HarrisX Overnight Poll: July 19-21, 2024 Poll of Registered Voters Nationwide

This survey was conducted online within the United States from July 19th – July 21st, 2024, among 2,753 registered voters via the HarrisX Overnight Poll. Respondents for the HarrisX Overnight Poll are recruited through opt-in, web-panel recruitment sampling. Recruitment occurs through a broad variety of professional, validated respondent panels to expand the sampling frame as wide as possible and minimize the impact of any given panel on recruiting methods.

The results reflect a nationally representative sample of registered voters. Results were weighted for age, gender, region, race/ethnicity, income, political party, education, ideology and area type where necessary to align them with their actual proportions in the population. The margin of error for the total sample is +/- 1.9 percentage points.

TQ6: Do you think the country is generally on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Right track

21%

21%

21%

23%

9%

38%

14%

7%

23%

19%

21%

21%

19%

31%

22%

24%

19%

27%

17%

20%

41%

28%

27%

18%

25%

16%

19%

Wrong track

68%

69%

68%

69%

87%

48%

73%

58%

68%

69%

65%

69%

73%

53%

63%

60%

70%

60%

77%

73%

48%

58%

58%

73%

56%

67%

63%

Unsure/Don't know

11%

10%

11%

8%

4%

14%

13%

35%

9%

12%

14%

10%

8%

17%

15%

16%

11%

13%

6%

7%

12%

13%

15%

9%

19%

17%

18%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

M2: In general, do you think the American economy is on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Right track

26%

25%

26%

27%

10%

46%

19%

18%

28%

23%

22%

27%

24%

32%

26%

27%

24%

31%

20%

25%

43%

34%

30%

23%

26%

18%

22%

Wrong track

66%

66%

66%

66%

87%

43%

71%

59%

64%

68%

68%

65%

69%

55%

65%

59%

67%

59%

74%

69%

49%

59%

54%

70%

58%

70%

66%

Don't know/Unsure

8%

9%

8%

7%

3%

11%

10%

23%

7%

9%

10%

8%

7%

13%

10%

14%

9%

9%

5%

6%

9%

7%

16%

7%

16%

12%

11%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

TQ1: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President of the United States?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

NET APPROVE

38%

38%

37%

39%

9%

73%

28%

24%

35%

40%

36%

38%

34%

58%

38%

33%

37%

45%

28%

31%

61%

41%

34%

37%

56%

35%

32%

Strongly approve

16%

17%

15%

18%

4%

34%

6%

10%

16%

16%

11%

17%

14%

26%

16%

11%

14%

22%

12%

13%

30%

21%

15%

16%

24%

11%

5%

Somewhat approve

22%

22%

22%

21%

5%

38%

22%

15%

20%

24%

25%

21%

20%

32%

23%

22%

23%

24%

16%

18%

32%

20%

19%

21%

32%

25%

27%

Somewhat disapprove

18%

17%

18%

15%

13%

17%

25%

12%

16%

19%

25%

15%

15%

17%

25%

32%

18%

18%

16%

14%

13%

20%

34%

16%

20%

29%

30%

Strongly disapprove

41%

42%

41%

45%

77%

7%

42%

35%

46%

38%

32%

45%

49%

17%

32%

30%

42%

32%

54%

53%

22%

36%

26%

45%

15%

28%

36%

NET DISAPPROVE

59%

58%

60%

60%

90%

25%

66%

47%

62%

56%

57%

60%

64%

35%

57%

62%

60%

50%

69%

67%

34%

56%

60%

61%

35%

58%

66%

Unsure/Don't know

3%

3%

3%

2%

1%

3%

6%

29%

3%

4%

7%

2%

2%

8%

5%

4%

3%

4%

2%

2%

5%

3%

6%

2%

9%

7%

2%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

TQVP: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kamala Harris is doing as Vice President of the United States?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

NET APPROVE

38%

37%

39%

39%

9%

73%

29%

23%

35%

41%

42%

37%

34%

59%

42%

33%

37%

49%

25%

29%

62%

43%

34%

38%

57%

41%

31%

Strongly approve

17%

17%

17%

19%

4%

37%

8%

8%

16%

18%

14%

18%

15%

31%

18%

8%

15%

24%

12%

13%

37%

20%

9%

17%

27%

18%

8%

Somewhat approve

21%

21%

21%

21%

6%

36%

21%

15%

19%

23%

28%

19%

19%

28%

23%

25%

22%

25%

13%

16%

25%

23%

25%

21%

30%

23%

24%

Somewhat disapprove

14%

13%

15%

12%

12%

11%

20%

16%

15%

13%

18%

13%

12%

12%

21%

22%

15%

11%

16%

13%

14%

20%

27%

12%

10%

21%

13%

Strongly disapprove

40%

41%

39%

44%

75%

7%

39%

20%

45%

36%

27%

44%

48%

16%

25%

30%

42%

30%

51%

54%

18%

28%

26%

43%

15%

23%

37%

NET DISAPPROVE

54%

54%

54%

56%

87%

18%

59%

36%

59%

48%

44%

57%

60%

28%

46%

52%

56%

41%

67%

66%

32%

48%

54%

55%

25%

44%

50%

Unsure/Don't know

8%

9%

8%

5%

3%

9%

12%

41%

6%

10%

14%

6%

6%

13%

12%

15%

7%

10%

8%

5%

6%

9%

12%

7%

17%

15%

19%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

TQCong: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is doing its job?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

NET APPROVE

25%

26%

25%

25%

25%

31%

18%

10%

26%

25%

30%

24%

22%

32%

28%

32%

23%

29%

24%

23%

33%

33%

27%

22%

32%

24%

41%

Strongly approve

5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

7%

3%

1%

6%

5%

10%

4%

4%

10%

6%

3%

4%

8%

3%

4%

14%

6%

6%

4%

8%

7%

0%

Somewhat approve

20%

20%

19%

20%

20%

24%

15%

9%

20%

20%

20%

20%

18%

22%

22%

29%

19%

21%

21%

19%

19%

28%

22%

18%

24%

17%

41%

Somewhat disapprove

36%

37%

36%

37%

39%

34%

36%

23%

37%

36%

34%

37%

38%

32%

33%

37%

38%

34%

36%

37%

35%

35%

41%

39%

31%

30%

32%

Strongly disapprove

29%

28%

30%

31%

29%

25%

35%

23%

33%

25%

23%

31%

32%

18%

28%

19%

30%

25%

32%

37%

19%

25%

24%

27%

17%

31%

11%

NET DISAPPROVE

65%

65%

66%

68%

68%

59%

71%

46%

69%

61%

56%

68%

70%

50%

61%

56%

68%

59%

68%

73%

54%

60%

65%

66%

47%

61%

42%

Unsure/Don't know

10%

10%

10%

7%

7%

10%

11%

44%

5%

14%

14%

8%

8%

18%

11%

11%

9%

12%

8%

4%

13%

6%

8%

12%

21%

15%

17%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

TQRep: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republican Party is handling its job?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

