HarrisX Overnight Poll National Results (November 5, 2024)

This survey was administered within the United States from November 4- November 5 among 1,511 registered voters and 1,325 likely voters via the HarrisX Overnight Poll. Respondents for the HarrisX Overnight Poll are recruited through opt-in, web-panel recruitment sampling. Recruitment occurs though a broad variety of professional, validated respondent panels to expand the sampling frame as wide as possible and minimize the impact of any given panel on recruiting methods.

The results reflect a nationally representative sample of registered voters. Results were weighted for age, gender, region, race/ethnicity, income, political party, education, ideology, early vote percentage and area type where necessary to align them with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online. The margin of error for the total sample is +/- 2.5 percentage points for registered voters and +/-2.7 percentage points for likely voters.

For further insights and data, visit elections.harrisx.com

HarrisX's Final Presidential Horserace (+Leaners)

H2bMEV: : If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for? (including Early voters choice)
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump+leaners	49%	49%	92%	8%	46%	49%	43%	52%	99%	1%	33%	92%	7%	29%	54%	44%	47%	45%	51%	51%	44%	50%	48%	51%	55%	20%	40%	49%	61%	24%	41%	53%	49%	16%	40%	44%	50%	47%	51%	45%	51%	46%	10%	40%	81%	45%	53%	50%	39%	59%	57%	43%	63%	44%	34%	56%
Kamala Harris+leaners	48%	49%	7%	91%	45%	46%	55%	44%	1%	96%	38%	8%	91%	44%	43%	53%	47%	50%	46%	49%	49%	45%	49%	49%	42%	75%	56%	45%	37%	72%	52%	42%	48%	78%	60%	48%	46%	50%	46%	52%	46%	51%	86%	56%	16%	52%	44%	47%	57%	38%	41%	52%	33%	52%	62%	42%
Cornel West+leaners	2%	1%	0%	1%	5%	3%	1%	2%	0%	1%	14%	1%	1%	14%	2%	2%	3%	3%	1%	0%	3%	3%	2%	0%	1%	4%	2%	2%	1%	2%	4%	0%	1%	6%	0%	4%	3%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	3%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	0%	2%	4%	2%	2%	1%
Jill Stein+leaners	2%	1%	1%	1%	4%	3%	1%	2%	0%	1%	15%	0%	1%	13%	2%	1%	3%	2%	1%	0%	4%	2%	1%	0%	1%	1%	2%	4%	1%	2%	4%	5%	2%	0%	0%	4%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

Full Poll Findings below:

H4: Party ID
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Republican	36%	38%	100%	0%	0%	0%	31%	39%	71%	5%	14%	75%	5%	21%	39%	34%	28%	32%	40%	43%	23%	37%	37%	43%	43%	12%	24%	24%	48%	10%	22%	22%	39%	13%	26%	26%	30%	35%	40%	35%	37%	35%	3%	19%	74%	33%	40%	37%	29%	45%	42%	29%	48%	33%	28%	42%
Democrat	37%	39%	0%	100%	0%	0%	44%	32%	5%	71%	21%	6%	72%	10%	33%	40%	38%	38%	36%	35%	38%	38%	36%	35%	31%	59%	46%	38%	26%	57%	43%	46%	36%	61%	48%	32%	37%	39%	34%	39%	34%	41%	81%	35%	11%	38%	36%	36%	45%	27%	32%	43%	20%	39%	49%	32%
Independent	25%	23%	0%	0%	100%	0%	24%	25%	23%	23%	47%	18%	22%	69%	27%	24%	32%	28%	22%	20%	36%	24%	24%	20%	23%	28%	29%	34%	24%	32%	35%	29%	22%	23%	24%	39%	31%	23%	24%	25%	26%	23%	14%	43%	14%	26%	24%	25%	25%	25%	25%	27%	30%	25%	22%	21%
Other	2%	1%	0%	0%	0%	100%	1%	3%	1%	1%	18%	1%	1%	0%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	1%	4%	1%	1%	0%	3%	3%	3%	2%	4%	1%	3%	2%	1%	3%	1%	2%	3%	1%	3%	0%	2%	1%	3%	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	5%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

Q1915: Do you lean more toward the Republican Party or toward the Democratic Party?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Lean Republican	33%	33%	-	-	33%	-	35%	31%	64%	8%	10%	59%	13%	33%	37%	27%	33%	30%	33%	35%	28%	39%	30%	35%	33%	38%	24%	35%	40%	35%	24%	46%	26%	42%	24%	27%	39%	25%	32%	34%	30%	37%	11%	29%	57%	25%	42%	37%	25%	32%	45%	30%	32%	29%	19%	33%
Lean Democrat	28%	32%	-	-	28%	-	32%	26%	4%	58%	11%	2%	61%	11%	24%	33%	24%	30%	29%	32%	23%	22%	34%	32%	30%	23%	29%	25%	25%	29%	20%	8%	35%	15%	39%	36%	19%	38%	28%	29%	27%	30%	67%	27%	7%	29%	30%	25%	35%	28%	20%	25%	29%	29%	48%	26%
Do not lean either way	39%	35%	-	-	39%	-	33%	43%	32%	34%	80%	39%	26%	55%	39%	39%	43%	40%	38%	33%	49%	39%	37%	33%	37%	39%	47%	40%	35%	36%	56%	46%	39%	44%	37%	36%	42%	37%	40%	37%	43%	33%	22%	44%	36%	46%	28%	38%	40%	40%	35%	45%	40%	41%	33%	41%
Column n	323	258	0	0	323	0	123	200	136	144	43	84	112	17	151	172	83	93	85	62	57	83	121	62	221	46	33	23	102	24	17	8	119	22	16	15	68	71	125	59	208	115	47	215	61	181	137	164	84	75	71	44	36	93	40	39

D111W: Which best describes your political ideology?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Liberal	24%	26%	2%	52%	13%	20%	28%	21%	4%	44%	14%	4%	48%	11%	21%	26%	29%	26%	21%	19%	30%	26%	22%	19%	22%	33%	26%	22%	18%	31%	25%	19%	25%	35%	28%	25%	25%	24%	20%	27%	21%	28%	100%	0%	0%	24%	24%	23%	31%	15%	21%	26%	13%	25%	36%	16%
Moderate	38%	35%	20%	37%	65%	61%	35%	40%	30%	43%	60%	25%	41%	36%	34%	42%	41%	40%	39%	33%	42%	40%	39%	33%	35%	48%	44%	46%	31%	44%	37%	39%	39%	53%	50%	53%	39%	40%	41%	32%	41%	34%	0%	100%	0%	44%	33%	38%	38%	41%	32%	36%	37%	43%	40%	44%
Conservative	38%	39%	78%	11%	21%	19%	37%	39%	65%	13%	26%	71%	11%	53%	45%	31%	31%	34%	40%	47%	28%	34%	39%	47%	43%	18%	30%	31%	50%	25%	38%	41%	37%	11%	23%	22%	36%	36%	38%	41%	38%	38%	0%	0%	100%	33%	44%	39%	32%	44%	48%	38%	51%	32%	24%	39%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

QPReg: Which of the political parties below, if any, are you a registered member/voter of?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Democratic Party	35%	36%	3%	84%	11%	7%	40%	32%	6%	66%	21%	7%	70%	2%	32%	37%	37%	36%	34%	32%	37%	38%	34%	32%	29%	59%	48%	30%	25%	58%	47%	26%	32%	59%	49%	34%	39%	34%	33%	34%	32%	39%	71%	35%	11%	36%	34%	31%	46%	27%	28%	44%	20%	34%	48%	33%
Republican Party	36%	37%	89%	3%	10%	0%	33%	37%	69%	6%	12%	72%	6%	28%	39%	32%	31%	31%	38%	41%	26%	38%	34%	41%	42%	12%	22%	28%	47%	12%	26%	28%	38%	12%	19%	28%	33%	32%	38%	37%	37%	33%	6%	19%	71%	32%	39%	37%	27%	43%	41%	30%	48%	34%	24%	40%
Libertarian Party	3%	3%	1%	1%	10%	0%	4%	3%	3%	4%	4%	3%	2%	23%	4%	3%	6%	6%	1%	0%	6%	6%	2%	0%	2%	7%	6%	11%	2%	8%	4%	13%	1%	7%	9%	9%	2%	3%	3%	5%	4%	2%	4%	4%	2%	3%	4%	4%	3%	4%	4%	2%	5%	3%	3%	3%
Green Party	1%	1%	0%	1%	3%	3%	2%	0%	0%	1%	6%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	3%	1%	0%	0%	5%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	5%	0%	0%	1%	7%	0%	1%	1%	3%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	0%	1%	1%	2%
Other	2%	1%	0%	0%	4%	44%	1%	2%	1%	1%	12%	0%	1%	0%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	1%	4%	1%	3%	1%	2%	3%	2%	0%	2%	3%	0%	0%	2%	4%	4%	0%	2%	2%	3%	1%	3%	0%	2%	3%	1%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	4%
Independent/not registered with any party	23%	21%	8%	10%	63%	45%	19%	26%	21%	23%	45%	18%	21%	46%	23%	24%	19%	24%	24%	26%	22%	17%	27%	26%	25%	17%	16%	31%	24%	18%	17%	33%	25%	17%	16%	30%	23%	28%	22%	22%	22%	25%	15%	38%	14%	25%	22%	24%	22%	23%	22%	22%	27%	26%	23%	19%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

JS2: How likely or unlikely are you to vote in the upcoming 2024 elections in November?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET: Likely Voters (T3B)	89%	100%	92%	92%	84%	32%	100%	82%	91%	92%	54%	96%	97%	95%	90%	88%	83%	88%	89%	94%	82%	88%	89%	94%	90%	82%	87%	90%	92%	79%	88%	92%	89%	86%	86%	89%	89%	90%	86%	92%	85%	95%	95%	83%	91%	85%	94%	89%	89%	87%	92%	87%	89%	87%	91%	86%
NET: Likely Voters (T2B)	87%	100%	90%	91%	80%	32%	100%	78%	88%	91%	47%	94%	97%	95%	87%	86%	80%	85%	87%	94%	79%	84%	87%	94%	88%	79%	85%	86%	89%	77%	85%	89%	87%	81%	85%	84%	86%	87%	84%	91%	82%	94%	94%	79%	90%	82%	92%	88%	86%	84%	90%	84%	86%	86%	90%	82%
Definitely going to vote in the 2024 elections/I already voted	82%	94%	86%	87%	72%	32%	100%	70%	83%	86%	43%	91%	93%	95%	84%	80%	70%	82%	82%	93%	69%	79%	82%	93%	84%	69%	80%	84%	87%	68%	82%	84%	82%	71%	78%	84%	79%	81%	81%	87%	76%	90%	90%	72%	86%	75%	89%	83%	82%	78%	87%	80%	81%	80%	84%	76%
Probably going to vote in the elections	5%	6%	4%	4%	7%	0%	0%	8%	5%	4%	5%	3%	4%	0%	4%	6%	10%	3%	5%	1%	11%	5%	4%	1%	4%	10%	5%	3%	3%	9%	3%	5%	6%	10%	7%	0%	7%	6%	4%	4%	6%	4%	4%	7%	3%	6%	3%	5%	5%	5%	3%	4%	5%	6%	6%	6%
Possibly going to vote in the elections	2%	0%	2%	1%	4%	0%	0%	4%	3%	1%	7%	2%	0%	0%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	0%	3%	4%	2%	0%	2%	3%	2%	4%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	5%	2%	5%	3%	3%	2%	1%	3%	1%	1%	4%	2%	3%	1%	1%	2%	4%	2%	3%	3%	1%	2%	5%
May or may not vote in the elections	3%	0%	2%	2%	6%	7%	0%	6%	3%	3%	8%	1%	1%	5%	4%	3%	7%	2%	3%	1%	7%	4%	3%	1%	3%	7%	3%	2%	2%	10%	5%	0%	3%	4%	2%	3%	3%	4%	4%	2%	5%	2%	1%	6%	2%	5%	2%	4%	3%	4%	4%	4%	3%	4%	2%	5%
Possibly not going to participate in the elections	1%	0%	1%	1%	2%	0%	0%	2%	1%	1%	4%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	2%	4%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%
Probably not going to participate in the elections	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	5%	0%	2%	1%	1%	4%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	0%	3%	2%	1%	0%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	0%	3%	1%	2%	3%	0%	0%	2%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	0%	2%	2%	2%	1%	0%
Definitely not going to participate in the 2024 elections	5%	0%	3%	3%	7%	57%	0%	9%	4%	3%	29%	2%	1%	0%	5%	6%	6%	6%	6%	3%	5%	6%	6%	3%	5%	8%	7%	4%	4%	9%	8%	5%	5%	7%	6%	4%	5%	4%	7%	4%	7%	3%	2%	8%	4%	8%	2%	5%	5%	6%	4%	7%	4%	6%	3%	8%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

