

0%

15%

7%

1%

2%

1%

0%

-

1%

-

-

1%

2%

3%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

3%

1%

2%

2%

0%

January 6th

2%

2%

1%

3%

1%

5%

0%

3%

2%

0%

3%

3%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

8%

0%

2%

0%

0%

3%

-

2%

-

-

1%

2%

3%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

Foreign and defense policy

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

-

1%

-

-

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

Income inequality

2%

2%

1%

3%

2%

0%

1%

2%

2%

1%

3%

0%

2%

1%

3%

3%

1%

0%

2%

4%

1%

0%

2%

5%

1%

1%

2%

8%

0%

0%

1%

1%

2%

2%

-

2%

-

-

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

3%

2%

1%

4%

2%

1%

2%

2%

Gun policies

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

1%

2%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

0%

1%

1%

2%

3%

0%

1%

2%

0%

0%

1%

3%

3%

0%

-

1%

-

-

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

The Israeli-Hamas Conflict/ Palestinians/ The Middle East

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

2%

1%

3%

1%

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

6%

-

1%

-

-

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

Police reform

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

-

0%

-

-

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

Race relations

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

-

0%

-

-

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

Government gridlock

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

-

0%

-

-

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

Political correctness

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

3%

0%

0%

1%

3%

0%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

-

1%

-

-

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

2%

1%

1%

1%

0%

China

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

-

0%

-

-

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

Russia and Ukraine

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

3%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

-

0%

-

-

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

Other, please specify

3%

3%

2%

4%

3%

12%

2%

4%

4%

2%

4%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

3%

5%

3%

2%

2%

5%

3%

2%

0%

0%

4%

1%

0%

0%

3%

2%

0%

0%

-

3%

-

-

3%

3%

4%

3%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

3%

2%

3%

3%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

ISSUE2: Which candidate would do a better job handling the issue you think is most important?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Donald Trump

47%

48%

90%

5%

41%

31%

96%

3%

28%

91%

7%

26%

53%

42%

42%

50%

53%

45%

40%

49%

52%

45%

50%

23%

34%

26%

55%

28%

52%

37%

46%

17%

29%

13%

-

47%

-

-

49%

44%

11%

38%

83%

44%

50%

47%

42%

53%

53%

46%

60%

42%

38%

46%

Kamala Harris

44%

46%

6%

90%

45%

22%

1%

91%

13%

6%

88%

33%

41%

48%

45%

41%

42%

49%

47%

41%

42%

49%

43%

64%

48%

45%

40%

59%

40%

37%

46%

72%

50%

53%

-

44%

-

-

41%

50%

85%

50%

11%

47%

42%

44%

49%

41%

40%

47%

36%

48%

51%

44%

Neither / Someone Else

5%

4%

3%

4%

8%

20%

3%

4%

30%

3%

3%

35%

4%

6%

6%

6%

3%

4%

5%

7%

4%

4%

4%

5%

14%

17%

4%

9%

0%

12%

5%

0%

17%

22%

-

5%

-

-

6%

4%

2%

8%

4%

5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

4%

4%

6%

6%

6%

Don't Know

3%

2%

1%

2%

5%

27%

0%

2%

29%

1%

2%

7%

2%

4%

7%

2%

2%

1%

7%

3%

2%

1%

2%

7%

5%

13%

2%

4%

8%

13%

3%

12%

4%

12%

-

3%

-

-

4%

2%

2%

5%

2%

4%

2%

3%

4%

2%

3%

3%

0%

3%

5%

4%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

I4: Would you say that your personal financial situation is improving or getting worse?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Improving

24%

26%

14%

41%

19%

9%

12%

38%

8%

12%

40%

7%

29%

19%

28%

28%

17%

24%

26%

30%

19%

24%

24%

36%

23%

17%

29%

39%

28%

23%

19%

31%

22%

10%

-

24%

-

-

19%

33%

42%

23%

14%

18%

30%

23%

32%

18%

27%

37%

25%

19%

26%

13%

Getting worse

41%

40%

55%

23%

43%

49%

59%

24%

36%

61%

22%

37%

38%

44%

38%

41%

52%

34%

40%

39%

49%

34%

42%

35%

44%

38%

39%

31%

57%

30%

44%

42%

40%

46%

-

41%

-

-

46%

33%

22%

39%

57%

48%

35%

42%

34%

47%

39%

32%

44%

45%

36%

50%

Neither

30%

31%

28%

32%

32%

23%

26%

34%

33%

25%

36%

43%

29%

32%

26%

26%

28%

41%

27%

24%

29%

41%

31%

25%

25%

31%

29%

27%

15%

32%

33%

21%

27%

30%

-

30%

-

-

30%

30%

33%

32%

26%

29%

32%

31%

30%

30%

30%

27%

29%

32%

33%

31%

No opinion

4%

3%

3%

3%

6%

19%

2%

3%

23%

2%

2%

13%

4%

5%

8%

6%

2%

1%

7%

7%

3%

1%

4%

4%

9%

14%

3%

3%

0%

15%

4%

6%

11%

14%

-

4%

-

-

5%

3%

3%

6%

3%

5%

4%

4%

4%

4%

4%

4%

2%

4%

5%

6%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

BT3: Do you think the 2024 presidential election will be conducted in a fair or unfair way?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Fair