NET APPROVE

39%

40%

38%

42%

74%

13%

28%

11%

43%

35%

37%

39%

44%

21%

32%

34%

39%

35%

44%

47%

32%

37%

33%

41%

14%

28%

36%

Strongly approve

14%

14%

13%

15%

29%

4%

6%

2%

15%

12%

15%

13%

15%

10%

13%

5%

13%

15%

13%

16%

16%

15%

6%

15%

6%

11%

4%

Somewhat approve

25%

26%

25%

27%

45%

9%

22%

10%

28%

22%

23%

26%

29%

11%

19%

29%

26%

20%

31%

32%

15%

22%

27%

26%

9%

17%

31%

Somewhat disapprove

20%

21%

20%

18%

17%

20%

27%

7%

22%

19%

21%

20%

19%

24%

19%

26%

20%

18%

24%

21%

21%

26%

27%

18%

26%

12%

24%

Strongly disapprove

35%

33%

36%

37%

7%

63%

33%

35%

31%

38%

32%

36%

32%

43%

40%

31%

34%

40%

26%

29%

40%

30%

35%

35%

45%

50%

23%

NET DISAPPROVE

55%

54%

56%

56%

24%

83%

60%

42%

53%

57%

53%

56%

51%

68%

59%

56%

55%

58%

50%

50%

62%

56%

62%

53%

71%

62%

47%

Unsure/Don't know

6%

6%

6%

3%

2%

4%

12%

47%

4%

9%

10%

5%

4%

12%

9%

10%

6%

7%

5%

3%

7%

7%

5%

6%

15%

10%

17%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

TQDem: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democratic Party is handling its job?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

NET APPROVE

36%

36%

36%

37%

12%

67%

24%

13%

34%

38%

38%

35%

32%

49%

41%

34%

35%

42%

28%

29%

54%

44%

34%

36%

47%

38%

32%

Strongly approve

13%

13%

13%

14%

6%

25%

5%

1%

12%

13%

13%

13%

11%

21%

13%

10%

11%

18%

10%

10%

25%

14%

11%

12%

18%

12%

8%

Somewhat approve

23%

23%

23%

23%

6%

43%

19%

12%

21%

24%

25%

22%

21%

29%

27%

24%

24%

24%

19%

18%

29%

30%

23%

23%

29%

25%

24%

Somewhat disapprove

23%

23%

23%

22%

20%

21%

28%

19%

23%

22%

28%

21%

21%

24%

24%

33%

22%

25%

20%

22%

25%

22%

38%

21%

24%

26%

24%

Strongly disapprove

36%

36%

36%

39%

65%

8%

36%

23%

39%

32%

24%

39%

42%

15%

28%

21%

37%

26%

46%

47%

15%

30%

18%

38%

14%

26%

25%

NET DISAPPROVE

58%

58%

58%

61%

85%

29%

64%

42%

62%

54%

52%

60%

63%

39%

52%

54%

59%

51%

66%

68%

40%

52%

56%

59%

38%

52%

50%

Unsure/Don't know

6%

6%

6%

3%

2%

4%

12%

45%

4%

8%

9%

5%

4%

12%

8%

13%

6%

7%

6%

3%

6%

5%

10%

6%

15%

10%

18%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

TQ3: If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Republican from your district or the Democrat from your district?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Republican

44%

45%

43%

49%

92%

5%

35%

5%

51%

37%

37%

46%

50%

18%

37%

38%

45%

33%

56%

57%

26%

46%

39%

45%

13%

29%

36%

Democrat

39%

38%

39%

41%

3%

85%

24%

9%

34%

43%

40%

38%

34%

58%

44%

36%

37%

48%

27%

30%

58%

37%

39%

38%

57%

50%

33%

Other

4%

4%

5%

3%

1%

1%

13%

11%

5%

3%

7%

3%

4%

5%

6%

3%

5%

3%

4%

5%

5%

7%

2%

3%

6%

4%

6%

Would not vote

4%

5%

4%

1%

1%

3%

9%

22%

3%

5%

8%

3%

3%

7%

6%

10%

4%

5%

4%

2%

5%

2%

11%

4%

8%

8%

10%

Unsure/Don't know

9%

9%

9%

7%

3%

6%

20%

53%

7%

11%

8%

10%

9%

12%

8%

12%

9%

11%

9%

7%

5%

7%

10%

11%

16%

9%

16%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

F1 SUMMARY OF TOP 2 BOX - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump

45%

46%

44%

48%

86%

11%

39%

20%

52%

38%

42%

46%

50%

25%

41%

40%

46%

36%

55%

55%

37%

54%

39%

45%

17%

29%

40%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

39%

40%

38%

40%

47%

32%

39%

19%

41%

37%

42%

38%

38%

37%

45%

36%

39%

38%

40%

40%

40%

48%

33%

36%

36%

43%

40%

Joe Biden

38%

40%

37%

39%

7%

75%

29%

22%

34%

42%

35%

39%

34%

56%

40%

37%

36%

47%

28%

30%

52%

39%

39%

38%

59%

41%

34%

Kamala Harris

39%

38%

39%

40%

9%

75%

29%

14%

33%

43%

40%

38%

33%

61%

45%

38%

38%

47%

27%

27%

57%

44%

38%

38%

63%

46%

38%

J.D. Vance

34%

35%

32%

38%

64%

11%

27%

3%

39%

29%

24%

37%

40%

17%

25%

25%

34%

27%

42%

45%

25%

31%

22%

35%

13%

19%

28%

Nikki Haley

31%

32%

30%

35%

48%

17%

28%

6%

36%

27%

19%

35%

36%

21%

15%

27%

34%

24%

35%

41%

25%

18%

28%

31%

18%

12%

25%

Cornel West

13%

14%

11%

13%

10%

16%

11%

6%

15%

11%

13%

13%

10%

24%

14%

12%

11%

17%

10%

13%

25%

18%

14%

8%

23%

11%

9%

Jill Stein

12%

12%

12%

12%

8%

16%

11%

3%

13%

10%

20%

9%

10%

16%

19%

10%

11%

16%

8%

11%

18%

24%

13%

9%

15%

14%

6%

Marianne Williamson

9%

10%

8%

9%

8%

12%

7%

0%

11%

8%

15%

7%

7%

16%

15%

10%

8%

13%

7%

7%

21%

19%

12%

6%

13%

11%

6%

Nicole Shanahan

9%

10%

8%

8%

8%

11%

8%

0%

11%

7%

15%

7%

7%

15%

12%

10%

8%

11%

7%

8%

17%

17%

12%

5%

14%

8%

7%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

F1 SUMMARY OF BOTTOM 2 BOX - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Joe Biden

58%

56%

59%

59%

90%

22%

65%

41%

62%

53%

56%

58%

63%

35%

56%

55%

60%

47%

69%

67%

42%

57%

54%

58%

31%

54%

58%

Kamala Harris

53%

53%

53%

56%

86%

18%

58%

37%

59%

47%

45%

56%

60%

28%

43%

49%

55%

42%

64%

66%

35%

47%

49%

54%

24%

39%

49%

Donald Trump

52%

50%

53%

51%

13%

87%

55%

51%

45%

58%

52%

52%

48%

66%

56%

55%

51%

60%

43%

43%

57%

42%

57%

52%

72%

69%

52%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

40%

39%

41%

43%

33%

48%

38%

24%

43%

36%

26%

44%

43%

32%

33%

34%

41%

39%

38%

46%

40%

36%

35%

40%

27%

30%

32%

Nikki Haley

38%

36%

39%

41%

27%

51%

34%

16%

41%

35%

35%

38%

37%

34%

44%

41%

38%

41%

32%

39%

43%

47%

44%

35%

28%

41%

35%

J.D. Vance

34%

32%

36%

37%

12%

58%

32%

26%

36%

33%

32%

35%

35%

36%

32%

35%

36%

37%

27%

35%

36%

34%

42%

34%

36%

29%

24%

Jill Stein

25%

24%

26%

27%

30%

23%

22%

9%

30%

20%

23%

25%

26%

20%

25%

23%

25%

23%

28%

32%

27%

29%

20%

21%

15%

21%

27%

Cornel West

24%

21%

26%

25%

26%

24%

22%

9%

29%

18%

23%

24%

23%

25%

28%

21%

25%

24%

22%

29%

31%

38%

22%

18%

21%

19%

20%

Marianne Williamson

21%

20%

22%

22%

24%

20%

19%

10%

25%

17%

20%

21%

21%

19%

22%

21%

20%

22%

21%

25%

24%

30%

22%

18%

15%

16%

19%

Nicole Shanahan

15%

14%

17%

15%

16%

16%

13%

15%

19%

12%

19%

14%

14%

18%

21%

13%

16%

16%

14%

17%

22%

25%

13%

11%

15%

17%

13%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

F1 SUMMARY OF NEVER HEARD OF THEM - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them 2