TQ6: Do you think the country is generally on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Right track	24%	26%	9%	44%	16%	25%	31%	20%	8%	42%	9%	9%	45%	7%	27%	21%	21%	22%	25%	28%	20%	23%	23%	28%	21%	36%	25%	32%	25%	36%	28%	38%	17%	35%	22%	27%	24%	22%	24%	26%	22%	27%	44%	22%	13%	23%	25%	21%	31%	21%	24%	35%	23%	18%	26%	20%
Wrong track	63%	64%	85%	39%	68%	53%	58%	67%	87%	41%	51%	87%	41%	76%	63%	64%	61%	64%	64%	64%	57%	66%	64%	64%	68%	49%	60%	50%	67%	48%	63%	45%	68%	51%	57%	54%	60%	62%	67%	62%	64%	63%	43%	59%	81%	64%	64%	67%	56%	66%	67%	52%	71%	67%	61%	61%
Unsure/Don't know	13%	11%	6%	16%	16%	22%	12%	13%	5%	16%	40%	4%	13%	17%	10%	16%	18%	14%	11%	8%	23%	10%	13%	8%	11%	15%	15%	18%	8%	16%	9%	17%	15%	14%	20%	19%	16%	16%	10%	12%	15%	10%	13%	19%	6%	12%	11%	12%	13%	13%	9%	13%	6%	15%	13%	19%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

M2: In general, do you think the American economy is on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Right track	28%	30%	9%	52%	19%	22%	36%	22%	7%	51%	10%	10%	55%	21%	30%	26%	22%	25%	30%	34%	20%	24%	29%	34%	26%	36%	25%	33%	28%	34%	32%	31%	24%	38%	19%	34%	32%	27%	24%	30%	23%	35%	53%	26%	14%	25%	31%	27%	33%	22%	28%	36%	21%	25%	30%	23%
Wrong track	64%	63%	87%	39%	67%	49%	55%	69%	89%	39%	61%	87%	36%	67%	63%	64%	65%	67%	63%	59%	62%	69%	63%	59%	66%	52%	63%	55%	65%	53%	61%	57%	68%	51%	64%	53%	59%	63%	69%	59%	65%	61%	41%	59%	82%	65%	62%	65%	57%	70%	65%	54%	72%	65%	60%	69%
Don't know/Unsure	9%	7%	5%	9%	13%	30%	8%	9%	4%	10%	29%	3%	9%	13%	8%	10%	14%	9%	7%	6%	18%	6%	8%	6%	7%	12%	12%	12%	7%	13%	7%	12%	8%	12%	17%	13%	9%	10%	7%	10%	12%	4%	6%	15%	4%	9%	7%	9%	10%	8%	7%	9%	7%	10%	10%	8%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

QEarly: Are you planning to vote early in the 2024 presidential election or not?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Yes, I am planning to vote early	54%	61%	53%	60%	47%	32%	100%	24%	53%	59%	22%	57%	63%	70%	55%	53%	53%	47%	49%	67%	54%	47%	49%	67%	53%	47%	63%	58%	54%	48%	58%	68%	52%	46%	67%	49%	44%	42%	55%	70%	48%	62%	60%	48%	56%	48%	59%	56%	56%	46%	57%	53%	50%	54%	58%	42%
No, I am planning to vote on Election Day	39%	39%	43%	35%	43%	8%	0%	65%	42%	36%	39%	42%	36%	30%	40%	39%	37%	45%	45%	30%	36%	44%	44%	30%	41%	45%	29%	32%	42%	44%	36%	23%	40%	47%	22%	40%	48%	52%	37%	24%	42%	36%	37%	41%	39%	42%	37%	39%	36%	45%	40%	39%	43%	37%	33%	48%
I am not planning to vote	7%	0%	4%	5%	11%	59%	0%	12%	5%	4%	39%	1%	1%	0%	5%	9%	10%	8%	6%	4%	10%	9%	7%	4%	6%	8%	9%	10%	4%	8%	7%	8%	8%	7%	10%	11%	7%	7%	8%	6%	10%	3%	3%	11%	5%	10%	4%	6%	8%	9%	3%	8%	7%	8%	8%	10%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

QBallot: Have you received a ballot for the 2024 presidential election or not?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Yes	52%	58%	45%	60%	55%	18%	100%	21%	47%	60%	33%	51%	62%	70%	54%	51%	61%	47%	44%	59%	66%	51%	43%	59%	50%	52%	59%	71%	52%	45%	60%	80%	47%	58%	59%	62%	48%	37%	43%	83%	48%	59%	60%	51%	49%	47%	58%	55%	55%	42%	56%	53%	47%	53%	58%	37%
No	48%	42%	55%	40%	45%	82%	0%	79%	53%	40%	67%	49%	38%	30%	46%	49%	39%	53%	56%	41%	34%	49%	57%	41%	50%	48%	41%	29%	48%	55%	40%	20%	53%	42%	41%	38%	52%	63%	57%	17%	52%	41%	40%	49%	51%	53%	42%	45%	45%	58%	44%	47%	53%	47%	42%	63%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

QVote: Have you submitted your ballot for the 2024 presidential election or not?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Yes	75%	78%	76%	78%	70%	68%	100%	0%	75%	77%	46%	77%	81%	80%	74%	76%	69%	70%	70%	90%	68%	67%	73%	90%	78%	64%	75%	69%	77%	70%	68%	71%	79%	60%	81%	67%	70%	76%	78%	75%	72%	79%	77%	70%	78%	71%	79%	76%	72%	78%	77%	70%	75%	76%	74%	81%
No	25%	22%	24%	22%	30%	32%	0%	100%	25%	23%	54%	23%	19%	20%	26%	24%	31%	30%	30%	10%	32%	33%	27%	10%	22%	36%	25%	31%	23%	30%	32%	29%	21%	40%	19%	33%	30%	24%	22%	25%	28%	21%	23%	30%	22%	29%	21%	24%	28%	22%	23%	30%	25%	24%	26%	19%
Column n	798	776	268	355	170	5	633	165	329	442	27	281	375	17	386	412	183	191	178	246	119	208	225	246	568	107	75	48	280	46	34	26	288	61	41	22	129	151	288	230	452	346	246	299	253	399	385	438	216	144	208	109	69	230	107	75

H2V: Who did you vote for in the 2024 presidential election?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump	42%	42%	90%	7%	45%	0%	42%	-	98%	2%	6%	91%	5%	8%	47%	37%	44%	36%	39%	47%	42%	40%	38%	47%	49%	13%	34%	33%	55%	19%	33%	36%	43%	8%	35%	28%	42%	45%	40%	43%	44%	40%	9%	33%	76%	39%	46%	44%	37%	48%	52%	39%	48%	35%	34%	48%
Kamala Harris	54%	54%	10%	91%	44%	80%	54%	-	1%	96%	30%	6%	92%	51%	48%	60%	49%	60%	59%	51%	51%	55%	58%	51%	48%	84%	58%	60%	41%	78%	53%	55%	55%	89%	62%	66%	53%	48%	57%	54%	50%	58%	87%	63%	20%	57%	50%	53%	60%	46%	44%	57%	42%	62%	63%	50%
Cornel West	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	-	0%	0%	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	3%	0%	0%	0%	3%	0%	0%	0%	3%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%
Jill Stein	1%	1%	0%	1%	4%	0%	1%	-	0%	1%	19%	0%	1%	8%	1%	1%	3%	0%	1%	0%	3%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	4%	1%	0%	0%	10%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	2%	0%	2%	2%	0%	1%	2%	0%
Someone else	2%	2%	0%	1%	6%	20%	2%	-	1%	1%	33%	2%	1%	25%	3%	1%	4%	3%	0%	1%	3%	3%	1%	1%	2%	0%	3%	5%	2%	0%	4%	9%	1%	0%	3%	0%	3%	4%	1%	1%	3%	1%	1%	2%	2%	3%	1%	1%	2%	5%	1%	3%	8%	1%	1%	2%
I did not vote in this race	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	-	0%	0%	7%	0%	0%	8%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%
Column n	633	633	218	289	123	3	633	0	261	358	14	229	314	14	304	329	130	141	134	228	83	147	175	228	468	73	57	35	228	33	24	19	240	40	33	16	98	122	236	177	346	287	202	224	207	302	321	353	164	116	168	81	55	185	83	61

TQ1: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President of the United States?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET APPROVE	39%	42%	8%	76%	32%	29%	50%	33%	8%	75%	14%	9%	78%	5%	37%	41%	38%	41%	38%	42%	40%	36%	40%	42%	35%	59%	47%	38%	32%	56%	45%	42%	37%	62%	50%	34%	39%	40%	38%	43%	35%	46%	74%	42%	15%	40%	39%	38%	48%	32%	37%	43%	28%	38%	53%	35%
Strongly approve	16%	18%	4%	33%	9%	8%	23%	11%	3%	31%	3%	4%	36%	0%	17%	15%	11%	16%	17%	20%	10%	17%	16%	20%	15%	24%	15%	15%	16%	23%	17%	21%	15%	25%	12%	9%	18%	13%	15%	19%	12%	21%	35%	13%	7%	16%	17%	13%	23%	13%	15%	24%	12%	12%	22%	13%
Somewhat approve	24%	24%	4%	43%	23%	22%	26%	22%	5%	44%	11%	5%	42%	5%	20%	26%	27%	25%	21%	22%	30%	20%	24%	22%	20%	35%	33%	23%	17%	33%	28%	21%	23%	37%	38%	25%	21%	27%	23%	24%	23%	24%	38%	29%	9%	24%	22%	24%	25%	20%	22%	20%	17%	26%	31%	22%
Somewhat disapprove	15%	13%	10%	14%	23%	16%	13%	16%	12%	16%	27%	11%	13%	27%	16%	14%	19%	18%	14%	9%	21%	18%	14%	9%	13%	18%	15%	25%	14%	19%	19%	32%	13%	16%	12%	19%	14%	14%	16%	14%	16%	13%	14%	21%	9%	16%	14%	15%	17%	12%	15%	19%	14%	15%	14%	11%
Strongly disapprove	41%	42%	80%	7%	38%	21%	35%	45%	79%	6%	30%	80%	8%	59%	44%	39%	33%	38%	45%	49%	28%	41%	42%	49%	48%	16%	31%	35%	52%	14%	36%	25%	45%	17%	27%	45%	42%	42%	43%	39%	43%	39%	10%	29%	73%	39%	44%	43%	31%	53%	47%	32%	57%	40%	30%	50%
NET DISAPPROVE	56%	56%	90%	21%	61%	37%	48%	62%	90%	22%	57%	91%	21%	86%	60%	53%	52%	56%	59%	58%	49%	59%	57%	58%	62%	33%	46%	60%	65%	34%	55%	57%	58%	32%	38%	64%	56%	56%	59%	53%	59%	52%	24%	51%	82%	55%	59%	58%	47%	65%	62%	50%	71%	55%	44%	60%
Unsure/Don't know	4%	2%	2%	3%	7%	34%	2%	5%	2%	3%	29%	0%	1%	10%	3%	5%	10%	3%	4%	0%	11%	5%	4%	0%	3%	8%	6%	2%	2%	11%	0%	1%	4%	6%	12%	3%	5%	4%	4%	4%	5%	2%	2%	7%	3%	5%	2%	4%	5%	3%	2%	6%	0%	7%	3%	5%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