70%

71%

55%

92%

67%

41%

51%

90%

56%

51%

93%

63%

70%

69%

65%

72%

66%

74%

65%

72%

67%

74%

70%

76%

58%

74%

69%

77%

41%

81%

70%

73%

62%

65%

-

70%

-

-

64%

80%

91%

73%

51%

68%

70%

69%

76%

64%

67%

82%

61%

71%

70%

67%

Unfair

30%

29%

45%

8%

33%

59%

49%

10%

44%

49%

7%

37%

30%

31%

35%

28%

34%

26%

35%

28%

33%

26%

30%

24%

42%

26%

31%

23%

59%

19%

30%

27%

38%

35%

-

30%

-

-

36%

20%

9%

27%

49%

32%

30%

31%

24%

36%

33%

18%

39%

29%

30%

33%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

QVOTECONF: How confident are you that your vote will be counted accurately?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Very confident

41%

44%

21%

66%

39%

24%

18%

66%

18%

21%

72%

27%

41%

40%

30%

34%

39%

60%

28%

33%

38%

60%

42%

26%

33%

29%

43%

28%

27%

24%

41%

22%

34%

35%

-

41%

-

-

34%

53%

66%

40%

24%

38%

42%

40%

42%

39%

40%

43%

41%

41%

41%

38%

Somewhat confident

36%

37%

48%

27%

34%

14%

47%

27%

34%

46%

23%

33%

36%

37%

39%

41%

38%

27%

42%

40%

38%

27%

36%

40%

39%

39%

35%

35%

49%

41%

36%

47%

37%

37%

-

36%

-

-

39%

32%

27%

35%

43%

35%

37%

37%

36%

35%

36%

40%

29%

38%

32%

39%

Not very confident

16%

15%

24%

6%

17%

24%

27%

5%

20%

25%

4%

31%

17%

16%

21%

17%

17%

10%

21%

17%

18%

10%

16%

22%

18%

14%

16%

25%

24%

12%

16%

17%

16%

16%

-

16%

-

-

19%

12%

5%

16%

24%

18%

16%

15%

15%

19%

15%

13%

23%

15%

18%

16%

Not at all confident

7%

4%

7%

1%

9%

38%

8%

3%

28%

7%

2%

10%

6%

7%

10%

8%

6%

3%

9%

9%

6%

3%

6%

13%

10%

18%

5%

11%

0%

23%

6%

15%

12%

12%

-

7%

-

-

9%

3%

1%

8%

9%

9%

5%

7%

6%

7%

8%

4%

7%

6%

9%

7%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

BT4: Do you think Joe Biden's election as president in 2020 was fair or unfair?

Total

Likely Voters

Party ID

2024 Vote Choice

2020 Horserace Choice

Gender

Age

Age 2

Race

Male

Female

Region

Education

Political Ideology

Income

Locale

Male

Female

Likely Voters (T2B)

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Don’t Know / Unsure

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

<4-year

4-year+

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

<$75k

$75k+

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Suburban

Urban

Rural

Fair

62%

64%

35%

94%

63%

47%

30%

94%

59%

33%

95%

76%

62%

63%

62%

65%

57%

65%

62%

64%

59%

65%

62%

64%

67%

67%

62%

65%

46%

62%

62%

61%

73%

72%

-

62%

-

-

55%

76%

93%

69%

34%

60%

64%

62%

69%

56%

60%

71%

53%

64%

67%

58%

Unfair

38%

36%

65%

6%

37%

53%

70%

6%

41%

67%

5%

24%

38%

37%

38%

35%

43%

35%

38%

36%

41%

35%

38%

36%

33%

33%

38%

35%

54%

38%

38%

39%

27%

28%

-

38%

-

-

45%

24%

7%

31%

66%

40%

36%

38%

31%

44%

40%

29%

47%

36%

33%

42%

NET

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

-

100%

-

-

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Column n

1,727

1,549

643

692

349

43

752

873

102

632

745

54

736

991

312

534

467

414

168

523

622

414

1,495

122

61

49

641

61

11

23

854

61

50

26

0

1,727

0

0

1,033

694

480

656

591

854

849

736

510

481

310

248

178

426

262

303

Nature of Sample

Total

Total 100%

Gender

Male 49%
Female 51%

Age

18-29 18%
30-44 25%
45-64 32%
65+ 25%

Race

White 86%
Black/AA 5%
Hispanic 4%
Other 4%

Region

Northeast 0%
Midwest 100%
South 0%
West 0%

Income

Less than $50K 18%
$50K to $99K 44%
$100K + 36%
Decline to answer 2%

Area

Suburban 44%
Urban 27%
Rural 28%

Party affiliation

Democrat 32%
Independent 27%
Republican 37%
Other 4%

Political ideology

Liberal 23%
Moderate 41%
Conservative 35%

EducationXGender

College grad Male 19%
College grad Female 15%
Non-college Male 30%
Non-college Female 36%