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Nicole Shanahan

46%

48%

45%

47%

46%

46%

48%

29%

42%

50%

42%

47%

48%

40%

44%

39%

47%

43%

48%

45%

32%

37%

37%

52%

44%

50%

42%

Marianne Williamson

40%

42%

38%

40%

40%

39%

41%

28%

35%

44%

40%

40%

42%

36%

34%

37%

41%

35%

42%

38%

25%

26%

32%

45%

43%

41%

44%

Cornel West

33%

35%

31%

32%

34%

33%

33%

20%

27%

39%

39%

31%

36%

21%

31%

34%

35%

29%

35%

29%

16%

18%

33%

42%

24%

42%

37%

Jill Stein

28%

31%

25%

27%

29%

26%

29%

28%

23%

33%

31%

27%

28%

30%

30%

21%

28%

26%

30%

24%

25%

18%

18%

31%

34%

41%

25%

J.D. Vance

14%

16%

13%

11%

10%

15%

19%

18%

10%

18%

24%

11%

10%

24%

24%

19%

13%

16%

14%

7%

18%

17%

18%

13%

28%

31%

19%

Nikki Haley

13%

14%

12%

10%

10%

14%

15%

16%

9%

17%

23%

10%

10%

22%

20%

12%

11%

15%

13%

7%

15%

12%

11%

12%

26%

27%

14%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

4%

2%

3%

6%

1%

2%

4%

4%

6%

2%

3%

2%

1%

4%

3%

8%

2%

5%

4%

2%

Kamala Harris

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

6%

2%

2%

5%

1%

1%

1%

4%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

3%

3%

1%

1%

6%

0%

Joe Biden

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

2%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

Donald Trump

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

2%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

F1 SUMMARY OF NEVER HEARD OF THEM/NO OPINION - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them 2 2