TQVP: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kamala Harris is doing as Vice President of the United States?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET APPROVE	44%	46%	9%	84%	37%	29%	53%	38%	6%	85%	18%	9%	84%	34%	41%	46%	42%	48%	44%	42%	43%	43%	46%	42%	39%	62%	56%	41%	36%	61%	55%	35%	41%	64%	56%	46%	43%	45%	42%	46%	42%	46%	81%	48%	16%	46%	42%	42%	51%	37%	39%	48%	35%	44%	55%	38%
Strongly approve	23%	25%	4%	48%	15%	10%	29%	18%	2%	46%	5%	4%	48%	17%	22%	23%	19%	23%	24%	25%	18%	22%	24%	25%	20%	36%	25%	19%	20%	36%	25%	17%	21%	35%	24%	21%	25%	23%	21%	23%	20%	27%	48%	21%	9%	24%	23%	19%	31%	19%	18%	31%	18%	20%	32%	20%
Somewhat approve	21%	21%	5%	36%	22%	19%	24%	19%	5%	39%	13%	5%	36%	17%	19%	23%	23%	24%	20%	17%	26%	21%	22%	17%	18%	27%	31%	21%	16%	25%	30%	18%	20%	29%	32%	24%	19%	22%	21%	22%	22%	19%	32%	27%	8%	22%	19%	23%	20%	18%	21%	17%	17%	25%	24%	19%
Somewhat disapprove	11%	10%	9%	8%	18%	12%	9%	12%	12%	8%	23%	10%	7%	14%	12%	10%	16%	11%	10%	8%	18%	10%	11%	8%	10%	13%	8%	23%	10%	14%	6%	31%	10%	12%	9%	16%	11%	9%	12%	11%	11%	11%	9%	15%	8%	11%	12%	11%	13%	9%	10%	14%	12%	11%	11%	6%
Strongly disapprove	40%	41%	81%	3%	38%	22%	34%	44%	80%	2%	27%	80%	6%	42%	43%	37%	34%	36%	41%	49%	30%	40%	39%	49%	47%	13%	34%	33%	50%	14%	39%	32%	43%	12%	29%	33%	39%	40%	41%	39%	41%	38%	6%	29%	73%	38%	43%	43%	29%	50%	48%	31%	53%	37%	28%	48%
NET DISAPPROVE	51%	51%	89%	12%	56%	34%	43%	56%	92%	11%	50%	90%	13%	56%	55%	47%	49%	47%	52%	57%	47%	51%	49%	57%	57%	26%	41%	56%	61%	28%	45%	64%	53%	24%	38%	50%	50%	49%	53%	50%	53%	49%	15%	43%	81%	48%	55%	53%	42%	59%	58%	45%	65%	49%	40%	54%
Unsure/Don't know	5%	3%	2%	5%	8%	36%	3%	6%	2%	4%	31%	1%	2%	10%	4%	7%	9%	6%	5%	1%	9%	7%	5%	1%	5%	12%	3%	3%	3%	11%	0%	1%	6%	12%	6%	5%	6%	6%	5%	4%	6%	5%	4%	8%	3%	6%	3%	5%	6%	4%	3%	7%	0%	7%	5%	7%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

TQGov: TQGov: Do you approve or disapprove of the job [Governor] is doing as Governor of [State]??
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
TOP 2 BOX	51%	53%	50%	60%	41%	45%	56%	48%	47%	59%	25%	48%	63%	47%	52%	50%	45%	51%	48%	61%	44%	49%	49%	61%	51%	53%	46%	55%	52%	53%	43%	66%	51%	52%	50%	45%	45%	50%	56%	49%	47%	57%	59%	48%	49%	51%	53%	51%	51%	50%	51%	53%	53%	52%	50%	48%
Strongly approve	24%	26%	25%	29%	14%	28%	28%	21%	23%	27%	9%	26%	30%	4%	25%	22%	17%	22%	22%	34%	16%	23%	21%	34%	25%	24%	18%	23%	27%	27%	13%	28%	23%	20%	22%	18%	23%	21%	27%	22%	19%	30%	33%	16%	26%	23%	25%	23%	24%	27%	25%	23%	30%	21%	24%	24%
Somewhat approve	27%	27%	24%	31%	27%	17%	29%	27%	25%	32%	16%	23%	33%	43%	27%	28%	28%	29%	26%	26%	28%	26%	29%	26%	26%	29%	29%	33%	25%	27%	30%	39%	27%	32%	28%	27%	22%	29%	30%	27%	28%	27%	26%	32%	23%	28%	28%	29%	28%	24%	27%	30%	23%	31%	26%	24%
Somewhat disapprove	15%	15%	17%	11%	19%	9%	13%	17%	17%	14%	17%	16%	12%	24%	16%	15%	15%	16%	18%	12%	16%	17%	16%	12%	16%	14%	14%	17%	16%	14%	18%	15%	16%	13%	11%	18%	21%	17%	13%	13%	17%	13%	12%	17%	16%	15%	16%	14%	16%	16%	16%	15%	17%	13%	18%	15%
Strongly disapprove	23%	24%	26%	20%	25%	11%	24%	23%	27%	19%	20%	31%	19%	13%	24%	22%	19%	21%	28%	24%	16%	22%	26%	24%	24%	17%	27%	14%	25%	14%	37%	8%	24%	19%	19%	20%	19%	22%	22%	29%	23%	24%	22%	21%	26%	22%	25%	24%	21%	23%	27%	21%	21%	22%	21%	25%
BOTTOM 2 BOX	38%	39%	43%	31%	44%	21%	37%	40%	44%	33%	37%	47%	32%	37%	40%	37%	34%	37%	46%	36%	32%	39%	43%	36%	40%	30%	42%	31%	40%	28%	55%	23%	39%	33%	30%	39%	40%	39%	34%	42%	40%	37%	34%	38%	42%	37%	41%	39%	38%	39%	42%	36%	38%	35%	39%	40%
Unsure/Don't know	10%	8%	7%	9%	15%	35%	7%	12%	9%	8%	38%	5%	5%	16%	8%	12%	21%	12%	7%	3%	24%	12%	8%	3%	9%	17%	12%	14%	7%	19%	2%	11%	10%	15%	21%	16%	15%	11%	9%	9%	13%	6%	7%	14%	8%	12%	6%	10%	11%	10%	6%	11%	8%	13%	11%	12%
Column n	1,507	1,321	593	567	323	24	631	876	707	708	92	559	583	26	718	789	306	394	394	413	184	396	514	413	1,122	189	130	66	537	90	59	32	585	99	71	34	253	364	619	271	936	571	389	595	523	820	660	783	387	337	369	203	146	414	184	191

TQCong: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is doing its job?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET APPROVE	29%	29%	27%	36%	20%	19%	31%	27%	25%	33%	21%	27%	31%	26%	28%	30%	32%	33%	27%	22%	32%	33%	29%	22%	25%	44%	31%	36%	24%	46%	32%	23%	26%	41%	30%	47%	29%	29%	29%	27%	27%	31%	30%	26%	29%	30%	27%	27%	34%	24%	26%	33%	21%	29%	34%	26%
Strongly approve	6%	6%	6%	7%	4%	6%	9%	4%	5%	7%	5%	5%	8%	6%	7%	5%	12%	6%	5%	2%	11%	10%	4%	2%	4%	11%	5%	16%	5%	13%	5%	12%	3%	9%	6%	19%	9%	4%	5%	7%	5%	8%	8%	4%	7%	6%	7%	4%	9%	5%	4%	12%	4%	5%	6%	6%
Somewhat approve	23%	23%	21%	29%	16%	13%	22%	23%	20%	26%	16%	22%	23%	20%	21%	24%	21%	27%	22%	20%	20%	23%	25%	20%	21%	33%	25%	20%	19%	33%	27%	10%	23%	33%	24%	28%	21%	25%	24%	20%	22%	23%	22%	23%	23%	25%	21%	23%	24%	19%	22%	22%	17%	24%	28%	20%
Somewhat disapprove	34%	35%	36%	31%	36%	21%	34%	34%	37%	33%	23%	38%	34%	27%	36%	32%	27%	33%	32%	43%	28%	32%	32%	43%	36%	27%	32%	34%	37%	29%	32%	38%	34%	24%	31%	31%	34%	33%	35%	33%	33%	36%	35%	31%	36%	31%	37%	36%	30%	35%	37%	31%	41%	35%	29%	30%
Strongly disapprove	26%	27%	26%	23%	32%	18%	26%	27%	29%	26%	16%	28%	28%	34%	29%	24%	21%	24%	30%	31%	19%	23%	29%	31%	29%	15%	26%	17%	32%	10%	32%	28%	27%	20%	21%	7%	23%	27%	25%	31%	26%	27%	26%	27%	26%	25%	29%	26%	26%	29%	31%	25%	31%	22%	26%	27%
NET DISAPPROVE	60%	62%	63%	54%	68%	39%	61%	60%	65%	59%	39%	66%	63%	61%	64%	57%	48%	56%	62%	74%	47%	55%	60%	74%	65%	42%	58%	52%	69%	40%	64%	66%	61%	44%	52%	38%	58%	60%	60%	64%	59%	63%	62%	58%	62%	56%	66%	62%	55%	64%	67%	56%	72%	57%	55%	57%
Unsure/Don't know	11%	9%	10%	10%	12%	43%	8%	13%	9%	8%	40%	7%	7%	14%	8%	14%	19%	11%	11%	4%	21%	12%	11%	4%	10%	14%	11%	13%	8%	14%	4%	11%	13%	15%	18%	14%	13%	12%	11%	8%	14%	6%	8%	15%	9%	13%	7%	10%	11%	12%	7%	11%	7%	14%	11%	17%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

TQRep: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republican Party is handling its job?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET APPROVE	41%	42%	77%	15%	28%	19%	39%	42%	70%	14%	26%	72%	14%	31%	44%	38%	41%	42%	42%	39%	37%	47%	40%	39%	44%	31%	34%	38%	48%	32%	39%	28%	40%	30%	30%	47%	42%	38%	45%	36%	41%	40%	15%	29%	69%	39%	44%	42%	37%	45%	44%	42%	45%	39%	30%	45%
Strongly approve	13%	14%	31%	2%	4%	9%	15%	12%	24%	3%	5%	26%	4%	6%	14%	12%	15%	15%	11%	11%	13%	19%	10%	11%	15%	6%	8%	13%	17%	9%	7%	7%	14%	3%	10%	18%	16%	11%	14%	12%	14%	13%	3%	5%	27%	12%	14%	13%	12%	16%	13%	13%	17%	12%	10%	15%
Somewhat approve	28%	28%	47%	12%	24%	10%	25%	30%	46%	10%	21%	46%	10%	25%	30%	26%	25%	27%	31%	27%	25%	27%	29%	27%	29%	25%	26%	25%	31%	23%	32%	21%	26%	26%	20%	29%	25%	27%	31%	24%	28%	28%	12%	24%	41%	27%	29%	29%	25%	29%	31%	29%	27%	27%	19%	30%
Somewhat disapprove	22%	21%	16%	22%	32%	19%	20%	23%	20%	23%	30%	19%	23%	34%	23%	21%	22%	24%	20%	22%	22%	25%	20%	22%	20%	26%	26%	24%	21%	24%	28%	38%	20%	29%	25%	11%	22%	20%	24%	22%	22%	22%	19%	27%	19%	21%	23%	22%	23%	21%	22%	22%	27%	22%	24%	16%
Strongly disapprove	31%	33%	4%	58%	29%	19%	37%	27%	6%	58%	13%	8%	60%	21%	28%	33%	25%	29%	31%	37%	26%	23%	33%	37%	30%	33%	32%	29%	27%	34%	31%	23%	33%	32%	33%	34%	29%	34%	25%	37%	28%	35%	63%	32%	9%	31%	30%	31%	34%	27%	30%	28%	24%	31%	40%	29%
NET DISAPPROVE	53%	54%	20%	80%	61%	38%	57%	50%	26%	81%	43%	27%	83%	56%	51%	54%	47%	53%	52%	59%	48%	48%	54%	59%	51%	59%	58%	53%	48%	58%	58%	61%	53%	61%	58%	45%	51%	53%	49%	59%	50%	57%	81%	59%	28%	52%	53%	53%	56%	48%	52%	50%	51%	53%	64%	46%
Unsure/Don't know	6%	4%	2%	5%	11%	43%	4%	8%	4%	5%	31%	1%	3%	14%	5%	8%	12%	6%	6%	2%	14%	5%	7%	2%	6%	9%	7%	9%	4%	10%	2%	11%	7%	9%	12%	8%	7%	9%	6%	5%	9%	2%	3%	12%	3%	9%	3%	6%	7%	7%	3%	8%	4%	8%	6%	9%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

