Originally posted on Nov 6, 2024, 06:09pm EST by Forbes.com

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On “Forbes Newsroom,” HarrisX CEO Dritan Nesho broke down the early conclusions he has made gauging demographic voting shifts that spelled a comfortable Electoral College and popular vote victory for President-elect Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election.

The first key to Trump’s defeat of Vice President Kamala Harris was his ability to reassemble his support from 2020. “Trump, by and large, was able to pull his coalition forward and get it out to come and vote. Last time around, he won about 75 million votes, and this time around he's at about 72 million and counting. So he didn't really lose a lot of votes from his coalition.”

Harris, conversely, fatally underperformed her Democratic nominee predecessor, President Joe Biden. “Biden won over 80 million votes in 2020. And where the count stands right now, Harris has had less than 13 million less votes than Biden had last time around. She's at around 67 million votes.”

Trump’s strength in overperforming among regions and groups he’d won before was coupled by inroads with traditionally largely Democratic-voting groups, particularly Hispanic voters. “Trump performed very well with Hispanics in the mid-40s, and the count is still growing. So when it's all said and done, he might actually have overperformed George Bush's 45% with Hispanics from 2004,” Nesho said, pointing out that Trump won an outright majority of Hispanic men.

Nesho also pointed to early data about the gender breakdown, including an exit poll that showed Trump improve his performance with men and Harris performing worse than Biden with women. “It also seems like in the battle of the genders, men came out to vote for Trump, at least in one of the exit polls, more convincingly. And that mattered, especially when it comes to younger male voters.”

Watch the full interview above.

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