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Nicole Shanahan

76%

76%

76%

76%

76%

73%

79%

85%

71%

81%

67%

79%

79%

68%

67%

77%

77%

73%

79%

74%

61%

58%

75%

84%

72%

75%

80%

Marianne Williamson

70%

70%

69%

69%

68%

68%

74%

90%

64%

75%

64%

72%

72%

66%

63%

69%

72%

65%

73%

68%

55%

51%

66%

76%

72%

73%

75%

Cornel West

64%

64%

63%

62%

64%

60%

67%

85%

56%

71%

64%

64%

67%

52%

58%

67%

64%

59%

69%

59%

44%

44%

64%

74%

57%

70%

71%

Jill Stein

63%

64%

63%

62%

62%

61%

67%

88%

57%

70%

57%

66%

64%

64%

57%

67%

64%

61%

65%

58%

55%

47%

67%

71%

70%

65%

67%

J.D. Vance

32%

32%

31%

25%

24%

31%

41%

71%

25%

38%

44%

28%

26%

47%

44%

40%

30%

36%

31%

20%

40%

35%

35%

31%

52%

52%

48%

Nikki Haley

32%

32%

31%

25%

25%

32%

37%

78%

24%

39%

46%

27%

27%

46%

41%

32%

29%

35%

33%

20%

32%

34%

27%

34%

54%

47%

40%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

21%

21%

22%

17%

20%

20%

23%

56%

16%

26%

32%

18%

19%

31%

22%

30%

20%

23%

23%

14%

20%

16%

31%

23%

38%

27%

29%

Kamala Harris

8%

9%

8%

5%

5%

6%

13%

49%

7%

9%

15%

6%

7%

11%

12%

13%

7%

10%

9%

6%

8%

9%

13%

7%

13%

15%

14%

Joe Biden

5%

5%

4%

2%

3%

3%

6%

37%

4%

5%

9%

3%

3%

9%

5%

7%

4%

6%

3%

3%

7%

4%

7%

4%

10%

5%

8%

Donald Trump

3%

4%

3%

1%

1%

3%

6%

29%

3%

4%

7%

2%

2%

9%

3%

5%

3%

4%

2%

2%

6%

4%

4%

2%

10%

2%

8%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

F1r1: Joe Biden - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

NET FAVORABLE

38%

40%

37%

39%

7%

75%

29%

22%

34%

42%

35%

39%

34%

56%

40%

37%

36%

47%

28%

30%

52%

39%

39%

38%

59%

41%

34%

Very favorable

16%

16%

16%

17%

2%

36%

6%

8%

14%

18%

11%

17%

14%

30%

16%

11%

14%

22%

12%

11%

30%

17%

14%

16%

30%

15%

7%

Favorable

22%

23%

21%

22%

5%

39%

23%

14%

20%

24%

24%

21%

20%

26%

24%

26%

22%

25%

16%

19%

21%

22%

26%

22%

29%

26%

27%

Unfavorable

16%

14%

18%

14%

13%

15%

23%

12%

15%

17%

24%

13%

14%

14%

22%

24%

16%

16%

15%

15%

15%

15%

25%

14%

14%

29%

23%

Very unfavorable

42%

42%

41%

44%

77%

7%

42%

29%

47%

37%

32%

45%

48%

20%

34%

31%

43%

31%

54%

52%

27%

43%

29%

44%

16%

25%

35%

NET UNFAVORABLE

58%

56%

59%

59%

90%

22%

65%

41%

62%

53%

56%

58%

63%

35%

56%

55%

60%

47%

69%

67%

42%

57%

54%

58%

31%

54%

58%

Never heard of them

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

2%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

No opinion

4%

4%

4%

2%

2%

3%

6%

37%

3%

5%

7%

3%

3%

8%

4%

7%

3%

5%

3%

2%

6%

3%

7%

3%

10%

5%

8%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

F1r2: Kamala Harris - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

NET FAVORABLE

39%

38%

39%

40%

9%

75%

29%

14%

33%

43%

40%

38%

33%

61%

45%

38%

38%

47%

27%

27%

57%

44%

38%

38%

63%

46%

38%

Very favorable

17%

17%

17%

18%

3%

37%

9%

6%

15%

19%

13%

18%

14%

34%

17%

9%

16%

23%

12%

12%

38%

20%

8%

17%

32%

15%

9%

Favorable

22%

21%

22%

21%

5%

39%

21%

7%

18%

25%

26%

20%

19%

27%

28%

29%

22%

25%

15%

15%

19%

24%

29%

22%

31%

31%

28%

Unfavorable

14%

14%

14%

13%

14%

11%

19%

18%

14%

14%

17%

13%

14%

10%

16%

20%

14%

13%

14%

14%

12%

13%

22%

14%

8%

18%

18%

Very unfavorable

39%

40%

39%

43%

73%

7%

39%

19%

45%

33%

28%

43%

46%

18%

27%

29%

41%

29%

50%

53%

22%

34%

28%

40%

15%

21%

31%

NET UNFAVORABLE

53%

53%

53%

56%

86%

18%

58%

37%

59%

47%

45%

56%

60%

28%

43%

49%

55%

42%

64%

66%

35%

47%

49%

54%

24%

39%

49%

Never heard of them

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

6%

2%

2%

5%

1%

1%

1%

4%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

3%

3%

1%

1%

6%

0%

No opinion

7%

7%

7%

4%

3%

5%

11%

44%

6%

8%

11%

5%

6%

10%

8%

11%

6%

8%

7%

5%

6%

7%

10%

6%

13%

9%

14%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

F1r3: Donald Trump - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

NET FAVORABLE

45%

46%

44%

48%

86%

11%

39%

20%

52%

38%

42%

46%

50%

25%

41%

40%

46%

36%

55%

55%

37%

54%

39%

45%

17%

29%

40%

Very favorable

29%

31%

28%

33%

61%

6%

20%

4%

35%

24%

24%

31%

34%

15%

26%

16%

29%

25%

37%

38%

25%

35%

18%

30%

8%

17%

12%

Favorable

16%

15%

16%

15%

24%

5%

19%

16%

17%

14%

18%

15%

16%

10%

15%

24%

17%

12%

18%

17%

13%

20%

21%

15%

9%

12%

29%

Unfavorable

11%

11%

11%

9%

7%

10%

18%

14%

11%

11%

13%

10%

10%

15%

13%

12%

10%

11%

12%

10%

12%

11%

11%

9%

18%

15%

13%

Very unfavorable

41%

39%

42%

41%

7%

76%

38%

37%

35%

47%

38%

42%

38%

51%

43%

43%

41%

48%

31%

33%

45%

31%

46%

44%

55%

54%

39%

NET UNFAVORABLE

52%

50%

53%

51%

13%

87%

55%

51%

45%

58%

52%

52%

48%

66%

56%

55%

51%

60%

43%

43%

57%

42%

57%

52%

72%

69%

52%

Never heard of them

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

2%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

No opinion

3%

3%

3%

1%

1%

2%

5%

29%

2%

3%

5%

2%

2%

8%

3%

4%

3%

3%

2%

1%

5%

3%

2%

2%

9%

2%

8%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

F1r4: Nikki Haley - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

NET FAVORABLE

31%

32%

30%

35%

48%

17%

28%

6%

36%

27%

19%

35%

36%

21%

15%

27%

34%

24%

35%

41%

25%

18%

28%

31%

18%

12%

25%

Very favorable

7%

7%

6%

8%

11%

4%

4%

0%

8%

5%

5%

7%

8%

6%

3%

5%

7%

6%

7%

9%

9%

3%

6%

6%

5%

3%

4%

Favorable

24%

25%

24%

27%

36%

13%

24%

6%

27%

21%

14%

28%

29%

14%

12%

22%

27%

18%

27%

32%

16%

15%

23%

26%

13%

9%

20%

Unfavorable

19%

19%

19%

20%

17%

22%

19%

2%

22%

17%

18%

19%

19%

18%

19%

25%

19%

20%

16%

21%

21%

20%

30%

17%

16%

18%

17%

Very unfavorable

19%

17%

20%

21%

11%

28%

15%

14%

19%

18%

18%

19%

18%

16%

25%

16%

18%

21%

16%

18%

22%

27%

14%

18%

12%

23%

19%

NET UNFAVORABLE

38%

36%

39%

41%

27%

51%

34%

16%

41%

35%

35%

38%

37%

34%

44%

41%

38%

41%

32%

39%

43%

47%

44%

35%

28%

41%

35%

Never heard of them

13%

14%

12%

10%

10%

14%

15%

16%

9%

17%

23%

10%

10%

22%

20%

12%

11%

15%

13%

7%

15%

12%

11%

12%

26%

27%

14%

No opinion

19%

18%

19%

15%

15%

18%

22%

62%

15%

22%

23%

17%

17%

24%

21%

20%

17%

20%

21%

13%

18%

22%

16%

21%

28%

20%

26%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

F1r16: Marianne Williamson - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