TQDem: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democratic Party is handling its job?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET APPROVE	40%	41%	8%	75%	33%	20%	50%	33%	8%	74%	23%	10%	73%	27%	37%	42%	39%	39%	40%	41%	40%	38%	40%	41%	35%	59%	47%	42%	30%	57%	50%	44%	39%	61%	45%	39%	40%	42%	35%	44%	38%	42%	72%	43%	16%	42%	37%	38%	49%	30%	35%	47%	24%	40%	51%	35%
Strongly approve	15%	16%	2%	32%	9%	20%	21%	11%	1%	30%	10%	3%	31%	18%	15%	15%	15%	15%	16%	14%	16%	16%	15%	14%	12%	24%	23%	17%	12%	24%	26%	15%	12%	24%	21%	19%	20%	15%	12%	17%	14%	17%	33%	13%	6%	15%	15%	13%	20%	13%	13%	21%	11%	13%	19%	14%
Somewhat approve	24%	25%	7%	43%	24%	0%	29%	22%	6%	44%	13%	7%	43%	8%	22%	27%	24%	23%	24%	26%	24%	22%	25%	26%	23%	35%	24%	25%	19%	33%	24%	29%	26%	37%	25%	21%	20%	26%	24%	27%	24%	25%	40%	30%	9%	27%	21%	25%	29%	17%	23%	25%	13%	27%	32%	21%
Somewhat disapprove	20%	19%	21%	15%	25%	19%	16%	22%	23%	16%	20%	20%	17%	26%	19%	20%	23%	23%	19%	14%	21%	24%	20%	14%	19%	17%	22%	29%	18%	17%	23%	29%	20%	17%	21%	29%	18%	16%	23%	18%	19%	20%	18%	22%	19%	18%	23%	20%	18%	22%	18%	16%	29%	21%	20%	17%
Strongly disapprove	34%	35%	67%	5%	31%	18%	29%	37%	65%	5%	22%	69%	7%	28%	38%	30%	25%	33%	35%	43%	22%	33%	34%	43%	41%	13%	24%	21%	47%	12%	26%	19%	35%	14%	23%	23%	34%	34%	35%	33%	34%	34%	6%	23%	63%	31%	37%	37%	25%	41%	44%	26%	44%	31%	23%	38%
NET DISAPPROVE	54%	55%	89%	20%	55%	37%	46%	59%	88%	21%	41%	89%	24%	54%	57%	51%	48%	55%	54%	58%	43%	56%	54%	58%	60%	30%	46%	50%	65%	28%	49%	47%	55%	31%	44%	52%	52%	50%	59%	51%	53%	55%	24%	45%	81%	49%	60%	57%	43%	63%	62%	42%	73%	53%	43%	55%
Unsure/Don't know	7%	4%	3%	5%	12%	43%	4%	8%	4%	5%	36%	1%	3%	19%	6%	7%	14%	6%	6%	2%	17%	6%	6%	2%	6%	11%	7%	9%	5%	14%	2%	9%	7%	8%	11%	9%	8%	8%	6%	5%	9%	3%	4%	12%	3%	9%	3%	5%	9%	7%	3%	11%	3%	7%	6%	10%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

TQ3: If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Republican from your district or the Democrat from your district?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Republican	45%	47%	92%	3%	39%	10%	41%	47%	88%	5%	20%	88%	9%	40%	49%	40%	38%	41%	48%	50%	34%	46%	44%	50%	50%	21%	36%	41%	57%	18%	39%	37%	44%	24%	34%	44%	45%	39%	47%	45%	44%	45%	7%	33%	80%	40%	50%	47%	35%	52%	54%	36%	58%	41%	34%	47%
Democrat	42%	45%	3%	90%	30%	16%	50%	37%	4%	85%	10%	7%	85%	20%	39%	46%	40%	44%	41%	44%	40%	41%	43%	44%	38%	63%	53%	34%	33%	63%	53%	28%	42%	64%	53%	39%	39%	45%	40%	46%	39%	47%	86%	45%	12%	43%	42%	41%	52%	32%	37%	47%	28%	44%	57%	35%
Would not vote	5%	2%	2%	2%	10%	40%	3%	6%	3%	3%	26%	1%	1%	10%	5%	5%	9%	5%	4%	2%	9%	6%	4%	2%	4%	7%	6%	7%	3%	10%	6%	11%	5%	3%	6%	4%	4%	5%	6%	3%	6%	2%	2%	7%	4%	7%	3%	4%	5%	6%	3%	6%	7%	5%	3%	6%
Other/Unsure/Don't know	8%	6%	2%	5%	21%	34%	6%	10%	5%	6%	44%	3%	5%	29%	7%	9%	13%	10%	8%	4%	16%	7%	9%	4%	8%	9%	5%	18%	7%	9%	2%	24%	9%	10%	7%	13%	12%	10%	7%	6%	10%	6%	5%	15%	5%	10%	6%	8%	8%	10%	5%	11%	7%	10%	6%	13%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

I4: Would you say that your personal financial situation is improving or getting worse?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Improving	22%	23%	13%	32%	21%	13%	28%	18%	13%	32%	16%	13%	31%	22%	27%	17%	30%	24%	19%	14%	33%	26%	19%	14%	19%	37%	25%	20%	24%	41%	27%	26%	14%	33%	24%	14%	23%	22%	22%	20%	20%	25%	33%	22%	14%	17%	28%	19%	30%	16%	23%	36%	20%	16%	23%	13%
Getting worse	45%	44%	60%	28%	49%	36%	40%	48%	62%	27%	47%	62%	26%	37%	42%	48%	41%	48%	46%	44%	38%	49%	46%	44%	49%	30%	40%	34%	46%	30%	39%	25%	52%	30%	41%	43%	42%	46%	47%	42%	46%	43%	32%	42%	56%	49%	41%	45%	39%	52%	42%	34%	54%	48%	46%	50%
Neither	31%	31%	26%	38%	27%	33%	30%	31%	24%	38%	29%	23%	41%	41%	30%	32%	24%	27%	32%	40%	24%	24%	32%	40%	30%	30%	32%	41%	29%	28%	32%	43%	31%	32%	33%	40%	34%	28%	27%	37%	31%	31%	34%	32%	28%	31%	30%	33%	29%	28%	33%	29%	24%	33%	29%	32%
No opinion	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	18%	2%	2%	2%	2%	7%	2%	2%	0%	2%	3%	4%	1%	3%	2%	5%	1%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	5%	1%	1%	2%	7%	3%	5%	2%	3%	1%	4%	3%	1%	3%	1%	1%	4%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	3%	2%	1%	1%	3%	2%	5%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

F1: SUMMARY: TOP 2 BOX - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Kamala Harris	46%	48%	9%	88%	40%	33%	54%	41%	5%	91%	22%	8%	86%	42%	44%	48%	45%	48%	46%	45%	46%	45%	47%	45%	41%	68%	57%	42%	37%	69%	58%	39%	44%	66%	56%	45%	45%	50%	43%	48%	44%	48%	85%	50%	18%	49%	43%	45%	54%	37%	41%	51%	36%	48%	58%	38%
Donald Trump	45%	46%	86%	10%	37%	35%	41%	47%	86%	7%	21%	84%	10%	24%	49%	41%	43%	46%	46%	45%	41%	50%	43%	45%	49%	26%	41%	40%	55%	27%	44%	38%	44%	25%	37%	42%	48%	40%	48%	42%	48%	41%	12%	34%	77%	43%	47%	45%	40%	54%	51%	44%	54%	39%	34%	53%
J.D. Vance	38%	41%	74%	11%	27%	15%	38%	38%	70%	10%	13%	75%	11%	31%	46%	30%	30%	35%	42%	44%	28%	38%	38%	44%	44%	19%	25%	30%	52%	20%	39%	34%	36%	17%	12%	27%	39%	36%	40%	35%	35%	41%	10%	21%	71%	30%	47%	41%	29%	44%	49%	36%	54%	33%	21%	36%
Joe Biden	38%	39%	7%	75%	27%	33%	44%	33%	4%	74%	17%	5%	76%	6%	35%	40%	28%	39%	41%	42%	29%	33%	42%	42%	34%	57%	40%	36%	30%	59%	37%	39%	37%	54%	42%	32%	35%	42%	34%	40%	34%	42%	73%	39%	15%	40%	34%	34%	47%	32%	33%	43%	29%	35%	51%	35%
Tim Walz	36%	39%	9%	70%	28%	24%	45%	31%	7%	69%	17%	8%	74%	23%	34%	39%	28%	36%	39%	42%	29%	32%	39%	42%	35%	44%	36%	42%	31%	46%	38%	41%	39%	43%	34%	42%	35%	40%	34%	39%	31%	45%	71%	37%	14%	36%	38%	36%	43%	30%	34%	38%	28%	37%	48%	31%
Jill Stein	12%	13%	7%	17%	13%	0%	14%	11%	8%	17%	7%	8%	17%	27%	14%	10%	17%	18%	8%	6%	16%	20%	9%	6%	11%	18%	13%	18%	13%	17%	20%	19%	9%	18%	6%	17%	9%	10%	12%	17%	10%	15%	18%	11%	10%	10%	16%	10%	18%	9%	11%	22%	11%	9%	14%	8%
Cornel West	11%	12%	9%	14%	12%	0%	15%	9%	9%	14%	6%	10%	15%	20%	14%	9%	11%	17%	9%	9%	10%	18%	10%	9%	11%	15%	12%	15%	14%	14%	13%	16%	7%	15%	11%	14%	10%	11%	12%	12%	10%	14%	17%	10%	10%	9%	14%	10%	16%	7%	12%	20%	9%	9%	11%	6%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