NET FAVORABLE

9%

10%

8%

9%

8%

12%

7%

0%

11%

8%

15%

7%

7%

16%

15%

10%

8%

13%

7%

7%

21%

19%

12%

6%

13%

11%

6%

Very favorable

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

4%

1%

0%

3%

2%

3%

2%

1%

6%

4%

0%

2%

3%

2%

2%

10%

5%

0%

1%

4%

4%

0%

Favorable

7%

7%

6%

7%

6%

9%

6%

0%

8%

6%

12%

5%

5%

10%

11%

10%

6%

10%

5%

6%

12%

14%

12%

5%

9%

8%

6%

Unfavorable

11%

9%

12%

11%

11%

11%

11%

4%

13%

9%

12%

10%

11%

10%

11%

14%

11%

11%

11%

13%

12%

14%

16%

9%

8%

8%

12%

Very unfavorable

10%

10%

10%

11%

13%

8%

8%

6%

12%

8%

8%

11%

10%

9%

12%

7%

10%

11%

10%

12%

12%

16%

6%

9%

7%

8%

7%

NET UNFAVORABLE

21%

20%

22%

22%

24%

20%

19%

10%

25%

17%

20%

21%

21%

19%

22%

21%

20%

22%

21%

25%

24%

30%

22%

18%

15%

16%

19%

Never heard of them

40%

42%

38%

40%

40%

39%

41%

28%

35%

44%

40%

40%

42%

36%

34%

37%

41%

35%

42%

38%

25%

26%

32%

45%

43%

41%

44%

No opinion

30%

28%

32%

29%

28%

29%

32%

62%

29%

31%

25%

32%

30%

29%

29%

33%

30%

30%

31%

30%

29%

25%

34%

31%

29%

32%

31%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

F1r17: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

NET FAVORABLE

39%

40%

38%

40%

47%

32%

39%

19%

41%

37%

42%

38%

38%

37%

45%

36%

39%

38%

40%

40%

40%

48%

33%

36%

36%

43%

40%

Very favorable

9%

10%

9%

9%

9%

9%

10%

6%

10%

9%

13%

8%

8%

13%

16%

8%

9%

11%

8%

8%

15%

18%

5%

7%

13%

14%

11%

Favorable

30%

30%

29%

31%

37%

23%

29%

14%

31%

28%

30%

30%

31%

24%

29%

28%

30%

27%

32%

32%

25%

30%

28%

29%

23%

29%

28%

Unfavorable

21%

21%

20%

21%

21%

20%

21%

15%

23%

18%

15%

22%

22%

15%

19%

21%

22%

20%

19%

25%

19%

19%

21%

19%

12%

18%

22%

Very unfavorable

19%

18%

20%

22%

12%

28%

17%

9%

20%

18%

11%

22%

21%

17%

15%

13%

20%

19%

19%

21%

21%

17%

14%

21%

14%

12%

10%

NET UNFAVORABLE

40%

39%

41%

43%

33%

48%

38%

24%

43%

36%

26%

44%

43%

32%

33%

34%

41%

39%

38%

46%

40%

36%

35%

40%

27%

30%

32%

Never heard of them

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

4%

2%

3%

6%

1%

2%

4%

4%

6%

2%

3%

2%

1%

4%

3%

8%

2%

5%

4%

2%

No opinion

19%

18%

20%

15%

18%

18%

20%

52%

14%

23%

25%

17%

17%

27%

18%

25%

17%

20%

21%

13%

16%

12%

23%

21%

33%

23%

27%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

F1r18: Cornel West - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

NET FAVORABLE

13%

14%

11%

13%

10%

16%

11%

6%

15%

11%

13%

13%

10%

24%

14%

12%

11%

17%

10%

13%

25%

18%

14%

8%

23%

11%

9%

Very favorable

3%

4%

3%

4%

3%

4%

2%

1%

3%

4%

4%

3%

2%

10%

4%

2%

2%

5%

3%

3%

8%

2%

1%

2%

11%

6%

3%

Favorable

9%

10%

8%

10%

7%

12%

9%

4%

12%

7%

9%

9%

8%

14%

10%

11%

9%

12%

7%

10%

18%

16%

13%

6%

12%

5%

6%

Unfavorable

12%

9%

14%

11%

11%

13%

12%

5%

14%

9%

16%

11%

11%

12%

17%

15%

12%

13%

10%

13%

13%

21%

14%

8%

11%

14%

15%

Very unfavorable

12%

12%

12%

13%

15%

11%

10%

4%

15%

9%

8%

13%

13%

13%

10%

6%

13%

11%

12%

15%

18%

17%

7%

10%

10%

5%

5%

NET UNFAVORABLE

24%

21%

26%

25%

26%

24%

22%

9%

29%

18%

23%

24%

23%

25%

28%

21%

25%

24%

22%

29%

31%

38%

22%

18%

21%

19%

20%

Never heard of them

33%

35%

31%

32%

34%

33%

33%

20%

27%

39%

39%

31%

36%

21%

31%

34%

35%

29%

35%

29%

16%

18%

33%

42%

24%

42%

37%

No opinion

31%

29%

32%

30%

30%

27%

34%

66%

29%

32%

25%

32%

31%

31%

27%

32%

29%

31%

33%

30%

28%

26%

31%

32%

32%

28%

35%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

F1r22: Jill Stein - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

NET FAVORABLE

12%

12%

12%

12%

8%

16%

11%

3%

13%

10%

20%

9%

10%

16%

19%

10%

11%

16%

8%

11%

18%

24%

13%

9%

15%

14%

6%

Very favorable

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

4%

1%

3%

3%

2%

5%

2%

2%

5%

4%

3%

2%

4%

2%

2%

6%

4%

2%

1%

4%

3%

6%

Favorable

9%

9%

9%

9%

6%

12%

9%

0%

11%

8%

15%

7%

8%

11%

15%

7%

9%

12%

6%

8%

12%

20%

12%

7%

11%

11%

0%

Unfavorable

13%

12%

13%

13%

13%

12%

13%

4%

15%

10%

13%

12%

13%

11%

13%

14%

12%

12%

15%

16%

16%

15%

10%

10%

8%

11%

19%

Very unfavorable

12%

11%

13%

13%

16%

10%

10%

5%

15%

10%

10%

13%

13%

9%

12%

9%

13%

11%

13%

16%

11%

14%

10%

11%

8%

10%

8%

NET UNFAVORABLE

25%

24%

26%

27%

30%

23%

22%

9%

30%

20%

23%

25%

26%

20%

25%

23%

25%

23%

28%

32%

27%

29%

20%

21%

15%

21%

27%

Never heard of them

28%

31%

25%

27%

29%

26%

29%

28%

23%

33%

31%

27%

28%

30%

30%

21%

28%

26%

30%

24%

25%

18%

18%

31%

34%

41%

25%

No opinion

36%

34%

37%

35%

32%

36%

38%

59%

34%

37%

26%

39%

37%

34%

27%

46%

36%

35%

34%

34%

30%

30%

48%

39%

36%

24%

43%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

F1r23: Nicole Shanahan - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

NET FAVORABLE

9%

10%

8%

8%

8%

11%

8%

0%

11%

7%

15%

7%

7%

15%

12%

10%

8%

11%

7%

8%

17%

17%

12%

5%

14%

8%

7%

Very favorable

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

3%

1%

0%

2%

2%

4%

1%

1%

6%

3%

1%

2%

3%

1%

2%

6%

2%

2%

1%

5%

4%

0%

Favorable

7%

7%

6%

7%

7%

8%

6%

0%

9%

5%

11%

5%

6%

9%

9%

9%

6%

8%

6%

7%

11%

15%

11%

5%

8%

4%

7%

Unfavorable

7%

6%

8%

7%

8%

8%

7%

4%

9%

6%

10%

7%

6%

9%

11%

8%

7%

8%

7%

8%

10%

15%

4%

4%

9%

8%

13%

Very unfavorable

8%

8%

8%

8%

9%

8%

6%

11%

10%

6%

9%

8%

8%

8%

10%

5%

8%

8%

7%

9%

12%

11%

9%

6%

6%

9%

0%

NET UNFAVORABLE

15%

14%

17%

15%

16%

16%

13%

15%

19%

12%

19%

14%

14%

18%

21%

13%

16%

16%

14%

17%

22%

25%

13%

11%

15%

17%

13%

Never heard of them

46%

48%

45%

47%

46%

46%

48%

29%

42%

50%

42%

47%

48%

40%

44%

39%

47%

43%

48%

45%

32%

37%

37%

52%

44%

50%

42%

No opinion

30%

29%

31%

29%

30%

27%

31%

56%

29%

31%

24%

32%

31%

28%

23%

38%

29%

30%

31%

30%

29%

21%

38%

32%

27%

25%

38%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

F133: J.D. Vance - Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group - or if you've never heard of them.

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

TOP 2 BOX

34%

35%

32%

38%

64%

11%

27%

3%

39%

29%

24%

37%

40%

17%

25%

25%

34%

27%

42%

45%

25%

31%

22%

35%

13%

19%

28%

Very favorable

14%

15%

13%

16%

32%

2%

7%

2%

16%

12%

7%

16%

17%

4%

9%

10%

15%

10%

18%

19%

5%

8%

11%

15%

3%

10%

9%

Favorable

20%

20%

19%

22%

32%

9%

20%

1%

23%

16%

17%

21%

22%

13%

15%

14%

20%

17%

24%

25%

19%

22%

12%

19%

10%

9%

19%

Unfavorable

12%

12%

12%

12%

7%

16%

14%

6%

13%

11%

14%

11%

12%

14%

11%

16%

13%

12%

10%

13%

13%

10%

20%

10%

14%

12%

9%

Very unfavorable

22%

20%

24%

25%

5%

42%

18%

20%

22%

22%

18%

24%

23%

22%

21%

20%

23%

25%

17%

22%

23%

25%

22%

24%

21%

17%

16%

BOTTOM 2 BOX

34%

32%

36%

37%

12%

58%

32%

26%

36%

33%

32%

35%

35%

36%

32%

35%

36%

37%

27%

35%

36%

34%

42%

34%

36%

29%

24%

Never heard of them

14%

16%

13%

11%

10%

15%

19%

18%

10%

18%

24%

11%

10%

24%

24%

19%

13%

16%

14%

7%

18%

17%

18%

13%

28%

31%

19%

No opinion

18%

16%

19%

14%

15%

16%

22%

53%

15%

20%

21%

16%

16%

23%

20%

21%

17%

19%

17%

13%

22%

18%

17%

19%

23%

21%

28%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

H1a: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican and Joe Biden, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump

48%

49%

47%

51%

91%

9%

45%

23%

57%

40%

45%

49%

54%

24%

44%

42%

49%

38%

61%

60%

36%

58%

45%

48%

16%

31%

36%

Joe Biden

40%

39%

40%

41%

5%

82%

29%

29%

35%

44%

39%

40%

36%

60%

41%

38%

38%

49%

30%

31%

55%

34%

40%

40%

63%

48%

36%

Don’t Know / Unsure

12%

12%

13%

8%

4%

9%

26%

49%

9%

16%

15%

11%

10%

16%

15%

20%

13%

12%

10%

8%

8%

8%

15%

13%

21%

22%

29%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

H1L: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump

43%

47%

39%

43%

72%

25%

44%

54%

45%

42%

34%

47%

50%

28%

30%

49%

42%

37%

57%

52%

32%

26%

36%

48%

27%

32%

61%

Joe Biden

57%

53%

61%

57%

28%

75%

56%

46%

55%

58%

66%

53%

50%

72%

70%

51%

58%

63%

43%

48%

68%

74%

64%

52%

73%

68%

39%

Unweighted Sample

333

146

187

161

44

78

185

26

124

209

103

230

218

58

34

23

178

97

58

91

13

9

11

127

45

25

12

H1M: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican and Joe Biden, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump + leaners