F1: SUMMARY: BOTTOM 2 BOX - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Joe Biden	57%	58%	91%	22%	64%	32%	52%	61%	93%	22%	55%	92%	21%	85%	60%	55%	61%	56%	55%	58%	59%	61%	54%	58%	61%	34%	56%	62%	66%	29%	61%	56%	57%	40%	51%	68%	59%	51%	62%	54%	60%	54%	23%	54%	82%	54%	61%	61%	48%	63%	63%	50%	69%	58%	46%	59%
Donald Trump	51%	51%	13%	86%	57%	35%	56%	48%	13%	90%	50%	15%	88%	63%	47%	55%	49%	50%	51%	54%	49%	46%	53%	54%	47%	66%	56%	57%	41%	64%	56%	56%	53%	68%	57%	58%	49%	55%	48%	55%	48%	56%	85%	60%	21%	53%	50%	52%	57%	42%	46%	49%	43%	56%	65%	42%
Kamala Harris	49%	49%	90%	9%	52%	37%	43%	54%	93%	6%	47%	90%	11%	47%	53%	46%	47%	46%	51%	54%	45%	49%	49%	54%	55%	24%	39%	52%	60%	23%	42%	54%	51%	25%	36%	51%	50%	46%	53%	47%	50%	48%	13%	42%	80%	46%	54%	51%	40%	58%	56%	43%	62%	47%	38%	55%
J.D. Vance	43%	44%	12%	73%	44%	24%	48%	39%	14%	73%	33%	14%	74%	47%	39%	46%	37%	41%	43%	49%	38%	35%	45%	49%	40%	54%	43%	50%	35%	57%	37%	60%	45%	50%	48%	40%	42%	49%	38%	45%	39%	48%	75%	49%	16%	45%	41%	42%	52%	32%	39%	45%	29%	43%	59%	35%
Tim Walz	41%	42%	73%	12%	39%	25%	38%	43%	73%	11%	31%	76%	10%	51%	48%	34%	34%	38%	41%	50%	33%	38%	40%	50%	45%	29%	29%	36%	53%	30%	38%	47%	38%	28%	21%	26%	42%	41%	42%	38%	40%	42%	14%	29%	70%	36%	47%	43%	33%	46%	52%	38%	55%	35%	27%	39%
Jill Stein	29%	31%	35%	26%	25%	23%	31%	27%	34%	25%	23%	37%	26%	30%	34%	24%	25%	25%	32%	33%	25%	26%	30%	33%	30%	30%	26%	28%	35%	35%	30%	33%	25%	24%	21%	23%	32%	26%	29%	29%	28%	31%	31%	23%	34%	26%	32%	29%	30%	27%	35%	36%	28%	25%	22%	26%
Cornel West	24%	26%	28%	21%	24%	26%	27%	23%	28%	20%	26%	29%	23%	27%	31%	18%	22%	20%	23%	33%	23%	21%	21%	33%	25%	28%	18%	24%	31%	33%	28%	35%	19%	23%	9%	14%	25%	20%	25%	26%	23%	26%	23%	19%	30%	22%	28%	23%	26%	24%	30%	33%	29%	17%	19%	19%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

F1: SUMMARY: NEVER HEARD OF THEM - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Cornel West	27%	26%	27%	27%	26%	18%	21%	30%	27%	26%	21%	27%	24%	10%	21%	32%	32%	27%	31%	17%	30%	30%	30%	17%	28%	19%	29%	22%	22%	12%	25%	16%	33%	26%	32%	28%	32%	29%	26%	22%	28%	24%	25%	29%	25%	29%	25%	28%	23%	28%	24%	16%	22%	31%	33%	33%
Jill Stein	20%	19%	20%	18%	22%	25%	15%	23%	21%	18%	23%	19%	16%	5%	16%	24%	26%	19%	23%	13%	27%	21%	21%	13%	19%	17%	27%	21%	15%	14%	26%	19%	23%	21%	28%	22%	23%	22%	19%	17%	23%	16%	16%	23%	19%	25%	15%	20%	19%	21%	18%	14%	17%	22%	26%	25%
Tim Walz	7%	5%	5%	6%	11%	11%	5%	9%	7%	6%	14%	4%	5%	8%	5%	9%	13%	7%	6%	3%	13%	10%	5%	3%	6%	8%	11%	7%	4%	6%	10%	6%	8%	10%	12%	8%	10%	5%	6%	8%	10%	3%	5%	9%	6%	9%	5%	7%	7%	8%	4%	7%	5%	10%	7%	9%
J.D. Vance	6%	4%	5%	5%	8%	22%	4%	7%	5%	5%	17%	4%	4%	3%	5%	7%	11%	6%	5%	2%	13%	7%	5%	2%	5%	8%	12%	6%	4%	5%	12%	0%	6%	11%	12%	11%	9%	3%	6%	6%	8%	3%	5%	9%	4%	9%	3%	6%	5%	8%	4%	5%	5%	8%	5%	10%
Donald Trump	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	1%	1%	4%	2%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	3%	1%	0%	0%	1%	3%	0%	2%	1%	4%	0%	5%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	0%	0%	0%
Kamala Harris	1%	1%	0%	0%	2%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	2%	0%	0%	1%	2%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	3%	1%	0%	0%	5%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%
Joe Biden	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

F1: SUMMARY: NEVER HEARD/ NO OPINION - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Cornel West	64%	62%	63%	64%	64%	74%	58%	68%	62%	66%	68%	62%	62%	53%	55%	73%	67%	63%	68%	59%	68%	61%	69%	59%	65%	57%	70%	61%	55%	53%	59%	49%	74%	61%	80%	72%	65%	69%	62%	63%	67%	60%	60%	71%	60%	69%	58%	66%	58%	69%	58%	47%	62%	74%	70%	74%
Jill Stein	59%	57%	58%	57%	62%	77%	54%	62%	57%	59%	70%	55%	57%	42%	52%	66%	58%	57%	60%	61%	59%	54%	61%	61%	60%	53%	62%	54%	53%	48%	50%	48%	67%	57%	73%	61%	59%	64%	59%	54%	62%	54%	51%	66%	56%	64%	52%	61%	52%	64%	55%	41%	61%	67%	65%	66%
Tim Walz	23%	18%	18%	18%	34%	51%	17%	27%	21%	20%	52%	15%	16%	26%	18%	27%	38%	26%	19%	8%	39%	30%	21%	8%	20%	27%	35%	22%	16%	24%	24%	11%	23%	29%	45%	32%	23%	19%	25%	23%	29%	13%	15%	34%	16%	28%	16%	21%	24%	24%	14%	25%	17%	27%	24%	30%
J.D. Vance	20%	15%	14%	16%	29%	60%	14%	23%	16%	18%	55%	11%	15%	23%	15%	24%	33%	24%	15%	7%	34%	27%	17%	7%	16%	28%	32%	20%	13%	22%	23%	6%	19%	33%	40%	33%	19%	15%	22%	20%	26%	10%	15%	30%	12%	25%	13%	18%	20%	23%	11%	19%	17%	24%	20%	29%
Joe Biden	5%	3%	3%	3%	9%	35%	4%	6%	3%	4%	28%	2%	3%	10%	5%	5%	11%	5%	4%	0%	12%	6%	4%	0%	5%	9%	4%	2%	4%	12%	2%	4%	6%	6%	6%	0%	5%	6%	4%	5%	6%	3%	4%	8%	3%	5%	4%	5%	5%	4%	4%	7%	2%	6%	3%	6%
Kamala Harris	5%	3%	2%	3%	9%	30%	3%	5%	2%	3%	31%	1%	3%	11%	3%	6%	9%	6%	3%	1%	9%	6%	4%	1%	4%	8%	4%	5%	3%	8%	0%	7%	5%	9%	7%	4%	5%	4%	4%	5%	5%	4%	3%	8%	2%	5%	3%	4%	6%	4%	2%	6%	1%	6%	5%	7%
Donald Trump	4%	2%	1%	4%	6%	30%	2%	5%	1%	3%	30%	1%	2%	13%	4%	4%	8%	4%	3%	1%	10%	4%	3%	1%	3%	8%	3%	3%	4%	10%	0%	6%	3%	7%	6%	0%	4%	5%	4%	3%	5%	2%	3%	6%	2%	4%	3%	4%	4%	4%	3%	6%	3%	5%	0%	5%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

F1r1: Joe Biden - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	38%	39%	7%	75%	27%	33%	44%	33%	4%	74%	17%	5%	76%	6%	35%	40%	28%	39%	41%	42%	29%	33%	42%	42%	34%	57%	40%	36%	30%	59%	37%	39%	37%	54%	42%	32%	35%	42%	34%	40%	34%	42%	73%	39%	15%	40%	34%	34%	47%	32%	33%	43%	29%	35%	51%	35%
Very favorable	14%	16%	2%	30%	9%	14%	19%	11%	1%	29%	3%	2%	33%	0%	15%	14%	7%	15%	16%	19%	7%	13%	16%	19%	13%	24%	14%	12%	13%	28%	17%	16%	13%	20%	11%	8%	15%	14%	12%	18%	12%	18%	34%	12%	5%	16%	14%	11%	21%	12%	11%	25%	12%	12%	17%	13%
Favorable	23%	23%	5%	45%	18%	19%	25%	22%	3%	45%	14%	3%	43%	6%	20%	26%	21%	23%	25%	23%	22%	20%	26%	23%	21%	32%	26%	24%	18%	31%	20%	23%	24%	34%	31%	24%	21%	28%	22%	22%	22%	24%	39%	27%	10%	25%	21%	23%	26%	20%	22%	18%	17%	23%	35%	22%
Unfavorable	16%	16%	12%	15%	25%	7%	15%	17%	16%	14%	27%	13%	13%	30%	15%	17%	23%	18%	14%	10%	26%	19%	14%	10%	14%	18%	23%	23%	15%	12%	21%	22%	14%	24%	24%	24%	16%	11%	20%	14%	17%	15%	14%	22%	12%	16%	17%	17%	16%	14%	15%	17%	13%	19%	15%	14%
Very unfavorable	41%	42%	79%	7%	40%	25%	37%	44%	77%	8%	29%	79%	8%	55%	45%	38%	37%	38%	42%	48%	34%	42%	40%	48%	47%	17%	33%	39%	51%	17%	40%	35%	43%	16%	27%	44%	43%	40%	42%	40%	43%	40%	9%	32%	71%	39%	44%	44%	32%	50%	48%	32%	56%	39%	31%	45%
NET UNFAVORABLE	57%	58%	91%	22%	64%	32%	52%	61%	93%	22%	55%	92%	21%	85%	60%	55%	61%	56%	55%	58%	59%	61%	54%	58%	61%	34%	56%	62%	66%	29%	61%	56%	57%	40%	51%	68%	59%	51%	62%	54%	60%	54%	23%	54%	82%	54%	61%	61%	48%	63%	63%	50%	69%	58%	46%	59%
Never heard of them	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%
No opinion	5%	3%	2%	3%	8%	35%	4%	5%	2%	3%	28%	2%	3%	10%	4%	5%	10%	5%	4%	0%	10%	6%	4%	0%	4%	7%	4%	2%	3%	10%	2%	4%	5%	5%	6%	0%	5%	6%	4%	5%	6%	3%	3%	7%	3%	5%	4%	4%	5%	4%	3%	7%	2%	6%	3%	6%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

F1r2: Kamala Harris - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	46%	48%	9%	88%	40%	33%	54%	41%	5%	91%	22%	8%	86%	42%	44%	48%	45%	48%	46%	45%	46%	45%	47%	45%	41%	68%	57%	42%	37%	69%	58%	39%	44%	66%	56%	45%	45%	50%	43%	48%	44%	48%	85%	50%	18%	49%	43%	45%	54%	37%	41%	51%	36%	48%	58%	38%
Very favorable	25%	28%	3%	53%	17%	20%	32%	21%	1%	52%	5%	3%	52%	19%	26%	25%	18%	24%	28%	30%	18%	22%	27%	30%	23%	42%	25%	18%	22%	45%	30%	19%	24%	40%	21%	18%	24%	25%	24%	27%	23%	29%	54%	24%	9%	26%	24%	23%	32%	21%	21%	35%	21%	24%	28%	22%
Favorable	21%	20%	6%	35%	22%	13%	22%	20%	3%	39%	17%	5%	34%	23%	18%	23%	26%	24%	18%	15%	29%	23%	20%	15%	18%	25%	32%	24%	15%	25%	28%	20%	21%	25%	35%	28%	20%	25%	19%	21%	21%	20%	31%	26%	9%	23%	19%	22%	22%	16%	20%	16%	15%	23%	29%	17%
Unfavorable	10%	10%	11%	5%	17%	20%	10%	11%	16%	4%	18%	12%	4%	8%	10%	11%	12%	13%	10%	7%	14%	12%	11%	7%	10%	10%	8%	17%	10%	9%	9%	22%	11%	13%	7%	12%	12%	8%	12%	9%	11%	10%	7%	14%	10%	9%	12%	11%	10%	10%	9%	13%	9%	12%	7%	11%
Very unfavorable	39%	40%	79%	4%	35%	17%	33%	42%	77%	2%	29%	79%	7%	39%	43%	35%	34%	34%	41%	47%	31%	37%	38%	47%	45%	14%	31%	35%	50%	14%	33%	32%	40%	13%	30%	38%	38%	39%	41%	37%	39%	38%	6%	28%	70%	36%	42%	40%	30%	49%	47%	29%	54%	34%	31%	44%
NET UNFAVORABLE	49%	49%	90%	9%	52%	37%	43%	54%	93%	6%	47%	90%	11%	47%	53%	46%	47%	46%	51%	54%	45%	49%	49%	54%	55%	24%	39%	52%	60%	23%	42%	54%	51%	25%	36%	51%	50%	46%	53%	47%	50%	48%	13%	42%	80%	46%	54%	51%	40%	58%	56%	43%	62%	47%	38%	55%
Never heard of them	1%	1%	0%	0%	2%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	2%	0%	0%	1%	2%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	3%	1%	0%	0%	5%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%
No opinion	4%	2%	1%	3%	7%	30%	2%	5%	1%	2%	31%	1%	2%	11%	3%	5%	7%	6%	3%	0%	6%	6%	4%	0%	3%	8%	4%	3%	2%	8%	0%	1%	4%	8%	7%	4%	5%	4%	4%	4%	4%	3%	3%	7%	2%	5%	2%	3%	5%	4%	1%	6%	1%	5%	5%	6%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

F1r3: Donald Trump - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	45%	46%	86%	10%	37%	35%	41%	47%	86%	7%	21%	84%	10%	24%	49%	41%	43%	46%	46%	45%	41%	50%	43%	45%	49%	26%	41%	40%	55%	27%	44%	38%	44%	25%	37%	42%	48%	40%	48%	42%	48%	41%	12%	34%	77%	43%	47%	45%	40%	54%	51%	44%	54%	39%	34%	53%
Very favorable	26%	28%	58%	4%	14%	12%	25%	27%	53%	3%	2%	56%	4%	11%	29%	23%	22%	23%	27%	31%	19%	28%	24%	31%	29%	13%	25%	18%	33%	14%	28%	16%	26%	12%	22%	19%	26%	25%	28%	23%	29%	22%	4%	15%	51%	26%	26%	26%	20%	34%	32%	20%	36%	21%	20%	32%
Favorable	19%	19%	29%	7%	23%	23%	17%	20%	33%	5%	19%	28%	6%	13%	20%	18%	22%	22%	18%	13%	22%	22%	19%	13%	20%	13%	16%	22%	22%	13%	17%	21%	18%	13%	16%	22%	22%	16%	20%	18%	19%	19%	8%	19%	25%	17%	21%	18%	20%	19%	18%	24%	17%	18%	15%	21%
Unfavorable	11%	9%	7%	12%	15%	10%	9%	11%	9%	10%	23%	8%	9%	20%	11%	10%	14%	12%	11%	5%	14%	14%	11%	5%	10%	15%	11%	14%	11%	12%	10%	11%	8%	18%	11%	17%	13%	10%	11%	8%	11%	11%	10%	14%	8%	10%	11%	10%	12%	11%	7%	14%	15%	12%	9%	8%
Very unfavorable	41%	42%	6%	74%	43%	25%	47%	37%	4%	80%	27%	7%	78%	43%	36%	45%	35%	38%	40%	50%	35%	32%	43%	50%	38%	51%	45%	43%	31%	52%	45%	46%	45%	50%	45%	41%	35%	45%	37%	46%	37%	46%	75%	47%	13%	42%	39%	42%	45%	31%	39%	35%	29%	44%	57%	33%
NET UNFAVORABLE	51%	51%	13%	86%	57%	35%	56%	48%	13%	90%	50%	15%	88%	63%	47%	55%	49%	50%	51%	54%	49%	46%	53%	54%	47%	66%	56%	57%	41%	64%	56%	56%	53%	68%	57%	58%	49%	55%	48%	55%	48%	56%	85%	60%	21%	53%	50%	52%	57%	42%	46%	49%	43%	56%	65%	42%
Never heard of them	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	1%	1%	4%	2%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	3%	1%	0%	0%	1%	3%	0%	2%	1%	4%	0%	5%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	0%	0%	0%
No opinion	3%	1%	1%	2%	5%	30%	2%	4%	1%	1%	28%	1%	1%	10%	2%	3%	5%	3%	3%	0%	7%	3%	3%	0%	3%	6%	3%	1%	2%	5%	0%	1%	3%	6%	6%	0%	2%	4%	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%	5%	1%	3%	2%	3%	3%	3%	1%	4%	1%	4%	0%	5%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

F1r7: Cornel West - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	11%	12%	9%	14%	12%	0%	15%	9%	9%	14%	6%	10%	15%	20%	14%	9%	11%	17%	9%	9%	10%	18%	10%	9%	11%	15%	12%	15%	14%	14%	13%	16%	7%	15%	11%	14%	10%	11%	12%	12%	10%	14%	17%	10%	10%	9%	14%	10%	16%	7%	12%	20%	9%	9%	11%	6%
Very favorable	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	0%	4%	1%	3%	2%	1%	3%	2%	4%	3%	2%	3%	3%	1%	2%	2%	4%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	5%	4%	0%	1%	4%	1%	4%	2%	5%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	3%	1%	3%	2%	3%	3%	2%	1%	4%	3%	1%	2%	2%	1%
Favorable	9%	10%	7%	12%	9%	0%	11%	8%	7%	12%	5%	7%	13%	16%	11%	7%	8%	15%	7%	6%	8%	14%	9%	6%	8%	13%	10%	10%	10%	14%	12%	12%	6%	11%	9%	9%	8%	9%	10%	10%	8%	11%	14%	9%	7%	8%	11%	8%	14%	7%	8%	17%	8%	7%	10%	6%
Unfavorable	12%	12%	11%	11%	14%	13%	13%	11%	13%	10%	15%	11%	12%	18%	16%	8%	13%	11%	10%	13%	15%	13%	9%	13%	11%	18%	10%	10%	15%	20%	14%	18%	8%	16%	6%	4%	11%	9%	13%	13%	12%	12%	13%	11%	12%	11%	13%	11%	14%	10%	15%	18%	12%	7%	11%	9%
Very unfavorable	13%	13%	17%	10%	10%	13%	14%	11%	15%	10%	11%	17%	11%	9%	15%	10%	8%	8%	13%	20%	8%	8%	12%	20%	14%	10%	9%	14%	16%	13%	15%	18%	11%	7%	3%	10%	14%	12%	12%	13%	12%	14%	10%	8%	18%	11%	14%	13%	12%	14%	15%	15%	17%	10%	8%	11%
NET UNFAVORABLE	24%	26%	28%	21%	24%	26%	27%	23%	28%	20%	26%	29%	23%	27%	31%	18%	22%	20%	23%	33%	23%	21%	21%	33%	25%	28%	18%	24%	31%	33%	28%	35%	19%	23%	9%	14%	25%	20%	25%	26%	23%	26%	23%	19%	30%	22%	28%	23%	26%	24%	30%	33%	29%	17%	19%	19%
Never heard of them	27%	26%	27%	27%	26%	18%	21%	30%	27%	26%	21%	27%	24%	10%	21%	32%	32%	27%	31%	17%	30%	30%	30%	17%	28%	19%	29%	22%	22%	12%	25%	16%	33%	26%	32%	28%	32%	29%	26%	22%	28%	24%	25%	29%	25%	29%	25%	28%	23%	28%	24%	16%	22%	31%	33%	33%
No opinion	38%	36%	37%	37%	38%	55%	37%	38%	35%	39%	46%	35%	38%	43%	34%	41%	35%	36%	37%	42%	38%	31%	39%	42%	37%	38%	41%	39%	33%	41%	34%	33%	40%	36%	48%	44%	33%	40%	37%	40%	39%	36%	35%	42%	35%	40%	33%	38%	34%	41%	34%	32%	40%	42%	37%	41%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

F1r8: Jill Stein - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	12%	13%	7%	17%	13%	0%	14%	11%	8%	17%	7%	8%	17%	27%	14%	10%	17%	18%	8%	6%	16%	20%	9%	6%	11%	18%	13%	18%	13%	17%	20%	19%	9%	18%	6%	17%	9%	10%	12%	17%	10%	15%	18%	11%	10%	10%	16%	10%	18%	9%	11%	22%	11%	9%	14%	8%
Very favorable	2%	2%	1%	3%	2%	0%	3%	2%	1%	3%	2%	1%	4%	4%	3%	1%	3%	4%	1%	1%	3%	4%	1%	1%	2%	3%	0%	5%	3%	2%	0%	8%	1%	4%	0%	3%	2%	1%	2%	3%	1%	4%	4%	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	4%	1%	2%	7%	1%	1%	1%	1%
Favorable	10%	11%	6%	14%	11%	0%	11%	9%	7%	14%	5%	7%	14%	24%	11%	9%	14%	14%	7%	5%	13%	16%	8%	5%	9%	15%	13%	13%	9%	14%	20%	11%	8%	15%	6%	14%	7%	9%	10%	14%	9%	11%	14%	10%	7%	8%	12%	8%	14%	9%	9%	15%	11%	8%	13%	7%
Unfavorable	14%	15%	16%	13%	12%	19%	14%	14%	17%	12%	12%	17%	12%	13%	16%	12%	14%	15%	12%	15%	16%	15%	12%	15%	14%	16%	14%	15%	15%	16%	15%	22%	12%	17%	13%	8%	14%	10%	16%	14%	14%	13%	14%	13%	15%	13%	15%	14%	14%	14%	16%	17%	13%	13%	10%	14%
Very unfavorable	15%	16%	19%	13%	13%	3%	18%	13%	18%	13%	10%	20%	14%	17%	18%	12%	11%	10%	20%	18%	9%	12%	17%	18%	16%	13%	11%	13%	19%	19%	15%	12%	13%	7%	8%	14%	18%	16%	13%	15%	13%	18%	17%	9%	19%	13%	17%	15%	16%	13%	19%	19%	15%	12%	12%	12%
NET UNFAVORABLE	29%	31%	35%	26%	25%	23%	31%	27%	34%	25%	23%	37%	26%	30%	34%	24%	25%	25%	32%	33%	25%	26%	30%	33%	30%	30%	26%	28%	35%	35%	30%	33%	25%	24%	21%	23%	32%	26%	29%	29%	28%	31%	31%	23%	34%	26%	32%	29%	30%	27%	35%	36%	28%	25%	22%	26%
Never heard of them	20%	19%	20%	18%	22%	25%	15%	23%	21%	18%	23%	19%	16%	5%	16%	24%	26%	19%	23%	13%	27%	21%	21%	13%	19%	17%	27%	21%	15%	14%	26%	19%	23%	21%	28%	22%	23%	22%	19%	17%	23%	16%	16%	23%	19%	25%	15%	20%	19%	21%	18%	14%	17%	22%	26%	25%
No opinion	39%	38%	38%	39%	40%	53%	39%	39%	36%	40%	47%	36%	41%	37%	35%	42%	32%	38%	37%	48%	32%	33%	40%	48%	41%	35%	35%	34%	38%	35%	24%	28%	43%	36%	45%	39%	36%	42%	40%	37%	39%	38%	35%	43%	37%	39%	37%	41%	33%	42%	37%	28%	44%	45%	39%	41%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