53%

54%

52%

54%

94%

11%

56%

49%

60%

47%

51%

54%

59%

28%

48%

51%

54%

43%

66%

65%

39%

60%

51%

54%

22%

37%

53%

Joe Biden + leaners

47%

46%

48%

46%

6%

89%

44%

51%

40%

53%

49%

46%

41%

72%

52%

49%

46%

57%

34%

35%

61%

40%

49%

46%

78%

63%

47%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

H6: If the 2024 election for President were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican, Joe Biden, the Democrat, and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. , the Independent, who would you vote for?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump

43%

45%

42%

47%

86%

9%

34%

21%

51%

36%

39%

45%

49%

22%

37%

35%

44%

35%

53%

56%

31%

50%

38%

43%

16%

26%

30%

Joe Biden

34%

34%

34%

36%

4%

72%

23%

16%

31%

37%

30%

35%

31%

51%

33%

34%

32%

42%

27%

28%

52%

29%

38%

35%

50%

38%

27%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

14%

14%

15%

12%

7%

14%

26%

13%

12%

17%

21%

12%

13%

15%

23%

15%

15%

14%

12%

11%

11%

17%

12%

14%

17%

29%

20%

Don’t Know / Unsure

8%

8%

8%

4%

3%

5%

16%

50%

6%

10%

10%

8%

7%

13%

6%

16%

9%

8%

8%

5%

7%

4%

12%

8%

17%

8%

23%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

H6LEAN: And if you had to choose, would you vote for Donald Trump, Joe Biden or. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump

32%

34%

31%

38%

63%

19%

34%

16%

34%

32%

24%

36%

38%

15%

29%

40%

35%

19%

46%

38%

24%

40%

20%

38%

13%

24%

56%

Joe Biden

31%

25%

36%

32%

10%

46%

26%

44%

26%

33%

37%

28%

26%

45%

30%

29%

29%

43%

17%

21%

44%

45%

20%

29%

46%

22%

37%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

37%

41%

34%

30%

27%

34%

40%

40%

41%

35%

40%

36%

36%

40%

41%

31%

36%

38%

37%

41%

32%

14%

60%

34%

41%

54%

7%

Unweighted Sample

223

100

123

96

34

47

117

25

83

140

69

154

144

46

14

19

115

62

46

59

10

5

9

85

36

9

10

H6M: If the 2024 election for President were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican, Joe Biden, the Democrat, and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. , the Independent, who would you vote for?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump + leaners

46%

47%

45%

49%

88%

10%

40%

29%

53%

39%

41%

48%

52%

24%

39%

41%

47%

37%

57%

58%

32%

52%

41%

46%

18%

28%

42%

Joe Biden + leaners

37%

36%

37%

38%

4%

74%

27%

38%

32%

41%

34%

37%

33%

57%

35%

38%

34%

46%

28%

29%

55%

31%

40%

37%

58%

39%

36%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. + leaners

17%

17%

18%

14%

8%

16%

33%

33%

14%

21%

25%

15%

15%

20%

26%

20%

18%

17%

15%

13%

13%

17%

19%

17%

24%

33%

22%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

H2a: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate

43%

45%

42%

47%

86%

8%

36%

21%

51%

36%

39%

45%

49%

21%

36%

37%

44%

34%

54%

55%

30%

49%

39%

44%

15%

25%

34%

Joe Biden, running as the Democratic party candidate

34%

34%

34%

36%

4%

73%

21%

14%

30%

37%

32%

35%

31%

51%

35%

34%

32%

42%

26%

27%

50%

29%

38%

34%

52%

41%

27%

Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., running as an independent candidate

12%

11%

13%

11%

6%

12%

22%

9%

11%

13%

17%

11%

11%

12%

18%

13%

13%

12%

11%

10%

12%

15%

11%

12%

12%

21%

16%

Cornel West, running as an independent candidate

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

4%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

4%

1%

0%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

0%

0%

1%

5%

1%

0%

Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

6%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

0%

Don't Know / Unsure

8%

8%

8%

4%

3%

5%

17%

48%

6%

10%

9%

8%

7%

11%

9%

16%

8%

8%

7%

5%

6%

7%

11%

8%

15%

11%

24%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

H2L: Between the five choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump, running as the Republican party candidate

28%

28%

28%

31%

66%

16%

29%

10%

34%

25%

26%

29%

30%

14%

35%

32%

26%

24%

40%

41%

21%

31%

23%

24%

12%

38%

38%

Joe Biden, running as the Democratic party candidate

32%

32%

32%

38%

10%

54%

27%

36%

33%

32%

30%

33%

27%

58%

25%

23%

33%

41%

12%

29%

52%

49%

18%

26%

60%

12%

27%

Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., running as an independent candidate

28%

30%

27%

23%

24%

22%

34%

19%

23%

30%

28%

28%

31%

18%

25%

34%

26%

25%

38%

22%

13%

21%

41%

36%

19%

28%

29%

Cornel West, running as an independent candidate

6%

5%

7%

6%

0%

2%

7%

18%

6%

6%

7%

6%

5%

6%

10%

8%

9%

4%

4%

6%

14%

0%

10%

5%

4%

15%

7%

Jill Stein, running as the Green party candidate

6%

5%

6%

2%

0%

6%

4%

17%

3%

7%

9%

4%

7%

4%

5%

4%

6%

6%

6%

3%

0%

0%

8%

9%

5%

7%

0%

Unweighted Sample

216

98

118

91

29

44

118

25

80

136

64

152

134

41

22

19

111

63

42

53

10

8

9

81

31

14

10

H2M: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between the following candidates, who would you vote for?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump + leaners

46%

47%

44%

48%

88%

9%

40%

26%

53%

39%

41%

47%

51%

22%

40%

42%

47%

36%

57%

57%

31%

51%

41%

46%

17%

29%

42%

Joe Biden + leaners

37%

37%

37%

38%

4%

76%

26%

31%

32%

41%

34%

37%

32%

58%

37%

37%

35%

46%

27%

28%

53%

32%

40%

36%

61%

42%

33%

Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. + leaners

15%

14%

15%

12%

7%

13%

28%

19%

12%

17%

20%

13%

13%

14%

20%

18%

15%

15%

14%

11%

13%

16%

15%

15%

15%

24%

23%

Cornel West + leaners

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

5%

10%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

5%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

0%

1%

1%

6%

3%

2%

Jill Stein + leaners

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

2%

14%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

3%

2%

1%

2%

0%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

H1b: If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican, and Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump

50%

51%

49%

52%

92%

11%

48%

28%

58%

42%

46%

51%

56%

25%

45%

45%

51%

39%

63%

62%

37%

58%

45%

50%

17%

34%

45%

Kamala Harris

41%

40%

42%

42%

5%

83%

33%

26%

35%

47%

44%

40%

36%

65%

45%

40%

40%

50%

30%

31%

54%

36%

40%

41%

71%

52%

40%

Don't know/Unsure

9%

9%

9%

6%

3%

6%

20%

46%

7%

11%

10%

9%

8%

11%

10%

15%

9%

11%

7%

7%

8%

6%

14%

9%

12%

14%

16%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

H1bL: Between the two choices, which way do you lean right now?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump

39%

39%

38%

35%

65%

24%

41%

32%

42%

37%

42%

37%

43%

28%

40%

27%

36%

38%

46%

46%

33%

57%

19%

41%

25%

33%

38%

Kamala Harris

61%

61%

62%

65%

35%

76%

59%

68%

58%

63%

58%

63%

57%

72%

60%

73%

64%

62%

54%

54%

67%

43%

81%

59%

75%

67%

62%

Unweighted Sample

250

113

137

120

29

56

140

25

106

144

62

188

171

38

23

18

121

84

45

77

11

7

11

94

27

16

7

H1bM: : If the 2024 election for president were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican, and Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump + leaners