F1r10: J.D. Vance - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	38%	41%	74%	11%	27%	15%	38%	38%	70%	10%	13%	75%	11%	31%	46%	30%	30%	35%	42%	44%	28%	38%	38%	44%	44%	19%	25%	30%	52%	20%	39%	34%	36%	17%	12%	27%	39%	36%	40%	35%	35%	41%	10%	21%	71%	30%	47%	41%	29%	44%	49%	36%	54%	33%	21%	36%
Very favorable	19%	22%	45%	3%	8%	0%	19%	19%	39%	3%	0%	44%	4%	10%	22%	17%	10%	15%	23%	28%	8%	17%	20%	28%	24%	6%	13%	9%	27%	6%	19%	6%	20%	7%	7%	12%	24%	16%	21%	16%	18%	21%	3%	7%	42%	15%	23%	22%	12%	23%	26%	14%	25%	18%	11%	21%
Favorable	19%	19%	29%	9%	19%	15%	19%	19%	31%	7%	13%	31%	7%	20%	24%	14%	20%	20%	18%	16%	19%	20%	18%	16%	20%	12%	12%	21%	26%	15%	20%	28%	16%	10%	5%	15%	15%	20%	19%	19%	17%	20%	8%	14%	29%	14%	23%	19%	16%	22%	23%	22%	29%	15%	10%	15%
Unfavorable	13%	13%	5%	19%	16%	14%	11%	14%	9%	16%	20%	7%	16%	24%	13%	14%	15%	13%	14%	10%	15%	13%	15%	10%	11%	24%	12%	20%	10%	29%	6%	28%	12%	19%	17%	13%	13%	13%	13%	13%	13%	13%	14%	19%	7%	16%	11%	13%	16%	10%	13%	15%	8%	13%	16%	11%
Very unfavorable	29%	32%	6%	54%	28%	11%	37%	25%	5%	56%	12%	7%	58%	22%	26%	32%	22%	28%	29%	39%	23%	22%	30%	39%	29%	30%	31%	29%	25%	28%	31%	33%	33%	31%	31%	27%	29%	35%	24%	32%	26%	35%	60%	30%	10%	30%	29%	28%	36%	23%	26%	30%	21%	30%	42%	24%
NET UNFAVORABLE	43%	44%	12%	73%	44%	24%	48%	39%	14%	73%	33%	14%	74%	47%	39%	46%	37%	41%	43%	49%	38%	35%	45%	49%	40%	54%	43%	50%	35%	57%	37%	60%	45%	50%	48%	40%	42%	49%	38%	45%	39%	48%	75%	49%	16%	45%	41%	42%	52%	32%	39%	45%	29%	43%	59%	35%
Never heard of them	6%	4%	5%	5%	8%	22%	4%	7%	5%	5%	17%	4%	4%	3%	5%	7%	11%	6%	5%	2%	13%	7%	5%	2%	5%	8%	12%	6%	4%	5%	12%	0%	6%	11%	12%	11%	9%	3%	6%	6%	8%	3%	5%	9%	4%	9%	3%	6%	5%	8%	4%	5%	5%	8%	5%	10%
No opinion	14%	11%	9%	12%	21%	38%	10%	15%	11%	13%	38%	7%	11%	20%	10%	17%	22%	18%	10%	5%	21%	20%	12%	5%	11%	20%	20%	14%	9%	17%	11%	6%	13%	23%	28%	22%	10%	12%	16%	14%	18%	8%	10%	21%	8%	16%	10%	12%	15%	16%	7%	14%	12%	16%	16%	19%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

F1r19: Tim Walz - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
NET FAVORABLE	36%	39%	9%	70%	28%	24%	45%	31%	7%	69%	17%	8%	74%	23%	34%	39%	28%	36%	39%	42%	29%	32%	39%	42%	35%	44%	36%	42%	31%	46%	38%	41%	39%	43%	34%	42%	35%	40%	34%	39%	31%	45%	71%	37%	14%	36%	38%	36%	43%	30%	34%	38%	28%	37%	48%	31%
Very favorable	17%	19%	3%	36%	10%	11%	22%	14%	1%	35%	4%	2%	38%	8%	16%	18%	12%	16%	18%	23%	11%	14%	18%	23%	16%	23%	18%	15%	14%	23%	19%	18%	18%	24%	17%	12%	16%	20%	15%	18%	14%	22%	40%	14%	6%	16%	18%	16%	21%	14%	15%	20%	12%	17%	24%	15%
Favorable	19%	21%	7%	33%	18%	13%	23%	17%	5%	34%	14%	6%	36%	15%	18%	20%	16%	20%	22%	19%	17%	17%	21%	19%	19%	21%	18%	27%	17%	23%	19%	23%	21%	19%	17%	30%	18%	20%	18%	21%	17%	23%	31%	23%	8%	20%	20%	20%	21%	16%	19%	18%	16%	20%	25%	16%
Unfavorable	13%	12%	15%	7%	17%	22%	11%	14%	18%	7%	19%	14%	6%	31%	14%	11%	16%	16%	10%	9%	14%	17%	12%	9%	12%	17%	11%	11%	13%	17%	13%	21%	11%	18%	8%	3%	14%	14%	12%	12%	14%	10%	8%	13%	15%	13%	13%	12%	14%	12%	12%	17%	14%	12%	10%	11%
Very unfavorable	28%	30%	58%	4%	22%	3%	27%	29%	55%	4%	12%	62%	4%	20%	34%	23%	18%	22%	31%	41%	18%	21%	29%	41%	33%	12%	19%	25%	40%	13%	25%	26%	26%	10%	13%	24%	28%	28%	30%	26%	26%	32%	6%	16%	55%	23%	34%	31%	19%	34%	40%	21%	41%	23%	17%	28%
NET UNFAVORABLE	41%	42%	73%	12%	39%	25%	38%	43%	73%	11%	31%	76%	10%	51%	48%	34%	34%	38%	41%	50%	33%	38%	40%	50%	45%	29%	29%	36%	53%	30%	38%	47%	38%	28%	21%	26%	42%	41%	42%	38%	40%	42%	14%	29%	70%	36%	47%	43%	33%	46%	52%	38%	55%	35%	27%	39%
Never heard of them	7%	5%	5%	6%	11%	11%	5%	9%	7%	6%	14%	4%	5%	8%	5%	9%	13%	7%	6%	3%	13%	10%	5%	3%	6%	8%	11%	7%	4%	6%	10%	6%	8%	10%	12%	8%	10%	5%	6%	8%	10%	3%	5%	9%	6%	9%	5%	7%	7%	8%	4%	7%	5%	10%	7%	9%
No opinion	16%	13%	12%	13%	22%	40%	12%	18%	13%	14%	38%	11%	10%	19%	13%	18%	25%	19%	14%	5%	25%	20%	16%	5%	14%	19%	24%	15%	12%	18%	14%	6%	15%	19%	33%	24%	13%	13%	19%	14%	19%	10%	10%	25%	10%	19%	11%	14%	18%	16%	10%	18%	11%	18%	17%	21%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

H1b: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican, and Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump	46%	47%	91%	6%	43%	23%	42%	49%	100%	0%	0%	90%	7%	29%	52%	42%	45%	42%	49%	50%	40%	48%	46%	50%	53%	18%	35%	45%	60%	24%	36%	45%	47%	12%	35%	44%	48%	45%	48%	45%	48%	45%	9%	37%	80%	43%	51%	48%	37%	57%	56%	41%	61%	41%	32%	54%
Kamala Harris	46%	49%	6%	90%	43%	13%	55%	41%	0%	100%	0%	7%	91%	44%	43%	50%	46%	48%	44%	48%	48%	44%	46%	48%	41%	72%	54%	41%	37%	68%	56%	37%	46%	77%	52%	44%	42%	48%	45%	51%	44%	50%	87%	52%	15%	49%	45%	46%	55%	35%	41%	50%	36%	51%	60%	35%
Don’t Know / Unsure	7%	4%	3%	4%	13%	63%	3%	10%	0%	0%	100%	4%	2%	26%	5%	9%	10%	10%	7%	2%	12%	8%	8%	2%	5%	9%	11%	14%	3%	8%	9%	18%	7%	11%	13%	12%	11%	7%	7%	5%	8%	5%	4%	11%	5%	8%	5%	6%	9%	8%	4%	9%	3%	8%	8%	12%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

H1bL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump	48%	52%	44%	38%	54%	49%	38%	50%	-	-	48%	61%	57%	35%	58%	43%	49%	55%	45%	18%	42%	58%	50%	18%	54%	30%	44%	56%	66%	26%	58%	72%	49%	32%	35%	35%	45%	40%	55%	50%	45%	58%	61%	51%	37%	48%	51%	50%	49%	44%	40%	61%	100%	55%	33%	31%
Kamala Harris	52%	48%	56%	62%	46%	51%	62%	50%	-	-	52%	39%	43%	65%	42%	57%	51%	45%	55%	82%	58%	42%	50%	82%	46%	70%	56%	44%	34%	74%	42%	28%	51%	68%	65%	65%	55%	60%	45%	50%	55%	42%	39%	50%	63%	52%	49%	50%	51%	56%	60%	39%	0%	45%	67%	69%
Column n	92	42	18	15	43	16	14	78	0	0	92	18	11	6	30	62	26	32	27	7	17	31	37	7	58	14	12	8	16	6	4	4	42	8	8	4	20	23	39	10	66	26	12	60	20	61	27	39	27	26	11	14	5	28	13	21

H1bM: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican, and Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump+leaners	50%	49%	92%	8%	50%	55%	43%	54%	100%	0%	48%	92%	8%	39%	55%	45%	49%	48%	52%	50%	45%	53%	50%	50%	56%	21%	40%	53%	62%	26%	41%	58%	51%	16%	40%	48%	52%	47%	52%	47%	51%	48%	11%	42%	82%	47%	53%	51%	41%	60%	57%	46%	64%	45%	35%	57%
Kamala Harris+leaners	50%	51%	8%	92%	50%	45%	57%	46%	0%	100%	52%	8%	92%	61%	45%	55%	51%	52%	48%	50%	55%	47%	50%	50%	44%	79%	60%	47%	38%	74%	59%	42%	49%	84%	60%	52%	48%	53%	48%	53%	49%	52%	89%	58%	18%	53%	47%	49%	59%	40%	43%	54%	36%	55%	65%	43%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

QH1DJT: Would you say your choice is more of a vote…
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
For Donald Trump	81%	82%	86%	70%	69%	86%	78%	82%	82%	-	64%	85%	57%	48%	80%	82%	79%	76%	84%	83%	79%	81%	80%	83%	81%	79%	80%	77%	80%	70%	90%	73%	83%	94%	71%	81%	82%	78%	85%	76%	83%	77%	79%	73%	85%	79%	82%	81%	81%	81%	83%	80%	74%	78%	83%	87%
Against Kamala Harris	19%	18%	14%	30%	31%	14%	22%	18%	18%	-	36%	15%	43%	52%	20%	18%	21%	24%	16%	17%	21%	19%	20%	17%	19%	21%	20%	23%	20%	30%	10%	27%	17%	6%	29%	19%	18%	22%	15%	24%	17%	23%	21%	27%	15%	21%	18%	19%	19%	19%	17%	20%	26%	22%	17%	13%
Column n	753	650	546	36	158	13	267	486	708	0	45	517	45	10	396	357	155	191	204	203	82	212	256	203	622	38	59	34	327	24	27	18	295	14	32	16	127	173	328	125	484	269	40	266	447	393	345	391	159	203	210	91	95	181	68	108

QH1KH: Would you say your choice is more of a vote…
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
For Kamala Harris	69%	68%	50%	73%	63%	72%	69%	69%	-	70%	61%	46%	70%	36%	71%	67%	69%	71%	75%	61%	70%	68%	74%	61%	66%	83%	74%	41%	68%	89%	74%	33%	64%	79%	74%	47%	76%	67%	73%	62%	75%	60%	74%	67%	60%	73%	64%	64%	72%	77%	65%	78%	72%	63%	67%	80%
Against Donald Trump	31%	32%	50%	27%	37%	28%	31%	31%	-	30%	39%	54%	30%	64%	29%	33%	31%	29%	25%	39%	30%	32%	26%	39%	34%	17%	26%	59%	32%	11%	26%	67%	36%	21%	26%	53%	24%	33%	27%	38%	25%	40%	26%	33%	40%	27%	36%	36%	28%	23%	35%	22%	28%	37%	33%	20%
Column n	758	675	48	534	165	11	366	392	0	711	47	43	540	16	323	435	154	204	190	210	103	187	258	210	503	151	71	33	211	66	32	14	292	85	39	19	126	191	295	146	454	304	352	329	77	428	318	392	232	134	159	113	51	233	119	83

LW1: Regardless of who you support, if you had to pick, who do you think is more likely to win in the presidential election in November, Kamala Harris or Donald Trump?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Kamala Harris	48%	49%	11%	85%	49%	38%	55%	44%	6%	90%	50%	13%	84%	59%	45%	51%	48%	51%	46%	48%	51%	46%	49%	48%	43%	74%	55%	43%	40%	71%	51%	37%	46%	77%	58%	49%	46%	48%	47%	52%	48%	49%	84%	54%	21%	52%	44%	44%	59%	43%	39%	55%	43%	49%	63%	42%
Donald Trump	52%	51%	89%	15%	51%	62%	45%	56%	94%	10%	50%	87%	16%	41%	55%	49%	52%	49%	54%	52%	49%	54%	51%	52%	57%	26%	45%	57%	60%	29%	49%	63%	54%	23%	42%	51%	54%	52%	53%	48%	52%	51%	16%	46%	79%	48%	56%	56%	41%	57%	61%	45%	57%	51%	37%	58%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

H2b: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate	46%	48%	91%	6%	42%	32%	42%	49%	97%	1%	12%	90%	8%	25%	52%	42%	45%	42%	48%	50%	40%	47%	46%	50%	53%	18%	40%	45%	59%	21%	41%	46%	46%	15%	38%	44%	46%	43%	49%	46%	47%	45%	10%	35%	81%	42%	52%	49%	36%	56%	56%	40%	61%	42%	32%	52%
Kamala Harris, running as the Democratic party candidate	45%	47%	6%	89%	39%	19%	54%	39%	1%	94%	9%	7%	89%	29%	42%	48%	42%	46%	44%	47%	44%	41%	46%	47%	39%	70%	53%	45%	35%	69%	51%	45%	43%	70%	55%	44%	41%	47%	43%	50%	43%	49%	85%	51%	14%	48%	42%	44%	54%	34%	40%	50%	33%	47%	59%	35%
Cornel West, running as an independent candidate	1%	1%	0%	1%	4%	0%	1%	1%	0%	2%	5%	0%	1%	11%	1%	1%	3%	2%	1%	0%	4%	2%	0%	0%	1%	3%	3%	0%	1%	1%	6%	0%	1%	6%	0%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	4%	2%	1%	1%
Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate	1%	1%	0%	1%	3%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	7%	0%	1%	12%	1%	1%	2%	1%	0%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	4%	1%	0%	0%	5%	1%	0%	0%	3%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	0%
Don't Know / Unsure	6%	3%	2%	3%	13%	49%	2%	9%	2%	1%	67%	2%	2%	23%	4%	8%	8%	9%	6%	2%	9%	7%	7%	2%	6%	9%	5%	6%	4%	9%	2%	4%	8%	9%	7%	8%	11%	7%	5%	3%	7%	4%	2%	12%	3%	8%	3%	5%	7%	8%	2%	8%	3%	7%	6%	12%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

H2bL: Between the four choices, which way do you lean right now?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate	35%	29%	53%	29%	30%	41%	38%	34%	75%	0%	33%	60%	21%	18%	38%	33%	27%	34%	51%	12%	23%	43%	39%	12%	34%	34%	52%	21%	25%	48%	100%	71%	38%	19%	37%	0%	34%	40%	43%	0%	43%	16%	17%	37%	34%	39%	32%	29%	39%	37%	30%	39%	48%	29%	40%	35%
Kamala Harris, running as the Democratic party candidate	42%	36%	31%	46%	42%	47%	0%	49%	0%	100%	41%	36%	57%	43%	31%	48%	44%	38%	39%	70%	47%	34%	41%	70%	44%	52%	17%	34%	35%	33%	0%	0%	47%	70%	22%	48%	44%	52%	42%	13%	35%	59%	59%	42%	39%	46%	45%	56%	31%	36%	62%	27%	0%	55%	38%	43%
Cornel West, running as an independent candidate	12%	17%	9%	0%	19%	6%	38%	8%	21%	0%	12%	0%	8%	40%	21%	8%	12%	20%	0%	18%	11%	11%	13%	18%	14%	5%	0%	36%	34%	0%	0%	0%	5%	11%	0%	52%	18%	0%	12%	26%	11%	15%	0%	13%	13%	7%	12%	8%	20%	8%	0%	27%	27%	10%	10%	4%
Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate	11%	18%	7%	25%	8%	6%	24%	9%	4%	0%	13%	3%	14%	0%	10%	11%	17%	8%	10%	0%	19%	12%	7%	0%	8%	9%	31%	9%	6%	19%	0%	29%	10%	0%	41%	0%	5%	8%	3%	61%	11%	11%	24%	9%	14%	8%	11%	6%	9%	19%	7%	8%	25%	6%	11%	18%
Column n	83	33	15	13	42	13	10	73	10	9	64	13	9	5	24	59	22	30	24	7	15	27	34	7	61	13	5	4	15	6	1	2	46	7	4	2	22	23	32	6	60	23	6	62	15	58	20	34	25	24	7	13	4	27	12	20

H2bM: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump+leaners	49%	48%	92%	7%	46%	52%	43%	52%	98%	1%	34%	92%	8%	29%	53%	44%	47%	45%	51%	51%	43%	51%	48%	51%	55%	21%	42%	46%	60%	25%	43%	49%	49%	17%	41%	44%	49%	46%	51%	46%	50%	46%	10%	39%	82%	45%	53%	50%	39%	59%	56%	43%	62%	45%	34%	56%
Kamala Harris+leaners	48%	48%	6%	90%	44%	42%	54%	44%	1%	96%	36%	7%	90%	39%	43%	52%	45%	50%	47%	48%	48%	44%	49%	48%	42%	74%	54%	47%	37%	72%	51%	45%	47%	77%	56%	48%	46%	51%	45%	50%	45%	51%	86%	56%	15%	51%	44%	47%	56%	37%	42%	52%	33%	51%	62%	41%
Cornel West+leaners	2%	2%	0%	1%	6%	3%	2%	2%	1%	2%	14%	0%	1%	20%	2%	2%	4%	4%	1%	0%	5%	3%	1%	0%	2%	4%	3%	2%	2%	1%	6%	0%	2%	7%	0%	5%	3%	2%	2%	1%	3%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	3%	1%	3%	4%	3%	2%	1%
Jill Stein+leaners	2%	2%	1%	1%	4%	3%	2%	2%	0%	1%	16%	0%	1%	12%	1%	2%	3%	2%	1%	1%	4%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	5%	1%	2%	0%	6%	2%	0%	3%	3%	1%	1%	1%	3%	2%	1%	3%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

H2bMEV: : If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for? (including Early voters choice)
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Donald Trump+leaners	49%	49%	92%	8%	46%	49%	43%	52%	99%	1%	33%	92%	7%	29%	54%	44%	47%	45%	51%	51%	44%	50%	48%	51%	55%	20%	40%	49%	61%	24%	41%	53%	49%	16%	40%	44%	50%	47%	51%	45%	51%	46%	10%	40%	81%	45%	53%	50%	39%	59%	57%	43%	63%	44%	34%	56%
Kamala Harris+leaners	48%	49%	7%	91%	45%	46%	55%	44%	1%	96%	38%	8%	91%	44%	43%	53%	47%	50%	46%	49%	49%	45%	49%	49%	42%	75%	56%	45%	37%	72%	52%	42%	48%	78%	60%	48%	46%	50%	46%	52%	46%	51%	86%	56%	16%	52%	44%	47%	57%	38%	41%	52%	33%	52%	62%	42%
Cornel West+leaners	2%	1%	0%	1%	5%	3%	1%	2%	0%	1%	14%	1%	1%	14%	2%	2%	3%	3%	1%	0%	3%	3%	2%	0%	1%	4%	2%	2%	1%	2%	4%	0%	1%	6%	0%	4%	3%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	3%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	0%	2%	4%	2%	2%	1%
Jill Stein+leaners	2%	1%	1%	1%	4%	3%	1%	2%	0%	1%	15%	0%	1%	13%	2%	1%	3%	2%	1%	0%	4%	2%	1%	0%	1%	1%	2%	4%	1%	2%	4%	5%	2%	0%	0%	4%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

HORSE0501: Have you made up your mind on who you will vote for in the 2024 presidential election or are you still weighing the choices?
	Total	Likely Voters	Party ID				Early Voters Status		2024 Vote Choice			2020 Horserace Choice			Gender		Age				Age 2				Race				Male				Female				Region				Education		Political Ideology			Income		Locale			Male			Female
	Total	Likely Voters (T2B)	Republican	Democrat	Independent	Other	Early Voters	Non Early Voters	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris	Don’t Know / Unsure	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	White	Black/AA	Hispanic	Other	Northeast	Midwest	South	West	<4-year	4-year+	Liberal	Moderate	Conservative	<$75k	$75k+	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural	Suburban	Urban	Rural
Have made up my mind	89%	93%	93%	94%	78%	64%	96%	84%	93%	93%	35%	93%	94%	84%	90%	88%	82%	86%	89%	98%	81%	84%	89%	98%	90%	85%	87%	91%	91%	86%	87%	92%	89%	83%	88%	90%	86%	86%	89%	93%	87%	91%	94%	82%	93%	86%	92%	90%	87%	88%	94%	83%	90%	87%	91%	86%
Still weighing the choices	11%	7%	7%	6%	22%	36%	4%	16%	7%	7%	65%	7%	6%	16%	10%	12%	18%	14%	11%	2%	19%	16%	11%	2%	10%	15%	13%	9%	9%	14%	13%	8%	11%	17%	12%	10%	14%	14%	11%	7%	13%	9%	6%	18%	7%	14%	8%	10%	13%	12%	6%	17%	10%	13%	9%	14%
Column n	1,511	1,325	594	570	323	24	633	878	708	711	92	560	585	26	719	792	309	395	394	413	185	399	514	413	1,125	189	130	67	538	90	59	32	587	99	71	35	253	364	623	271	938	573	392	595	524	821	663	783	391	337	369	204	146	414	187	191

Nature of Sample


Total	Total	100%
Gender	Male	49%
	Female	51%
Age	18-29	16%
	30-44	24%
	45-64	36%
	65+	24%
Race	White	70%
	Black/AA	12%
	Hispanic	12%
	Other	6%
Region	Northeast	18%
	Midwest	21%
	South	37%
	West	24%
Income	Less than $50K	34%
	$50K to $99K	30%
	$100K +	34%
	Decline to answer	3%
Area	Suburban	50%
	Urban	30%
	Rural	20%
Party affiliation	Democrat	37%
	Independent	25%
	Republican	36%
	Other	2%
Political ideology	Liberal	24%
	Moderate	38%
	Conservative	38%
EducationXGender	College grad Male	18%
	College grad Female	22%
	Non-college Male	31%
	Non-college Female	29%