53%

54%

52%

54%

94%

13%

56%

43%

61%

46%

51%

54%

59%

27%

49%

49%

54%

43%

66%

65%

40%

61%

48%

54%

20%

39%

51%

Kamala Harris + leaners

47%

46%

48%

46%

6%

87%

44%

57%

39%

54%

49%

46%

41%

73%

51%

51%

46%

57%

34%

35%

60%

39%

52%

46%

80%

61%

49%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

QDNOM1: Regardless of who you may support in the general election, who do you think should be the Democratic nominee for president in November 2024?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Joe Biden

40%

41%

40%

41%

38%

45%

36%

43%

45%

36%

36%

42%

40%

42%

40%

40%

40%

41%

41%

44%

51%

47%

47%

37%

37%

34%

29%

Kamala Harris

38%

36%

39%

36%

29%

45%

39%

35%

33%

42%

51%

33%

34%

49%

48%

30%

36%

42%

34%

31%

42%

39%

25%

37%

53%

57%

39%

Another Democrat

22%

23%

22%

23%

32%

10%

25%

22%

22%

22%

13%

25%

26%

9%

11%

30%

24%

17%

25%

25%

7%

14%

28%

27%

10%

9%

32%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

QDNOM2: And now regardless of who you think should be the Democratic nominee for president, who do you think would have the best chance of winning against Donald Trump in November 2024?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Joe Biden

41%

43%

40%

40%

35%

49%

37%

45%

42%

40%

44%

40%

40%

47%

41%

41%

39%

44%

41%

41%

46%

42%

46%

39%

47%

40%

34%

Kamala Harris

37%

35%

37%

35%

31%

41%

37%

36%

35%

38%

46%

33%

33%

46%

48%

32%

36%

40%

33%

32%

46%

47%

29%

34%

46%

50%

37%

Another Democrat

22%

22%

23%

24%

34%

9%

26%

19%

23%

22%

10%

26%

27%

7%

10%

27%

25%

16%

25%

28%

8%

11%

25%

27%

7%

10%

30%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

QDNOM3: If ultimately Joe Biden is the Democratic nominee for president, do you think in November he would…

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

TOP 2 BOX

35%

35%

36%

34%

10%

64%

31%

35%

32%

39%

42%

33%

29%

64%

39%

40%

33%

43%

30%

26%

59%

33%

44%

32%

68%

44%

34%

Definitely win against Donald Trump

13%

13%

14%

13%

4%

26%

8%

16%

12%

15%

13%

13%

10%

31%

13%

13%

11%

19%

11%

9%

31%

13%

14%

11%

31%

13%

10%

Probably win

22%

22%

22%

21%

6%

38%

23%

18%

19%

25%

28%

20%

19%

34%

26%

27%

22%

25%

20%

17%

28%

20%

30%

20%

37%

31%

23%

Probably lose

30%

31%

29%

29%

26%

28%

38%

39%

30%

30%

31%

30%

31%

20%

34%

36%

33%

28%

27%

31%

21%

33%

36%

31%

20%

35%

35%

Definitely lose to Donald Trump

34%

34%

35%

37%

64%

9%

31%

26%

38%

31%

27%

37%

40%

15%

27%

24%

34%

29%

42%

43%

20%

35%

20%

38%

12%

20%

31%

BOTTOM 2 BOX

65%

65%

64%

66%

90%

36%

69%

65%

68%

61%

58%

67%

71%

36%

61%

60%

67%

57%

70%

74%

41%

67%

56%

68%

32%

56%

66%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

QDNOM4: If ultimately Kamala Harris is the Democratic nominee for president, do you think in November she would…

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

TOP 2 BOX

37%

35%

38%

36%

11%

65%

33%

37%

33%

40%

45%

34%

30%

63%

45%

42%

34%

46%

29%

28%

63%

37%

40%

32%

64%

52%

44%

Definitely win against Donald Trump

14%

14%

14%

14%

5%

27%

9%

14%

13%

15%

16%

13%

10%

33%

15%

15%

13%

18%

10%

10%

29%

14%

17%

11%

34%

16%

12%

Probably win

23%

22%

24%

22%

6%

39%

23%

24%

20%

25%

28%

21%

19%

31%

30%

27%

21%

28%

19%

18%

33%

23%

23%

21%

29%

37%

33%

Probably lose

29%

29%

28%

27%

25%

27%

35%

35%

27%

30%

30%

28%

30%

22%

30%

28%

31%

25%

28%

27%

18%

31%

28%

32%

24%

28%

29%

Definitely lose to Donald Trump

35%

36%

34%

37%

64%

7%

32%

28%

40%

30%

25%

38%

40%

15%

25%

30%

35%

28%

43%

45%

19%

32%

32%

36%

13%

19%

26%

BOTTOM 2 BOX

63%

65%

62%

64%

89%

35%

68%

63%

67%

60%

55%

66%

70%

37%

55%

58%

66%

54%

71%

72%

37%

63%

60%

68%

36%

48%

56%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

QDNOM5r: - Which of the following words, if any, best describe how you would feel if ultimately Joe Biden is the Democratic nominee for president?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Concerned

44%

42%

45%

46%

42%

46%

44%

33%

40%

47%

44%

44%

46%

35%

43%

45%

45%

43%

43%

41%

37%

38%

39%

50%

34%

47%

54%

Frustrated

26%

24%

28%

28%

35%

20%

25%

17%

26%

27%

29%

25%

28%

18%

24%

31%

27%

25%

27%

27%

19%

25%

28%

29%

18%

22%

36%

Sad

22%

21%

22%

23%

31%

14%

21%

10%

23%

21%

19%

22%

24%

10%

20%

22%

23%

18%

23%

24%

13%

25%

21%

24%

9%

16%

23%

Indifferent

18%

19%

16%

17%

19%

14%

21%

25%

19%

16%

21%

17%

17%

14%

23%

20%

18%

16%

18%

20%

10%

21%

22%

15%

16%

24%

16%

Satisfied

17%

17%

18%

18%

8%

30%

13%

6%

17%

17%

19%

17%

15%

28%

18%

15%

16%

20%

16%

14%

32%

19%

18%

16%

26%

16%

10%

Angry

14%

13%

15%

15%

24%

6%

13%

6%

15%

14%

16%

14%

16%

8%

12%

10%

13%

13%

19%

16%

10%

13%

10%

16%

8%

10%

12%

Confident

13%

14%

13%

14%

7%

24%

7%

5%

14%

13%

12%

14%

11%

25%

16%

13%

12%

18%

11%

10%

31%

19%

14%

11%

21%

13%

10%

Happy

13%

13%

13%

13%

7%

21%

10%

3%

14%

11%

13%

13%

11%

20%

12%

13%

11%

18%

10%

12%

23%

19%

14%

11%

19%

7%

10%

Excited

9%

10%

9%

10%

5%

17%

5%

3%

10%

9%

9%

9%

7%

18%

14%

7%

7%

14%

8%

7%

22%

16%

9%

7%

16%

12%

5%

Other

4%

4%

4%

4%

4%

2%

5%

2%

3%

4%

1%

5%

4%

2%

1%

3%

4%

4%

4%

4%

1%

0%

3%

5%

2%

2%

4%

None of these

7%

7%

7%

5%

7%

4%

8%

31%

7%

7%

8%

6%

6%

8%

6%

7%

6%

7%

8%

7%

8%

4%

7%

6%

9%

7%

8%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

QDNOM5Ar: - Which of the following words, if any, best describe how you would feel if ultimately Kamala Harris is the Democratic nominee for president?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Concerned

35%

34%

36%

38%

45%

27%

36%

19%

35%

36%

31%

37%

39%

23%

26%

40%

37%

30%

40%

37%

26%

27%

39%

41%

22%

25%

40%

Frustrated

20%

21%

19%

22%

31%

10%

20%

10%

21%

19%

17%

21%

23%

12%

12%

21%

21%

15%

25%

23%

12%

15%

22%

23%

12%

9%

19%

Satisfied

19%

18%

20%

19%

7%

35%

14%

6%

18%

20%

23%

18%

16%

31%

23%

23%

18%

25%

14%

15%

28%

25%

23%

17%

32%

22%

22%

Confident

17%

17%

17%

18%

7%

31%

12%

2%

17%

17%

19%

16%

14%

32%

21%

10%

16%

23%

11%

12%

36%

27%

10%

15%

29%

16%

9%

Excited

17%

17%

17%

17%

5%

32%

12%

11%

16%

18%

20%

16%

14%

27%

23%

17%

16%

21%

13%

12%

33%

21%

18%

15%

24%

25%

16%

Indifferent

17%

16%

17%

16%

19%

11%

21%

16%

19%

15%

19%

16%

17%

14%

19%

17%

17%

16%

17%

20%

14%

20%

18%

14%

14%

18%

14%

Happy

17%

16%

18%

17%

7%

32%

11%

5%

16%

18%

21%

16%

14%

27%

22%

18%

15%

22%

15%

13%

26%

21%

18%

15%

27%

23%

19%

Angry

15%

16%

14%

16%

28%

5%

13%

2%

16%

14%

12%

16%

18%

6%

8%

10%

15%

11%

21%

19%

7%

10%

11%

18%

5%

6%

8%

Sad

14%

14%

14%

15%

23%

6%

12%

6%

16%

12%

10%

15%

16%

5%

10%

16%

14%

11%

17%

17%

5%

16%

20%

14%

5%

5%

11%

Other

4%

4%

4%

5%

5%

3%

5%

5%

4%

4%

2%

5%

5%

2%

3%

6%

4%

4%

4%

5%

2%

1%

6%

5%

3%

5%

7%

None of these

8%

8%

7%

5%

7%

5%

11%

38%

7%

8%

10%

7%

7%

10%

8%

11%

7%

9%

8%

7%

8%

5%

8%

7%

11%

10%

16%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

DJTSPEECH1: Did you watch or hear Donald Trump's speech at the 2024 Republican National Convention on Thursday, 18th July this week, or did you not have the chance to? Select the choice that applies the best.

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Watched the full speech

26%

27%

26%

30%

41%

18%

20%

4%

31%

22%

23%

28%

27%

24%

24%

26%

27%

26%

27%

32%

32%

27%

24%

23%

19%

22%

28%

Watched some of the speech saw clips of it online

32%

34%

31%

33%

32%

33%

32%

23%

34%

31%

37%

31%

33%

26%

33%

32%

33%

32%

32%

33%

33%

38%

37%

34%

22%

29%

25%

Heard or read commentary about the speech

19%

17%

20%

19%

14%

23%

20%

15%

18%

19%

18%

19%

19%

21%

18%

17%

19%

19%

18%

18%

16%

19%

20%

19%

25%

18%

12%

Did not watch or hear about it

22%

22%

23%

18%

13%

26%

28%

57%

17%

27%

22%

23%

21%

28%

24%

25%

22%

23%

24%

17%

19%

17%

19%

24%

34%

31%

35%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

DJTSPEECH2: Did you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump's speech at the 2024 Republican National Convention?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

NET T2B

56%

58%

54%

57%

88%

20%

55%

44%

61%

51%

57%

56%

59%

39%

56%

57%

57%

48%

64%

63%

45%

63%

51%

54%

35%

48%

68%

Very favorable

32%

33%

31%

36%

61%

8%

19%

2%

35%

28%

26%

34%

36%

18%

27%

26%

32%

30%

36%

39%

26%

29%

25%

32%

13%

25%

27%

Somewhat favorable

24%

24%

24%

21%

27%

13%

35%

42%

25%

23%

31%

22%

23%

21%

29%

31%

26%

18%

29%

24%

19%

35%

26%

22%

22%

23%

40%

Somewhat unfavorable

16%

16%

15%

13%

7%

22%

21%

16%

15%

16%

20%

14%

13%

24%

18%

18%

16%

16%

13%

13%

27%

16%

19%

14%

21%

20%

15%

Very unfavorable

29%

26%

31%

31%

5%

58%

24%

40%

24%

33%

23%

30%

28%

37%

26%

25%

27%

35%

23%

24%

28%

21%

29%

32%

44%

32%

17%

NET B2B

44%

42%

46%

43%

12%

80%

45%

56%

39%

49%

43%

44%

41%

61%

44%

43%

43%

52%

36%

37%

55%

37%

49%

46%

65%

52%

32%

Unweighted Sample

2,133

974

1,159

1,762

870

732

507

24

1,149

984

543

1,590

1,595

261

185

92

1,096

591

446

866

115

103

65

729

146

82

27

DJTSPEECH3: Did you think that Donald Trump's speech at the 2024 Republican National Convention was divisive or uniting?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Divisive

48%

47%

48%

47%

19%

81%

45%

53%

44%

52%

49%

47%

44%

62%

51%

50%

47%

54%

37%

41%

55%

42%

55%

48%

67%

61%

39%

Uniting

52%

53%

52%

53%

81%

19%

55%

47%

56%

48%

51%

53%

56%

38%

49%

50%

53%

46%

63%

59%

45%

58%

45%

52%

33%

39%

61%

Unweighted Sample

2,133

974

1,159

1,762

870

732

507

24

1,149

984

543

1,590

1,595

261

185

92

1,096

591

446

866

115

103

65

729

146

82

27

DJTSPEECH4: Did Donald Trump's speech make you more or less likely to vote for him in November, or did the speech have no impact on your vote?

Total

Field Date

Likely voters T2B

Party ID

Gender

Age

Race

Locale

Male

Female

Friday, July 19, 2024

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Other

Male

Female

18-34

35+

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

Suburban

Urban

Rural

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

White

Black/AA

Hispanic

Other

More likely to vote for Trump

33%

34%

31%

34%

61%

9%

28%

12%

38%

28%

36%

31%

35%

19%

34%

28%

32%

30%

39%

39%

28%

45%

28%

32%

14%

25%

28%

Less likely to vote for Trump

22%

22%

21%

22%

5%

39%

19%

11%

20%

23%

27%

20%

18%

33%

29%

23%

20%

27%

17%

17%

33%

24%

26%

19%

33%

33%

17%

No impact on my vote

46%

44%

47%

44%

34%

52%

52%

76%

42%

49%

37%

49%

47%

48%

37%

50%

48%

43%

45%

44%

39%

32%

46%

49%

53%

43%

56%

Unweighted Sample

2,753

1,253

1,500

2,169

1,006

988

706

53

1,400

1,353

688

2,065

2,026

364

242

121

1,396

771

586

1,056

143

122

79

970

221

120

42

Nature of Sample

Total

Total 100.000%

Gender

Male 48.000%
Female 52.000%

Age

18-29 16.004%
30-44 23.998%
45-64 36.996%
65+ 23.002%

Race

White 68.000%
Black/AA 13.000%
Hispanic 13.001%
Other 5.999%

Region

Northeast 18.000%
Midwest 20.999%
South 37.003%
West 23.998%

Income

Less than $50K 34.004%
$50K to $99K 30.001%
$100K + 32.996%
Decline to answer 2.999%

Area

Suburban 50.001%
Urban 30.003%
Rural 19.996%

Party affiliation

Democrat 36.998%
Independent 24.998%
Republican 36.004%
Other 2.000%

Political ideology

Liberal 23.999%
Moderate 37.998%
Conservative 38.003%

EducationXGender

College grad Male 17.699%
College grad Female 22.398%
Non-college Male 30.301%
Non-college Female 29.602%